/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>56523107
Short the US stock market

Bought a bunch of manga and it came out super cheap even with shipping. How low can it go?

it is literally over

>>56523127
unless they intervene like right now which they probably will

>>56523114
>Short the US stock market
Retard. But show us your position.

>>56523143
sorry anon. i dont discuss my business with anyone

>>56523114
Is BOJ gonna dump treasuries or hike rates?

>>56523150
Or is there some scenario that could occur, that potentially leads to a recession?

>>56523107
Kek Japan is over

>fomc won't hike rates
>boj intervention
>china stimulus
>btc etf acceptance
>halving
who's ready to board the coomtrain CHOO CHOO

>>56523164
>Is BOJ gonna dump treasuries or hike rates?
You are asking the wrong question. Your question should be, "who is next?" and where is "safe" to park your money. And then you can try front running them.

>>56523208
soon all these QTs will be ours

>>56523190
>Or is there some scenario that could occur, that potentially leads to a recession?
I am sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but we are already deep into recession. This is more of the panic phase

>>56523241
>soon all these QTs will be ours
Do you know how much total maintenance costs are for that ?

>>56523127
but easy Japanese nookie is just getting started

>>56523224
>>56519857
was ross an AI the whole time?

>>56523312
BREHS....................

>>56523297
believe it just as much as any FRED chart

>>56523107
>jpy goes down
>domestic market dies
>japs now make animu and games catering exclusively to dirty foreigners
Its joever

>>56523297
please don't shatter the dream anon

>>56523326
>jeets working in japan
its been over

>>56523107
Ban whites from entering Japan. All problems solved.

>>56523338
FF1, 2 and 3 were programmed by a jeet. Not a problem

>>56523224
That is my question but I'm trying to understand what exactly the issue will be, nov 8th as a date has been mentioned around. I am crypto native but trying to stay aware of trad markets, i know that in currency debasement scenarios my majors will perform well but i dont understand whether we will see an intermediate crash. according to some posters there already is a recession, not sure

>>56523297
too based for this board of weebs to handle.

>>56523107
Who gives a fuck about some sand nigger gook currency? Ill tell you, NO ONE

>>56523341
Enjoy your kikes.

>>56523365
yeah so essentially just looking for a tip on where to continue looking

>>56523251
panic as in fomo out of recession or panic as in risk assets have a bubble that needs to come down? i'm exposed to risk assets currently

>>56523328
They're a broken people, you gotta give up the yellow fever.

>>56523427
what a comfy video. I bet she pisses like a racehorse

>>56523141
related:
https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/japans-top-fx-diplomat-says-recent-yen-moves-one-sided-speculative-2023-10-31/
TOKYO, Nov 1 (Reuters) - Japan's top currency diplomat Masato Kanda said on Wednesday authorities were on standby to respond to recent "one-sided, sharp" moves in the yen, escalating his warning to investors against pushing down the currency too much.

"Speculative trading seems to be the biggest factor behind recent currency moves," Kanda, vice finance minister for international affairs, told reporters on the yen's declines.

The situation surrounding yen moves has become "more tense" than before, he said, adding that authorities will "respond appropriately without ruling out any options".

"We're on standby," Kanda said when asked about the chance of yen-buying intervention, though he declined to say what kind of action authorities could take and when that will happen.

The yen plummeted across the board on Tuesday, dropping to a 15-year low against the euro and a new one-year trough versus the dollar, after a minor step adopted by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) toward ending years of monetary stimulus failed to appease some investors who had expected a bigger move.

Markets are on alert for possible yen-buying intervention by Japanese authorities, who are under pressure to combat a sustained depreciation of the currency as it pushes up import prices and households' cost of living.

Tokyo took action in September of last year, its first foray in the market to boost its currency since 1998, after a BOJ decision to maintain its ultra-loose monetary policy drove the yen as low as 145 per dollar. It intervened again in October 2022 after the yen plunged to a 32-year low of 151.94.

>>56523427
I can save her

>>56523427
that is one of the comfiest videos i have ever seen. there's hope for all of us
i hope wherever she is, Keiko is doing well.

>>56523328
>please don't shatter the dream anon
sorry, you can do it if you put your mind into it. Hwaiting

>>56523353
source?

>>56523458
>>56523114
>>56523141
So an intervention implies UST selloff and then when long term yields are uncontrollable, what then?

Buy BTC. Only two things in life are certain: death, and fiat goes to zero in-the-limit.

>>56523531
I'm exposed to crypto assets currently just wondering whether what we're getting is actually a short term sell signal, because market crash could lead FED into QE

>>56523365
>That is my question but I'm trying to understand what exactly the issue will be,
this what is happening (will happen) in japan will be repeated in Germany or UK next.

>I am crypto native but trying to stay aware of trad markets, i know that in currency debasement scenarios my majors will perform well but i dont understand whether we will see an intermediate crash.
if you are in crypto, then you understand the meaning of faith in currency. What happened to luna ? what was the result ?

>according to some posters there already is a recession, not sure
we are definitely in recession. All economic indicators are pointing in that direction. The other thing is that governments are "cooking" books. This is the reason for you to not look at government data but essentials. Always look at the raw data.
Enjoy the ride now is too late to do anything. But use this opportunity to learn on your mistakes. The important thing is to learn from mistakes. Then it is not a loss but a learning opportunity. And do not take it too seriously.

TL;DR it is going to be complete collapse of everything. there is no escape. in short.

>>56523121
Yen will be 200 by end of q1 2024. Manga and figures gonna be good prices all next year.

>>56523598
the jew fears the barterer

>>56523598
I mean I can sell now kek

>>56523626
Make Japan great again!

>>56523107
Steak dinner for $8.00 US in Shibuya, if you can afford the flight head on over. Tokyo is perfect city for loner autists.

>>56523505
>So an intervention implies UST selloff and then when long term yields are uncontrollable, what then?
who is going to buy UST ? who is buyer of last resort of UST ? BOJ is not going to sell UST because FED would have to buy it. and then FED would be in the same position as BOJ. this is the reason why NYFED and BOJ are using swaps. BoJ sells Yen to the FRBNY to purchase USD from the FRBNY by means of a spot transaction, with a simultaneous agreement by BoJ to sell USD to the FRBNY and to purchase Yen from the FRBNY on the maturity date of such swap transaction by means of a forward transaction. https://www.boj.or.jp/en/intl_finance/cooperate/swap_ny.htm
but...it is not working anymore.
>>56523586
>because market crash could lead FED into QE
But QE will cause more inflation... what then ?

>>56523598
But yes I was weak on macro. Was working also during q1/q2 which is the worst mistake i made in existence

>>56523496
The credits of FF1, 2 and 3? Lead programmer was a jeet

>>56523648
>Tokyo is perfect city for loner autists
Only in video games, it's a fashionable city full of young fashionable people and rich oldfags

>>56523427
>>56523484
>>56523450

I found moar, she is the perfect woman, well, maybe if the beer starts making her milkers bigger

>>56523671
You’ve clearly never been. You don’t even has a passport, incel

>>56523679
i'm so lonely

>>56523598
And luna yes was faith based and positive flywheel, but i don't see a positive flywheel at all in the yen / usd case, the result was obviously a heavy crash

>>56523683
What happened sweatie did I trigger you with a hit of reality

>>56523626
>Yen will be 200 by end of q1 2024.
will it be ? Dollar is stable because...... US dollar is backed by the full faith and credit of the US Government ? And full faith and credit is an unsecured method of backing debt based on trust and reputation.
and we all trust US Government because it has impeccable reputation ? Right ?

>>56523374
Nah that’s you. That’s why you love serving as meat shields in 2 wars for them. I bet you get into a third one just for the lulz.

>>56523648
>Steak dinner for $8.00 US in Shibuya
Wagyu?

>>56523655
interesting, looks like he's iranian expat actually
>>56523679
I want sporty stinky sweaty hungry alcoholic japanese wife...

>>56523703
> the result was obviously a heavy crash
have a cookie

>>56523598
>>56523650
>>56523715
So as far as I can conclude, risk assets like BTC should be an option to park unparked capital because since it's foreign currency denominated and those are all going down the shitter these will perform well. But you noted a collapse of everything, that would include these risk assets?

>>56523744
I mean thanks it's just that I didn't haven't really done macro and did a lot of dev work and was catching up on markets the last month, and before didn't have much experience with this. I can quickly move capital though so that's why I'm focusing

>>56523715
Every country has their currency backed by faith in their government. Get your gold cope out of here. I'm trying to buy cheap Japanese products.

>>56523715
Global GDP is over 100 trillion dollars. Guess what currency everything is priced in whether you like it or not.

>>56523700
>>56523734
we must find her bros and take her out drinking, imagine how much beer we can buy with the strong US Dollar

>>56523727
Yeah it may be a little more than that but you don't need much. There are places that sell it as sashimi and you can also order it at barbeque places. Good place in Asakusa in the alley to the right of the temple, past the little mini temple by the public bathroom down that alley. Also a few in Shibuya, wander around for awhile and you'll find it.

>>56523671
It pretty much is a video game. The Japanese are hospitable and generous and polite but ultimately they are NPC's.

>>56523809
awesome, how long have you been in Japan anon?

>>56523838
I got back from Tokyo a couple weeks back, currently in the dump formerly known as America

>>56523754
Fiat is the risk asset, not BTC

>>56523866
welcome back fren, Japan sure looks comfy. I want a bento box and 30 beers

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pO484lp33q8

>>56523754
>So as far as I can conclude, risk assets like BTC should be an option to park unparked capital because since it's foreign currency denominated and those are all going down the shitter these will perform well.

LEGAL: statement that the information or service is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be personal financial advice, and a statement reminding others that there's an inherent risk involved with financial decisions and the owner will not be held liable for decisions others make.
Yes. They will run into BTC as a safe heaven. You can front run them. But where are you going to go after making money on BTC ? Because BTC only has value if there are no problems with connectivity and transactions. Let us say you have made a lot of money quickly. Now you are loaded (great, right ?) while everybody else is broke. Those broke people are going to be desperate and will be looking for somebody to blame. And who is going to have a lot of money ? You will....
I will give you a life advice. 2 things. Knowledge and good will. But you should definitely make some pocket change. it would be a good story

>But you noted a collapse of everything, that would include these risk assets?
yes, this is why you can be rich but also a target. And in collapse what is most precious ?

>>56523933
I don't drink much but plenty of Keiko's walking around and plenty of Izakaya's to explore in Shinjuku- they even sell beer in vending machines on top of mountains. I imagine I'll be back in the near future, I'm encouraging all Americans to go and experience a functioning society.

>>56523427
She just like me fr

>>56523979
did u use any crypto atms? wonder if the fees are any better than cuckmerica.

>>56523727
jap pussy

>>56523979
Yeah I'd have a tough time downing more than 12 beers in a day, and no way I could do it back to back days. I'd pass out trying to keep up with Keiko

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Flu_J8ZNti4

here is Keiko's youtube channel, she's still alive:

https://www.youtube.com/@yubuhi

>>56524016
Nah I just got Yen from an exchange in America but also you're better off using your credit card keep your bitcoin the dollar abroad is a different animal than the dollar at home

>>56524032
They must have some kind of genetic adaptation that allows them to drink so much, it's insane how much they can down. It's sad though, that's a lot of Japanese's life: work and drink.

>>56524032
I’m convinced American food is poisonous man there’s no way anyone in the states could eat and drink like that and look that skinny. That’s incredible.

>>56524383
every single time i went overseas my skin noticeably cleared up and i lost weight effortlessly.

>>56524405
fat ass

Japan will soon be packed full of foreigners and halfbreeds, glad I visited earlier

>>56524383
Walking everyday makes a ton of difference. Even safe and white neighborhoods are built around using your car whenever you leave your house, and walking to exercise looks weird/suspicious/rapey

>>56523427
>wake up at 9
>sleeping in
H-haha yeah, that's when I wake up when I sleep in...hah..

>>56523107
Inflation is taking off over there, best thing you can do is take advantage of the currency exchange before prices skyrocket. That or wait for them to get desperate and start a golden visa.

>>56523679
That's not beer. That's a whisky highball drink.

>>56523150
You just did retard >>56523114

>>56523715
>US dollar is backed by the full faith and credit of the US Government?

In a low interest / low debt environment, US dollar is backed by sensible monetary policy in the biggest economy of the world (this is called monetary dominance).

If this fails and the interest and debt get too high, the US dollar is backed by sensible fiscal policy of the biggest economy in the world (this is called fiscal dominance).

If this fails and the interest goes up further and a debt spiral begins, then the US dollar is backed by the reserves it is has sensibly managed (which in the US case is mainly gold).

The treasury rate will rise and the dollar will fall (vs gold) in the latter case until the point that the reserves that the US holds are sufficient to pay of a large part of the debt / many years of the interest on that debt.

Expect a redo of the 1970's to happen but worse because back then the US had 8300 tonnes of the 100000 tonnes ever mined.
Today it has 8300 tonnes of the 210000 tonnes ever mined.
They failed monetary sensibility, they failed fiscal sensibility and they failed reserve management sensibility.
There will be hell to pay.
Think $500 dollar oil, $30000 gold about 5-10 years from now.

I commission a lot of Japanese hentai thanks to the weak yen
If you actually want to profit, I would recommend using a site like skeb to get Japanese artists to design a character for $20-$50 and then auction the character off as an "adoptable" on the western market for $100+

>>56524383
>>56524405
quit eating goyslop, eat Japanese

>>56525909
>data from Mom's Across America
kek

>>56524824

it's japan anon, they are on the metric system and you have to account for exchange rates and inflation. 9 for them is like 2 for us

>>56524613
Cope

>>56524032
>https://www.youtube.com/@yubuhi

the perfect waifu

>>56523462
From what?

>>56523933
It's actually depressing. Been living here for 4 years. Most 11s are NPCs and mostly sociopathic. Visiting is better than living here.

>>56526205
the source of her alcoholism, tiny Japanese cock

>>56523107
long toto as jeets stand on the washlets and break them as public places need to get new ones

>>56523947
https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/weak-yen-inflation-overshoot-may-prod-boj-phase-out-stimulus-by-year-end-ex-boj-2023-11-01/

Why not the possibility though of a yen rate hike that causes carry trade to collapse and thus risk assets to collapse because borrow USD are being used to prop up risk markets?

>>56526278

Who cares, you're supposed to fuck 11's not marry them. Now get me a job there.

>>56523715
>nd we all trust US Government because it has impeccable reputation ? Right ?
Considering debt is trusting any government who is trustworthy here? no one is but the US is the most trustworthy out of all the nations.