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/biz/ - Business & Finance

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13097413 No.13097413 [Reply] [Original]

Inverted yield curve... speculation on economy thread.

https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/textview.aspx?data=yield

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/03/22/us-bonds-treasury-yields-move-lower-as-investors-await-economic-data.html

>> No.13097435
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13097435

>>13097413
what did the graph mean by this?

>> No.13097460

>>13097435
Basically means that investors are bidding en mass on long term bonds. Driving down their yield.

Copy pasta:
Historically, inversions of the yield curve have preceded many of the U.S. recessions. Due to this historical correlation, the yield curve is often seen as an accurate forecast of the turning points of the business cycle. A recent example is when the U.S. Treasury yield curve inverted in late 2005, 2006, and again in 2007 before U.S. equity markets collapsed. The curve also inverted in late 2018. An inverse yield curve predicts lower interest rates in the future as longer-term bonds are demanded, sending the yields down.

>> No.13097468

only the 2 year and 5 year inverted in december.... BUT NOW ITS THE 10 year one.

Economy is about to get justed.

>> No.13097523

Last time was before 2000 internet bubble and 2008 subprimes shit r-right ?

>> No.13097543

why do you think all these tech ipo's are happening? they see the writing on the wall and are trying to cash grab before the bottom falls out

>> No.13097544
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13097544

We need someone to fix the economy

>> No.13097554

>>13097468
Only 10y3m inverted; the most used indicator for recession is 10y2y and that hasn't inverted yet.

>> No.13097576

>>13097554
2.31 = 2 year yield rate
2.44 = 10 year yield rate

But ok you wait. I sold half of my stocks yesterday. Time will tell if i was wrong...
In the mean time Soros increased his short position from 3% to 16%; Buffet is paying $29 million dollars to keep his money out of the market ($55 billion of it).

>> No.13097584

>>13097576
$29 million every day

>> No.13097601

>>13097554
>the garage and part of the attic is on fire, it's completely fine since the rest of my house is untouched! Time to build a bigger pool in the back!

>> No.13097997

>>13097584
Can you explain what you mean by this? He's sitting on the side lines and losing inflation? He's leveraged so much that those are his margin costs? I don't understand how you lose that much a day

>> No.13098017

>>13097576
Half of nothing is still nothing. Fucking doomsdayfags.