/biz/ - Business & Finance

[Anonymous No.49796358]

So, how do you profit from the invasion of Taiwan?

[Anonymous No.49796495]

>>49796358
Long semiconductors.

[Anonymous No.49796555]

>>49796358
If Taiwan gets invaded it's literally Armageddon, everything will go to shit.

[Anonymous No.49796597]

There won't be an invasion of Taiwan. For one thing it's the wrong time of year, for another the cost isn't worth it to Xi, and lastly even if I wanted to there'd have to be a giant buildup over the course of months.

[Anonymous No.49796612]

>>49796358
Take a short position on the world as we know it

[Anonymous No.49796629]

>>49796555
You can still sell Potassium iodide pills when the nukes drop. You can ALWAYS profit from something.

[Anonymous No.49796630]

>>49796555
it's an inevitability and the us is going to happily let it happen, just as soon as tsmc finish building their new us fabs.

can't believe the the taiwanese are dumb enough to let that company export their alien production tech.

[Anonymous No.49796695]

>>49796358
How bad would this be for the global economy?

[Anonymous No.49796729]

>>49796695
horrendous if fabs get clapped

[Anonymous No.49796822]

>>49796358
this is all part of a plan called "The Great Reset". After the invasion of Taiwan, the world economy is totaled.

[Anonymous No.49796829]

>>49796495
Invest in chips companies in Australia. The Atlantic empire is making the down under their replacement Taiwan.

[Anonymous No.49796882]

It makes too much sense for China to do the diplomatic route so I do have legit concerns at this points the madlads will give it a shot. Buy stock in any foreign company that has a shot at matching Taiwan’s tech.

[Anonymous No.49796905]

>>49796630
I think it will not be finished till early 2030s, plus the reason why tsmc is so ahead on semiconductors is because of their workforce, in simple words a Somalian nigger will not be able to operate whatever machines they use or produce, so if Taiwan truly gets invaded and they mined their factories with bombs I think we are going to see decades loss of progress in tech lmao

[Anonymous No.49796934]

>>49796555
Why did we develop so much dependence on a small island off the coast of china that was inevitably going to be invaded

[Anonymous No.49797034]

>>49796597
yeah even in Ukraine the west was able to identify that it was happening months in advance, and that's a land border crossing

[Anonymous No.49797084]

>>49796934
They were really good at making microelectronics

[Anonymous No.49797114]

Buy recovery gear.
They'll take 98% casualties crossing.
Brown water navy. Many such problems.

[Anonymous No.49797129]

>>49796829
Australia is more than over now. No sane company will move there, if anything, they will move out.

[Anonymous No.49797168]

>>49796829
source?

[Anonymous No.49797179]

>>49796882
it makes sense for china to be diplomatic, but it doesn't make sense for the U.S. to be. We've pretty much done a complete turnaround on China policy among both democrats and republicans. there's a narrow window for the U.S. to avoid being supplanted by China. I fully expect us to keep poking the paper tiger until it retaliates

[Anonymous No.49797234]

>>49797179
The US economy could not withstand incoming exports from China being cut off.

[Anonymous No.49797243]

>>49797168
Somalia.

[Anonymous No.49797377]

>>49796358
>2 more weeks
I can't fucking stand it, just invade already cowards.

[Anonymous No.49797386]

>>49797179
Old guard party members are still obsessed with muh Mandate of Heaven and Mao’s legacy so I won’t pretend for a second China will be a rational actor, especially if some crazies get more power at the next people’s Congress.
Also right now I feel like everyone is a declining power. China is facing economic trouble for the first time in forever, the Chinese people tolerate the CCP due to the (relative) prosperity over the years. People might be getting antsy, and there’s Nothing like a crazed war based on ideology to get people in line again.

[Anonymous No.49797423]

>>49796358
Short China?

[Anonymous No.49797491]

>>49797234
>incoming exports
anon...we have a name for that. but you're right in a sense. but only because of the lack of critical materials, not due to lack of cheap manufactured shit. It's plausible that congress passes the U.S. Competes Act which will make up for the current critical materials deficit. Also, China is a manufacturing export economy first and foremost. cutting off exports to the #1 GDP nation in the world critically damages their economy. the X factor is our allies, of which many are essentially vassal states that we exhibit a great deal over

[Anonymous No.49797563]

>>49797491
*great deal of control over

[Anonymous No.49797603]

>>49796597
>There won't be an invasion of Taiwan
Yet.

[Anonymous No.49797633]

>>49796555
Checked.
You're right but it'll never happen. China aren't that desperate or stupid. There's absolutely zero chance they ever even try, even if they could, which they can't. That island is a fortress. Any invasion would make the D-day landings look like a gentle stroll on the pier with friends.

[Anonymous No.49797649]

>>49796597
intelligence sources had the opinion that Russia invading Ukraine was both China's first major proxy war of the second cold war AND the testing grounds of extremely similar equipment and tactics in a similar conflict at a similar scale. it has been put on hold indefinitely considering the technological and training gap between them and the west is just as large as Russia's and they have similar amounts of corruption in their military

[Anonymous No.49797653]

>>49797491
I was just thinking in terms of China's perspective, US exports (but "incoming" to make it clear I don't mean the US's own exports).
>China is a manufacturing export economy first and foremost. cutting off exports to the #1 GDP nation in the world critically damages their economy.
https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3110184/what-chinas-dual-circulation-economic-strategy-and-why-it
They've been working towards enabling a step-change to a self-sustainable consumer economy with stronger ties to the 2nd and 3rd world. As far as the US productive capacity goes, the situation would be so bad that we would need to immediately invoke war powers to mobilize re-industrialization efforts. We would not be able to source materials, parts and products from other countries in nearly enough time to avoid a total social crisis.

[Anonymous No.49797692]

>>49797491
>heh they can't cut us off because we have the dollar
Yeah you've been saying this for too long and now dollar is all you have. Consumers don't actually have power over producers, it only feels that way when the market is euphoric. US is a small country, it won't be a major consumer nation after this whole thing plays out

[Anonymous No.49797736]

>>49796630
>it's an inevitability and the us is going to happily let it happen
n-
>>49796630
>just as soon as tsmc finish building their new us fabs.

Ah yeah ok

[Anonymous No.49797767]

>>49797692
>US is a small country
3rd by population
>small
Largest middle class
>small
Please be quiet.

[Anonymous No.49797856]

>>49797653
this is why I said we have a narrow window. their 2nd/3rd world investments are deeply problematic for the U.S. The U.S. essentially has to provoke China into invading Taiwan in the next 15 years if we want a chance to win against them. Chinese investment won't stop with shitskin countries obviously: we risk losing key allies to China if and when they fully enact Belt & Road.

[Anonymous No.49797946]

>>49796905
The Arizona plant is supposed to be the first fab in the world to produce 2 nanometers transistor chips and it's coming online in 2025. Trillion dollar plant and the biggest they've ever created.

Better invest before the world realizes and it sky rockets

[Anonymous No.49798036]

>>49797767
>posts a picture that says China and India combined are almost 10x bigger than US
Point proven bro, US really is so big it's irreplaceable. Lmao
>largest middle class
For now
>Please be quiet.
Go fuck yourself.

[Anonymous No.49798044]

>>49797633
There's no need to invade, they can just missile strike them to submission.
Taiwan is 20 times smaller than Ukraine.

[Anonymous No.49798166]

>>49797491
>we have a name for that
in-ports?

[Anonymous No.49799397]

>>49796555
Not really. People who make the most money do it in times of complete chaos.
t. my family made a lot of money when communism collapsed in Eastern Europe

[Anonymous No.49799788]

>>49799397
how

[Anonymous No.49800018]

>>49798044
not even that
first they ring and blockade it
no fly zone
cut communications
even that might be enough

[Anonymous No.49800105]

>>49796555
This. It’s nothing like what’s happening in europoor right now, the chinks actually make tons of money and that’s worth starting a major international war over.

[Anonymous No.49800158]

>>49800018
it depends on the nature of the pretext and the chinese demands.

they'd need to time it right that the US and the Taiwanese government look like they're being unreasonable or have fucked up big time on something.. (which is hard because the US would basically pump the Taiwanese government up covertly)..

Basically china going after Taiwan could either reaffirm the "chinese identity" of the island, or do the exact opposite, and it's entirely dependent on the circumstances.