Is the world economy heading to a crash?

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Anonymous Sat Mar 30 20:32:57 2019 No.13168933 [Reply] [Original]

Is the world economy heading to a crash?

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 20:34:06 2019 No.13168944 >>13168933 (((No)))

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 20:35:17 2019 No.13168953 no its not doomers have been saying it was going to crash back in 2011. They were so sure they only had a couple of years. Meanwhile they miossed the greatest bull run in history. dont listen to doomers.

Anonymous Sat Mar 30 20:40:35 2019 No.13168993
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>>13168953
>greatest bull run in history
But this is exactly why I'm afraid we will have a correction sooner than later. China-US trade war and EU breaking apart might even trigger something much bigger than Lehman Brothers.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 20:47:16 2019 No.13169044 >>13168933 >100 year bullrun not quite yet, but it will biblical and the golden bear will just the boomers somethin wicked right when they want their pensions it will last the rest of our lives probably

Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:00:35 2019 No.13169142
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>>13169044
I need to clarify that I'm not talking about any sort of impending doom. When the chart is this big we are talking about the next 10-20 years maybe even some more. But the thing that scares me the most is that we will live to see it happen almost certainly.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:11:04 2019 No.13169202 >>13168933 sure looks like it.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:12:27 2019 No.13169210 >>13168933 Red pill: The economy never crashes, it is just different people getting rich

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:16:06 2019 No.13169236 File: 247 KB, 1200x1042, 476274298.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google] >>13169210 This is outright retarded, here's your (you).

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:17:44 2019 No.13169246 no its fine just keep working and investing in stocks/etfs and your 401k and you'll be set.

Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:20:13 2019 No.13169266

>>13169236
Sad that there are unironically still low IQ normies that conflate the economy with just the strength of the dollar and American business. It truly is sad, but also funny because if you examined this logic, this would imply that when the economy crashed it would never recover. Think about it, when your car crashes does it then just fix itself over time? No, you have to take resources from something else (typically your bank account) to fix it. But if the economy crashed and now there is no money to invest, from where does the money to invest and regrow the economy from?

Think about it with your second brain cell to see if you crack this hard nut.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:21:10 2019 No.13169273 >>13168933 Collapse or implosion is more like it.

Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:21:56 2019 No.13169276

>>13169142
i'm gonna use btc as an example, the first bull cycle took 9 months, the bear cycle took 20 months
the dow jones has been in a bull cycle since 1932, making a very similar pattern to btc if you zoom all the way out. we have the top to go which is a fast up spike over a few years and then logic dictates we have about 200 years of bear to enjoy, starting within the next 10 years imo.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:24:27 2019 No.13169288 File: 447 KB, 2400x1157, Empires-Rise-Fall-Armstrong.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google] >>13169276 also consider all the empires in history that went to shit maybe it's our turn

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:25:26 2019 No.13169294 >>13169288 >unlabeled axis

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:28:19 2019 No.13169308 >>13169288 Your statement is correct but I just want to point out that this chart is a crock of shit

Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:29:00 2019 No.13169313

>>13169266
The economy fucking crashes and you can't deny this fact without being outright stupid, like you did. You may argue crashes are great opportunities to take positions and that powerful people either consolidate or fade away with them which is true, but saying the economy never crashes isn't acceptable.

>>13169276
I wish you were right. Trust me, I really do.

>>13169294
Was about to point this out.

Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:31:29 2019 No.13169327

>>13169313
>The economy fucking crashes and you can't deny this fact without being outright stupid, like you did. You may argue crashes are great opportunities to take positions and that powerful people either consolidate or fade away with them which is true, but saying the economy never crashes isn't acceptable.

The American market crashes. The dollar crashes. But the economy never crashes. The economy is the wealth and resources of a nation. What you call a "crash" is just a displacement of this wealth.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:33:42 2019 No.13169344 >>13169327 It's ok to be dumb but derailing my thread is not. You're simply clueless, go read a book and lurk more fucks sake.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:35:18 2019 No.13169358 >>13169344 SAD. Think again about my analogy with the car. May help you out.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:36:58 2019 No.13169364 >>13168933 how do i profit off this?

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:39:53 2019 No.13169370 >>13169358 Why can't you just fuck off? You're plain wrong because you have no fucking clue how the economy works. Your analogy with the car just proves you're a complete ignorant on the subject.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:40:55 2019 No.13169374 >>13169364 Accumulate non perishable resources, avoid fiat at all cost.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:48:12 2019 No.13169408 >>13169370 Or it implies that I know so much that you can't even see my perspective. See, for me you are as wrong to my eyes as I am to yours. It's really a game of who is the giant and who is the ant here. I think you are the ant.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:51:29 2019 No.13169426 File: 482 KB, 1532x932, temperatures&history.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google] >>13169294 >>13169308 >>13169313 it's just a simple version of this you niggers

Anonymous Sat Mar 30 21:54:55 2019 No.13169456

>>13169364
I agree mostly with >>13169374 this but also make sure you have a substantial amount of liquid assets so that you can buy buy buy when the bottom drops out.

Look at a recession/depression as everything going on sale. I was in high school and too young to take advantage of the last one but I won't sit idly by this time.

Anonymous Sat Mar 30 22:07:05 2019 No.13169534
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>Is the world economy heading to a crash?

There will be a massive asset correction. Will there be a crash? Depends on what your definition of "crash" is.

China, Russia, India and most developing countries that haven't anchored themselves to globo homo will recover nicely. They will use the times of struggle to go to war and conquer other countries. China will start expanding to south east Asia, Russia will start taking eastern europe shitholes, and India will start some shit with Pakistan.

Western Europe, Canada, and the United states will become second world countries. See the problem with terms like "crash," "recession," and "depression" only imply asset recovery. When the United States becomes a brown second world slum and these mcmansions get subsidized to somalis there will be no recovery lol. The country will just be a broke shithole. That's why the idea of buying up a bunch of shit after it corrects is retarded, you won't see the same type of gain, who tf are you gonna sell to for more money? Achmed, Juan, Tyrone?

Welcome to the Brazil of North America

As for Western Europe and Canada they're also fucked and gonna be brown second world shitholes.

Asset prices in these places will never recover, they'll just now more closely represent the current prices in Brazil.

Think 1 USD = 1 Mexican Peso. That's how bad it is gonna get.

Anonymous Sat Mar 30 22:10:25 2019 No.13169562

>>13169534
>That's why the idea of buying up a bunch of shit after it corrects is retarded, you won't see the same type of gain, who tf are you gonna sell to for more money? Achmed, Juan, Tyrone?

This is a very interesting point, I've never seen it put like this... And it's so profound, I don't even know what to say.

What do you reckon we do, anon?

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 22:18:50 2019 No.13169609 >>13169044 >just the boomers somethin wicked right when they want their pensions You realize most of the boomers have already retired? I'm one of the last of the boomers and I can retire in less than 5 years

Anonymous Sat Mar 30 22:23:50 2019 No.13169646
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>>13169562
Be around the least amount of diversity as possible. Preferably in rural areas, more importantly than any bullshit investment know how to grow your own FOOD.

Corn, Basedbeans, Crops. These are 10 times more important than retarded metals. wtf does your body need to survive lol. Food and Water. Not fucking gold lol. The floods in the midwest have me more scared than the current state of the markets.

If you live in an area and have the land I suggest starting your own garden. Times will get tough and you'll need to rely on yourself to get through the thick of it. That is what people have done since the dawn of time and that is what people will be forced to do as government resources become razor thin.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 22:25:06 2019 No.13169657 >>13168933 >what is quantitative easing.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 22:27:13 2019 No.13169669 File: 294 KB, 1600x1271, 600286FB-07A8-42CF-87B5-1A02088E9349.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google] >>13169236 He’s right though, us silverchads will be mega whales when your fiat/crypto/stocks/bonds all drop to zero

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 22:27:32 2019 No.13169673 >>13169609 >I can retire in less than 5 years exactly unsustainable burden >According to the Census Bureau, by 2030, when “all baby boomers will be older than age 65,” 1 in 5 U.S. residents will be of retirement age.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 22:29:51 2019 No.13169681 >>13169534 >>13169646 based

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 22:36:31 2019 No.13169710 File: 65 KB, 1169x436, networthaspercentageofincome.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google] >>13168933 Household/non-profit wealth to income ratio. >Spike during tech bubble >Spike during housing bubble >Spike now.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 22:42:14 2019 No.13169743 >>13168933 As long as the fractional reserve banking system exists, yes.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 22:43:45 2019 No.13169752 File: 55 KB, 800x507, chart (1).png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google] >>13168933 this is the total market cap to GDP ratio. At the peak of the tech bubble, it reached 148. (The record high) Before the dump happened in late 2018, it reached 146.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 22:46:43 2019 No.13169770 >>13169752 I think we'll pop up to 155-160 then drop down to 100

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 22:47:01 2019 No.13169773 >>13168933 This is the Shiller P/E ratio. Tech Bubble: 43 Now: 30 When the p/e goes over 30 - which it did in sept. 2018 before the dump and now - it means the market as a whole is overvalued.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 22:48:16 2019 No.13169781 >>13168933 (((No)))

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 22:48:20 2019 No.13169783 >>13168933 no, it will go up forever

Anonymous Sat Mar 30 22:55:30 2019 No.13169826
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>>13169770
rn we're juicing everything up on credit. which is somewhat understandable because interest rates are low entice. however, this time instead of just consumers swiping credit cards, we have corporations taking on alot of debt, while yield-starved investors take shittier and shittier covenants and ratings. Bonds rated A today would have gotten a BBB rating 15 years ago.
http://www.oecd.org/corporate/Corporate-Bond-Markets-in-a-Time-of-Unconventional-Monetary-Policy.pdf
>read page 16

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 23:00:12 2019 No.13169861 File: 8 KB, 341x163, gsachlocation.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google] >>13169770 >>13168933 Meanwhile, banks are taking shitty corporate loans, and throwing them into CLO's like they did with mortgages and CDO's in '08.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 23:04:23 2019 No.13169880 BULLFLAG Buy mofos!!

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 23:15:21 2019 No.13169936 >>13168933 double top

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 23:22:27 2019 No.13169989 >>13169861 Based. It's finally happening

Anonymous Sat Mar 30 23:24:12 2019 No.13169998

>>13168993
Who gives a fuck, even if it crashes shit will be back up in 12-36 months, just chill, keep buying, and enjoy the ride. Whatever you do don't be one of those bitches who just sits on the sidelines for years waiting for the perfect time to jump in.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 23:32:30 2019 No.13170046 >>13168933 God, I hope so. It would be bullish as fuck for Bitcoin. Alts might die tho.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 23:36:08 2019 No.13170061 File: 219 KB, 1515x1506, MooresLaw.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google] >>13169998 Oh yeah, pic related why any "crash" will look like a blip 20 years from now.

>>	Anonymous Sat Mar 30 23:43:02 2019 No.13170102 >>13169288 phoenicians came after the sea peoples. DEBUNKED.

>>	Anonymous Sun Mar 31 00:03:52 2019 No.13170235 >>13169534 You can dump bags on Chang and Shlomo Every White civilization's and every White individual's survival is dependent on creativity (leadership of the entire human civ) and ability to outjew the jew. Jews are our eternal shit test.

Anonymous Sun Mar 31 00:22:53 2019 No.13170390

I swear to God if the U.S. removed the short sale restriction rule it implemented after 2008, the markets would collapse within a year if not sooner. They're totally fake, rigged bullshit totally geared to the upside. Markets aren't reflective of reality anymore. If things get bad the U.S. will just make it functionally illegal to sell stocks at all after buying them. It's all fake and it's not even a well kept secret.

>>	Anonymous Sun Mar 31 01:01:09 2019 No.13170605 >>13169669 The currency of the internet will be better than you PM PHAGGOTS

>>	Anonymous Sun Mar 31 01:01:50 2019 No.13170610 see you faggots in 2030 at 10k s&p500

>>	Anonymous Sun Mar 31 03:45:54 2019 No.13171358 >>13170061 >posts Moore's Law as rationale >doesn't even know that Moore's Law is capping out and will no longer be applicable thanks, just sold 100k.

>>	Anonymous Sun Mar 31 03:47:04 2019 No.13171364 File: 123 KB, 1000x1092, Endgame BOG.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google] >>13168933 ... Crash it... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FgE0VHiYV6Q

>>	Anonymous Sun Mar 31 03:47:52 2019 No.13171370 File: 59 KB, 1040x567, Real-GDP-by-major-World-Region-(1-2008-BCE)-Max-Roser.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google] >>13168933 Humanity is a ponzi, short that shit to the GROOOUND.

>>	Anonymous Sun Mar 31 03:48:03 2019 No.13171371 >>13168933 Yep

>>	Anonymous Sun Mar 31 03:48:19 2019 No.13171372 >>13170610 >>13170610 woah, a whole less than 4x increase. That same gain could not possibly be made anywhere else, in any shorter length of time, or with even more profit compounded on top of it. You guys really are bagholding faggots aren't you.

>>	Anonymous Sun Mar 31 06:22:59 2019 No.13171978 >>13169142 >Market will crash in next 20 years Um yeah, you're bound to be right... eventually.

>>	Anonymous Sun Mar 31 06:30:24 2019 No.13172016 >>13169534 >Empires-Rise-Fall-Armstrong.jpg Nice words. But it's all speculation wrapped up in typical doom pr0n.

>>	Anonymous Sun Mar 31 06:40:31 2019 No.13172079 No because the market is solid and not propped up on phony instruments. With that said, a lot of companies are slightly overvalued. A minor crash might be incoming unless the 2020 president does something

>>	Anonymous Sun Mar 31 06:42:29 2019 No.13172091 >>13168953 Until you have to. We are at the end of business cycle. We peaked already.

>>	Anonymous Sun Mar 31 06:45:13 2019 No.13172107 >>13169364 Avoid fiat

>>	Anonymous Sun Mar 31 07:03:19 2019 No.13172204 >>13171370 Disgusting

>>	Anonymous Sun Mar 31 07:04:49 2019 No.13172214 >>13171370 >1-2008 lets just ignore the 20k+ year old civilizations that were here before

>>	Anonymous Sun Mar 31 07:39:00 2019 No.13172395 >>13168953 Not to disagree, but it has just been a lot of inflation and debt driving the stock market higher since then. The stock market will never crash, but how will it fare against inflation?

>>	Anonymous Sun Mar 31 08:04:54 2019 No.13172531 >>13168933 Fuck. I hope so. My Ethers are going to SOAR when this current debt based monetary system crashs in to the dirt.

>>	Anonymous Sun Mar 31 08:05:55 2019 No.13172535 >>13168933 zoom out you fucking noob

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