/biz/ - Business & Finance

Keep in mind that the bull market has been going for a year already and putting the ATH around late 2024 is in line with bull markets lasting 2 years

>>56667788
Checked
>>56667807
I don't want you to be right but you probably are desu. I want another year to accumulate, but luckily I was buying every week for the last 1.5 years so I might be okay.

>>56667788
>Cycle ATH probably also transitioning to the left to wreck the guys who plan to sell in 2025
absolutely this. zooming out on the larger macro zeitgeist i cant help but feel obscenely bullish. add to that the knowledge that ill have an opportunity to buy panic (and likely sell eraly elation) just fills me with an ephemeral calm.

>>56667788
>He doesn't understand that the whole market is being frontrun to wreck late accumulation planners like himself.
Correct anon. That's the inevitable result of a known halving cycle. Once information is know to the market, all those that know of it will frontrun it. This cycle will take off like a raped ape, go hard no later than into Q2 of next year and then trickle down to an abysmal stagnation while all of the midwits like Ben keep accumulating waiting for a pump end of '24 or early '25. A pump that will never happen. Then cue the "lengthening cycle" cope or whatever else he sells to himself and his followers.

REMEMBER GOY, CASH IS KING

>>56667807
Crypto market has never put a high in the halving year, it was always a year after and usually in Q4.

>>56668383
Sample size too small and it also keeps moving forward.

2016 Halving -> 2018 top (+2)
2020 Halving -> 2021 top (+1)
2024 Halving -> 2024 top (+0)

>>56667807
I have been thinking this aswell

>>56668748
You forgot 2012 -> 2013 (+1)

>2016 Halving -> 2018 top (+2)
Technically Bitcoin topped in December 2017, but alts ran for couple more weeks more so it entered January but TOTAL3 still topped on Jan 5th.
I wouldn't call that a (+2)

>>56667788
i appreicateben's easy tone. he should produce a line of meditative affirmations for traders. something to ponder before you hit sell/buy or revenge trade or buy that top.

>>56667788
>He doesn't understand that the whole market is being frontrun to wreck late accumulation planners like himself. Also the market is gonna inevitably reward FTX collapse buyers and it won't grant another chance to buy at these levels. Cycle ATH probably also transitioning to the left to wreck the guys who plan to sell in 2025
>open Bejamin thread, dunno why, always low IQ takes from ppl listening yt shills
>Hi IQ post
What op sad, market is frontrunning and we are having much shorter cycle than ones before pain sidelinoooors going to experiace will be off the charts.
Gl frens

>>56667788

exceptionally rare post here on /biz/

>bump

>>56668748
Looking at just the years like that doesn't show the whole picture. It's more accurate to look at the whole chart.

>>56668748
better to plot it in weeks than retarded years since the date of the halving also gets earlier every year since the blocks arent exactly 10 minutes but slightly faster depending on difficulty

>>56667788
no proper bear market -> no proper bull market

>>56669401
Obviously. I did the lazy thing with retarded years to hammer it home in a general manner

>>56669419
There was a proper bear market. Most alts were down 90% and BTC went to 15k from 69k. You just got greedy and wanted it to go forever

>>56667807

> Keep in mind that the bull market has been going for a year already and putting the ATH around late 2024 is in line with bull markets lasting 2 years
Are you new?
Bullrun peaks in 25
>>56668748
Peaked in 17
It’s funny how people will bend facts to fit a narrative

>>56669559
>Are you new?
>Bullrun peaks in 25
I wish it did. But if you think that twitter cattle with a SELL CRYPTO HERE FOR MAX GAINS entry in their calendars will be actually allowed to do so, you are very much naive and mistaken.

>>56667788
>>56667807
Yes but if it continues like this it will reach 80k as max. If we have a 2024 correction to 20k we will easily hit 100-120k in 2025
I prefer the latter scenario

We haven't hit the Depression phase yet. It'll come after the halving passes and BTC fails to make a new all time high. This time is different because the wait is twice as long.

New ATH 2029

>>56669765
Why are you wasting your time trolling

>>56669655
proposed alternative it pumps hard after to redraw the twitter cattle back in and then dump on them

>>56667788
What's this faggot's current take?

I don't like how there is just 1 mega massive monthly candle that hasn't been retraced whatsoever.
I don't think $15k sellers are going to be selling here but I think $25k sellers will be.
My gut tells me this is distribution not consolidation.
That being said, I wouldn't be surprised to see shorts start piling in here and then get flushed out with move into say $40k or so.
Perhaps that will trigger a lot of sidelined buyers to FOMO in and give some liquidity for shorts to pile up and then price gets back down into the previous range and at a minimum tests that $31/32k level.
I have a pretty high degree of confidence that $32k gets tested again.
If it holds that would be a super clean structure and undeniable structure for bullish continuation IMO.

Otherwise if $32k gets lost it's back to no man's land chop in that range and I wouldn't be surprised to see $25k get touched again.
If $25k gets touched the bear posting is going to be off the charts and people will start doom posting calling for <$20k BTC and it will probably be a good time to start scaling in if you haven't already done so.

That's just kinda how I'm seeing things now from a high time frame perspective.

>>56668188
This

fuck chainlink

midwits in both directions
he'll never buy a top or bottom obviously, and coasts off his paypigs, following his advice is the equivalent of just giving up and investing in index funds
but this board is the other side of the midwit, contrarian to a fault, lives in this echo chamber where they believe everytime a telegram raids with their shitcoin of the month, it means "normalfags are in this is the top" when in reality normalniggers are disgusted by crypto right now and still have no idea what the fuck cycle theory is
reminder, same midwits here were predicting in 2019 that the cycle would top in 2020 and be frontrun, and yet covid crash and ftx manipulations aside, the top actually occurred only 1 month to 4 years from the previous top. keep outsmarting yourself /biz/

>>56667788
I figured the bull market would either get front ran or the bear would be extended to wreck accumulators

>>56669015
I appreciate Ben's tone because it's always as if he's desperately begging me to pound his bussy.

>>56670505
That the secondary scare is coming. He really thinks prices will descend to the exact same drawback as last cycle, at the exact same time and he thinks he is awfully smart to overlay two cycles and wait for the bottom to announce itself and allow every midwit to buy it.