/biz/ - Business & Finance

so, uh
what's tomorrow going to look like?

buy my bags thay are great thanks

>>51668434
Same as everyday in the recession: RED

I remember getting screamed at IRL at a bar for calling myself a retard. Fuckin jewish bitches man

>>51668434
lets see what happens in futures first, was +400 green when I passed out drunk last night

The 10 YEAR US TREASURY. This lil nigga is going to heem us.

>>51668434
Easy way to figure it out using pic related

Official USD theme

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tvsGg2tDVWI

>>51668453
CURSED IMAGE
wheres the hanging tranny mumu I lost it

>>51668444
smg posting at its finest

>>51668434
Upward crab if we don't break below support, which I doubt it will break it tomorrow

man the nord pipeline is just dumping nat gas into the baltics kekekkek

What calls did you guys buy during the red?

>>51668453
lol wtf anon
now run it through the ai fine art thing

>>51668434
Was today considered red or a crab?
I'm considering it a crab.

>>51668472
i-i-i didn't buy calls bro

>>51668453
IS THIS THE BOTTOM?

>>51668481
crab

>>51668453
solid/10 anon, but for real do this: >>51668474

>>51668441
I went up almost 3%.

>>51668434
don't come into the stonk market tomorrow bro, my dad works for nintendo with J. Powell Jr. he said it's gonna get pretty hecking ugly.

>>51668449
IQmaxxies please explain how AAPL and TSLA are bouncing off max OI strikes for weekly expiry despite 10yr & DXY rugging world currencies
>ty for your service

>>51668447
id love to travel to germany if i could, thats for sure. that fine lady is asking for about $500 for an hour. you can thank illegal prostitution for that.

what counts at material nonpublic information?
if I talk to an employee at a retail store and ask them "has it been busy?" is that mni?
if I ask them if it's busier this year than 2022, 2021, or 2020, is that mni?
what questions can you ask an employee of a company you're investing in, where you don't run into mni issues?

not buying until yuppies are crying about their underwater mortgages and leaky roofs

>>51668501
>AAPL and TSLA are bouncing
flight to safety

>>51668432
>>51668429
I'm >feeling we've got another 15-20% to go here. Remember that the purpose of the Fed is to cause pain for ordinary Americans by contracting the money supply and right now, there isn't enough pain yet. Another 100 "basis points" (faggot term btw) and I think that's where the fed will stop. You think they couldn't possibly do it because that would cause a catastrophe but remember we're dealing with psychos here. Anyway. I'm holding off on purchasing stonks for another few months before I start buying again.

>>51668501
megacaps become safe havens during corrections and selloffs especially when the dollar is strengthening because they are cash flow heavy and low debt, bottoms of markets typically happen after the megacap holders finally capitulate

>>51668513
im not buying until QE and zero interest rates since thats the only thing this house of cards is built on
unless jesus or cold fusion shows up

So im a cheap bastard and looking into some cheap leaps play
Spoonfeed me a good leap play lads. Got a little over 12k usd to gamble long term

>>51668501
there is no where safe to put money...American markets are the shiniest turd right now, and APPLE and TESLA are the big corn in the turd.

statistically based on previous midterm year charts this should be the low for the year. somebody post that chart

thread theme
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lvAafvH8akk

>>51668530
>I wonder why they all split before the market shit itself?

Really makes you think...

>>51668510
You won't run into any issues unless your doing millions of dollars in calls and have a nextdoor neighbor that is the former CEO of a company that just got bought out but won't be announced for months

High af rn finna play kf2

>Powell speaks tomorrow

>>51668574
What time and about what?

>>51668085
>Using VIX level as an indicator for a bottom or some fear indicator is a red herring and is retarded
Does the same hold true for the MOVE index?

>>51668510
investment banks send banks to physically talk to the CEO when doing their research and the SEC turns a blind eye. Executives allegedly aren't telling them nonpublic information yet the banks somehow find these visits useful and keep funding them. You going into a store and asking a regular employee is a nothingburger

A key thing to understand about insider trading is that it is about theft. The company gives information to the CEO because he needs it to run the business. If he uses that info to trade, he is in a sense stealing from the shareholders, because the information does not belong to him, it belongs to the shareholders. If you go out and observe the truck count at a factory, you can trade on that all you want, because the information was not given to you (or your friend) for another purpose, you obtained it on your own, its all yours.

I have some hot insider info for you anon:

poo poo pee pee. That's all I can say.

>>51668604
10:15 EST and who fucking knows

>>51668604

>>51668617
just reported to the SEC. Fuck you anon i'm getting that whistleblower award

>>51668654
you cocksucking weasel!

>>51668630
>tfw you've been 75% cash since april and the market is going even lower
My slurpies are going to be so cheap bros.

>>51668617
S&P

>3 times in 3 days overhearing normies talk about buying bonds
Yea, that is no good.
>>51668501
TSLA is tied to its option chain and gamma squeeze potential. Nothing else matters with it.
>>51668617
Real insider here. It is really:
pee pee poo poo

>>51668278
>Finally closed by META put.
does this mean youre expecting a rally or the bottom?

>>51668617
thats it, im all in on Waste Management

Suppose, hypothetically, you're an eight figure hedge fund facing a wave of redemptions. What do you go all-in on before you get shut down?

>>51668510
So, just go ahead and spill the beans. Market is closed everyone is gone but a few of us and by the time we pass out from drinking too much we won't even remember it tomorrow

>>51668612
>If you go out and observe the truck count at a factory, you can trade on that all you want, because the information was not given to you (or your friend) for another purpose, you obtained it on your own, its all yours.
at what point does it cross the line, when talking to employees?
if they have knowledge of the accounting, and aren't just speculating?
if they have information about a merger, acquisition, big material news that would require a press release?
what about information like
>we've been having to lay off employees at our store
>employees at our store are getting their hours cut
>we've been hiring a ton of staff for overnight to refill shelves, product is moving fast
>we've been getting less sales in our store for this season than previous years

>>51668565
kek

>>51668677
CNBC is really shilling up the bond buying narrative. Sounds like our Treasury is in desperate need of some retail cash

>>51668693
Butterfly spreads

>>51668707
>jewnbc

are there actual people that watch this fucking trash?

>>51668471
Could you throw a flare in there and get a sweet ass sea fire?

>>51668699
That's nothing

>>51668693
well obviously the first thing I do is come to smg for advice, so good I'm glad you got that down. Then I go all into SOXL on yom kippur

>>51668715
You don't want to hear the official Jew narrative? I do

>>51668719
thats what im trying to figure out , what the damage. everyone is trying to figure out if it was sabotage or a black flag or just a maintenance problem.

>>51668730
what about if you called up 100 stores, and asked 100 employees similar questions?
would that still be not mni
I'm not talking about whether or not it would be enforced, just whether a court would find it mni

>>51668752
Ask the CIA, they know

>>51668752
Glowniggers, I reckon.

Crude inventories are being propped up by the SPR. Biden is just keeping prices suppressed until midterms.

I'm so fucking cold and lonely.

>>51668481
creb aka red crab

>>51668444
>jewish

>>51668719
Maybe. Reminds me of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Methane_clathrate and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Darvaza_gas_crater

>One of the more popular theories is that Soviet geologists intentionally set it on fire in 1971 to prevent the spread of methane gas, and it is thought to have been burning continuously ever since.[6]
kek

>>51668760
Are you not allowed to call a store operating in the public? You would have to deliberately squired specific important confidential information, not just some poll of employee sentiment in my opinion

>>51668752


>>51668771
>>51668768
they're too incompetent to pull anything off that's not domestic

>>51668760
It's not insider trading if you're not an insider. This is financial advice, legal advice, and I am your attorney.

>>51668715
I view CNPC employees as Jewish representatives of the federal reserve who get the official word of whatever they want to push onto the goys passed down through the chain of command and then the information gets trickled to the goys in a controlled, calculated manor. Then I like watching the goy employees like picrel take Cramer's word as gospel (because it is to the goy employees) meanwhile none of them question why they have to fill in for their Jewish coworkers who get the day off for shemitah festivities. None of them can make the connection. It's sad really.

WHY I CLOSED MY SHORT ON OIL . IM SO DUMB

>another episode of hulk green futures

guys my portfolio is in the green for the first time in two years
something is terribly wrong

>>51668810
Jeez, you fuck up ONCE in Cuba and they don't let you hear the end of it.

>>51668707
Gundlachs dumb ass getting rugged daily haha

>>51668693
A ton of 3 month out ATM put debit spreads

>>51668699
the crime happens if an employee benefits from an information that doesnt belong to them
for example analysts working on merger deals are often warned not to trade on that info or speak to friends about it, because they have a fiduciary duty
everything is an extension of that, for example if the merger analyst tells his wife's father to buy, the sec would be interested in that (but may not always notice)
if you pay their CFO for the quarterly, the CFO is definitely committing a crime, while youre probably an accessory or something, idk, the point is that it gets murkier the farther you are from the benefitting employee
if you fish the quarterly preprint out of the trash, youre probably not insider trading, but you may be trespassing

>>51668760
definitely not

WTF IS GOING ON AH?!?!? WTF IS GOING ON OIL!?

>>51668785
Reminder that body shaving is pushed by energy producers so that you feel colder at night / in winter. They promote it to force you to use more of their product to keep yourself warm.

>>51668752
Who was responsible for operations and maintenance? If Germans can only be sabotage, if ruskies then those retards probably fucked it up. Not because of ukraine but because they are all drunken retards. If it was sabotage we can safely rule out Russians as well for similar reasons.

>>51668785
install bumble and talk to random people.

>>51668839
>Gundlachs dumb ass
He's a buffalo bills fan so he's alright in my book

>>51668843
It's pretty calm lol. But the storm is getting upgraded though.

>>51668803
>Are you not allowed to call a store operating in the public?
I can call the store.. but if I ask an employee information that is material
>Information is considered to be “material” if its dissemination to the public would likely affect the market value or trading price of an issuer‘s securities – i.e. stock – or if it is information which, if disclosed, would likely influence a reasonable investor’s decision to purchase or sell an issuer’s securities
what is the threshold required to be material?
as I see it, calling 100 employees in different regions and them all telling me that their stores have been firing workers would influence a reasonable investor to purchase/sell

Why did SMG lie to me about everything?

Watch clips of Victoria Nuland and Biden months ago talking about the pipeline would not be allowed to operate and would be shut down one way or another if Russia invaded Ukraine. When reporters asks for specifics they just smirked with a gleam in the eye and said they wouldn't elaborate

>>51668871
you can have material nonpublic information and you can trade on it
as long as it belongs to you
insider trading is a crime of theft, not of unfairness

>>51668867
Isn't the SPR in Louisiana? lmao imagine if it hit right there as they are artificially adding supply lmao

>>51668434
If the USA blowing up the nordstream pipeline is real and Putin is gearing up for nukes, BLOODBATH RED

>>51668873
We like to have fun around these parts.

mutant fish chads, it's our time

>>51668842
isn't trading on material nonpublic information a crime, regardless of whether the employee benefits
eg. I could overhear in a bar some information that is nonpublic, and if I trade on it, I could be prosecuted (if found out somehow)
>>51668894
how do you define "belongs to you"
afaik if an employee of a company tells someone mni, and that person tells you, and you trade on it, all 3 of you can be prosecuted, even if the employee didn't make money from it / benefit in any way

>>51668897
wew hadn't thought about that, but it's slamming into Florida.

>>51668871
That sounds like such a stretch you could construe almost anything to be material info using those parameters. How bout this, just tell us what it is, and then you will see for yourself how nothing burger it sounds just typing it

Chinese banks are ordered to buy up stocks and now their REGULATORS ASK FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS TO AVOID TRADING ACTIVITIES THAT MAY CAUSE BIG FLUCTUATIONS IN THE SECURITIES MARKET.

The fuck is happening over there???

>>51668689
based

>>51668843
Did you long oil anon ?

>>51668897
Alas, that'll have to be next season; Ian's hitting Florida.

Also the 4 SPR locations are evenly spread between Lousiana and Eastern Texas so you'd need a yuge cat 5 to knock them all out.

>>51668715
Weighing CNBC against /biz/ is a good way to determine the state of the market. Also if you want to hope a trend they are useful in determining an exit point while /biz/ is great for an entry point. OIL and SEMIs were good ones that /biz/ reported on before the run and CNBC reported on at the end of the run.

Finally for individual picks.
/biz/ positive, CNBC positive Top Sell.
/biz/ positive, CNBC negative Buy.
/biz/ negative, CNBC positive Hold.
/biz/ negative, CNBC negative ALL IN YOUR GONNA BE FUCKING RICH NIGGA!

>>51668946
>the market is fake and gay
>but what if we made it faker and gayer?
bold strategy

I make the good BOBOS' Gone BAD!!!!

Oh god I’m only 10% long and it fucking hurts

WHY DIDNT I STAY CASH
OR AT LEAST NOT BUY THE “DIP”

>>51668946
Nobody knows. It's the mysterious Orient, filled with inscrutable insect people.

All we know is if you send them dollars, they send back trinkets. Send them blueprints, they'll steal them. Send them opium, they send back silver.

>>51668959
>that'll have to be next season
Hurricane season is starting to ramp up.
>>51668958
Do you think we'll see oil peak past what it did this year next year, be around the same, or lower?

>>51668977
I'm 100% in stocks and don't have that problem. Kids these days, having meltdown because numbers turned red. It's just money kiddo.

>>51668962
Based saved

Do you guys hear that? It's the sound of the uranium drum. It's still beating despite the trajectory of the market.

>>51668927
>how do you define "belongs to you"
The information does not belong to you if it was given to you in order to do your job. The employee is not allowed to take the company's truck for his dropshipping side gig. He is also not allowed to take the company's financial statements for his trading side gig. Every other insider trading thing is downstream of that - for example the employee is also not allowed to give the statements to his wife so she can insider trade for him.

>afaik if an employee of a company tells someone mni, and that person tells you, and you trade on it, all 3 of you can be prosecuted, even if the employee didn't make money from it / benefit in any way
Hard cases make for bad law, and hard cases dont always win in prosecution. But anyway thats a straightforward extension of the wife situation.

>eg. I could overhear in a bar some information that is nonpublic, and if I trade on it, I could be prosecuted (if found out somehow)
No, you can't.

>isn't trading on material nonpublic information a crime, regardless of whether the employee benefits
The whole point of markets is to expose material nonpublic information by allowing people to make money trading it. What's the demand for widgets right now? Very important material nonpublic information, if you know it, please trade on it and optimize the economy.

>>51668986
>Hurricane season is starting to ramp up.
It's been exceptionally calm so far but, historically speaking, we're actually ramping down.

>>51668995
I don’t make much money and I work two jobs. I’m looking for a career but I haven’t found anything I’m good at

>>51669001
Enriched?

wtf robinhood offers 3% on brokerage cash now?
anyone doing that?

Hmm WBD at 11.xx a share. If insiders aren't bagging more at these cheap ass prices they're fools.. Bet the CEO sure as hell is to lock in his majority voting power. During the merger talks one of the stipulations was the giving up of voting power. Now he's got a way to get it back cheap.

>>51669026
Well anyone that has Robinhood is doing that automatically in between positions if they have any cash balance, what do you mean?

>>51669026
>Only 3%
>When 1 year treasuries pay 4.133%
https://treasurydirect.gov/indiv/products/prod_tbills_glance.htm

she holding at these levels

>>51669013
Oh damn... Well I wish you all the best mate. Hope you find something. Fed might be pumping money into domestic production guessing based on the Friday podcast between business owners and Fed members, so there might be some opportunities there.

>>51669052
>Tbills
YWNBAB

>>51668693
Can't they restrict redemptions

>>51669005
interesting.. I (clearly) have a lot of misconceptions, I will continue researching - thank you

feel like i should short myself bigly. right now im tempted to say its obvious its going down and jump in leverage bear etfs. but instead, im buying soxl tomorrow.

I'm shorting Netflix

https://twitter.com/TheSunUS/status/1574803301186473997

>>51669060
kek

>>51669068
There's something like a 45 day delay built in.

>>51669050
It's a new feature, they basically want you to make it your savings account.

>>51669069
Whats a random stock I hould I buy calls on tomorrow in my small random play account?

>>51669077
At this point it's a game of who bankrupts first, Netflix or Meta

>>51669097
https://randomstockpicker.herokuapp.com/

>>51669058
This podcast was actually funny. Some woman was explaining that people should be excited to work on multimillion equipment at her plant and Powell was just shakign his head in background. I think he is based and knows that in the end, people care only about bottom line.

>>51669092
It looks like they just raised the interest rate and list an area called cash in between the options positions and stocks positions area now. I don't think it's something you sign up for

>>51669108
I'm trying to get non inside info from the call a hundred store anon

>>51669069
>>51669097
I meant puts

>>51668768
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4O8rGRLf8&t=120s

>>51669187
And just like that, no more pipeline like they said

Uh, RKLBros...

>>51669069
if you find this stuff interesting, I recommend Matt Levine's bloomberg column
https://newsletterhunt.com/newsletters/money-stuff-by-matt-levine

https://youtu.be/ZL-AuG4kfOs
<3

Say you want to stop losing money every week in the markets. How do you achieve this?

WHEN BUYING

See the little picture at the top of the window when you're looking at a stock or ETF? Looks like a zigzag line going from left to right, like a series of high mountains and deep valleys. Try to buy at the "bottom" of the hills, not the top.

WHEN SELLING

At the bottom of the page, there will be some little numbers, one is the share price, one is how many dollars you're up or down, the other is the percentage you're up or down. If the number is red, DO NOT SELL. And the further down it is, the more important it is NOT TO SELL even if you really want to. When you sell in the red, you lose money! Only sell in the green.

>It's more complic-

No. No it isn't.

I bought 12k worth of TQQQ @ 21.44

I was green at one point this year.

What's the easiest way to trade Nat gas futures, or mini futures and what does it take to get started? I want something better than just DRIP, KOLD, BOIL, GUSH, UNG, etc. Gracias in advance

>>51668501
Because they're the only two companies I'm shorting right now so obviously they're going to pump

>>51669233
she's on a mission from God.

>>51669273
>I was green last month

https://twitter.com/davereaboi/status/1574891239773814784

I really hate this motherfucker

just got off the phone with putin i advsed him not to send more troops because they are going to get btfo, he said he will think about it. BULLISH

>>51668406
FUCK YOU JANNIE IM POSTING IT AGAIN

>>51669234
not clicking your links, Matt

Thinking about buying more EQNR

>>51668452
What do the c and o stand for? Guessing F is futures? How does this relate to picrel

>>51669296
Damn today it frustrated me so much I timed the top of s&p perfectly but went with TSLA PUTS instead and had to wait longer than my normal scalp but the stubborn bastard finally relented and I ended up cashing out nicely

I feel like death. I need saline and warm.

>>51669360
Close and Open, I'm guessing. But the original chart didn't specify that it'd be tomorrow open. Juts "Tomorrow"

What did these people do to my TETH coin?

>>51669349
sirs how do you always know
click the link or the village starves

>>51669273
I can't remember what it was like being truly green...feels like long lost dream of a by gone time...

>>51669349
Now that people are actually, legitimately worried about bond market liquidity, I don't think he cares. He's gotta be happier than a lean hog in shit.

>>51669375
Makes sense, I see the O column has the bold boarder so I think that means tomorrow open. Today Close Today Futures Tomorrow Open. Makes sense. I'm a bit of a broken clock

>>51669400
what the fuck did you buy

>>51669360
>>51669375

It's a meme you dip.

>>51668452
It's joking that it's going to open red everyday forever.

AAPL $150. Only reason AAPL is still up is to flush out excess shorts. Before Yom Kippur, it's going down.

>>51669400
Remember when we joked that the Bogs dying and the Fed board cashing out was the top? ha ha.

>>51669414
I adjusted the cheat sheet for the recession. The original poster used an average from the last 50 years, which is hardly applicable in downturns. Explanation:

Green Today + Green Futures = Red Tomorrow
Green Today + Crab Futures = Red Tomorrow
Green Today + Red Futures = Red Tomorrow
Crab Today + Green Futures = Red Tomorrow
Crab Today + Crab Futures = Red Tomorrow
Crab Today + Red Futures = Red Tomorrow
Red Today + Green Futures = Red Tomorrow
Red Today + Crab Futures = Red Tomorrow

>>51669412
It's not what I bought it's what I'm holding which is mutual funds. I will never sell this. I have no choice but to hold onto it until it goes to zero or I'm homeless on the streets

>>51669375
How do I view historical futures data?
on yahoo I only see daily open, close, high, and low
t. retard

>>51669428

>

>>51669436

>historical futures

>>51669001
It's not, uranium is going down with the rest of the commodities. Check charts

>My portfolio is struggling

>>51669282
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/products.html?redirect=/trading/products/#assetClass=sg-16&cleared=Futures&sortField=oi

What caused Aluminum to drop today? Dont tell me things are already so bad the mexicans are giving up their cola and beer

>>51669334
i really think the vacant alzheimers gaze really hammers the point home

>>51669488
>so bad the mexicans are giving up their cola
FUCK SPICKS WERE PART OF MY KO THESIS AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

i highly suggest if you are wanting to trade futures you understand how they work first. how margin works, how the contracts settle, etc. or you WILL get fucked

>>51668436
I want YOU to buy MY bags.

>>51669500
> odnan234dcsdfdfn32n3nd get vaccinated

>>51669522
I think I'll just paper trade them on td Ameritrade for a month or two until I get comfortable and familiar with the intricacies of them so I don't get heemed, as they say

>>51669436

Just look at the meme chart and then go to

https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures

At 10pm EST.

I can't spoonfeed you anymore.

>>51669488
Aluminum foil is becoming Ritz. I saw this and thought something was weird.

kek baggies
>variable rates
how fucking stupid do you have to be?

>>51669334
Just

I currently have 3-4x as many homeless students this year as normal. Things are just getting bad.

Name one thing JPow can say tomorrow that will cause a meme pump through midterms.

>>51669522
Best way to get into futures trading? I‘ve been thinking all year about trading the bond futures

Down 17k from all the red in my longs

I take it I'm locked in at this point and should just leave it all there and hope for a return to green... some day?

Pulling out seems like it will only fuck me harder because timing shit is impossible

>>51669627
he's just going to mention that he's monitoring the global forex/liquidity situation, that's enough of an indorsement of the dollar milkshake theory for market speculator to attempt to price in a pivot triggered by a global recession/liquidity crisis

>>51669622
I don't think the Canadians have a choice

>>51669641
Just liquidate a small amount of it and buy lotto calls right before Yom Kippur

>>51669660
yeah, the canadian central bank is holding a gun to every canadian's head demanding that they take out a 5x leveraged variable mortgage on a house inside of a large metropolitan city

>>51669627
>It was just a prank bro

>>51669334
Listen, jack. I'm not allowed to say a lot, they don't want me to say much, but here's something I will say.

What the fuck do I do here bros?
>Bought .20@13 strike for TYO expiring in November
>Its currently valued ~ 1.35
>its ITM
Do I roll it to a longer date out but higher strike and maintain net value? Or just hold it because its deep ITM currently and sell it closer to its expiry to avoid pin risk?

I can't believe I let them shake me out of my butterfly spreads exp tomorrow with only +60%. Baring some crazy gap down the would be worth+120% tomorrow morning

Congrats on this, seriously

>>51669712
Take the money. Advice you'll never hear here.

>>51669638
you could trade the micro contracts which are the poorfag version of futures, then move to mini. you can trade options as well. I would probably do that. read about the specific contracts, some are cash settled others are not.

>>51669730
its confusing the hell at me because it has essentially no liquidity so its pricing with near zero premium risk. The contract is currently worth how much it is in the money.

>>51669723
>Baring some crazy gap down
Many such cases

>>51669712
You post a screenshot here, then follow the screenshot rule and sell it and book that profit asap. Don't worry, for some strange reason we all have to learn this the hard way

>>51669712
Will QT end, the US fiscal situation improve, or the energy crisis resolve for Japan (thereby saving the Yen) between now and expiry? I vote to roll it.

>>51669712
I take the money and go cash to cash daily. I think u are retard to not take green in this market

>>51669627
Shemitah is over

Just three more days till payday. Just 3 more days till my 2nd monthly 401k contribution is deployed bagging more cheap ass shares.

>>51669627
>I'm turning the printers back on

So what's after Rosh Hashanah?
Richard Dreyfuss week?

Based on my months of research time-tested economic liquidity cycle flows, I have determined that the bottom will consolidate on next summer:

1) Inflation caused by money printing causes the central banks to increase interest rates to slow the economy down and to promote a healthier economy.

2) Rising central bank interest rates put pressure on treasury bonds to increase return yields in order to make them more attractive to investors.

3) Increased bond yields compete with financial liquidity, causing equities to fall.

4) As equities begin falling, a flight to safety causes the DXY and VIX to rise, creating additional uncertainty and fear in the equities market.

5) This "demand destruction system" implemented by central bankers causes the debt market to shrink, as the cost to borrow rises - people flock to pay off debts and move to less riskier investments.

The end product is a healthier economy with a better income/debt ratio, banks have improved balance sheets, the government creates new demand for bonds, stocks are priced attractively and demand will have new room to grow.

How can people prefer alcohol over weed? Do they not care about getting fat? About liver damage? Fuck they even have vape pens to get you away from the smoke of plant like who the fuck still drinks beer outside of a party
How do I profit off Gen x cirrhosis cases increasing?

>>51669627
Feels good to be a mumu tomorrow. Same shit as last time he was on. Literally pumps then when he gets on it fucking dumps.

>>51669772
I was screenshotting it yesterday. Its value from yesterday is up 65% from a 1.5% underlying move.
>>51669774
Negatory --- the only thing I see potentially happening to save bond yields is housing is sold off by institutions as a risk off play to buy bonds once real yields get high enough. Oil will come back with a vengeance once SPR is over and it cannot go on longer because the Saudis will embargo us etc and without reserves we get a glorious revolution.
>>51669779
Fucked up part is I just don't see the value in rolling it. I have a price target of about ~TYO=18 at its upper upper band and when trying to figure out what to roll it is as it always seems like I lose leverage and gains potential.

>>51669816
You're forgetting that covid happened my guy. Where are the workers going to come from?

>>51668873
/smg/ has never steered me wrong
i only lose money when i trade without consulting here first

>>51669638
Don’t

>>51669816
OK, now add in an energy and commodity shortage.

Fuckers in congress is blowing 12 billion more of your tax dollars into the Ukraine coffers. It's in the govt funding bill that must pass to keep the govt open. Hey must be nice to blow money on a whim v.s the normal "we ain't got the votes" when it comes to doing stuff here.

>>51669816
Can you speed that up to finish October expiry? Thx

>>51669825
Because Western civilization has used alcohol as their social getaway drug for millennia because booze was fine-tuned ages ago. Weed is only just starting to catch on.
Pic related is what they smoked in the 1970s. This was considered top-shelf stuff back then before they went with sinsemilla and indoor grows.

>>51668472
>2024
Have fun holding onto those calls forever

>>51669831
Imo just long the shares then and remove time decay from the situation entirely. You are simply making an intermediate to long term bullish assumption. Which is ballsy in this market. I haven't dug too deep into the point of rolling a green position, have only ever rolled red short calls to get more time, which usually didn't end well for me.

>>51669264
pff id take that position over mine.

>>51668649
>Do not ask me again

Should i long oil tomorrow ? Thoughts ?

>>51669869
I think we get a Yom Kippur/ midterms pump. But yea it would be nice to hear a more elegant and elaborate deep dive breakdown from him on a shorter timeframe

When the FUCK is it crashing? I want my cheapies and AAPL at 151 isn't cheapies damn it. I'm going to need 120 at the VERY LEAST.

>>51669895
I am doing it and I am stupid. So no you shouldn't.

>>51669627
*tap tap tap

POO POO, er, PEE PEE!

UHHHHHHHH GUYS

So smg. I’m 26, ordinary pleb tier wagie, single, live with parents. I thought I was gonna make it because I have about 2 million in the stock market to inherit, but it’s privately managed (currently about 65% msft with some other stuff including amzn and hd) in a trust until 2045. And now that the 30 year bear market is confirmed, I kinda have nothing going for me. How do i cope with this? It was keeping me going to know I was superior to other no-trust plebs. Plus my job is a financial advisor and I genuinely can’t recommend people hold stocks after 2025, so I feel like it’s all over. How do you make money in a Great Depression?

>>51669825
Alcohol tastes better. Simple as.

>>51669911
Can't wait until zoomer fagtards are fighting chinks and russians, kek, i'll be grabbing my popcorn and watching from home like a big sportsball game!

>>51669911
lmao

>>51669627
Yeah -- that would reduce my overall risk. I dont want to buy a whole lot of premium but liquidity on TYO's chain is so thin there is not a lot of ways to catch deals so right now I am just benefiting from being so damn deep in the money. But, that is a good god damn problem to have I will admit. My single best trade that I have ever made and I only did it with $100 and instead bought gush with rest of my money to get heemed as oil went lower.

>>51669452
What?
There is no way to see how things move exclusively after standard trading hours are over?

>>51669911
Literately regular training. They announced it a month before it happened. This is just sensationalist headlining.

>>51669911
Aren't they doing drills?

>>51668294
I guarantee shes 25 pounds heavier than that photo anonymoose

>>51669911
Just see picrel of this poster to see the puppet strings in play >>51669816

>>51669831
I also didn't look at the ticker and realize you are long a 3x 10 year Treasury yield ETF.

>>51669945
>it's just completely normal for Russia and China to do drills together in this completely normal and sane world
>>51669950
Are the two biggest threats to THE US doing drills together? Is that what you're asking?

>>51669902
That was the crash. You are buying right now... aren't you? This is the multi-generational bottom. In fact, it's the epochal bottom: this is the lowest that stocks will for the rest of the entire Anthropocene time period

>>51669952
that's a man bro, I can tell from the pixels

>>51669816
>Based on my months of research time-tested economic liquidity cycle flows, I have determined that the bottom will consolidate on next summer:

Well duh, I've only been posting it for weeks now.

>>51669627
URANIUM

>>51669978
>generational bottom
so far. anon. epochal bottom SO FAR.

>>51669974
No, they are doing drills. I'm asking if they're doing them now.

>>51669919
Jesus fuck. 2045 is only 23 years away. This shat show going on will be nothing but history by then. Grow some balls. You'll be fine. Best thing is to forget all about your upcoming trust fund money till 2045 is here. If you want a challenge try this; try to get 2 million on your own by 2045 instead.

>>51669967
Yeah, these have been my most successful plays I have made. My housing short play was a little preemptive (I went down to -88% on those shorts) but now I am back up 50% on that position but I bought a shit ton of theta that has decayed since I bought that one right before the summer rally.

If some of the best traders blew up their early trading accounts, doesnt that mean I'm well on my way to being successful too?

>>51670022
the worst traders also blew up their trading accounts, you aren't the next bill gates or zuckerburg just because you dropped out of college, you burnout loser

>>51670022
Possibly. Or it means you are doomed.

>>51669871
weed has literally been used for thousands of years, anon. sure, we got technology to make super dank shit now, but that really doesn't change the co-evolution that has been going on for literally millennia.

>>51670050
yeah let's also put lead in our wine like the ancient romans did, fucking retard

>>51670022
>successful
>trader

>>51670050
all modern civilization comes from magical mushrooms.

TQQQ @ 24.26 tomorrow

thread theme

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8OyBtMPqpNY

>>51670035
Well thank God, I wouldnt wanna be those two evil soulless fucks anyways

>>51670014
I am trying. It’s possible if 10% a year returns do continue. I’m also trying to build equity in real estate that’s why I live with my parents instead of renting. I used to have creative start up ideas but those days are behind me sadly. I started a dropshipping company in 2019 but Covid wiped me out and never got the motivation to start back up. I want to keep trying though, just haven’t figured out the golden goose yet. It really sucks to be a pleb at everything. Why should I run a business instead of someone more experienced than me?

>>51670050
> weed has literally been used for thousands of years
And they were smoking the skunk shit that I just posted. Your current average hybrid strain knocks boomers off of their asses.

Is there any hope of recovery, or should I just use my last 12 grand in order to buy a shitty mobile home and run for it?

>>51670084
adding to the playlist
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J7dyVoQxTps

Markets pumping hard AH da fuq man?

>>51670022
Someone posted a screencap of some prop firm's screening process. Apparently the have you paper trade for like 3 months, and they have like a 1/1400 hiring rate. Most of the successful ones have proper risk management, close positions by EOD and have good position sizing (eg 2-3% portfolio)

>>51670138
Certified banger alert

>>51670050
It used to be used to induce "altered states" for contemplation and thought; now it's DUDE WEED LMAO.

>>51670133
It's over, withdraw all funds. Max out all credit cards. Buy gold bricks and bury them in your backyard. Kill your neighbor because he saw you burying it. Raid his kitchen for canned food.
Then camp out in your underground bunker (you DO have a bunker, right anon?) with your AR-15 and wait at LEAST 20 years before coming out. Possibly longer.

>>51670143
They have been for the past few days. Then dump because some euro farted or some bond took a poo.

>>51670067
that's a non sequitur, anon. i trust i don't have to explain any further on this issue. :^)

>>51670070
stoned ape theory certainly is an interesting idea.

>>51670121
What's your point? We also have Everclear.

>>51670158
those aren't mutually exclusive, anon.

>>51670178
FATHER OF MINE

>>51670178
The point is why would people in the 1600s bother with smoking twigs (even over tobacco) when they could try this nice new bubbly wine a Benedictine monk concocted

>>51670133
buy AMD at $60 and enjoy your free money

>>51670174
I had a tough time taking another sqqq position eod. Line cant always go down this is getting fucking scary.... not to mention we may hit 4% 10 yr tonight.

>>51670188
They are for the vast majority of the population.

>>51670178
The story of the exodus from the bible about speaking to god on mount sinai.. specifically to a burning bush has a lot of factual basis in moses being stoned as hell. There is a bush that grows on hilltops in sinai peninsula that when burned gets you high.

>>51669919
>>51670098
You sound like a total faggot kek. Your parents probably lied about muh trust so they can manipulate you at will. Have you ever seen actual proof that couldn't somehow be faked?

>>51668513
I'm not buying until the bond yield curve is no longer inverted

https://youtu.be/0g2OB-y8bW4

Just bought some more vtsax. Bobo is back baybee

I'm not buying until the federal funds rate stops rising, which would be until February 2023. Even then, stocks will fall for a few months after that, but that would be a good time to get in early.

>>51670311
just stick it with it. My price target was 10yr = 4.2 yield before I potentially unwound any of my bond short positions.

Kek, back when I was just starting out after high-school my parents offered to give me 40,000. I turned them down. Why? Cause hell I was fucking 19 years old. A typical 19 year old, give them 100, and they blow it on dumb shit. I didn't want to do that, waste it that is. I told them to keep it. Turns out that I managed to do just fine and dandy without that 40,000 after all.

>>51669923
absolute lie. the only alcohol that tastes remotely good by itself is expensive as fuck
weed on the otherhand

New bread boys.
>>51669489
>>51669489
>>51669489

>>51670343
false

>>51670371
unless you're talking about fatgoyslop like beer

>>51670358
First of all... even though we've had some early bakers lately, it's still too soon for that to even be believable
Also fuck you, too obvious

>>51670358
أتمنى أن تصاب بالإيدز

>>51668954
>WHAT DO YOU MEAN THEY DON'T DESERVE 20% OUTRIGHT FOR SERVING YOUR FOOD

>>51670382
>it's still too soon for that to even be believable
He almost got be for that reason.

>>51670381
nah, theres plenty of liquors that have good/interesting tastes. Finlandia vodka for example. It's AMAZING with spicy/fatty food. Take a quick shot of it (tastes like water) and the alcohol cleans your palette up.

>>51670405
>take a quick shot
uh that sounds incredibly degenerate and probably a great sign of who posts here (raging broke alcoholics)

>>51668434
I know everyones dad works at nintendo, but from my knowledge at least 2 relatively large hedge funds are starting to rotate out of their short hedges and will be selling off spot this week and the next

gme and amc baggies still havent gotten the picture. and you think the bottom is in. lol. Until these people are buck broken, we are not done.

NIGGER

>>51669825
Normal weed already gets me in my head too much and the insane 35% thc shit they put now puts me into a full spiral of self-hatred, regret and confusion. I'd much rather drink a few beers.

N I G G E R
OK BUMP LIMIT YOU CAN BAKE FAGGOT BAKER

>>51670488
>this nigger thinks 299 is bump limit
also, not baking

>>51668954
how will she possibly support her several black children after she loses this job?

>>51670515
with biden bucks of course. funded by you and me.

New

>>51670563
>>51670563
>>51670563
>>51670563

>>51670567

>>51670203
>.... not to mention we may hit 4% 10 yr tonight.
uh, if you hit 4% then the line keeps going down
you know what rising bonds do to stocks, right?

>>51669688
Wait was that last year or earlier this year? It all just keeps blurring together.

>>51670232
Uh I come from a rich family, so my parents don’t feel the need to manipulate me… that’s like some trashy behavior. There’s endless evidence, the most notable being the dividend check I receive each quarter.

>>51670098
>I started a dropshipping company in 2019 but Covid wiped me out
you sound like a fucking retard. how the fuck did the best opportunity for selling shit online wipe you out?

>>51671402
I never claimed to be smart

>>51669828
bro that color job is awesome
thanks for touching it up

>>51670830
What’s it like being rich? How much do your parents make?