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/biz/ - Business & Finance


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54096204 No.54096204 [Reply] [Original]

Press F to pay respects to the US economy

>> No.54096224

S
fuck this kiked county

>> No.54096229

>>54096204
I'm from /tv/ what does this mean?

>> No.54096260

>>54096204
It has been inverted for like 9 months now aren't you a bit late. If anything it's now getting uninverted. Which isn't necessarily good, just a signal that we're one step closer

>> No.54096263

>>54096204
what it mean bruv?

>> No.54096269

>>54096229
big line going down = bad

>> No.54096276

>>54096204
S and N

>> No.54096279

>>54096269
But it went back up a little bit at the end there.

>> No.54096289

>>54096229
if the sort term interest rate is higher than long term rate its bad news

>> No.54096294

>>54096229
big sneed for you

>> No.54096358

>>54096289
Can I ask why?
>>54096294
>there's no money here
>then why are you people here

>> No.54096382

>>54096229
Short term yields being higher than long term yields reflects investor's expectations of expansionary monetary policy in the long term which generally only happens in a weaker economy.

>> No.54096389

>>54096204
Holy shit wtf hahha is this real we are all so fucked

>> No.54096422

>>54096260
This the worst it has been. It's not getting "uninverted" and I'm not sure how you could make that mistake, but thanks.

>> No.54096477
File: 229 KB, 1079x1439, Screenshot_20230313-152923.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
54096477

>>54096204
>>54096260
>>54096389
Here is a more reliable source for doubters
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y

>> No.54096491

>>54096204
>inverted yield
>Fed's trash bond swap backstop
How exactly is this going to fuck us? I have no doubt it will, but I just don't know how yet. Is the Fed basically offering to absorb any bond risk for certain maturities?

>> No.54096527

soundtrack https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1WX_y2VELcY

>> No.54096872
File: 355 KB, 1391x1405, 1640061607286.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
54096872

>>54096229
>>54096263
>>54096279
>>54096358
I see the recent banking news has brought us a lot of newfags, so here's a qrd on what this means, but to be clear you can read up on this fully here:
>https://www.investopedia.com/articles/basics/06/invertedyieldcurve.asp

Think about investing in its most basic form. I move capital into an asset for some amount of time, and expect some return after some time has passed.
The key here is we expect the value to change over time. Therefore, the longer you keep your investments: the more variability you should expect in the price. In finance, we call this 'risk'. So typically, long-term = high risk.
When a yield curve inverts, it is a signal that our economy views short term investing as more risky than longer-term investing. In other words, the near-term economy is fucked and the long-term economy is in a state of limbo.
In general (and historically) an inverted yield curve is a sign of incoming economic recession - where cashflow slows and the gears of the economy slow or halt.

>why does this matter? I already know the economy sux I think
A typical "inversion" of a yield curve is actually a flat line; rather than actually inverting the curve entirely, as seen in the OP pic.
Although this is an indicator of incoming/beginning recession, the intensity of the recession is still up for debate. Another use of this indicator is to watch for a flattening or fixing event, where the yield curve moves towards its appropriate structure once more (normal yield curve is similar to y = ln(x) ).
As seen in the OP image, the yield curve has made a new peak on 3/10. For the layman, this should translate to "we are still ramping up the scale of the incoming recession".

Hope this helps and still I recommend the article at the beginning of the post for a full explanation.

>> No.54096946
File: 56 KB, 639x640, 4u.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
54096946

>>54096229
Basically these hothead economy big guys didnt fly so good, so now everything is sneeded.

>> No.54097026

>>54096477
GOD thoses buttons wtf? who the fuk made those share buttons, it needs to be hanged

>> No.54097520

>>54096872
Thanks boss.

>> No.54097539

>>54096477
Its over...

>> No.54097556

remember that time when /biz/ and retard /pol/shit tourists spent 48 hours screeching about the collapse of the banking industry after a literally who bank went insolvent but nothing happened?