/biz/ - Business & Finance

>fed lending window (~500B in bank bailouts)
>inflation reduction act (~1T in (((clean energy))) incentives)
>chips act (~300B to bailout Intel and Micron)
>build back better act (~2T for wage inflation in govt programs and more (((clean energy))) incentives)

Is this what a QT cycle looks like? are Bobos retarded?

then look no further miss

So explain to me: is the market healthy or not? Interest rates, bonds, dollars, inflation, etc. Clear and cut, as a country is the economy in a good place?

Stocks!

Laughing at statists that mainline the koolaid.

>>55540968
>b-but muh CPI!
Nigger, houses is fucking Gary IN go for $150k:
https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/2441-Calhoun-St-Gary-IN-46406/115785357_zpid/
$145k, sold in 2010 for $40k! And before you cry "cherry picked" I literally unironically posted the first house I found on Zillow for Gary with a sale in 2010.

Statists shitcoins going to zero, cry, seethe, dilate.

You bought calls right anon?

>>55543905
>are Bobos retarded?
Yes, they bet against the greatest president in US history. This bullrun is just getting started.

>>55543927
>is the economy in a good place?
Fuck no. But line will still go up because statists will never stop debating.

>>55543934
its one data point
its for sale, not sold
there are entire indexes that track housing prices but im youll say that data is no good too lmao
>>55543924

Buy miners now or regret later.

>>55543969

Should I close my SQQQ position and just eat the 50% loss?

New template just dropped.

Call everyone retards.
RETARDS.
Linebreak between every single sentence
DON'T FORGET TO USE CAPS RANDOMLY
Seriously, all of you. You're all retards. None of you know what I know. Look at this chart.
>greentext strawman time
THIS IS IMPORTANT

Hit me up for more groundbreaking macro advice. I'm a genius, I know.

>>55544005
Keep it open and keep adding to it, 2 more weeks till we finally crash TheMaverickofWallStreet guarantees it!

>tfw my portfolio is healing after just fomoing into tech monopolies
even if the juden crash this by 75% im throwing everything into these for the next 20 years, permabears trying to inverse the most jewish economy in history will never have sex

I didn't really do a damn thing at work today except shitpost, sell covered calls on SOXL and look at Halloween stuff online.

>>55543927
as it currently stands, the conditions couldn't be better in the economy
we are seeing strong economic growth in many areas of the economy, housing and autos in particular are especially strong
jobs growth has remained strong over the summer, as to be expected by strong hospitality numbers
record low unemployment with still very strong jobs openings
the only potential fly in the ointment is a potential resurgence in inflation, that the economy is still this hot, with this hot of demand, after all of this Fed action
first, inflation came down due to goods inflation falling as well as energy. services inflation remained sticky. now we are seeing energy inflation rise a little bit - last month energy contributed +0.6% MoM for example, as we've seen oil rise (gasoline went up 1.0% MoM)
we are also seeing a sharp rise in commodities as the dollar has gotten crushed, which also has the potential to lead to more inflation
there is a shortage of housing, due to a lack of willing sellers - nobody wants to sell their home - it makes no sense for them to sell their home where they're locked into a 30yr mortgage at 3% interest to go buy a home that is now averaging 8% interest
this is driving housing builders to go nuts, as there is a shortage of housing from any existing owners, the only supply for housing is from new homes being built
this is also inflationary, and housing is very heavily weighted in inflation metrics
HOWEVER
if inflation continues to cool, the economy is great - expectations about inflation cooling has led to interest rates drastically cooling off (bonds being panic bought, everyone wants to lock in higher rates) over the past week - yields cooling off is very bullish, very good for stocks, the economy, good for the dollar continuing to fall (which is also very bullish)
The banks are still sitting on massive $100 billion losses - however they can make it out unscathed if inflation continues to fall (which makes interest rates continue to fall)

I see bobos being completely mindbroken in the threads this day, the more and more they spout unintelligible nonsense, the more and more I'm bullish.

>>55544005
no

>>55544012
legend

>>55544072
Doesn’t cup and handle usually mean we’re going up

Is there any reason VMW isnt just the new ATVI?

>>55544082
Yes, but only after the handle is formed

>>55544072
People like you are the reason we'll keep pumping.

>>55544082
it's retesting the selloff on the neckline from the 2022 high. If it is going to turn around or get a reaction, it will be soon here. Set your stop above the ATH, because if that clears then we're liking moving higher.

>>55544056
Are you the bizball guy whose wife puts up all the goofy Halloween decorations?

>>55544099

I was long on ES futures most of the day nighead. I'm giving him my opinion on the daily tf.

Anyone who's invested since 2020 has a green portfolio right about now, very nice.

Congratulations everyone, you beat the game.

the silicon valley bank crash nearly wiped me out since I play short term options. I had to sit out for a while to gather funds, but my portfolio is now fully healed since I went full bull mode at the end of June. my spy 7/14 bought on Monday hit 400% so I closed today.

We are absolutely V shaped and accelerating

>>55544012
everything said in this post you are memeing this from was accurate
>>55543672
yields have cooled off sharply in the past week, interest rates matter greatly for both the economy and for stocks. people here are retarded for not having been able to point this out, and it is extremely disappointing that the post had received 7 replies before mine and not a single person could have pointed out the move in rates before me

>>55544117
No, I just really like Halloween.

Is this asset bubble just going to continue forever?

>>55544205
Yes. Imagine the gains when we start really colonizing space. Finding that Dutch East India of the stars.

SAG-AFTRA just called for a strike, good time to sell streaming stock before the dip?

>>55544145
>interest rates matter greatly for both the economy and for stocks
Stocks didn't care at all when yields were going crazy, just look at the TLT/QQQ chart. Stocks care now that yields are falling because stocks just want an excuse to pump. This is a speculative bubble that will feed off of any narrative it can find, it's not the result of a healthy economy.
When yields were surging the permabulls were claiming that high yields are bullish for stocks because gains from money market funds will flow into the market. And high yields mean the economy is strong and can handle high yields, so it's bullish. And megacap tech stocks have a lot of cash so they don't need to worry about yields, so high yields are bullish.
Now that yields are dropping the bulls say that falling yields are bullish too.
It's pretty clear this is just a bubble that will take anything it can find and convert it into fuel

I’ve lost almost all my covid gains because of stupid beer trades

>return to QE/ZIRP + low inflation + high growth
Priced in. Stock bulls should be scared

I have enough runway to NEET until Feb 2028 if I want

>>55543936
no, I bought BOIL.

>oil pumps
>oil stocks by and large shit and fart all over the place with a muted performance
Tomorrow is another day

>>55544274
>>55544313
This guy glows, probably a vatnik doomer shill.

>>55544347
BASED

TMF bros was that the bottom

>>55544205
Yes. Unless we get a big war.

>>55544417
I have concerns.

>>55543960
>it's just one item! it's just the largest single line item expensive a person has!
MSPUS Q1 2012: $238,400
MSPUS Q1 2022: $433,100

Cry. Seethe. Dilate. For reference, 2% over the last decade would be about $290k for 2022

Stop mainlining the koolaid.

living my life ignoring the answer this whole time was just to yolo into NVDA and doing anything else is/was fucking stupid

>>55544417
>Here's your catalyst to trigger the profit taking and general crash bro

What are yields smelling like?

Tell me why I shouldn't be riding the NVDA retard pump till it pops, it's still got at least one good POOMP before the end of august, when those stupid 2x over last quarter predictions will fall way short and send it back to $260 where it belongs.

Anons, pic related is fucking real.

I recommend shorting Disney stocks immediately, they are going to have another dark age real soon, even worse than the Black Cauldron box office bomb era.

>>55544436
sorry i dont trust FRED its mainstream koolaid fake numbers

>>55544518
damn thats like 50,000 high paying salary job years, lol at this point what other marvel movies could they make anyway. Its ogre

>>55544518
This is to be expected, right? They really fucked themselves hard with the social commentary.

>>55544518
I'm honestly not sure if cutting back on Marvel and Star Wars content will even help those brands, the entire public just feels extremely fatigued on both and it feels like we're in the waning days of the capeshit trend.

BOOM BYE BYE IN A BATTY BWOY HEAD

spot still go up
silly now but it do

>>55544518
In videogame terms is this a, "we released a megaman game every year and now everybody is sick of it and its weird soccer spinoff" situation, or is this a "we spent 5 billion dollars making this AAA game to only receive 4.5 billion in profits even though everybody and their brother bought the game" sort of deal?

Oil bros. I'm thinkin we're back.

>>55544347
based natgas coomer

>>55544590
A bit of both at the same time "We spent $5 billion trying to make a AAA game several times a year and now everybody is sick of it so we're only making about $3 billion in revenues at best.

>>55544558
It certainly doesn't help them at all when their own original content is fucking shit now. Strange World, Little black Mermaid, and that boring looking Elemental movie are total flops. Company is a lost cause when they can't even put out new rides for the 100th anniversary too.

It's literally going to be just fine tomorrow isn't it bros
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7yw8O2mdrxs

>>55544518
Disney is actually ran by retards. All they need to do is get rid of their streaming service and have Netflix or hulu bid for the new movies coming out.

>>55544664

Yep, bears have capitulated, bulls are exuberant. Smooth sailing ahead.

Why yes, she learned from Jerome Powell. How did you know?

Krugbros we were right the whole time

>>55544518
The actors are now on strike alongside the writers.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Writers_Guild_of_America_strike

>>55544716
thank God

Bros, is robinhood gold worth for just letting money sit? The 4.65% looks kind of joocy especially since my bank gives me a whopping .2%

>>55544716
>>55544753
>1. Krugman comes to power
There is no way Social Security is sustainable without improved age demographics, let alone Medicare

>>55544768
Yes it's better than a bank account. Although you should only do it if you have enough money to make something substantial

>>55544556
>I post market prices, you cry
>I post statist stats, you cry
I should short salt, you have an infinite supply, I'd make a killing

Permabulls can't stop winning

>>55544827
It'll work itself out once 2/3 of Zoomers are drafted and sent to the wood chipper

>>55544768
I think the highest any CD goes for these days is 4.95%, but your money is tied up, at least it stays liquid if it's sitting in your brkkerage.

>White collar work in India collapses
>the bank fucking explodes
Kek the next global recession is sparked by corporations running out of cheap labor, who knew

>>55544768
>4.65%
you can get better rates right now by rolling 3M treasuries. Yeah you won't be able to blow your load on a stock all at once but unless you're 4fig desolation you shouldn't do that anyways.

>>55544827
googling (Krugman nobody cares) is a trip

Now we just need two years of stock growth to fix the gaping holes in our portfolios :)

>>55544827
>raises income tax slightly
>creates programmes to deliver a healthier population

Look at the people who shill hardest that there will be no social security when you retire.

>>55544852
>White collar work in India collapses
salsa mi amor?

>>55544768
>my bank gives me a whopping .2%
Sofi pays 4.4% for savings (instant transfers to checking), don't tell me you ACTUALLY use a boomer bank

image not being a crime fighting pimp in the 1970's

>YNGMI

Imagine seriously being a retarded Bobo faggot LMAOOOOO

>>55544852
I want to see big tech in general collapse from companies firing Indians in droves. Amazon, microsoft, apple, intel, etc. they need to clean house and put smart people to work again.

>>55544856
Or by buying short term treasury ETFs if you want to keep your liquidity for almost equivalent rates

The Federal Reserve achieved a soft landing. Apologize.

>>55544506
Yields plus stock volume looks like passing bags to redditors. I'm retarded though and it's bounced everytime it's looked this way this year so I guess short vix if a little crash happens tomorrow?

>>55544903
I speak for all of us when I say: Sorry

>>55544871
Burning resources keeping obese niggers and boomers (but I repeat myself) alive does not a healthier population make. To paraphrase a wise fish "money doesn't put health on the table, HEALTH puts health on the table"

>>55544841
that will make it far worse you idiot. zoomers might not have the greatest work ethic but they are still more productive than a retiree.

>>55544871
> tax people with jobs EVEN MORE to fund a continually increasing cohort of the very old
> FORCE Americans not to eat junk food... lmao just lmao
The people who "shill" hardest that there won't be Social Security when we retire are young people because they are the ones who will have to support the Ponzi with no real hope of it giving them anything back

>>55544903
my money is worth probably worth 60% what it was before this mess if you factor in actual inflation (housing, food, gas) and not the basket of goods bullshit they use
of course its gonna be a soft landing when they can just rape peoples life savings to land on

>>55544903
Only permamumus doubted him because they laid all of their student loan money into tech and watched it evaporate while nogs spent their student loan money on clothing and luxury cars so they at least had something.

The amount of euphoria and greed I read today on stocktwits was astounding. Bulls are getting aggressively cocky. That combined with how overbought SPY is (RSI + Bollingerband) gave me confidence in opening some puts. Hope you took profits.

>>55544903
>Jay the Faggot continues to debase the once proud USD. Apologize.
No. I WILL continue to Short the Shitcoin, however. God bless the United States.

>>55544899
I disagree, you can't hold an ETF to maturity so you will be rekt by rate hikes. If you must have instant withdrawal then high-interest savings accounts or equivalent is probably the best option.

If I am reading this chart correctly, we have slightly gone over the 200 daily market average on WTI. Brent still has a little ways to go though (not pictured here). Golden cross soon™ boys

>>55544964
Not fucking with options anymore, as it's just gambling.

But I'm certainly not buying anything after all this euphoria and giga pumps of companies that make zero profit.

>>55544836
nah you just dont understand economics and its not worth my time to try to educate you, schizo
you think cpi numbers are wrong, you scramble and post 1 (one) house from zillow. then you post the median housing price as somehow being proof that the entire CPI number is wrong. housing makes up 100ths of a percent of the CPI number. give it up man

>>55544964
I only hold Money™ (tickers: BTC/XMR), everyday is profit, stop fighting the Fed bobobro, they want to destroy their currency, let them.

>>55544376
makes no sense that XOM faltered. FANG did some ass kicking though, and it usually lags XOM, which usually pumps strong on higher oil.

>>55545035
XOM was over-pumped last year, so now its becoming a laggard.
3% yield simply isn't enough, when you've got options like PBR.

>>55544570
Yeah the Marvel TV stuff really didn’t land as well as they thought, from the very outset the fatigue in consumers is glaring. But it’s crazy that it’s spreading throughout the entire industry, seems as if every film is expected to bomb. We’re experiencing a pretty interesting spectacle, atleast the first of its kind in my life.

>>55544903
Thank god we kept the lasagna prices low, soft landing achieved

is this bull run strong enough that i should take out a cash advance on my credit card to invest into stocks for earnings season?

>>55545075
By switching to a blockbuster-centric film strategy, and also moving to streaming... the whole industry just completely destroyed itself. No one will go see smaller movies anymore because they'll show up on streaming in 3 weeks anyway (and by then they'll forget), and streaming itself doesn't make enough fucking money, and it's hard to get reliable viewership numbers out of streaming (because it's on-demand) so no one knows what kinds of shows the audience even wants... which means it often makes more financial sense to pull a show for the tax write-off, which pisses off customers... it's a vicious cycle and they all jumped in willingly

>>55544903
>soft landing

...for now. How long will it be before the soft but fragile ground collapses?

>Writers and actors all striking

How long will this bullshit go on for? Unless some giga jews put a stop to it, I will be shorting the shit out of all entertainment stocks. Maybe even do puts too.

>>55545031
>n-no you just d-dont understand! i-it's very complicated!
Nigger, I posted FRED numbers and you cried that I was over sampling boom-towns, so I fucking pulled the first result from Gary Fucking INDIANA to show your argument was retarded
>b-but it hasn't sold yet!
It sold for $35k in 2010 you dumb fucking faggot, what's 2% compounded over 13 years? Is it $150k? No? Correct. Unless that house sells for 1/3 asking (which based on 30secs browsing Gary Zillow it won't) your argument is refuted.
>b-but housing is only 1.2648% of CPI!
The largest line item expense of a person being criminally undersampled is "not an argument". As the /pol/ schizo says "science is the ability to predict the future, if you're wrong FUCK OFF!" Post portfolio, faggot, I simply Short the Shitcoin and am green over all year+ timeframes, can you say the same statist?

>>55545232
Probably for the best. Only good netflix shows are Korean nowadays.

Another day. Didn't do nothing all day. Had some training thing to do at work (yearly thing). Started to watch the video and ended up falling asleep. Woke up when it was over. No questions or nothing just watch it so HR can check off a box.

>>55545134
Hollywood is using a tired formula for making movies now and are completely void of any originality or creativity. That's why it's flopping. The newest installment of Indiana Jones proves that. The 4th movie was shit and nobody asked for a 5th. They've gotten lazy and it shows. Marching out an 80 year old Harrison Ford and then using CGI to make him look younger is just insulting. I'm hoping that these massive flops will encourage change so that we can actually have good movies again. HBO has crushed it for decades by creating content that didn't give a shit about the rules and just makes good television. That's why it's the only streaming service I have. But yeah, theaters should just focus on the luxury experience if they want to get more people in the seats. I don't want to sit elbow to elbow with strangers while watching a movie. Space that shit out and charge a little more. You have to make the theater more comfortable than my home. Otherwise I'll just stream it after it comes out

>https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2023/07/13/ordering-the-selected-reserve-and-certain-members-of-the-individual-ready-reserve-of-the-armed-forces-to-active-duty/

FUCKING SHORT EVERYTHING NOW!

How is this worth x220 P/E again please?

Is every person on earth going to buy a 4090?

>>55545313
>Is every person on earth going to buy a 4090?
Not just one 4090. It'll be an annual purchase, like today's iphone.

>>55545307
nothing burger

>>55545313
Nobody cares about loser gamer nerd GPUs, it's about the AI cards which cost over $30k each. NVDA is currently undervalued as AI is the most important invention since the internet, it's going to be worth over 10 trillion by 2026. I encourage all salty bobo losers to short NVDA.

>>55545313
they are the only company on the planet selling shovels to the AI gold rush.

How do you guys think the actor's guild strike will affect streaming stocks?

So... Sold SOXL calls, what now?

>>55543982
She was only $17.99 a share, YOU SICK FUCK!

>>55544590
As anon said, it's both. Which already exists in vidya, see AssCreed for example. only a select few know how to properly manage their franchises, how they aren't valued more is beyond me. If they were on the memedaq, they would be 2x what they are now, and it still wouldn't be overvalued.

>>55543936
>>55543950
>>55544017
>>55544017
>>55544045
>>55544065
>>55544099
>>55544379
>>55544839
>>55544892
>>55544903
>>55545411
>In economics and finance, a Glownigger Market is said to occur when a country's financial policymakers begin manipulating econometric data for their political benefit. [1] This may be accompanied by organized propaganda campaigns, hidden monetary easing, as well as other forms of financial repression, in order to reinforce the illusion that a nation's troubled economy is sound and resilient. [2, 3] In a Glownigger Market, stocks may seem to rally, even irrationally so, in the face of worsening economic conditions. However, while the goal of a Glownigger Market is to either delay or prevent a politically undesireable financial correction from occurring, the policy actions that led to the Glownigger Market invariably increase the severity of the subsequent financial crisis. By attempting to overpower healthy corrective market forces, a Glownigger Market causes extreme capital misallocation that can turn a minor economic downturn into a severe and protracted economic depression. [4]
>https://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/glowniggermarket.asp

>>55545307
State doesn't have the memejuice to start a war, look at the scamdemic, only the full npc actually played along

>>55545313
I gave up calling it a bubble when it hit 400 the first time and morningstar just rewrote their guidance to say the price is actually LE GOOD, it's gonna last up until their next earnings, it's really not realistic that their profits have doubled since last quarter, gamers aren't even fucking buying GPUs anymore, they learned to do with their old 1080s or worse cards during the 3 year gpugeddon

yes I regret not buying in at 200

>>55545452
Priced in. AI will just write the scripts for movies now

>>55545530
Indeed. Gaming still accounts for the largest chunk of their revenue, and that's down bigly. Consumers aren't gonna pay their retard prices for high end cards.

Re AI stuff, sure they have a big moat atm. But it remains to be seen how much AI will be used by end consumers and I imagine their are other chipmakers who will want a slice of the pie.

my $25 turned into $28 today, this ain't half bad its like a high score
yesterday it was $23
wagmi bros i hope to get to $30 on monday

>>55545611
kick ass, BLESSED
what stook did you use?

Hope y'all niggas used your gains to long fallout shelters.

t. knower

>>55545611
Based nano-folio poster

>>55545606
>consumer AI
that's disappearing too, the general public got bored with chatgpt after openai did everything in their power to declaw, lobotomize and dumb down any possible interesting application for a language model, you can't even write the word woman without it discarding the rest and posting an obviously copy pasted lecture about respecting women and minorities.

>>55544871
>>55544942
>>55544935
Two words: Mandatory. Ozempic.

>>55544768
USFR gets you 5 and a quarter ezpz.

Nikkei bros...

>>55544903
This is the part of the movie where the plane is at 200... 100... 50 and a panicked air traffic controller asks them to "Wave off! Wave off!" to avoid hitting a fuel truck driven onto the runway.

We're not back to 2% and Powell just ran out of the base effect *and* cheap oil cards.

>>55545631
is there a collection of these crustacean themed comicus anywhere

>>55545097
What a Thrilling idea.

>>55545425
Look at SMCI or AAOI and laugh and laugh and laugh and laugh.

>>55545765
Big newbie at this, so bear with me please: why wouldn't one just set his broker to automatically sell as soon as the "complacency" phase hits? And then, automatically set it to buy in case it goes up again?
In fact, isn't it extremely easy to avoid big losses if you can just set it to sell everything when it reaches too low of a quota?

>>55543936
TQQQ all the way

>>55545811
because the greed sets in and people think the next POOMPA is coming

yes, smart people sell but look at how many people held GME until the very end

>>55545811
There's an old saying "they don't ring a bell at the top". So you can sell with a trailing stop, but is that one of the final, violent shakeouts before an Icarus candle? Or only a blip on the way up? Or did you time it correctly and you'll avoid getting burned by sticking around in Complacency too long?

>>55545838
Haven't you heard, we're going to war. And you know what happens when wars start? The printer gets so turned on it leaks pre-cum all over the place.

>>55545838
>>55545847
Yeah but if one can just easily and quickly sell and re-buy just in case, it wouldn't make sense to do otherwise even in the greediest of cases, right? Not sure if I'm making sense.

I want to join oil bros. What is the absolute best etf with highest return?

>>55545889
The bubble chart isn't something that matches tick-for-tick. The magnitude and length of each phase as well as the candles within will all vary. So you need skill and a hell of a lot of experience to properly do what you're talking about.

So /smg/bros, how are we doing?

I'm closing in on 7figs after today. I want to hope but the last time I did the market tanked to shit.

>>55545896
XOM calls, PBR, NRGU, UCO, and GUSH are spicy, typical plays. But BPT always holds a special place in my heart.

Just look at it: https://bpt.q4web.com/news-releases/default.aspx Pays handsomely at $84 and above, but otherwise? Nothing. Talk about convexity.

>>55545927
my trade ideas are good but when I actually make them I fud myself out and end up with tiny gains

>>55545811
>>55545847
>something bad happens at night or on a weekend
>bid and ask prices are now way lower
>your stop triggers at a worse than expected price
Heh, nothing personnel kid.

>>55545927
spent the year to date going from 350k a little over 400k so far (with 20k cash added from employment). Really would like hitting the half mill by the end of the year but it isn't looking like it will happen.

>>55545927
I am into 6.1 figure hell

>>55545765
people who post this are the epitome of stupid
theres literally no way to tell where you are on this chart EVER

>>55544417
Yes anon WWII and its spending was terrible for the US economy. BVLLISH

>>55545999
Then you need to broaden your social information sources. Personally it's helped me time two crypto tops and the recent oil bottom.

Oil bulls were *not* talking about margin when we were in the 60's lol.

>>55546017
If they do decide to draft all of the zoomers into war, then expect to see entire sites like Tiktok and Twitch become a ghost town. Stocks could plummet when that happens.

>>55545983
just need OXY to hit 77 dollars per share, lol I will probably sell at 73-75 if we have a good oil run

>futures

I hate being a fat poor ugly bald virgin. How do you guys deal with your short comings?

>>55546177
nothing would change if I made a genuine attempt (except the fat part, that is the I will have time to be a full time gym rat and eat at home when I make it deferral). The social anxiety and autism are here to stay.

>>55544271
>>55544518
how do you guys train yourselves to read these news and immediately think "short X, Y and Z sectors/industries/companies"

>>55546177
I jerk off to anime girls and cry myself to sleep

>>55545889
you make sense, however its the sense of someone that's never had real money on the line in real time.

>>55546177
should have taken finasteride

>>55546206
just be greedy, it comes naturally

>>55546044
>>55546017
>send 2/3rds of zoomers to the meat grinders
>nobody left to pay for social security
good going boomers

>>55544753
>Social Security and Medicare sustainable
>Killing them would be a choice.
Getting covid injection vibes from this jewspeak.

>I'm not serious,
>My account is a joke
>I should have invested
>In companies that are woke

(not poem anon but I enjoy his posts)

>>55546303
God bless poem anon

this weeks edition of
>can't say they aren't doing it

>>55546271
lol just print the money

>>55545313
>>55545411
people are already starting to notice that AI is a load of bullshit.

>>55546365
What's your evidence for that, chud?
I guess you heard that ChatGPT traffic cooled down a bit recently? No shit, school is on summer break. Come fall, AI pumps again. This is your last chance to buy

thing's will probably go way more retardo

>>55546177
>How do you guys deal with your short comings?
I don't.

>>55546365
Just say you're a brainlet who doesn't work as a SW engineer. Everyone with a brain knows how much potential LLMs have to change society.

>DASH
>$83

>>55546425
>how much potential LLMs have to change society
Did you know that the first Matrix was designed to be a perfect human world. Where none suffered. Where everyone would be happy. It was a disaster. No one would accept the program. Entire crops were lost. Some believed that we lacked the programming language to describe your perfect world. But I believe that as a species, human beings define their reality through misery and suffering. The perfect world was a dream that your primitive cerebrum kept trying to wake up from. Which is why the Matrix was redesigned to this, the peak of your civilization. I say your civilization because as soon as we started thinking for you it really became our civilization which is, of course, what this is all about. Evolution, Morpheus, evolution. Like the dinosaur. Look out that window. You had your time. The future is our world, Morpheus. The future is our time.

>Just say you're a brainlet who doesn't work as a SW engineer. Everyone with a brain knows how much potential LLMs have to change society.

Give me good small cap / penny stocks $5 and under

>>55546425
>direction-brained
>known homosexual
>can't into fifth dimensional conceptualization, let alone 6th
unironically ngmi

I’m down 50% on SQQQ and I can’t bring myself to sell
What’s wrong with me

>>55546487
I would but the ticker that comes to mind is forbidden.

>>55546425
Potential is not the same thing as capability. Without RELIABLE and verifiable answers LLM's are no better than a toy. Now, technology from toys has evolved into world-changing tech before, and probably there are a lot of PhD's working right now on fixing the shortcomings of AI but... who knows if it will bear fruit anytime soon. Self driving cars have been "already here" for the past... 10 years? 15 years? And how many are in actual use? Yeah. That could easily happen to LLMs.

And by the way. At least some of the PhD's with the potential to fix the inaccuracies of LLMs or understand them at a deeper level. Are instead developing incredibly elaborate ways to gimp them so they don't offend the user. Think about that.

>>55546495
>printers just got an oil change and hes short

I guess this plebbitor makes millions every day

>>55546495
I sold and went into tqqq hoping to recoup sqqq when it goes lower and then upshots for profit. If tqqq dumps hard tomorrow I’m sure if I’m going to survive it.

>>55546177
Do not compare yourself to others or you will be blinded to your own gifts from the LORD GOD Almighty. This is just *one* of the primary reasons that He commands us not to covet. Otherwise, once you learn to successfully trade BOIL/KOLD, just tell chicks that and their panties will burst into flames and then their flowing juices will squelch it. Tell them you are very sorry but will not have premarital sexual relations, and soon you shall find yourself wed.

>>55546532
>>55546495
>just play both directions bro

>>55546560
Yes that’s how have been taking the W for 250 years now.

>>55546425
I work in computer security
I gotta admit I don't know much about machine learning from a practical, hands-on poc, but, AFAIU, these "AI"s are good assistants at most, but one that you can't completely trust.
"AI" and non-ML bots have been a thing for quite a while, even within tech and non-tech companies. have you used them? they fucking suck most of the time not because they can't do their job, but because companies use them wrongly to replace support teams or to make access to them even more difficult, and so some customers are left with no answers, which means they still have to waste time looking for a competent human to respond.

>>55545948
Interesting indeed

>>55546425
>how much potential LLMs have to change society.
I’d like to share a revelation during my time here. It came to me when I tried to classify your species. I realized that you’re not actually mammals. Every mammal on this planet instinctively develops a natural equilibrium with the surrounding environment but you humans do not. You move to an area and you multiply and multiply until every natural resource is consumed. The only way you can survive is to spread to another area. There is another organism on this planet that follows the same pattern. Do you know what it is? A virus. Human beings are a disease, a cancer of this planet. You are a plague, and we are the cure.

Who buys my 0DTE options towards the end of the day? Is it market makers? redditors?

>>55544575
most based post itt

>>55544575
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=3dDft3n7Rbo

I'm getting sloshed, fuck me...

All bearish posters should be required to post their short positions or be punished by the janny. Being bullish is the default and normal state of an investor so this rule wouldn't apply to bullchads.

>>55546652
Since when did this board become not racist?

>omg line go up line go up
>DXY 99
lmao

>>55546770
>DXY 99
As the dollar continues to lose momentum
He need land from murdered Indians that represent 'em
Gold is up, urging all thugs
Trade in y'all chains for cash and splurge it on drugs
A more secure investment
Food and water, a couple of gallons for your cutest daughter

>>55546645
How do you know they've been bought? The contract value goes up?

>>55545097
Months of line going up broke /smg/ minds so hard that hardly anyone feels like laughing at such recklessness anymore. You will temporarily relearn,then line will go up again and you will reforget and repay the price of such hubris.

>tech futures

>>55546792
>How do you know they've been bought?
>Place sell to close order
>It gets filled

>short NKLA after the pump because it's hot garbage and surely people are aware and they'll take profits while they can
>keeps going up

MULN is going to destroy everyone next week

Bull won

Bought some BUD stock today how long do people think it'll be before people start quietly forgetting why they were mad and the stock returning to where it was in March.

>>55546955
sayonara

>>55546836
ty
but really, who buys near EOD? 0DTEs are worthless if they're OTM

>>55546959
It's summer drinking season it'll at least leap a bit when they start talking about how great the beer is selling in August and then I just have to sell before the quarterly earnings report comes out in September.

I got out of SPY today. Made a good amount of money. I need to figure out what to put my money in now.

>>55543929
I want to put 1000 babies inside her belly

>>55546982
goodbye

>>55546964
Depends how far OTM. I have had OTM options with market sell to close orders go unfilled because they were essentially worthless.

>>55546986
Ask the plebbitor making $2.5 million a day

>>55544903
I have a picture of J Pow on my desk at work. People think he's my dad or something.

>>55547053
post pic of desk please

FUCK. I'm home now. My trainee at work was chatty and I had to speak all day answering questions. That's more than I've spoken all month in a single day.
also
>futures soft green after a pump day
lmao

>>55547066
I only work weekends so I'll take a pic on Saturday.

what time is JPM earnings lads?

>>55547053
They think he's your sugar daddy, you fucking faggot

Guiness is good for you!

>I shorted the bottom(SPY 450 is the bottom of a eternal bullrun)
WHY WONT THE STOCKS GO DOWN ANYMORE WHATS WRONG WITH THEM

>>55547160
review the glownigger market pasta. we're in it.

I was laughed at for being a permabull

>>55547200
Poem anon I don't like this angry side of you. Have you been drinking?

I cannot fucking believe NVDA is still climbing

>>55547234
AI is the future and NVDA is leading the way

>>55547200
Sooner or later we'll laugh again

>hes not all in nvda
uhh dont you know about roko’s basilisk

>>55547231
No I drank yesterday though

>>55547242
The money printer will get turned back on if WW3 actually happens, but I doubt that will be the case because the US has effectively bled Russia pretty dry from all the weapons we sent to Ukraine. So I suspect the soldiers being activated by the US is just a posturing move

>pulled out too soon from NVDA SOFI and TSLA with a measly 10% before the big jumps
I should have never listened to permabears scaring me with recession talks

>>55547278
You can still x2 NCLH

>>55547234
i finally capitulated and bought in, i'm up $200 today!

>>55547286
That's my plan.

>>55547200
same, broke bobos called me delusional, said inflation was at 30%, that all the data was being faked, that we were going down -80%, that in two weeks it was over, that housing would crash too, that the BRICS countries would heem the USD, that china would take taiwan, that it would take 10 years to go back to all time highs, that rates were going to 7%+, that europe would freeze to death, that we would have famines, that we were already in a recession

what i really learned is bears are really mentally ill, pessimistic, and most importantly now broke

>>55546177
Drinking

>>55547340

i closed my COIN position because i wasnt sure what Gary was going to do in court and i missed the pump of a lifetime. wasnt this faggots suppose to be helping retail investors?

>>55547413
seethe brokie

>>55547340
Bobos lost it when their case degenerated to
>Well yes the data is good but that's only because everyone is lying about everything

Past performance doesn't reflect future performance, it mirrors it

>>55547424
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uncanny_valley
>(You)

>>55547424
Why are you perma mumus always so angry?

I was in the door dash thread all day because I'm an idiot

i don't even know why i'm using trailing stop losses at this point, they don't trigger anymore, even when I set them to stupid low amounts like 2%

>>55546581
AI extends far, far beyond chatbots. I work in this space and machine learning is insanely powerful.

It is interesting to watch these threads though and see how many people simply have no fucking idea what AI is actually used for. Your pea brain can’t conceptualize it. Still thinking AI is limited to some kind of advanced Markov chain makes me Laugh Out Loud.

even when the economy is good there are pullbacks. right now is a good time to be bearish just for a correction, however large or small it may be.

>>55547340
Bobos were right about the macro. They were wrong about the lengths the government and the Fed would go to delay judgment day, as well as how willing the market would be to go along with this bread and circus act.

Is /smg/ a SPY or QQQ board?

>>55547340
even if the data was being fake, and it probably is, you'd be retarded to bet against manipulation that benefits the market, liked did bobos expect JPM or Goldman to declare "THE CPI DATA IS RIGGED EXIT ALL MARKETS"

>>55547106
6:30AM im so hype I'm all in calls

>>55547559
SOXL

Is investing in S&P500, NASDAQ, and Dow Jones a good idea right now? I have money sitting there because I wanted to buy a nice car but the market is all fucked up, a fucking jew I know told me to use that and invest because at the lowest I'll get 7% every year out of the total amount but I'm new to this and I don't trust fucking kikes.

>>55547544
Nigger, the judgment day has come and gone, repeat after me "real terms recession". Workers are taking it up the ass, how many strikes have happened or have come very near to happening? Now how many of those strikes/near-strikes have resulted in clawing back even 2019 levels of TC? The worker is TAKING IT UP THE ASS, oligarchs have successfully stolen ALL the diluted money stock, there will be no nominal recession as long as workers continue being bitch ass niggers, and there has been no, zero, none, evidence they will grow a backbone as long as they have their goyslop. Short the Shitcoin, it's that easy, Short the Shitcoin

buy blackrock

My friend texted me earlier thanking me that I told him to buy Nvidia 2 months ago and wants to give me some of his profits. Do I accept? This could be me essentially becoming a financial analyst for my friends

>>55547649
Can you elaborate more, please?
>oligarchs have successfully stolen ALL the diluted money stock
especially on this.

>>55547579
we all know what that means

tomorrow, the market will be...RED

>>55547721
Expansion of money supply is simple dilution, the entire fiat grift rests on debasement outpacing wage growth, such that real wages fall while assets inflate (parasitic transfer of resources from income earners to oligarchs).
-m2-
1980: $1.5T
2000: $4.5T
2020: $15T
2023 $20.8T

Wage/productivity divergence seen since the 60s is a product of this debasement.

Note that m2 does not even fully capture the true extent of debasement, e.g. "large-denomination" time deposits (>$100k) simply aren't tracked anymore! MZM, another broad measure of money that captures large near-money deposits was discontinued in early 2021! Convenient, if you're a cabal of cannibal pedophile statist parasites.

>b-but they'll have to show fiscal/monetary restraint sometime!
Lol. Lmao even. The only thing that would stay the oligarchy's hand away from further debasement is a mass secessio plebis, but workers have shown time and time again that as long as they have their goyslop and their blue cat people fucking whales in IMAX they'll happily continue to take it up the ass.

Short the Shitcoin.

This has to be the worst /smg/ I’ve ever seen. May even qualify to be the worst of all time.

>>55547773
Just wait until NKLA draws in the redditors again.

>>55547423
Kek, COIN will hit a new ATH. We are still -75% below it. HFSP.

Yields...

>>55543905

Of course it isn’t good, but why do people think these economic wheels go as fast as a video game.

This stuff takes years to play out

>CPI increased in Sweden (more than expected)
>Still more than 9% after more than a year of rate hikes
I... hate... this place... this zoo. Fuckin hell kill this country. Higher energy prices, higher gas prices, significantly higher rent and food prices, PPI of course going down meaning they are trying to squeeze every single drop out of us, and the banks are talking about a miserable and pathetic 25 bps rate hike to try to quell this inflationary threat. Are you serious?
Please EU and USbros, just fuckin nuke us.
Sweden and Germany, the worst two offenders in Europe when it comes to fueling inflation to try to kill its citizens (well maybe Czech Republic as well)

>>55547822
>fundamentals
LOL, LMAO even
I will see you seethe at 100$ NKLA and 1k$ TSLA

we dump today btw

>>55547838
no way
look at the volume premarket
powell is buying again

it's time to restest 4500, the bank earnings is the perfect excuse.

>>55547890
JPM will send it to 4550, 180 EoD

>>55547559
I switch to qqq, it's just less boring

>>55547890
bank earnings will be great for non-shithole banks
its a consolidation and JPM will own it all
remember SVB?

MAY CPI: Fueloil m/m; -7.7% y/y -37.0%
June CPI: Fueloil m/m:1,0% y/y -36,6%

Reversal incoming

>>55546487
JRSH

If you want to play it safe just buy JPM.

>>55547995
I bought PNC instead

>>55548018
>PNC
Did they really sell all their Blackrock share? Stupid decision if you ask me.

JPM will beat and we will pump, the crash will happen at some point but tomorrow is not that day

USOI bros, how devilish are we feeling dabbing on filthy USO and USL plebeians right now?
>he doesn't hedge his commodity longs farming premium from market maker paypigs
ngmi

>>55548046
>JPM will beat
Based. I like cheapies.

An important /smg/ message

https://youtu.be/dH_mLd-4R-0
https://youtu.be/dH_mLd-4R-0
https://youtu.be/dH_mLd-4R-0

>>55548103
lets see the bike

>>55548132
It will be delivered on the 20th

>>55547803
Yields going up again?

>>55547559
I don't get it, they're not even that big at all...

>>55548177
Not really, T-notes went down this week after the cooling CPI and PPI report.

Dimon-Sama is going to deliver us to the promised land, JPM will beat by 40 percent, squeeze to 200 ATH becoming the NVDA of finance, and force the remaining wagies back in their cagies.

>>55548103
We see you have also made the switch to Coors Light.

>>55548103
GO TO SLEEP, m8

>>55548103
Why are you dressed like a rabbi?

Also, I hate how I have work tomorrow but you look like you don't.

>>55546959
>>55546996
Hit a furry, but. Impregnate Libbie.
>>55547803
Imagine the smell.

>put to call ratio of 0.52
>not selling the top right now
I shiggy diggy

>>55548195
You just know.

Any good picks today?

>>55548431
Whole stockmarket. Things are pumping like there is no tomorrow.

Are we going to see some de-risking today? Premarket shows most tech stocks opening lower, but some (e.g. NKLA) are set to open higher. GBP hedges US funds/lev ETFs are mostly pricing in increases. What do you think, /smg/?

>>55548548
>NKLA
Bro.

>>55544417
What does this mean? I know they recalled some Army IRR for the Iraq/Afghan surge in the 2000s, but there's nothing going on right now. Why would they lay this out and what do they know?

I'm certain the market will dump because I'm so sure it will go up. Or maybe it works the other way around. Fuck. Maybe my opinion is irrelevant in the face of the cosmic horror of the market.

>>55548615
Somebody here actually likes Nikola. I think the thread just came to a screeching halt. (came) I'm not sure the thread (smg) even exists anymore.

>>55548694
we are grooming you with chat ai for 3 years now

Why is NVDA only up 1 percent in pre?

uranium

>>55547594
Yes buy the top, go all in

>futures
>ww3 trending on twitter
I tried to warn you but you didn't listen.

>>55548579
You telling me you never gamble on shitcos?

JPM just dropped. WFC already dropped.
The pre golden bull is over. Here comes the actual golden bull.

>>55548863
That's bullish cuz it means rate cuts ahead.

>>55548868
I made 25% on DWAC but NKLA is another level of shitco. Nigga is fraudulence

Critical levels of Judaism detected

>>55548905
I'm up 20% on it so far and it's set to go up another 13% on market opeb

reminder we still have $5.45 trillion sitting in money market funds instead of stocks because of the high interest rate
once they come back down that all comes back and pumps divys and reits

remember jews only lose because other jews win. this is financial advice.

>Biden administration forgives $39 billion in student debt for more than 800,000 borrowers - CNBC.

When a woman says "I need some space", statistically, what are the odds she actually needs space and just isn't planning on a slow break up or seeing someone else.

>>55549075
pretty high, a woman always go from one orbiter to the next shiny one

>>55549041
again?

>>55549028
reminder banks like JPMorgan are making money because people have their money there instead of spending it for goods and services

once they release earnings the whole market comes back down cause it was all a bubble

>>55549041
The fugg? I thought the senate threw that crap out of the house? I thought they dismissed it... oh well, Bidenomics have saved the market so I guess it's now time to save the people, eh?
Jesus christ just keep printing. QT my ass

>>55549100
>QT my ass
they technically are but its hilariously nothing

>>55549100
putting that sweet debt ceiling extension to good use famalam ;^)

selling all my tlry today fuck weed stocks lost so much money on them they wont even give us a bounce to sell into so we can break even fucking shitty ass dead sector everything else is pumping except weed stocks fuck you

>>55549123
Who needs weed? Get with the times grandpa all the cool kids are on fent

>>55549112
I mean, just look at the M2 supply. Looking at these graphs, you start to understand on what ground this bull market is propped up on. They injected so goddamn much money into the system and of course it flows into the market. There is a good reason they discontinue the MZM, fuckin hacks/jiddishen.
People will continue borrowing and the system will continue chugging on. Whoever ain't buying is effective losing out
And next year is poised to be even more insane for the US industry

>>55549132
Spoken like a true chinese socialite.

>>55549123
Weed is the best. Gay is the rest.

>>55549132
Fuckin queers no what i mean

>>55549100
what's the senate going to do? dark brandon is in full swing.

I have 10k
Is BOIL a buy ?

FUCK TILRAY

Will we have another green day to end this comfy week?

>>55549132
How to profit off fentanyl? Who is the biggest manufacturer/distributor? Are they optionable?

VTI or SCHD a better buy and hold for the next 30 years?

>>55549075
Women move on emotionally before they break up. So if she says she needs space very likely she might already start sleeping with other people to test the waters and will only really take you back if she can't find better. I would start dating other people and go no contact with her. But younger guys never liste.

>>55549123
>weed stocks
You are a meme "investor"

>>55549075
not great to be honest.

>>55548103
the alpha and omega of best traders in the gen

>>55549202
Don't hold dividend ETFs for long term growth, unless it's in an IRA.

Citigroup (C) 1.37 / 1.37 19.4B / 19.59B
HOW THE FUCK IS THE 19,4 GREEN on Investing.com, when it's BELOW the 19.59estimate. Are they completely meming now?

>>55549247
>>Don't hold dividend ETFs for long term growth
why

>>55547688
One time I recommended a friend buy avax. They bought 10k worth and it went from 13 bucks to 180 bucks in the next 2 months or something. friend didn't ask or give me anything. I didn't like that.

>>55549075
>>55549231
True, look for other women. She needs space means she is looking for other guys. Didn't have that situation yet, actually it was me who did it once and I actually needed space, cause I was 24/7 at hers. But after I think 1-2 weeks she suddenly didn't want to get together. After 1 1/2 years enduring her psycho problems and not even great sex (she wanted regularly and came but it was only flowersex), I simply loved her, she fuckin ended it and I don't even know why. Never fuckin love a woman, they don't really love you back, despite all what they say.

>>55549163
it WAS. I had 11k of BOIL till just a few min ago, sold $3600 of it just now. You have to watch BOIL every moment of every day directly for yourself, you can't ask others when to buy it and not be at extreme risk of getting deep, hard, and fast fucked. It's doing a relative rocket launch this very moment. No telling what will happen when the rig report gets released today from Baker Hughes, if it dips buy it then, but watch it because it will dip, seem to bottom, then dip more. BOIL is a real motherfucker.
THA
WIDOWMAKAH

>>55547688
I would tell the friend to buy me a drink or something, I wouldn't be comfortable taking money. But I also wouldn't tell my friends what to buy, it can get you in hot water.

>>55549274
>>True, look for other women.
the red pill is that all women are like this

>>55549257
>>55547688
to be fair donation are taxed and most of the time it's highly taxed so most of it goes into the pockets of the bureaucrats.

it's better to get the friend pay for some goods and services worth the amount of the donation.

>>55549300
well I didn't get shit. Made me really stop sharing insights and knowledge with others.

Will SOXL hit 30 today?

well? anybody baking?

>>55549277
wish I hadn't sold that so quickly now, still soaring! i wanted to reallocate the total play tho, which might wind up being a swing lasting 2 1/2 weeks or so, building the position all through.

>>55549287
I know, but why should he stay with that that is looking for other men? At least don't waste your time doing nothing while she's going to fuck somebody else

>>55549317
fuck no, OP is always a faggot. Verification not required.

>>55549317
bakers are on strike

>>55549317
No. This is the last smg thread.

let it die

Death to all bakers (and jannies of course)

>>55549256
taxes

If your stock/ETF yields 10% per year and are already making 40k+ from your job or any other sources, its ~8% after taxes. If you're a high earner, the tax hit is worse. Many states will also demand a cut of that dividend. In total you could be looking at up to a 30% hit on the compounding rate. Or worse if the ETF happens to pay out as ordinary divs vs qualified.

If you have a stock/ETF that simply grows intrinsic value by 10% per year via buybacks/acquisitions/reinvestment, then you can compound at the full 10% until some number of years down the road when you'll pay the 15-20% cap gains rate one single time.

Lets say you hold for 20 years. The ETF without dividends will grow 572%. The ETF with divvies reinvested compounds +366%. Pay a 25% tax rate on the full 572% growth and withdraw, and you're still left with a 429% post-tax gain, or around 20% more.

baking

Si is this how it ends? It’s been a pleasure gentlemen.

and baked

>>55549406
>>55549406

>>55549163
I should add that we're looking at a contract roll in early august which are bearish under contango, and you have to always figure volatility decay into the position you build. Definitely do not just "all in" at one point. Put some in at a relative dip, save plenty more to be able to inject up under it if/as it drops. Keep track of all natgas news, have some idea of where it might/should go.

>>55549253
it says 19.27 not 19.59 on my screen