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/biz/ - Business & Finance

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17949704 No.17949704 [Reply] [Original]

See my prediction attached.

>Pretty much everyone is staying inside.
>Borders getting closed.
>Airlines and travel getting restricted.
>Governments worldwide are cracking down on efforts to contain.
>A cure is gonna come out soon.
>Virus has no means of spreading now.

Therefore, I'm pretty bearish on the deaths. I think this will all blow over within the next month.

What are your predictions?

>> No.17949742

>>17949704
>ta on a death chart
did you use crayons or colored pencils to draw that line?

>> No.17949772

>>17949742
>ta on death chart
This place is amazing

>> No.17949806

>>17949704
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kas0tIxDvrg

>> No.17949957
File: 570 KB, 1122x1066, 1547669362660.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
17949957

>>17949742
>ta on a death chart
How do I short humanity?

>> No.17950095

>>17949772
>he doesn't know all of science is ta

>> No.17950141

>>17949704
my prediction is VRA 10x's before bitcoin 2x's

>> No.17950155

>>17949704
>Pretty much everyone is staying inside.
Hahaha, not in America.

>A cure is gonna come out soon.
3 to 6 months at minimum according to that FDA dude.

>Virus has no means of spreading now.
It can live on surfaces. Supermarkets and grocery stores are a hotbed at the moment.

>> No.17950160
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17950160

>ta on a death chart

>> No.17950242

>>17950095
>ta
>science
*sigh*

>> No.17950324

>>17949704
Everyone's out and about in cucknada (which is tracking US in per-million cases despite only testing people who are already in hospitals and presenting more serious symptoms). There is and will be no relief, and it's extremely unlikely there will be any quarantine. If there is a quarantine, half the country will instantly become homeless. Additionally, prescription drugs are being rationed for no reason, forcing people to go out even more often than they should.
In the US, people had fun at the beach just yesterday, big party. Predictions are that 56% will be infected in the corresponding state.
In broken countries that pretend to be first world but are not (aside from cucknada), the death toll is ballooning with no sign of stopping (spain, italy, UK).
Overall, I believe that deaths are going to rise for at least 6 more months at exponential rates.
With regard to a cure: I do not believe any treatment or cure will be developed during the duration of this event (e.g. one might appear in the last part of the tail end of the disease's sweep). Moreover, even if a treatment or cure was found, shutdowns would not instantly disappear, they go out in phases in the reverse order in which they were proclaimed. Quarantine orders will be removed first but border closures, curfews, stay at home advice, etc. will still be in effects for weeks, and so on. This is to prevent a resurgence paralyzing the country. So even in the best scenario, you will see more damage for a long time. Moreover, people will die of things other than corona at this rate.

>> No.17950499

>>17950324
> Overall, I believe that deaths are going to rise for at least 6 more months at exponential rates.
well, according_to_my_calculations.jpg 6 more months of current growth 10% (which might be quite optimistic) would result in 283.000.000.000 dead, so ... nope :)

>> No.17950520

>>17950499
>being that incompetent at babby's first math
Right, I'm definitely on /biz/.

>> No.17950659

>>17950499
wew lad back to algebra one for you

>> No.17950719

>>17950520
>>17950659
(1,1^180)*10030 isn't it?

>> No.17950804

also unless I'm mistaken there's a nice role of thumb for things like that: 70/growth gives you the number of iterations till next doubling (prox - quit handy for estimating interest effect btw). so 7 days in that case. that's about 25 doublings in 6 months. so do 2^25*10030 and you end up with the same order magnitude ...
so, /biz/ ?

>> No.17950814

>>17950242
science is literally drawing lines on graphs

>> No.17950828

>>17949772
Is that a death cross when it crosses the 12.5k moving average?

>> No.17950860
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17950860

>>17949704
The bear will leave it's cave forever

>> No.17950904
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17950904

>>17949704

>> No.17952125

>>17949704
1. For every country it will take roughly 1.5 months from extreme China-like quarantine to people returning to work.

2. After 2-3 months from now quarantine will be lifted because someone has to work even if it means old people dying.

3. It will be a pandemic for a year or two until a vaccine is widely available.

4. Economic crisis will last for 3 years.

>> No.17952175

>>17950904
>"i'm not gonna let it stop me"
>fucking dies