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/biz/ - Business & Finance

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30028577 No.30028577 [Reply] [Original]

Why can't I predict what a stock will do by fitting a function to the moving average?

>> No.30028630

>>30028577
Because knowing what the moving average has done in the past has no correlation with what a stock will do in the future

>> No.30028714

>>30028630
So you're telling me it's possible to predict the motion of the stars in the sky but you can't predict what a stock will do? What is it about markets that makes them impossible to model?

>> No.30028758

>>30028577
Average Brittany Venti viewer

>> No.30028768
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30028768

Because if the market is predictable, then everyone can play it, and that doesn't work, certainly not for those able to drive the market.
So, what do in order to make a good business, given you have the power to do so? It's simple. You basically do it randomly, up and down on random intervals. Only you can predict the market if you act accordingly, and have a good random source, like a nice lava lamp or something.

>> No.30028805

>>30028768
>Because if the market is predictable, then everyone can play it
The jews can play the market. Do they know something we don't?

>> No.30028899

>>30028805
Are you dumb or not listening? They make the market, and they make it random (to observers/outsiders), simple as that.
>Do they know something we don't?
The random date to do a random action. They know. You don't. And since they know, they apply some amplifiers and act first, let the news know something, and watch the fireworks. It's really super simple. The fuck do you not understand?

>> No.30029009

>>30028899
Sorry anon but college only taught me to plug in numbers into a formula. Just tell me what the formula is please I don't understand your proofs.

>> No.30029041

>>30028714
Stars follow relatively simple low-dimensional physical laws goverened by a rather limited set of forces. Humans emotions which drive investing don't.
t. astrophysicist

>> No.30029092
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30029092

>>30028899
checked

>> No.30029370

>>30028899
so its gambling for non kikes

>> No.30029608
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30029608

>>30028577
I want to pump her full of semen to make her bear our 56% octuplets

>> No.30029626

>>30028577
cute chick bost her benis

>> No.30029672

>>30028805
yes, how to get bailed out when they lose and how to funnel money out of the market with fees regardless of outcome

>> No.30030107

>>30028577

Because past does not predict the present lmao

it however influences some aspects of it.

>> No.30030187

>>30028714

Exactly. There are not just more variables, but everything is evolving (changing) as we speak (or you model).

>> No.30030227

>>30029041

This nigga gets it. Only fully-observable systems could be modeled more-or-less correctly.

Markets are nothing like that.