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/biz/ - Business & Finance


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29565366 No.29565366 [Reply] [Original]

WHAT THE FUCK /biz/ there was a thread and I thought anon was larping
"The model predicts a bitcoin market value of $1trn after next halving in May 2020, which translates in a bitcoin price of $55,000."
I read the s2f article it's true $55k was the top.
Source: https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/modeling-bitcoins-value-with-scarcity-91fa0fc03e25

What do? Is there any hope left?

>> No.29565471

>>29565366
Yes it's all over, sell the top
T. Retard

>> No.29565488
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29565488

bump

>> No.29565542
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29565542

>>29565471
It's the STOCK TO FLOW BTC price MODEL. THE MOST ACCURATE BTC PRICE MODEL SAYS TOP IS $55k. WAKE THE FUCK UP.

>> No.29565701
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29565701

>>29565366
can someone explain why it says $55k top but noone is panicking rn?

>> No.29565719
File: 484 KB, 1082x695, 1614004876038.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
29565719

Dont care. Never selling. Infinite comfy.

>> No.29565802

it has overshot the model every cycle
/thread

>> No.29566013

5% inflation is built into bitcoin due to transaction verification costs. It's 3% worse than what central banks target with fiat. Only way to keep the scam going is top recruit new suckers. If everyone owned bitcoin, inflation would go through the roof.

>> No.29566017

>>29565366
TLDR
dubs say 222k eoy

>> No.29566176
File: 73 KB, 735x605, bitcoin-holder-investor-has-to-work-at-mcdonalds-due-to-low-value-puts-on-mcdonalds-hat-meme.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
29566176

>>29565802
I see. I noticed overshooting is like 3x the high prediction?

source: https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/stock-to-flow-model/

So we sell at $150k?

>> No.29566307

>>29565366
bad fud
https://digitalik.net/btc/

>> No.29566558

>>29566307
well, according to plan B this chart is wrong.

>> No.29566866

>>29566558
>plan B
fucking who? there's only 1 s2f model

>> No.29567066
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29567066

>>29566866
"PlanB@100trillionUSD is a Dutch institutional investor with a legal and quantitative finance background. He created the bitcoin Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model where he uses scarcity to quantify bitcoin value. S2F model is not only applicable to bitcoin but also to gold, silver and other assets."

Fucking newfags REEEEEEEEEEE

>> No.29567759

>>29567066
his new article literally says
>S2FX model formula has a perfect fit to the data (99.7% R2).
>S2FX model estimates a market value of the next BTC phase/cluster (BTC S2F will be 56 in 2020–2024) of $5.5T. This translates into a BTC price (given 19M BTC in 2020–2024) of $288K.
https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/bitcoin-stock-to-flow-cross-asset-model-50d260feed12

>> No.29567835

Hey guys check out Mochimo i have seen it on biz boards

What are your thoughts on it?

>> No.29567840

>>29567759
essentially, this guy is full of shit.