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18734195 No.18734195 [Reply] [Original]

Plan B with a new medium article: https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/bitcoin-stock-to-flow-cross-asset-model-50d260feed12

The good bit: "S2FX model estimates a market value of the next BTC phase/cluster (BTC S2F will be 56 in 2020–2024) of $5.5T. This translates into a BTC price (given 19M BTC in 2020–2024) of $288K."

He continues on his Twitter feed: "$288K is cluster center, so high will be higher (and low lower) than cluster center" https://twitter.com/100trillionUSD/status/1254930410032766976

Get strapped in now faggots.

>> No.18734259

>>18734195
never gonna happen. lets hit 15k before we talk about 300k faggot.

>> No.18734314

>>18734259

just like $1k was never gonna happen, just like $10k was never gonna happen...

>> No.18734527

Stock to flow is a bullshit model. You can prove it wrong in two seconds by looking at the market cap of any coin with scarcity. Using this model all Bitcoin variants should be priced the same, and a shitcoin like nano should be millions. He isn't taking in enough of the variables like users, network effect, brand, tether, whale manipulation, etc. There are a million other factors at play besides just a supply side sell pressure reduction

>> No.18734650

>>18734195
you realize his 'stock to flow' values are completely made up?
what do you think happens with eg. platinum? it's not consumed, it's just used in a different form. Oil can be consumed, not metals.
It's very possible copper has higher stock to flow than gold due to how much copper is everywhere. It's a ratio after all, not an absolute value.

The good thing is, his bs model becomes trash in just 7 more months. Bitcoin is going to be below $10k in December.

>> No.18734694

>>18734527
>>18734650
so happy to see the vocal poor turning against s2f model. very bullish.

>> No.18734715

>>18734694
it's a model made by poorfag, for poorfags, that have 1btc and imagine themselves millionaires with btc at $1M

>> No.18734734

>>18734314
there's an exponential bound to numbers and especially with money that of which i know you do not understand. sorry for your loss in this life.

>> No.18734758

>>18734527
Your right he didn’t take those things into his equation because those are given you dunce bitcoin is king stock to flow works for bitcoin the same as it does gold I only hold eth and link btw faggot

>> No.18734868

>>18734527
You can prove it wrong in two seconds by looking at the market cap of any coin with scarcity.

Obviously Bitcoin has something about it that separates it from the chaff. Maybe it's because Bitcoin is very averse to hard forks, giving it a more credible monetary policy. It's less centralized than any other coin with scarcity, has more age, etc. How can you know this isn't captured by the model?

>> No.18735126

>>18734527
shitcoins dont matter, its that easy, s2f doesnt apply to copycats