/biz/ - Business & Finance

2026-81k

>>52482951
It’s not perfect but still fairly accurate
29 instead of 27 was a major peak
99 was the tech crash, called correctly but the down trend didn’t last until 2005
07 was the next major peak though, called that right, 2019 crash didn’t happen until 2021 but they tried hard to put the top in during Covid
I would be interested in a statistical analysis but it looks more accurate than anyone could predict

>>52483019
yield inversion occured in 2019 and it would have been the cycle top if lockdowns had not given them an excuse to print trillions.

human psychology related to finance is a strange phenomena. people keep making the same mistakes in terms of forgetfulness and greed over and over again at semi predictable intervals

>>52483344
> 2019/lockdowns
2020 but that’s close enough
No prediction model will be 100% accurate but this one looks good compared to how simple it is

>>52482951
Is this is one of those charts that's made to look like it's really old but was made recently?

>>52482951
Now do the same with the Japanese stock market

bulla 2026 -/+2, margin of error means anywhere from 2024 to 2028. doesn't seem that far away

>>52483449
Technically we start going up in 2023, that’s the bottom

>>52483418
I think so.

>graph is too neat
>the mix of these faux-vintage fonts looks very contemporary
>letters are too cleanly and perfectly aligned (it was done by a computer and not by a human hand like in printed stuff from 50-100 years ago)
>no period at the end of the last sentence, like a shitpost
>double space in the second line of the “C” section (i.e. it was typed on a computer)
>paper looks dirty in the center for no reason
>the signature with the date “1875” is an obvious trick (why would someone sign a printed card anyway?)

Can’t fool my autism.

>>52482951
It's like the GRRM's ASOIAF prophesies: they do happen but with some weird twist.

>>52483486
>>52483418

What I found out about it is in this article, but whether it's all true or not I can't say.

https://therationalinvestor.com/blog/how-the-benner-cycle-predicts-100-years-of-market-movement

>>52483418
>>52483486
Are you guys new?
This shit gets posted here all the time
It’s from an old hardware company or some shit

>>52483514
>And here is the original Benner Cycle chart that I used to create the updated version.

Yeah, so the pic in OP is fake vintage. Pic related really looks from the 19th century though.

t. owner of many books printed in the 18th and 19th century

>>52483418
>>52483486
the cyclical theory is real, but that picture was likely made much later and extended the cycles to predict much further ahead in time

>Samuel Benner was a prosperous farmer who was wiped out financially by the 1873 panic. When he try to discern the causes of fluctuations in markets, he came across a large degree of cyclicality.
>Benner eventually published his findings in a book in 1875 — BENNERS PROPHECIES: FUTURE UPS AND DOWNS IN PRICEs – making business and commodity price forecasts for 1876 -1904. Many (but not all) of these forecasts were fairly accurate.

https://www.businessinsider.com/benner-cycle-2010-8

>>52483538
I’m an OG /biz/raeli from 2014 but took a break for a few years

The above top are panics
https://archive.org/details/bennersprophecie01benn/mode/2up?view=theater

>>52482951
Shemitah bro
You didn't get a call from your rabbi?

>>52484200
>mom did rabbi Friedman call me?