/biz/ - Business & Finance

Post Jeromes.

what's the most money you've lost and did you ever make it back?

i fell for the hype
and bought a hot spac
but now my best play
is smoking some crack

>taps mic
>*ahem*
>SSSSSSSSSSSSANTA CLAUS IS COMIN' TO TOWN

I just want to be the bond king

>>52834955
down 70k this year
i'll eventually make it back with a real job

>>52834969
LFG

>>52834958
crack is expensive. if you lost money on a spac you couldnt afford it.

>>52834955
so far im down like 9k. also my room is clean as fcuk jbp so no need to cry about it

>>52834922
Just sold everything. Waiting for FED meeting to see if it bounces or not. This market is going to get obliterated next year. There will be no winners. Even oil stocks will get decimated. Fed going to hike to over 5% and keep it there. GET OUT on the next bounce

>>52834955
I dropped 15k on LUKOY during the Russian dip, still waiting to see if Citibank screws me.

>>52834923
Basically, RBLX, ticker RBLX:xnys always pumps with the market, today it pumped but market is only neutral to barely positive, so I think RBLX is jumping the gun and thereby foreshadowing the market itself.

WHOA BLACK BETTY

Woke up, saw all the hedgies buying puts, saw VIX go insane, bought 5k more SPY puts. Don't actually care what JP has to say at all, we're dead on the 2008 crash trajectory and nothing but a rate cut to 0 stops it.

>>52834969
based 1488 white christmas

Bedeviled egg! Adversary of Logos, repugnant perverter of thought, word, and basic human decency -- Can you not see that your immature and cowardly flight from yourself, your accursed "anonymity" threatens to sever the very fabric of our tenuous modern milieu? You, hyperbolic hatemonger, are manifesting malignity appropriate only for an endtime. Bloody hell, that is where we are headed. The apocalypse! You, malignant rat, externalize your extreme unmedicated psychopathic dark tetrad traits, and act out your undiagnosed autism spectrum disorder and it's we, the pro-social open majority who pay the price. Do you have the vaguest comprehension what wrath will be wrought when you wretched anti-Semitical werewolves have your way with the blessed, supple virgin that is our hard-won democracy?! Machiavellian vermin, go and find some other site to sully! Black wizard of hopeless folly, pusillanimous pipsqueak of perfidy and prejudice, idiot ideologue of Dunning-Kruger-deranged hatred and hostility -- I straighten my back and take my meds in bitter, eternal opposition to you and your despicable, damnable, Hell-doomed ilk! And mark my words, if there is a just God, you and your Holocaust-denying co-conspirators WILL go to Hell. May you be devoured by The Archetypal Dragon and may I ever be rid of you interminably abominable, shadow-possessed, snake-tongued TRADERS!

H I G H E R
I
G
H
E
R
FOR LONGER

In the end, both the doomers and the melt up fags will be disappointed. This is financial advice.

he has the tool, and he knows how to use it

>>52834955
15k and yes

>>52835023
I dropped 1k on LUKOY during the Putin Plunge. It was a gamble. We just have to wait and see Anon.

>>52835012
rates are already near the projected peak and will be coming down from next year what are you smoking fedboy

I need to poop and they're still working on my plumbing. I'm about to go get dressed for the gym just to poop

>>52834955
$22k on TQQQ but I'll make it back here in a bit when the meltup commences

>>52834958
how's the TBLT bags, boyo

We're going to give back all of this tomorrow aren't we

>>52835070
You fucking pathetic goyim don't understand. Markets don't capitulate until 6-12 months AFTER rates peak. Enjoy your ride off the cliff while I sit comfortably in cash and collect 4.8% interest monthly

>>52835100
Up 4% today :)

>>52835046
>Black wizard of hopeless folly, pusillanimous pipsqueak of perfidy and prejudice
It's funnier if you read this in Peterson's kermit the frog voice.

>>52835070
>near projected peak
According to who? Literally every fed official has said they’re not stopping rate hikes and we’re getting another massive one in 2 days that will help lead to more mass layoffs going into next year. Hell I just lost one of my jobs this past week.

Bobros?

>>52835023
aaaaaaa
Gazprom is my downfall, dropped 4 k in it

Any chance of dump?

>>52835106
Based cooked Russ poster.

>>52834955
My biggest loss this year was like $3000 on SAVA puts in September. They would have printed in October but I just wanted my money for other more confident plays that printed and made back more than I lost. Still hate that company and know it's going to $0 but I'm done with playing biopharm outside of LABU puts whenever it pumps

>>52835046
no u

Are you spooked yet?

oil chads

https://youtu.be/I_2D8Eo15wE

Already took profit on oil can dump it to 69$ to reload again? Thanks brandon

I am now back to where I was Thursday.

>>52834954
Jerome is going to fuck the market this week, because it is his last chance to do so before the FOMC gets a noticeably more dovish composition in 2023.

I am so fucked

So what's with PBR dumping worse than almost any other stock or even crypto today on no bearish news?

>>52835172
inflation is in charge not the fed.

>>52835144
Naw, there were valid reasons for that to happen.
>inb4 what were they, then?
You know very well what they fuckin were, so don't waste my time.

>>52835046

>>52835175
PBR is going to go to new historic lows, get out while you can, this is your only warning

>>52835172
Jerome is a nice guy and looking out for us all.

>>52835175
PBR doesn't need news to dump. No one wants to hold it.

>>52835106
yes and then some

>>52835182
A bloated housing market and high interest rates? True we don't have anything like that today

>>52835133
>>52835106

I lost fantasy this week because fucking Jerry jeudy put up 33.3. Absolute fucking garbage

>>52834955
>buying bitcoin on the way down and then selling it all when it hit 20k
>no

>trading sideways in the same range for literally 31 days

absolutely amazing

>>52835110
you really think they are going to give us another opportunity to buy low?

>>52835188
>dubs
>red id
pbrbros... i can't sell at a loss...

>>52835256
I fucking hate the Broncos. Also, Jewdy chimped out and it was comedy gold.

t. Broncos fan

slow
downward
crab
fool me once shame on you, fool me twice can't get fooled again

Is the housing market ever going to crash or is a home going from 200k to 350k in 2 years normal/sustainable now?

Why does this place feel so much more sterile than before? It’s like all the edgy humor and shitposting is gone. Kinda lame.
Also, cash gang roll call.

>>52835299
Market needs sellers. No one who has a house wants to see it cause then they'll be raped by a high mortgage rate. Enjoy your pod and bugs

>>52834971
I keep earning back losses with a real job and losing them again by DCAing paychecks. I-it’ll all pay off soon… right?

today is probably my last chance to get out of any long im in without a loss. that would be the responsible thing to do instead of betting on CPI and FOMC. its not as fun though.

>>52835311
I’m cashgang and I hate it. I’m just losing money.

>>52835292
Crabs always win.

>>52835311
my algo is cashgang since last month
scary times

>>52835188
No choice. Stoploss triggered. I'm just surprised by how sudden it dumped for no reason at all.

>>52835311
because nobody is having fun anymore. during peak clown market when SOXL was like $70 plenty of us were making thousands every day by buying calls on literally anything. times were good.

>>52835270
never let a GDP vixen get into your crypto wallet.

I'm down 1k on my puts, can we please dump? This isn't funny anymore

>>52835311
Everybody got heemed. Everyone here is the least heemed or most masochistic, or both.

>>52835286
Panthers fan.. well.. I used to be now I'm more of an apathetic Panthers follower.. if Cam Newton wasn't the dumbest gorilla nigger in the history of the NFL we would have gotten an easy Superbowl win off you guys. Peyton Manning was so fucking washed and Cam just spotted you guys like 17 points

>>52835341

ah yes another red day what did i expect

who said santa rally i'm gonna find you and fuck you up

>>52835292
>SEXOOO

>>52835311
Every time I talk about the jews the jannies give me a three day vacation. I get shorter bans for posting my cock. How the fuck is talking about the jews not financially related?

>>52834970
>Bond King

There is only one bond king. ((((Micheal Milken))))

>>52835367
she rips off horrendous gas through those jeans
seeps out and fills the room and lingers for days

>>52835397
I wish bobro

>>52835363
How is that? I've paper traded about +$200 through the day with 1 call and 4 puts.

>>52835311
because bobos just got wrecked by shorting the last bottom but we are still in a bear market so everyone else is suffering too
not technically a recession since Q3 GDP was positive
hebrew fatigue basically

I hate that I'm bearish.
When, how did this happen?

SIGA sissies what happened

todays trading range is so fucking shit you can't even properly scalp some $$$

>>52835431
Check spy computer

>>52835426
Anon, I...

>>52835311
Bobo's too busy setting up shorts to make all the funny memes the other degenerates consume

Any chance we go to 395 soon? I'm gonna cry

>>52835382
is this a warning?? should I exit???

>>52835446
Yes, that's what I've been paper trading, up and down.

>>52835440
fags did the unthinkable and stopped having sex with multiple partners HA HA

>>52835449
she's so into rings you just know she wears vijaya rings as well

>>52835440
>killed 4 aids compromised faggots in 4 months
>projected to 271M deaths in the next year

Reminiscent of the covid faggotry when they had the "death counter" on TV scare mongering people into taking experimental mrna gene therapy shots

>>52835311
no, nigguh, you just need to wait for after-hours.
that’s when the true shitposting begins.
https://youtu.be/qnlx9gwiHG8

>>52835374
>if Cam Newton wasn't the dumbest gorilla nigger in the history of the NFL
Truer words have never been spoken.

>>52835345
what does your algo look for to go in and out?

>>52835508

>>52835441
>literally just a line up and to the right
>untradeable

You seem retarded anon. I bought UPRO calls I am selling either before close or tomorrow. Not gambling on Jerome but I think CPI is green because bulls are fucking retards and the 12 month has to go down tomorrow

>>52835345
>my algo
nigger.

green before cpi is bearish. they always flip to the opposite the next day with big news. unless they want me to think that.

There's someone. In this thread. Who mentioned. SAVA.

They SAVA stock.

>>52835537
>unless they want me to think that.

>>52835528
>what does your 200sma lumber vs gold algorithm look at to trade

what is this dumb shit? right at 11 and 1:00 it spikes up, this is bullshit

>>52835547
You're underwater. On all your puts. Lol.

>>52835440
holy fucking shit

did you morons really think that SIGA was undervalued? monkeypoop is incredibly hard to spread and was going to impact like 0.05% of the homo community. The TAM was miniscule and the market cap was grossly overvalued

Wish I did short it

>>52835565
10 year treasury auction - very important

>>52835461
It's certainly possible, if not likely. Are you 0dte?

>>52835345
is that real money or are you paper trading? and what broker to you use for API purposes? Or do you just get the signals and then translate that into trades yourself

>>52835573
>puts
Something I learned in 2021, my first serious year of investing, is that buying overvalued puts is a terrible idea. I sell call spreads instead, sometimes buying puts if IV is underpriced.

Buying puts blindly on any company you deem overvalued/fraudy is really dumb.

I have to re-explain this to my boomer white pharma friend i made online. he keeps buying puts on pharma companies that go down a bit, but not enough for his puts, and he gets raped

>>52835528
pretty straightforward: lumber and gold, utilities and finally the 200 day SMA on SP500 (since i normally only have it on UPRO)
2 buy signals, it buys
3 sell signals, it sells

>>52835535
I'll name it, The scoops algo, from now on
you on vacay yet, niggericus, or you still slaving for the machine to sell chinese shit to boomers for christmas?

>>52835311
janitors 3-daying everyone who mentions the jews

>>52835581
Yeah 30 of them

>>52835461
Headed your way!

we're all gonna be ok
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DTpqT8wXZqU

Look at that TLT candle. Something was just leaked.

>>52835575
how do u know when whatever that is happens?

>>52835598
Come on a little bit more, I just wanna break even for the day at this point

>>52835575
yield on 10Y WAY down
either inflation expectations are down or flight to safety...remember anons, bond market knows first

>>52835606
it begins

>>52835311
It's this.
>>52835407
>>52835596
I got a 3 day ban last week for making fun of baggie...

>>52835605
use this website
https://www.forexlive.com/
read every single article written on this website, everyday
you are now more informed, more intelligent, and in the know than 99.9% of retail traders
you're welcome

>>52835612
wow so either its bullish, inflation expectations are down, or bearish, flight to safety. how illuminating bond market, you just said fuck all.

>Bond

>>52835598
I think that's it

>>52835606
What's it mean?

i never get banned unless i post porn

Here is a snapshot in history senpai. I hope my homies are bussin rn fr fr no cap.

>>52835498
scoops your voice sounds like you havent hit puberty yet lmao

>>52835461
The sour hour today will make Friday's look like nothing. We will break into the 380s. No one wants to hold into tomorrow.

>>52835653
I got banned once because I said I wanted to kill all tiktok posters

Come on 395, I'll stop being racist

oil and cash gang just teamed up

>>52835653
I get b& all the time, but I don't post porn.

>>52835649
It was a close tease, I'm about to have to leave from computer and miss what happens but will check when I can. There's still plenty of hope for the day. May the LORD GOD Almighty bless and keep you.

>>52835674
We're pumping to 396 buckle up

>>52835585
i don't bother with an API
everything is manual as far as my actual portfolio goes which isn't following it exactly tbqdesu
wish it was actually

>>52835628
cool, they drop auctions a few mins before it happens? i will do my best, definitely know almost nothing on this side of things

>>52835695
Cool thanks, last Q: do you have the actual lumber-gold strategy paper offhand or should I just google for it?

>>52835498
Scoopsies is a Seattle zoomer who shaves their head getting groomed by some Midwest millennial.
>This website is infested by zoomers and gen-a
>Big chainz=tight buttholes

Hope you bought puts niggers

>>52835728
Buying niggers is illegal in the current year, anon.

>>52835707
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=2224980
lumber/gold, utilities and the broader leverage one are all there
fair warning the author is a big fan of long term bonds as a risk off asset which have done abysmal this year

>>52835728
I have 27 395p, and 13 393p. Please bro I'm praying it keeps going lower

>>52835688
Sorry mumu.

We are fucking dumping to 389 by eod.

Yo, we doing a /smg/ meet up in Seattle? We can all meet at the fish market where they throw the fish. Or by the alley of gum where people just stick chewed gum on top of dried out gum stuck to layers of more gum on the walls of some alleyway.

>>52835742
sick thanks chief

>>52835766
I'm using reverse psychology on the market, IT'S GONNA PUMPA, IT'S GOING TO 400. YAY WE ARE PUMPPPING

Go utz! Go delta! Go Tmobile!

>>52835768
no, the seattle /smg/ers are too weird.

NOOOO WHAT THE FUCK ELON BANNED LOLI FROM TWITTER
I THOUGHT HE WAS OUR GUY

HE WAS OUR RIGHT WINGER

FUCK YOU HOW DO I SHORT TWTR BONDS

>>52835594
>lumber and gold, utilities and finally the 200 day SMA on SP500
>2 buy signals, it buys
>3 sell signals, it sells
anon I'm honestly too retarded to even understand the response what the algo is trading? upro?
and the buy and sell signals are lumber, gold, utilities and 200 sma?

I don't get this buy & hold shit. Why wouldn't I take profit after a nice pump?

>>52835742
actually wait it's me, question anon again.

If I'm understanding correctly then you're using a simple voting method with the 200SMA leverage paper and the lumber-gold paper to decide when to open and close your leverage positions?

I changed my mind. CPI is coming down but it will miss. Stocks going lower. Time to go bear. For a day or two.

God just go to 395, I want out please

>>52835818
Honestly, because a savings account is boring and I can chimp out at my net worth fluctuating like it's a horse race.

>>52835612
It's up today

>>52835828
get a trip so you can be filtered by default avatar fag

>DDOG

are Roth IRAs stupid?

>>52834922
anyone know if oil is gonna still be shiddin and farding the bed? todays pump is looking like a good time to load up on DRIP calls. im looking at some strikes for month long calls.

>>52835818
Warren Buffett devotees. These types whisper dangerous words to newbie traders. I saw a lot of them during 2017 leaf weed bubble. 'Yep, holding this for 20 years!' after the shitstock has run up 300% on a parabolic break out.

>>52835828
You are such a faggot slob

>>52835811
yes algo is buy and selling shares of UPRO
it uses 3 separate signals to figure out when to do that

>>52835826
>simple voting
yeah pretty much, it's not complicated by any means
also it uses utilities
here's the pastebin if that helps: https://pastebin.com/YHgyuTJK
less than 50 lines of actual code

New from nickyleaks -- possible the most bearish thing i've ever read. Quarles specifically mentioned an anecdote about a security guard shitting on Arthur Burns for failing to tame inflation. Jerome will not stop hiking until we hit 2%. Sell everything.

>>52835706
they cover the events as they're happening live
if you want to prepare in advance, you can look at economic calendars
these are some of the best ones
https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar
https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

Bros, my onlyfans is doing well, What should I do?

>>52835882
thanks for the code I'll read through it

>>52835851
Not at all considering it's 100% tax free if you don't withdraw until you're 65.

An extreme case: Pether Thiel's $5 billion Roth IRA will be tax free when he's at that age.

should try my hand at options? all i really know how to do is buy and sell shares

>>52835900
link?

>>52835890
you were posting this faggot yesterday telling us what he said was bullish.

>>52835904
i thought the roth ira only taxed deposits?

>>52835547
I forgot about SAVA. lol. How is this shit back to $40?

>>52835925
> Outside Biostatisticians with Specific Expertise in Alzheimer’s Disease Will Conduct an Independent Statistical Analysis on The Clinical Dataset.
> Clinical Dataset May Be Announced Approximately Year-End 2022, Pending Completion of Study Report by Outside Biostatisticians.

They've announced an outside audit of the data

And it pumped back up to 396, I'm fucked. Lost everything

>>52835826
>>52835811
>>52835903
oh here's a pic of some of MG's trading rules too for the TLDR version of his papers
he basically bought the top of bonds, or nearly so
haha

on second thought yes, do the meetup
then i can rescue forkliftanon's wife from her rape dungeon

wouldn't the market react more to CPI than FOMC because the CPI reading will dictate the interest rate decision?

>>52835273
First they want to shake out any plebs that might be holding. Can't risk too many of them making it.

kek i forgot how girly scoops voice is
some of his hookers probably have deeper voices than him
i know that genghis khan looking lass did

>>52835937
Gonna be exciting when the auditors come back and declare it worthless. lmao.

>>52835943
I'd buy T boomer a beer and poison it

>>52835925
Data readout for their Open-Label (unblinded) Phase 2 study is next month or very soon.

Open-Label cognition data. Lol.
Unblinded. congition. Data.

Tell me if that makes sense.

Google Hawthorne effect.

Lol.

SAVA.

one of these days Wayfair will go back up

>>52835851
I really hope so, because I blew mine up this year

Women owe me sex.

>>52835925
>>52835937
>>52835960
>Phase 2 trial results first analyzed by an independent lab didn’t work out until they sent the samples for re-analysis to the lab run by their own consultant and main researcher, who is also part of their stock price based bonus plan.
?There is further evidence that the samples that were supposed to be blinded were not in fact blinded.

>Something like 8 of the above researchers papers have now been retracted, expressions of concern or Corrigendums due to image manipulation.
>The above researcher is under investigation by his college.
>NIH already cut their funding.
>There seems to be an ongoing SEC case. -It’s research is mostly between three people - the CEO and his wife and their researcher mentioned above who is under investigation and has numerous papers retracted.

>They all failed at their last drug when the company was Pain Therapeutics as well.

SAVA.

Lol.

Fraud. Fraudulent. Stocks.

>>52835920
No since contributions to a Roth IRA are made with after-tax money.

Now with a traditional IRA your contributions are tax deductible but you pay taxes when you make withdrawals.

>>52835957
how does that thing not have a penis
huge clit no doubt

sex is actually disgusting

t. just broke up with my gf this weekend

>>52835925
>>52835937
>>52835960
>Phase 2 trial results first analyzed by an independent lab didn’t work out until they sent the samples for re-analysis to the lab run by their own consultant and main researcher, who is also part of their stock price based bonus plan.

> There is further evidence that the samples that were supposed to be blinded were not in fact blinded.

>Something like 8 of the above researchers papers have now been retracted, expressions of concern or Corrigendums due to image manipulation.
>The above researcher is under investigation by his college.
>NIH already cut their funding.
>There seems to be an ongoing SEC case. -It’s research is mostly between three people - the CEO and his wife and their researcher mentioned above who is under investigation and has numerous papers retracted.

>They all failed at their last drug when the company was Pain Therapeutics as well.

SAVA.

Lol.

Fraud. Fraudulent. Stocks.

My white friends.
My school shooters
My milkbreaths.

Remember AMRS? Lmfao. This was like the CRBPjeet play before CRBP. This was the OG /smg/ pharma shitco.

I don't see how AMRS (Amyris) avoids bankruptcy at this point.

Incompetent leadership and a complacent board of directors that's taken no steps to actually protect the interests of investors.

To all individual investors on /smg/ who aren't in the cult, don't be a stooge. AMRS is a shitco.

Can we kindly dump now? I've been waiting for 5 hours

why don't you go into comedy, rocker?
you could pull off a Stavros/Belushi kind of thing

>>52835985
fucking hideous lol, and he paid for that? lmao

>>52835947
Emiru looks better as Makima
>>52836017
No, we're going to hyper-cyber crab until CPI and JPow speech; deep down, you know this to be true.

>>52835106
Tomorrow will be up 10% in a day

>>52836014
>OG pharma shitco
>CRBP
Do you guys not remember KTOV. Has it really been 2 years since the greatest gains of /SMG/ occurred :(

Can you say wage price spiral?

>>52835938
How many dollars anon?

I think that some stocks will go up, while others will go down.

>>52836057
2k

>>52836048
holy fuck I'd forgotten about KTOV

We're going to 396 aren't we

>>52835070
Do you realize the devastating effects these rates will have in the next 6-12 months? You think “muh pivot” is going to magically bounce the markets to ath’s? Mumus have lost their fucking marbles.

vix computer

>slow green day for the market
>VIX is up +8%
Anyone care to explain?

>>52835985
Not gunna lie. I would bed that

>>52833449
LLY is a sleeper hit, same as NVO and DXCM. SLIM might be dead but its thesis lives on.

>>52835070
>rates
>coming down
Lol. Lmao even.

>>52835311
You post this is every single /smg/ and it’s boring. Also your $1 will be worth .85¢ in a year or so.

>>52836113
Hedging ahead of the CPI. There are still idiots who think the CPI might be high and that inflation isn't over yet. They will provide the fuel for one of the largest up days in stock market history.

>>52836014
Hilarious thing about AMRS is that there are still shills in here lurking to this day, waiting for any random 30% pump so they can start bragging about how they're only down 63% now and it'll all pay off once Milo launches them on a lunar mission. Commercial profitability any day now. The decade of investment will finally pay off.

Somehow, despite all odds, AMRS was the rare case where it actually got a successful exit pump - all the way to $20 in early 2021. Despite that, true believers never sold and continue believing to this day.

>>52835882
>>52835942
ok thanks the pastebin explains it basically all and pretty simple to put the paper into code with those written rules using gold futures, lumber, XLU for utils and VTI for overall market
but where do those trading rules come from?

>>52836138
those are just screen grabs from the same papers that the code is based on

>>52835311
Ive been warned like 5 times in the last couple weeks so dialing back the shitposting til tranny janny gets on his meds.

current status:

>Yields up
>VIX up
>DXY up
>equities up

just another one of those bullshit days huh

>>52836113
you know the feel of stretching a rubber band to its limit? nothing is happening but you know the slightest extra tension will cause it to snap?

>>52836148
yes I understand that but who wrote those rules from which book come those?

What time does CPI drop? Premarket? Wanna know so I can do a bit of gambling.

>>52834922
Nothing makes any sense today. Tomorrow will probably make the history books

>>52836132
KEK i know, that is exactly why I am bother posting about this. There are STILL AMRS shills in this thread who are genuinely waiting to pounce with shillposting as soon as possible .

Thirteen months ago, AMRS raised $670m in net proceeds through a debt offering.

It did this after suffering an all-time worst stock price collapse after Q3 2021 results, but a good move overall to grab a multi-year runway.

Then, management blew a golden opportunity.

It paid off $132m of debt and transaction costs.

It then blew half of remaining cash on ad buys to grow consumer brands. This artificially inflated growth, but the growth is unsustainable. If the company pulls back on ad buys, then growth will slow.
Ruh roh. AMRS. Lol.

Management blew a multi-year cash runway in 9 months.

It's difficult to wrap your head around just how quickly this happened, but this chart helps illustrate it.

This is what going off the rails looks like. You have no excuse for the pain ahead if you're still holding. AMRS.


Lol. They won't listen to me. About.

AMRS.

>>52836180
Yes, pre-market. Rates are likely to be 25-50 bepis points.

>>52836180
Yea premarket. 8:30 I believe

>>52834955
I'm still down about 11% in my account, looking to make it back next year when we finally bottom. I think I'll load up on some call leaps on recessionary names, and ride it out.

KOLD is up 9% since I shilled it and everyone called me a nigger for two threads

evens i sell now before cpi and not risk losing a ton of money
odds i hold through cpi possibly gaining a lot or losing a lot
kek guide me

people always talk about jerome easing the cock into place, but don't think about what happens when he pulls out

>>52836196
>>52836206
Excellent. Grabbing some next day calls near close to hedge my cashgang position. Thanks friends

>>52836158
each paper he wrote, there is a section that those rules come from where he summarizes his theory
that's why i said it was the TLDR version of the papers
One comes from each paper with the exception of the paper on the VIX which he did some regression analysis and never really defined a rule, maybe sell when VIX is over 25 but whatever. I ignored that one.
so in order those rules come from: Leverage for the Long Run, Lumber: worth it's weight in gold, Signaling Power of Treasuries and The Strategy, signal, power of utilities

>>52836220
Actually nevermind these contracts are fucking expensive

>>52836245
yeah I wanted to load up on $5 calls but it's not likely

>>52836084
Dang it, just got back and checked and see it got as low as 395.14, so very close. There's still plenty of hope for the day.

>>52836214
9% doesnt even beat the daily inflation rate

>>52836189
can you lazy white people actually read this post lol and buy 2023 AMRS puts with me

>>52836269
what quarter in 23?

>>52836255
Maybe a rip off CPI will crash the IV so we can grab some for FOMC

>>52836220
Yes. Buy those calls mumu. The truck's stopping, time to get off.

Im down 18% on my puts ... why didnt i tp?

>>52836213
kek wills it, Im holding into tomorrow. my investment decision has been decided by pure chance, which is par for the course.

did anyone buy EH when I shilled it this morning?

>>52836269
>Calls me lazy AND white
Pfft, pass on your AMRS puts, pal.

>>52836281
I don't think much of FOMC movement, the CPI dictates the outcome of FOMC so perhaps MM are only interested in that data

>>52836241
thanks bro
I've already written a quotes scrapper in C using libcurl running on AWS saving into mysql for my personal watchlist like 2 years ago, so I basically have it all setup just need to write some simple conditions and give me notifications for in/out since I have no way to use it as a "bot" on my broker
I'll give it a (manual) try

>>52836259
How does 12% sound? It's going parabolic

Jerome?
Jerome Flynn?

>>52836287
Cash gang is bear gang, I'm just playing the clown market

>>52836276
As I said, the company pulls back on ad buys, then growth will slow.

As such, I think late 2023 puts are where I will really see lots of joy for this company. I also do not want to buy OTM puts, I will buy ITM puts. Buying 2.5p for June 2023 on AMRS. Maybe some ATM puts too.
>>52836300
Fine can you lazy browns/yellows/blacks (refuse to believe anyone unironically black browses /smg/) fucking read my AMRS post and buy puts with me

mid-2023 looks decent and i dont expect lots of volatility..

so im buying ITM puts mostly

ITM options = leverage
OTM options = lotto tickets

VIX computer

crab market

At last! The Santa rally I was promised!

why is vix high?

Jerry! It's me, your cousin Marvin. Marvin Powell?

>>52836357
haha you'll see soon enough

>>52836357
have you been paying attention to anything lately?

>>52836357
hedgies are SCRAMBLING to buy puts

VIX bhenchodes. Lol.

I told them. I warned them.

The volga hurricane.

The convexity of vega. The gamma (acceleration) of vega.

Vomma. Volga.

Look as VVIX approaches 90.

You better stop selling SPY puts soon.

SOXL is rallying tomorrow.

>>52836323
>>52836357
>>52836380
>>52836394
every SPY option expiring this week has IV over 30%. Everything later than today is over 40%. Tomorrow and Wednesday are ~50%.

the meltup is real

bobos on suicide watch. Bro biden is going to make it green christmas.

>>52836417
IV's going to be a hell of a lot higher for the next 6 months :D

>>52836417
Okay that's rly cool man. Can u tell us what the implications of ur gay ass SPY option IV analysis u fucking homo. Speak up homo. Speak ur mind fag do not make us play Fag Mad Libs.

>>52836429
There's nothing bears want more than a santa rally. I missed loading up over 400 because I thought the retard rally had more steam

VIX BHENCHODES I FUCKING TOLD YOU THE MARKET IS UNDER HEDGED

I broke and ate the chocolate i got for my mother for Christmas, how can i profit from this?

>>52836425
What’s the qrd on the melt up. I’ve been living under a rock since SPY has been crabbing.

>>52836372
everything is fine. cpi first leg up, fomc generational pump straight to 5200. the dollar dies on wednesday

>>52836357
FOMC and CPI retard

>>52834955
7k on Bitcoin when Do Kwon did his bitcoin pump for Luna bullshit.

>>52836450
redeem your coal stocks and replace the chocolates with coal. tell your mother she has been slacking in her duties this year when you hand her the box. profit off of the lawsuit from your father hitting you for disrespecting the woman who bore and birthed you.

alright I cannot fucking find a good explanation at a retard level for the differences between
VIX, UVXY, and UVIX
is anyone here a teacher for the mentally disabled that can help me?

>>52836298
No. Rotorcraft are deathtraps and Chinese vehicles doubly so.

>>52836442
we don't speak indian no one knows what you're talking about

>>52836429
The pensions are already failing? Oh shi-

>>52834922
someone post OG pic with niggers

>>52836367
>>52836372
>>52836380
>>52836417
>>52836465
bullish?

Closed my 12/16 $13 KOLD puts I sold this morning. 40% in 4 hours. You never listen. You hate making money. You always call me a nigger and laugh at me. /smg/ is the blackest dumbest gorilla niggers and they never take free fucking money they don't even talk about any ways to make money. Every thread is the same just autistic faggots rehhing all day with no ideas or contributions

>>52834955
down 300K

>>52836480
I can use google translate just bear with me give me 2 minutes and i can translate for u just wait

will u wait for me? in the next thread?

>>52836476

https://www.tradingsim.com/day-trading/futures-contracts-rollover

>>52836496
i will wait for you for forever my curry breath krishna

>>52836256
I am crying man, i lsot everythjng

>>52836380
I doubt that's happening. Imagine rates hikes like loading bullets into a gun, then rate cuts as actually firing the gun. Nothing is really wrong right now where we are in imminent danger. Something is predicted to be happening in late 2023 by the (((bond))) market though hence the forward yield. Then rates cuts will happen and then market bottom will be 2-4 months after rate cuts start. Also, look out for VIX over 45.

>>52835046
Jordan Peterson is not the preacher of Logos.

>>52836429
>hundread of billions to ukraine
>eh...maybe throw a bone at the unions to buy their vote
>FIGHTING FOR WORKERS
lol what a joke.

>>52835042
what expiration?

>>52836511
can u reply to me cross-thread in the next thread so i know who u are
im running the VIX sanksrit theology through google translating right nows

just sentiment checked stocktwits, most people are bearish.

>>52835046
>You, malignant rat
*raises paw*

Also: holy shit, bros, I was just at the grocery store and it's getting really bad out there.

>>52836551
prices or people?

>>52836357
People think we are about to go lower when if fact we are about to explode massively higher.

>>52836547
LET'S FUCKIN GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

>>52836551
I went to buy pork today. There wasn't any.

>>52836556
Both. At least now I'm not wasting cilantro because the bunches are so small.

>>52836559
>explode massively higher.
meltup santa rally.

>>52836570
I bought pork cheddar sausages (6 pack) for 0.99 cents today and had some with my broccoli

>>52836570
>No regular limes
>Got organic and put in the regular PLU

>>52836572
>not growing your own herbs in your kitchen window
>not using ge led grow lights that cost $8 and use near zero power
>not taking old potatoes and lemon seeds to grow in pots/planters if you own a home.
ngmi

>>52836589
I live in the fucking pod do you think I have any room for dirt and LED grow lights?

>>52836488
Only because you got dubs. And spicy ones at that.

>>52836524
Just wait bro. Itll dump hard during sour hour.

>>52835660
kek

>>52836551
>>52836570
Costco limited me to 2 cartons of eggs. I immediately went out and bought COST puts in retaliation.

>>52836524
How so when there's still sour hour ahead?

>>52836570
I bought some grapes today. $4 for a small container. Couldn’t find a full bag of grapes, just a little plastic container with a pathetic handful amount of grapes in it.

how come UVXY down when VIX is up

lower or higher inflation tomorrow?

>>52836678
jews

>>52836678
how come acceleration goes negative and velocity goes zero when the rock fall on crug head

>>52836684
Irrelevant. Market goes up either way.

>>52836678
Lord Ganesha

>>52836684
Lower

>>52836684
Lower than last month but higher than predictions

>US NOV. BUDGET DEFICIT AT $248.5B, EXP. $248BN, VS $191.3BN YR AGO
We need a recession to shore up treasury demand and allow rate cuts *without* lowering inflation or widening the deficit.

Can it be done?

>https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/12/science/nuclear-fusion-energy-breakthrough.html

kek, if this isn't another nuthingburger, then they were right all along.

>>52836684
0.0%

I simply do not click links from the New York Times

>>52836625
>>52836644
i dont think it'll dumop bros, it's over for me

>>52836703
Cut entitlements. Fuck em all.

>>52836551
How so, 8 lbs of Great Value pintos is still $5.98, and a can of Great Value whole kernel corn has dropped 8 cents to 50? Together they form a complete protein.

>>52836716
Based.

>>52836599
take old milk jug
go outside
dig a hole anywhere in the dirt near where you live/work
the more off the beaten path the better
cut gallon milk jug top off
poke some small holes in the bottom
dig hole in ground
sprinkle seeds for cilantro
bury, water
place jug upside down over dirt
wall up mud to side of jug
visit once a week to water and harvest.

or if in pod

replace one light in pod roof with ge light.
scoop turd out of pod bucket with pod approved cup/container
plant seeds in turd cup
water once a week
profit

>>52836719
It won’t dump today or tomorrow. It won’t dump on anything except a nasty terminal rate like 6% or higher, and that won’t be announced until 2:00 on Wednesday

>>52836719
Yea there’s zero chance of a dump. Smart people are buying for the breakout.

>>52836727
How many divisions does the P̶o̶p̶e̶ AARP have?

>>52836719
Why didn't you just sell it when it was at 395.14 then buy a call real quick?

>>52836753
why's VIX up so much then
institutions are buying puts like it's going out of style

>>52836753

>>52836732
I can afford it, but it's glaringly obvious now. God help anyone who has more people to feed besides themselves.

>>52836735
I really don't eat that much cilantro. This sounds like bad ROI.

>>52836489

Maybe, all indicators leaning towards bearish heavy short term. Bullish in early February though, since almost all Fed pauses result in a market rally.

>>52836777
>bad ROI.
Better to learn basic survival skills while your life doesn't depend on them.

cpi wont be bearish, but FOMC will.

>>5283667

Because UVXY is short term VIX futures. Know what product you are investing in before you invest. Please read the prospectus.

>>52836766
No, retarded retail is. Institutions are loading up on shares and selling puts.

>>52836678
it tracks first and second month VIX futures
December + January over 30 days in this case I guess..
trading VIX ETFs is literally the most retarded gamble

>>52836765
I DONT K BNOW I FUCKED UP

Markets seem to try to price in Wednesday. If 2y go anywhere near 5, I think there is really no excuse to not dump 100K into bonds

Someone check the oven.

Power hour?

>>52836678
DXY won't be up much longer. There's a reversal coming.

>>52836838
there's a jew in my oven!

>>52836816
you think retail is moving the VIX because they are buying so many puts....ooookay then

>>52836838
Looks like the oven hasn't been turned on yet. Something about an energy shortage.
Perhaps the bakers of another region are cooking something.

>>52836816
hedgies have loaded up on equities, yes, but defensive

>>52836764
38 million members, assuming 1/2 are men, 19 million. So that's about 1,520 divisions.

is this it? is this the final /smg/?

Baking

>>52836910
God is not that merciful.

Recycle
>>52833186

>>52833186

>>52833186

>>52833186

VIX is plummeting, everyone is apparently ready for tomorrow.

I should have sold my puts at 3940, but im too greedy..

>>52836922
>Recycle
its on post 308 bro
we're not that poor here at 4channel(.)org

>>52836962
>>52836962
>>52836962
I have baked.

>>52836816
>>52836849
prove it

>>52836955
old thread is on page 1
this one now too

board is slow. bake when its on page 10

>>52836955
we are about to be, just give it time
final stage capitalism is here
https://youtu.be/gQ8ov2YP3bU

rocket ship emoji. this is a bearish day leading up to CPI. every fucking time they inverse the previous day.