[ 3 / biz / cgl / ck / diy / fa / ic / jp / lit / sci / vr / vt ] [ index / top / reports ] [ become a patron ] [ status ]
2023-11: Warosu is now out of extended maintenance.

/biz/ - Business & Finance

View post   
File: 30 KB, 350x350, IMG_0095.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55908190 No.55908190 [Reply] [Original]

I’ve proven the efficient market hypothesis by being a failure. I used hundreds of indicators in a machine learning algorithm and can’t predict future prices at all. Not even direction. It is now the Efficient Market Law.

>> No.55908200

Not everything has a concrete reason for happening. Sometimes the best thing to control in your life is how much control you have.
Let go, anon.

>> No.55908365

>>55908200

This has nothing to do with the post. Are you retarded?

>> No.55908385

You can’t use basic indicators to gain an edge anon. If it were that easy the big brains on Wall Street would be exploiting it

>> No.55908436

If you want to beat the market you need to

-come up with a discretionary system (isn’t easily programmable, so harder to exploit)
or
-invent a new technical indicator

>> No.55908463
File: 120 KB, 640x640, 1690222706538040.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
55908463

>>55908190
zoom out faggot

>> No.55908475

>>55908190
Did you just realize that you are not as clever as you think?

>> No.55908532

>>55908365
What he said is exactly the point though.
>What is overfitting?
>What is overparametrization?
And most importantly
>How does information flow?
You are not managing a dam, you are not extracting groundwater or treating it, you are not even recycling it. You are waiting at your faucet to drink water. There is only so much you can control or predict

>> No.55908538

>>55908475
Yes

>> No.55908551

>>55908532
Thank you for explaining what the other retard couldn’t

>> No.55908590

>>55908190
OP please ignore the massive retards in this thread. I've used a PPO LSTM with 72 indicators at once and literally couldn't predict up/down better than 53-55% on 2000 token pairs. The EMH is real and I've since completely stopped trading any public market.

For the retard above mentioning a discrete indicator I would suggest that he reads the Church-Turing theorem.