/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>53407092
sauce?

no i'm not asking for a friend, this is for myself

How big a trading portfolio do I need to have Selena as my gf (23 yrd old college student btw I was thinking 20K)?

What does the market mean by this?

>tfw
https://files.catbox.moe/u8x5xn.mp4

When will *your* portfolio and trading let you retire?

>could have had 7k profit
>paper handed three separate times, buying back my same calls but for higher
>somehow still up $500 because I bought calls much further out
It hurts knowing what I could have

>>53407092
Daily reminder that finance and economics are pseudoscientific make believe garbage and capitalism is inherently unstable, exploitative and unsustainable with a built in expiration date. Ever escalating recessions, poverty, debt, wealth inequality, monopolies, disease, pollution, exploitation, slavery, conflict and wars are fundamental, necessary and intended principles of it, NOT glitches. Greed, selfishness, lying, cheating, stealing, competition, conflict, slavery and war are behaviors highly encouraged and incentivized under capitalism. It is LITERALLY cancer and i dont mean it metaphorically, i mean it literally, it shares the exact same functions and principles as a cancer cell.

The freer the market the more enslaved everything and everyone else is and the more blood sacrifices need to be performed to "the Line god". An economy needs to be as regulated and planned as possible to serve the living beings needs and desires and be able to be adjusted according to our needs at any given moment/period. finance and stock markets are incompatible with life and are in direct competition

>>53407113
It means buy BITI

I got fucked today, biz... and not in a good way...

....what happened to PRTY?!

fuck you BABA, go down

Threadly reminder that dividends are irrelevant. If you want a bit of cash from your stocks, you can sell some.

>>53407092
JUST WENT SHORT ON SPY AND QQQ BRING IT DOWN YOU FUCKING NIGGER LOVERS YEEEEEEAAAAHHH

>>53407092
Momoko-san you're scaring the makanai-san

>>53407141
Looks like the Party is...............over

>>53407117
500000 is my magic number for having a livable income, but I need money for property on top of that.

why cant i access intel's conference call. they say it's not available yet... it's 20 minutes after scheduled start time.

>>53407141
Party City downgraded to Party Town. Soon to be pic related.

>>53407113
You gambled your pooortfolio on some worthless shitcoins and you made a few cents?

>>53407114
real talk: he found the pedo cheat code. more power to him in all honesty, God bless. clearly he wants to fuck a child and now he gets to do it legally with a dwarf.

>>53407166
They declared bankruptcy 5 minutes ago anon.

>>53407141
chapter 11 bankruptcy. old equity is being wiped out, new equity given to noteholders.

old equity still trades on the OTC as PRTYQ lol

>>53407151
Not necessarily true, reinvest divvies but don't chase divvie stocks

>>53407166
They can no longer pay their phone bill. I'm sorry you had to find out this way, anon.

>>53407151
>you can sell some

Sell? What is this... "sell", that you speak of?

Threadly reminder that brokers are irrelevant. If you want a bit of stock, you can buy some at the transfer agent.

>>53407188
> reinvest divvies

How much longer can the market tread water like this? Surely the dip buying redditors are running low on money by now?

>>53407114
now hang on a second, is it me or is that the same fucking guy that went out with the amazon?

how does he keep getting away with it

Gentlemen
I am considering making a sizable equity investment into my own squadron of fighter jets, including pilots, ground crew, and munitions and spare parts.
How do I do this?

>>53407117
$3M is my number, but I'd easily survive on $2M. My last forecast puts me around 3M when I'm 68. But over $2M by 63.

>>53407117
When I get rich I'm going to open a gun store with both an indoor and out door range.
And I will continue to work out.

>>53407092
What the fuck is going on with these autistic pumps lately? Do they want to get raped by powell?

>>53407117
why would i want to retire from investing, retard

>>53407117
NEVER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

>>53407261
have you seen Powel? He is every investor's fantasy.

>tfw gotta wage
>found a job making sandwiches/pizzas etc
>1650€ after taxes
>4H to 12H
>will need to be asleep by 7pm to have 8Hs of sleep
At least I won't need to socialize like all other job postings require me to do so, which I fail due to IRL strokeposting. Rocker give me strengths to wage

>>53407261
Powell gonna rape something alright

>tfw all of my bags from 2022 are now in profit.
Thanks mr. Powell.

>>53407261
Yellen's extraordinary measures are flooding the market with liquidity and the Fed is in the "Black Betty Blackout" period. We're higher until earnings heem us.

>>53407246
No but it's basically the same scenario. He knows that we know. That son of a bitch.

>>53407261
NOOOOOO NOT THE POWELLERINO THE SHORT SQUIZZLE IS NOT DONE YET
BUY LEDDIT BUY BUY

>Traders are factoring in a 99% probability that the central bank's Federal Open Market Committee will raise rates by 25 basis points at its Feb. 1 policy meeting, according to the CME FedWatch Tool on Monday.
this can't end well, right? 99% probability?

>>53407282
Those are both men.

>>53407181
>>53407181
>>53407191
lmao for some reason i thought their earnings was today

>>53407114
Fucking kek, you knew that was going to happen. Nobody wants to be known as the weird legal pedo guy

>>53407290
When it's down to the wire like this, bond futures are like recession forecasts: self-fulfilling prophecies.

>>53407105
https://iqdb.org/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fi.4cdn.org%2Fbiz%2F1674512269423078.jpg

>>53407133
It happens to all of us, old sport. Let us learn to show our friendship for a man when he is alive and not after he is dead.

Why doesn't the Fed do daily rate changes that are more incremental? It seems like Market Volatility is heavily influenced by large swings in rates.

FIRST DAY OF TAX SEASON WOOOOOOOOOOO

>>53407322
That would be smart, wouldn't it? So too would adjusting interest rates based on the class of loans instead of fighting inflation by hiking rates for both new cars and new oil wells.

>>53407290
They are trying to force him to only raise 25bps because they really think they can avoid a recession if the fed raises slowly. Maybe Powell agrees, maybe not. If he raises 50bps, spy will hit 320 in feb/march

took some naspump profits before coming selling but ill let tesla longs still run

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_W7wqQwa-TU

>>53407322
That's basically what Milton Friedman wanted

>>53407341
I'd like a pair of fifties, so I can keep packing my bags for the rocketship that the pivot will bring.

>>53407290
>99% probability that the central bank's Federal Open Market Committee will raise rates by 25 basis points at its Feb. 1 policy meeting
they literally leaked Jpow pre recorded stream rate hiking 25 bepis
he even gave a thumbs up. get with the news, anon..

it is such a good feeling to be all cash

gonna sleep easy tonight

>futes

I guess the rest of this week will be a bullrun?

Its weird how pretty much all of big tech had a giga pump except for AMZN.

Why was that shitting crabbing? I thought AWS would be generating a lot more money for them than that...

>>53407421
if MSFT somehow beats and raises the market higher I will go balls deep TSLA short

>>53407290
Powell raised rates by 75 bps for like 7 months last year, I doubt he goes down to 25 that soon

Can someone explains me why today was green . Are we back?

>>53407383
It's gonna take him 4 25s, he could get it done with a pair of 50s a lot quicker.

>>53407421
Heh
I do business with some of those companies
I used to work at one even

Implied volatility (IV) is one of the most important concepts for options traders to understand for two reasons. First, it shows how volatile the market might be in the future. Second, implied volatility can help you calculate probability. This is a critical component of options trading which may be helpful when trying to determine the likelihood of a stock reaching a specific price by a certain time. Keep in mind that while these reasons may assist you when making trading decisions, implied volatility does not provide a forecast with respect to market direction.

>>53407257
unironically priced this out a few years ago.
You could do it the 3rd world route for around $2-$4 million USD. To do it the 1st world route, you'd need about $200 million to start on the cheap side.
>variables: your definition of squadron size & desired type of aircraft
>amount and availability of sweat equity
If you're a jet mechanic comfortable with soviet tech you can get this bad boy running in a weekend. Use a jewtube channel to finance it.

>>53407383
>they literally leaked Jpow pre recorded stream rate hiking 25 bepis
source?

>>53407233
>dip buying redditors
You're not creative at all.

>>53407341
I just want 50bps because ending rates at 4.75% would annoy me. just go to 5% and get it over with.

SKYT might actually make me rich.
It really is going to come down to the earnings on the 13th isn't it?

Man, bears really must be seething now huh? What a month.

Reminder that retail buying and selling has almost zero impact on the overall market.

>>53407468
they are literally just talking the market down their forecasts are worth shit like every year
if the data supports it they will go slower, that's what the market bets on

uh, ding ding ding ding? how did you anons do today? you DID make money, right?

made a small, quick, trade today, resulting in a small, quick, profit. bought/ a few calls on SPY this morning so i'm feeling good about the cup and handle pattern i noticed.

>>53407279
It'll all work out in the end, anon. I promise.

>>53407117
in 30 years when I inherit my parent's house

>>53407516
5.55% would be best, and you of all people know it!
>>53407554
I know, but it's annoying.

>>53407117
2 years ago but I've gone back to part time work.

>>53407556
Up 14% or about $1,200 today. That's what a portfolio consisting entirely of SOXL, UPRO and BULZ will do for ya.

>>53407532
earnings dont matter for startups

>>53407582
5.55% would be pretty hot. anything but 4.75%.

>>53407616
Sorry anon but I don't think you know anything about the company.

>>53407506
the last fed speakers suggested 25bps, same as muh fed whisperer from wsj
now we're in the blackout phase until Feb 1 so no fed news anyway

>>53407512
Excuse, me

*plebbit shit slurpers

Who do I believe?

>this time last year, the CME FedWatch Tool said there was a 0.35% of rates being 200 - 225 next month
>we are currently at 450 rates
amazing stuff

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J5K1VAO7oVI
>THE WICKED WALK AMONGST US
>AND YOU DON'T KNOW ME THAT WELL
>PROBABLY SHOULDN'T TRUST THE STORY I TELL

>>53407660
Just be yourself ;)

>>53407660
Haha, yeah don’t buy Goyim let us do it first

excellent bull run today old chaps. B*ars kicked the beehive 1 too many times

are 25bps already priced into tbills?

>>53407660
why are there still traders "on the floor"? Isn't everything done with computers? The fuck do those guys do? I will admit the jacket is kind of cool

>>53407179
Based and cunnypilled

i am eating a pile of boiled carrots for dinner. not because i want to, but that's what was in my fridge and i have the discipline to not waste any food which will ensure the maximum amount capital can be allocated to the market. let this be a reminder to anyone who orders delivery services or takeout food, you're not going to make it.

Immortality now!

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=8GW6sLrK40k

>>53407736
This image reminds me of something...

>>53407740
For the next hike? 99%. For the meetings thereafter, click around to the various dates on the top of the FedWatch tool: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html

>>53407758
They get paid to look cool.

>>53407775
Hey man I just wanted to say I really liked the music you posted.

On a scale from heemed to beheemed how fucked will this fomc be for the markets? Will this rally even last the rest of the week or will it be more downward crabbing? Last year has left me completely jaded and I don't believe this rally will last for even a second more.

>>53407775
get the fuck out of here Yaweh. No one wants to live in your Elf Utopia

>>53407341
> If he raises 50bps, spy will hit 320 in feb/march

Delusional

Bull bros............. Bobo really thought he would get away with it lmao!!

>>53407832
C.O.W. Boys
Let's ride!

>>53407778
hahah, i still see the hair!!!

>>53407550
Institutional money is even dumber than retail

>>53407632
WOAHHHHH THEY ARE ONLY LOSING 5MM INSTEAD OF 10MM THIS QUARTER
WOOOOOHOOOOO BUY BUY BUY BUY

The company doesnt fucking EXIST as a real company until their new foundry is set-up.

>>53407495
Thanks anon

>>53407775
This some mexican psychop?

>>53407892
Priced in.

>>53407871
I believe it. Dunning Kruger out the ass.

>>53407847
$COW has been getting butchered.

>at the mall
>see this tranny
>oh shit i let that tranny fuck me in the ass like 2 years ago
>turn around
>leave

Heh small world

>>53407660
Believe the line

>>53407904
so if it's priced in why are you buying it? they have no more upside since their foundry and operating income from it are already in the price. dont be retarded. there is a risk the foundry never makes money and runs into funding/partnership isues etc etc

>>53407916
I do not like this financial advice..

House price appreciation averages 3.53%
S&P appreciation averages 9.87%

20000*(1.0987^25) = 210381
100000*(1.0353^25)-20000 = 218042

Assuming a 25 year mortgage with 20% down-payment on a 100k house, and somehow rent and maintenance only covers the mortgage.
Compared to 20k directly into ETF like VOO, real estate will outperform an ETF/Index Fund before you even take into account rent rising substantially over the 25 years, as well as rent obviously being far higher than what you need to cover a mortgage.

This is purely because of the leverage afforded by a mortgage. Is there any similar product that allows such leverage at reasonable interest rates for ETFs?

>>53407916
Did it have a huge cock?
Trannies in tranny porn always seem to either have really huge or really tiny cocks

>>53407945
>the foundry never makes money
Lol. Lmao, even.

I just want BABA to randomly get another delisting rumor started, is that too much to ask for?

>>53407284
After inflation?

>>53407916

Boring day. Didn't buy nothing. Didn't sell nothing. Didn't look at any tickers. Didn't do nothing. Only thing I done was uh gawk at a co-workers ass as she bent over in addition to my afternoon nap. (What? Hey when a nice ass is proudly encased in a pair of tight jeans and it's bent over you'd gawk to)

>>53407916
uhh

>>53408009
>a 100k house

>>53407916
That was a woman

>>53408013
yep that's why insiders are only selling shares, they all are 100% confident the stock will 10x

>>53407092
BOOBA
market general

>>53408009
Are you taking into account taxes?

>>53408133
>he doesn't know how employees are paid at new companies
Might wanna stop talking for a bit anon.

>>53408150
you're the one who thinks a negative cash flow company's quarterly earning report matters at all

Anyway I slept through market hours and didn't get to redo my expired options. Feels bad bros.

>>53408169

This is a genuine question as a zoomer. Were more of the same jobs wage-based rather than salary based a few decades ago? Like, regular office wagies of 1990?

Why hasn't the market begun pricing in the recession?

>>53408009
Hope that Biden's new "fair housing" rules to "desegregate" your neighborhood don't tank your investment lol

My plan for tomorrow
Sell some random shit at pawn shops
put £10 into my gigaportfolio
Profit

>looking at my mutual funds
>didn't get much gains to day despite this move today
>which means some stocks within these mutual funds are selling off

not a good sign mumu's, just saying.

>>53408199
>"desegregate" your neighborhood
I hate the antichrist

>>53407114
>https://files.catbox.moe/u8x5xn.mp4
What a fag. I'd be slaying that legal cunny pussy without shame or apology.

t. 1000 shares of NEGG at 1.30

>>53408199
oh damn, we getting bussing for housing now? Can't wait for asians to fucking finally switch to team red.

>>53408173
if youre so confident that this earnings report is so important why dont you buy a straddle

you wont cause youre full of shieeeeet

>>53408009
Yes, housing is a great investment. You're missing the depreciation tax benefit that you get as well.
There's nothing that'll give you the same cheap leverage as housing. You can take out margin loans to leverage your initial investment, but if stocks decline in the short term you might get margin called. Long term, large ETFs tend to reach higher and higher floors as inflation, growth, and re-invested profits propel them forever higher in dollar terms.
There are leveraged ETFs, but those rebalance the leverage continuously so they'll get crushed on any decline regardless of how well they perform during the bull years. Some leveraged ETFs do still have competitive performance over extended periods despite the risk though.

Should be noted that while housing is generally great, there is some timing required there too. It's also dependent on the continued population growth in the locations you purchase. Past results do not guarantee future performance.

>>53408207
Why not use Facebook Marketplace or Craigslist?

>>53407092
>https://pastebin.com/F1yujtVq
>Boomer Investing 101:
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started
>Implying Robin Hood started the cost saving war

How dare you list Fidelity in the list of brokers but not Bogle's own Vanguard. It's not ideal for day traders but in terms of cheap price and a fair shake, way better than Fidelity. But then again, if you're a passive boomer investor than I guess /biz/ isn't for us.

Can I get a 3x leveraged mortgage?

>>53407114
Lol, mfer is straight mogging these woke fags with their own rhetoric

>>53408290
Vanguard straight up locks you out of using certain tools. No leveraged ETF's. No stoplosses.

>>53408257
Bussing was stupid even back then, as if the worst part of segregation was the fact blacks and whties didn't go to school together not that it was done by coercion

>>53408257
Law was on the books since the 60's, just stopped being enforced in the 70's. No Federal housing money unless your suburb says what it's doing to desegregate.

Short REM.

The one rule in housing is if you see niggers moving in, run.

>>53408293
Just 20% down is a 5x levered real estate play.

>>53407803
Last couple of meetings was bad news=good news, rate increases=pivot inevitable and MoM rising inflation=deflation. This faggot market is gonna do whatever it wants to do.

Real estate has some unique aspects:
1. If you buy in a "no recourse state" you can get margin called with no bankruptcy. Just mail the keys back to the bank and tell them to fuck off. They ruin your credit for 7 years but they can't take any money in your bank account. CA is a no recourse state, for example.

2. 500,000 tax exemption. Live in a house for 2 years as a primary residence (not a rental), and if you sell the house for 500k more than you got it, its tax free.

3. Tax deductions on mortgages while holding it. You get to deduct your margin loan interest fees.

This is why boomers are so fucking rich.

>>53408341
My neighborhood is incredible, except for one issue. We have a single black family living in it and there house is a fucken dump.
Its unreal, this upper middle class neighborhood where everyone takes good care of their homes and then BAM, the black house.

Freaky thing is, one of the Black House's neighbors had their home burn down. The Black family has a troubled young kid (which means normal) and people are suspecting that he burned down the house.
Physically impossible for them to be normal.

hi guys can you please make sure to connect to HR zoom at 10....we have some updates to share with you all....work from home is now limited to 3 days and mandatory 2 days in office. No exception. thanks you all for joining.

I have signed the offer last April. While negotiating, Amazon was bragging that they sponsor people and it is a huge plus. I have chosen Amazon and turned down bunch of other offers.
After months, I got the work permit printed on my passport. I told this to Amazon and upon their approval I gave my resignation letter to MSFT. My wife also resigned.
Movers came to my house in India, did the initial survey. The plane tickets to America are purchased. I even have chosen my alias. 2 days ago, my new-manager-to-be contacted me and told me he is looking forward to having me in the team.

And yesterday, Amazon cancelled the offer.

They are still sending me bunch of on-boarding emails.

As a compensation of their cancellation, they are offering me 1 months salary.

My holiday is ruined, I started to apply to bunch of jobs but people are all OOF for the holiday season. It was the perfect time for them to eff someone like this.

>>53408315
Seriously, there's no option for stop losses or stop orders? I guess that's very Bogle, too. Damn, that sucks actually in 2023.

stocks and such

>>53408393
This means in 12 states you can basically margin long at 3x leverage and if it goes down you can just walk away. You can do this every 7 years.

>>53408451
But you wouldn't do that because its Antisemetic, right anon?

>>53407092
Why do futures believe in this shit? 400 rejected again

>>53408444
nope, no conditional orders

I just went to the store and bought ink. Opened it when I got home. Realized someone put probably an old ink cartridge in a retaped box. Guessing it doesn't work.

Why are major chain stores like Target scamming people on ink now?

>>53408441
Wow! Maybe you could stay in India forever and make IT a better country instead of leeching off of MY country. These tech layoffs have been so uplifting for me. The world seems to be going back to the way it ought to be.

>>53408441
sorry to hear that, although it sounds like if you turned down other offers you may want to ping them before applying to other positions. i know in my IT shop we are struggling to find talent and are sponsoring people to replace our current cohort of overpriced onshore consultants.

>>53408415
'There goes the neighborhood' isn't a meme. Its an everyday reality, I can only wonder if ghetto inhabitants say the same when zoomers gentrify them.

>>53408441
Sir?

>>53408393
Houses go up slowly. You maybe double your money every 5 years. Stocks is every 2 years. Plus with houses you have to deal with tenants that intentionally fuck your house up. Aircon set to 60. Heater set to 80. Lawn guys run through your yard kicking pebbles that crack your glass. Busted pipes and mildew for months cuz that ain’t muh problem. Fuck them bitch ass cockroaches. All you broke bitches out there: you broke for a reason: you! Now kys

>>53408518
>gentrify
This word is shitty local government propaganda, don't use it

Smart Money isn't buying this rally. This rally is more like a short squeeze lets fuck retail traders rather than the real bull market rally up to 5000.

>>53408515
Who will take me? I am a “street shitter” as the bastards sons of bitches on 4chan say. Assholes

>>53408560
I'm not sure what else to use
Inverse white-flight?

>futures

dumperinos

>>53408512
>based ink-swap chad vs empty cartridge virgin
ngmi

>>53408601
"The Return of Civilized Society"
Its very antisemetic.

>>53408512
Scam them back, self checkout style

Everyone saying the recession is over makes me want to buy puts desu

it's over we're down 0.06%

>>53408662
>>53408643
stop wasting your time posting this and google how to do a straddle strategy

>>53408668
>Everyone saying the recession is over
literally nobody is saying this

>>53408690
Ummm twitter says otherwise

>>53408668
recession wont be over until we get an official announcement from the fed that a recession is declared

>>53408694
Twitter thinks the recession is over? Post screen caps. I want to laugh

>>53408703
>>53408694
>>53408690
A recession is bullish now.
That means that the recession will be over in the future and inflation will go away faster. That's bullish.
No recession is also bullish because that means its a soft landing.

>>53408668
Everyone remembers the March covid lockdown and has decided recessions are bullish.

the saddest part of BBBY retards is that they're convinced the business won't declare BK because they asked the store managers if they're closing, not knowing that stores can still remain open long after BK. They'll probably go down the same route as Party City given they hired the same advisors as them.

>SOXL heading back to all time high

>*DOJ TO SUE GOOGLE $GOOGL AS SOON AS TUESDAY OVER DIGITAL ADVERTISING MONOPOLY CONCERNS - BLOOMBERG
the crouching niggers have come out of hiding

>>53408668
It's not that it's over, it's just that stocks want to go higher anyway.

>>53408798
is the federal government going to force us to use Bing at gunpoint?

>>53408798
>mfw bought $GOOG instead of $GOOGL

>>53408818
more likely the would make them spin off youtube, gmail etc

>>53408798
that is the dumbest lawsuit imaginable. Meta and Amazon both are very relevant advertisers in the space.

>>53408798
If they're going after tech company monopolistic abuse now, I wonder why they haven't looked at apple.

>>53408836
Not having planned obsolesces is antisemetic, chud

>>53408836
>>53408831
this is just the beginning.

I'm having ramen and some tuna for dinner, bullish or bearish for my portfolio tomorrow?

>>53407803
If you think about it from the view of wallstreet, the best thing to do is the run the rally up to the FOMC and unload everything before then and go short. Then the FOMC will fuck all longs. It's just the most profitable move from wallstreet.

>>53408798
Tech monopolies are one thing but what about the other oligarchies? Like 11 companies total own nearly everything you buy in a supermarket.

>>53408836
>>53408831
They only bring these sorts of fake lawsuits when big tech doesn't play ball with FBI intelligence gathering. They'll bend the knee soon enough, and the hydra of intelligence agencies will grow ever stronger.

>>53408878
THERE IS A WAR GOING ON CHUD

>>53408878
>oligarchies
The word you're looking for is "Oligopolies"

I haven't shampooed my hair in almost 5 years.
If you can get through the first 6 weeks your hair will look and feel amazing. Your body knows how to regulate itself.

This is financial advice.

>>53408726
Rate hikes are also bullish because its only some rate hikes and it could have been more than some rate hikes.

>US bans Tik Tok
how do I profit if I think this will happen? long META, what else?

>>53408584
>he doesn’t know the bls changed how they measure inflation


Stay broke, bitch!

>>53408932
>if I think this will happen?
Why would you think this?

>>53408929
High rate hikes are bullish because it means the rate hikes are almost over.
Low rate hikes are bullish because it means the Fed is pivoting.

You can't win bobo.

>>53408584
funny how people can rationalize fear

>>53408914
companies like pepsico could easily hire their own private army at this point and annex a state.

>>53407341
What's really going to shake the market is when a CPI surprises upward

>>53408966
it's already been banned at the state level for anyone working in government, so it's not impossible to imagine it extends. Pelosi has said she's in favor of a ban also. India's banned it too.

>>53407624
5.25% because fuck you

>>53408878
The government perpetuates most of them

>>53407335
Naw.

>>53409003
Legally not allowing state workers to use it is a minefield, extending it to the average person would be a huge reach.

>>53407758
Insider trade, no recording no crime :^)

>>53407803
No one believes the fomc. They’re obsolete. Bonds > currency. Worst case scenario: usa trashes the currency and issues a new one punishable by death. Now ofc the fed reserve doesn’t want to become obsolete, so they pretend like the wizard of oz nut in reality, as gundlach has stated, they simply track the Us02y yield. The Us02y yield is decreasing. The fed has no choice but to slow and then pause. It’s just like covid. You want to listen to Fauci and pfizer and all those demonoid cockroaches, go ahead. We know how this ends. Same with the fed. Stay poor, bitch.

Protip: all in soxl

janny on god a "monero" poster can have a straight up pedo thread up for more than 24 hours and we can't have a little adult anime cleavage around here I am disappointed in you fr fr

>>53408601
>>53408560
SNEED
Everything has gotten worse in the last 2 years. Haven't seen any of that 'infrastructure money' that increased inflation. Weird. But in 2017 despite not passing the infrastructure act all the roads around me got rebuilt. Weird how everything was pretty good for a few years and now we're dipping down into shitty nigger nogger fear town.

>>53408641
Got a return, went to walmart. Thankfully because they're already ghetto-adjacent they have those protectors on their nice ink cartridges to prevent this shit.
>formerly livable suburbs rapidly ghettoing out
At least the skinnyfat mexican chick at returns was cute.

did we pivot?

>>53409084
>pug shirt
wtf is this, am I behind on zoomer lore?

>>53409064
It'd be hard but not impossible. The government could just declare it a national security threat if they find evidence of nefarious actions from China.

>>53408009
>calculating based on a literal zero interest zero closing cost loan
homecels gonna homo

>>53409093
Federal infrastructure will always be a meme, local governments are ideal but they're easily corruptible. Zoning laws are a bitch, and the average budget for a local government is mostly pensions and paying government workers so they're not going to have any drive to invest in infrastructure.

>>53409115
it's pugnacious

>>53407707
The market is barely down, you're not buying the bottom on a DJIA that's only 5% from the ATH.

>>53407660
JP Morgan is telling the truth. The elites will always tell the truth as they dump on you. The majority of retail retards will fomo into to squeeze the chuds thinking this is the big pump to 5k on the S and P and get fucking destroyed. Their goal was always to take all your money.

>>53409112
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=aapdjMxTtXo

Soft pivot. Go go go!

>>53409041
People aren't that stupid. They know doing their taxes is the only way they get a refund check. Lol. But that won't stop people from retweeting it and praising it until they realize that

>SPY closed at 400.63
Not a convincing close above 400 at all. Bears managed to escape today

>>53408852
The beginning of another nothingburger.

>>53409084
>up for more than 24 hours
pretty based

>>53408962
>he doesn’t know the bls changed how they measure inflation
You should do about two minutes of digging into what they actually changed.

Spoilers: Pretty much nothing.

>>53408878
Shut up cuck, shop edges staying away from most frozen stuff.

>>53407775
Hey man you know what, I just wanted to say thanks :^)mk4sk

>>53408828
kek

>>53409143
oh fuck. is this it? is it finally here?

can i dump the rest of my money into AMD now? i was kinda holding out for another dump into the 50's before loading up again. is the bottom in or naw? my average is 90 currently.

>futures

i believe the core pce number on friday will cause rumors of 50 bepis and turn everyone bearish and wipe out all these gains. maybe dump to spx 3750 into the meeting next week.

then next week at the meeting jpow will still do 25 bepis and spx pump back to spx 3900 because he didnt do 50 bepis.

then next few weeks crab around until the cpi.

then cpi will come in extremely hot because since spr depleted gas has been going straight up (source: my local gas station). and the market dump back to spx 3500 or maybe new lows if people panic but i dont think they will but they might when they realize its not recession time yet but another wave of inflation.

positions: 50% BOIL 50% SOXS

good luck to all.

>>53407257
i'm sure you already have experience with these

imagine just spending your way out of recession

>>53409210
is bepis anything like benis?

>>53409187
BLS never counted healthcare or housing or tuition because of how much those go up comapred to inflation without those things. Inflation being 2% would be fucked because of those 3 things, those 3 things prices all heavily determined by our government ofc.
If we're talking strictly stocks it's a decent measurement but if we're arguing quality of life and cost of living it's a fucking retarded metric. So yes you're both right honestly.

>>53409116
And China reverses that with a $100k bribe to the presidential crackhead. Big deal.

>>53409222
trips of truth. we can do it because we back up our money with our military. deal with it or we'll fucking free the shit out of you.

>>53409250
>blocks your path

how do I get over my fear of losing money? I want to start investing in stock market but I still haven't done that because of it

>>53409236
He's having a schizo spazzout because the BLS will use a single previous year's consumption weightings when calculating inflation.

So for example when traditionally they would've used, say, 2021 and 2022 spending habits to calculate 2023 spending, they'll now just use 2022. That will unironically make it more accurate because it won't distort goods vs. services.

OER and hedonic substitutions and whatnot are legitimate retardation though, we agree.

>>53409187
Are you retarded? They now measure from last year instead of 2 years ago

>you: hurrhurr dat down mean nuffin

>>53409280
by losing money

>>53409282
That's true but BLS is disingenuous from the get go so I don't blame him

>>53409283
*For the weightings*. Do you seriously think "7% year over year CPI" means "7% higher than 2 years ago"? Seriously?

>>53409280
you're losing money right now at a rate of 6% each year. aren't you afraid of that?

>>53409282
>2020: dollar store 1$
>2022: dollar store 1.25
>2023: 1.88
>>inflation was 0 for 2023

Fuck you’re retarded. New normal.

>>53409299
Yeah, and it's important to have a schizofilter to pick up on Happenings. You've just got to dual pass them through an autism filter as well.

>>53409319
If I spend 50% of my money on home office shit because I'm WFHing in 2021, then don't buy any for the next decade (0% in 2022), what percentage of my 2023 CPI should include home office shit?

1. 25% (averaging 2021 and 2022)
2. 0% (just looking at 2022 spending)

That's what's being decided.

I think this art style is evil

>>53409345
0% then we enter “deflation”. Lmao, fed pivot

>>53409368
It is. It's insanely evil and they're all using it. Almost like they all went to the same school or used the same textbooks, unironically. Fuck, it's crazy. I hate this shit; we need to end this version of Earth by taking full control of its financial institutions.

>>53409368
That's partly because it features a nigger

>>53409368
don't know if I'd call it evil, but it's one of the most shit-ass aesthetics humans have come up with
medieval art had thrash perspective and proportions, but it had soul

Remember that fake Chinaman pump that happened around when nevergrande got "bailed out"? This is starting to reek of that.

>>53409368
nu-art will die vs the AI titty art
long live AI titty art
bullish?

>>53409122
Renters gonna get fucked by the rent increases while homecels enjoy their fixed rates. I have 2.8% interest rate, I pay the same on a mortgage as renting niggers earning no equity on the property they live in.

Sad that our generation will be the last ones to see an actual Dollar menu at fast food places and be the last ones to remember when a drink outta a machine cost just 0.50 cents. (plus 1.00 a gallon gas). Christ just imagine it if I'd my salary today and everything was still "cheap".

>>53409459
>>53409484
>>53409403

You guys need to stop being this antisemetic right fucken now or I will report you all to the ADL.

i almost fomoed today

>>53409524
into?

>>53409259
russia is a 3rd world country.

>>53407468
My prediction is that he will raise 25 and then no more. This is below the current dotplot but CME fedwatch already has a (very small) probability of no raise in March.
Reason?
He raised 25 50 75 75 75 75 50 so far
If the series continues 25 0 it will just be a work of art in its beautiful symmetry.
Considering that we have had zero interest and free money for the last decade, getting to to this point is no small achievement and JPow can then lean back and enjoy watching his work of art while the (delayed) consequences unfold. With no prediction as to when he will pivot - in fact, it is not necessary to pivot quickly. Above zero interest rates are quite healthy for the discipline of everyone involved in the economy.

What’s the shit with Morgan Stanley’s model predicting a 40% downturn from here? Somebody posted this morning

>>53409535
trash

>>53409484
It's wild I'm 26 and remember right out of HS when I was working at a nursing home I'd stop by McDs and grab 2 McChickens and 2 McDoubles with a $5 bill. In under a decade it's doubled in price, like what the fuck.

>>53409382
Well "0% = deflation" refers to the change in *index* prices, not the change in *weightings*. Ironically this change to weightings will probably make CPI print higher!

Suppose we spend our money on either home office shit (goods) or Asian massage parlor "massages" (services). Each year they cost as follows:
>2020 Goods: $100
>2021 Goods: $200 (supply chain fucked)
>2022 Goods: $100 (supply chain unfucked)
>2023 Goods: $50 (demand is kill)

>2020 Services: $100
>2021 Services: $50 (lockdowns)
>2022 Services: $100 (reopening)
>2023 Services: $200 (wagie shortage due to vax tax)

Our 2023 CPI is down 50% in Goods but up 100% in Services. Should my overall CPI be 100%? Or only 25%?

Remember, I'm not spending any money on Goods in 2022 or 2023 (>>53409345). The way the BLS is changing the calculation, they're leaning towards that more accurate but higher "100%" value.

>>53409550
>he lacks critical information

>>53409495
Reminder that 2023's Anitsemite of the Year competition is still an open field.

>>53409484
>>53409567
I'd just be happy if they stopped Jewing us with shrinkflation. Too bad PG's earnings call was last Thursday otherwise I'd dial in to rant about that.

>>53407495
bitch if I bid, I am the IV nigga fuk u

>>53409550
Remember everyone's predictions last year saying /ES 5000? I trust these pros even less than I used to.

>>53409550
it's just permabear mike wilson at his usual antics

>>53409674
Lmfao this is the kind of cope I'd expect from a schizo biz bear, not a highly paid analyst.

>>53408726
Time is bullish desu senpai.

>>53409729
they are the same
what a time to be alive

>>53409674
>>53409729
To be fair to Mike, SPX did crash 15% into the end of the year from the date of that post. Most people here are from 2020 and don't remember tho

>>53409469
w-what if my job requires me to move

I just came into several hundred dollars, what do I buy?

>>53409837
cleaner to get the cum off the dollars

>>53409837
making like 10% of hundreds of dollars isn't really going to impress you very much. You are better off getting a grill or something.

>>53409545
Are you the same anon that proposed a symmetrical pattern before? The last two times they mentioned the terminal rate they said it may be higher, they said that because they knew they needed to go higher but couldn't come out and say that without spooking the market. Some theorize that they need to raise the rate above the rate of inflation in order to reduce it, I see no evidence of that though. I still think we'll see 6%, but like my bro JPow, I'm data driven, and the CPI/Employment numbers will tell the story. I think employment will still be too high to scare the consumer into submission.

>'e bought?

>>53409280
You shouldn't. That's going to keep you from making dangerous decisions

>>53409837
Some dignity.

>>53409368

It denies nature, and purpose of beauty and merit. So yes, it is as close to 'evil' in God's eyes as something can be. Don't sweat it though. Those who thumb their long noses at the creator will get what they deserve for doing so.

Hundred or so times getting wrecked so far you'd think they'd learn, but no, instead they are setting up for their biggest wrecking ever. LOL.

>>53410076
Only if he were shorter and her better endowed, maybe I'd believe it wasn't a deep fake.

>>53410018
This image frightens and arouses me.

>>53409368

>>53410018

>The US has confronted China’s government with evidence suggesting state-owned companies may be providing assistance for Russia’s war effort in Ukraine, per Bloomberg.
please save my BABA puts

>>53409459
I'm stealing this opinion

Did they give me the vaccine?gf

>>53410177
why does this matter? China never agreed to sanctions

>>53409459
what is AI titty art?

Next
>>53410189

>>53410189

>>53410189

>>53410193
wow early baker is a frog posting faggot, imagine my surprise.

>>53410185
the friend of my enemy is my enemy?

>>53410201
do somethang bout it fagit

>>53410215
>fagit
Please, around here we say Mig-15 >>53409214

>>53407772
At least roast them whit some butter and garlic you absolute degenerate of the kitchen...

The bonds..... the yields.....