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49910899 No.49910899 [Reply] [Original]

I have calculated the mathematical bottom price. From previous ath we went 19k to 3.5k so now 69k to 12.7k. Do with this information what you must

>> No.49910995

>>49910899
Congrats on discovering a proportion

>> No.49911111

>>49910899
I worked out roughly the same BUT I think we need to factor in a few variables.

1. Inflation. ie 20k in 2022 was like 16k in 2017.

2. Different market. Good and bad. More people, more institutions. But also those fuckers know how to hold manipulate a market at least short term.

3. There wasnt a turbo economic collapse on the short term horizon. Whatever the FED does with rates we are fucked.


All things considered I think we go sub 15k after that it could go much lower but the odds get less. Im a buyer at sub 15k.

>> No.49911180

>>49911111
checked. buy signal. now we moon.

>> No.49911316

>>49910899
Your brain must be the size of one(1) peanut

>> No.49911358

>>49911111
Checked and based

>> No.49911756

>>49911111
Holy digits.

>> No.49911840

>>49911111
2017 BTC went 14x from the 2014 ATH, and this last bubble went 3x from 2017 ATH...how do you forget to factor that

>> No.49911880
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49911880

>>49910899
Update this then tell me what the next top will be.

>> No.49911944

>>49911111
>>49910899
Here are a few factors on top of that

1_Crypto 2016-2017 bullrun happened WHILE FED WAS RAISING INTEREST RATES

2_It ended when the fed started to sell it's balance sheet

3_2019 btc momentum came when the fed balance sheet stoped getting smaller

4_Dxy is also a variable but not as much anymore due to japan doing ycc and eu doing the same with funny names so i would avoid using it as a variable

5_there is so much inflation that we already probably did more price collapse than in 2018

6_the problem right now is liquidity crisis and boomers supressing wages to levels that will get them guillotined, they are so disconnected from reality it's not even funny to joke about this.

>> No.49912011

>>49910995
faggot
>>49911111
>>49911944
based and checked

>> No.49913898 [DELETED] 

>>49911111
This is the bottom unless the fed raises rates again. We were supposed to bull fromuntil mid 2023 to mid 2024. The fed reduced rates to zero and then inflated the dollar pushing btc into a premature bubble. That fluo from under 10 to to about 70k in 6 months. Then they stopped inflation and raised rates crashing the economy. They will keep raising rates until they feel they have a handle on inflation again. Assuming they are done raising rates. This is the bottom full stop.

>> No.49913942

>>49911111
This is the bottom unless the fed raises rates again. BTC was supposed to bull from until mid 2023 to mid 2024 hitting at lease 135k. The fed reduced rates to zero and then inflated the dollar pushing btc into a premature bubble that flew from under 10k to about 70k in 6 months. Then Powell stopped inflation and raised rates crashing the economy. Powell will keep raising rates until he and other fed officials feel they have a handle on inflation again. Assuming they are done raising rates. This is the bottom full stop.

>> No.49914030

>>49911840
It popped prematurely and mooned prematurely. It was a product of fed market manipulation. The next bubble will go much farther assuming the government let's It develop organically.

>> No.49914089

>>49910899
wrong, we go to 3k. 3k is 13% below 3.5k

>> No.49914096
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49914096

It only peaked so high in 2021 because this scam.
When the market notice they aren't pegged and starts a bankrun, Boomercoin will crash for real.

>> No.49914298

i don't really care, if we're heading to a bull market means that ill be making profits on my matic, if its a bear market then ill be accumulating matic

>> No.49914417

>>49911111
Witnessed. I believe 11k on the lower end of the spectrum with 13.8k ok the upper end without factoring in any other external market forces or factors. 15k is a safe assumption.