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/biz/ - Business & Finance

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11840760 No.11840760 [Reply] [Original]

Genius or Hokum Pokum?

tl;dr all economic shocks in human history occur on a regular mathematical basis. As such they are predictable. Historical data is input with coins.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martin_A._Armstrong
http://archive.fo/MAJjK
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt4103404/
https://www3.putlocker0.com/the-forecaster/

>> No.11840792
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11840792

>>11840760

>unlabelled axes

Its trash.

>> No.11840878

He writes a lot of interesting stuff but /biz/ is actually more people that are looking for lottery tickets out of their shitty lives than people who want to become better traders.
This will get ~5 replies and chainlink thread #18 will get 80.

>> No.11840928

>>11840878
He seems interesting, but at the same time everyone seems to either worship him or consider him to be Satan. It feels like it might be too good to be true, but maybe he got something right. Your general points on /biz/ remain valid. What do you think are his most important ideas? What do you doubt the most about him?

>> No.11840958

>>11840760
congratulations this is the most autistic thing ive seen all day

>> No.11841005

>>11840928
I agree with @anonymint, a crazy but genius bitcointalk poster, that he kind of misunderstands bitcoin.
On the other hand, I feel underqualified to judge armstrong's whole body of work. I'm pretty sure however that he has a lot of nuggets of wisdom to share from his research.
One thing I love is his articles on gold /PM markets where he BTFO goldbugs who scream "manipulashion" when gold drops/moves sideways for a long time, then call spikes natural. He used data and examples to show that PMs aren't specifically manipulated to stay cheap, the gold/silver price ratio means nothing, and that traders also cause upward "manipulation".

>> No.11841034

>>11841005
Goldbugs forget that gold is a commodity traded in the market and as such has no default price.

>> No.11841085

>>11841034
I do want to study more of his stuff in the future, I feel there is something there. I think the cyclical nature of... nature... is a given, but whether his models are profitable predictors I can't judge yet. There is a long thread on bitcointalk about Armstrong:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1082909.0

>> No.11841089

>>11840760
Hokum

>> No.11841543

>>11840760
his model is predicting that today is supposed to be a possible big happening
i like his history/politics and climate blogs
when he talks about political cycles and the periods here it matches whats going on in the US with trump etc pretty much perfectly
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/armstrongeconomics101/understanding-cycles/napoleon-war-sunspots-human-excitability/

>> No.11841817

>>11840760
dam

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/cryptocurrency/cryptocurrency-scam/

This guy has absolutely no faith in BTC and crypto.

>> No.11841984

good insight in a lot of things, read most of his stuff and really enjoy the analysises he gives about historical economies w/data from coinage of the period. He is extremely blackpiilled though

>> No.11842053

>>11840760
Not the biggest fan of his historical model, let alone economic historical. Personally a fan of Spengler's, both are sorta cyclical but I think Spengler gets more right then Armstrong.

>> No.11842056
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11842056

>>11840760
there are predictable cycles that affect economic and social stability...

but he got it wrong. It's solar cycles.