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/biz/ - Business & Finance

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57846124 No.57846124 [Reply] [Original]

ANF is massively over inflated. IV is through the roof. The only difference in balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements is that marketcap increased. While the total number of shares outstanding are decreasing. This is some stock buyback bullshit, where investments in operations, like R&D and employee retention and the other social goods of the business that gain customer's trust in fashion, is instead going to shrink the number of shares, like a tax lessened dividend. Yet, while the shares outstanding are down 7.512%, market cap has increased by 411.899%. Additionally, insiders are selling at a rapid rate, and have been in the past. IV is unusually high, historical volatility is considerably lower than IV.

Conclusion?
I predict after the upcoming earning announcement, where all they will say is AI and AI and AI has made them better? I predict they will fail to preform up to investors standards, and will be fucked down. Aka, a few months ago, AI funneled money into ANF through hype. When the hype goes down, IV will crush, and it is more likely to fail downwards.

How to make money on it?
Call Credit Spreads
$155 Strike, 4/5 expiration. Debit of $730
$160 Strike, 4/5 expiration. Credit of $800

thoughts?

>> No.57846152
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57846152

>>57846124

>Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Due Diligence

>ANF is massively over inflated. IV is through the roof. The only difference in balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements is that marketcap increased. While the total number of shares outstanding are decreasing. This is some stock buyback bullshit, where investments in operations, like R&D and employee retention and the other social goods of the business that gain customer's trust in fashion, is instead going to shrink the number of shares, like a tax lessened dividend. Yet, while the shares outstanding are down 7.512%, market cap has increased by 411.899%. Additionally, insiders are selling at a rapid rate, and have been in the past. IV is unusually high, historical volatility is considerably lower than IV.

>Conclusion?
>I predict after the upcoming earning announcement, where all they will say is AI and AI and AI has made them better? I predict they will fail to preform up to investors standards, and will be fucked down. Aka, a few months ago, AI funneled money into ANF through hype. When the hype goes down, IV will crush, and it is more likely to fail downwards.

>How to make money on it?
>Call Credit Spreads
>$155 Strike, 4/5 expiration. Debit of $730
>$160 Strike, 4/5 expiration. Credit of $800

>thoughts?

>> No.57846729

checked

buy signal