/biz/ - Business & Finance

test

Baking.

Tesla tomorrow, is it over

I got bamboozled into a gme thread. Fuck!

>>56389135
That is the plan anon. I realize I need to create more money via my business and figure out passive income renues.

>>56389145
>What sectors or w/e were you initially looking to invest in ?
Total market.

>Look at spy. Some up above us explained it already but all aside from 7-10 tickets are down massive. It’s weighted towards tech and bubbly shit.
That is why I am hesitant to enter into the market right now because I know there will be a big correction pretty soon.

Who else is slurping the shit out of this SOXL dip?? Bear fud be damned

Whoa black betty

>>56389222
>Big correction
Bro that literally happened for the entirety of 2022 lmao wtf

it turns out that i'm just
retarded like tinny
i could work at the mall
but the ignominy

>>56389231
Uhm. Macro economics isn’t looking good

>>56389222
Checked. Do sit on the sidelines a bit. You can put your cash in short term US treasuries for a 5% annual gain in the meantime

>>56387687

>>56389238
Jesus FUCK you shouldn't be allowed to post here if you think China matters holy shit

>>56389254
How much is all of that anyways? Seen that pic a few times.

>>56389269
How much did he spend? Or how much is it currently worth?

>>56389240
I will guadantee double da intadist reet kind sirs if he gives me money to manage for him, or just remote access to his computer

>>56389231
>19.18
>dip
I wouldn't.

>>56389254
Based and fnkopilled

Okay, who bought DRIP and pumped oil? Which one of you faggots is responsible for this?

>>56389268
>>56389234
>>56389231
this anon consistently makes the most retarded brain dead permabull posts in this general.

>>56389271
Spent, theyre going to be worth nothing so who cares.

>>56389166
I bought USB this morning

>>56389240
Will do, sounds like a plan.

>>56389278
I'm surprised that the cumBreathIsDaWae samefagging alliance has stopped or at least is on hiatus.

Tomorrow rent is due bobos, empty your pockets

>>56389277

has tastylive basically become a gambling platform/channel/resource?

Ok bros I think it’s business and finance related

>>56389310
It seems everything has been. And in the run up to 1929, rampant goombling and speculation went through the roof

>>56389166
>PUMPkin
I see what you did there mister bull

>>56389166
How do I bet aussie summer temperatures are gonna be nuts?

>>56389314
>QE never stopped

>>56389336
Worst than that its QE with none of the benefits for us and all of the consequences.

>>56389344
Speak for yourself, I own lockmart shares.

>>56389352
Not enough to save your ass lol

>>56389314
Political happenings and shenanigans can definitely effect business, finance, the economy, the markets, etc. Jannies just get blatenly butt hurt if you complain about how their favored trannified political party could effect our investments

>>56389368
You guys want to know two absolutely terrifying thoughts?
>Biden winning re-election in 2024 and being POTUS for another four years.
>The only "alternative" to a Biden presidency is the re-election of Donald Trump.

Peak fucking clown world.

>Financial murder is the only art a Fed Chair may practice. No ornamental words can change that. You want to protect people with your monetary policy? You'll slaughter legions so that a few may live. Many years, long before you were born, my sword was tearing asunder the portfolios of men. Yes, all of those men were evil, but they were human beings first and foremost, Kashkari. The world you ardently desire to enter will not know what to do with you. It will deceive you into believing that you are saving lives even as you destroy them. You will accept these lies all the while, your hands will be stained with the worst of offenses.

>>56389277
i bought UCO the other day to punish the oil spammers

>>56389327
>And in the run up to 1929, rampant goombling and speculation went through the roof
Tell us more about the hallmarks of mania, Michael.
https://youtu.be/lnyCsHVkPHg?si=p74_s3EiYrT8wYEU

>>56389286

WHO'S SELLING

>>56389388
Biden will die in office

>>56389388
You're forgetting the peak clown world outcome, actually.

What happens if our increasingly senile, doddering, 81+ year old president one morning just... doesn't wake up?

>>56389419
VP would take over from there

how much does an american pay on taxes on average and how do you feel that affects the way business is handled in the US?

>>56389334
Bet on solar by shorting nat gas utilities on the ASX? Although AC usage might spike and counteract that, so buy a couple calls on whoever makes your air conditioner to balance that out.

>>56389310
>has tastylive basically become a gambling platform
Always has been. Selling options is all probability based. Trying to beat the house edge with volatility skew and rolling strategies. It's the most stressful way to underperform buy and hold.

>>56389429
You should NEVER short natty if you think temperatures are going to be extremely hot or extremely cold.

>>56389427
Correct! Now, who is Biden's VP?

That person now controls 11 carrier groups and thousands of nukes.

I will soon be up 10% on Reddits 1000 ton FNKO bags that they panic sold.
I will sell at 10% profit and buy a single additional share of CSCO for what amounts to an 8% discount after taxes.
And the best part it is there’s a 99% chance that whoever ends up buying my 7 FNKO shares also posts on Reddit.

>>56389435
Nat gas (or coal) utilities != nat gas. Presumably higher temperatures = more sun = cheaper solar cutting into their margins.

>>56389442
But also higher natty prices would support natty utilities no?

>>56389447
Depends on the utility. Look, you got a better way to bet on a hot Aussie summer? Longing wheat?

This is one of the /smg/s of all time.

>>56389458
The single best way for me to bet on hot summers would be longing energy producers. But I don't bet on the weather anyway.

>>56389460

>>56389432
would
if she’s of legal age, of course

>>56389416
inb4 they pass an amendment allowing dead presidents to stay in power
the dawn of the NecroBiden is nigh

>>56389222
>That is why I am hesitant to enter into the market right now because I know there will be a big correction pretty soon.
starting your investment journey, especially when you're in all cash, is probably the hardest part of it all. i've been a passive index investor for the last 15 years, and one thing i've learned is that having a plan is important. not because the plan will be the most optimal outcome, but because your can live with your decisions once you've mapped out your strategy.

for example, if i had $10k and wanted to get into investing, a someone moderate plan may be to invest $800 a month over the next 12 months, assuming i had additional income coming in. if the market goes up, then cool i got lucky and timed it well. if it goes down, i can look forward to buying at cheaper prices with every future purchase.

anyways this is basic shit after awhile but figured i'd mention what helps me. i'm ~25% short term bonds at the moment.

>>56389460
How do we change that?

>>56389473
raps? shes legal.

does anyone own irresponsible options on ASML?

>>56389476
>hesitant to enter into the market right now because I know there will be a big correction pretty soon.
anons have been saying that for at least 3 consecutive years now
starting to get tiresome

>>56389501
Most of my options I have on anything are irresponsible, but my degenerate side often wins out

>>56389501
She looks like a thin version of this Jewish chick I had a crush on

>>56389501
No. I shorted AEX for a while, but ASML got heemed pretty much already, so I'm out.

>>56389473
This is a family board, anon. I will not tolerate any degeneracy.

>>56389428
Individuals pay 15-25% depending on how much they make.
Businesses play all kinds of weird accounting games so it varies heavily. Also a lot of moderately wealthy (upper middle class) individuals tend to make LLCs if they have any real investments so they can play the games too.

>>56389473
She just turned 18 in the movie. IMO: she looks a little older than 18 but that's the story.

>>56389538
this bothers me more than mlp does

>Janet Yellen: "I think America stands behind Israel period, um we stand with Israel, um America has also made clear to Israel we're working very closely with israelis that they have the right to defend themselves...."
print Jerome, print

>>56389476
>starting your investment journey, especially when you're in all cash, is probably the hardest part of it all. i've been a passive index investor for the last 15 years, and one thing i've learned is that having a plan is important. not because the plan will be the most optimal outcome, but because your can live with your decisions once you've mapped out your strategy.

I was a passive index investor before but I sold after the covid rebound happened (thinking the world was going to end) then fucked around with meme stock and crypto until I decided to try stocks again but of course with stupid ass meme choices (options, leveraged ETFs, etc.). FINALLY, after getting bitch slapped hard and fast I realize the only money I ever made was via passive index investing and I was a fool for chasing moonshots. I went down the wrong path clearly and I have paid for it financially but that is life.

>for example, if i had $10k and wanted to get into investing, a someone moderate plan may be to invest $800 a month over the next 12 months, assuming i had additional income coming in. if the market goes up, then cool i got lucky and timed it well. if it goes down, i can look forward to buying at cheaper prices with every future purchase.

I guess if I start now and shit tanks it just means I get the opportunity to slurp more. A 30% "correction" is minor compared to some of the money I have lost. And if the stock market crashes like 1929 and I lose all my money then it was worthless anyway.

Anyway I am sure anons will make fun of me but it is what it is.

>>56389507
Tell me about it.

>>56389550

whats the downside risk for JEPI?

Until Israel's border looks like ours and their yield curve looks like ours anyone who campaigns for sending them a cent should be publicly executed.

These stupid fucks in Congress don't realize that the country is broke. Or maybe they do and they're just looting the corpse. What's the difference?

>>56389583
Their yields rose at least

>>56389595
America is being looted for everything we have. Look at the bond yields man, we are fuuucked.

It HAS BEEN DOOM POSTING SINCE SUNDAY. HOW FUCKING HIGH ARE WE GOING?

>>56389577
Doesn't outperform SPY long term. And dividend yield drops when IV drops. SCHD and other divvie ETFs do a better job of keeping up with the market,

>>56389550
>>56389567
>Janet Yellen: "well we do need to um come up with funds both for Israel and for Ukraine this is a priority um its really up to the uh house to um fund- s-see the speaker and to put us into a position where legislation can be passed"

>interviewer: "Do you think the situation is embarrassing for America at the moment?"

Janet Yellen: "well uh i think it shows that there's a problem in the Republican party in terms of being able to um effectively govern the country and that it is important we be able to pass legislation"

Another day. Read on a book that came out today at work. Wife bought some new clothes. But hey I'm not complaining. She uh put on a fashion show and well they didn't stay on long. (Still more in a bag so who knows maybe I'll get another show tomorrow). Sigh, back in the day you used to be able to kinda have some "fun" in the dressing rooms of stores. Least it made the whole thing kinda worth it.

>>56389615
So let me get this straight.
If our government is working we just throw 100s of billions at Israel, but if our government is not working we don't have to print that and devalue our currency?

>>56389501
Fuck I'm lonely

>>56389612
>Rapz is an oil drainer
based

>>56389620
given the situation, whatever is best so we can continue sending money to them. all i know for sure is that they will have to "not" cut rates, and "not" continue with the "totally not" QE

>>56389601
>>56389583
>USDILS

>>56389566
Timing the market is really hard, maybe impossible. Just cost average in over a year or two like >>56389476 said. That way if it ever drops you've still got a ton of cash left to buy the dip. (Some studies show that putting your money in as soon as possible is better but I know my psychology would be upside down if I did that and it crashed tomorrow.)

The 1929 crash was pretty bad but even that wasn't as bad as it looks. Considering deflation prices had recovered by around 1935 and the average dividend back then was over 10% so prices weren't everything.

Most important thing is to remember rule #1 of stocks: prices are volatile. Never put money in stocks that you expect to need in 1-2 years.

>>56389610
Look at the yields, retard. We're going to default right as WW3 kicks off with 3+ separate fronts. It's OVER.

>>56389676
if ww3 kicks off they'll just sell war bonds they won't default

>>56389278
Faggot I'm up over 100% since I ignored you absolute idiots last year. How's that for being wrong?

87 dollarydoos

FUCKIN MUMUS I'M UP 54040% YTD

>>56389661
Thanks anon, I appreciate the response.

bros ive been on a bit of a hot streak and then i bought soxl puts today how fucked am i?

>>56389550
>behind erm ah i mean with

>>56389620
Some old liberal ladies at the Panera bread here where all making fun of the Republicans the last time they were electing the speaker of the house and I couldn't help myself and told them that the mandate many of the representatives involved had from their electorate was effectively to do nothing (or as little as possible) and so they were doing exactly what they were supposed to.
I honestly couldn't tell if the "leader's" response was sarcastic or not but I was leaving anyway.

>>56389620
Best advice; It's a big ass joke. Congress says "The debt, the debt, we must stop the debt" but then goes "oh poor Ukraine, poor Israel we must give them money". Which yeah it's sad whats going on in those places don't get me wrong but last time I checked that whole part of the world has other countries that can step up and help to.

>>56389682
>>56389676
WW2 had 5-10% inflation with the Fed capping the yield curve at 2.5%, just saying.

>>56389414

>>56389550
>>56389615
gonna have to up taxes again

>>56389734
If we had 2% interest rates inflation would probably be double digits.

>>56389733
It's also completely beside the point. Just picture on this graph what another 50 or 100 billion for hospital levelling JDAMs really adds up to. Approximately fuck all.

The deficit only gets fixed with rate cuts, a national debt heemed by inflation, obscene economic growth, recession-triggering tax hikes, or spending cuts so politically suicidal you'd only get votes from emo congressmen.

I don’t think we’re going to be alive by the weekend

>>56389747
Yes. Though obviously in a WW3 scenario, we'd have fun deflationary steps taken such as rationing and price controls on wages.

>>56389758
How many of us live in Gaza holy shit

>>56389733
no, you are the world police. You wanted to be, now be it.

>>56389770
My entire adult life I've been campaigning against that because the only people it benefits are banks and foreigners.

>>56389758

>>56389336
>>56389344
Anon… I

>>56389776
>foreigners.
mfw what, you mean those in Gaza?

https://wolfstreet.com/2023/10/17/retail-sales-drunken-sailors-guzzling-directly-from-punch-bowl-powell-are-you-looking-splurging-online-at-restaurants-auto-dealers-yolo/

HIGHER
FOR
LONGER

>>56389784
You think they're budgeting these hundreds of billions from the general fund... Or that the debt ceiling has to increase with bonds or some shit?

>>56389770
We're just not gonna be it anymore (the world police). Ugh, I know, I KNOW. I'm sorry!!! We're just not gonna be the world police anymore is all. Hahaha

>>56389840
But, anon, if you do this, you will kill Israel. For millennia. It's over

And you're sparing woke soldiers you know have no value.

>>56389855
a man ahead of his time, even fell victim to the global banking cartel

>>56389612
IV?

https://oilprice.com/Alternative-Energy/Wind-Power/Dutch-Energy-Minister-Admits-That-Wind-Power-Agenda-Is-Pricier-Than-Anticipated.html
>Reality has returned to the European offshore wind sector, bringing financial challenges to the forefront. These challenges are not solely due to higher interest rates but are increasingly driven by supply chain constraints, Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) issues, and investor caution. In a surprising announcement, Dutch Minister of Climate and Energy, Rob Jetten, has informed the market, government, and parliament that the costs of offshore wind projects in the North Sea will be significantly higher than previously assessed. Minister Jetten, a member of the left-wing liberal democrat D66 party, has also indicated that consumers should expect substantially higher electricity prices than initially anticipated.
>This news has come as a shock to mainstream political parties and renewable energy sector operators. They had been advocating offshore wind and other renewables not only as a means of addressing climate change but also as a progressively cost-effective alternative.
>The increased costs are not primarily linked to global market developments but rather to the extra €10 billion required for connecting offshore wind farms at sea to onshore infrastructure. The Dutch state-owned company, TenneT, now faces higher financial burdens and increased risks. Previous assessments of TenneT's plans indicated financing needs of approximately €2 billion per year for the next several decades. However, new assessments reveal investment requirements of €3.6 billion per year, equivalent to €0.04 per kWh. In reality, these costs will ultimately be passed on to consumers through net tariffs, the fees for the delivery or transport of energy. The average Dutch household consumes 2,800 kWh per year.

LOL.

LONG OIL, FUCK GREEN MEMES HAHAHAAH

>>56389766
Uh anon...
...we all live in Gaza. You do to.
Look outside the window.

>>56389733
It's all just legal money laundering

>>56389855
Kek
Anon that was a perfect post

>>56389913
Half of it isn't even really legal but no one is going to go after them for it.

>>56389855
We're sparing our soldiers to a willing society, at the current fair market value. So that WE may survive.

>>56389797
Well yeah whoever we/Israel are bombing at the time obviously don't benefit.

>>56389912
I keep my windows blocked up with cardboard so my neighbors don't see me masturbating in my living room

>>56389938
There's a two inch gap in my curtains because they're two short.
idc if you're looking that carefully through my windows then you watching is your own fault.

>>56389944
*too short
Fuck. I'm not retarded, I went to college.

>>56389911
Many such cases.

As if the market wasn't bad enough in the last months now this Israel bullshit makes it even worse

>>56389931
You will never borrow anything from any of those people ever again.

>ctrl f
>BOIL
>UNG
>natgas
>natural gas
>no results
FUCKIN'
BUNCHA
GAWD
DANG
NIGGERS

>>56389985
>natty
>3 results

>>56389985
I boughted some EQT and YPF. The latter's got that spicy Argentinian election angle.

>>56389980
Do YOU understand? This is it!

>>56389815
If they did this openly, what do you suppose they do behind your back ?
16.5% of us gdp “discretionary” spending… could they buy fds with this ?

Give me a good earning play. My future GF want to stay at home...i need a good 10x

Bros?

Just finished a new tub of shrooms. Now they're gonna need a couple weeks to colonize. My previous supply went bunk on me. Don't think I dried them enough.
>>56389985
Energy supply has such low pe ratios because we're totally switching to wind and solar generation for primary grid concerns. Totally. Spot prices for the commodities are double what their breakeven cost is so these companies have good cashflow. The only issue is undercapitalization because of some historic ESG policies that sought to punish them.

>>56390001
>natty
Like I said, NIGGERS.
>>56390005
Might I suggest having a peek at FCG (which I have as an auto daily INVOOSTMENT in HOOD aside from my actively managed UNG/BOIL/KOLD trading).

>>56389314
what a dummy

>>56390084
Oh no... My gains... They're going to be legendary

I'm already long oil and gold, but shit looks kinda fucked. What's a good short after opex?

>>56390084
Is it time?

>>56390099
QQQ. Just fuck the whole shebang

>>56390085
I don't do much fuckin' with companies. I mainly trade on volatility patterns in the futures prices.
>Totally
No.

Here, tankergang and shippinggang, have an article: https://www.freightwaves.com/news/war-in-israel-the-new-geopolitical-flashpoint-for-ocean-shipping

>>56390079
kek
>pay for me and my children by probably 2 different fathers for a pussy that has birthed 2 children already
You just know she's trying to hide the sadness with humour

Ukraine -> Israel -> Taiwan -> Korea

>>56390124
Thoughts? I put some stock into Goldman analysts, they tend to be on the ball from my experience
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Goldmans-Grim-Forecast-Shipping-Industry-Faces-Prolonged-Downturn.html

>>56390094
Ah, I didn't know there was a nat gas ETF. Much obliged, partner.

>>56390140
Yeah, I see it as a "date it, don't marry it" trade. A chaotic Suez or shut down Hormuz means a whooole lot of panic and rerouted shipping, but that's up against the "bust" half of shipping's usual boom and bust cycle.

>futures

>>56390137
Kim Jong Un's a cool customer. You leave him be with his rockets and South Korea's got nothing to fear. Long term demographics are in his favor anyway.

>>56390163
he need some milk

So... should we be worried US bros?

>>56390145
NATGAS ETFS are
BOIL: 2x leveraged futures prices
KOLD 2x leveraged inverse futures prices
UNG 1x front month futures
UNL 1x 12 month total futures
FCG: NATGAS companies.
I do not suggest fuckin' with the futures ones without spending a lot of time observing their daily behaviors and learning the 3/6 month charts against the past and forward futures curves and a decent enough handle on the primary macro factors.

>>56390173
Depends on your positioning.

>>56390174
Sorry, meant for nat gas *companies*. Believe me, I know all about Henry Hub and his associated LETF friends.

>>56390173
Wait, normal would be 2002-2004 and 2010 and later. Yes, you should be. This is why I short Germany and Sweden, both also inverted HEAVILY

>>56390173
Nah, we got a little headroom senpai.

>>56390173
>No recession until the curve uninverts
LGTM. Longing URTY.

>>56390124
>>56390140
I peeked at and bookmarked these as they obviously contain not only profoundly interesting insights, but also potentially incredibly important information in trading/invoostment decisions. Very much appreciated.

>>56390180
Well, info goes for all potential readers among the threadizens, even the NIGGERS.

>>56389908
Implied volatility. JEPI sells call options on SP 500. When IV is lower (normal market conditions) you get less money. I remember the fund managers saying they were attempting 6% to 8% annual growth long term. Just buy SPY.

>>56390202
Impossible, there are no niggers on /smg/ ever since Rocker lynched Scoopsies in that lover's quarrel.

>>56389799
what are people even buying!?!?!?

>>56390190
No problem. I recommend reading some of these industry focused publications from time to time. They share valuable information

Iran is going to war.

>>56390215
>oil, gold GIGAPOOMPING
it's fucking real

>>56390206
Shit, go away for most of a couple of weeks and it sound like paradise has set in. I want to believe, but I just *know* there are NIGGERS here, and lots of them.

>>56390215
>rise of the global south
Such a retarded leftist concept.

>>56390215
>the black flag will fly above the dome
its habbening

>>56390137
>Ukraine -> Israel -> Saudi Arabia -> Iran ->Taiwan -> Korea

>>56390274
weather is cooling, too
spoopy

>>56390296
>the bear will leave its cave forever
>the star will gorge itself on clay

>>56389429
>>56389442
I don't know about Gaystralia but in general AC usage spikes NATGAS usage because the power plants run on it. It's called powerburn and is largely dependent on region, but NATGAS is replacing a lot of other power sources, especially coal. Solar and wind cuts into it some, but aren't as reliable or robust when the draws get heavy.

>Related by Abu Hurayrah: The Prophet Sallallahu ‘Alaihi Wa Sallam said: "(Armies carrying) black flags will come from Khurasan. No power will be able to stop them and they will finally reach al-Quds where they will plant their flags." (Tirmidhi)

>Futures
What in the ACTUAL FUCK was that?

>>56390343
>Update
China GDP

>>56390350
DXY gettin the General Sherman treatment.

Anybody else still believing that the latest "middle east tensions" will once again follow the trend of dying down in a few weeks and eventually turning into a literal nothingburger?

>>56390387
As long as oil and gold keep gigapumping I will remain in the escalation camp. And they just gigapumped some more btw

>>56390343
opex week, dont think we get much volatility unless nukes start flying
>>56390387
this one feels different, burger government seems to be actually retarded and dont seem capable of diplomacy

>>56390343
Remember when that one schizo said China economy didn’t matter? Lmao>>56389238

What are we going to buy now?

>>56390434
More gold and silver. Balls to the walls with calls.

>>56390434
Guns, ammo, nonperishable food, iodine pills.

>>56390343
chinese dip buyers about to be baggies

>>56390433
Dude just doesn't give a fuck.

>>56390375
kek

>>56389336
BTFP is basically QE 'lite'

>>56389314
It gets laundered back here, so yeah, market related

>>56389233
you don't trade the black betty, you trade the bambalam

one word
OIL

>>56390468
but according to FRED it's just $108b in total.
that's how much us congress spends on ukraine on a weekday.

>>56390480
ahem, if I may add one more
GOLD

>>56390314
here's the copypasta for newfags

>It will happen when the weather cools.
>That's when they'll make their move.
>The plans laid long ago, before the founding of America, and older still, will come to fruition.
>They're trying to force God's hand.
>Watch for these signs: Three branches will become one.
>An island will drift away.
>A killing bolt will shine in the night but will not kill.
>The star will gorge itself on clay. Idols will speak and move about.
>The black flag will fly above the dome.
>The belly of the dragon will drip water.
>Two voices will call out in silence that all will hear.
>A rock will stand on seven hills.
>The ravens will starve.
>The bear will leave it's cave forever.
>The rod and the ring will strike.

>gme baggies thinking complete economic collapse will somehow result in them each receiving millions of dollars

Could someone here explain how this works?

>>56390482
until they have to stop BAC from getting run on because their yielding assets are probably -50-60% in the hole atm

>>56390503
the same way any conspiracy theory works

>>56390508
remember Deutsche Bank?
nothing ever happened there either despite their stock price nearing zero.

>>56390449
>I sold YANG for a profit the other day
Dammit.

>>56390517
Just sit tight with XOM or CNQ or whatever fuckoff supergiant oil company. Literally zero risk.

>Fed restricts dollar swaps and tightens the belt to make the US dollar scarce and drive up DXY
>middle east faggots killing themselves
>faggot countries around the world selling their US treasuries to prop up their own currencies by buying their own bonds
>DXY skyrockets
>faggot countries go under and sign new slavery contracts with the IMF (aka the USG)
>Fed reverses course and creates a ton of money and buys up all of the cheap US treasuries, erasing all of USG debt. This happens over a long weekend or bank holiday.
>markets wake up the following morning and shit themselves
>gold proceeds to $10,000/oz

How badly does IV crush affect leaps?

>>56390530
I get told I'm to conservative sitting on XOM and that I should sell it for something with a higher yield. Fuckers don't understand I don't want to gamble so my money so I'm going with as close to a sure thing as possible.

What stocks do I buy for a President Harris administration? And Boeing gets the contract to build a new Air Force One when the old one gets shot down, right?

https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/1714402219758600598

>>56390499
thats pretty cool, who came up with that?

>>56390591
some /pol/ canuck in 2016

>>56390499
2016

>>56390619
That's not the original, is it?

Is it time to buy qqq?

>>56390621
That’s it.

>>https://archive.4plebs.org/pol/thread/77198488

1776 will commence again if I'm not filthy fucking rich by December.

>>56390644
How many times do you people need to hear it?

Buy.
Orange.
Juice.
Futures.

>>56390644
>1776 will commence again if I'm not filthy fucking rich by December.

Indian Astrology literally confirms this next election is practically another 1776, in essence. God always wins.

>>56389619
Why invest in Vanguard and Schwab?
I am on Schwab platform, so I invest in SWPPX, but why not just invest in Vanguard's SP500 if you aren't on Schwab? Wouldn't it be the same thing, just better fees?

>buy puts at close
>TA experts on youtube are bullish
every fucking time I pick the wrong direction this happens

>>56390681
Oil and gold gigapumpening. Are you certain these traders are right to be so bullish after all?

How do I actually learn to read the market news and understand it?
Someone told me to just read bloomberg market, or wsj market a few articles every day and eventually I will just catch on and start understanding.

Is this true?

Must be tough, when you come into /smg/ hoping to shill your guaranteed 10x pump and dump, and not a single person falls for it.
Then suddenly your stuck trying to unload all the shares you spent several weeks up, into the void. No buyers, no liquidity, all you can do is try to offer up a few thousand bucks and watch the algos wash trade it a bit before the whole thing collapses.

>>56390694
This single sentence has served as better financial advice than any research I have done.

If I was abandoning Israel with my money, I wouldn't carry paper shekels. I would carry gold.

>>56390706
>Israel heats up
>suddenly gold price discovery begins
Hmmmmmmm

>>56390694
Look up anything you don't understand on Investopedia.

You can also start with CNBC and/or Marketwatch if you are pea brained.

>>56390691
I based my assumptions around premarket housing data and the bearish reaction to it last month. Also the yield and usd ripping. Unless the eu cpi report affects usd in a way that’s bullish for equities I can’t imagine a green open tomorrow but apparently the chart patterns say otherwise

>>56390681
TA is only a supplement to actual news. If ww3 breaks out tomorrow nobody gives a fuck about this guy's double dildo candle pattern or whatever he's peddling.

>>56390681
It's a toss up, the price hit the yellow resistance line and collapsed some. Nips buying bonds pushed it back up some, but not by alot.

Try to invest in gold coins. You can shave down the edge.

>>56390771
if you actually held any bullion you would know that you can't do that anymore. you might get away with it with some bars but for the most part they will weigh it and verify that it is in fact pure gold or pure silver

>>56390798
Only in the Christian bible.

>Markets

>World going to shit soon with WW3 happening fo realz

https://youtu.be/jLvDnRU_ajk?si=jUo9sjVu0khMS5x9

No pussy, no war.

>>56390760
>TA is only a supplement to actual news
Nope. If you do TA correctly you can, and should, completely ignore all news.

>>56390918
>>56390930

>Captcha: 2V ONIONS

>>56390945
If you treat me like shit I'm not going to give up my life to save yours. Sorry, but you should have thought about that beforehand. No pussy, no war.

>>56390959
Oh no, I'm 100% on board with NPNW. I just know there'll continue to be pointless riots and rocket tantrums but nothing that'll result in more than a couple wikipedia page updates.

Still, good for a temporary bump in oil.

>tfw we've been in a crab cycle since august of 2021

>>56390976
buying stocks isn't fun anymore

>>56390976

>futures

>just buy international bro

>>56391050
What they meant is you should buy PBR

>>56391057

>>56390976
Wait'll SPY dips 12% on a bond panic.

>>56391057
Need someone to update this to say November 1st.

>>56390934
have fun getting your supports and resistances broken

>>56391081
I made that, I can try to make a new one.

>>56391122
I no use support and resistance

hedge, the collapse is near

>>56389615
I love how in democracy, none of the bureaucrat go to prison, let alone suffer the consequences of their actions, because they control the investigation and the ruling and the imprisonment.

>>56391127
>screentowebm
...here
https://pastebin.com/zjA2UNUV

>>56390627
I wish that was me

>>56390976
>tfw we've been in a crab cycle since august of 1971
ftfy

>>56390976
More time to invest money.

Goodnight /smg/

>check Ray Dalio's twitter
>he's literally saying that the US is going to lose WW3, collapse into a sovereign debt crisis, and then have a civil war
wew lad, reads just like late night /smg/

So is this shit confirmed? FED and other central banks continuing to inject massive liquidity into the markets? I mean, it makes sense to me but why aren't they being transparent about it and why isn't anyone talking about this? A bit iffy if you ask me

>>56391267
its over bull bros...........................one last hurrah?

>>56391270
i think with the election in 1 year, they can't be too open about it.

>hedge against civil war and sovereign debt crisis
do doomers even think?

Thinking of selling my AMD and buy treasuries instead. They are kinda slow and I don't know if their promised AI stuff next quarter will be fruitful.

Any thoughts? Boobs in return.

>>56391278
>>56391287
>I know better than the most successful hedge fund manager ever

>>56391293
there's nothing you can do with the instruments of finance to prepare for societal collapse like that
innawoods with food and ammo is all you can do

>>56391301
Investing in physical assets is still a form of investment.

>>56391307
stop being a persnickety little bitch

>>56391292
Why AMD and not NVDA? NVDA ain't bleeding cash and is grabbing more and more market share. And significantly ahead in AI. But I digress. AMD's earnings were dog shit and I can't really see their earnings improving anytime soon. But then again the market doesn't care about but only cares if they can beat "expectations". Throw in some catchy AI and you have another bull run.
The graph of AMD still looks kinda bullish in my opinion and even though I think the company is insanely overvalued (hell, an offal kiosk makes more money), we are soon entering the two most bullish months and a Santa rally.
Given that you haven't sold yet, I would keep holding. As long as FED is maintaining the markets and injecting liquidity, I would keep holding stocks since that's the best way to hedge against inflation.
If yields go to 5.5-6%, then I might consider them.
Now, gimme b00bs

>>56391292
detaining the american public debt is ok if you do it for the long run like preparing your retirement, ie holding up to maturity

>>56391315
Invest in physical metals and real estate.

Are you a better investor than Burt Reynolds?
>By his own estimation, at the peak of his career Burt's net worth topped $60 million. That's $60 million after taxes in the 1980s. That's the same as around $150 million today after adjusting for inflation," the site reports.
>The man was living large, and thanks to his hit projects and endorsement deals, he was bringing home a ton of money on a regular basis.
>Reynolds not only made a ton of money, but he also spent it, too. The man was larger than life, both in front of the cameras, and at home with his riches.
>$60 million is an incredible amount of money for any person to have, but as we will soon learn, this number dropped considerably over time.
>"He didn't just buy one mansion in Beverly Hills, he bought several. He built a massive water-front estate in Florida. He bought a 160-acre ranch, also in Florida, where he kept a stable of 150 horses. He bought a mansion in Georgia. He had a private jet and a helicopter to take him back and forth to the private jet. When he married actress Loni Anderson in 1988, he didn't just move them into one of the mansions he already owned in Beverly Hills, he bought an entirely new mansion for them to live in," Celebrity Net Worth writes.
>Not only was the actor shelling out a fortune for his lifestyle, but he also sank money into business ventures that failed. At one point, Burt and his partner's decisions "turned it into a $20-30 million loss," per the site.
>Reynolds would also foolishly borrow millions for a show with the hope of cashing in once it reached syndication. It didn't.
>Throw in a massive divorce, and suddenly, it's easy to see why Reynolds was reeling financially in the 1990s. In his bankruptcy filing, Reynolds owed over $11 million total, with nearly $4 million owed to CBS for his ill-fated show that never hit syndication.

>>56391266
good night, dear

>>56391317
Well the whole war with Taiwan makes it iffy to hold long term. Also insider selling for happened.

>>56391326
>be rich
>first thing you do is providing for a generic whore

life is really easy for prostitutes

>>56391266
Goodnight and sweet dreams fellow friend

>>56391267
>reads just like late night /smg/
I like to think a lot of what goes on in terms of conversation on wall street is much the same as these threads

>>56391337
Yeah minus the coked out orgies and satanic child fucking Eyes Wide Shut style.

>>56391331
While that is true, the semiconductor and AI business is too strong in the eyes of the investors. Just look at NVDA. Yesterday's bearish news + skyrocketing yields and it barely took a hit. Tech just doesn't care anymore.
Heh, I remember when anons here were telling me that if rates go above 3%, tech will never recover. Absolute kek

>>56391344
It's not just that but what else are people really going to invest in stock wise? If it wasn't for tech this market would probably be dead

>>56390700
What stock was this? NHMD?

>>56391341
We have anime girls and a wider variety of animal mascots

Tobacco stocks are the stocks of the people!

>>56391351
Many stocks are still going as strong as ever. Caterpillar, Eli Lilly... Manufacturing industry (big machines) is doing well.
Naturally, this market has been all about tech ever since 2014-2018 isch, with tech going parabolic ever since then. There's just so much room for growth.

UKbros, are you alright? Inflation once again UP. The BoE chickening out and refusing to hike. Shit salaries. Jesus, why would anyone want to live in the UK now? The inflation really is stuck in Europe. But that's to be expected after all. Low rates, greed at maximum, re-financing of loans soon so consooom is still at ATH

Yields...

>>56391331
Why are people talking about a possible war with Taiwan as if it has already happened or as if it is just about to start? If the US acts decisively in the current Israel Palestine conflict, I think we'll be further away from any possible war in Taiwan than ever before.

>>56391482
I specifically remember so many people here telling me we are beyond fugged if yields go above 5% (for the 2Y) and that the market will collapse. The FED will just keep injecting liquidity so who even cares anymore?

Good morning fellow insomniac bobros

>>56390215
Meaning of the black flag at that specific mosque, if you care to look it up, is an annual scheduled event according to the lunar calendar, something about a week of mourning for a muslim saint who died several hundred years ago. No effect of the black flag on financial markets is expected.

Goddamn the yields are ripping again. Not buying till they are at least 5.5%. 6%+ would be ideal.

>>56390387
I filled up my car with fuel when the first news of the Hamas situation appeared. But since then, the price at the fuel stations in Germany has been steady, trending slowly downward. So far it has no effect on our economy.

oil bros.....................they really thought they'd get away with it..

>>56391532
It's more of how long it high for as most debt is fixed and takes time to roll over at higher rates. The treasury filled up the TGA fast and hard, so soon interest payments % of GDP is making ATH, but no one at congress seems to care.
Now we are sending way more money to Moloch than before.

It just keeps going

Not like this...

baking

Holy fuck earnings in Europe are absolutely crushing it. Regional banks are enjoying the high rates and high liquidity of normies. Volvo just posted ridiculous earnings. Yeah, recession my ass. We are so going higher, bullbros.

>>56391603
What if Bobo has different plans?

>>56391620
Look at this little qt pie and tell me you are bearish. Look him straight in the eyes and tell him that the line goes down. That's right, you can't

>>56391620
bobo is powerless

>>56391626
MUMU isn't always so nice and cute though. Sometimes he's a mean bully

>>56391626
cute mumu
>>56391620
evil bobo

>>56391482
>3M and 4M yields rising again

uh bros are we gonna be okay?

>>56391482

>>56391639
Mumus are horrible to bobo

>>56391482
Recession when? I wanna slurp the dips

>>56391633
But he has his days

>>56391629
>>56391629
>>56391629
>>56391629

>>56391666

>>56391634
Well yeah he is a bull so he cucks bobo most of the time

>>56391626
a challenger appears

Can someone please explain the Monte Carlo Method/Simulation to me like im 5,

is this all it takes to make good money? Im new as fuck to trading and i need to make it.

>>56392061
it simulates all these different outcomes

>The Monte Carlo simulation is a mathematical technique that predicts possible outcomes of an uncertain event. Computer programs use this method to analyze past data and predict a range of future outcomes based on a choice of action. For example, if you want to estimate the first month’s sales of a new product, you can give the Monte Carlo simulation program your historical sales data. The program will estimate different sales values based on factors such as general market conditions, product price, and advertising budget.

https://aws.amazon.com/what-is/monte-carlo-simulation/

you put in historical stock market data, and it can generate future outcomes

>>56392162
thank you, now I need to learn how to apply this to finance, do you personally do this?