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/biz/ - Business & Finance


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54013814 No.54013814 [Reply] [Original]

I’ve got a highly bearish analysis for real estate for you, /biz/.

An enormous subset of the supply/demand for real estate is trapped in a one-way valve. Boomers believe everyone who bought in at 3% interest rates cannot sell their home, and thus supply is diminished. This is incorrect.

Everyone who bought in at 3% cannot BUY a home. If they get divorced, or re-married, or fired, or die, then they will many times be forced to sell unwillingly.

It’s a one way valve that suppresses demand, not supply. They can sell, but they can’t buy.

>> No.54014165

>>54013814
BlackRock and rich investors are the buyers, it's a scheme to take home ownership away from the next generation. Then they will tie your ability to rent to your social credit score.

>> No.54014387

>>54014165
this
there will be no real estate "market" anymore
only apps to to show where you can sleep nearby, at a price of course...

>> No.54014430

>>54014387
>only apps to to show where you can sleep nearby, at a price of course...
Replace the price with carbon taxes.
You can only sleep if your carbon footprint is low enough etc. Welcome to the new world order

>> No.54014480

>>54014165
Blackrock owns a tiny fraction of the US real estate market, and most of it is in commercial and luxury developments. You can instead blame ordinary boomers and government regulation

>> No.54014534

>>54014480
So if its not BlackRock, what HQ do we need to set on fire to send the proper message about this? What CEO needs to be threatened outside his home? I'm getting fucking tired of no one doing anything and would like to at least know if someone was to do something where I should be looking. You know, all in Minecraft of course.

>> No.54014541

>>54014165
Blackrock and Blackstone are collapsing.
If a bank or group makes 1.2% on assets, they earn millions, sometimes billions.
Everyone is in the red. The ACCESSIBLE cash to these groups is small, their value is in assets. When the people can't buy, while they need cash. ALL values go down. Real Estate isn't the clown economy stock market. The Asset has a real value, and it depends on the buyer. Currently the only real buyer is the liquidity, wage, and education starved millenial/zoomer generations.
The real estate market is fucked this time, specially when considering their is no shaft market like China back in the day to produce cheap shit to drag the clown show on further. The Financial doomspiral that started in the 70's is knocking boys.
This is a 4X Recession/Depression.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lBdxeeolWng
We've got over 7 Black Swan signals. QUIT COPING.

>> No.54014619

>>54014534
it may not just be blackrock, but it certainly is investors. institutional investing is now targeting single-family homes. I hate /pol and I hate when they bring their doomsday bullshit here. but its exactly what the anon above posted. do you really think they (they as in big boy investors) are wanting you or I to own a house? when they can rent it to us and have our children pay their children increasing rent for eternity? buy a fucking house.

>> No.54014653

>>54014541
>7 Black Swan signals

the state of /biz

>> No.54014667

>>54014534
Well the real blackpill is that no single entity or individual is responsible for this mess, everybody that has willingly participated in a free market is guilty. To some extent that includes you

>> No.54014817

>>54013814
The manager knows best and now you have a unique product and a lot got done instead of your OCD "let's make it perfect" bullshit.

>> No.54014839

>>54014619
>>54014653
>Bruh one of the biggest bubbles of all time. Just own it bruh. It's not like the collapsings companies, banks, stocks, crypto, or rest of the economy. This bubble is DIFFERENT.
>I can fix this bubble bro, it's hot
Why do you dumbos love losing money so much? You aren't smarter than the market. Nor were the banks that already did, and are collapsing. The whole system forgot the reason it exists was to make transactions easier for the villager who sells wheat, so the smith can eat, to produce tools for the farmer.
When the economy contracts, the producer who needs no imports can keep producing. He is what our entire system is based around. The Miner, The Farmer, The Builder. When the economy gets too top heavy. The Builder stops building, because the Merchant class(trade bros, store clerks to manager, traders, etc) can't afford to normally operate anymore. This contracts the builders role. When the builders role contracts, so too does the engineer, woodsmith, etc.
Just to break it down real simple.
Funny money is ending, and everyone who has studied any history knew it was going to. Fiat always dies after a few decades. Real Estate is going to be a supreme bloodbath.

>> No.54014960

>>54014541
7 HECKUN BLACK SWANNNSSS NOOOO ITS OVER SHUT IT DOWN REWEWEEEEEEE

>> No.54014963

>>54014839
The silliest part though is when you realize this is the result of demographic decay.
Hard times produce many children(stress sex, too poor and tired for safe sex)
Those Cheap Labor Units produce good times
Good times produce unstressed people who can practice safe sex

>> No.54015163

>>54014963
LMFAO what the fuck bro go back to sleep
>>54014839
The entire point of money is to help the division of labor in a society, especially complex ones. Forgetting what money is and the role it plays is how you destroy everything. Socialism destroys everything, always.

>> No.54015366
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54015366

>>54015163
>Money is a division of labor
>Your a commie
What you think money is, IS COMMUNISM.
Money is a simple Universal note for goods exchange, sometimes, like the modern era. Labor is a Good that can be exchanged. OR used for State Centralization more than anything.
Please, go back to the books and read them. The History books. Where money actually came from, why it came to exist. Village -> City -> State -> Nation.