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/biz/ - Business & Finance


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11452048 No.11452048 [Reply] [Original]

Uh oh

>> No.11452083

More like in next two months, amarite boys?

>> No.11452090

>>11452048
Havent we been overdue for a recession for two years anyway?

>> No.11452093

>>11452048

So there’s a 30% chance we have no recession? I unironically like those odds.

>> No.11452098

is this the MAGA,trump drones?

>> No.11452104

>>11452093
60 + 30 != 100

>> No.11452116

>>11452093
These are the people who buy shitcoin.

>> No.11452121

Do I have to worry if I have no debt, a full-time job, and a portfolio full of crypto?

>> No.11452139

>>11452121
Unless you have physical gold, silver, weapons, ammo, a bunker, and military training, you should be worried

>> No.11452154

>>11452048
Yeah 2020 mark it on your calendar. Friendly reminder recession is two straight quarters of GDP decline. Not a couple weeks of stock market selling.0
>>11452098
>10 years in the making
>”see its a political thing lol”
Every time, without fail

>> No.11452161
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11452161

Lol jew bankers telling us a recession incoming hmmmm

>> No.11452164

>>11452121
Crypto is in a bubble so once the recession happens you'll get bobo'ed

>> No.11452241

>>11452048
that shit is starting already. Used Cars, houses are both in bear markets and getting worse. Interest rates are rising = lower asset prices ( stocks, real estate etc. i expect to a recession to be announced by feb. A good play is keeping some liquid cash. Great as emergency fund but you can also dollar cost average when you think we bottom.

Either way - the stock market is done going up (raising interest rates, corporate buy backs, and market cycles - 11 year bull) House prices have peaked (interest rates, affordability, and the data is fucking bad. look at homebuilder stocks, look at pending sales.

>> No.11452262

>>11452093

It says "top 60" which implies the odds are over 60, I assumed below 70.

>> No.11452680

Any recs on a nice handgun to protect myself in the turbulent times coming soon? Been putting it off for a few years.

>> No.11452688

2020 is said by literally every financial advisor to be a bear market

In other words, its 2015 all over again. buy the dip

>> No.11452767

>>11452154
>10 years in the making
Obama unironically saved my families ass in 2009

>> No.11452797

>>11452048
JP Morgan says >60%, Ray Dalio says >70%. Do you goys think 25 P/Es can last forever when emerging markets and Europe are getting shit on?

>> No.11452805

>>11452797
Not to mention rising bond yields and conflict abroad.

>> No.11452807

>>11452098
It will when a democrat gets and and you get half of your income to pay reparations.

>> No.11452848
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11452848

>>11452688
>sky high valuations
>low growth
"Buy the dip"

>> No.11452856
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11452856

Thanks Trumptards

>> No.11452921

>>11452241
Better than liquid cash, you have short term government debt at decent yields since the curve is flattening. Maybe buy a basket of commodities incase we run into inflation. Id say 15% commodities, 15% cash, 20% short-intermediate term debt is a solid allocation. The rest you can put into value/discretionary stocks, just avoid Europe/Canada.

>> No.11452930

>>11452139
Are there really people this retarded? How did that strategy work out for you last recession?

>> No.11452953

>>11452856
That chart barely makes any sense but it looks like it only measures until 1975. No charts from before 2000 matter anymore.

>> No.11452954

>>11452921
Let me also mention that special situations like workouts/merger arbitrage is what value investors have their eyes on this late in the cycle. You might have noticed Warren Buffett collecting the spread during Bayers acquisition of Monsanto. When Monsanto was underpriced by 20% and the acquisition was almost surely going to go through, Warren Buffett bought a sizable amount of Monsanto and collected that difference. Also, having 30-50% in cash/cash equivalents is what all thr big value investors are doing right now. When the bloodbath begins, they will all have the liquidity to buy assets under book value, cheap warrants, junk bonds, and severely undervalued companies.

>> No.11452973

>>11452930
yeah, this guy I used to work with.
total fundie, homeschooled his kids cause he didn't want their minds poisoned. always left our company car on the glenn beck/limbaugh talk radio station. he kept a literal bunker with an unknown amount of firearms and several months worth of food and supplies.

>> No.11453083

>>11452973
Based and redpilled

>> No.11453115

>>11452116
theres actually a 2% chance he actually makes any money from it and that the last 2 years of his life wernt a total waste

>> No.11453129

>>11452048
Priced in

When Trump is on his last few weeks the bear_market.bat will be executed

>> No.11453277

>>11452921
>Maybe buy a basket of commodities incase we run into inflation
How exactly do I buy a basket of commodities? Is gold and silver not good enough?

>> No.11453677

G&S made insane money this year!
They talking about recession in 2 years

-> will be a global collapse frens, soon as they talking, screen-shot this

>> No.11453682

>>11453277
>one year emergency food store, aim for 1M calories
>solar panels
>lead acid battery bank
>gold, silver, bitcoin
>Tools

suppose you buy a years supply of toilet paper for $20, and then inflation strikes. Toilet paper now costs $25, so you made $5 nominally on your toilet paper 'investment'. If inflation doesn't strike, you would still need the toilet paper anyways. If SHTF, you have toilet paper for the year and someone else might not. Same idea applies to everything I listed above. It's my main investment strategy at the moment actually

>> No.11453718

>>11453682
>Toilet paper now costs $25, so you made $5 nominally on your toilet paper 'investment'. If inflation doesn't strike, you would still need the toilet paper anyways. If SHTF, you have toilet paper for the year and someone else might not.
Nice idea, thx anon

>> No.11453729
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11453729

>>11452093

>> No.11454364

>>11453718
>anon dear, why are you stockpiling tons of toilet paper in our apartment?

What is your response? Expecting a shitstorm?

>> No.11454385

>>11452848
the one in the middle looks like he's in a pot
why is the mage wearing a ranger tunic

>> No.11454397

>>11453682
incorrect

medical supplies are where its at, things that dont expire like anti septics and dressings.

>> No.11454414

>>11454397
First things are what you need to live...food, water, and air.

>> No.11454950

>>11454385
>when the autism hits

>> No.11454971

>>11452048
Fucking BASED they went 10% over the coinflip. Those guys deserve their millions what a proficient technical analysis. WOW. Double top, head and shoulders

>> No.11454972

University I work at is already preparing for the student loan bubble to pop. Plans being put in place to reduce costs etc.

>> No.11455003
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11455003

>>11452048
No shit Sherlocks.

>> No.11455045

Last time the US suicided every other country suffered more

>> No.11455073

>>11455045
Nope, only countries that dogmatically followed america's shitty free marketism garbage advice.
t. canadian with an icelandic wife

>> No.11455092
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11455092

There will never be another recession. IF the economy goes down, we cna just print money and give it to the top .1%, and they will stimulate the economy for us

>> No.11455147
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11455147

The 0 interest rates encouraged malinvestment. It's time to flush out the junk businesses that were ran by incompetent brainlets.

However this time shit might become a real depresson. Anyone noticed that the oscillations are getting bigger and bigger?

The standard of living in US is going to drop below shitholes like eastern Europe. It will be interesting to see burgers move to Ukraine and shit becaue they are poorfags.

The British pound was derailed with the Suez crisis I think. The petro-dollar will be derailed by something eventually. This is why the Obama machine pushed TPP.

>> No.11455213

>>11455073
She was never your wife
>t. Black boi with your Icelandic wife

>> No.11455214

No problem, just buy link