/biz/ - Business & Finance

tfw didnt go all in on google

tfw went all in on Microsoft

Red week, gonna be a real rodeo

took some profit from bx and slurped some cheapies today

New lows or just a retest of 3900 on spx?

>>54735057
/smg/, be very honest with me
Where do you honestly see the U.S. economy in December 2023?

It's literally over tomorrow isn't it bros
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I9tgeaDwiCQ

It's almost time.

>>54735057
>Tell me why the music should go on?
AND THE BEAT GOES OOOOOOOOOOONNNNN

>>54735088
Beginning to properly enter the AI revolution with its associated productivity gains

>NOOOOOOOOOOOO YOU CAN'T JUST SAY MEAN THINGS ABOUT BIDEN'S ECONOMIC POLICIES ON /SMG/!!!!
>I'M SENDING YOU TO THE GULAG!!!

>>54735088
Ridin' spinners

>>54735104
Gotta go fast
> Gotta go fast

Lolis owe me cunny.

why are they allowed to pump it in AH

>>54735080
I will NOT be mocked in my own thread. At noon we duel.

>>54735132
By noon I'll be rich enough to hire someone to duel for me

I believe Berkshire Hathaway's earnings are going to be good but their insurance earnings are going to disappoint compared to last year and last quarter. Anyone else have any thoughts about Berkshire?

>>54735125
Nice family photo

shorting bbby and gme. nice and comfy

>>54735143
My thoughts on berkshire is I'd rather just own the s&p 500.

I'm terrified for tomorrow, I hope everything works out. This is 410C 4/26 at open anon

>>54735131
...well earnings are ah

>>54735151
Understandable, I quite enjoy the wholly owned businesses of Berkshire (Geico, BNSF, Dairy Queen, Fruit of the Loom, Duracell etc.) I believe that Berkshire will have purchased a significant amount of oil and natural gas pipelines like they are doing with OXY currently.

So, I'm late to the party, what was the reason for the dump today?

dental hygienist had big soft booba resting on me lads

>>54735248
Reality finally settling in

>>54735251
that counts as sex. congratz anon you are not a virgin anymore

>>54735248
It was so God can give us a big fat green win tomorrow!

>>54735151
I also hope that MSFT receives regulatory approval to finalize the deal acquiring ATVI. Berkshire couldn't go wrong if they receive heavily discounted MSFT stock for the price negotiated, hopefully it will become a core position like AAPL is at Berkshire.

>>54735248
Unmitigated systemic banking collapse.

>>54735057
Maybe you'll learn the proper formatting in time. Convergent evolution and whatnot.

>>54735248
Apparently literally just spooking retail so they could buy up tech stocks after hours

>>54735087
>>54735084
>>54735181

we gonna go up tomorrow

you still gonna lose everything on your call option tho haha

>with 50% of america still needing to be recreational
THE WHY IS MSOS DOWN?! WHY IS TLRY DOWN?! WHY IS THE CANNABIS MARKET IN THE SHITTER?!,??! HONK HINK HONK HONK HONK HONK

>>54735143
all earnings seem to be worse than the last, which isnt a good trajectory

>>54735248
A purely technical we have double topped on SPY is playing out. We need a good guidance from both earnings season and FOMC coming up to make a decision one way or another. Or we might just keep crabbing because one portion of the investment community just won't stop buying while the other is screeching everything is overvalued given the circumstances. Also if you read all this, you wasted your time because I have no fucking idea what I am talking about.

>>54735273
get fucked druggie pothead faggot

FRC gave up all of its postmarket gains lol.

>>54735288
I’m glad you are upset. I hope you are completely invested in ESG ya mentally ill troon. Not my fault Biden economy

>>54735268
likely more crab. pce numbers on thursday and friday are likely good, housing data tomorrow and on wednesday are bound to suck. copper already dumping in expectations

>>54735248
ive got a better question mumu:
what WASNT the reason for the dump today

Does anybody know how much is left in the FDIC insurance fund after the last several bank failures?

>>54735298
I bet you bought the top too HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAAHAHAHAHHA

>>54735301
back to opening level imo

>>54735274
It's priced in

>>54735320
Didn't they sell SVB at a profit?

>>54735279
sounds like what i have tried to astro turf for the past week

>>54735320
About $3.50

>>54735333
No?

>>54735274
microsoft was better

>>54735333
that was Credit Suisse I think

>>54735334
how could you speak such lies to this impressionable community?

>>54735268
We should go up tomorrow, but then we have META earnings after market close, we have a BoJ announcement Friday, and we’ll have the possible failure of FRC looming over us all week. Microsoft helped us out a lot, but we’re not out of the woods yet. We also don’t know how the market will react to a 25 bps hike assuming FRC can survive the week

>>54735354
technically its correct, money supply down and spx crab equals theoretical double top. And the rest is just 2 more weeks wrapped in a story

The FDIC's website isn't loading. Bearish.

>>54735344
>>54735351
I'm looking back at it now. The FDIC sold it for $0 upfront, but the buyer also took on $35b in debt to the FDIC at 3.5% interest. So i dunno, do that accounting however you like

nasdaq, bitcoin, reits in good locations, gold everything is too expensive to buy
what are you waiting on sidelines to buy anons?

>>54735363
im planing on shorting tomorrow again

It's figuratively over tomorrow, isn't it?

>>54735394
I am going to see if OXY goes under $59 or INTC hits $25-$26 while keeping an eye on the macro because it won't be funny if I get the rug pulled under me despite support from Buffet buying OXY and INTC's $24 per share "book value"

>>54735408
It's quite literally Joever (tm)

I hate to be blunt at a time like this, but let me just state the obvious. I’ll put it bluntly: There will be no recovery after this week.

>>54735394
May is around the corner time to walk away, was time to take profits and enjoy the first summer in 3 years without a tyrannical still hyped up non shamed nazi like population of vaxx and mask fetishists

>>54735273
>>54735298
Just grow your own lol you will be happier for it.

>>54735430
>Joever
So poetic for the situation. It's like his name was chosen just for that joke.

>>54735436
Good I am way above my buy in and was getting tired of averaging up.

>>54735394
>what are you waiting on sidelines to buy
a house

ASTS tested their satellite voice and data tech on 4/20. Too bad they or ATT waited for a red day like today to announce.

>>54735394
the winning currency.

>>54735379
>money supply down
What part of DeDollarization means money is low?

>>54735363
Please I hope you're right, I lost 7k today because I was being reckless. I need to make it back tomorrow or my life is unironically in the gutter fuck me. Tomorrow's gotta be green bro

>>54735478

>>54735460
Boomers will ban construction of new homes to see us remain thier serfs.

If any of you faggots had a brain, you'd be screaming stock prices and land prices are too cheap, while the faggots of the rest of the world try to spend their former petro-dollars buying up your businesses and lands. And then, when they've bought hotels in the shitty parts of town, you'd tell them everything was too expensive, and foreclose on their shit.
Not that I want to rob them, just that that's how you'd avoid being owned by China, or some asshole Asian of almost any color (excepting Koreans and Nips) who know exactly what everything should look like, but has zero fucking engineering bloodline to fathom the backbone of a structure to get one that works.

>>54735482
M1, though its doesnt really mean anything, is down throughout the western hemisphere, so the statement money supply is down/low is not wrong

>>54735498
no more whining about Appalachia and rural communities lack of internet and phone services will be an unironic godsend. Fuck those government programs.

>>54735498
seems like a scam to me. I'm not buying the phone is unmodified. is there a base station somewhere?

>>54735438
Hopefully. I sold all my gold miners few days ago and already fudding myself about it

>>54735498
Shit you not, I was day-dreaming about basically this yesterday, have never fucking heard of this company.

>>54735559
as long as you took profits and didn't realize loses why fomo yourself. there are always going to be good and bad entries, but profits are profits

>>54735251
Ive had two dental hygienists who act a little too nice or so I think
>girl #1: threw what felt like an interview/interrogation style plethora of questions at me
>"where do you live, what car do you drive, what do you work in" would ask more details on some of my answers

>girl #2: very friendly but is fat, however her face, voice, and personality is very alluring
>acts very sweet, asks about personal stuff, shares personal stuff shes done and goes into detail about them
>got out of her car once when I was unaware that she was there (lunch) while passing by, she could've stayed in there hidden in the backseat by tinted windows but chatted me up instead

How to make the Best Economy Ever™:
>massively cut domestic energy production, creating a price shock
>totally ignore supply chain shortages because your transportation secretary is busy slurping semen out of another man's asshole
>pursue inflationary policies on every possible front
>fuck up your foreign policy so that you look weak on the world stage
>weak foreign policy stance causes *more* (!!) energy price shocks in eastern europe
>drain the strategic petroleum reserve to win the midterms
>piss off your (former) oil-producing allies by continuing dump from the SPR and push sexual degeneracy on their religious conservative societies
>the inflation you caused leads to the Fed tightening fiscal policy into a recession
>redefine the meaning of a recession so that it doesn't apply to you
>send an army of federal agents to gaslight and threaten anyone on the internet who suggests that you fucked up the economy

>>54735490
I don’t know if it’ll stay green all day, but I think we’ll see green tomorrow. Having FRC and META looming over everyone may cause some issues though. We also have no clue what curveball Japan can throw at us. Will they continue on their current path of stubbornness, or will they finally loosen up a bit and make their bond yield reflect reality?

>>54735588
If only the libs could deliver deglobalization with less faggotry.

>>54735394
not lookin to buy
lookin to sell
but your mom
is only offering
$1000
for a night
with me
and I said shit, bitch, you betta reconize. she said she would go suck a bunch of dick for 50 cents each to save up and meet my price. it is going to take her a looooooooooooooooooooong time.

>>54735590
Calls at open a good idea? Or do you think there will be a sell off at open post earnings/

>>54735588
credit where credit is due, 12 months crab after a short but intense dump is annoying and I never want to have to deal with theta in a way I had to dea with over the past 10 months, but spx beaten thanks joe, for not completely fucking up

>>54735635
no one knows
don't rely on that shit
have a good idea of what you are doing and why
or do not do it

>75% of my portfolio is MSFT
>mfw

I check my ameritrade account once every few days and was surprised to see such a jump lel

>>54735669
BLESSED

>>54735635
I’m doing spy and qqq at open, but I’m sure as hell selling before close. Don’t hold overnight with META earnings, and pray FRC survives. If FRC fails it’ll likely fail on Friday, unless the FDIC/Fed wants to help out the BoJ and fail it on Thursday. Market will go ballistic if BoJ does something retarded and then FDIC takes over FRC on the same day

>>54735658
I'm out of options, put myself in a really bad situation. If I dont make back what I lost today, it's actually over for me
>>54735688
God willing brother, I'm buying calls at open sharp. Hope luck is in our favor

>>54735688
would be a good story for a local top and likely catch a bunch of fomo and exit liquidity

>>54735255
>sex
Sexo

>>54735590
FRC looks to me like they'll make it, but it's gonna be close. They won't reasonably be paying a dividend for two and a half to four years, and it won't be clear their direction for at least 2 years, depending on the SF housing market.
Even though they only lent to super high quality buyers, imo SF was way over-priced, for a very long time. Even good borrowers can default when they can't work or find a buyer. Really really close. The notes they're selling will help, and they should cover. I think they'd be wise to unload many of their SF notes in large parts as well, to balance towards their cash, imo. which will reduce book value since they'll have to take value cut to liquidate, but offer that needed cash infusion to cover higher interest rates and reduce any reliance on Receivables as a value prop. That's not a big deal, I don't think.
They opened offices in Connecticut, and apparently have offices in numerous places across the US, and getting in on assets that aren't in SF should be a good way to help secure their income. Trading Land for Bonds right now isn't a bad play for some income security. Until Aunt Yellin rings a bell and calls time?

what happens if

>>54735460
COIN puts

niggers take over america

>>54735744
It's already leaked out that they're being taken over by the government.

>>54735733
Jesus, why is Baggie so greasy?

>>54735688
Meta going bust would be so damn funny

i kept saying "ill just make 1k and then Ill buy the shoes I want". Then I made 1k and I thought "I dont want my account balance to go down, i need another 1k to get the boots and keep my gains". I now have made 10k gains in a month and still havent bought boots.

>>54735768
>>54735688

Did they actually cancel their Metaverse shit or was that fake news?

>>54735761
They're in a situation, especially at this stock price, where they could liquidate assets to cash and convert to higher yield paper, and be clear in 8 months, imo. But so far they seem to be aiming for borrowing from the market, with a large number of deposit shares. They could keep all their accounts paid but they'd have to cut their holdings. I don't think government takeover is needed, and the share price already shows for a contraction well beyond what they'd need just to buy some T-notes.

ZIVB bros I don't know how much more I can take.. you may have to.. go on without me

>>54735273
Weed is more expensive than chocolate and is heavily taxed, what a retarded headline

I think these foundation people just tried to pull a fast one one me. Because why the fuck is two push piers costing roughly 7,800$ AFTER a 25% discount?

>>54735787
pics or it didn’t happen faggot

>>54735801
They're hiring a bunch of consultants to negotiate directly with the Biden Admin. Everything seems to be pointing to them relying on some kind of bailout.

I have GOOG puts expiring next week. should I just sell at open and try to snag META calls?

i've never heard any of this 'check your privilege' stuff in the real world but today i was leaving panera and there was a black kween telling some old boomer that he needed to 'put his privilege aside' and wait behind her in line... not sure what precipitated it, who cut who or whatever
the boomer looked shook and just kept shaking his head and saying 'i don't believe it' and doing that kind of half mocking laugh thing like he was looking for others to come to his defense

>>54735273
Because all the famous pot brands like stizzy are privately owned. All the publicly traded weed companies are garbage

>>54735829
you want a picture of my shoe collection?

>>54735851
Wow, you should have reported that white supremacist chud to the FBI.

>>54735796
I can't imagine them actually cancelling that. Shelving it maybe until better economic conditions pan out for their VR shilling, but not scrapping it outright.

>>54735787
I remember saying when I make 100k I'm going to pull out 20k and remodel my kitchen and do some repairs to the house. I ended up over a million at the peak of the Covid bubble. Now I'm down to a bit over 200k
>kitchen still looks the exact same

Is it too late to start buying MSFT?

>>54735857
That’s what you said didn’t happen so by process of elimination you should have already figured out I wasn’t talking about that

Now cut your tongue out, nigger.

>>54735851
white chuds should know their place

>>54735688
Why is BoJ being so hyped? Since when is Japanese monetary policy relevant?

If anyone is brave enough to go to reddit, you should grab as much BBBY loss porn as possible.

>>54735844
>META calls
Feels too obvious, I don't think they'll miss but idk every retard is probably betting on them pumping AH

>>54735911
>my place

>>54735919
Since they widened their YCC band out of fucking nowhere a few months ago. That created the giant sucking sound you heard of Jap capital repatriating.

>>54735909
You could have meant that I didnt not buy the boots.

>>54735934
>Jap capital
Japital.

>>54735711
>it's actually over for me
don't be retarded
don't be a pussy
i am 50 years old and lived through shit
you wouldn't believe
don't be retarded
don't be a pussy
just find a good path
a good path
don't let your preconceived notions
and expectations
blind you
to finding a good path
a good path
go to church
walk with God

>>54735831
Hell yeah. Why dump assets and lose value when you can let DC tax the entire fucking country instead?
To be fair, they didn't ask for COVID, but it's hard to call Twitter and Meta failures the result of the shutdown. Really, not rational, since people spent more time online.
Would be kinda funny if Chans telling Elon to buy Twitter turned into SF housing markets collapsing. Excepting that this would lead to faggots scattering like roaches, completely deserved, imo.

You know, if I was a federal agent assigned to political cleanup duty for Joe Biden, I would probably kill myself.

>>54735131
so you can't dump on them anon. it's not a coincidence the largest moves ALWAYS happen AH

>>54735974
or, you know,
just quit
and get
another job
retard

>>54735974
No idea how anyone in that administration sleeps at night.

>>54735960
It's for my mental well-being. If I dont make the 7k, I know for a fact I'll be grumpy whiny and bitchy all throughout my break and ruin summer for myself. I have to make it all back tomorrow

>>54735994
Being a foreign agent can do wonders for your concern when your target is slaughtering itself.
POWW, because even "shitty" ammo is worth more than none.

>>54735996
oh no
not grumpy for
a few weeks
ooooh
nooooooooo
oooooooo
oooooo
oooo
oo
o

>>54735987
NSPY

Imagine looking at the most recent pic related and thinking there won't be a recession and stocks won't correct at least 20% from here. The fed is holding rates at 5.25% through the year. There will be no cuts. They already said unemployment will go up. High unemployment, rates maintained above inflation after the sharpest rate increase in history guaran-fucking-tees a big recession. The "soft landing" delusion is pure copious and your portfolio will be obliterated. The fed can't come out and say this as they have to sugar coat it for political reasons but rest assured they know what's coming. You have been warned

>>54736044
I can't believe not even 5% rates are assfucking everything.

>>54736055
They are, but we live in an age of universal deceit.

>>54735080
>main portfolio is 17% microsoft

>>54736055
>Long
and
>Variable
lags

>>54736062
11.5% of my total assets are MSFT
...though, I used to work there and never sold my stock

What server are you guys playing in?
Is everyone here in NYSE?

>>54736055
Corporate America got drunk off 0% rates and free money. This created an illusion of extreme profitability that was completely unsustainable. We are now living through the consequences of that delusion

>>54736044
High rates don't mean stocks go down.

>>54736055
Cause they're doing the boiling frog thing. Unlike in the 80's when that one dude did the 18% hike in one go. Wham 18% hike no fuss no nothing. V.S now it's oh hey 0.25% here, 0.25% there. Meanwhile the masses just roll over and sleep right on.

>hood dying
fucking finally

>>54736044
I'm stuck between dropping back to 1% or raising. I can't decide which makes more sense, and some of it is simply out of our control to some degree.

But if you keep interest rates high in the US through Dedollarization, it's a fair assumption that in many markets local buyers won't be the ones paying taxes in a few years, which is probably the most regular way the US destroys notes. Your real control on your own national outcome is diluted, while much of the profits go across the seas to empower even more buying. Foreign interests necessarily hold foreign allegiances as well, so your real political power is made less safe.

So you want lots of your own money moving too, so the prices aren't too low and one country can't just buy up huge swathes and start doing patrols or some shit. But this means you're intentionally inflating prices, making it harder for the poorest in your lands, and putting homes out of reach for first buyers.

I think Mr. Powell was doing very well, but it's possible there's nothing accounting for shitty foreign policy from a diaper wearing pedo.

>>54736055
5% is nothing. You should expect 3-4% no matter what. That said, above notes make question for me.
>>54736132
No, I think Dedollarization has changed the playing field, and you faggots may get your near free cash before you know it.

You bought calls right anon?

>>54736106
A Fed study has shown that corporate tax + interest costs ate up a little under 50% of EBIT in the early 2000s, but by 2021 this had fallen to a little above 25%. Sharp rate increase leads to lower profit expectations leads to equity repricing

>>54736168
I bought 5 niggers instead to work on my ranch.

>>54735994
They sleep very well at night. After the dominion lawsuit you can never question the legitimacy of an election ever again. They can rig every presidential election from now until eternity with absolutely no worries of being caught

>>54736182
>the hard truth

>>54736168
Do you want to hear a joke? The Federal Bureau of Investigation.

>Brokers
https://pastebin.com/F1yujtVq

>Stock Market Vocabulary
https://pastebin.com/VtnpN5iJ

>Risk Management
https://pastebin.com/sqJUcbjp

>Live Streams
https://www.newslive.com/american/cnbc.html
https://www.newslive.com/american/bloomberg-television-business.html

>Educational Sites
https://www.investopedia.com/
https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain

>Options (do not trade these just because you read all these links)
https://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/
https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.com
https://www.optionstrat.com/
https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices

>Free Charts
https://www.tradingview.com

>Screeners
https://www.finviz.com/
https://www.tradingview.com/screener
https://www.etfdb.com/
https://www.finscreener.com/

>Pre-Market Data and Live Data
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures

>Boomer Investing 101
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started

>Dividend Reinvestment (DRIP) calculator
https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculator

>Calendars
https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar
https://www.investing.com/dividends-calendar
https://www.earningswhispers.com/calendar
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/calendar.htm
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html

>Misc
https://www.market24hclock.com/
https://www.squeezemetrics.com/monitor
https://www.tradingeconomics.com
https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com
https://www.finance.yahoo.com/research
https://www.finsight.com/bond-screener/corporate-bonds

Prev: >>54732388

>>54736182
There was no lawsuit. Only a settlement and agreement that nothing specific would be said either way
MCD, because warren buffet eats there, and he's an old fag.

>>54736168
why do we shill options over margin on this board when by and large, most options expire worthless? Like 3 anons use spreads.

I have no dick but I must coom

>>54736055
Because they are basing that off of how 5% rates "caused" the Housing bubble to pop in 2007 despite it being 1-2% interest rates that caused the bubble in the first place. They aren't looking at the underlying factors or how different the economy is now. They also have forgotten that banks profit more from higher rates in the long run and that people were still taking out loans with double digit interest. They are also tend to ignore that when Volker was rape hiking the markets we went through the greatest bull market since the 50s.

>>54736154
Dedollarization is a meme like the Euro. creating a new money doesn't end the dollar over night or even really hurt it that much. Keep in mind the selling point of the dollar is that the US is one country vs the EU and BRICS who are multiple countries with varying economies.

It's neat in theory but what happens to the BRICS when Russia or SA shit the bed or India and China have an issue? Who is in charge of this? How interconnected are these countries really? What happens when corrupt Russian, Brazilian or SA politicians try to do something retarded or collapse their respective economies.

If anything this sounds like a nightmare for China. Much like how Germany and France have to tard wrangle and payoff the debts of other EU members.

>>54736207
>no list of exchanges

The crab is winning, I can't believe it

>>54736055
It kicks ass though because Robinhood gets short dated bills then lets us have 4.4% on our uninvested cash against them.

>>54736246
$hood

>>54736211
>Only a settlement and agreement that nothing specific would be said either way
That's even worse. There will never be another republican president in our life time because of Dominion, unless foreign entities hack their hilariously soft security and shoe horn one in.

>>54735057
Kazuo Ueda was a brilliant economist, known for his groundbreaking theories on monetary policy and his innovative approaches to financial regulation.

One day, while studying the latest economic data from around the world, Ueda came to a startling conclusion: the global financial system was on the brink of collapse. He saw a perfect storm brewing, with soaring debt levels, speculative bubbles, and systemic risks that threatened to bring down the entire system.

With a sense of urgency, Ueda began to sound the alarm, warning his colleagues and policymakers of the impending crisis. But no one seemed to listen. They were too busy chasing profits, and too complacent in their belief that the system was too big to fail.

Undeterred, Ueda decided to take matters into his own hands. He began to strategically invest in various financial instruments, taking advantage of the very imbalances he had identified. He knew that by doing so, he was risking his own reputation and career, but he felt it was a necessary sacrifice in order to expose the fragility of the global economy.

As the months passed, Ueda's investments began to pay off. His portfolio was growing exponentially, and he was quickly becoming one of the wealthiest economists in the world. But at the same time, the cracks in the global financial system were becoming more and more apparent. Stock markets were crashing, banks were failing, and currencies were plummeting in value.

Soon, the entire global economy was in freefall, and Ueda's investments had become a key driver of the collapse. The world watched in horror as the financial system crumbled, wiping out trillions of dollars in wealth and sending shockwaves through every corner of the planet.

In the aftermath of the crisis, Ueda was widely criticized for his role in the collapse. He was stripped of his academic titles and expelled from the economics community, his name forever associated with one of the most catastrophic events in human history.

>>54736212
Options are basically margin…

>futes
Did you bobos close your shorts today?

>>54736212
>Like 3 anons use spreads.
Because those guys are retards who haven't figured out it's all goombling. Pick a direction. You have a 50/50 shot of bring right at any given time. I don't care what the past data says. That's midwit tier.

>>54736291
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

>>54736278
yeah but the yen isn't a hedge anymore

>>54736263
I once had that happen to me once
Your disgusted face only makes me harder, bitch

>>54736291
unironically did. now we can close the gap and I can ride spy down again.

We ultra-giga-nigga dump when FRC announces that they are winding down operations.

>>54736219
There was some interesting discussion around China being nervous about the Renminbi being externally held, because it could ruin their ability to shit on their own people. It's reasonable for a paranoid nation, with at least 4 languages, and a highly questionable creation mythology compared to reality, and no cultural history to speak of. The use of Gold by Russia sounds good, but then you have to consider it's Oligarch Russia, it's Russia, and then, the primary income is still resource sales, which can be all or nothing for lengthy periods, and can be undercut by discoveries at any time.
The question for the US is what can it provide that will either soak those notes, or keep the interest in holding them as USD. And I've said it before, that's Goods, and Services, or whores and land. And you don't want the last two as your exports, or you only end up with whores.
MMM, DOW, F, ADM, CMI, this kind of stuff, if you can make it in the US, makes a big big difference. You'd even want TSLA doing ZIM to Africa before you'd want Elon building GigaDjibouti.
And we have quality engineering teams that can work anywhere on earth, we just have to get them translation services.
And then there's Aerospace and Guns. Get some BA designs that can integrate drone deployment, or specialize as missile platforms, or some anti-drone LMT platforms... fuck if I know.

>>54735590
>META
They're gonna mention AI 20 times during their conference call and it's gonna pump no matter how bad the report looks

>>54736278
>Ueda was widely criticized for his role in the collapse. He was stripped of his academic titles and expelled from the economics community, his name forever associated with one of the most catastrophic events in human history.
Yea but what was his net haul on the short position?

>>54736350
The banking system is safe, sound, and resilient.

>>54736332
Kek, I can see futes reversing in the morning

>>54736350
ONLY QUADS CAN KILL THE ULTRA-GIGA-NIGGA DUMP

>>54736085
private server
PKing allowed

>>54736304
It's even worse than 50/50. Due to spreads, option market makers are never going to let you open a spread that has positive expected value no matter which side you take. Do the math on any spread and you'll see the EV is about zero but then actually open the spread. When you're done adjusting the legs slightly to actually get the trade and then recalculate you'll see the EV is always slightly negative. And if you don't have to make any adjustments that just means the Greeks moved slightly against you but just enough to put you in negative EV territory. The only way around this is to be very good at predicting future direction of the market and almost nobody can consistently do that. At best you lose money slowly. Anybody who denies this forgets the crucial upshot: you're trading against professional market makers. Not retail, not tutes, but market makers with automated systems that constantly "do the math" and will let nothing with positive EV slide through

I didn't pay attention to the news today, why is VTI down 1.7% today? Some more banks failed or something?

>>54736373
SHAZAMA PAJAMA
PAJAMA SHAZAMA
>repeats 1000x

>>54736366
CBDCs are safe and effective
Trust the bank experts

>>54736391
Why do you hate America? This will never happen.

>slurped SOXL right after the market closed

Frankly I'm not worried about my FRC investment. I didn't risk a lot. (10.40 avg). If I lose it, meh, hey just another tax break for me to claim. Making up the money won't be a big deal either. Winter is over. Natural gas bill will be falling like rock.

>>54735057
You guys are buying Mastercard(MA) calls right??

>>54736391
You're literally seeing the great reset happen before your eyes and there will still be people that will call you a conspiracy theorists despite that

>>54736431
Just like V!

>>54736379
>The only way around this is to be very good at predicting future direction
If they could do that they wouldn't feel the need to short that OTM call while longing the ATM call would they? They would just pick a direction.
>Do the math on any spread and you'll see the EV is about zero but then actually open the spread. When you're done adjusting the legs slightly to actually get the trade and then recalculate you'll see the EV is always slightly negative.
I have experienced this with my own trading.

>>54736453
Yes

>>54736446
Klaus sounds great, but realistically, the US Congress is full of people invested in Equities and the USD, at least in small businesses. They lose some ability to get blowjobs from college interns if they don't have their currency to look as rich as their offices project.

>>54736263
what a chad

>>54736507
You have no idea what goes on behind the scenes or how these people think.

>futures
HOLY SHIT TECH BROS

>>54736382
The market is a liquidity junkie and he's just now getting the shakes. We warned you people about the TGA.

>>54736507
>US Congress is full of people invested in Equities and the USD
>They lose some ability to get blowjobs from college interns if they don't have their currency to look as rich
This. Those power hungry nigger lovers are greedier than me and I will profit off that :)

>>54736542
IM RUINED

>>54736507
>>54736548
CBDC will give them complete power over everything. They own land and businesses, they dont need fiat. Looking like modern day kings will be enough to get them all the bjs they want.

>>54736462
>they could do that they wouldn't feel the need to short that OTM call while longing the ATM call would they? They would just pick a direction
In fairness a spread either narrows or widens and depending on whether you're short or long you're betting on the width going in a particular "direction" but otherwise you're absolutely right

>>54736560
>CBDC
It will be a digital dollar. 1/1 conversion.

>>54736168
Yes last week

Zoom out. This is some tech bubble and real estate bubble packaged together. Tech is being a stubborn asshole and overvalued because of stupid hyping. Quality REITs recovered from the 2006-2008 crashing. But CRE loans are not adjusted to higher interest rates yet and their managers are being dividend baiting assholes. The plan is to wait in cash and ignore the inflation FUD by mumus deployed by fegelein. Fegelein is a permabull bastard stay strong bobos we will deploy cash and not get rugged by his tactics.

>>54736350
That won't happen until Thursday or Friday. Tomorrow should be green due to Microsoft

>>54736546
another 2008 could be fun but only if I get to keep my job

>>54736575

>>54736601
Anon, look at the layoff announcements. There won't be any jobs left by this time next year.

I fucking hate the stock market. Every time MSFT posts good numbers for a quarter, the market shits the bed the same day.
Fuck this gay Earth.

>>54736590
Mein Fuhrer... Mein Fuhrer the futures are green...

>>54735711
Hope is a poor hedge anon. You do know right now you are in mindset in which you should absolutely not trade right?

>>54736611
It is great that at least 70% of people plan to quit their jobs this year. What a coincidence.

>>54736564
To me I see spreads the way the IRS does, as individual positions. I'm long an ATM call and short an OTM call and the market then goes up, I don't look at it as 1 position, because it's not. I'd just be mad I'm getting heemed on the short call even if I'm still technically profitable due to the width of the spread. Because I'm a direction picker. I'd rather just long a cheaper contract or less contracts to limit dollar exposure. Then cut out quick if I'm wrong.
>Then cut out quick if I'm wrong.
This is the main point here. You have to have the discipline to do it, which I have not always in the past. But it's just so absolutely necessary. More important than taking the gain for me.

AI is a cheap scam

How do I long the DJI tomorrow? Whats the best exposure?

>>54736611
If there are no jobs how will anything get done? We'll all just sit at home and starve to death while AI grinds us down to a thin paste?

>>54736590
>tech bubble and real estate bubble packaged together.
Because the techniggers got all the cheapass infinity dollars. I feel like SVB and First Republic are going to be awful for California's real estate.

>>54736621
>shits the bed the same day.
He didn't say anything about tomorrow

>>54736642
>Boomers retiring is somehow Millennials fault
Just because I asked that old ass Gary why he was still working here despite being almost 70 doesn't mean it is my fault he is retiring!

>>54736590
One thing you can say for the bond market, at least they are consistent in their delusion. After the bank fiasco the bond market immediately priced in 4 rate cuts by the end of the year. This is preposterously delusional and I would expect better but at least it's consistent and somewhat rational. The fed is consistent in its messaging of no rate cuts. They are bumbling fools but, like the bond market they have been consistent in the messaging of late
However the utter shared hallucination that is the current equity market is a site to behold. Look at pic related. Just an eternal fight to the death between Mumus and Bobos. You can't get tickets to a more entertaining shitfest. What'll it be next week? Stay tuned and find out! One thing for sure they will all somehow manage to lose money despite one or the other being "right?

>>54736590
There's also a corporate debt and auto debt bubble.

>>54736626
I am afraid it is over... We must abandon the bobo bunker, jerome has us surrounded with more QE...

>>54736698
>auto debt bubble.
Oh yeah, I forgot about that one. Buy one get one free cars when?

>>54736657
Yes. Why? Did you think we were on track for the good ending?

>>54736590
I don't know what any of this means desu but it's going to dump in the morning because I have calls

check em

>>54736654
Don't forget you can make money on a scam

My portfolio has gone +55% in a month and +120% in the last 3 months and part of me thinks I'm a trading god and unlocked the secret to reading charts but internally I'm still so fucking scared to make any play that messes up my gains holy shit.
Last week up until today was so flat and I still risked it and thankfully made a modest +4% which boost my confidence I guess
(today I made +8%)

>>54736656
UDOW. Or DIA if you're a pussy. Are you a pussy?

>>54736720
>but internally I'm still so fucking scared to make any play that messes up my gains
Never lose that. Protect the bag at all costs.

>>54736720
You're rolling it into Bonds right... right I mean at least Indexes... right?

>>54736678
Uh I plan on retiring in 14 years. My pension will be as fat as it's gonna get. Now I could retire sooner, 8 years, but I'd be leaving easy money on the table. Sides 54 is not what it used to be.

>>54736707
I'm eyeballing an excavator, maybe some other machinery.

>>54736656
All in max leverage on YM futures contracts like a real man

>>54736745
rolling indexes exactly

>>54736750
Forgot to add the punch line
>and you can do it right now instead of waiting

>>54736757
You anon... you will make it. I am glad someone will...

>>54735080
2x eoy

Can any of you white autists explain to me what a funko pop is?

>>54736630
Holy shit dicks.
I’m literally down like $100k and mostly just shrugged it off

>>54736809
it’s the thing that a cück or a simp buys for getting pegged with

>>54736630
>3 degrees and still poor

>>54736707
They will give evs away for free to mark their books down

>>54736814
I've lost 35k and shrugged it off too. Sucks, but it only drives me forward to be a better trader.

>>54736630
I wont be happy if I dont get it, you dont understand. I wont be able to function like a human unless I have it, I've cornered myself into a place which I hate to be in and if I dont crawl back out, it's straight over for me.

>>54736884
We always risk too much money at the start.

>>54736746
What are these markets really?

please make it end

We’ve gotta pop by the market, Dump SPY. It's gonna be a nice one too.
>The what? Dump SPY? What do we need to dump SPY for?
Why in the hell do you think we just pumped all that money on SPY? The whole point of pumping SPY in the first place is to get the holders nice and tipsy topside, so we can take em to a nice comfortable place below deck, and you know… they can’t sell. Because of the implication.
>Oh, uh… okay. You had me going there for the first part. The second half kind of threw me.
Dude, dude, think about it. The investor is in the middle of a Bear Market with some ETF they barely understand. The investor looks around and what do they see? Nothing but red seas. “Ahhh, there’s nowhere for me to run. What am I going to do? Sell?”
>Okay… that seems really dark.
Nah, it’s not dark. You’re misunderstanding me bro.
>I think I am.
Yeah, you are. Because if the investor wanted to sell, then the answer is obviously sell.
>No. Right.
But the thing is they're not going to sell. They would never sell. Because of the implication.
>Now… you’ve said that word, “implication” a couple of times. What implication?
The implication that things might go wrong for them if they decide to sell SPY. Not that things are going to go wrong for them, but they're thinking that they will.
>But it sounds like they don’t want to sell SPY?
Why aren’t you understanding this?

>>54736879
Hell yeah free lithium fires.

Mumus are delusional. Get out while you still have something to get out with

>>54736900
PS how do I trade vix1d? Which broker?

>>54736909
Best I can do is 410 EOD

>>54736923

>>54736931
Actually, I just found a corrupted .gif in my Pepe folder, and I wanted to try uploading it to see if it work here here, but apparently the image got dropped. So now I will never know what that Pepe .gif was...

>>54736923

Less money means stock spy go down?

it didn't closed FLAT!

>>54736965
Now we enter the 5D crab

>>54736920
They are such a scam tech when we cpuld just develope clean engines that run on pure renewable biofuel. Instead they are spending billions on ev scams that dont make sense since the electricity to charge them is produced by fossil fuels to begin with and on top of that the resistance is poor.

Uh ©2023 Mott Capital bros... it's over...

I am on a hilarious rabbit hole on twitter where i'm watching le heckin redpilled black men just rant about how terrible women are. its fucking hilarious, just a ton of black men literally posting videos of black preacher-types yelling off Southern Baptist style prayers about how women are evil scammers who suck you out of money.

https://twitter.com/SannieDaara/status/1651053870339051522

Ticker symbol TWTR

>>54736925
You can't trade VIX1D, it's just an index. Closest you can get is trade weekly VIX index options that expire that day

>>54737007
Bringing up the Hebrew question to Blacks is unironically one of the most whitepilling experiences as they start to list off the crimes of those people.

>>54736278
AI script writer ANON.

>>54736408
The only thing keeping people sane is abundance. Once that goes, everyone joins brics. Everyone.

>>54737007
Go long on dominican republic thots. It used to be a sex pat mecca.. But so many americans down there simping for hoes the thot indexed is in severe overbought.

Spoiler alert: Nasdaq closes red tomorrow

>>54737037
I'm a naive ranjeet who doesn't ever interact with black people, is the "Hebrew question" wrt blacks basically where blacks act like the OG semites and start ranting about modern huhhhwhite jews? Like the guys in NYC. This the Black Hebrew Israelites of Harlem thing?

>you have been visited by the stock chart of doom. Any time anyone posts this chart, it’s over. Take instant -30% now plus -5% daily until -100%.

>>54737090
Oh shit call Hasbro and get them to make stocks Magic Cards.

>>54736958
M2 decline, less money to spend and invest = lower equity prices

>>54737090
We're actually at Disbelief.

>>54737090
what if I have a well-diversified port that includes cash, bonds, and
>foreign exposure
?

>>54736958
More money in the system = more excess money --> excess money = money that goes into equities

Less money means SPY stock go down, yes.

>>54737090
>>54737106
Complacency grows long in the tooth

>>54737109
Id love to invest in south american miners (with an e) but they keep nationalizing them instead of the minors who become American

>>54737097
shh quiet they might actually do it. they made Neon Dynasty they are not above cashing in on meme trends.

I just got an email from Vanguard saying I'm "A Valued Client"!

>>54736912
kek

>>54737131
Stonks: The Bag Holdening

BBBY Just got a nasdaq delisting notice

LMAOOOOOOOO

>>54737125
>Id love to invest in south american miners
Be careful I did this once and I'm down over 70% on it
ticker SMTS
at least I didn't buy the top like the seething boomer who holds like 30% of the whole company (read some of the earnings calls they are a real treat)

>VNR

>>54737152
Damn it's true
>UNION, N.J., April 25, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. (Nasdaq: BBBY), today announced that it was notified by the Listing Qualifications Department of The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC ("Nasdaq") that Nasdaq had determined to delist the Company's common stock as a result of the Company's commencement of voluntary proceedings under Chapter 11 of the United States Bankruptcy Code. Nasdaq informed the Company that trading in the Company's common stock would be suspended at the opening of business on May 3, 2023.

>>54737177
Ooof yeah it's over... I didn't realize BBBY was one of the 100 companies on the NASDAQ though... we seriously needed this correction.

>>54736729
>Are you a pussy?

Does shit float downstream?

>>54737169
I know and countries are nationalizing their natural resources left and right. Mexico still on a tear this year.

>>54735088
Behind the Wendy's giving H jobs

how much do i need to do nothing but watch pirated anime for the rest of my life?
>t. 38, not ashamed to eat from the food bank, happy to live in a van

>>54737086
If a black man survives to old age and is not incarcerated there's actually a decent chance he is extremely based.

>>54737177
Can we send mr. Russell to jail for fraud?

>futures

>>54736168
Funny nigger, where were YOU all day. Nowhere to be found just like a loser permabull, also won't be anywhere to be found aoon.

>>54736912
Such a great show.

>>54737265
is it? friends always tell me to watch it but these are the same people who used to tell me to watch Nostalgia Critic so I avoided it

>>54737287
It's very funny. I got my favorite phrase "pounding off" from there.

Why doesnt india divert the ganges river to better supply water to shit piss and die in while keeping the main river clean?

>Futures

>>54737202
Depends. What's been your portfolio's performance over the past 3 years?

>>54737287
Yeah, it peters off after several seasons but it's a great "stupid people written by smart people" type of show.

>>54737317
>smallcap futures

fuck jannies

>>54737334
That's how I know the bull run isn't on. When the Jews snatch up the Russell, it's for real.

>>54737371
>>54737371
>>54737371
>>54737371
Baking!!!!
Baked!!

>>54736976
nope it's bobo time faggot

>>54737287
Always sunny is one of the best comedies ever unironically, it takes a bit to grow on you though. At first it just seems like a bunch of retards yelling at each other, because it is. But once you give in to the retardation it’s 11/10. Kinda like trailer park boys

>>54737390
>Kinda like trailer park boys
say no more bud

>>54736656
DIA calls

>>54737390
Its early seasons are good but its not cult classicy season after season like futurama.

Seems like everything I've bought basically loses money except index funds

>>54737216
The Bhenchod Mr. Russell Will Never Be Forgiven.

I need a fucking chastity device before I sleep

>>54736814
>>54736884
based

>>54735279
>Also if you read all this, you wasted your time because I have no fucking idea what I am talking about.

eh most of it was close enough