/biz/ - Business & Finance

>futures

YOU PUSH IT

>>55113102
>pasts

i basically have come to the understanding that this market rewards those who think less so am i correct in assuming debt ceiling deal make green number go up=monke buy green number and everything will keep pumping for the foreseeable future?

Worst smg today

>>55113133
Do you mean this is the worst smg of today? Or that today's smg is the worst ever?

Shouldn't it worry people that we just jumped head first into the biggest bubble since 2008 while indicators of recession continue to flash? I guess this time is different? The anons that come here talking about going all in on AI stocks in spite of this, especially new ones, strike me as a top signal. I think I'm gonna sell my AMD in any case

>>55113120
you ever go to the ocean, just sit in the water an feel the waves as the push you up and down?
feel anon
you can do it

It's over

>>55113138
Good morning. I guess we can crab now that the big deal is reached.

>>55113171
Crabbish to Bullish

more than bullfags or bearfags the ones i fucking hate the most are the crabfags

>>55113095
you own this guy's stock?

>NVDA gained more market share last week than their entire historical revenue to date
>Semiconductor sector most overbought in it's history
>NDX outperforming SPX by historical amounts
>NDX at levels overbought comparable to 2000, 2018 and 2021
>Literally the worst possible macro environment ahead for tech/growth companies IE; restrictive credit and increasing unemployment.
>Entirely possible we get a credit downgrade that pushes up yields AND refilling of TGA that will also push up yields

I predict tech tranny apocalypse, maybe around quad witching June 16th.

>>55113235
I bought AMD at $120 and then at $60, and sold at $100 for a nice small profit. My brother just bought at $120 and didn't double down even though I told him when I did it, but he just got out at $127 at the end of the day yesterday (I advised him to do so because of how overextended it is, along the lines of what you mention).
>i'm still waiting for the "next leg down" before buying back in, I really like AMD/NVDA but i just know the world governments and central banks are gonna fuck SOMETHING up yet again, so i can get cheapies

Don't care, me and mine are out. I admit we fucked up, but we still got out profitably. I'll wait for cheapies again.

>>55113110
>YOU PUSH IT

good morning sunday morning

Crab week

>>55113339
Hmm, I do business with some of those companies

So if they agreed to cap spending, does that mean any non-QE stimulus spending is DOA?

>>55113119
why are japs always sleepy?

>>55113357
Probably the 16 hour workdays.

Is it wise to put about 10% of my portfolio in TQQQ instead of QQQ? I am in my mid 20s so I could hold at least 30 years without needing to sell. My portfolio is about $260k and I am considering putting about $20k into TQQQ. If you put $20k into TQQQ in 2010, that would have turned into about $1.6 million today. I understand that a long sustained tech bull run like what happened in to 2010's is not reasonable to expect every decade, but it seems like such a crazy amount of outperformance without having to bet my money in just a single company.

Rate hikes are inflationary
The Fed won't cut rates until mid 2024
Inflation won't hit its 2% target until 2025
There is still a lot money in the system
Stocks prices will remain high until some thing breaks

>>55113365
These are a myth, imo.
It wouldn't be physically possible for these scrawny humanoids to "work" 16 hours a day.
Also, these are schoolkids.

>>55113388
Mein Neger
>so much higher
>for so much longer

Ukraine may get very hot again, I've been following and there is a good chance the counter-offensive starts very soon, this week or the next.
Wonder what the geopol risk plays would be.

High possibility that grain shipments would be disrupted. Might be able to trade that directly, but it may also lead to middle east instability and oil market disruption, Iran is fighting the Taliban ATM as well.

>>55113152
i mean to put it in layman's terms, isn't that the definition of a soft landing? riding bubble after bubble?

>>55113370
good luck :^)

>>55113408
No, all bubbles are unsustainable and eventually collapse.

>>55113370
Those leveraged funds get obliterated by rebalancing during prolonged downturns.
Not a great idea to accumulate that right now in my opinion, very decent chance that it will be worth less than QQQ 10 years from now.
Better to wait either for real blood on the streets or for a more confident growth picture.

>>55113441
tell that to the last bubble...

>>55113171
$10bn is nothing. the markets will gobble these up happily.

>somehow end up on r*ddit
>guys asking how he can get money out of his business beyond a salary, is thinking about selling his shares to realize profit
>it takes them 20 posts to finally mention he can pay a dividend
This is the competition

>>55113291
What did he mean by this?

>>55113533
>somehow end up on r*ddit
I bet you've "accidentally" kissed a man too.

>>55113533
Mainly I do distributions but you can also do a distribution directly to 401k.

>>55113171
thanks for playing

>>55113539
anon there thinks everyone who is bullish is a fed that is artificially propping up the markets with positive sentiment and astroturfing and we will all go to jail when Trump comes back into power for being transvestite Ukranians.
You know, normal stuff

>>55113339
>C3.AI
Get ready for even more semi-pumping

>>55113574
>for being transvestite Ukranians
What an oddly specific thing to say.

>>55113574
>when Trump comes back into power
Return of the King.

>>55113817
I wouldn't hate it, but the primaries are going to get ugly since DeSantis officially threw his hat into the ring

>>55113370
>I understand that a long sustained tech bull run like what happened in to 2010's is not reasonable to expect every decade
It's actually very reasonable to expect the same. What, you think boomer brick and mortar companies are where the future is? Protip, it's not. Just buy QLD if you're unsure, TQQQ may be too unreasonable if you have these thoughts, 2x leverage to keep forever until you die is where peace of mind is.

>>55113231
This guy chose to be gay for pure market reasons. How can you really attack his leadership without being homophobe? How can you criticize Apple hardware now?

>>55113339
>See Veeva, something my old company used.
>Look up their valuation: $26B

>>55113564
Me likes!

>>55113898
Aside: Wife's watching some old episode of The Price is Right. New car costs only 12k..Its from the 80s I think. Back when Bob Barker still had color in his hair.

>>55113095
Hey mumu. i bet your thinking things are looking pretty good right now. but.. do you really think this congress can pass the debt ceiling waiver in time?? twitter progressives and chudcels don't like it and the clock is ticking...

>>55113937
you're absolutely right please by all means go ahead and keep shorting everything

>>55113937
Black swans are already priced in.
It's over...

You guys think The Tesla Motors Corporation will hit $215/share before the big super plummet of our lifetime? That was my price target when I bought, but not sure if I should continue holding.

MEIN FUHRER I CAN WALK

just so we're absolutely clear, the new debt ceiling deal will add ~$4T to the debt until jan 2025 and resume student loan payments. of course both drain liquidity out of the system, the former by selling bonds at a rate of 100 billion a week based on recent fed bids for buybacks. and during a time of record high interest rates

are you still bullish?

Opinions on Shell, Suncor and Atvi?
Shell has similar profits as Chevron and XOM yet has a market cap that's only 50% to 70%.
Suncor also seems to be cheap
And ATVI because of the MSFT bid. If it doesnt go through they still get a 3 billion breakup fee. And if it does go through the stock goes to $95.

>>55114009
I am bagholding bad bank puts for June, but I still have some DRV and bought 50 shares of soxs each day soxl did a +20% so pullback hopefully soon. Either equities get drained as people buy bonds or deal collapses and NVDA goes to 10,000 a share since the US gov is bankrupt.

>>55114009
I will be until the market says we are not. Macro is very iffy about how and when it prices itself in.

>>55113851
This decade will be the decade of CAPEX into boomer companies that actually build stuff.
The west can longer rely on the deflationary growth of Chinese industry and will have to recapitalise their own neglected capacity.

im so fucking lonely.

Where is Morgan Stanley? He promised me a pullback.

>>55114009
It's all a big joke. No other country even fucks with any debt cap. They simply uh create more money as they need it. Which if the U.S wanted they could wipe the debt clean. Go to fed/treasury and say "create 34 trillion" for debt elimination only. Since it's all digital anymore would be a simple job. That's what they did during covid and the great 2008 mess;simply created so many billions outta thin air.

>>55114054
this, but Goldman Sachs and oil

>>55114009
what if we steal the money from chinks, muslims and africans?

>>55114059
its a very profitable joke when you understand how it works, maybe thats what makes it funny

What the fuck happened to soxl?

>>55114059
Creditors are very powerful in this society; when creditors lose confidence in the repayment of government debt things go to shit very fast.

Usually they only accept these kinds of drastic actions it moments of extreme crisis; IE it took the great depression for the US government to confiscate and devalue the price of gold in order prevent deflation.

>>55114082
I'm serious bros, I shorted it when it was at $10 and now I'm bleeding to death

>With the Treasury competing with banks for cash, lenders may see their own short-term funding rates rise, forcing them to boost the borrowing costs they impose on businesses and households.

>Bank of America Corp. analysts have estimated that would have the same economic impact as a quarter-point interest rate hike, a squeeze which would come as traders are already predicting the Fed could lift its benchmark another 25 basis-point rate rise by July.

>The result is that while yields on short-term Treasuries may drop on the relief of an agreement, the fall would be limited as investors try to assess what comes next.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-05-28/debt-ceiling-relief-may-be-short-as-focus-turns-to-t-bill-deluge

I better not see any Macro-posting bears in this thread

Have no debt, put aside enough for 6 months emergency fund, pay myself first 20% to save and invest, invest in myself, compounding interest for retirement but what do I buy in this shit economy there’s no future the good times are over

>>55114171
do Ramsayfags really?

now that i took a 40% haircut what do i buy to make it all back quick?

>>55114103
>>55114103
>$10
Buddy you know it used to be over $50 right?
and the bottom was $7 back in 2020

>>55114201
rice&beans

>>55114192
NTA but yes

>>55114192
Walmart marks down baked goods at 8 am. I buy a loaf every day for $1.

>>55114219
KR?

>>55114227
if you like in a HCOL area just go to the food bank
the ones here in seattle burbs are all organic shit for free

>>55114201
C3.ai obviously

>>55114237
I'd have to quit my shitty job to qualify for food banks here, the system rewards parasites

>>55114260
food banks usually don't means test, are you thinking of food stamps?

>>55114103
>>55114082
rip anon, I didnt know him and I never shall. A shallow grave is just fine.

>>55114260
you don't have to quit to get free food from food banks.

Reminder that it works until it doesn't. If fridays session wasn't exit liquidity and your last change to dodge a major bullet then I don't know what is.

>>55114280
Reminder that bobos dont get to cum

>>55114279
you can also volunteer at a food bank and bring home a weeks worth of food every day, plus everyone will look at you will admiration

>>55114280
we don't drop until we get flooded with bonds, hopefully starting next week

>>55114205
>>55114274
It was $12 not long ago! It'll go down, it has to.

If you have 100% stock rights to a wife but want to add to your female portfolio, how exactly do you keep the wife from finding out about the new stock?
Where are the best places to look for stock that can keep a secret and don’t mind you having 100% stock rights to another female?

>>55114320
>it has to.
oh anon....

>>55114378
A wife isn't a buyout. It's a merger.she gets a 50% stake in any new pussy acquisitions.

Disney stock will keep dropping for years, desantis will either win 2024 or come very close causing a paradigm shift where the technocracy comes closer to defeating the oligarch old money class that fielded trump in 2016 and made biden president in 2020. The elite old money at WEF are afraid of losing disney as its part of their establishment information wars empire they converted away from nazi supporting walt disney to saturnian worshipping. The new age elites of the technocracy weaponized the NEETs and outcasts of 4chan, using pol as a data set for their fourth reich AI that will be uploaded into neuralink to create the nazi cyborg footsoldiers to bring about helter skelter, a belief charles manson was MK ultra'd into by undercover ex nazi germany party officials in the CIA. Once florida puts disney out and has waged eugenics war with old america the technocrat elite with cyborg humans will continue the crusades against islam in europe, hence the EU's constant battle against big tech.

What’s your opinion on shorting 20 year bonds, you fucking greasy boiler room monkeys?

>>55114396
There must be some kind of loopholes to take advantage of…

predict next week's futures open

>>55114416
I love America more than probably anyone else here, but buying a bond in current year is like loaning your junkie cousin money. Anything you give him should you should kiss goodbye.

>>55114012
Shell has said they're getting out of the oil industry and into renewables lol.
Suncor. Canadian.
Activision P/E 33 oh boy.

>>55113095
>Debt ceiling raised again
>No chance of USA default
>Never getting another 1929 tier crisis
>Nothing interesting ever happens

So now what? What will the next doomer shit be? Credit debt popping? Real estate crash? Big tech AI stonks causing the new Dot Com Bubble?

>>55114462
Energy pt 2 electric boogaloo

>>55114447
Yeah that’s why I’m asking you about shorting. If there’s a fundamental shift in fixed income and bonds break down you’ll make bank shorting TLT

>>55114435
She owns 50% of all pussy in your house no matter how much pussy that actually is. She also owns 50% of all dick. But you don't get any stake in any additional dick she brings in. It's called the Jones act. It was supposed to promote union wife jobs but has become burden some and is arguably stiffling growth and competity in every sector.

sometimes you just gotta pop the pimple even if it leaves a scar

>>55114462
Oh you know, the usual. Inflation is going to run rampant. Instead of groceries being 200% more than before covid, they will be 400% higher. Wages will continue to stagnate, you will own nothing, and you'll be happy.

TWO
MORE
DAYS
before i can buy a bunch of new stooks
i know better
because
THA GREAT HEEM TO COME
is still
to come
but yet i am become bull
FILLED WITH REGRET
over all of the stooks
i
could
have
been
buying
all
along
so much clown in this world
so much clown
so
much
CLOWN
L
O
W
NIGGERS

>>55114415
ok but Ill still be able to go to disneyland right? I want to ride splash mountain again

>>55114526
kek usa getting into weimar/zimbabwe/argentina inflation will be wild ngl

>>55114415
>the oligarch old money class that fielded trump
Abolish the FBI, DHS, and NSA now.

>>55114542
Why would you give child grooming disney any of your money?

>>55114579
I dont personally care about the well being of children, I just want to ride pirates of the caribean

>>55114558
Fortunately no matter how retarded our F.E.D. is, retarded third worlders are always go above and beyond to fuck up thier shithole countries so that America is always doing relatively better.

>>55114415
What the fuck did I just read?

>>55114598
Kino ride. Small world is also pretty fun although the overall them of it is bullshit.

>>55114598
>I dont personally care about the well being of children, I just want to ride pirates of the caribean

Uh Mott Capital bros... he's melting down...

the climb continues

>>55114610
In reality, the BRICS hyperinflation is going to be wild, imagine a eurozone with like 20 Greeces kek

>>55114654
lol

>>55114668
Can a drone be traced back to the owner. This pic has real world possibilities. Imagine just dropping dog turds on people.

>>55114416
>Boiler Room
Based. Going to watch that movie gain now

>>55114652
I bet this was posted from your smartphone, hypocrite. Meanwhile Im #nophone, #neversmartphone

>>55114462
>Debt ceiling raised again
They have a deal in principle. It still has to be voted on

>>55114692
Boiler Room > Margin Call > Shelly LeBoeff Wall Street > [a few others] > Welp Of Wall Street

The Big Short is still king of the mountain.

>>55114689
I wouldn't know

>>55113095
n00b question here.
USA fixes the debt ceiling. Market goes down.
shouldn't it be the opposite?
>Now that USA has fixed their debt ceiling problem again, we know they'll keep going instead of crash the economy
that would be the reasoning, right?

>>55113171
its just a mixed shelf retard, doesn't mean they're actually going to issue any of those securities anytime soon, if at all. Just gives them the optionality to do so

>>55114733
>USA fixes the debt ceiling
The bear argument is that the treasury will create new bills to raise money after the ceiling is raised. The bills will have an attractive yield and will pull money out of the stock market

>>55114697
Nice try chud. I physically send my posts written on paper to 4chan headquarters for them to post manually.

Sold 120 tqqq weeklies, only have 40 left... Do I just ... Rebuy next week for 2 more weeks or just dump it in jepq? $30k

>>55114748
>new bills to raise money
How does this raise money instead of raising inflation?

>>55114708
The Ewan Mcgregor one was shit, Rogue Trader or something like that

>>55114787
>implying the US government and the fed are concerned about inflation
It's exactly what they want. They are trying to destroy the last remaining middle class.

i bought some boomer dividend stocks and CDs this year and am going to use the yields to work less hours per year, how is that for an investment strategy?

Markets closed tomorrow to honor dead soldiers. What a waste of a good trading day. Anyway have a good Memorial Day frens.

considering how good scallops and mussels are for the enviroment we need to make more of them

>>55114811
CDs nutz!

>>55114806
yes yes, I know, destroy middle class, CBDCs, 2030 bullshit... I know about this
but still don't understand the logic of the market going down once the debt ceiling problem is solved.

I was at walmart last night and they had a very nice dining table with a single chair all decked out with silverware and other dining essentials in honor of memorial day. That's how you do it right. Tranny companies like Target and anheuser busch need to take notes

>>55114831
Was it completed with salt and a lemon slice on the plate?

>>55114849
Yep.

>>55114787
it drains money away from circulation and into the government's account. we hit the debt ceiling in january and equities have pumped since because of a lack of supply of bills. once we get the ceiling lifted bonds will drop (rates higher) and dollar will rise, along with more disinversion of yields since yellen wants the most money raised for the minimum interest payment, so she'll start with 10-years i'd think

>>55114787
The spending will raise inflation but the issuance of new bills drains money from the stock market because the new bills are available in big quantities and have an attractive yield

>>55113231
Apple is purely an LGBT product. He may not even be gay but just pandering to his consumer base. Bullish either way.

>>55114618
A glownigger psyop. They're trying to astroturf DeSantis into office because Trump is going to go after them.

Went to MCD's this morning. Got two orders of the Big Breakfast w/hotcakes. Fucking hell it was cheap. Total cost was $11.00. What you get: each order comes with 3 decent sized hotcakes, two syrup cups, 1 biscuit, 1 egg, 1 hash brown, and a sausage patty.

>>55114870
They need to update the tradition and add a pride flag to symbolize what their children and grandchildren became when they weren’t around to raise them correctly.

>>55113095
Why aren't you fags buying skyt?

>>55114926
>two “syrup” cups
WAGMI

>>55114926
Did you eat both?
>>55114939
Don't forget minor attracted people!

>>55114942
>90nm
>current gen is 4nm

>>55114926
>max goysloping
Gross

>>55114009
>of course both drain liquidity out of the system
No, it doesn't.
The new debt issuance is going to be bought with newly created currency(debt) ex nihilo, no matter if the bidder/holder is foreign or domestic.
New debt issuance is always monetarily inflationary.
Student loan payments being continued is monetarily neutral at best but most likely still somewhat inflationary. People will go into debt to pay these payments and pay off this debt with even newer debt.
Everything's inflationary until the relinquishment of ownership. Nobody does that...

>>55114101
>when creditors lose confidence in the repayment of government debt things go to shit very fast.
lol,
lmao even

>>55114926
>cheap

>>55114975
The only thing really questionable about the Big Breakfast is the artificially flavored corn syrup. Everything else is pretty legit. MCD coffee is also pretty good. Long MCD

>META and GOOG
>too big to be bought out
>no dividend
>any share buybacks are coincidentally exactly the dollar value of SBC
How are these two stocks not just paying some Middle Manager's salary so you hold a literal virtual trading card?

>>55113574
Kek!

>>55114994
>>55114959
No. One was for me. Other was for my Wife. Figured I'd do something nice so she wouldn't have to cook this morning. Cheap; $11.00 for all that v.s two sausage & egg biscuits that'd cost almost the same.

>>55114381
I kneel.

>>55114919
>>55114652
I miss when this place wasn’t littered by foreign shills and schizo poltards.
I’m debating what to do with my 1.4m of TQQQ, getting the vibe, and instead see poverty retards screeching. If only their was a set minimum in wealth for posters.

If you followed the S&P500 since 1871, you would have just about broken even in 1932.

>>55115072
>capitalizing and punctuating the sound of laughter
ISHYGDDT

>>55114977
the treasury sells debt as securities, in return it gets cash. it then uses that cash to fund government expenses as per the budget. cash leaves the system suddenly then gets slowly resupplied with interest. net bullish, near-term bearish. inflation is peripheral to what i said in that post

>>55115149
Issuing nearly a trillion dollars of new bonds in one go is going to crash the bond market and cause more fireworks.

>>55115085
ah, ok, i missed the 2 for that part, yeah, that's "cheap" these days for sure. Did you use a coupon? WEN just went up $1 on the bags. What was 4/5/6 is now 5/6/7. I got a now $5 bag yesterday which is only the single patty jr cheeseburger but was the double stack. I used a coupon for a free baconator fries or otherwise would have said fuck that and came back and ate more pintos with corn in them.

>>55115149
No, you're thinking about it "wrongly".
Cash does not leave the system. There is no such thing.
The currency that the US govt is raising is either instantly being spent on paying back the principal of existing, maturing debt, interest rate payments on existing debt, or general governmental expenditure (pure and undiluted GDP, BTW.)
So it's only a matter of "where does the cash the government is raising coming from" and "how did it get created". First and foremost, there isn't any cash just laying around. The cash the government is raking in is newly created currency ex nihilo. No matter if it's supplied by a domestic or foreign entity.
Everything is inflationary.

>>55115209
Why would it?

>>55115209
which is why they won't, or at least try very hard not to. to be clear im not predicting a bond market crash

>>55115135
Trannies arnt welcome on any board desu.

>>55115219
system is not the most precise word so let me put it bluntly. the stock market will sell off in order to raise cash to buy new bonds at decade-high rates. when we hit the debt ceiling in january, there were no new bonds issued leading to a higher stock market. now they'll get to issue new bonds and they will be bought with cash. not sure what is confusing to you about this. again inflation is peripheral to my point

>>55114280
>back to 2011 numbers
mmmmmm yes.... the blood must keep flowing until our freezers are filled with beef and cows rain from skyscrapers.

>>55114201
This, help a nigga bear out

>>55115295
>the stock market will sell off in order to raise cash to buy new bonds at decade-high rates.
No, I don't think that this is going to happen in any amount that would drastically move the stock markets.
I for one am not of the opinion that institutional players who have access to margin or can create currency ex nihilo by themselves would feel the need to reduce their stock holdings to buy newly issued debt.

>>55115342
ok, but would they pay more or less interest on their margin than what they get from the bond? with all the selling continuing to go on outside of 10 top stocks, i think they do have an appetite for selling soon and looking for much greater returns in stocks in the long run. i only saw it on a youtube video once recently but there was a strong decline in margin last year that started to go back up since early this year, so it also seems that the appetite for margin is not so persistent

>>55114689
Every single day I think of dropping turds, frozen piss and rotten eggs by drone on my fucking neighbor

>>55115384
Have you ever done a poop patty? Take a shit in a Ziploc bag and flatten it out like a disk then freeze it. Next time your neighbor has their window cracked on their car, slide one of those bad boys in and let the hilarity ensue.

>>55115373
you have a bearish bias and you are actively seeking a thesis to prove your bias.

take a step back and look at the forest.

>>55115399
>take a step back and look at the forest.
Soon treasury bills will be yielding 5.5%+ risk free. I don't see the appeal of overvalued stocks when you can get free money handed to every month with no stress. If the market still doesn't care and keeps bidding stocks higher then rates will go higher too. Who will be buying stocks if you can get 6-7% from treasury bills heading into a worldwide slowdown?
>inb4 chatGPT infinite growth
It's a parlor trick

>>55115399
>look at the forest
i see the hidden tigers

>>55113095
anyone know any good youtube trading tutorials like swing trading that is free, this asshole is trying to sell me his (((course))) for 199.99

I want to nut
but I can’t decide what to nut go
the struggle is real boys :(

>>55113231
Humans invented the concept of hell to psychologically compartmentalise their reflexive disgust response to faggots like that.

>>55115332
>help a nigga bear out
>Roth IRA screenshot
>going bear with an IRA
I shggydggy

>>55115399
i don't agree with the bull thesis that bear markets don't exist because on average markets are bullish, nor the double standard that supposedly markets are often too bearish to go down but never too bullish to go up. instead i look to understand the machinery behind all this and am inevitably drawn to the bond market and its relative determinism

>>55115453
Just pay for some more clown pussy scoopsies. Or you can always come over to my place bb.
>>55115462
I assure you hell is very real.

>>55115453
Wait. I figured it out. Cool.

>>55115470
Thats one gangly ass ayyy

>>55115489
>Just pay for some more clown pussy scoopsies
my main squeeze has COVID so she can’t drain my balls with her throat this weekend

>>55115514
She should have got the vaxx.

>>55115421
>>55115438
We are coming close to a pause, stock prices don't factor in as a metric for interest rates, regional banks have already given the signal for massive financial stress, and inflation is currently below 3%. Keep in mind CPI has a month lag. Wonder why that dip on the CPI data was so acute? Well the market already knows inflation in the US is well under control, from a data standpoint.

The fed will hike 25 bps next month and that will be the end of it.

The bearish narrative no longer exists. Unless you're betting on Russia dropping nukes, but then you might as well be investing in prostitutes and cocaine because there's no coming back from that.

>>55115421
This time is different. M2 supply shrinking faster than great depression? Fastest hike cycle in history that is ongoing? All in on 200pe stock boys. We are going to melt the fuck up this time

>>55115445
buy low
sell high

>>55115526
Lol

What do you buy that goes up if youre unsure if the indexes will go up or down? Maybe I should become a theta harvester.

Germany?

>>55115526
>We are coming close to a pause, stock prices don't factor in as a metric for interest rates
Yes they do, so long as there is confidence in the stock market the Fed will have less pressure to cut rates
>regional banks have already given the signal for massive financial stress
The problem was patched up and everyone has already forgotten about it. If it happens again JPMorgan will just buy up more banks
>inflation is currently below 3%
I agree, but disinflation isn't bullish
>The fed will hike 25 bps next month and that will be the end of it.
That's what everyone thought last month, but here we are with another hike coming
>The bearish narrative no longer exists
Inflation is bullish for stocks because it means higher profits. Stocks are an inflation hedge. Inflation + a dovish Fed is a recipe for the golden bull run. That's why stocks went so crazy after the 2020 crash; the Fed maintained QE and ZIRP even as inflation was going crazy.
Disinflation is bearish for stocks because it means lower profits. Disinflation + higher for longer + QT is dangerous for stocks. We are now heading into a period where the Fed will keep rates higher for longer, the stock market doesn't care, and there are strong disinflation forces. Believing there isn't a bear case right now is peak euphoria. AI parlor tricks won't save the market

>>55114542
They shut down splash mountain because it's racist.

>>55115511
lol

>>55115524
she’s literally as up to date as possible on that shit. she has two booster shots and she was bothering me to get a first one.

the pharmaceutical companies have literally played us for fools.

>>55115577
>it’s real
holy shit. disney really is over.

>futures

>>55115589
Huh you look pretty cute in a dress scoopsies. You probably need to lay off the amphetamines and eat a little more though.

>>55115373
What this anon said >>55115399

>>55115570
The fed is basically backing distressed treasury and MBS assets at regional banks, offering to buy the assets at par, so I would say QT exists on paper alone. The money supply can easily expand on that as distressed regionals turn in their losers in exchange for cash.

As far as the fed talk goes, higher for longer is tough talk to keep the markets depressed. Back in 2020, the talk was about how inflation needs to increase. I don't think the fed is going to let inflation drop below 2%. If the inflation rate drops below whatever arbitrary threshold they have, then we'll see cuts. At this rate, it will occur sooner than later.

The gov passed their spending budget as always, and the freshly printed dollars will flow as always. What we're seeing in the stock market is the market frontrunning the future recovery. I mean, all you have to do is look at the yield curve to see where all this is going. The market expects rate cuts within the calendar year.

The AI boom I don't trust. Not sure if we are at the beginning, middle, or end of that hype cycle. But the market at large is still relatively depressed from its highs, and 5% risk free rate wont mean shit against a full recovery.

I think most of the risk is already baked in. Just my 2 cents

>>55115664
but do you know what their margins rates are?

>>55115676
The spending bill will never pass the house. McCarthy stomped his feet and pretended to be tough and then folded at the last second. Democrats got everything they wanted and was.even able to convince McCarthy to cut defense spending. He's a fucking cuck.

>>55115620
It's a joke. Mum wants to take us to Eurodisney next year, but I don't want my daughter to become a tranny. Not sure what do.

>>55115736
Take her to Busch gardens instead. It's cheaper and not designed to turn your children into tranny monsters.

>>55115726
desu I don't even look at that shit anymore. it's all kabuki theater to me. progressives push, conservatives bark, then the conservative heel, and conserve the new changes.

Only thing I can guarantee is that the politicians will act in their own best interests. And it's in their best interests that the USD system does not collapse.

>>55115676
>As far as the fed talk goes, higher for longer is tough talk to keep the markets depressed
So far they've been way more hawkish than expected. The terminal rate wasn't supposed to go above 3% and here we are heading towards 5.5%+. The Fed hasn't backed down on higher for longer and I believe they will go through with it. They will only cut in the event of a severe crisis. If the stock market keeps going up, people keep consuming and using their credit cards, cash buyers keep buying houses, etc... then the Fed has no pressure at all to cut. Cutting rates is a hand that the Fed can play when they need to stimulate the economy. Cutting prematurely would strip them of their power. The Fed has repeatedly said that they will not repeat past mistakes and cut too soon. They've said they prefer to overtighten instead of undertighten

>>55113370
beware the crab

>>55115760
well I guess we'll see. wish I had a crystal ball. all I can say is my time horizon is several years out, and when I've anticipated acute happenings, the market tends to be far more stubborn than I gave it credit for.

I dunno, maybe I gave up. but green is the current trend, and red is unfashionable. I would like to see red confirmed trendy before I buy a new dress

>>55115754
>And it's in their best interests that the USD system does not collapse.
You zhink zhey are in charge?

>>55115749
We don't have one of those and it's better if you're older. She's only 2 and not old enough for "the jews" talk yet. I will probly take the free holiday though and hope for the best.

>>55115816
I don't mind missing the green as much because you can get paid 4-5%+ in treasuries. It's not like previously where ZIRP forced you to take risks. Now you can just buy treasuries and get free money

>>55113370
There is a case for getting better returns from leverage if you DCA for years and decades but just a lump sum has a chance to never recover if the there is a market downturn shortly afterwards. Which isn't too unlikely to happen soon IMHO.

Regards,
SOXS holder

NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER
NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER NIGGER

>>55115863
SQQQ holder here,
How do I cope? Should I rope? Is NDX going up forever?

>>55115858
I guess my problem with that is when 5% is losing against the market. VOO is up 10% YTD, therefore you are losing 5% in money markets.

If we're being accurate on timeframe, you're losing 7.5% since we're only 6 months in. The risk right now is acceptable to me.

>>55115736
>daughter
I think it’s a terrifying time to have kids if you’re not a libtard (apparently terrifying for libtards too due to their nonsensical beliefs), but as a conservative, you basically have a duty to have kids.
Truly stick between a rock and a hard place with the libtard bullshit.

I really hope the tranny bashing stuff from BUD gets more fuel

>>55115736
>Eurodisney
the tranny stuff isn’t getting traction like it is in burgerland, right?

>>55115676
The fed does not but the treasuries. They are extend loans using treasuries that they consider at par value. Those loans originate at the fed rate of 5%.

>>55115865
based

>>55113370
No. TQQQ gets trashed in crab market just like any other leveraged etf. If you are not willing to actively manage it, do not buy it.

>>55114909
>>55114891
does this mean TMF will finally stop eating shit?

>>55115833
I shit I forgot you said euro, never mind then
>>55115889
Trying to humiliate conservatives by putting this monster at the head of one of the oldest conservative products around was the lynch pin where people said enough is enough. Boycotts work and people are fed up. Get woke go broke was always a meme until now. Look at how much money BUD and TGT have lost.

>>55115903
ah, okay, I didn't completely understand the mechanics I see

State Farm has stopped accepting homeowner insurance applications in California
>"State Farm General Insurance Company made this decision due to historic increases in construction costs outpacing inflation, rapidly growing catastrophe exposure, and a challenging reinsurance market," the insurance giant said in a statement on Friday.
Cali bros, how are we going to insure our $3MM townhomes?

Rolling to Chip "I will fuck up them crips" Roy to crash the plane with no survivor's
>>55115916
No, treasury sells new treasury bills which forces rates up. In return people sell equity to buy safer assets.

>>55115944
Allstate stopped originating new insurance plans for cars. When I went to Geico they are demanding $450 for a six month plan to insure my 2000 Ford Ranger
Lol

>>55115902
Western Europe is mere months behind America in terms of degeneracy.

>>55115963
So what the fuck are they doing? Just not doing business anymore and hoarding cash?

>>55115932
imma drink some bud light now

Weekend DOW is mega bullish and weed green: https://www.ig.com/en/indices/markets-indices/weekend-wall-street

We are going to open MEGA GREEN. Anyone who honestly thought the US was going to default is a moron. Flat out. We will melt up back to ATH from here.

Inflation is over and coming down to reasonable levels.
Russia lost war and are retreating.
China is completely isolated and cut off technologically.

Things are VERY bright for America going forward.

>>55114012
dunno I'd rather get MSFT at the same P/E basically but infinitely stronger. ATVI (especially Blizzard division) has no new successful IP:s and an aging customer base.

>>55115932
Cuckservatives have no spine.

Thinking about buying starbucks stock, Recent earning out performed plus dividend. Seems to be an easy play.

I've been watching Ukraine stocks for awhile and I've noticed that they moon whenever there is good news on the front. ENW had a really good day on Friday settling >10%. I'm thinking of a play where I buy up Ukrainian companies ahead of the offensive and sell once I think it's reached it's highpoint.

>>55114192
What's the game plan for getting a date with a US cop like this? Will they pull a gun on me if I approach and start hitting on them?

I'm British so I can just pretend to be retarded if it goes wrong.

>>55115932
why do I get the urge to punch this guy to near-death? I'm not religious but if this is the power of christ moving through me I'm convinced

>>55116045
Zoom out on the graph. It's still way too overvalued and much more likely to continue it's recent decline.

>>55116041
I think they just don’t have such an extraordinary amount of time on their hands and also don’t have the jews on their side to spoon feed them strategies

>>55116048
Oh no please don't throw me to the ground Officer Stacey
Don't wrap your thighs around my face and cuff me
Oh nooooo

>>55116033
Where did I hear this before?

>>55115445
Investopedia has some.

>>55116048
the real money is going to be in reconstruction. gonna be alot of money to bleed out of Ukraine when that begins

>>55116041
No, no they don't. Too many years of talk but no action.

>i didnt go back for her

>>55116033
Put me in the screencap when this doesn't play out how you think.

In 12 minutes we're are going to be rich futures bros

The trading YouTube really is unsalvageable, isn't it?

Holy fuck buttcorn bros, now up 3.5%. Wish I'd taken a bigger bite.

>>55115676
>so I would say QT exists on paper alone. The money supply can easily expand on that as distressed regionals turn in their losers in exchange for cash.
Unironically this.
>I don't think the fed is going to let inflation drop below 2%.
Next round of price hikes in coming anyway.
They'll make sure of it whatever it takes.
Nobody will want to part with their products or labor for less.
>If the inflation rate drops below whatever arbitrary threshold they have, then we'll see cuts.
Picrealted.
>At this rate, it will occur sooner than later.
You couldn't be more off.
>I mean, all you have to do is look at the yield curve to see where all this is going.
The yield curve is going to flatten out eventually.
This is a new paradigm.
Boomer metrics, of which muh yield curve is one, barely matter any longer.
>The market expects rate cuts within the calendar year.
These are nothing but gambling odds by degenerate addicts on withdrawal.
Recently, on a 1% down day in the S&P, the odds of a rate cut at the next FED meeting shot up more than 100%
lol,
lmao even.
As I was saying, gambling odds from degenerates on withdrawal.

The bull run continues
Breaking out the rainbow Pepe

>>55116197
yep
i started the weekend with BTC and 2 shitcoins just to have a moving line and numbers, then decided yesterday morning to sell the others and put it all into BTC which proved to be a good move, but sure do wish i would have added some icing to that cake! i'm up 3.80% presently.

>>55116197
Excuse me 4.5%*

>>55116198
I'll entertain this. What is your reasoning and based on what sources?

>futures

>>55116003
Yep. Their underwriters consider it too risky to insure someone driving for ten years with no traffic violations and other people are currently charging 2x what I was paying when I was a first time driver.

>>55116283
>What is your reasoning and based on what sources?
unironically picrelated

>>5511626>
Same here bro. Makes sense tho. Shit dropped like a rock when chinks made it illegal. Anyone who's been to a casino knows they love to gamble.

>>55113120
As long as boomers and institutions keep buying this garbage it will keep pumping

It’s not good enough that I might make it, it only counts if most Americans have no money

Bobo I tried to save you I really did. But you are a sacrifice I'm willing to make

>>55115916
>does this mean TMF will finally stop eating shit?
Maybe, it depends. If the market drops and people become convinced again that this is a bear market rally then long term bonds will rally even if short term rates go higher

You bought calls right anon?

what is the best sector now in your opinion ?

>>55116430
Semiconductors as foretold by David SOXL

Bearish thesis status: completely eviscerated.

>>55115620
>Disney World and Disneyland would be reimagined into a new attraction called Tiana’s Bayou Adventure, inspired by The Princess and the Frog.

Kek

>>55116441
Not passed yet. Only when it's passed the consequences can unravel. The Treasury will want to sell treasuries. Money gotta come from somewhere. Maybe from the pump and dump gains of the stock market?

>>55116437
for me its health sector

Does IV crush only happen on earnings? Should I be worried about it if I buy weekly options

>>55116506
What about MPW

Chad bulls win AGAIN

>>55116534
Yes, because there are always pockets of volatility around certain data releases throughout the week.

>>55116302
should have posted this instead

>>55116534
holy fuck what is this question?

>>55116534
It also happens on random news events for individual tickers, macro events depending on the sector, for index options they start to slide as the vix slides. Weeklies are fine you can get big momentum waves and wild returns but if you buy too high of a delta weekly and it goes against you doesn't matter the iv.

>>55116537
do you mean ticker. chart looks not very good. been going down year and a half.

not sure has it even bottomed yet. i guess it needs to go sideways before it can up.

>>55116550
>>55116567
thanks frens

>>55116557
I don't trade monthlies

>>55113095
I just got approved for a credit card with a $7,000 line of credit. It's my first. Unlimited cash back 1.5%. You can probably guess the one. Not a big deal but I've never had a credit card before.

What are some one cool tricks to do with a credit card that don't lead to degeneracy? I legitimately told them "I don't plan to take cash advances" or even use my $7,000 credit line, because I don't. I just wanna use this to improve my credit and do financial jiw jitsu

>>55116635
Don't treat it like anything more than a debit card that gives you improved credit and cash back for some purchases. Don't spend money you don't have. I've had credit cards for about 8 years now and never once taken interest on them because they are on auto-pay, and even that is a back up, as I pay them bi-monthly, when I update my budget after each paycheck, just to make sure they get paid off.

>>55116635
Pay the bill/pay it in full on time. This will help your score the most. Then the reward dollars is free money. Me and the wife use a savor one card when we grocery shop due to its 3% back at KR. Considering the high costs of food now well it'd be nuts to not take advantage. We pay it off monthly. The old KR rewards card helps to.Shell gas station close to home takes the kroger points so we don't gotta bother using the kroger blend of gas.

>>55116635
Put all your purchases on it to benefit from the 1.5% cash back. You also don't pay interest if you pay it off in full every month so it gives youre more financial flexability. Also since its not your money -- its safer to use it than a debt card on all transactions you were gonna make.

>>55113095
Why is that every year in history class we learned about the holocaust. Yet we never learned about slavery, bracero program, Chinese exclusion act, Irish indentured servitude, trial of tears, the Federal Reserve and the hyperinflation that cause Hitler to hate the jews?

>>55116534
Thats a nigga (male).

>>55116635
Maxxed out a credit card when I was 18. Hurt me until 27. Don't get jewed.

>>55115888
I think the bear case is stronger now than it has ever been in the past two years. The FOMO is strong but I refuse to buy stocks right now.

This is the >future you chose.

>>55116729
Damn that's crazy.

>>55116729
fake news
post portfolio, immediately

>>55116729
just rename the file? how would it even know?

>>55116705
I wish I could put all my bills on the card. Can't though. Utility bills, their websites charges a fee if I pay via credit card so that kinda defeats the point if I'm having to fork out more than I need to.

>>55116742
Probably by checking the file hash. This means it's monitoring all of the files on your computer too.

>>55116635
Charge everything on it and always pay your monthly total, not the minimum amount.

>>55116742
Behold, the reason for the AI boom

>>55116729
Micro and soft needs xp 2.0 6 years ago.

>yields

>futures

>>55116757
Is the surchage 1.5%?

>>55116635
Debtmaxxx and throw it all into precious metals. Then declare bankruptcy after an unfortunate boating accident.

>>55116774
Sure call me a retard all you want but I really don't think something like this would keep anything like that from being able to play. This seems like such an easy workaround if this is actually real. There is no way some shit like this would stop anyone from pirating.

>>55116795
Uh I've never calculated it.

>>55116826
its 1.5% back, I have only rarely done transactions where I was charged a flat fee for using credit card.

Fix this shit, Bobo.

>>55116716
What's weirdest is that, especially with the Ukraine being so much in the news lately, you never hear about Holodomor.

>>55115526
"Trueflation" is less than the Government's reports.
Holy kek
You're so stupid
Lmaooooo!!!!

>>55116283
>I'll entertain this. What is your reasoning and based on what sources?

>>55116907
>>55116907

>>55115589
i hear anorexic girls don't have periods ie they can't get pregnant
god imagine the raw sex

>>55116729
Only somewhat, the driving problem is the unending cybercrime perpetuated primarily by Slavs and Asians and facilitated by gullible Boomers.
If nobody was getting their company ransomwared because some retard opened an email link to a "kitten sale on Facebook" or plugged a flash drive they found on the train in to their work terminal because it had a "crypto wallet" sticker on it then there would be little need for these kinds of security measures and the RIAA and MPAA wouldn't be able to wedge their bullshit in with the legitimate functions just because they still have the money to pull it off (for now).
>>55116740
That was my first thought also.

>>55116934
Will or won't it be deleted? Stay tuned to find out!

>>55116937
You could also get a runner. The high endurance event ones also tend to be infertile and they'll have the energy to be more active in the bedroom.

>>55116957
lol

>>55116957
thar she blew

jannyd

>>55117478
for what purpose?

what a day

>>55117499
>>55117499
>>55117499

well lads. that was a bit of a fiasco. let's try this again:

>>55117501
>>55117501
>>55117501
>>55117501

>>55117508
2slow

>>55117508
>>55117507
n-nevermind.. haha...

Alright last post 310. No more deletions plz. Thank you.