/biz/ - Business & Finance

FUCK IT, BOIL REGARDLESS

First for big gains.

TOTAL BAGGIE DEATH

Hate to say it, but its looking like this might be the moment to bail on stocks and go back to crypto trading.

there are two threads, do we use this one? it was made first

>>54181445
pumping, I heard they'll remove the daily gain limit for it on monday too

>>54181458
Whoa how are they still around? I thought they were close to bankruptcy

>>54181495
They got some sort of loan to avoid it and essentially signed away stock to some company and diluted an insane amount of shares so its giga dumping even more on baggies

>>54181458
didn't realize BBBY was still listed

>>54181421

Am I insane for thinking about buying some First Republic stock? It's priced like 0.4x tangible book value. Either it fails and is worth zero or gets bought and I bet the current share price would be a decent discount to the sale price. Like the old investing adage goes, be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy

Am I retarded if I just put $30k (1/3 of my portfolio) into BAC?

>>54181458
KWAB

>>54181421
>What happened to the years worth of work of QT, Jerome?
sweetie it was a squeeze, there was never a real intent to address inflation

>>54181458
Bankrupcty "plays" are stupid as fuck and they all deserve to lose their money, especially the ones that went all in.

>>54181523
>It's priced like 0.4x tangible book value
It's not.

>>54181421
I’m glad my threads calling out this pussy ass bitch are gaining traction. I’m glad because it is truly pathetic what a loathsome duplicitous little bitch he is.
>im going to fight inflation while pumping already overpriced assets
Only someone with the mind of a woman could come up with a solution like this. It is, of course, not a solution. It’s also basically guaranteed to fail because whatever meager asset gains might be gotten will be completely devoured by inflation. It’s not as though it will help with the debt either because these traitors will never stop pissing money away on bullshit.
Coward bitch.

>>54181458
top kek

>>54181458
>Blood Bath and Beyond

>>54181575

https://www.gurufocus.com/term/p2tangible_book/FRC/Price-to-Tangible-Book/FRC#:~:text=First%20Republic%20Bank's%20Tangible%20Book,Ratio%20of%20today%20is%200.46.

>>54181458
>down 2¢

short gold?

>>54181458
Someone’s definitely getting squeezed kek!

>>54181458
Now do GME and eviscerate these shitty generals.

Or do we really want those retards coming back here looking for alpha? Well, let’s be honest. They never had a shot at getting options accounts and won’t know how to inverse the market as it drills down to hell.

Baking.

>>54181712
Haha do it faggot

>>54181421
Accurate summary of my feels on the situation. They are so scared of another 2008 they're just going to make it worse playing both sides. You cannot juice all the banks and still keep inflation down. One has to give.

idk if anyone remembers me, but "Anon who bought AMD at $120 and doubled down at $60 averaging at $90" here.

I sold at the end of the day today. Made a couple grand. For awhile it looked like a daily candle with a tiny body with a huge top wick, after a HUGE volatility move upward. I took the money and ran before the weekend. Maybe it goes up more without me but with all the bank shit going on, I don't want to risk going red again after holding it for so long, idk if it was even more than a year or not yet. Got out somewhere in the upper $97's with 300 shares at $90 average.

Just glad to be out. God I never want to do long term shit again, that experience was awful. I love AMD too and want to get in at a better price because I'm expecting at LEAST one more major dump this year because of current events, but holy fuck does it suck seeing your position with thousands of dollars negative for months and months and months, just waiting and hoping during a bear market that has little to do with your company's fundamentals. just macro central banking or goverment shit. Learned a fuckload though. Tons of stuff that will give me profit over the next couple of decades, for the rest of my life even.

So, anyways, here's the current front page of Imgur. They seem pretty sane, huh?

>>54181675
Cool. Now adjust their HTM portfolio to market rates, which would be part of the book value used in any sale.
The books are cooked.

>>54181581
I’m quite upset. I’m also upset that the left wing doesn’t seemed concerned at all that banks got bailed out AGAIN by an administration they elected. All that pissing and moaning in ‘08-‘11 and not a peep this time around despite the bailout being considerably greater in quantity of money. Either they’re woefully uninformed, ignorant or indifferent. God’s hammer strike will fall broadly, but I hope pinkos and reds feel it the most (they will).

>>54181837
tf is this lil nigga doin?

Keep talking shit you little anime shit. I will cut interest rate next week. And more QE. Try me you anime faggot.

>>54181837
kick ass, blessed

>>54181875
You should have let it fail, Jerome-sama. A lesson for all but now all will suffer.

I wonder if more banks fail if we're going to get a hit to the housing market soon. they're tied closely together so it will probably be a matter of time

>>54181458
WHO IS REDEEMING THE BOOBY BOND

I think I need to open up more bank accounts...

>>54181933
Doesn't your government insure your bank deposits?

>>54181837
>muh drumphs
>muh billionaires

Their ignorance would be astounding if it wasn’t so sad. All these banks catering to their woke stupidity and they’re none the wiser. This fall from grace is going to be most painful for them.

>>54181965
Yes, but if my bank fails there could still be a couple days where I can't access my money... even if I'll get it all later

What are you anons doing for St. Patrick's day? I'm sure you all have lots of extra cash from trading this week.

>>54181986
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

>>54181837
>I love AMD too and want to get in at a better price because I'm expecting at LEAST one more major dump this year because of current events
It's a great feeling getting out of a long bagheld position, especially at a profit. There's something psychological about the feeling that even taking a huge win can't match. Be careful with this line of thinking though. If you go on expecting a future dump, you might regret missing any further upside. Best to just move on for good and stop looking at the position, to accept that you'll likely never hold that bag again. Find a new ticker that you're less attached to.

The Global X MSCI Nigeria ETF is trading at a 40% discount. This looks like a great buy-and-hold.

>>54181837
>doubled down at $60
Why did you double down? Did you recognize it as a local bottom?
Also why did you not get out of the position the moment it didn't seem to go according to your projection?

>Learned a fuckload though.
Share some of you wisdom anon.

>>54181766
GME will squeeze.
AMC and BBBY have been diluted 800% and 300%.

>>54181837
>God I never want to do long term shit again, that experience was awful
Pathetic. Not going to make the big gains that way.

I bought Charles Schwab 125 stock for 58.5 usd per
How fucked am I in Wednesday?
If the crash comes right after the rate hike I'm screwed because that is one third of my only univested money left

I just blew up my account again.

>>54181986
>I'm sure you all have lots of extra cash from trading this week.
that's funny. you're funny. I didn't even know it was st patrick's day. I'm not doing anything.

>buy an option
>crabs
>expires worthless
>stocks proceeds to go in the direction you wanted it to

>>54182119
Capital controls. The NAV discount exists because Naira can't be freely converted to dollars.

>>54182171
What was the trade that failed?

>>54182202
all of them

/semi/bros we just keep winning. It's that simple, just buy any and all semi dips. NVDA, AMD, Texas, AMAT... it's that simple bros

>>54181458
WAIT IT GETS WORSE


AHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHFHAHASODLGIJHAJNEWSLORGBVADSRFG

How are you feeling, stockmarketcels?
We, cryptochads, are doing just fine, thank you!

>sold my MARA calls today
I fucked up didn't I

Does anyone here have any thoughts on ADBE's acquisition of Figma? or toughts on ADBE in general

I feel like its a red flag that their top-line growth is slowing down, and that they will go on a M&A spree heading forward. Figma had a revenue of $400M in FY2022, so this acquisition is 50x of that. Figma also has a revenue growth of >100%, so I guess that those numbers are baked into the premium as well.
ADBE has a really sticky product, but if it wants to keep its growth valuation of 31x PE, then it needs to maintain its double digit y/y revenue growth or at least increase their operating margins.

>>54182265
Check Sunday night when BTC is either $35k or $20k.

>>54182259

>>54182256
Goddamn I remember redditors bragging about putting in 20k at 9$. Makes me feel better about my losses this year.

>>54181908
Cheaper houses from a destroyed real estate bubble would be so cool.

>>54182272
Another thought of mine, which may be dunning-kruger, is that Figma doesn't seem all that special of a product. I get that its useful for teams developing a product/service of any kind and that Figma fits really well into their portfolio, but $20B for that? Seems way too much.

>>54182265
I sold my bitcoin too early. Im going to sell any mediocre stock I own that go green
There will be a huge drop in a few months, have cash ready. It may be in the summer, late spring or mid autumn. Fuck, maybe for Christmas

>>54181986
I guess I'll run out and buy something. I like that Guinness extra stout.

>>54182155
How did you get BTFO’ed so hard by Covid? Messing with options when everything shut down?

It's ogre.

>>54181458
Not done until its delisted and the store names are coming down. Need GME to do the same too.

>>54182350
What does your schizo chart mean?

>>54182272
Personally I use clip studio: paint.

I'm not sure how adobe convinced users to pay a huge monthly fee for a product that barely changes, but it's a pretty good business model as long as it keeps working. They have a near monopoly, and the acquisition was an attempt to keep it that way. Definitely a long-term weakness.

>>54182215
based

...me too

>>54182400
>SJIM is up 2.5% on the week

>>54182423
Don’t forget AMC, it was kinda a fun story until it suddenly wasn’t

>>54182439
it means stocks are going to bottom soon around the end of march ~ the end of june if we are lucky

20 years from now we're all going to regret not buying something today. What is it?

>>54182489
Kek thats right. But for AMC i think theyre all getting btfo by their own ceo so its not as fun. I want GME to finally die so i dont accidently keep clicking the links when they spam it here.

>You now remember how bullish everyone was last night

>>54182536
Broad-market index funds.

>>54182536
crowdstrike, nextera energy and msft.

How long until WFC goes under and JP puts down a deposit on that sweet bank gooch?

>>54182439
Its just some chart where some dude put SP500 from different crashes/bear markets one over other to see that we will probably go down much more
When? Who knows
There is this as well
https://www.currentmarketvaluation.com/
Look at the yield curve model

>>54182536
If I knew, I probably wouldn’t tell you. That said, if history is an indicator, some tech stock or energy company out there will be the first $5 trillion dollar company.

>>54181421
Why do people think FRC was mismanaged? If anything they’ve proven to be pretty well managed…svb went down in a day with way less outflows

>>54182489
>>54182538
Almost as if there are massive difference between GME and AMC/BBBY
>No debt
>Cash flow positive
>$1B cash
>Of which $100M for share buybacks
>28% of outstanding shares held by retail in transfer agent, never selling

>>54182536
Cyanide

>>54182558
I never said I wasn't still bullish. Jerome is just a retard fuck head pussy faggot is all.

>>54182536

TRUFF

>>54182500
It’s the other way around, something bad happens and banks are forced to use the discount window.
Also lol it’s magnitudes less

>>54182536
>buying something in a bull market

We're not in a bear market.

Every single stock on my watch list has not gone down in the slightest (because they're actually good / generational companies). It is infuriating that I'll never get to own these companies because constant government intervention in the debt market.

>>54182536
bitcoin

>>54182350
When are you going to post the update chart?

>>54182598
Looks like you're posting in the wrong general. No one here cares about your overpriced meme stock.

>>54182536
Try to remember something stupid you did not buy.
>>54182560
I would be 5% instead 10% down now... It's embarrassing


BTW, can't stop looking at this fucking ad. Cute feet

>>54182560
>He didn’t see the warning signs leading up to the Passive Index crash of 2032

>>54182672
Never because that is not mine, I did not make that. There is the authors name on it
Its not that important to look at the damn detail, it's not 1:1 copy of the previous event. It can take 3 months more than the other cases, when people start shitting their pants start slowly DCA 1000 here 1000 there, or fuck it and wait for the utter crash and slow bump up
Main question is how to know what is the bump up vs bounce
I have no idea

>>54182619
You aren't wrong.

>>54182674
Can't refute the facts :^)

anya best girl
>a literal semon demon

>>54182673

based fellow footchad

>>54182443
>I'm not sure how adobe convinced users to pay a huge monthly fee for a product that barely changes
They did this by switching over to a SaaS model in 2012. Their creative cloud subscription puts a lot of their design software into a bundle.
Its obviously a good company, but they need to maintain their growth if they want to keep their share price. I don't like the fact that their stock-based compensation cancels out their stock repurchases.

>>54182536
Coltan
Oil

>breaking :First republic plans to raise cash by selling shares privately
Lmao.

>>54182536
DRV, SOXS, FAZ, and UVIX.

>>54182770

>>54182392
something like 80+% of my portfolio was REM

>>54182443
I hate SAAS. I prefer the old "buy once and done" model. Thank god my versions of Photoshop and Acrobat still work. Related note: Hope you guys don't use these Eye drops, very bad things happen if you do. https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/17/health/eye-drops-recall-infection-wellness/index.html

>>54182443
Same. CSP is the shit but adobe's money is corps. Same reason why Maya is shit but companies still use it. They have custom built tools they spent millions on so they won't move to blender and throw it all away.

That being said, I'm unironically bullish for adobe despite how much I hate them

BUY
BUY NOW
BUY FOR RUIN
AND THE WORLD'S ENDING

Why does the government allow private banks to exist? What purpose do they serve?

>>54182885
What does this mean crisis is dunzo?

me every week

>>54181421
Can anyone confirm that the Fed actually bailed out a bank this month?
Yeah, their assets increased this month but what was that due to?

Pic unrelated

>>54182536
guns and ammo

Fed is bidding down the price of treasuries so that you put your money back into banks.

https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/preanre/2023/R_20230317_2.pdf

5% of all treasuries purchased today with the understanding that these treasuries would yield 0%

No one other than the government would buy a security that yielded them 0%

Previous:
>>54179217

Shitfuckery is going on.

>>54183063
>their assets increased this month but what was that due to?
from banks taking out loans

>>54183027
Scapegoats and nepotism.

>>54181458
lol. just lmao.

>>54182500
Tail-wagging-the-dog: The Post

>>54182837
It makes sense for corporate licensing where they can scale up/down based on usage, but it's such shit for regular consumers.
They don't really need much growth to justify that valuation. Just a 3% inflation adjusted yield. Similar to Visa/Mastercard. People will hold as long as they think it's a safe monopoly. Beats treasuries.

Growth is a bonus of course, and a sudden loss of growth would be seen as weakness. I don't think ADBE is incredibly interesting, but it's a decent buy and forget stock.

>Can't say "close" or "shut down" anymore because that denotes the entire city/area is a shithole
I fucking hate newspeak

>>54183261
An interesting shake up could be the AI art stuff (corpo grade models, not free junk). If companies have to hire fewer artists, then do they need fewer adbe subs?
How will that affect thier cap?

>>54182443
>I'm not sure how adobe convinced users to pay a huge monthly fee for a product that barely changes
They get into deals with education institution to give discount to students. The students learn Adobe tools and this traps them in the ecosystem when they get into the job market

>>54183327
>professional writer uses their thesaurus
you really found something retarded to mad about

>>54181458
Traders call that “blood bath and beyond” for a reason.

>>54182443
Many crapbook owners are unable to pirate Photoshop or CC on their newer models.

first for fuck joe biden second for BOIL third for jerome powells a pussy ass bitch

>>54183353
It also causes this weird elitism where ppl are like, "oh, you use *, not abobe" -- even though my favorite artist lines in CSP, and then paints in -corel- of all things.

>>54181465
>not swing trading 0DTE options.

Nigga I risked 2k at a time, 4K max and made 30k this week.

>>54181862
>. Either they’re woefully uninformed, ignorant or indifferent
They're for it because it's woke companies being saved

>>54182536
SPY.
>>54183366
>professional
>writer
If you look up "dotard", you'll find a list of all of your posts.

>>54183429
It's being actively suppressed to prevent bank runs.

>>54183020
Gentlemen, it's been an honor serving with you.

>>54183135
We just had a dead cat bounce.
Now we test the 1929 lows.

>>54183449
That cunt Yellen is causing one by saying only big banks will be bailed out

so noone is talking about how 186 banks have similar vulnerabilities to SVB?

>>54183447
just because they suck and are a retarded old faggot and make no money doesnt mean it isnt their profession

>>54183503
are you sure its a vulnerability? so far the only thing that seems to save a bank is having 3 trillion deposits and hoping everyone doesnt come at once to get them

>>54183503
Is there a list? And what vulnerabilities, bad bonds?

>>54182236
these are normie chips. real gains are in small-mid caps. for me its STX, SIMO, MXL, MRAM

>>54183553
hes talking about the difference in assets' book value vs market value. which is obvious in an up rate environment.
i hate articles like that. banks are required to hold these low yield safe treasuries and agency mbs. if you want them to buy expensive swaps then force them to.
and obviously the mortgages they hold on their balance sheet are declining in fair value too, is fannie/freddie just gonna buy every single mortgage that gets originated from now on?

>>54181458
HOLY FUCK
THIS IS GONNA END THE LIFE LINE

>>54183503
Shitty accounting practices?
Or investing and catering exclusively to tech startups?

>>54183503
nobody cares. the government will just bail them out if they're big enough

if all the bad news was priced in why did it take until now for FRC to drop 80%?

Apparently the stock is plummeting because BBBY is asking for a stock split to get more money. This will completely screw over Hudson's lifeline to them cause it'll drop below the $1.00 floor they agreed upon.

This means they either knew this would happen anyway, or they are so insanely desperate for money they are don't care and will take anything they can get as soon as possible

>>54183713
jews

I still have faith in JP. I think he printed a few bucks to see if this administration was serious about saving shit banks. Next week, he'll drop a .5 to .75 point hike, and show the public what this administration is really about.

>>54183713
Because you idiots pumped it and smarter people decided to make money.

>>54183753
congrats you must be mad rich now

>>54183747
nothing got printed.
they back channeled those 11 banks to send 30b to first republic as a show of faith in the banking industry.
it works for the other banks because its basically just sending the deposits they vultured from frc, sbny, svb, and make interest off of it. with zero risk.
it stabilizes the banks enough to let him hike again

>>54183747
50 bepis.

>tell me a humerous story about jerome powell raising the basis points by .75

Once upon a time, Jerome Powell, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, decided to raise the basis points by 0.75. He thought it was a great idea to show the world that the US economy was strong and stable.

But little did he know that this decision would create chaos in the financial markets. The stock market started to fall, and people were panicking. Investors were calling their brokers, asking what was going on.

One investor, in particular, was really upset. He had put all of his savings into the stock market, and now he was losing money because of Powell's decision. He decided to call the Federal Reserve and give them a piece of his mind.

When he got through to Powell's office, he was put on hold. After a few minutes, Powell picked up the phone and said, "Hello, this is Jerome Powell, how can I help you?"

The investor said, "Mr. Powell, why did you raise the basis points by 0.75? Don't you know that you're ruining my life?"

Powell replied, "I'm sorry, sir, I didn't mean to ruin your life. I was just trying to do what's best for the economy."

The investor said, "Well, you're not doing what's best for me! Can't you just lower the basis points back down?"

Powell thought for a moment and said, "Okay, I'll tell you what. I'll lower the basis points back down, but you have to promise me something."

The investor said, "What do I have to promise?"

Powell said, "You have to promise me that you'll invest in something more stable, like gold or bonds."

The investor laughed and said, "Okay, Mr. Powell, you got yourself a deal."

And that's how Jerome Powell saved the day by making a deal with an angry investor. The lesson? Never underestimate the power of a good negotiation.

>>54183747
Analysts are throwing a shit fit already about the expected 25 bepis. I couldn't care less because we're just trading the botton while rates are still high.

>>54183783
why'd they add it to the balance sheet then?

>>54183340
ADBE is implementing AI into their tools, but I'm not sure if its anything like midjourney. I think AI art as a headwind will take >10 years to materialize because those AI art models take a lot of knowledge to create and tinker with. At the end of the day, AI is a tool and requires a user.

>>54183800
where did you see the 30b was added to the balance sheet? dont say its on the h41 report because that is aggregated and we KNOW people went to the discount window this week

>>54182102
>Be careful with this line of thinking though. If you go on expecting a future dump, you might regret missing any further upside.

it's fine. this is mostly a macro issue to me. i'd love for the macro situation to improve, even if i missed out on gains. i'd absolutely love to be wrong. i can get in at a higher price during better times. i'd love that. TA is still TA, FA is still FA. i learned my lesson though. "it's a good company, let's try buying and holding" isn't as great as it sounds at first. it works, but it's going to feel awful for months, for some maybe years. besides my 401k and ESPP, never again.

Why should I add AGG to my Roth instead of actively trading it, in my Roth

>>54183831
loans: $150 billion. I think the other half came from JPM

>>54182140
60 is half of 120. 120 was already significantly down from 160-ish, right? that's about it, and i believe in AMD's fundamentals and semiconductors in general. we're literally just in a shitty macro situation, has little to do with the actual companies. all you need to do is educate yourself on how important semiconductors are to modern life and you have your answer in all honesty. NVDA is too expensive for my taste comparatively, but they're also great. really any major semiconductor company is great. i work for one that i won't mention the name of. internal news is highly positive despite the macros currently, that's all you need to know.

as for wisdom: learn TA. whatever time frame, time or tick charts, doesn't matter. learn TA for entries. after that it's all risk management. learn when to cut your losses. the shorter the time frame, the more important TA is, the longer the time frame the more important FA and macros are. hope that helps. im getting drunk tonight on a job well done.

>>54183952
so you cut off the line items that add up to the line line, knowing that I just told you that primary borrowing is the discount window, and theres a new like for BTFP?
I'm telling you the $30b came direct from the 11 banks. The fed did not loan the money and then have the consortium pretend to send it over

>>54183999
loan line items*

>>54183798
Powell knows Burns massively fucked up and doesn’t want to replicate his mistakes:

>Burns raises interest rates
>market throws a shitfit
>Burns lowers interest rates
>market and inflation goes up
>Burns raises rates again
>market throws a shitfit
>Nixon calls Burns and bitches him out for fucking up the market
>Burns lowers rates
>Market and inflation go up
>repeat ad infinitum

Powell can keep bailing out depositors, but he won’t cut rates this year. He knows how bad it would be to replicate the Fed policy of the 1970s

Do I become a day trader or should I just pour a bunch of money into stocks and wait for them to go up 100000% in a decade

>>54184108
Definitely wont cut but he will increase/decrease ramp rate to make the puppets dance.

>>54182272
figma balls

>>54184112
day trading is too stressful

most day traders are bald for a reason

Bernanke needs to open the discount window, that is how bad things are...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TaKnDMv6ceg

OPEN THE DISCOUNT WINDOW OPEN THE DISCOUNT WINDOW OPEN THE DISCOUNT WINDOW OPEN THE DISCOUNT WINDOW AHAHAHAHAHAHA HERE WE GO AGAIN WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE

you are honestly the biggest fucking retard ive ever met if you're buying stocks

here's some advice from someone with a bigger brain than you: stocks are going to fluctuate up and down for the next few years as inflation continues to soar. you're not going to get the same profits that boomers did, that ship has sailed. invest in something else, anything else. this pyramid scheme has hit its climax

just got back from a 3 day vacation. i am happy to announce i am up 50% on my $14 google LEAPS and down 33% on my $24 baba leaps

is this what being delta neutral feels like?

>>54184112
trading intraday doesnt work. watching the markets daily and waiting for opportunities does. you still have to be patient even if youre an active investor

>>54184179
i plan to invest in a savings account. fuck all the scammers. you won't get my hard earned money

>>54184196
>bank rugpulls your savings
Nothing personal kid.

>>54184179
>stocks are going to fluctuate up and down
Yeah that's where you make your money dumdum

>>54184271
you dont know when they are going to fluctuate at any moment, you might as well go to las vegas unless you have insider info

>>54184290
>implying you know shit
Don't beclown yourself

>>54184196
my bank has a collective investment fund thing of sorts, you put money in and it reinvests it into vanilla stuff like CDs of other banks, because of the high interest rates the thing is giving a yield of about 30% yearly interest just for having your money sitting there, while stock buyers spend hours upon hours researching and shit every day just to gamble in hopes of making 10% or so

>>54184302
no i dont know, that's exactly why stocks are bullshit. the only thing i know is that stocks will not make a net profit for anyone without luck or insider info

>>54184179
For indices, I agree. The next few years will be pretty flat. That said, individual companies will rise and fall plenty. Always have and always will.

>>54184305
How does one acquire this power in leafland

What a terrible week. Portfolio down and I got assigned bags.

>>54184305
s&p 500 has returned nearly 300% in 10 years with zero effort. stay poor cause youre a scared little bitch.

>AI Revolution
>NVDA: "Picks and Shovels" $255 ath $329
>META: Biggest "Miner" $195 ath $372

>>54184351
enjoy your bubble while it lasts

>>54184351
>bro just invest in s&p nevermind that the market is overinflated as shit because free covid moneys and there's a crisis right around the corner just trust me bro

>they are actually going to arrest trump
so amidst the banking system collapsing we're going to get right wing american pissed off

>>54184375
>>54184396
no dont invest in the s&p 500. 2x the s&p 500 :)

>>54183503
looks like the fed will be printing more money, bullish.

>>54183503
>another day
>another crisis

>>54184436
When are the next rate increases set to be announced?

Ima come through the internet and smack the FUCK outta the next asshole that doesn't link the next thread in the previous smg

>>54184491
march 22

I got fucked today, biz... and not in a good way...

Baking (with no links).

>>54183135
that just means megacaps are at their most overvalued ever

>>54184581
Better be some big titty brokers in the op.

>>54183396
Post of the thread RIGHT HERE

>>54183797
That's not humorous at all. Fuck you, AI.

>>54184589
This. Don't make the mistake of thinking it means small caps are actually undervalued.

>>54183932
You cannot use "margin" in trad or Roth IRAs, so you need to work around bullshit T+2 settlement times and good faith violations.

>Futures

Not denying that inflation,etc means times are rough now. Nor am I saying a bank going down in flames is a good thing but I do think the whole "ah we're fucked, fuck life's a big shat, fuck it all" is overblown. Reason that bank shat was due mostly to it lending money to risky startup companies, companies that by the very name implies "hey we can go belly up tomorrow" if things turn bad. Plus the CEO dude didn't do more to fix the problem before he opened his mouth to the public. If he'd said "hey we've taken steps to fix things" all while being open with the issues then perhaps things would've turned out different.

>Futures

Hit my buy limit on BOIL at $4.89, now the proud owner of 100% natgas 2x. This fucker's going back up someday brapbois and were gonna be the ones holdin it. $1.99 gas at the lowest

>>54184768
bro why would you post this if you didnt read a single article about why it failed. they lost money on bonds -> withdraws happened -> take losses > game over

What tech company do you think is going to print the most cash flows this decade? My eyes are on meta despite the hate. I already see VR sets strapped on people in public. I dont see AI as something the public will get to profit off in a stock very easily. I also trust zuckerberg more then other tech titans like musk who are distracted on internet/politics drama. I kind of believe in the /g/ autism that the computer will be a VR headset for the tech illiterate and computers will be left for autismos and nerds as operating systems become crappier.

>>54184730
yeah, i am extremely online

Any pairs tradefags here?
I was considering doing that, but also writing CC's and CSP's against them while I wait for it to trend or be neutral. Thoughts?

>>54184855
>I also trust zuckerberg more then other tech titans
This. He's ruthless too with those recent firings. Whenever Facebook is wasting money he can just snap his fingers and be done with it. And now he's proven he's willing to do it. META has basically no supply chain either like NVDA.

Elon just bought that turd twitter. Zuck can either build the next competitor or acquire the next competitor. The money in AI will be learning from OUR personal data and META is going to dominate.

>>54184851
it's KO boomer he's a permabull retard who DCAs consumer staples with his pension money

>>54184939
Oh that guy. Yeah i have no idea why he posts here if he refuses to learn anything about finance. He'd have more fun on some boomer forum instead

>>54184993
where do you think you are?

>>54184855
>Tech company with the most cash flow.
I would tell you but then you’d know lol.
Funny thing is the majority of retail already knows but you still don’t seem to know lolololol.

>>54184730
>call me ma'm or i'll kill myself

>>54184927
I'm just not sure how you value a lot of these companies especially in the tech sphere. Worst zuck did was blow a shitton money in 2022 and become a joke but who gives a shit when you got dumb rich so fast and go for free PR then proceed to axe the weak staff. I just think you gotta move with the times and pick the tech company that can pivot to the next generation and going hard into VR is a good step even if it seems bad. Apple was backwards looking for making mp3 players and telephones easy to consumers and got dumb rich in 00s. Power users arent cash cows its the low hanging fruit audience. Kids now will grow up into wanting to use some oversimplified interface thats the cash cow. My only fear would be apple getting a big jump on some VR/AR hardware and push meta out. Its about betting on that next ipod.

>>54185052
4chan used to be a place for smart people to act retarded, maybe i'm just too old now

If this post ends in an even number I drink another 6 pack of Guinness Extra Stout.

>>54185151
your kidneys have been spared yet another piss

>DXY lost its entire safe haven bid this week
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6S6ip7pj1hc

>>54185108
Rent free

UH OH BANKIES
https://twitter.com/FuzzyPandaShort/status/1636786958105186310

>>54185213
SHITS GETTING REAL

>>54185213
Where's that Jim Cramer tweet about SBF being the modern JP Morgan?

>>54185213
no no, Buffet's cash is for supporting my OXY position from having its bottom fall out.

pet rock bros...

>>54185277
>buffett bails out the banks
>but forces them to drop the ESG bullshit so that they invest in oil again
Please make it happen, it would be the first time honorary kike buffett does something good.

>>54184730
It's almost as if trannies are mentally ill

>>54185279
Remember that time nickel futures traders got BTFO so hard they just reversed the trades?

>>54185310
Ima still nut in they butt doe

>>54185314
The fact that the lme even exista after that debacle is astounding.

>>54185118
Good point. But facebook already has the jump on hardware. You can buy it in stores. I've played with my cousin's. Not sure how apple feels about vr/ar yet. Didn't they say they plan to discontinue the iphone in the near future? That next paradigm device would probably be a vr/ar thing. I'm more bullish on AI though.

I've gotta ask, does anyone actually read 10-ks or dig into data about an equity, or is this all just inane speculation and gambling? Do 10-k even matter?

>FRC
Welp everyone who bought today knew what they were getting into and that there was always the chance it wouldn't bounce

>>54185314
It wasn't the traders. It was the nickel producers(I think a Chinese one) who shorted nickel as a hedge and couldn't cover the losses.

>>54185308
>"Time to invest in America"
>"Yes, Mr. Buffett, sir"
>"That means no blacks, pajeets, or spics"

If FRC doesn't at least rebound to 30 before a buyout I'm killing myself

>>54185350
i guarantee you 90% in this thread dont, but every institutional or pro investor does

>>54185350
I'm too dumb to understand them so I don't

>>54185350
I love all the K's. But yeah, a lot of it is insane speculation and gambling. A look at practically any tech stocks 10ks will show that.

>>54185350
I've tried. There's just so much fluff and legalese I have to re-read one sentence 10 times to understand what it's saying.

>>54185350
Shit negro, I just buy SPY and sell puts. I may be dumb but I outperform the market.

>>54185350
Yeah, they can be useful for specific numbers or plans or justifications for things maybe not covered in as much detail on earnings calls.

I think I am going to stop doing shrooms in lemon. A miserable experience to down, and get none of the euphoria. Definitely intensifies the high though, come downs a bitch. Got no market wisdom but good artwork does have a point at home

>>54185308
>>54185394
Are y'all so weak that you have to project your mental illness on men far too intelligent to indulge in such fantasies.
>We wuz Buffets

>>54185350
About 10% of people here routinely do, including me. Either directly or through condensed reports. The rest look at averaged out financials from their broker or yahoo finance or whatever which, quite frankly, is just as good 99% of the time.

>>54185350
We used to make fun of TA users here but the last year or two has pulled in a lot more chartists than fundamental analysts here it seems.
(I am a braindead trend follower by the way if you couldn't tell)

>>54185440
>buffett
>intelligent
MY FUCKING SIDES

>>54185440
Right. Hence all the billionaire flight to Chicago and Los Angeles and New York.

>>54185437
>buying SPY rather than VOO

>>54185437
I wish I had enough money to hedge with puts. It's the most obvious play.

So... FRC... wtf is going on with that shit? It's all I keep reading about recently.

>>54185437
The real question is: would you fuck halle berry, if you were pierce brosnan in his prime?

>>54185564
yes

>>54185550
Heart-touching story of a bunch of big banks coming together to help save a little bank in trouble.

>>54185350
>>54185436
Nothing matters. At the end of the day, every company wants to make themselves look good, so text especially is full of fluff and forward-looking statements. At best, it might give you forewarning about market trends to think about.
Numbers are generally trustworthy, but it's possible to account in certain ways and massage the data (legally) to present it in a positive light.
For example, Hasbro and Funko have both been allegedly destroying inventory; due to tax rules, they might be able to write this off as a taxable loss to make their margins look better. At best, the text might have it as a footnote.
Really, what you want to see is growth in every category. WMT has been expanding in grocery/online sales, for example. As long as number go up, people are happy.

>>54185450
>We used to make fun of TA users here
no we didn't. TA users are worshipped because TA is always right.
I'm done calling my bot a bot, it is now AI.
At current rates I will 2x every 5 days until the end of time.
I will own the universe

>>54185518
The options liquidity is more important than a 0.03% fee or whatever the difference is. I like to experiment with covered strangles and spreads from time to time.

>>54185564
Is water wet?

>>54185609
What timeframe are you trading, and how many signals do you use?

>>54185564
Of course. However I'm sure in this photo he is imagining how she'd look with an extra hundred pounds on her.

>>54185635
Water is not wet. Wetness is a property that water applies to other objects (including other water) but it is itself not wet.

Well /smg/, what do you have to say for yourself?

https://slate.com/human-interest/2023/03/weaponized-incompetence-care-and-feeding-advice.html

>>54185644
what is a lion?

>>54185609
I will not be gaslit

Imagine how bad you have to be at life to fail as a bank lol all you do is hold people's money lmao you had one job hahahahaha.

>>54183401
Be sure to post next week when you lose it

>>54185589
You should pitch this as a movie to hollywood; title it 'The Big Short 2: 2 Big 2 Fail'.

>>54185658
big kitty cat

>>54185679
You know what's funny and enraging? If you try to "just hold people's money", they shut you down: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Full-reserve_banking
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-03-08/the-fed-versus-the-narrow-bank#xj4y7vzkg

>>54185589
Staring Tom Hanks.
>>54185550
May or may not be dead soon. They got $30 billion in deposits from other banks. But they then announced after hours today they need to do a stock sale for funding. Not a good sign.

>>54185637
1m candles, soon 100ms candles maybe (orderbook); i just ramp up periods to retarded amounts to match.

the indicator matters less than backtesting over 9000 combinations of them and cherry picking pretty 45 degree straight angle up equity charts.

indicator is worthless if it doesn't come with a good backtest, and default parameters are equally meaningless.
>macd 12,26,9
why?
who picked 12,26,9?
if 72,1085,272 backtests better than that is the correct answer; not 12,26,9; but chances are you will find lots of good backtest combinations and you can start picking behavior (targeting longer/shorter periods)
>muh form the indicator to the chart fitting
no shit, it works; also do it with entire pairs and screen 1000 of them.
running macd 12,26,9 against 1000 pairs and then picking 5 where it performs awesome will; suprise, probably be a good idea

>>54185436
>>54185600
Yeah, the bloat is real and the useful information needs to be sifted for. Not sure if its like that for all sectors and companies though.

>>54185744
further if an indicator does not backtest well then you should not allow it into your consciousness. having ema 200 up on your chart if trading against ema 200 actually backtests like shit is going to negatively influence your trading decisions.

you must act with a clean chart.
your intuition is the best indicator, your brain was built to recognize patters; just realize nothing else but the line matters. news, wars, it is all a result of the line. the line goes down; wars will happen, economy will do bad, etc; line goes up, economy will do good, people will be happy. everything follows the line not the other way around.

PACIFIC WESTERN BANK FACING "ELEVATED WITHDRAWALS"
>PACIFIC WESTERN BANK FACING "ELEVATED WITHDRAWALS"
PACIFIC WESTERN BANK FACING "ELEVATED WITHDRAWALS"
>PACIFIC WESTERN BANK FACING "ELEVATED WITHDRAWALS"
PACIFIC WESTERN BANK FACING "ELEVATED WITHDRAWALS"
>PACIFIC WESTERN BANK FACING "ELEVATED WITHDRAWALS"
PACIFIC WESTERN BANK FACING "ELEVATED WITHDRAWALS"
>PACIFIC WESTERN BANK FACING "ELEVATED WITHDRAWALS"
PACIFIC WESTERN BANK FACING "ELEVATED WITHDRAWALS"
>PACIFIC WESTERN BANK FACING "ELEVATED WITHDRAWALS"

>>54185889
CALL THE FUCKING FEDS
GET DIMION ON THE PHONE
HE WILL NEED HIS CHECK BOOK

I'm redeeming my deposits.

>>54185889
Nothing Will Happen

>>54185929
to where?
in what?

When people say you need to put in the work what are they exactly referring to? Is it just reading all the fillings and doing TA or what? I guess there were people that have had shorts on Silicon Valley Bank since summer of last year so obviously you can be right and still lose money for awhile.

>>54185957
You have to lose money so you can learn what went so horribly wrong. Investing has tuition fees.

>>54185954
Google Play gift cards.

>>54185635
>the options aspect
Ah, that makes great sense.

>>54181421
>Jerome Powell is a punk ass bitch for bailing out some 3rd rate mismanaged bank. What happened to the years worth of work of QT, Jerome? All of it just gets dumped into the trashcan and for what? Shitty tech startups that will NEVER make money? Practically incintivising banks to take on huge risks knowing they'll get made whole to the last, uninsured cent. Fuck you, Jerome. Candy ass faggot, Edition.
Now if only that loser would bail out all my failed stock trades. Would keep going all in on eow calls/puts

>start with 10k
>lose
>jeromes gives me 10k
>gamble again with 10k
>win
>have 30k now
>gamble again
>win
>have 150k
>gamble again
>lose
>jerome gives me 150k
>gamble again with 150k
>win
>have 1.5m
>gamble 5x
>lose 5x
>gamble again with Jeromes free gift 9f 1.5m
>win
>have 15m
REEEEEEEE I WANT OUT OF EVER WORKING AGAIN YOU OLD LOSER GIVE ME MONEY. I REMEMBER ANDREW JACKSON SAYING THE PEOPLE CAN VOTE FOR MONEY FOR THEMSELVES. I VOTE YOU GIVE ME 10M DOLLARS AND BAIL ME OUT OF ALL FAILED TRADES!

>>54185988
Someone get this hothead outta here!

>>54185957
pretty much this
>>54185973


Worst thing that can happen is you make a shitload of money really easy right when you start, 100% chance you give everything back

>>54185635
>>54185986
BTW, I have only recently gotten enough of something to start thinking about selling covered calls and secured puts, etc. (BOIL). Do you have any easy to share advice on how I should go about dipping toes into all that without putting myself at some huge risk, and in fact hopefully lessening some of the risk in owning BOIL to begin with?

>>54186009
>Worst thing that can happen is you make a shitload of money really easy right when you start, 100% chance you give everything back
Yep. That happened to me.

>>54185763
>>54185600
10-ks and most financial reports are written by lawyers i think

Do you think the fiscal policy is intentionally retarded to be as demoralizing as possible or is it just honest to God incompetence instead?

>>54186044
i've been there bro pretty much happened to me as well learned some hard af lessons

>>54186050
I think you need to stop getting hot takes from /pol/

>>54186050
JEWS
I MEAN YES, FUCKIN SPELL CHECK

>>54186068
Why would you ask me to shit in your mouth? How is that financially relevant, I'm not signing a release for your onlyfans unless you split the revenue with me.

>>54186050
Fed is in fiscal zugzwang. They want to keep inflation down but that's causing the banks to destabilize. If banks crash, everything crashes. If inflation gets crazy, everything crashes. Everything crashes. There are no good moves. So they chose to save the banks, kick can down the road, hope to god the inflation spike isn't too bad (it will be).

>>54186068
Ok, give us your hot take then. Why is our monetary policy so retarded?

>Futures

>>54186139
Why not just watch the banks slit their own wrists and tell everyone to deal with it until shit stabilizes? Also, how do I become a bank so I can be wildly irresponsible with my money and get a bailout every time I fuck up?

ded thred
ded gaem
ded benks
ded merket
ded pertferlio

>>54186050
Monetary policy is, and always has been, about protecting the financial elite. Once you understand this, it all makes sense, and is no longer 'retarded'

>>54185957
By put in work I think they mean take an active role to the benefit or detriment of a corporation in order to profit off of their success/failure. Some might call this corporate warfare or corporate terrorism; but profit is profit.

>>54186305
>>54186305
>>54186305

>>54186139
Maybe banks should have invested more having more than 0% reserves and a healthy safe yield flow

>>54186139
If the Fed can let a bunch of other regional banks die, inflation will be dead in a few months. The credit crunch should take a lot of the slush out of the system and put an end to inflation. What this current administration won’t like is the flight to the safety of the Big 4 banks, and they don’t like when those banks get bigger

>>54185362
>who shorted nickel as a hedge and couldn't cover the losses.
Wasn't even as a hedge, he was retarded and thought that production from his mines was going to continue increasing exponentially so went all in on short selling future deliveries. Instead production plateaued and demand skyrocketed.

>>54185279
kek baggies

>>54186033
you won't make money in the long run selling calls or using options in general. they are not meant to be used all the time, only in certain situations.

>>54187562
Well shit then.