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/biz/ - Business & Finance


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49666960 No.49666960 [Reply] [Original]

>fed announcement in 3 hours
Predictions biz?

>> No.49666994

I predict AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

>> No.49666997

>>49666960
Powell will pivot, BTC will instantly go to 40k in a single god candle. The current dump is because the retarded market priced in 75 BPs.

>> No.49667010

>>49666960
1000 bps

>> No.49667017

>>49666997
this

>> No.49667051

>>49666960
USD will be 100k BTC EOM

>> No.49667052
File: 71 KB, 516x499, 1652016912653.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49667052

>>49666960

>> No.49667062

>>49666960
Shitter cucked

>> No.49667080
File: 181 KB, 900x900, 1646825985449.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49667080

what would the consequences of a 300bp hike be?

>> No.49667083

50

>> No.49667086

>>49666960
we won't know until 2pm ET, so more like 5 hours from now.

>> No.49667087

>>49666960
50 basis point hike. Armogeddon. Then I assume sometime this year they will abandon hiking

>> No.49667104

>>49666960
>>49666994
>>49666997
>>49667010
>>49667017
>>49667051
>>49667052
>>49667062
>>49667080
>>49667083
>>49667086
>>49667087

\nothing

already priced in

/thread

>> No.49667109

>record 40yr inflation rate
>Powell will pivot
Lmao, 100 bases points is coming and Bitcoin will go below 19k today with it

>> No.49667116

>>49666960
Priced in

>> No.49667118

100 bps into 300 bps digits confirm

>> No.49667123

It's a .75% interest rate hike.

Insiders already know, so they're selling. There's always some insiders that know. I knew there would be a Ukraine war (and not just an exercise) when I saw what Halliburton's stock was doing.

You look at the charts for long enough, they'll tell you the news in advance.

>> No.49667147

>>49666960
100 bp hike. 5% equity rally

>> No.49667151

Isn't it at 2 pm est?

>> No.49667156

>>49666997
Btc will never go above 30k ever again. It’s actually over this time, not bullshitting

>> No.49667162
File: 171 KB, 563x548, 16EF89B2-2598-4417-9F73-177F40286DFE.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49667162

50 basis points. Market will rally because lower than expected 75. Inflation will continue getting worse but we may have a chance to exit our positions at a profit before shit truly hits the fan.

If 50bps, wait and sell at break even price and stack gold.

If 75bps, inflation will be tamed but be prepared to hold your assets for a long time.

If it goes more than 75bps, buy kneepads, guns, canned food.

My bet is 50bps since they’re spineless cucks and the democrats can’t risk a recession this year

>> No.49667177

>>49666960
50 bp today, 75 next time around

>> No.49667183

25bps cut to prevent a chain reaction of layoffs.

>> No.49667190

>>49666997
>hey guys, remember this inflation thingy and how bad it is for the economy? Yeah, I was joking lul

>> No.49667207

>>49667104
King shitcoin dumps 33% in 4 days
>priced in
Hahahahahahaha

>> No.49667213

>>49666997
The fact there are people like you who think it wont be 75 BP means its not priced in.

>> No.49667216

>>49667123
It's a 1.25% hike. Highest inflation in 40 years, they are putting two months worth of hikes together into one. The plan is for a harsh summer and they ease off rates in September for the re-election. Buckle up.

>> No.49667222

>>49667190
Yes.

>> No.49667228

>>49666960
holocaust

>> No.49667244

>>49666997
This, Powell confirmed over 50BPs were 'off the table' at the last hike

>> No.49667247
File: 509 KB, 346x367, 1629244279613.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49667247

the hike is priced in so when a cut is announced the golden bull run arrives

>> No.49667261
File: 61 KB, 679x376, 9c7.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49667261

>dont worry guys it's priced in

>> No.49667266
File: 3 KB, 45x45, Necked_2.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49667266

>>49666960
Capitulation

>> No.49667270

>>49666960
>3 hours
No? 2PM ET is in 7 hours.

>> No.49667274
File: 62 KB, 572x595, D895816E-519B-473F-ACE0-0296569C0F8E.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49667274

He set the FED funds rate to -2% for the lulz.

>> No.49667277
File: 77 KB, 523x417, AD97BC71-385E-4077-9787-14D35DCEE310.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49667277

>>49667162
>out zog in ID

Kek

>> No.49667311 [DELETED] 

>>49667190
>sry boomers, time to rope, you see we could't finish you off all with this plandemic, so now we're gonna blow up your 401ks and your 60-40 portfolios are going to evaporate when both bonds and stocks are in a freefall, no pension for you fr fr

>> No.49667329

>>49667123
Sounds right to me

>> No.49667389
File: 273 KB, 680x680, 1653280166051.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49667389

>>49667190
>sry boomers, time to rope, you see we could't finish you off all with this plandemic, so now we're gonna blow up your 401ks and your 60-40 portfolios are going to evaporate when both bonds and stocks are in a freefall, no pension for you
>please vote for us in the midterms

>> No.49667424

75 basis points it will be. this is the wall street estimate. only 1% bet it will be 100 basis points. 50 basis points are ruled out by wallstreet.

if it will be 100 basis points, prepare for a dump

>> No.49667485
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49667485

>>49667277
Checked.. Can you crop your captcha out for me to add to my clownworld collection? I'm phoneposting..

>> No.49667508

>>49666997
imagine being this delusional

>> No.49667522

>>49666960
Isn’t it at 2.30pm ET? So not in 3 hours?

>> No.49667544
File: 357 KB, 1080x1090, IMG_20211115_063652.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49667544

>>49666960
>75bps hike
>repeat until eoy
>QE is back in 2023
>markets are utterly shagged, inflation barely goes down to 5%, crypto is largely forgotten until next halving
I always put my money on boring chains of events

>> No.49667570

>>49667522
yeah
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html
in 6 hours

>> No.49667612

>>49666960
>fed announcement in 3 hours
>Predictions biz?

18k EOD

>> No.49667649
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49667649

>>49666960
>Predictions biz?
controlled demolition of western civilization, tens-hundreds of millions dead. bioweapons, wars, manufactured famine. fairly termed the gentile holocaust

>> No.49667706

>>49667508
BTC already back at 21k, NEVER going below 20k. Dilate you stupid bobo faggot.

>> No.49667734

>>49667156
This. There are so many faster, cheaper,more functional chains put there. Why put money In what is essentially outdated tech? We all know crypto isn't a store of value otherwise it wouldn't e dumping this hard.

>> No.49667782

>>49667389
>>49667311
>cuck out boomers with their savings and lose the 2024 election
>crash the world economy and get roped in 2024
What will they choose I wonder? They'll blame it on Trump and Russia like before and double down with their fight against inflation.
What do you think reps will say that inflation is good? Yeah, right.

>> No.49667790

>>49667123
Except, you're a larping faggot. Because insiders aren't selling. They're buying retard.

>> No.49667797

>>49666960
50 basis points with another 50 -75 basis points JULy “data dependant” …total joke of course because inflation 10-15% but anything over 2-3% will crash markets worse ..so that’s as high as they will go before they cut again and blame Putin

>> No.49667825

>>49666960
Ha-ha who's a devil?

>> No.49667862
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49667862

>>49667485
Here you go friend

>> No.49667946

>>49666994
Same here. Although I will use this as an opportunity to buy more cryptos like Celo and CNDL. I think the rate will be hiked .5 again.

>> No.49667959
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49667959

>>49667862
Economic conditions just turned bullish

>> No.49667988

>>49667825
https://www.thenewstribune.com/news/business/article262525732.html

>> No.49668032

>>49667797
Supply chain and war are contributing to US inflation. Even if you think raising rates would normally work, it won't work at this point. Raising rates *would* pump DXY though, and that would fuck exporters.

>> No.49668112

When is the fed meeting?

>> No.49668134

>>49667988
"In early trading, the FTSE 100 in London rose 1.1% to 7,262.53 and Frankfurt's DAX gained 1.4% to 13,498.03. The CAC 40 in Paris advanced 1.4% to 6,033.15."

>> No.49668156

>>49666960
Buy a fuck load of xrp. This is your last chance ever

>> No.49668160

>>49667706
>up by only 1k from the 20k "floor"
Wow it's fucking nothing

>> No.49668184

You know, I was once a believer of "it's priced in lol it already fell a lot it IT HAS TO BE!!!"
Until, you know, literally every single fed meeting and rate raise it dumps even more

>> No.49668198

>>49667790
No, they're not.

>> No.49668234

>>49668184
It's a suckers rally to get Americans waking up to fomo in. They'll all get dumped on.

>> No.49668238

>>49667213
The fact that there are people like you who think there are people like him who think it won't be 75 BP means it is priced in

>> No.49668246

>>49668184
It's only priced in if everyone believes it will happen and going just by this thread that is not the case.

>> No.49668286
File: 271 KB, 463x453, 1654862917701.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49668286

>>49666960
Under the sea
Under the sea
Darling it's better
Down where it's wetter
Take it from me
Up on the shore they work all day
Out in the sun they slave away
While we devotin'
Full time to floatin'
Under the sea

>> No.49668295

>>49666997
this

>> No.49668314

>>49666960
We're going back to 0% and hyper inflation is here to stay.

>> No.49668325

Who the fuck cares? I'm still up 50% from my stock portfolio purchases during covid, they will returh to ATH by 2024 or 2025. Who the fuck is idiotic enough to care about the next year or two? Just fucking delete your broker app and go play Elden ring or go to the gym

>> No.49668328

Where can I watch it?

>> No.49668332
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49668332

>>49668238

>> No.49668338
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49668338

>>49666960
In about 3 hours, 75 and 0.75 will become a very famous and traumatic number for many fellow free froggos

>> No.49668379

>>49668325
Based. On my 2nd play through now and about to kill the final boss. Gonna start another run immediately

>> No.49668391
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49668391

>>49668325
No one asked

>> No.49668417
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49668417

Crab at 20-21k from here on out

>> No.49668561

>>49668325
I bought eth at $200, btc at $8k, xrp at .08.
I'm fucking good for years, and if one day it dumps lower than that I think we got bigger problems

>> No.49668587

>>49666960
>Predictions biz?
50 bps
then repeat monthly until further notice
CPI in May of 8.6 - they will say it was a nothingburger, no change of plans at all, barely measurable deviation from predicted
BTC is essentially worth nothing and will get destroyed, Nasdaq still somewhat overpriced but getting closer to where it should be, dividend stocks fairly priced, the plan is working and there will be a soft landing.

>> No.49668631

>>49668587
>there will be a soft landing
unless China goes full retard and kicks off Taiwan of course

>> No.49668653

I had a dream last night he raised 250bp.

>> No.49668662

>>49668417
stable coin at last

>> No.49668803

>>49668653
only big dick volcker could pull such a move

>> No.49668829

>>49668238
Retard. It's what thr general believes compared to what some people believe. The media is blowing up saying it'll be 75bps, which is an indication that mainstream and most people believe it'll be 75bps

>> No.49669548

BUMP

>> No.49669634

Is there a stream we can watch together of this clown fiesta?

>> No.49670163

>>49669634
this.
but I bet the smg will have a link before it starts

>> No.49670558

>>49667162
I hate gold
I love guns
I hate canned food

>> No.49670573

potential giga-happening inbound.

Where were (You) on June 15th, 2022 /biz/?

>> No.49670769

>>49670573
Uhhh, in this thread? What do you think retard

>> No.49670793

>>49670573
The Fed never does anything crazy, it's their job to guide the market first

>> No.49670816
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49670816

0.75% hike

>> No.49670894

> 75bp
And first of more hikes. It is obvious that FED is intent on squashing inflation first and then fixing the damage.
We will see 12k BTC.

>> No.49670933

>>49670816
That would be bad for gold

And epic for Bitcoin

I mean 10k a Bitcoin right after possibly

We just need a major player liquidated

>> No.49671012

>>49670769
What were (You) doing on June 15th, 2022 anon?

>> No.49671188
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49671188

>>49667104
Cope

>> No.49671239

>>49667244
Trusting fed kites ngmi

>> No.49671428

How long now ameriniggers?

>> No.49671452
File: 208 KB, 750x719, 6EAC8B2B-4BBF-43E9-A8AF-53F14FD3A99E.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49671452

100 bp inshallah

>> No.49671475

2 MINUTES LEFT TO THE ANNOUNCEMENT
GET READY

>> No.49671486

>>49671428
1 minute

>> No.49671495

>>49671428
4 hours
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html

>> No.49671506

>>49671428
just 2 more weeks

>> No.49671528
File: 1.06 MB, 1080x2400, Screenshot_2022-06-15-23-58-36-76_40deb401b9ffe8e1df2f1cc5ba480b12.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49671528

>>49666960

0.50 price hike and we don't dump

>> No.49671541

>>49671475
Where can I watch it live?

>> No.49671600
File: 313 KB, 750x841, E5B0AAD3-73BA-45DA-B2B1-6B1DAC22B055.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49671600

Its 4 hours from now
Op was a F

>> No.49671618

Hilarious how all the fucking cucks here have been parroting “priced in” all year and we are at 20k which proved exact nothing was priced in.

>> No.49671644

>>49667104
LOOK MOM I RESPONDED TO EVERYBODY

>> No.49671674

>>49667162
>If 75bps, inflation will be tamed
literal retard

>> No.49671710

Bloomberg is acting like a 75 basis point hike is set in stone. So I guess that's it?

>> No.49671735
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49671735

3 hours have passed since OP
bros???

>> No.49671762

>>49666997
Powell can't pivot, it's better to let Americans eat shit than see I ternational materials cartels start popping up to combat dollar iliiquidity all over the fucking world. Gotta stop dollar milkshake or everyone will start shaking down the US after a brief assfucking.

>> No.49671858

>>49671710
75 is the currently priced in hike.

>> No.49671943

>>49671710

Today has a very unstable feeling to me. If the fed did 25 or 50 points it would be a whirlwind. If they did 150-200 points it would probably be for the best but would also be a whirlwind, because nobody is prepared. I don't see why 200 points would be out of the question; why are we talking about a 90's era level of rate hike when we have inflation worse than the 70's?

I feel 75-100 points is the most stable thing to do, but even then that could signal that the fed isn't prepared to go for the throat and could cause something to happen.

>> No.49671970
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49671970

>>49671735
its 21.00 gmt+3 op is retarded

>> No.49671982

>>49671735
It's actually another 6

>> No.49672035

>>49666960
Why tf would a decentralized cryptocurrency be affected by what the fed does?

>> No.49672079

>>49671495
>>49671600
>>49671710
>>49671943
increasing probability of 200 point increase https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html

>> No.49672214

>>49672035
People buy that decentralized cryptocurrency with fiat, faggot

>> No.49672229

>>49672079
You're reading that wrong, the rate is currently at 1% and the highest chance people are giving it is it going to 1.5-1.75%, ie 50-75 point increase

For comparison, when inflation was this high last time in the early 80's, the rate was hovering around 10%, and on March 18 1980 they jacked the rate up from 15% to 20%, a 500 point increase. Technically, 75 point increase off 100 points is a 75% gan, while 1`500 to 2`000 is a 33% gain, so this rate hike should feel worse. Companies are also indebted more now so smaller overall rates will be worse for them. But a 1.75% rate doesn't really slow consumers all that much; you can still easily open a new business and raise prices a little to compensate.

They have to increase the debt enough to slow consumption, slowly enough so that every company in America doesn't go belly up from interest payments. Right now they are preferring the companies.

>> No.49672826

>>49672035
in a deflationary death spiral crash, the correlation between all markets approaches 1
this is because the financial system is based on debt and the market participants are all leveraged up to the tiddies. so if there is a shit the bed moment (like the c0r0na lockdown crash) then EVERYTHING shits the bed because the drawdown on leveraged positions leads to margin calls which leads to people having to sell anything and everything

>> No.49673000

>>49667156
unironically correct

>> No.49673142

So let me see if i got this rights
> x<75bp = pump
> 75bp = moderate bump
> x>99bp = giga bump

>> No.49673253

>>49672079
Ughhhh.... I've been saying 125 and the 75 leak was to soften the blow, but anything over 150. I don't feel so good.

>> No.49673262

>>49671943
200 points in a single hike would giganuke everything

>> No.49673275

>>49668184
Retail traders don't price in, they react. They're not a big market, but they're big enough to notice when the fear or FOMO hits.

>> No.49673291

>>49673142
tf is a "bump" nigger?

>> No.49673312

>>49671943
>>49673262
we NEED 200
its going to be painful but it has to be done.

>> No.49673337

>>49673312
We need 200, but 125 now and next month would soften the blow a little.

>> No.49673342

>>49668561
Bigger problems than wealth? There are not many.

>> No.49673360

>>49673312
Even 200 would do fuck all against the massive inflation but would gut the economy. They won't

>> No.49673379

I hope cryptos go even lower.

I want to see microstrategy implode with a massive margin call.

>> No.49673395

>>49673379
this

>> No.49673396

>>49672229
it's all about the bonds man, forget about the economy and the businesses
the yield rate on bonds spiked to nearly 4%, with how massive the government debt already is today (waaayy more than the 80s), the government itself simply cannot sustain such interest payments

>> No.49673406

>>49673142
No it's all priced in. The current pump is all there will be and will instantly dump on plebs after the announcement

>> No.49673421
File: 284 KB, 902x921, C6E7E33F-6577-4DAF-A15B-D1DBEB3B3DC2.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49673421

>>49667485
Since you collect. Collect what I got and spread this gem

>> No.49673428

>>49673406
This

>> No.49673441

>>49673142
ALWAYS sell the news. Always.

>> No.49673610

>>49673291
>bump
bringing up my post, newfag

>> No.49673678

>>49667051
>USD will be 100k BTC EOM
That means USD is too volatile and unusable as money.

>> No.49673680
File: 710 KB, 1442x1436, 1655305201632.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49673680

>supply chain bottlenecks are causing prices to increase
>HURRRRR RAISING INTEREST RATES WILL SOLVE THIS

>> No.49673685

>>49673291
You people.

>> No.49673957

so how long till daddy Powell speaks?

>> No.49673980

>>49673957
2h42

>> No.49674050

Where to follow in real time if you're an eurofaggot?

>> No.49674092

N

>> No.49674132

>>49667104
Nothing is ever priced in.

>> No.49674164

>>49674092
O

>> No.49674188

good morning sirs please do a link for the needful

>> No.49674221

Just do 200bps you niggers

>> No.49674226

>>49666960
Biggest rate hike in 40 years and we all SLURP and make it in 2 years

>> No.49674287

Always buy the FOMC.

>> No.49674772

>>49668829
>>49668238
>>49667213
>>49666997
It'll actually be 125 basis points.

>> No.49674850

>>49671012
Masturbating

>> No.49674999
File: 203 KB, 1375x499, file.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
49674999

>>49667485
heres mine from a few months ago if you want it anon.

>> No.49675090

>>49674999
Checked and saved.

>> No.49675263

>>49667162
You dont really think 75 would fix inflation do you, anon? You need carter era rates if you want even a shot.

>> No.49675312

>>49671012
Being a wagie
(In a bank)

>> No.49676503
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49676503

>>49667862
>>49673421
>>49674999
Wow thanks team
Can't believe this thread is still up..

>> No.49676559

It's 200 bepis

>> No.49677589

>>49668234
>>49666666

>> No.49678659

its over. the sooner you gullible cryptoniggers realise the better. Hedgefunds are umping cryptos and stocks in a faster pace than ever before recorded in modern history. ENJOY NIGGERLOSERS

>> No.49678782

>>49675263
No but a couple of these and the economy will crash which will do the trick. fucking mong lmao

>> No.49679094

>>49674772
Based