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53944521 No.53944521 [Reply] [Original]

please explain your reasoning, thank you

>> No.53944658

No one can accurately predict the market, man

>> No.53944804
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53944804

>>53944521

It's hard to say. There are so many cross-currents, I could make an argument for both sides.

>> No.53945122

Make a table with five columns. Put reasons it would go up or down in the first column, as many as you can think of. Second column, put +1 for up and -1 for down. Third column, how likely it is to happen between 0 and 1. Fourtb column, how big the effect would be, between 0 and 1. Final column, multiply the other columns e.g. -1*0.5*0.5=-0.25. Then add up all the final columns. If the answer is positive, you think it's going up; negative, you think it's going down. Bet accordingly.
Ofc this only tells you what you think, not what's really happening. It's a thinking tool, not a knowledge tool.

>> No.53945131
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53945131

>>53945122
have you done this?
if so, what we're your results?

>> No.53945144

>>53945131
Do some work yourself.

>> No.53945154

>>53945144
sir

>> No.53945211

>>53944521
I think we’ll go fill the futures gap at 4240 then go down

>> No.53945256

>>53944521
Lower, interest rates, inflation, t-bills, Greta, your welcome

>> No.53945465
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53945465

>>53944521
Yes. Its following the meme chart on the weekly. It's in the complacency stage. Bitcorn already shit the bed and is slowly approaching depression. It's possible that S&P retest and break 3500 support at anxiety phase as BTC hits its bottom but the two are uncorrelated on the weekly.