/biz/ - Business & Finance

>He bought options
Thanks for the premium, retard

Can we stop with the foreplay

New thread. New me.

>>54235468
Might as well nap until FOMC.

>>54235468
Whatsa matter, anon? Can't handle another 41 hours of tension?

Can something stupid happen so I can watch a bunch of lines move up and down like crazy

first things first i wanna say fuck joe biden next up jerome powell is a pussy ass bitch and finally all in BOIL

I feel sorry for anyone who bought FRC

>>54235540
OK, your wish is granted. I've sprinkled one event between now and FOMC. Enjoy.

>>54235542
Jerome will do the needful.

Wow. What a week.

>>54235552
I bought puts

>>54235561

guess I picked a bad time to buy SOXS... OR DID I?

>>54235562
I like this nascent VJuice posting.

jerome, make the week interesting
I don't care if the market goes up or down, just do something

>>54235429
financial tv streams are all dead. do you care about nothing?

>>54235580
Hahahaha he actually clicked the links

The absolute madman

>>54235429
TRUMP ARREST TOMORROW
MARKET CRASH IMMINENT

>futures

>>54235616
What the fuck is wrong with that cat's face?

Well today was interesting. Amazon and Microsoft has a rather shit day.

LMAO at the Twitch streamers coping and seething. AMZN laid off over 9000 and part of that was Twitch, 400 purple wagies gone. That company already had staff quitting and walking out in droves by a few hundred at a time iirc.

If only it was public, I would be shorting the shit out of Twitch stocks right now, the company is a ticking time bomb financially kek.

>>54235562
Thanks for the premiums retard

>>54235588
I bet he reads instruction manuals and keeps his warranty receipts too haha

>>54235626
Diabetus?

>>54235524
I'm in the process of buying a house, and I just been in a tizzy. Really need to get out and do something to unwind.
>>54235513
My dick can only get but so erect

>>54235580
>not watching Bloomberg free legit from your E*TRADE home page launcher
Ngmi
g
m
i

i'm poor, what should i dca into over the 3-5 years?

>>54235689
Cocaine

>>54235689
sjim

>>54235689
tqqq

I just came back from the lgbt thread that was linked. What did I miss?

>>54235689
A job?

>>54235574
Maybe. Even when banks are failing we are still in 0DTE crab mode

>>54235580
>>Live Streams:
>https://www.newslive.com/american/bloomberg-television-business.html
>https://www.newslive.com/american/cnbc.html
These work

>>54235429
luv taytay
simple as

>>54235542
Jerome will CHOKE like the bitch he is.
25BPS max. He doesn't have the balls to do it.

>>54235689
3x leveraged ETFs or even better options on them

The syntax is almost unusable, but I've almost got a very very very basic version of TView's trading simulator set up.
What's cool is that I can pick a start date, end date, and implement a strategy to see how it would perform, Monte Carlo style. I need to make working with it easier, as well as generate more information (drawdown, volatility, stdev, etc)

Pennant VIXY means don't get hooked Wednesday

>>54235689
Random length fat hogs.

>>54235429
The gods have bestowed upon me everlasting happiness.
What should I buy?

>>54235713
Not much, just shit posting while the titanic sinks. Welcome back!

holy shit
schiff turned himself into gold

>>54235635
I forgot to add that recently, twitch partners are getting PISSED at the company not giving them those juicy multi-million dollar contract bags anymore. Even threatened to leave the platform for YouTube/Kicks too. Simply because they are running out of budget. God I want to short them all so fucking bad right now fuck.

>>54235769
Now this is the stuff I like to see. Why did you decide to roll your own instead of using ToS/TView?

>>54235735
Elevated vix means theres finally money at play taking longs/shorts and sticking to them. But the broad market is conditioned to believe the fed will bail everyone out.

>>54235798
>giving them those juicy multi-million dollar contract bags
What?

I'm thinking we're in a cat market boys.

>>54235798
Streaming careers as a whole is that 0% yield environment type shit.

>>54235818
Scariest shit i have read in the past few breads. Fr fr, no cap brah

>>54235831
Streamers who get 20k views typically have contracts in the millions.

>>54235831
Kaicenat recently bitched about not getting one and that dude got like 300k+ subs in a single month.

But yeah, streamers can get filthy rich with the right audience, not for much longer from the look of the economy when the retard simps run dry too kek.

>>54235842
It's about as legit and lucrative as acting. Or OnlyFans whoring. Doubt it disappears entirely.

>>54235842
>0% yield environment

I'm a retard what does that mean?

>>54235812
While they're extremely good products, I can't bruteforce test my ideas. I might overfit in some instances, but look at MACD for example. I could define a one-year period and test every single combination of the three inputs to see what worked best for a given period. Also some other quant shit like correlation and stuff.
Then, I look at the current market conditions and compare it another year to find the best fit and figure out what a good strategy would be.
I saw an indicator I was quite fond of as well, which used a basic neural net to assign weights to several other indicators (RSI, MACD, MA, etc) so in theory I should be able to tweak numbers and find an optimal combination

At the very least, I can automatically scrape the market data off Yahoo every week and run it through some basic desktop TA to screen for stuff that matches my trading system and look for potential entries and plays

>>54235787
he looks like that indian with all the gold

>>54235851
I mean regional banks are writing letters demanding they insure every depositor. Fed being summoned to shore up their deposits.. The fortress jpm is now massively exposed to their shitstank by giving crack fiends 30 billion in deposits and telling them to sell equity.

>>54235877
Twitch will have to do what YT does to stay afloat, aggressive amd abusive ad monetization.

>>54235635
AMZN is officially about to get deep probed by Biden's muzzie FTC head.

>>54235907
They already do that now and its why viewership has consistently been declining since mid last year. Ads are literally UNblockable and you get fucking 10+ minutes of ads each time you swap to another channel. Its irritating, I don't have those streams as background noise anymore because of that greedy bullshit.

>>54235905
How did writting a letter work out for Catherine Woods?

>>54235888
The years of QE where if your company could set money on fire and that's fine since its "growth" where the worst thing you had to beat was 1.5% and you were doing great. More debt. More buybacks.

>>54235877
in a real depression money gets tight and noone will spend money on that shit

>>54235924
QRD on that whole thing? First I've heard of it desu

>>54235926
Streaming mineralization should have been focused on the subs rather than the gay ass ads. But even then many paid services are also running ads.

>I missed the generational nasdaq 100 bottom

it's over bros...

>>54235890
I feel you on those points. I wanted to make a strategy using the volume profile indicator, but you can't use it the way I wanted to. I've got some C++ code that generates the profile but I've been blindsided by work and haven't been able to make a backtest system yet. Good for putting in the work, I hope you get some great gains out of it.

>>54235940
Parasocial relationships? Cooming? Passive entertainment consumption?

During depressions people cut back on bars and drink alone at home instead. They stop buying vacations in favor of staycations. The core $5/month type vice spending remains.

>>54235926
If i ever was given a ten minute ad i would immediately delete the app. I guess they are going to milk this sick poor cow to death and then ask the government to cover the cost of their dead heifer.

>>54235798
The moment Twitch Prime is gone, it’s over
A lot of the smarter streamers have seen this coming from a mile away and have diversified already, it’s the zoom zoom esports crowd that’s really going to get slammed

>>54235988
My bet is that Amazon will just pull the plug and move on, no fucks given. Originally they bought Twitch for almost $1 billion because of their source code, the same type used for AWS(aka golden goose). Now that its never been profitable even during pandemic since 2014 purchase and more staff are abandoning ship, I can see that shut down happening maybe this year or 2024.

Microsoft dropped Mixer like a redheaded step child, so I'm not expecting the Twitch shut down to be any different imo.

>all the hype over bank collapse
>barely anything happens
Why do I even bother.

>>54235987
nah that shit is luxury, and will be the first thing people will stop spending

>>54236002
That and if they were to INCREASE the prices of fucking everything else(subs, no ads, bits, etc.) to make up for Prime being gone, then everyone will flee like rats in a sinking ship on fire. Mark my words, they will do it because the twitch president is an idiot boomer that already wants to decrease partner revenue from 70/30 to 50/50 because he claims "we are in this together".

>>54236028
One could say they will blow it off like a child does to a pedo.

>>54236034
Nothing ever happens. Trying to buy a house and its a headache. I need to create new deeds for the house currently.

>>54236066
That idiot boomer is the one that left four days ago “to be with family”
It’s obvious that even he saw the writing on the wall

I'm so fucking bullish holy shit

>>54236121
That was emett schear. The one I was talking about is Dan Clancy and he's next in line for Twitch CEO.

Its gonna be interesting to see how the company deals with AMZN stock being so erratic since anything that happens to the parent company will affect its subsidiaries.

>futures

>>54235946
https://news.slashdot.org/story/23/03/20/1651215/washington-prepares-for-war-with-amazon

>>54235987
>>54235940
I'm already a minimalist and I'm trying to see if I can budget a week's worth of food for 2 hours worth of wages. The hard part is not getting dumb shit like soda or snacks to "round it out". I'm not a fat ass either. This works out to about $22/week. I suppose I spend around $45-50/week on food as it is.
But see, that'd be like $1,800/year annualized, which is more money for stonks

>>54235978
Well, we'll see. I was gently inspired by Soxl Shill, but I can't be fucked to learn python or make a day trade bot. Way happier on the daily chart, plus it gives more time for trades and events to happen.

>>54236162
aaawww shit, I'm gonna get a giant bucket of popcorn and a tanker of coca cola for this!

>>54236212
In better times I would enjoy it myself, but it seems rather retarded to be talking kneecapping our economic race horses during our weakest point in decades. They have crosshairs on GOOG also, and someone else I can't recall right off, maybe META. I *think* MSFT is fairly safe this time, which is ironic to me having watched their last probe when it happened (largely over IE). Bill had to take the stand on live TV.

>>54235907
but youtube takes a smaller cut and doesn't push their ads nearly as hard as the greedy twitch jews

>>54236156
what knocked him out exactly?

>>54236287
>In better times I would enjoy it myself, but it seems rather retarded to be talking kneecapping our economic race horses during our weakest point in decades.
Less "retarded" and more "this is what China needs and the CCP outbids American lobbyists".

>>54236318
God

>>54236319
Nothing matters until the roll out the earthers and get everyone using that currency. The dollar has failed due to accumulated debt.

>>54236318
From the video the force of his head hitting the snow did it. Dude's lucky he didn't break his neck from the angle of it.

>>54236319
Hmmmm, are you sure it's not the Jews making it look like China as a deflective cover?

>>54236043
the programmer types that simps tend to be aren't gonna run out of money anytime soon

>>54236354
Through Blackrock et. al. and their pajeet slaves they have MSFT, they have GOOG. There's no reason to cripple that domestic power. And deliberately, directly destroying the US (rather than white people specifically) weakens their position globally.

So basically we have:
>Equinox - today
>FOMC 21-22
>Skull and Bones Day - 3/22
>Something about the Age of Aquarius

>>54236378
>Blackrock
>and their pajeet slaves
Hmmmmmmmmm....I too often neglect to consider the power and intention of Blackrock, but you've just clicked some pieces I badly needed together.

BOIL sisters I dont feel so good

My average is $6, we're at the low $4's, is this the bottom? Should I sell or hold for the rebound

Okay here's another interesting thing
This strategy spends 10% of it's portfolio if the price > 50MA and 200MA, and exits as soon as it breaks below 200MA. Kinda like the TQQQ meme strategy, without the leverage.
Just a basic test.
Looking at the worst years (2000/2001, 2007/2008, 2017/2018 (extreme crab)), and running it for two years, it would still provide a 3% annual gain or loss at best. But on the good years, it was getting an average of 10-12% (without leverage).

time to buy QQQ, or any tech stock rn. hell even PLTR looks like a buy. long term SPXS though

>>54236467
MSFT dipped today
Good buy

At this point, a FOMC that doesnt end massively bullish cant happen. That would scare too many people. Im tempted to go in for FOMC too.

You guys wanna make a church together? Praise be to Pepe, who Shepard the /smg/ animals to financial enlightenment. You are my frens and I love all of you
>https://youtu.be/BO6KH9ucfrY

>>54236430
This is far from financial advice, but I'm still averaging down, and have 2 more triggers I intend to inject further at (around 3 and 1, if need be). I do not personally understand this and cannot personally affirm it, but today there was a huge spike in volume exactly at what wound up being the lowest point in the dip. An Anon told me that that was thought by some group of whomevers to be the assumed bottom due to apparent relative price stability after most of the reports on weather and European lack of needs having been more or less setting in. That's the essence of it, as best I can nutshell and express it. I had been planning to wait until minus 4 to do my next average down injection, but seeing that and hearing that explanation caused me to just go ahead and pull the trigger at 4.25 because I definitely wanted to get in a minimum of one more injection before it goes back up. With FOMC coming up though, who the fuck knows what anymore.

Hahahaha fuck me I held oil for too long, summer better pump for me to exit once and for all

Multi year rally my ass

>>54236121
>>54236150
>>54236002
nobody cares about your retard streamers zoom zooms, it's not even a revenue driver for amazon it's a waste of time to even think about it

>>54236560
There was a lot of volume at 10:00, probably people opening shorts, and a lot of volume that pumped at 2:15, probably people exiting their shorts for the day.

>>54236560
why not wait for the local bottom? dca and eat balls

>>54236622
Makes sense.
>>54236641
>eat balls
I don't do the gay thing, son. How does one know when/what "local bottom" is? I have to more levels I intend to inject into if need be.

They're really going to do it. They're really going to start arresting opposing political candidates. If the economy crashes and banks rug, political stability would have been one of the last things this country had going for it, economically. It's over, sell everything.

Threadly reminder that dividends are irrelevant. If you want a bit of cash from your stocks, you can sell some.

>>54236588
gas is going to bottom out sometime this spring. That's a 5x long hold for you.

>>54235689
VTI. VEA. VWO. MUB. SGOL. BND. XLE. BNDX. And put some dollars in your savings account. That should cover all your bases.

XPON is gonna triple in 3 days.

Dividends are your friends! They'll never desert you as long as you don't desert them!
>>54236696
>Sell all your shares
>Can't even afford knee pads
Nothing personnel kid.

>>54236318
his knees gave him an uppercut

I'm thinking of re-buying in tmrw. How do I hedge against a possible pro trump riot?
Notice, I am not looking to make money, just to effectively hedge my other positions for one week. So please don't recommend some boomer divy shitstock or BOIL which can't possibly cover any loss over that short a period.

>>54236167
Everything I own fits into the back of a Chevy S10 (I do not own one, but know someone who does). Most of my meals are less than $1. I buy 8 lb bags of pintos (pretty much all of this is Great Value brand), 1 lb bags of brown rice, cans of corn, cans of greens (I get Kroger brand collards because they are the only ones with no added ingredients/sodium), 8 packs of canned tuna in water, large cans of oats, and various seasonings including iodized salt. Oh, and large jugs of olive oil. I cook up batches of beans and rice and keep them in tupperwares to just scoop out of whenever I need a meal of them. I substitute anything I would normally put butter on/in with olive oil. I also sometimes add skim mozzarella, and sometimes chopped up Bar S hotdog.

>>54236532
>FOMC might be really bad, so that means it has to be really good

>>54235552
I'm waiting for the new fed/JPM plan + FOMC before entirely giving up hope

>>54236119
Bud shit has happened almost nonstop for 3 years now

>>54236430
Leveraged commodity ETFs tend to trend lower in perpetuity. Eventually it'll reverse split and then keep declining.
They're not good long-term holds. You can swing them sometimes for a few weeks or months of uptrend, but inevitably the downtrend resumes eventually.

Holding for a rebound is a bad idea unless you actually have reason to expect NG trades meaningfully higher within the next month or so.

What's the best book to understand modern markets and investing?

>>54236744
One share of FRC is worth just enough to buy kneepads. For now.

Where is this crash I've heard so much about? I see some dips and crabing but it's hardly apocalyptic.

>>54236803
Damn son, I almost went into FRC today but work distracted me again. I gotta see more posts like yours to remind me not to do dumb stuff.

>>54236803
It's literally going to get delisted without notice.

>>54236828

>>54236841
FRC also has a dividend. For now.

>>54236861
They suspended the dividend

>>54236761
DWAC

>>54236849
it's only 1 week away now

>>54236828

>futures

>>54235940
Not the hyperinflationary depression we're going into. The Fed is about to drown us in paper.

>>54236813
Is that because of lending fees, operation fees, or just shitty indexing by the fund?
>>54236875
Plus or minus two weeks.

Zombie, zombie, zombie!

>>54236868
Then it's all over for them

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4588764-first-republic-relatively-safe-bank-firewall-around-it-and-extremely-cheap

>>54236871
Are you sick of winning yet?

The fed will cut rates by 50 bps you heard it here first

>>54236928
Brb, opening a leveraged short.

>>54236907
So I looked at that and couldn't trade it, but then I looked at my open pairs trade for Germany/France on the weekly.
Check it out, I think we're going to have a retard bull rally halfway back up to the ATH, and then the real carnage happpens. The same pattern is playing out

>>54236907
WHAT’S IN YOUR HE-AD

IN YOUR HE-YE-YEH-AD

>>54236928
>seeking goyim shill article

>>54236694
>They're really going to start arresting opposing political candidates

Only when it suits them. They'll never go after George W. Bush, the Clintons, or anyone like that. But if they want to set precedent, I welcome this. Zion Don is corrupt as fuck. After he's arrested, this sets precedent. Let's go after everyone else - legally, in the court system, of course - not trying to pull a samhyde here.

So First Republic is for sure dead. What’s after that though?

>Schwab
>Santander
>Ally
>Comerica
>US Bank (so USB, not UBS…yet)

>>54236694
>They're really going to start arresting opposing political candidates
It's not that crazy
pretty much every time an opposite party held control of the house they would always try to impeach the president
There have been 46 presidents, and 60 attempts to impeach throughout America history

>>54237132
>schwab
I have investments in that company D:

>>54237132
>Schwab
Are you retarded

>>54237109
Not their political opponents, just trump. Trump is a direct threat to the globohomo agenda that's been in the works for almost the last 100 years. He can't be allowed to ruin that, and make the country a nationalist country.

>>54236560
>>54236622
I just recalled that I should have specified that spike in vol being referenced was on the Henry Hub contract and not BOIL.

>>54237132
Soc. Gen., DB, WF ....

>>54236944
Dude it’s just a short term hedge

>Ackman clamoring for guarantees for all $18T bank deposits.
>FDIC has $120B to backstop.
>Only 0.6%.

>>54237186
Forgot pic

>>54237132
WAL

>>54237132
schwab is a fortress

>>54235754
bAsEd direxion LEAP buyer.

>>54237222

>>54237132
schwab got the kiss of death from cramer
followed by nasdaq

So why did they let SVB and Signature die but are bending over backwards to keep FRC afloat?

>>54235513
What the fuck is this image? It has to be AI generated, it's absurd

>>54235769
LSTM beats Monte Carlo, both end up being convoluted momentum plays. Neither are suited for stonk, might as well draw lobf with std dev bands. Just trying to save you time. There's simpler math to make something that outperforms the market in a backtest.

>>54237253
Harambeeee harambeeee

Zombie zombie zombie eh eh eh oh oh oh

For real though it looks like the gold bugs were right.

Gold is going to hit $10000 per oz within two years and miners will print more than any other sector.

>>54237253
CEO of FRC looks like he would be on Anthony Wiener's laptop.
>>54237254
Frasier's on vacation.

>>54235641
This is bait but heres a (you) anyway

>>54236694
Nothing ever happens

i don’t understand why people think frc will go to zero. there is no reason a bigger bank wouldn’t buy them out before that

>>54237253
Because they both supported crypto

>>54237109
Trump is the cleanest president we ever had, dipshit.

>Tax extensions go until October 18th
I think I'll do an extension this year. If the govt runs out of money and defaults I won't have to pay. Does chance of audit increase the later you submit?

>>54236694
get 50x leverage puts, have some conviction

>>54237340
Yeah but most probably own it at 20-30+ a share
What would it even sell for? 10 tops?

>>54237340
sure, and buy them for what price per share?

>>54237424
I’m reporting the fraud.

>>54237132
>>54237159
>>54237161
>>54237222
>>54237240
I;ve been seeing plenty of lists that had SVB, FRC, WAL, etc high up on the list but schwab was never listed. Take that as my 2c.

>>54237132
You stay away from ally-chan!

I WILL NOT BUY BANKS I WILL NOT BUY BANKS I WILL NOT BUY BANKS I WILL NOT BUY BANKS I WILL NOT BUY BANKS I WILL NOT BUY BANKS I WILL NOT BUY BANKS I WILL NOT BUY BANKS

>>54237448
Yeah but Cramer said it was a fortress

are futures real?

>>54237471
Shhhh *coughs*

>futures

Is PacWest going to zero like FRC or will it make it

is gook-avatar anon here? can you explain why JD.com stock is being gangbanged? It seems like a good stock to me, and is trading like 1/3rd its fair value. usually china stocks trade discounted but not 66%

>>54237506
I WILL NOT BUY PACWEST STFU

>>54237524
Why not it’s a good buy, better than FRC

>>54237506
Dunno but manage your risk if you wanna play. Don't end up like the dudes who bought FRC at 40

>>54237132
Truist TICKER: TFC

>https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/3908515-the-fed-circumvented-the-debt-ceiling-to-borrow-billions-for-failed-banks/
>As of year-end 2022, The deposit insurance fund had assets of a little over $128 billion invested in government securities.
>

In the past week, the Fed’s financial statement shows it borrowed an additional $143 billion to fund the FDIC’s bailout of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank, even though the FDIC is supposed to fund bank bailouts using the deposit insurance fund and, if need be, by borrowing from the U.S. Treasury. Instead, the Fed borrowed these funds and lent them to the FDIC to keep these bank failures from reducing the Treasury’s cash balances.
JPOW WHY DID YOU FUCK US BY FIRING THE PRINTER AGAIN?

Has /smg/ ever bought a meme stock?

Did you make any money on it?

The Fed put has been the most disastrous moral, social, and financial hazard of a policy of the past 30 years.

>>54237618
Two actually. CRSR and NEGG.
>Did you make any money on it?
Yes on both counts.

Oil barons they're shipping us off to the shadow realm....

>>54237637
They didn’t give a refund in person or online. It’s fraud.

>>54237618
I made good money on RBLX and PLTR covered calls and short GME puts. Lost it all shorting BBBY puts.

The rest of this year is gonna rely on the FOMC meeting. That will decide the fate of the stock markets.

>>54237662
Oh and, I never received my product

>>54237618
SIGA worked out fine for me because I actually set trailing stop losses. It was a fun story but it only got its 15 minutes of fame.

>>54235574
Well considering I bought it at 22 and some change and every single thing I do goes up in flames you are in for a wild ride up until I sell. BUCKLE UP

>>54237618
GME. Bought at 200 and sold at 350. Just don't get greedy and you can ride the reddit pumps before it dumps

>>54237424
A bigger bank like JPM would essentially replace the expensive debt on FRCs book with the “free” inflows they’ve been getting as deposits. Essentially I would start with BV of assets, discount 20-30% and then take that price over 180mm shares OR the what it would cost JPM to deploy ~$170bn of the equivalent loan book they’re buying)

>>54237756
for example of equivalent deployment cost for JPM measure, would you say it’s worth $8bn in opex + time value of money to deploy FRCs loanbook? because $8bn is ~$45/share

we are gonna crab upward today

>>54237471
i bought banks

>>54237825
>>54237471
>>54237479
what's some leveraged bank ticker to get my gains back. i had a "safe" covered call fund in US banks that is down 25% and i am mad

Banking

>>54237780
If FRC had that kinda value in a buyout then why the fuck is it trading at 12 dollars?

>>54237900
Anti trust or some other bank reg preventing a big bank swooping in. I suspect that is what they’re ironing out atm.

>>54237900
also fear/shorts. I would be interested to see current data on short float

>>54237132
my money is on wells fargo for the true panic among the masses

>>54237132
There were a ton of cops outside the BofA I went to last week. I never got an explanation as to why they were there.

>>54237946
Hmm... and it's the best interest of the big banks that FRC doesn't fail so they might actually buy it at a fair value since the alternative is bankruptcy and the sector can't afford it...

>>54235689
TQQQ and TMF

>>54237900
The amount of money being deposited doesn't even cover it's problem, and it doesn't even solve the issue that banks don't have money at all since for the past 2 years the fed dropped the amount of money banks needed to hold down to 0%
There are probably a fuckton of banks with the same issue that hasn't had the spotlight brought on them

wow imagine that
the financial collapse that every schizophrenic manchild on 4chan was hoping would happen never happened

>>54237618
SIGA,JXN,KTOV, SKYT, hell even CLF tranny was profitable

>>54238029
So why can't the fed temporarily drop rates to 0 for a few months so banks can stabilize and then gradually hike them back up

Remember how the Rut crabbed for the entirety of 2021? Now we all know how those holders felt.

>>54238050
(you) in the early stages of 2008

>>54238050
kek, the collapse is only just beginning, fren.

>>54237618
GME. Bought one for the lulz at 60 and a lot more at 120. Sold at 350.

>>54238050
Its not going to be 2008 because that would imply that someone would actually be making some kind of money at some point instead we are just gonna have to buy our 8 dollar dozen of eggs

>cs got bought out
Deutsche faggots next on the cutting floor.

>>54237618
Yes and I will never live this down. Only made a couple hundred instead of 10s of thousands

>>54238065
Every time the fed pivots like that the market crashes anyways lol

>>54238065
>temporarily
>gradually hike them back up

>>54238050
It's gonna be a bear's worst nightmare. The market will go down but it will do so in a stupid fashion with zero short term trends

>>54238139
This. Holy fuck /biz/ is retarded. A 0 bps hike at this point in time means we are catastrophically fucked. Bulltards should be praying for an expected, predictable and stable .25 bps hike.

>>54235429
we remember frc anon. may you res in pieces.

>>54238065
because it makes them look stupid if they go back and forth so fast but theoretically it should be fine.

>>54237756
>>54237340
>>54237424
>government sells frc for 1 dollar to jpm
>200 stocks =1 jpm.

Mullen Automotive is look bullish.

It's down right now but when I'm hundreds of thousands of dollars richer for investing in this company I will have the last laugh.

>>54238193
Unless they do a buyback that stock is dogshit.
They have like a bazillion shares from dilution.

>>54238065
Cause that would mean the FED is indecisive. An indecisive FED + Inflation is terrible for the stock market and the economy

>>54237476
That was JP Morgan.

>Elizabeth Warren is considering attempting to lift the FDIC limit from $250,000 to a "right number," possibly millions, per Bloomberg

>The last time FDIC lifted the maximum insured deposit number to $250k was in 2008

hyperinflationary depression is gonna be fucking wild holy shit

>>54237476
your mothers a fortress

>>54238268
Oh right, he just tweeted this for schwab
https://twitter.com/jimcramer/status/1635696093492129812

>>54235542
>>54236430
>>54236761
>>54237177
I've been selling OTM puts on BOIL to avoid bagholding. I'm very bullish on gas since this dip is a once-in-a-lifetime black swan event. The trick is finding a bottom. I plan to start accumulating under 4 if it drops and under 5 if it rises. Don't expect a significant jump until summer imo. Storage is full right now and demand is at risk with all this recession talk. That being said, climate predictions for this summer in North America are hot to very hot, and that's at least enough to normalize prices. I'm going all in very soon, just looking for a bottom. It's a month away max, most likely within 2 weeks.

That's my two cents as someone who's been all over this play for a while without losing any money.

>>54237389
>If the govt runs out of money and defaults I won't have to pay.
So your theory is that if a government starts running short on cash, they will give up on tax collection?

>>54238275
cowards only care when it could affect them and their friends lol

>>54238275
I hate Warren, but this isnt inflationary unless every retard panic stampedes to the bank and pulls out $250,000+ per person at the same time.

>>54237478
No, but they will be.

>>54238275
>Elizabeth Warren is considering attempting to lift the FDIC limit from $250,000 to a "right number," possibly millions, per Bloomberg
Retarded Elizabeth saving the rich once again kek

Doubt he will cut rates, probably 25pbs incoming

Are we gonna dump on that

>>54238314
False. Guaranteeing all deposits proves the banks are insolvent which will cause capital flight into assets and kick off breakneck inflation

Gonna buy some more JPM and SCHW in the morning. What are the general thoughts on BAC? I'm still wary of them.

>>54238411
Borderline schizo-tier prediction. Most normies wont even fucking care enough to know about any of this shit with the banks, and even if they did, they wouldnt know what assets to buy as a proper hedge against the dollar. Just shut the fuck up.

Today's option order books show a "return" to normalcy, with volatilities and implied movements significantly down. Sold COST (+3.7%) and bought HES. ACN may be a good earnings play; there's a lot of upwards options pressure ahead of their earnings call.

>>54238398
25 is expected. so it shouldn't cause the market to go insane.
50 or 0 or cause the market to go insane.
0 would mean the fed is basically saying the banks are going to blow up so they want to try and minimize it's blowing upness.
50 would mean the fed is basically saying they don't care that the banks are going to blow up, jeromes gotta do what jeromes gotta do

>>54238146
I believe this

>>54238050
bears cannot be saved, let them learn

>>54238435
Just a general thought; whenever I go to Bank of America, they have the shittiest customer service of any bank. Managers will walk around asking you how they can help while the line at the teller is 10 people deep. They will try to sell you finance products at every step of the way. Want to get a secured card for someone with no credit? They'll try to get you to cosign for an unsecured card.

Given that these are the products being pushed and the people being hired, I have doubts as to how solid their books actually are. Disaffected staff and a lax corporate structure results in lazy banking.

>>54238461
100% this.

>>54235429
what time does FOMC meeting take place?

>>54238452
Nigger, normies don't hold >$250k in cash in their bank account

Thanks for letting me know robinhood!

EUbros, we're pumping hard, feeeels good

Yields...

>>54238461
>>54238495
nah. 0bps means they are fine with 3-4% inflation and stocks will still rally.

>>54238461
I wanted to see what a 75 or 100 would do, but 50 sounds just about right

>>54238521
whore

>>54238505
Wednesday on market open

>>54238461
you almost have to keep the line though. if you go 25 bp you are saying that either:
a.) the models on which the Fed bases rates on are flawed (bad in the broader sense; short-term, we may have overshot our targets)
b.) you successfully predicted this and are now caving to political pressure, diminishing the independence of the central bank

>>54238521
2-10y spread has closed a bit. typically a recession indicator when yield curve is inverted

>>54238548
>you have to go with the line
?????

>>54238555
maintain the position stated 3/7: https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/hawkish-powell-puts-50-bp-fed-rate-hikes-back-table-2023-03-07/

>>54238528
Jpow is a bitch he will never do 50bps
we can be glad if this cuck does even 25bps to show muh """"dedication to fight inflation""""

>>54237885
Tf am I looking at?

>>54238461
Probability of 50 according to CME Fedwatch is currently at zero and has been for the last two weeks. Imho the choice is
- raise 25 bps but then pivot quickly, or
- raise 0 and pivot a bit later
Not "higher for longer" anymore, but "higher OR longer".

>>54238577
shouldn't be alarming that they're unable to anticipate this? how bad are their models?

>>54238591
>models

It's all whale bones all the way down, every tightening by the fed leads to a recession no reason this time is different. Models make the assumption banks/funds are sane and don't cheat/gamble.

invest in israeli defense companies before ramadan starts

>>54238618
tickers:
>ESLT
>MAGS
>RADA

>>54238603
Fed models assumed banks weren't being run by retarded women

>>54238648
cant find MAGS or RADA. are they in shekels?

>>54238695
strike those both from the list. one got absorbed by the italians (i work with this company, they are incompetent), the other got taken private.

how you position yourself today will determine the rest of your financial future and success for the rest of your life. it all hinges upon the decisions of one man, are you ready?

Why is every fucking stocks youtuber the biggest fucking doomer ever

>>54238718
what do you think about kratos? I spent like 10 hours the other weekend trying to find a stock that made drone motherships but they're all pretty appropriately valued for the big names like Northrop Grumman based on my brief search.

Kratos seems attractive, but I have no idea how to gauge the quality of their work since I'm not an engineer or soldier

>>54238753
Because they are all grifters

>>54238753
Fear sells. They aren't actually there to educate they're there to entertain like Jim Cramer but instead of normal people youtubers cater to early onset paranoid schizophrenics

>>54238753
>>54238758
>>54238762
they're like the same people making armchair general vids on ukraine, none of them know what the fuck they are talking about. they just make it up as the go, sucking in the ad rev from everyone left of the curve.

>>54238762
Are there any actual good youtubers who teach stock fundamentals, talk about history of the stock market, etc? Or should I just go through some free college courses like https://pll.harvard.edu/course/investing-private-equity?delta=0

>>54238779
Lol some guy recommended me Perun as an educator for that and I read his channel info and he was previously a literal who fucking gamer youtuber that made let's plays or something. Doesn't even show his face. Probably some 300 pound 18 year old lol.

>>54238576
Broke ass bank vatnigger

>>54238796
Those ones are fine, you can definitely learn from educational youtube videos that have actual hard info about stock market valuations and stuff like that. As long as they stay theoretical and don't start recommending stocks to buy or where they think the market will go they;re probably legit. Never trust anyone but yourself about investing advice.

>>54238798
>>54238798
i dont know who the is but watching actually soldiers like CivDiv etc has been pretty decent because they have actually been there in the shit so what they say for the most part actually has some credibility.

>>54235513
His apartment is so comfy especially when it rained. Imagine drinking and looking out at the rain

>>54235626
That's a dark souls boss

Guys what the fuck is a regsho? I keep seeing baggies cope with it when they get kekked

>>54237340
Buffett has been in talks with the fed and the Biden administration, I believe they are talking about them using billions to do a preferred stock deal like they did with Goldman Sachs in 2008 with at least one financial institution nobody knows which one it’s going to be.

>>54238753
you're braindead if you don't see the shitshow coming, don't need to watch any jewtuber for this to realize
of course there need to be delusional mumus to buy le dipperino otherwise we wouldn't have a market

>>54238755
when someone figures out how to see what defense companies will do, they'll get a Nobel Peace Prize for their role in predicting conflict
>>54238796
listen to "The Intelligent Investor" on audiobook. get the the revised version, it's from 1973 and fundamentals haven't changed since then.
>>54238844
it's them coping by using the tried and true "they're shorting the market!"
>>54238848
Buffett must be licking his chops. Berkshire was hoarding $147B in near-cash and cash going into 2023...

bros im loving this market. its like you cant lose. free money everywhere. holy shit thank you regional banks. its like a fucking cheat code. just buy shorts on open and collect your profits at end of day.

>>54238892
that hard to figure it out huh, I guess that makes sense because they're so reliant on government subsidies and contracts it's not necessarily something predictable. Also, the lack of public info on what they're doing makes it a black box as well. Kind of like palantir

>>54238892
Don't bother with the intelligent investor. The author was a kike who didn't even participate in the stock market, and warren buffet himself admitted a long time ago he had long since stopped using any of the methods benjamin graham preached. in short, he sold books, not stocks.

Anyone else coming?

so outside of the fed all the doom is off?

>>54238988
>>54238988
>embracing reality
so does that imply they've been living a delusion?

>>54238994
>>54238994
well there is the little case of China potentially starting to provide mil aid to russia could be a spicy happening of sorts

>>54239018
I don't think China is going to do this.
t. Balls deep in china companies and biased

>>54238941
it teaches you what fundamentals to look at and how to cut the bullshit. you won't bankrupt yourself learning either.

OIL BROS WTFWT?

>>54238844
SHART LADDER ATTACK

>>54239029
I bought yandex thinking free market and all what would stop them from freezing chink stocks?

>>54239076
>>54239076
>>54239076
>>54239076

>>54239067
if china gets uppity they will 100% sanction a lot of chinese companies and you (and me) will be super ultra fucked.

>>54239029
>>54239067
if they go ahead with it, could be really bad economically speaking.

>>54238855
How's your you tube page going?

>>54238988
I don't want to embrace reality. I want to live in a fantasy land of make believe where everything is nice and happy and good.

good morning niggers
hope you got your WFC puts

>>54238286
Much appreciated, would you mind including some basic essential data on selection of the options to sell? I understand the absolute basics of options, but have not actually traded in them beyond some paper (thinkorswim) experiments a few months ago.

>>54238753
>Why is every fucking stocks youtuber the biggest fuck
It's a (((bias))) by the (((owners))). Also, the old maxim
>if it bleeds it leads
People pay attention to risks more than rewards that are ongoing.