>>16199094
basically if the china trade war just keeps getting worse, people anticipate a recession and get out of the stock market and into bonds, and if it's getting better they think it isn't and get more into stocks. it's why trump's twitter has become so important to trading now, the china-us trade war is everything to the markets. everything goes down when it's looking like it is getting worse, everything goes up when it looks like things are coming to a peaceful resolution. like clockwork.
not that i care, i day trade based on TA mostly. i play both the long and short side. i can never understand people who just buy and hold for 30+ years, how the hell is it even possible to predict what the price will do out that far? just trying to figure out what price is doing in the next couple of minutes is hard enough. the longer the time frame the harder it is to predict and the wider the range, and the more time you lose if you're wrong. most significant moves happen in the after market, i don't even like holding longer than a day usually, though i am experimenting with the daily time frame and multiple time frame analysis. if some shit goes down overnight that you couldn't know about ahead of time, a large gap can fuck you super hard.