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2023-11: Warosu is now out of extended maintenance.

/biz/ - Business & Finance


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57647586 No.57647586 [Reply] [Original]

So we've all studied functions in school. Taking BTC chart with X as time and Y as price, it was possible to arrive at some kind of function as early as 2012 right? now if we take the function in 2022 for example could you predict movements? the more time passes the more precise it should become.
So at first it was wack, function changed every month. But now it should be stabilizing towards some sort of formula since the % movements are slower. Thoughts?

>> No.57648048

>>57647586
Its very limited as predcition

>> No.57648109

Ath1: january 2014 (3y+11m)
Ath2: december 2017 (3y +11m)
Ath3: november 2021 (3y +11m)
Ath4: october 2025 ?

>> No.57648164

>>57647586
Go back and perform the polynomial regression using data only available in 2012, and use that regression to predict the price at the end of 2023/beginning of 2024. Let us know if it works

>> No.57648210
File: 1018 KB, 4096x2216, GF_QAwvWsAA6GHe.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
57648210

>>57648109
based unless this cycle has been broken out of and the alternate cycle theory plays out

>> No.57648215

>>57648164
i said it was wack early, but taking the data available in 2022 to predict 2023-24 should be more precise yes?

>> No.57648813
File: 47 KB, 987x725, btc-log-log.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
57648813

>>57647586
You're refering to the linear function on the log-log plot of price vs time.
In 2024 the function looks like pic rel.
According to this the price of bitcoin should average 100k around 2028.

>> No.57648836
File: 76 KB, 750x459, 1950976872237.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
57648836

>>57647586
Picrel is the original log regression from 2014

>> No.57648876

if we dip to 40k imma go all in with 120k. missed the train and was hoping it would stay at 28 for longer.

>> No.57650025
File: 313 KB, 753x463, 1.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
57650025

>>57648836
let's see how we did

>> No.57650855

>>57648876
will never happen
buy now or stay poor

>> No.57652112

>>57650025
Well done in the overlay, that looks pretty. And it's interesting how it worked up until this last cycle. It never overshot like it did in the previous 3. I wonder what the latest logarithmic regression is, and if you interpolate the dynamics of that regression over time, what does the future's regression predict will be the price at that time?

>> No.57652161
File: 172 KB, 1774x808, sustainable.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
57652161

>>57650855
chart looks retarded to yolo at

>> No.57652184

>>57647586
this is the dumbest post I've read this week but it's only Sunday I guess

>> No.57652195
File: 183 KB, 1106x830, 1703135038567139.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
57652195

>>57652184
This niggas week starts on Sunday

>> No.57652423

>>57652112
Thanks.
>It never overshot like it did in the previous 3
I firmly believe that COVID and the China mining ban set the previous cycle back and that we are, in a sense, "owed" some growth that will show itself in this cycle. We'll be back above this line again.

>> No.57652843 [DELETED] 

єαяη ƒяєє gιƒт¢αя∂s αs мαηy тιмєs αs yσυ ωαηт αη∂ яєsєll ιт ƒσя ρяσƒιтs, яєα∂ тнє ρ∂ƒ αт тнє lιηк вєlσω

tinyurl
com/49sbzhny

u1r6o9b3l0

>> No.57653179 [DELETED] 

ɛǟRռ ʄRɛɛ GɨʄȶƈǟRɖֆ ǟֆ ʍǟռʏ ȶɨʍɛֆ ǟֆ ʏօʊ աǟռȶ ǟռɖ RɛֆɛMM ɨȶ ʄօR քRօʄɨȶֆ, Rɛǟɖ ȶɦɛ քɖʄ ǟȶ ȶɦɛ Mɨռӄ ɮɛMօա

tinyurl
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w8l0w8d9a8

>> No.57653239

>>57648210
Things are accelerating and peaks are getting lower. I honestly think the next ATH will be Q1 2025

>> No.57653291

>>57650025
Might still fit if this bullrun is stronger than the last. Feels like the last one got cut short.

>> No.57653329 [DELETED] 

헲헮헿헻 헳헿헲헲 헴헶헳혁헰헮헿헱혀 헮혀 헺헮헻혆 혁헶헺헲혀 헮혀 혆헼혂 현헮헻혁 헮헻헱 헿헲혀헲헹헹 헶혁 헳헼헿 헽헿헼헳헶혁혀, 헿헲헮헱 혁헵헲 헽헱헳 헮혁 혁헵헲 헹헶헻헸 헯헲헹헼현

tinyurl
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w7d6o9s5o3

>> No.57653696 [DELETED] 

퓮퓪퓻퓷 퓯퓻퓮퓮 퓰퓲퓯퓽퓬퓪퓻퓭퓼 퓪퓼 퓶퓪퓷픂 퓽퓲퓶퓮퓼 퓪퓼 픂퓸퓾 픀퓪퓷퓽 퓪퓷퓭 퓻퓮퓼퓮퓵퓵 퓲퓽 퓯퓸퓻 퓹퓻퓸퓯퓲퓽퓼, 퓻퓮퓪퓭 퓽퓱퓮 퓹퓭퓯 퓪퓽 퓽퓱퓮 퓵퓲퓷퓴 퓫퓮퓵퓸픀

tinyurl
com/bdzy3jzj

c3z6b0g4k0

>> No.57654489

1 btc = 1 btc

>> No.57654788 [DELETED] 

ҽαɾɳ ϝɾҽҽ ɠιϝƚƈαɾԃʂ αʂ ɱαɳყ ƚιɱҽʂ αʂ ყσυ ɯαɳƚ αɳԃ ɾҽʂҽʅʅ ιƚ ϝσɾ ρɾσϝιƚʂ, ɾҽαԃ ƚԋҽ ρԃϝ αƚ ƚԋҽ ʅιɳƙ ზҽʅσɯ

tinyurl
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j2r4b4x4h2

>> No.57654811

>>57650025
its honestly not far off