/biz/ - Business & Finance

Look at VIX.

Why is the forest quiet.

So calls are free money on Monday right? I feel like the market makers throw us a bone every now and then and Monday will be one of those days

So if inflation is higher than the rate of nominal bonds and CDs, aren't retards just losing their money when they could just through it into TIPS?

>>51611700
Yeah CDs are a little silly it’s peak retard goy lending money to the bank for dirt cheap

>>51611691
>So calls are free money on Monday right?
Yeah hahaa.
> I feel like the market makers throw us a bone every now and then
Yeah hahaha that's what Market Makers do they control direction hahaha yeah

The forest is crying.

BogleBros where we at?

>>51611727
Idk bro I have call debit spreads set to triple my last paycheck

Investment managers drafting Q3 2022 letter to clients

Is my interpretation of volume profile here correct?

>>51611753
hahahah what the fuck mate

>>51611735
>American Stocks are down 25%
>International Stocks are down 33%
I am so erect you can't even understand. TIPS are also doing great

Yields....

Is the market going up at least 1.5% on Monday?

>>51611787
shemitah is ending so no

>>51611760
My drawing may be not detailed much but it gets the point across

>>51611793
But we double bottomed on the S&P with high volume rally off the July lows while Bitcoin made a higher low at the same time. It’s actually a full on bullrun as of now

>MU on Thursday
I'm gonna be down 30% on that position by Friday huh? Currently down 20%.

>>51611753
Is this fucking Hebrew.

20th for shorting poo markets

Is it the time to short for "the big one" or are we gonna bounce? Puts or calls 2 weeks out? I have no idea what to do

>>51611994
>tfw Boglehead and I'm just buying weekly VTI/VXUS
I love it, I'm getting a 33% discount on foreign stock right now. The dollar exchange is fucking them over so hard

>>51612009
When the crash is over you'll be underwater 80%

Red day + crab futures is supposed to be green, so why was yesterday red?

>>51612009
VXUS hasn't done anything in the last decade+. Could it be due to corrupt foreign markets, or are all of the largest businesses just formed in the USA for some reason?

>>51611959
Fine, I'll add a key since it seems to be too confusing.

>>51612068
I read an article somewhere that the US stock exchange is just a lot more receptive to startup bullshit tech companies so they all want to open here to rake in those big investment dollars

>>51612068
>international has underperformed since 2008
yeah so has value
and small/mid cap
You know why? Because 2008 is when the QE pump started. We've living in the biggest bubble ever anon. We've never had such a long run on large cap growth domestic stock.

The pendulum always swings

>>51612069
>>51612069
Welcome to /smg/, here is how the market works.

>>51612118
I'm only 10-15% international, I will probably regret it when it does :( I can't seem to make myself buy more though.

Well I'm shorting apple 2 months out when it hits 155 and 160.

>>51612135
I would VT and chill but I hate the sampling used.

>>51612069
I normally just buy/short as price action moves through poc/va. eg if price moves below Val but recovers into range quickly and delta buy is strong probably safe to long into poc or vwap but I trade futures not stocks

>>51612141
What's wrong w/ it?

>>51611994
Alright sonny, listen up because I'm only saying this once. If you check the monthly chart for QQQ or futures /NQ it's testing the 50 moving average which most likely will act as support for a bounce or at the very least stop the bleeding. You should be selling puts or put spreads, not buying them.
A good compromise between ATM and too OTM is having the short leg at -.30 delta. Too far down you get less reward but higher probability, too close you get a higher reward but a 50/50 shot. The choice is up to you how aggressive to be.

>>51612143
Okay baron tell me what you expect will happen in the coming months as far as my precious apple puts

>>51612151
Just me being autistic. VTI+VXUS will hold 100% of small, mid, and large cap, while VT will hold 100% large, 96% mid, and 44% small.

Over the long run its inconsequential. Like some days it bothers me some days it doesn't. Either one works fine and its just splitting hairs

>>51612069
Was satire mostly! I like your stock market cartography.

>>51612166
Probably getting a small bounce out of 150 support but it's going to test 144 soon along with the rest of the market. Not sure on timeframe

upcoming Avantis $AVGE worldwide ETF + small/value tilt

>>51612216
Forgot pic 1D chart

>>51612225
I want to puke that's so over designed

Selling blood to buy the dip on Monday

Bout to go get some goyslop from red lobster as a reward for doing well in the market this week. What goyslop my bear bros eating today?

>>51612225
>their total us equity fund only holds half the stocks at 2300

>>51612296
Avantis is made of ex-DFA leadership and are all about factor tilting, or trying to outperform by focusing on small+value.

>>51612271

>>51611730
Why does the candle burn but the forest fills the senses?

>>51612123
HODL!!!

>>51612338

>factor tilting

Please ensure you are equipped with proper attire before using such terms else we won't really believe you know what that means. Please see pic related for standard "wall st douche-canoe" dress code guidelines.

Its Hispanic heritage month. why arent you buying EWW?

>>51611274
I need the source.

>>51611994
both so you are sure to win

>>51612422

I bought a put at close. its ogre.

>there are still permabulls leading up to the biggest financial crisis in US history

>>51611746
Neat, have a (You)

>>51611652
*ahem*
Best sip passing through

>>51611691
PPFFFFHAHAHAHAHA

is it possible to not be liquidated holding stuff like soxl/upro through a bear market?

I am going to smoke a brisket and corned beef this weekend bros. I also got oil and breaks to change for my 2015 f150. I got really drunk last night and reinstalled CnC Generals and played a game. I totally forgot EA exists. I can't believe how shitty they have become. Who the fuck is buying EA games? EA is 115 a share

>>51612781
Did u like the meme.

>>51612242
Okay so I'm going to drop 5k on 145 weeklies at the peek of the next rally. Or monday because I'm smart

>>51611735
> -20% across VTI and VOO
Honestly wish I'd sold some earlier in the year, it would have made my house downpayment a little easier. I also bought some BND as a hedge a few months before COVID but I'm still in the red there.
I am generally optimistic about the future though, and don't foresee any Happenings where the US loses its status as the #1 world power in my lifetime.

Look at the bond market: this is the financial apocalypse. All of the big institutions got out of the market over the last year and are now short. This is the part where they crash the market so you have to give up trading and return to the wagecage forever. This is how they plan to fight inflation. I'm trying to warn you. Get out. Now.

>>51613012
Based

>>51612987
>all that cheese run off
>stabbing the sandwich woth a shank bone, utterly destroying sandwich structural integrity
>all the salt misses the sandwich completely
This guy should get a real job

>>51611652
If the market is Crashing why aren't my vix calls printing? Was I supposed to have closed this position? It didn't even worthy of a screenshot desu

90% of /smg/ bearish, local bottom has been reached

>>51613068
>This guy should get a real job

The mistake you are making is not realizing his real job is "Influencer."

>>51613096
Anon,i..

>>51613058
I'm ready for a Monday rally then I go short

>>51611761
Yet another retard who doesn't understand TIPS.

>>51613127
Dog chads need to be stopped. Always stealing our white women.

>volume 5
Alright which one of you did it

>>51613127
>monday rally
Maybe there will be a rally,but sure as fuck it wont be this monday.

>lots of good news for PBR dropping today
>down 10%
Yikes!
Buying more. Only thing I'm watching is election results.

>>51612987
C&C remaster

>>51613068
>This guy
you know he do not exists

>>51613159
can both bond yields go up and oil?
PLEASE
I NEED THE SPR RELEASE TO STOP

>>51613128
explains me TIPS fren. should i buy some ?

>>51613165
Buddy, look at oil computer. Oil got OBLITERATED across the board Friday. 80 is the floor when SPR stops so everyone's gonna short for the arb play.

>Costco – arguably the most popular retailer in the United States and verifiably the world’s third-largest retail chain – is continuing its aggressive push into Europe with plans for a fifth store in in Spain. This all comes after Costco announced a plan in 2013 to expand its operations by opening 150 warehouse clubs globally, with a specific focus on previously untapped international markets.
>A concrete indication of the retailer’s ambitions comes in the form of a huge new Costco fulfillment center – its first logistics center in Europe – in Torija, Spain, 75 kilometers northeast of Madrid. The project is designed to be 140,000 meters squared, or 1.5 million square feet, according to media reports. That’s about 35 acres for our American expats and the footprint of the typical Costco fulfillment centers in the U.S.
Recession-proof retailer. Euros will be blessed with our quality bulk food and chicken bakes.

>>51613204
I know, but PBR is grossly undervalued (I think almost exclusively due to political risk which is exaggerated) and grossly outperforming everythng. I wanted it to be less affected due to simultaneous revaluing. Not so apparently. Compare with xom which is only down ~5%. Now I get that xom is also propped up by ETF faggotry but still.
I'll just coast with my ridiculous dividends in the meantime I guess.

>>51613202
They're "inflation-adjusted", so if "inflation" go to 10% (real) you get 5% returns (because the CPI says it's only 5% good goy). You should buy them if you can't into the market (like me :DDDD) and think inflation will soar for the next X years (there's a minimum hold duration if I recall correctly), but you will always underperform inflation.

>>51613255
I just ordered from costco with instacart. Some peasant is out shopping for me right now.

Hello, in this post, I will convince you that the market has reached, or is extremely close to reaching, the bottom.
https://youtu.be/dpbE4oCksug
Brent from spotgamma explains it very well
>0:49
>this is the equity data for all customers retail and hedge funds
>and as you can see yes it’s record buying to open premium
>however, I want to draw your attention to the sell to open premium
>which is actually just as large as the buy to open premium
>and it is also at a record level, actually surpassing the size that was sold back in 2021
>so this offsets - if you look at buying to close, there was not a lot of buying to close this past week
>if you look at selling to close was also rather small (in the equity space)
>so if you net all this flow out, if you take the buying to open, buying to close, selling to open, selling to close
>you net those out, you get this chart in the bottom left which shows us that not too much is going on
>now let’s just look directly at the retail side, this is for 1 to 10 lot transactions
>as you can see the data is totally different
>so that big activity was really driven by hedge fund flow and we don’t know specifically what they’re doing
>we just know if it was in equities, indices, or ETFs
>ETF flow, QQQ / SPY
>big buy to open premium in that space but look at the size at the sell to open premium
>not only that, the sell to close premium, very, very large selling going on across the space
>that washes out, such that when you look at the total premium bought and sold [in index ETFs]
>we are back to 2020 levels, looking like a like a lot of people closed puts or sold to open in this past week
>looking like a lot of people closed puts
>this can maybe be associated with some bottoms in the past
>obviously there was some funky moves around February/March of 2020
>this to me really says something more than just that that put data that’s being passed around
Pic related

>>51613312
Why does someone sell puts? Either they think the market will rise, and the puts will decrease in value OR they want the puts to be exercised, and they want to reduce their cost basis in buying shares.
Overextended Put/Call ratios, bonds, dollar, oil
‘Sell Rosh Hashanah, buy Yom Kippur’
Do not be afraid to buy when the time comes.
Look around you - everyone is now bearish. We are getting tourists from other boards coming in to ask us what is going on in the market. Do not be left behind.

>>51613312
>>51613318

Is it QYLD time?

>>51613272
What a blood bath. If oil gets much worse I'm gonna be scared.

how retarded/10 is it for me to go balls deep on soxl if it goes to 7.5?

>>51613359
>im gonna be scared
Wti went from 120 to 79 and you're not scared yet?

>>51613366
I'm gonna buy 80K at 8.11 and sell it at 12.03 (don't ask how I came up with those numbers)

>>51613348
I moved my boomer portfolio to covered call ETFs (QYLD included) back in April and I'm only down 6% YTD when you factor in reinvested dividends desu.
Obviously not as nice as people who were actually bearish, but it's hard to complain.

>>51613359
yeah it was cray cray friday niqqa
Had to get me some of dem OXY coins

>>51613366
Didn't Nancy gave them chinks like a gazillion dollars and even flew over there to make sure she gets her cut?

Why is the semi market crashing so bad?

>>51613366
Welcome New fren. Make sure to hold like that guy at 75 a share.

>>51613375
It spiked to 120 on war mania and very quickly corrected. It's over correcting now due to SPR release and "recession" fears. Supposedly 80 is the floor, so if it falls lower than that then we're in some deep dung.

>>51613096
Apple didn't budge a fucking cent on Friday...
I am bullish as fuck this week, bet there is going to be a run, selling all my puts first thing in the morning

>>51612987
That is a revoltingly fatty cut of meat.

>>51613255
Largest empire to have ever existed, and growing every day.
USA
USA
USA

Various jewtubers are talking about potential big bounce on Monday before the big dump, Thoughts?

>>51613348
QYLD is pointless. All the risk of QQQ, without the returns. Until we bottom, you will be net negative, and when we bottom, you'd get far better returns from buying QQQ unless we crab for a while (that is the best scenario for QYLD but then you can sell options yourself for better results).

>>51613255
Bullish as fuck

>>51613487
Yeah its gonna dump.
No positive indicators on the horizon, war escalation, downfall of the EU, rumors about XI ping pong

>>51613464
Not eating copious amounts of fat......ngmi

>>51613535
I should have rephrased my question better.

Can SPX bounce really high off June lows before shitting the bed? I am asking because I am heavy shorting BTC and any SPX bounce up can fuck me over.

>>51613551
I'm a hard gainer, in bmi and finance.

>>51613551
lol what kind of manchild saves this trash on their computer

>>51613616
why are you calling him a manchild
its weird but i dont think thats the right term

>>51613616
Just seems like the usual /ck/ cringekino to me.

>>51613255
Costco doesn't fit the Euro liftstyle, unless they make them like other Euro grocery stores but what would even be the point

>>51613616
Memory is cheap these days, boomer. I have gigabytes of unsorted memes saved on my HD.

>>51613637
Fuck you Blood sausage is top tier food

>>51613312
>>51613318
thing is option sellers sell when IV is super high like it is now because POP is increased. the options will get IV crush when a reversal happens. i think if anything they are getting retail scared so they buy puts, the dump has been gradual as evident by vix. but yeah a reversal is coming soon to nuke these puts. not saying the market wont continue to dump after a rally though. put/call ration is elevated and retail will get heemed soon

>>51613551
i honestly have a lot of respect for this guy in that he blatantly rips off retards who think quality scales linearly with price. he's still a fucking faggot though

>>51613312
you are wrong

>>51613366
even if you are wrong and it crashes to a dollar. Would you rather have a bunch of it at 7 dollars or 30 dollars when it recovers eventually

>>51613675
>552 on Johnny Blue
>1500 on champagne
Fools and their money etc.

>>51613359
>>51613375
I think likewise that it overcorrected, but another aspect is cyclicality. Normally oil surgest back up in october-december and then may-july, falling in-between, for instance.

>>51613551
he looks short

>>51613675
>900$ tip
jfc

>>51611730
based literary poster

I don't see any way the market goes up as long as Biden is President.

>>51613716
being a turkroach will do that

>>51613675
>2 sweet corns
>38 dollars
Kek I'm imaging 2 kernals not even 2 cobs

>>51613701
Well i assume you saw our oil barrel reserves getting dry fucked right?

haven't been here in a while, what happened to that nigger shilling DWAC all the time? did he rope?

>>51613757
clifftranny always comes back

>>51613675
> a 900 dollar tip has been added for your convenience

>>51613757
he's still here. you can tell it's him usually if you look at the pictures

>>51613675
>1 "Spaghetti"
what does this mean?

>>51613642
Euros will learn the joy of a hotdogs and buying beans and pop tarts by the pallet.

David SOXL is a disgrace. He's got these semiconductors, they're more like miniconductors because they're so small you can barely even see them. Very very small, there's nothing "semi" about them. I knew a guy, he invested in SOXL. Now he's broke. His money is gone, totally gone. It's a very sad thing. Probably the saddest thing I've ever seen.

>NVDA just sharted itself in the consumer GPU market
>buy SOXL
I think that shit be hella sussy right now bruhs nocap, but if you're a hodler or gambler then it doesn't matter I guess ON GOD

>>51613810
i wish we could have a good semi etf without nvda's fatass hogging most of it

>>51613792
If Costco can do that I'll be amazed

>>51611652
Excuse me but we drink Bangs in here. Did that art anon ever make the cornholio pepe????

>>51613272

>>51613791
its code for the lapdance from the kneedpads autist

>>51613810
>we don't care about our consumers they will buy or shit no matter what the price
thats when you know a company is in a decline

>>51613800
It's a lie, an absolute lie. Here's the facts, David SOXL is one of the great inventors of our time. And the Semiconductor is the brain of American ingenuity, progress and American peace. Semiconductors are our future, and with the CHIPS act, we will onshore the manufacturing of this vital technology, create jobs, and secure American technological dominance for a century. David SOXL is a hero.

>>51613810
Everytime I want to go short on SOXL I assume it won't go lower and it just keeps fucking crumbling

>>51613791
it's meat cut into strips

>>51613675
is this...inflation ?

>>51613754
Of course, it's why I don't see a scenario where the current prices make sense. For example, if the strategic reserves had been replenished, it would point to a massive unexplained surplus, which could itself point to something fucky I didn't account for, which could explain why the implied forward-looking prospects (from price action) is reduced demand vs supply. But as seen here and following the EU situation, there's no way this is happening right now, so the price is clearly truly overcorrected, not "I'm not having it my way so it's overcorrecting"-overcorrected.

>>51613877
I tried shorting soxl for a while and it just kept going up. Now I just use trades and countertrades for balance. Currently I do soxl + drv. Working out quite well so far.

>>51613855
I will never not laugh at how they shat on crypto miners when they were the cause of the insane pump

So uh what happens if the china rumors are to be true? Red blood or nothingburger?

>>51613810

1,700 for a graphics card.

BR_UH

>>51613675
>10$ sprite
This basically tells you this restaurant operates on 20x margins

>>51613810
>muh pow bad for environment
>30gen sitting on shelves and refurbished market
>intc new competitor in the server market
>amd running circles around them
NVDA better get their shit together

>>51613963
Blood red

>>51614000
Some other items like the espresso are properly priced, so it actually suggests it's more than just a sprite. Obviously there are also other fees such as the rent (it's in a particularly posh area), employees, etc.

>>51613889
>2019
But in 2030, it'll look normal.

>>51614084
If you think 6$ for a coffe is "properly price" you have no idea how little coffee actually costs. My step-father used to own a restaurant and coffee was the highest margin item he sold.

>>51614084
>>51614000
Don't forget that most sit-down higher scale restaurants have insane margins on wine and alcohol. Yes the $500 and $1500 booze is excessive here, but typically beer, wine, spirits can easily be 80-200% margins

>>51614108
>My step-father

>>51611860
You’ve had months to exit with small losses
Pelosi selling her NVDA should’ve been the final nail in the coffin

>>51613889
pretty average prices for a place like that
its only show to impress prime pussy

>>51614108
>If you think 6$ for a coffee is "properly price" you have no idea how little coffee actually costs
I think he means that its a typical price.
Also to swing it back to /smg/, I did notice that coffee prices have actually increased a fair bit over the last 2-3 years.

I think most places are maintaining roughly the same margin %s based on input costs, but adjusting the size/cost of the final product to the consumer

>>51614118
Yeah. What about it? Can't control what my mom does.

>>51614118
is there a thread on /3/ where they work on hidef peepo?

what are the implications of the central banks'
hawkish moves on the
URANIUM BULL THESIS and the URANIUM FUEL CYCLE ?

I forgot to do dd. Can I please copy someone here?

>>51611860
>BBBY reports earnings on Thursday
Holy shit that's going to be a clusterfuck.

>>51614162
nuclear is kill, it's lost technology that the current generation of retards can't understand

>>51613312
>>51613318
You are going to lose all of your money. Look at bonds.

>>51614173
Shame, nuclear is only way out of fossil fuels

>>51614116
>have insane margins on wine and alcohol.
Yes, but also don't forget they have to pay for a liquor license which adds to cost, so why they still, despite everything, have large margins on it, it's not as dramatic as you'd think at first sight. Maybe 50-100% if I'd have to guess, but I don't have real data on it.

>>51614178
>look at bonds
they are oversold

>>51613551
>>51613068
why does the food he makes always look disgusting? Why does it have gold flakes on it? Why are you putting unnecessary chemical shit on my food sir? Please remove it. As a matter in fact, let me spit on it first and then go make me another one.

>>51614214
look at interest rates

>>51614205
To be fair, nuclear is not good enough. Issues with maintenance and poor quality build or shitty workers result in catastrophic consequences, so until we live in a utopia, we can't afford to ignore the human factors at play. New-tech nuclear can reuse 99% of its waste, which is a huge step up from before, but wastes still accumulate basically indefinitely and it's not easy to properly store. Not to mention other risks such as terrorists using these facilities for easy access to refined U.

>>51612987
It's Madden and fifa faggots that keep the company afloat. Madden has become exponentially worse for the last 5 years and the goy cattle still pay full price for I while bitching the entire way.

>>51612271
Chinese Buffet for lunch, Cottage cheese and sliced turkey on Oat bread for dinner

>>51614229
they are the same thing..
please be a troll..

>oversold
>overcorrected
i see you found a new way to cope since priced in and pivot are out now,well done mumu.

>>51614214
>>51614178
I would say that bond yields being as high as they are are a red flag, but when they snap back to normal levels, that's when you need to be very careful in the equity market, since that's when things happen.

>>51614174
They'll be red across the board and have insane green because it's clown world.

>>51614226
Rich people have always had ways to flex their wealth. Gilded food isn't really a new thing. I forget when but like the 1600s or so(?) rich people had their medication gilded in silver or gold because of their affluence, and as a result some died because their body didn't absorb/break down the outer metal shell so the medicine was useless.

>>51612271
>What goyslop my bear bros eating today?
I'm trying to be less of a fatass so I'm going to make an omelet.

>>51612841
after i found out the logo for monster is literally 666 and the name monster is a reference to antichrist shit I've avoided that drink so hard. I know it's just edgy branding but i really don't appreciate it anyway.

>Just saw a commercial for QQQ
Fucking kek the bottom isn't even close to being in.

>>51614258
Buddy every brand out there has symbolism,even water brands.

>>51613255
Costco the most popular retailer in the US? What? maybe in some states, sure as hell not where I'm at lol.

>>51614246
>as a result some died because their body didn't absorb/break down the outer metal shell so the medicine was useless.
btw BLUE bo rumors circulating already. Bit faster than I anticipated.

>>51614246
>>51614295
>>as a result some died because their body didn't absorb/break down the outer metal shell so the medicine was useless.
a tragic case of you get what you deserve
(fucked up my comment)

>>51613312
bottom is not in till spy hits between 320 and 200

>>51613487
Be wary of jewish tricks. I'm still not convinced it'll dump or pump

should i keep shorting oil ?

>>51614294
Try leaving bumfuck west virginia

I've started watching a lecture on corporate finance, gonna post my takeaways. Just finished lecture 1 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H8QYr-Z5qfY).). The prof has the nickname of "dean of valuation" I guess because he talks about valuation a lot. He's also a pajeet so he must be intimately familiar with tigers and how we can avoid them in these times of quiet forests.

Takeaways:
>"cost to capital" must be lower than "return on existing assets" for a company. Only 45% of companies worldwide meet this requirement. Companies that don't meet this requirement are actively destroying value and must start paying dividends and winding down.
>conversely, companies that do meet this requirement should not pay dividends.
>r&d investment is bad if you cant justify it financially (how much it costs vs how much you expect it to bring in). "Strategic" is a red flag, if an investment is defended as "strategic" its because it cant be justified financially.
>debt is bad because it is a mandatory dividend. Many CEOs take on debt because they want to retain control and so hate issuing equity. This is dangerous, it makes the company vulnerable to bankruptcy because it now has a mandatory obligation
>if you do take debt it should match the type of investment the company is doing. For example, long-term domestic investments should be financed by long-term debt in the domestic currency, even if short-term debt in USD is cheaper

>>51614421
Bonus takeaways from an interview:
>implied equity risk premium is the one marker that the prof tracks on a daily basis during a crisis. It tells us how much return the market expects for taking on risk. It's a gauge on how terrified people are
>he thinks that 95% of what people do is pricing, not valuation.
>pricing is when you look at the prices of existing companies in the space, take their average P/E, and use that to decide a price target. Analysts are usually doing pricing, they follow the market
>valuation is looking at cashflows, growth and risk. Fancy example is a discounted cash flow model.
>valuation requires some faith that eventually the price will converge to the true value of the business. Faith is a keyword here, "the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent" is a real thing and thats where faith comes in
>in that sense retail investors have an advantage in that when you are investing your own money, you dont have to justify your decisions to customers - you can stay solvent for longer
>valuation is a waste of time with the biggest companies because you will just come to the conclusion that they are fairly priced. It is better to spend time valuing snapchat than facebook.
The fact that he uses snapchat as an example for a good target to evaluate tells me that he thinks there is still a lot of room to make money using fundamental analysis

>>51614392
This, but it has to pump back up at some point...fucking gas and oil were down ~8% across the board for no reason.

Clearly a manipulated dump.

How low will it go?

>>51613551
If he's so rich and famous why couldn't he get women who are prettier? These women are all mid at best

>>51614435
because his food sucks.

>>51614435
Theyre marked up 20x as well :^)

what was your riskiest play?

>>51614421
>He's also a pajeet
>>r&d investment is bad if you cant justify it financially (how much it costs vs how much you expect it to bring in). "Strategic" is a red flag, if an investment is defended as "strategic" its because it cant be justified financially.
Let me guess, before entering academia he had an illustrious career at companies like Motorola, IBM, GE, and Boeing, right?

>>51614451
do... do you want to see my RYCEY?

>>51614451
>riskiest
Almost bought prty calls,pussied out for some reason though

>>51614459
dont be silly, everyone know that you cant be a professor if youve worked a day in your life

>>51613963
circuit breakers

>>51614421
>>51614428
I know a lot of valuation (in a normal market) depends on the company's cash/revenue flows 3-9 months into the future, taking into account assets and liabilities, etc, but I have never been able to figure out the "fair value" of a stock

>>51614475
>missing the point
Anon, the mindset that R&D is a cost center is what killed all of those companies. And the jeets were the ones who did the killing.

>>51614231
We need fusion.

>>51613255
Pretty much fits my foresight. I assume that US corporations will take over in Europe after european domestic companies collapse this winter.
Invest in USA megacorps, they will take over the world.

>>51614451
I've made lots of dumb moves, mostly buying OTM puts/calls or trying to play earnings. I knew it was dumb going in but until I experienced the loss firsthand, it didn't really stick, you know?
I've had mild success this month by shorting SPY and longing VIX, but I'm absolutely terrible at directional trades. Mostly I've been doing well by writing calls.

>>51614240
The interest rates are inverted. LOOK CLOSER.

>>51613398
Never change /smg/, always making fun when investment is down instead of preparing for an entry. Buy high sell low, short low cover high, am I right?

>>51613963
The situation is pretty sus, no cap

>>51614511
>I assume that US corporations will take over in Europe after european domestic companies collapse this winter
Fucking hell, that's such an obvious move, of course.
I think one of the bankers of JPM said that Mexico was attractive because the labor was about the same as China (or less), and it had a secured supply chain. So I'm going to bet on Mexico and US companies after the bottom

>>51613963
>china rumors
an invasion?

>>51614494
i didnt miss the point, i chose not to engage with it because i wanted to make a joke instead

>>51614541
military coup

>>51613096
Sometimes everyone is correct that a train is headed our way and it's time to step back.

>>51613963
Move along citizen

>>51614554
HOLY SHIT ITS REAL!

>>51614576
What do you think is going on with this then ? >>51614531

>>51614585
>Zerohedge

Chinese elections are on October 16, pooh bear is supposed to rotate out but he's been purging political opponents for the last 2 years.

so true or not there will be some infighting until elections are over

>>51614602
>zCrohedge
Even so, it's easy to fake a screenshot

>>51614602
b8 status: fully taken
retard status: confirmed

what economic factors are driving market decline is it solely inflation? what needs to change for equities to become attractive again?

>>51614619
We need trump

>>51614619
it's not the inflation itself, it's what's happening to fight the inflation: QT and higher fed funds rates.
for stocks to be attractive, the fed needs to lower interest rates and turn on the money printer (but we probably don't want that since it would cause more inflation)

>>51614612
Uh wasnt the bait that china text?
Im just laughing at zero

>>51614619
inflation isnt even driving decline, inflation by itself drives prices up
the main economic factor is this man

>>51614536
Mexico and Canada are in good position to get a boost from US I think. In the latest Fed podcast their focus was on how to make work on production lines more attractive to young people. Clearly they want production to come back to USA, which sounds great, but in the meantime they will probably outsource from neightbours during transition away from China.

This one is pretty schizo theory though, as it's based just on few things:
- Fed meetings
- recent talks about xetting up metals mining coalition in western world
- securing domestic REE
- BRICS moving away from USD when trading their resoures, which puts them in quite hostile position to the western world.
- recent tensions between USA and China

I still need to think this shit through.

>>51614619
Inflation at these stages normally boosts the market, it does not normally cause dumps.
It's really everything else: supply issues, severe reduction in consumer spending, rate increase, (fake) QT, etc.

>>51614589
Lockdowns?
Picture is meaningless without comparison before/after

>>51614576
Xichads... we won

>>51614466
>still holding RYCEY
Anon please tell me you aren't still holding because of my shill 2 years ago...

>>51614683
compare it to US air traffic, and then factor in country population variations.

>>51614663
Canada is too expensive to outsource to when you can just do mexicans, though. Also the canadian government constantly does everything in its power to fuck all potential deals unless it directly enriches their pockets, and I don't see anyone bribing those clowns for a chance to hire canadians on production lines. Not to mention canadian cost of life are far higher than american ones, so even if all that happened, nobody would show up.

>>51614701
Yeah I should have specified. I meant resources from Canada, labour / production from Mexicno.

are you ready for monday?

>>51614589
They have pre-planned military exercises going on.

Bitcoin getting ready to dump.

>>51614701
Canada is an attractive source of intellectual labour. With rise of remote work and favorable exchange rate and similar education level to americans, it's less expensive to hire remote canadians. But if all you want is manual work then that's where mexico is more attractive.

>>51614742
around the entire country? thats even more sus

>>51611735

Of course bonds are going down. It was literally impossible for them to go up. The 10yr Note was at like .15% yield.

>>51614693
so glad jets basically never fly over my town except for the tiny local airport of a local business man maybe once a week.

>>51614750
I buy more BITO

>>51614761

*1 year bill

>>51614686
No, I hold it because I am waiting for a return to normal that will never come.

>>51614757
I don't know anon, all i know is that when /pol/ says there is a happening it never actually happens and I used to be way into /pol/

this is my first free weekend in almost 3 years, what do I do?

>>51614883
Ex-convict?

>>51614883
Order Pizza and masturbate.

>>51614883
Go fishing

>down 76% on SOXL

>>51614814
Oh ok. You will blend in nicely with the SOXL baggies then.

>>51614896
the opposite, Im a glowie.

Sometimes people are so blinded by the short term happenings that they overlook the long term. Pull up the S&P chart and max view it. 1998 it was under 800. Peak of 2000 it was just under 1500. What's it at now? Uh over 3600. Back in 1998 or 2000 did anyone even contemplate 3600, fuck no. Point is shat goes only one way; up over the long term. And if it should ever dump down to sub 1000 ever again you better buy the fuck outta it.. Today's dump is a buying window. Ten years from now today's dump will look like 1998 or 2000. People then will be wishing they bagged like crazy during this time.

>>51614921
why didn't you get out as soon as possible???

>>51614519
It will uninvert.

>>51614923
yeah. I was pretty smug that I wasn't doing as bad as everyone else until we dropped below $1. Shits fucked now and I am not selling out of pure spite

>>51614353
You really think spy will hit 320? I was think that would be the worst of the worst outcomes.

>>51614924
Done any false flags recently?

>>51614949
I had a SPY spread I took profit on yesterday, but I was short Nov 320C and long Dec 365C, my max profit was $2200 at $322

>>51614934
Hi KO stock market boomer, can you do me a favor? Can you ask your wife the best way to wash white clothes to get them as white as possible again? I did some googling, but I'm finding a bunch of spam/advertising blog posts and no real conclusive answer... sometimes it's best to just ask an experienced housewife. I have a front loading washer, in case that matters...

>>51614883
Sit without eating or drinking too much water, close your eyes and seek Jesus Christ. He might appear. I just read what I said. The audacity. The audacity of Christ. Sorry, I think this helps in the stock market. Be okay.

>>51614961
So in other words your not really aiming for it to reach in the money. Just buying the cheaper contracts and cashing in when spy goes down a couple of bucks for fast profits.

>>51614934
Yeah I agree, lots of USA coporations have quite attractive valuations currently. And I'm quite sure they will get more consumers from Europe in near future.

>>51614959
all the time

>>51615011
Don't you just use bleach or turpentine to dry clean? Depends on the clothes

>>51614921
I’m close to the same loss. Of all the things I could have chosen to baghold…

>>51615096
Sell calls

>>51615068
bleach is the white mans cleaner.

>>51614921
>>51615096
Well done,make sure to hold until it goes to zero
Diamonds hands.

>>51615045
Which groups have you been targetting lately

>>51615108
>bro just sell calls below your cost basis

>>51615202

>I don’t want my parents to find out I’m fucking a dangerous felon
The end

>>51614686
SPYCEY RYCEY was supposed to be $10 by now. Ham"""chads""" confirmed for being fat and gay

>>51613800
we need a lot more trumpposting in smg.

>>51615238
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HcEc8zeNYxI&t=1097s

I miss Orange Man, and I'm not even a yank.

>>51615238
To busy relearning how to forage to be sustainable

>>51614934
Based divvie boomer

>>51612699
Help

>>51615256
I watched his rally last night and it was incredibly kino. The man was hitting on like 8 milfs in front of the whole crowd. Such a chad.

>>51615161
pro russia groups and covid deniers.
these groups somehow merged and we're figuring out why. it's not like the hollywood movies though, we're just infiltrating their group chats and forums and participate in discussions while trying to extract as much information as possible. group leaders, bank details etc.

>>51615238
>>51615256
he was really entertaining and made libtards seethe. now we just hear ramblings from the old age home

>>51615275
Try /r/

>>51615287
idk anon he got pretty spicy last night.

>>51615296
oh what happened?

>>51615284
Not to worry, everyone will be using FedCoin soon.

>>51615296
Please post clip of trump raising hell last night

>>51615284
You've come to the right place. /smg/ is rootin for Putin baby. Fuck globohomo ong frfr no cap.

>>51615309
>>51615302
it seems like his gloves are coming off is all im saying. I was pretty stoned last night so. i cant remember word for word what he said but he was getting me pumped.
https://rumble.com/v1k3jy5-president-donald-trump-rally-live-in-wilmington-nc-92322.html
ill shift through it and try to find the part that im specificlaly thinking about.

>>51615284
>how did people suspicious of US govt agree on shit
Very strange indeed

>>51615325
meh nm its a live rerun so times wont be static. But if you enjoyed his other rallies I do think youll enjoy this one.

>>51611652
Historically, the best matches I found for where we are in this market are both scary
>pic related

>>51615364

New

>>51615378
>>51615378

Sipping on some Bud Light, official drink of /smg/. It's almost time to bring in the new year. Hope you're ready.

>>51614938
>uninvert
WRONG

>>51614701
>>51614754
Canada has plenty of chinks and pajeets you guys can use for labor.

>>51613855
Thats literally been Apple for the last 30 years tho