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2023-11: Warosu is now out of extended maintenance.

/biz/ - Business & Finance


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51600739 No.51600739 [Reply] [Original]

Friday edition

>Brokers
https://pastebin.com/F1yujtVq
https://brokerchooser.com/

>Stock market words:
https://pastebin.com/VtnpN5iJ

>Risk management:
https://pastebin.com/sqJUcbjp

>Financials podcasts/channels
https://www.youtube.com/c/CameronStewartCFA - Fundamendals analysis
https://www.youtube.com/user/BenzingaTV - Various themed livestreams
https://www.youtube.com/user/KitcoNews - Mainly PMs and crypto

>Live Streams:
http://www.livenewson.com/american/bloomberg-television-business.html
https://watchnewslive.tv/watch-cnbc-live-stream-free-24-7/

>Educational sites:
https://www.investopedia.com/
https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain
https://www.thebalance.com/

>Free charts:
https://www.tradingview.com
https://www.finscreener.com/
https://www.koyfin.com/

>Screeners:
https://finviz.com/
https://www.tradingview.com/screener
https://etfdb.com/

>Pre-Market Data and Live data:
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
https://finance.yahoo.com/

>Bio-pharma Catalyst Calendar:
https://biopharmcatalyst.com

>Boomer Investing 101:
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started

>Dividend Reinvestment (DRIP) calculator:
https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculator/

>List of hedge fund holdings:
https://fintel.io/

>Misc:
https://squeezemetrics.com/monitor
https://market24hclock.com/
https://tradingeconomics.com
https://wallmine.com/
https://tikr.com/

Previous:

>>51598906

>> No.51600757

None is a faggot

>> No.51600761
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51600761

when is this shit going to end?

>> No.51600772

>>51600761
so uhhh. you come here often dollface?

>> No.51600774

I bought on the dip.

>> No.51600795

im gonna marry Miko-chan and take her~!

>> No.51600794
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51600794

I bought UEC

>> No.51600798

>>51600761
after the jewish space shit ends
it's literally the only thing anyones been talking about

>> No.51600800
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51600800

My Birds will win this Sunday, and the market will also be green starting next week!
Verification NOT required!

>> No.51600816
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51600816

>big cap tech all showing positive divergence on a number of indicators
>dollar up 3% for the week, 4 sigma move and likelihood of a similar move is statistically impossible
>blow off top in yields
>VIX couldn't stay above 30 despite the "apocalypse"
>hammer off trend support on major indices
>bear sentiment at extreme levels and historically always coincides with a 5-8% retrace

anybody who is net short as of the close today is unequivocally a retard and has no idea what risk management is. This has been a sharp 13% move down. If you think we will magically drop another 13% in the next week you better hold on tight to those garbage OTM puts you bought cause they're still going to zero

>> No.51600817
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51600817

>>51600761
Sorry to tell you the good news. It's just getting started.

>> No.51600818

>bond yields are still negative
The hikes aren't over

>> No.51600820
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51600820

>Goldman Sachs today (9/23/22): "Today was the highest put option volume session in history.

Hidden Tigers.

>> No.51600824
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51600824

>I exclusively short NAS futures

>> No.51600826
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51600826

someone smarten me up: if a market dumps on LOW volume, what does that mean?

>> No.51600839
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51600839

I am up 7% this week amid the carnage and yet I am sad because I know I could be up 10% had I not sold SPXS so early today

>> No.51600846

>>51600820
they're gonna pump this shit aren't they lol

>> No.51600852

>>51600820
extremely bullish

>> No.51600853 [DELETED] 
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51600853

>>51600794
bullish for nukes

>> No.51600855

MONDAY IS GOING TO BE A NOTHINGBURGER
FUCKING JEWS ALWAYS TEASING ME
I'M TIRED OF THIS SHIT CLOWNSINO

>> No.51600860

>>51600826
It means the Jews are on holiday

>> No.51600869

>>51600816
fuck off faggot you already posted this last thread. you dont know what monday will bring anymore than anybody else. too much can happen between now and then

>> No.51600877

what risks are there learning how to stocks during a bear market in clownworld timeline?

when things go normal is it easier then

>> No.51600883

>>51600846
>>51600852
Extremely bearish of you to suggest this is bullish.

>> No.51600886

>>51600739
that's my goat

>> No.51600890

>>51600869

i know for a fact that monday will be green. Sorry your portfolio isn't positioned for it

>> No.51600891 [DELETED] 
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51600891

WW3 when?
Post your predictions of what will happen

>> No.51600898

>>51600877
Everyone looks like a genius during a bull market. The reason you hedge is so that you can avoid all your assets shitting the bed. Bear markets are known to be difficult to earn money in.

>> No.51600902
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51600902

>>51600818
>hikes arent over
No shit thats what our dear fed chair said on thursday,and we will get another 75bps.At the very least

>> No.51600906

>>51600757
What's your problem pendejo?

>> No.51600910

>>51600839
dont think like that anon. a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush

>> No.51600912

>>51600883
Extremely crabbish

>> No.51600913
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51600913

I better see five straight days of green next week, you motherfuckers. FUCK!

>> No.51600914 [DELETED] 
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51600914

>>51600891
I don't care how it happens, I just want it to happen and soon

>> No.51600915
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51600915

>there are still people in leveraged bull ETFs in smg

>> No.51600917

>>51600794
I bought 200 UUUU, 310 CMRX, and 35 SMR, adding to existing positions.

>> No.51600922 [DELETED] 

>>51600891
Winter. Because that is the only time they can strike Taiwan without shit weather or something like that.

>> No.51600923

>>51600761
We still have GDP numbers to look forward to

>> No.51600934

>>51600877
I started in January but I'm a fucking genius so I think you're fucked if you try.

>> No.51600943 [DELETED] 
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51600943

>>51600891
Ukraine gets nuked. check um

>> No.51600946
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51600946

>>51600915
SOXL sisters unite

>> No.51600950

>>51600902
Theres some random Jew who posts here who claims that inflation is because of the supply chain so hikes aren't necessary

You'd be surprised how many people are still coping that 3.25% interest rates can bring down 8% inflation.

>> No.51600957

>>51600890
the annoying thing is if you're wrong you'll just not get on on monday. you'll disappear as soon as things go south and i wont even be able to gloat.

>> No.51600962

>>51600890
It very well might be, but you don't know for absolute certainty what happen on any day that hasn't happened yet unless you have some work hole time machine, and if you had that the glowniggers would have already killed you for it

>> No.51600968
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51600968

>>51600914
nothing ever happens unless you live in palestine

>> No.51600984
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51600984

Is this a bullflag?

>> No.51600988

Ignoring potential downside, do you think we can break August's high this year?
If the answer is no why would you stay invested in this market?

>> No.51600996
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51600996

>>51600984
Could be a bart

>> No.51600998

>>51600946
I got distracted by work and missed the $9.48 buy in spot. I will never forgive myself

>> No.51600999

>>51600914
why did this post get purged?
also, I am actually warming up to the whole you will own nothing and be happy thing. This whole worrying about money thing is pretty gay anyway.

>> No.51601014

>>51600988
Swing trade momentum and volatility, not everyone buys and hodls for weeks.

>> No.51601020
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51601020

why are weekends so boring folks?
What do you guys do?

>> No.51601024
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51601024

Someone asked about SIGA being a buy at $7,
You don't understand. SIGA's board didn't agree to play ball with the FDA and big pharma. That's why they got fucked around with.
You're going to see a revenge trade against them now. You're going to see them drop to $4 and below as punishment for their lack of groveling.
The fact that retail made money on it? That they let retail squeeze some institutions on the way up?
Holy shit haha. You guys think the market is driven by logic? They're going to get shit on for the audacity of letting that happen. They will short this thing until it is under $4 and they won't let it moon unless another pox comes out.

>> No.51601041

>>51600999
Worrying about money does suck. But so does worrying about food, shelter, transportation, etc

>> No.51601053

>>51600826
it means nobody is buying, or in other words: most market participants anticipate prices going down in the future so they are waiting in cash

>> No.51601055

in case anybody wanted to know my 4k meta puts went really well, but I also felt my life be cut down by 10% at the thought of losing it all

>> No.51601062
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51601062

>>51600950
>3.25% can bring down 8%
Yeah i met a few of those irl,Unbelievable

>> No.51601067

>>51600988
Dude i'm all in on tips and ibonds because its the only thing with positive yield

>> No.51601086
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51601086

Local burrito shop is charging 25c for sour cream now. Its ogre.

>> No.51601091

>>51601067
What's the ibond rate now?

>> No.51601111

>>51600820
source? where did you see this
I can't find it anywhere

>> No.51601112
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51601112

>>51601020
Post here

>> No.51601118
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51601118

>>51601020
tomorrow i am going to look at and pruce compare some cabinets and flooring for my kitchen that my dad and I are going to remodel together sometime this fall. Then I am grabbing chinese food with my dad, going to visit family in the hospital and possibly going to a church group gathering in the evening. then sunday i'm going to church, lunch with my grandpa and uncle and then if i feel like it I'll go fishing if not i will probably lounge around the house listening to music, maybe browse here a bit and play some vidya

>> No.51601119

>>51601091
Last I checked 9.62%

>> No.51601135
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51601135

holy shit look at the mortgage rates

>> No.51601143
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51601143

YOU PUSH IT

>> No.51601155

>>51601135
Thats nothing my dad's first mortgage in the 80s was like 13%, we'll probably see the same before its over

>> No.51601168

>>51601155
to be fair though house prices back then were low enough that rates that high didn't rape you nearly as hard

>> No.51601171

>>51601155
Yeah but that's because houses could be paid off in a reasonable amount.
Now home payments will last you until you die.

>> No.51601172

guys, imma make a Biden stock market, hold on one second

*poops pants*

There! All done~!

>> No.51601182

>>51601118
that sounds wholesome.
I barely talk to my family.

I will just go to the brewery get some beers and hang out around the house I guess

>> No.51601189

>>51601171
im pretty sure it was a 30yr loan just like they give today

>> No.51601203

>>51601155
And how much did he pay for the house? Jay explicitly stated he wants housing prices to come down and making rates high enough that no one can afford a mortgage is how he's going to do it.

>> No.51601206

>>51601182
just dont drink and drive bro, thats why i have family in the hospital i need to go visit.

>> No.51601208

>>51600820
every purchase is also a sale
someone is writing those put options

>> No.51601219

>>51600739
>blood red week
>still managed to make 4k on soxl calls
i cant even believe I did it myself

>> No.51601231

>>51601203
That i couldnt tell you but i can ask, give me a few minutes

>> No.51601238

>>51601219
>soxl
I dont get why most fags here stick to soxl mainly
Is it autism?

>> No.51601254

oil trannies got real quiet this month

>> No.51601266

>>51601231
okay it was a 800sqft house in the shit part of a small rural town for 25,000 at 18.9% interest

>> No.51601267
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51601267

Guys what if... today was the bottom

>> No.51601272

>>51601267
i hope not

>> No.51601277

>>51601238
I got it at 10 so whatever atm

>> No.51601288
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51601288

>>51601254
i've seen some faggots buying wti at over $100
Thinking it would bounce back to 110 or even past 118.

>> No.51601291
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51601291

>>51601267
It's not over until SOXL gets reverse split.

>> No.51601292

>>51601267
that'd be bad because it would mean we'd still be stuck in a position where the stock market doesnt reflectthe real value of the economy and all its parts.

>> No.51601294

>>51601206
You were drinking and driving?

>> No.51601296

>>51600820
Comparing to 2008/2018/2020, volume seems like a nothingburger. If anything the biggest concern is the volatility compared to pre-2008. Options volume is over 10x where it was in 2005. I can guess algos are a major factor, but really any kind of volatility in leveraged positions can get out of hand quickly.

>> No.51601302

>>51601254
im buying day before the election lol, no way im touching oil before then.>>51601294

>> No.51601305

>>51601291
I'm not going to let that happen

>> No.51601312
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51601312

Shemitah bros they're onto us

>> No.51601319

>>51601294
no but my family member was and they hit a parked car and totally fucked up their leg. also at bar while their spouse was out of town without their wedding ring... it aint good

>> No.51601320
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51601320

I don't think that anything is sustainable
>the entire market goes up or down because of the money printer, not because of actual value
>community, nationalism, and purpose have been taken
>most people work towards the goal of leaving society because it has become so shitty
>the people that actually contribute to the world in the west are being replaced by parasites

I think there is going to be some serious psychological effects on the market that people aren't considering.

>> No.51601321

The tigers. They are revealed. they eye of glass. i showed the way. you did not learn. you will be pounced. i warned you. about the hidden tigers.

>> No.51601326

>>51601296
Most of retail didn't have access to options in 2008. Now it's almost handed out like candy.
So 32M vs 22M average this year isn't even that crazy yet.

>> No.51601351
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51601351

>>51601321
Shut the fuck up schizo,it's friday

>> No.51601352

>>51601292
The real economy is actually fine. Go outside. Everyone is happy except for us losers who hang out here all day

>> No.51601356

>>51601238
i dont stick to soxl, i trade the spy mainly
charts are almost identical anyway

>> No.51601374

>>51601352
Everyone is really worried where I am fren. (US Southeast)

>> No.51601376
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51601376

>>51601267
Ignorance is Poor.
Don't be a greedy little pig.

Pigs get slaughtered.

>> No.51601381
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51601381

>>51601320
Bro. The average worker is so dead inside most companies are bringing in health care professionals because companies are afraid they won't be able to replace the window jumpers fast enough.

People in the Industrial Revolution had more to live and work for then we do.

>> No.51601387
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51601387

>>51601352
>The real economy is actually fine

>> No.51601388

>>51600890
Cool shit Nostradamus, now go win the powerball if you're that confident.

>> No.51601392

>>51601135
Good thing I got out of selling paper refinancing mortgages

>> No.51601393
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51601393

Another boring day of "Holy shit we're fucked now for sure!!.." I didn't do a thing at work except ticker watch. Yep I watched the SPX and WBD tickers move all day on marketwatch. Where upon I rolled more green into both WBD and SWPPX.

>> No.51601395

>>51601020
Drink booze and watch football with my dad

>> No.51601398

>>51601326
Based reply. A knower

>> No.51601407

Bought a bunch of OXY today. May the next OPEC meeting rape the market

>> No.51601413

>>51601393
i made a cool 3%, I'm happy with today.

>> No.51601414

>>51601387
Don’t tell him the market is always 6-9 months in front of the real economy

>> No.51601418

>>51601374
Yeah that's because hurricane season is coming. I'd also be worried there. I live in a major tech hub... and even though the news and media is reporting on all these impending tech layoffs.... no one seems all that concerned. Stocks are down, and a few companies are having a tough time, but that was mostly the highly speculative stuff (like crypto companies and the 'metaverse').
>>51601387
It is

>> No.51601425

>>51601407
because of the hurricane or some dumb reason?

>> No.51601431
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51601431

8% mortgage rates are a nothingburger, my pappy bought at 13%!

>> No.51601438

>>51601407
its going down anon, don't fight the market

>> No.51601447

>>51601418
No one is worried about layoffs until they actually happen. It was the same in the Rust Belt when the layoffs were first announced no one cared then within a few years everyone lived in constant fear of layoffs.

>> No.51601453

>>51601438
Warren loads up around 56 dollaryoos, I can't see it falling too much more

>> No.51601460

>>51601381
I spoke a boomer complain that nobody wants to work his $18 an hour factory job. He said he gave them lunch, healthcare, and everything.

I asked him what the job was and he said all they had to do was stand at a machine and supervise a transfer between robots for 9 hours a day.
I asked if it was only part time or full time.
He said full time.
I didn't comment on it, but I want you to think about this.
A full time job, on your feet, where you push a button for hours upon hours upon hours with zero purpose, barely making enough to afford a shitty place to stay and some food to eat.
That's not a life worth living. That's literally slavery haha.

>> No.51601462

>>51600820
>>51601111
where did you see this posted?
I can't find anything corroborating this, been searching for the last 30 minutes

>> No.51601464

>>51601453
if warren killed someone would you?

>> No.51601471
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51601471

>>51601418
>it is
Wait you're unironically?
Have you seen the bonds,how much the rates went up in just a few months,mortgages,oil,steel and so on? everything is getting fucked and you're saying we're fine?

>> No.51601473
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51601473

>>51601431
I looked it up and did the inflation adjustment and they paid about 70k for their house in 2022 money. which is the same amoubt i paid for mine in 2019 actually.

>> No.51601476

>>51601460
why isn't it automated

>> No.51601480

>>51601464
no, but I can ride his getaway car

>> No.51601481

>>51601462
You. Don't Understand. Where. I. Got. My. Intel. From.

>> No.51601487
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51601487

>>51600998
First time trowing my HRT money at this. I'm so exited sister.

I'll be able to afford my dream BBC trip abroad!

>> No.51601494

i own 1,205 shares of SOXL

>> No.51601499

>>51601414
Yes and the stock market has somehow predicted over 50 of the past 5 major recessions and 1 depression
It's another false alarm. Once Jerome is satisfied inflation is down (which was mostly supply chain related, and is being fixed), he'll reverse. Inflation has already basically stopped. Most prices for durable goods aren't going to go back down... that'd be deflation, but he's probably just waiting for the volatile things like food and gas to drop a little... then call it mission accomplished, and start printing again.
>>51601447
What I mean is that no one is worried about their livelihood. Sure, they might get laid off, but jobs are still pretty easy to find (in most cases... there ARE exceptions, but those aren't due to macroeconomic reasons).
>>51601471
Those are all based on how economists and bankers FEEL the economy is going... or will be going. It's actually pretty fine, deal with it

>> No.51601502

>>51601481
goldman sachs global market division
did they publish this today, internally?

>> No.51601515

>>51601476
He's shifting it to automated but apparently he explained how it was actually pretty expensive to get the "robot" needed to oversee that part of basic quality control.
But I'm just adding onto the fact that people just won't work these kinds of jobs.

>> No.51601516

>>51601494
I'll give you $3 dollars

>> No.51601529

>>51601460
Yea my brother got a temp job at a huge car factory, and his job was to stand a do nothing all day, to just push one button if the machine stopped running. Maybe had to press that button 2 or 3 times a shift. He sat in a stool too, but quit after 3 days it was so fucking miserabley slow and boring

>> No.51601532

>>51601476
it is somebody just has to be there if the exchange fucks up i guess, from the sound of it. probably to hit a stop button to keep the machine from damaging itself. while it is a shit job depending on where it is it would be worth it short term and people have done a lot worse jobs for less. doing it for more than like 6 months though? no way, you'd probably go insane

>> No.51601536

>>51601431
GLAD I BOUGHT NOW!!!!!!! THE RATE'S ONLY GOING UP!!!!!!!!!!!!! BUY NOW OR BE LEFT BEHIND

>> No.51601539

>>51601502
Goldman Sachs published this today externally but its from a subscription based newsletter from goldman.

>> No.51601559

>>51600820
are you saying that people bought the most put option contracts in history on the day the spy tested its 52 wk low?
im sure it will go lower but thats not very good timing. they had 9 months.

>> No.51601565

>>51601418
And in Germany people are still not worried about their rising utility costs. The different between market participants and your average joe is that we have to use foresight while they live only in the present. Normies dont realize what the situation is until it has already happened to them personally and by then it is too late.

>> No.51601574

>>51601539
thanks CRBPajeet.
if it is true.. we really may have bottomed
maybe we bleed into premarket on Monday, but then we pump
those puts have to be fucked, and fucked hard.
I'm interested to see CPC / CPCI / CPCE when published later.

>> No.51601602

>>51601529
Some dude at Netflix left his 2.4 million dollar a year job after 4 months.. Uh.. I dunno what he did exactly but for 2.4 million I'd stick around. Especially if I was getting that kinda money living where I am now. Jesus christ..

>> No.51601609
File: 92 KB, 258x387, Don't_Starve_cover.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51601609

>>51601086
Didn't you watch the Fed listening session today? Sour cream's the least of our worries; potato prices doubled within the past few weeks and our pear supply just hit zero.

>> No.51601620
File: 206 KB, 1235x539, Screen Shot 2022-09-12 at 1.18.38 PM.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51601620

>>51601574
>if it is true.. we really may have bottomed
Why do you think we've bottomed? It could indicate that people haven't even sold off their hedges yet. We hit the bottom when people monetize their hedges (puts). It means that people are preparing for a bigger selloff.

>those puts have to be fucked, and fucked hard.

Just why? Just why the absolute fuck would anyone be remotely bullish. I'm not even a permabear, i sell SPY put spreads anyways. I'm just saying, we're not even at the bottom of the third inning of this bear market.

>> No.51601626
File: 358 KB, 858x821, 1605482527845.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51601626

>>51601476
Because it is cheaper to buy a slave and have them do it. Machines break down, Machines require maintenance, machines are expensive and time consuming to repair. It is unironically cheaper to run a human until they break like a horse then it is to buy a machine to replace the job.

>>51601499
>but jobs are still pretty easy to find
For now. That is the same fallacy the Auto Workers fell into. Oh well if I get laid off then I can just get another job. But it isn't JUST you it is 100s, 1000s of people flooding your local job market. Overnight the jobs become scarce because everyone had the same mindset. Here is the worst part. Companies can now pay the bare minimum because they can pick and choose they aren't desperate there is a line out the door and down the road begging for work. I live in a town where this happened. It is fast and it is devastating. Let me add. People still buy and drive cars but the jobs to make them never came back.

>> No.51601631

>>51601143
Can't believe he meant pushing it *down*.

>> No.51601641

>>51600883
/smg/ raised me to believe they're always trying to fuck as many retails as possible so yeah record puts means it poomps

>> No.51601651

>>51601641
No. It doesn't. The eye of the glass. The box. The key is opening the box. Pandora's box.

Shadows above the trapdoor.

>> No.51601668

Bought a lot today boys. Will keep buying as the stocks keep crumbling down. Invested a lot for my Roth as well.

>> No.51601670

>>51601651
are you writing poetry?

>> No.51601673

>>51601473
The closest job to your location is 80 miles away, those areas don't really feel the same market swings everyone else does.
but all in all it looks like you got the better deal kek, even with depressed wages.

>> No.51601683

>>51601620
I think that we may have a short-term rally, just because every single person is bearish
I think the sellers will be exhausted, and there will then be more buyers than sellers, for a very short period
As you are familiar, if the market rallies at all those puts will be able to vanna/charm squeeze
the market wants to rally - there is so much money on the sidelines; the +2% move in several minutes before / right when Powell started speaking - there are buyers still there, waiting to pounce
I think that the loose hands need to be shaken out. I don't think there is a single bull left in /smg/
It reminds me of June bottom, or covid bottom - we're even getting tourists stopping in here from other boards to ask what's going on, indicating that the news is hitting the normie sphere more
I am not arguing that we have hit a long-term bottom, but we may rally this week
All sectors are very overextended out of their range, including bonds and the dollar
If yields cool, the dollar cools, we'll have a sharp rally
For the record, I am not buying until after Yom Kippur in either case

>> No.51601689

>>51600877
Well if you buy, prepare to hold and average down for some time. I’ll be averaging down a couple of my long terms holds for the foreseeable future.

>> No.51601693
File: 289 KB, 560x315, 731b46343177f227a169e4ddcaf35e43.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51601693

Next week is looking really nice,if you're shorting that is.

>> No.51601700

>>51601326
We are also seeing a lot of put sellers that are keeping VIX suppressed and some OTM call buyers keeping skew locked.

This just means that yeah it's not crazy signal that put volume is high. So many people have access to options now. but we sure as shit are not bottoming like >>51601267 thinks

It's not bullish that put volume is high, and a bayesian thinker would assume it is bearish that put volume is this high.

And regarding put sellers....positioning is light for some. Skew being sold means positioning starts to get longer as we move lower.

>> No.51601708

>>51601673
i live in a city metro of 500k anon

>> No.51601718

>>51601683
Oh, you're talking about much narrower time series. I dont like to think about trading vanna rallies or charm decays, its too much of a chaotic system. Over the broader term, more hell is to come.

So much betashit is still overvalued.

>> No.51601720

I got drunk w people from work. They thought I was hilarious until I dropped the hard r nigger. Don't reveal your power level to normies.

>> No.51601721

>>51601020
Drink booze, my sons little league game tomorrow, and move a pile of gravel.

>> No.51601726
File: 502 KB, 897x681, Cane forecast.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51601726

>>51601425
>the hurricane
FYI, looks like it'll hit the dumb rocket in Florida rather than the important refineries or the cool rocket in Texas.

>> No.51601739

>>51601720
you should have known better anon, you're right you absolutely never reveal your power level irl

>> No.51601743

>>51601700
So we're gonna just crab next week?

>> No.51601754

>>51601720
this is why I never drink with colleagues

>> No.51601758

>>51601700
>It's not bullish that put volume is high, and a bayesian thinker would assume it is bearish that put volume is this high.
It is. If it's that high relative to call volume that is
https://school.stockcharts.com/doku.php?id=market_indicators:put_call_ratio
>the Put/Call Ratio is used as a contrarian indicator to gauge bullish and bearish extremes. Contrarians turn bearish when too many traders are bullish and turn bullish when too many traders are bearish
>A Put/Call Ratio at its upper extremities would show excessive bearishness because put volume would be significantly higher than call volume. Excessive bearishness would argue for optimism and the possibility of a bullish reversal.
we'll see when they're published later
but if the ratio was all those puts as the goldman image shows with not any calls, then it is even more bullish - if we don't see an extreme, then it wouldn't be a contrarian signal

>> No.51601762
File: 245 KB, 593x514, 1642966273314.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51601762

>>51601720

>> No.51601764

>>51601720
If it makes you feel better I think youre hilarious for doing so

>> No.51601763
File: 280 KB, 1920x933, 345345345.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51601763

>>51601494

>> No.51601767

>>51601726
do you have a map of oil well locations in the gulf?

>> No.51601770

guys im shitposting from the metaverse... the porn is awesome!!!

>> No.51601772

>>51601726
this thing is going for the gulf. (((scientists))) think they can influence the hurricane by shitty models.

>> No.51601778

>>51601708
You should mention you don't live in the US. or that its in SE chicago

>> No.51601784

>>51601758
You're assuming those puts are going to be sold off for some type of vanna rally...whhy?

>> No.51601785
File: 82 KB, 1280x1080, 1660158701351668.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51601785

>>51601743
No,various reports coming in hot,specially from germany and US

>> No.51601790
File: 1.07 MB, 996x722, Yukine_NotTheFirstTime.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51601790

>another red week
Powell Pivooters. Tell me. Is this part of your plan?

>> No.51601794

Uh this thing like listens to your voice and can type for you.

>> No.51601795

>>51601770
why do you compulsively lie baggie? >>51601778
i live in the southeast US

>> No.51601799
File: 348 KB, 829x633, gunpepe.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51601799

im going to need you to quit selling you fucking pussy.

>> No.51601805

>>51601767
Not on me but they're pretty much all off Louisiana and Texas, that northwest area.

>>51601772
Hurricane forecasting is legitimately pretty great at this point. Thank the SOXL crowd for their supercomputers.

>> No.51601810
File: 281 KB, 1440x1440, com.oculus.shellenv-20220923-185744.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51601810

>>51601795
Why would I lie?

>> No.51601819

>>51601292
it's not even supposed to that.

>> No.51601821

>>51601794
And they have an office in Ukraine listening to everything you say in real time for 'quality control purposes', Amazon said years ago

>> No.51601827
File: 99 KB, 1244x933, 1655914656829.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51601827

>Bitcorn going up

>> No.51601830

>>51601810
Why aren't you using vrchat like a functional human being?

>> No.51601833

>>51601794
Its pretty fucking cool. The Lenovo glasses are pretty dope too.

>> No.51601834

>>51601784
I think that any rally, for whatever reason, will snowball very quickly
If there is a break out above trend, it will cause shorts to cover and take profit, which will cause bulls to think there is a rally, which will cause the MM who sold puts / shares to hedge to have to buy to cover, which will cause a larger rally, and even more will panic and cover their shorts
I think that the path of least resistance is this course - everyone has already bought their puts, people are already short, people have already cashed out - the sellers (should) be exhausted - you cannot sell forever
It could be any news in Asia or Europe in Sunday / Monday premarket session that kicks the dollar lower or yields lower
Kind of like that there is a powder keg making it possible for a sharp (short lived rally), and that if the smallest spark were to go it would ignite and blow up
when you have that much gasoline and TNT gathered, especially with that much money on the line where MM wants the market to rally by selling the puts, it's likely that we're going to see a spark

>> No.51601837

>>51601795
You're surrounded by nogs, that's worth mentioning

>> No.51601839

>>51601821
not for long

>> No.51601852

>>51601839
Disable the controllers and turn on hand tracking. That shit blew my mind.

>> No.51601867

>>51601852
Nah. Fuck that.

>> No.51601868

>>51601837
the black population in my town is like 5% anon and like 7 or 8% for the entire metro.

>> No.51601875

>>51601834
yes short cover rally powder keg is set with put sizes here, isee what ur saying.


But anon. remember what happens when the market keeps going down. it works both ways. those puts gain value, and MM's have to delta hedge on the way down by selling a ton of S&P futures (or whatever, nasdaq , dow, etc for their respective index puts)

it could snowball on the downside too. gamma works both ways. but yeah i see what ur saying with the powder keg on any positive catalyst. but thats the contrarian play rn. long term its a slippery slope and lots of money will leave equity for safer assets soon

>> No.51601881

>>51601867
Also, the game to get is Population One.

>> No.51601883
File: 1.67 MB, 1920x1080, 095826715.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51601883

>>51601830
>vrchat
It's fine for world exploring,i didnt dare enter any pubs though,for obvious reasons

>> No.51601886

>>51601810
alright fair enough baggie ive just never seen somebody lose as much money as you do amd still have more money to lose so i figured you were a liar.

>> No.51601897

>>51601881
im waiting for this climbing game to finish downloading

>> No.51601905

>>51601868
wait no i mean yes we have all sorts of nogs here you wouldnt like it, stay wherever you are.

>> No.51601907

Its gonna be red on Monday too :(

>> No.51601911

>>51601883
How do you walk or move your viewpoint around in that thing?

>> No.51601912

>>51601875
yeah that's true - we could also gap down bigly on open, and recover overnight
or just gap down, and continue gap and crapping
however, today gamma exposure moved in a positive direction
it didn't go positive, but it moved up - which is a little unusual for this sell off
they are taking on more gamma

>> No.51601915

>>51600816
>that many lines
You dont know how to do TA. We’ll crab around the june low if youre lucky and then either break up or down. Which do you think is more likely given the macro?
If you say up, youre betting against almost all hedge funds’ opinions

>> No.51601917
File: 28 KB, 764x492, 1654475911901.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51601917

>>51601718
man I always think you're joking with stuff like vanna rallies and charm decay but they are always real things. How did you learn all of this and are there any sources I should read

>> No.51601920

>>51601907
probably but we'll see what news comes out over the weekend

>> No.51601930

>>51601912
What's the easiest way to track gamma exposure?

>> No.51601932
File: 90 KB, 1155x1002, im-566426.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51601932

My SP500 2023 target

220 Earnings x 16.5 PE multiple = 3520 SP500 target

Yeah its over.

>> No.51601936

>>51601907
and that's a good thing, here's why!

>> No.51601952
File: 668 KB, 480x480, ahhhhh1.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51601952

official thread theme (weekend edition)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uhG-vLZrb-g

>> No.51601954

>>51601907
how do you know this information

>> No.51601957

>>51601930
https://squeezemetrics.com/monitor/dix
click GEX
it's published everyday at ~5:45pm
honestly I'm not 100% sure about the data, whether it is dated by 24 hours
we've had big discussions going through their whitepaper, where they talk about some activity in their paid platform being delayed by 24 hours, but I don't think the GEX data published is based on yesterdays data though, although someone has argued that here in the past

>> No.51601958

I don't understand why people act like red days are bad days. You don't get >4% tsla moves on green days.

>> No.51601961
File: 47 KB, 1022x550, 1652974371752.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51601961

>>51601932
buy when there's blood in the streets and such

>> No.51601968

Are the markets open on Monday?

>> No.51601977
File: 2.95 MB, 4032x3024, 20220917_105009.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51601977

What up people smg drawfag here.
Hope you all made money this week.
Post some ideas for me to draw tomorrow.
Where's the AI anon from last week who touched up the drawing?

>> No.51601982
File: 2.96 MB, 1607x1000, 0d8e506b091aeb4b3b32cf8b406c6947.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51601982

>>51601954
>https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/
It's like looking at the future,if you're not retarded that is.

>> No.51601987

>>51601431
Keep in mind that back in the 70's, families had 1 income stream. Now families are expected to have 2, so big purchases like homes and cars are priced in function of that.

>> No.51601998
File: 183 KB, 1284x700, 9BCC792D-CD5D-4B5B-8B7C-E9F1A5A7D15C.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51601998

Where’s the anon that posted this? I need a $10K refund, please and thank you.

>> No.51601999

>>51601958
they better start some real bad shit i got like a 160 spy puts with a big strike for monday... . pol skitzos got me

>> No.51602001

>>51601968
Well the kikes will be taking the day off and leave it up to their shabbos goy, but yea, it'll be open

>> No.51602004
File: 96 KB, 1024x944, 1652465598187.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602004

>>51601987
>19th Amendment strikes again

>> No.51602014
File: 582 KB, 1025x1562, 1663974317985771.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602014

>Science
>untrusted
Sell your vaxxie stocks

>> No.51602020

>>51601952
We're going down swinging though bizchads

>> No.51602031
File: 34 KB, 112x112, miko.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602031

>>51601977
Mikochi reclining on a bear flag in a downtrend.

>> No.51602036

>>51602004
Is “Submission” like a manga or something? Why is the title on the back flap of the book?

>> No.51602061

>>51601982
Shouldn't Chinese interest rate decision be bullish?
They are easing over there aren't they?

>> No.51602086

>>51601999
What strike for Monday?

>> No.51602092

>>51602014
I didn't even know there was another one kek
Is that 5 now?

>> No.51602097

>>51602001
No QT sara eisen to get me through the SHEMITAH sour hour? Will Cramer take the day off or will JOET or some other goy fill in

>> No.51602108
File: 74 KB, 1024x810, 1647337787961.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602108

>>51602092
>>51602092
They will never end. /pol was right again

>> No.51602125

>>51602086
360

>> No.51602128
File: 123 KB, 880x660, mi-gtm-us-june-11.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602128

>>51601932
>>51601961
Sorry I meant 16 times.

The 200 week moving average 3585
50 month moving average 3525

>> No.51602129
File: 92 KB, 846x571, IRS.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602129

>>51602014
Dont' worry bro, the new 87000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000 IRS agents will be taking care of covid vaccine mandates very soon.

>> No.51602165
File: 475 KB, 552x631, 1642715231113.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602165

>>51601932
>3520 SP500 target
too optimistic

>> No.51602175
File: 262 KB, 646x595, 1631646928106.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602175

>>51602125
You had to be up big at some point...

>> No.51602180

>>51601499
Kek the lumposter is going insane

>> No.51602185

So do we know how long Powell will let the 3.25% interest rate sit before he hikes it up again? The bond yield curve is still inverted past the 3Y with the 2Y/3Y being near identical

>> No.51602187

>>51602031
>Hakumei and Mikochi (ハクメイとミコチ, Hakumei to Mikochi) is a Japanese manga series by Takuto Kashiki. It has been serialized since 2011 in Enterbrain's seinen manga magazine Fellows!, which was renamed to Harta in 2013.
Is that where this anime girl is from?
Never heard of her. Never heard of lum before I got here. You guys have some niche waifus kek

>> No.51602205

>>51602185
FOMC is every 2 months

>> No.51602209
File: 34 KB, 416x657, 1643344204125.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602209

>>51602180
Lol I'm not lumposter
It's just me poemanon... and yes I am a bit weird in the head right now. I got a pretty bad cold (mostly over it now), possibly from feeding some wild birds

>> No.51602210

>>51600761
>>51600798
>>51600923
>>51601053
>>51600860
So when do we buy back in? We need to collectively buy in because thats how this ponzi scheme works, r-right?

>> No.51602221

>>51602209
w-w-what the fuck.

>> No.51602228

>>51602187
Nah she's just a normie vtuber
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC-hM6YJuNYVAmUWxeIr9FeA/videos

>> No.51602238
File: 572 KB, 1512x1245, Untitled.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602238

>>51602221
They're cute birds, very friendly, very soft feathers. They liked sharing my cliff bar with me

>> No.51602242

>>51602209
>I got a pretty bad cold (mostly over it now), possibly from feeding some wild birds
sounds like a good topic for a poem desu poemanon

>> No.51602263
File: 319 KB, 368x590, Untitled2.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602263

>>51601977
Your days are numbered drawfag. Bow to your new AI masters.

>> No.51602266

>>51601915
EOY is still three months away, there is time for a relief rally before Lehman 2.

>> No.51602270
File: 33 KB, 1096x194, image_2022-09-23_192921705.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602270

>at least after the market crashes and life sucks I can still kick back and enjoy some video ga-

>> No.51602307
File: 14 KB, 300x468, 24rg234g.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602307

This is not what an economy in recession looks like by the way

>> No.51602319

>>51602228
ah i see. so is the voice scripted responses or is it some japanese chick doing live voice over for the anime girl?

>> No.51602329

>>51602210
I'm buying back in around Oct 4th before Yom Kippur

>> No.51602331
File: 7 KB, 222x227, pepe.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602331

>>51602307
>ITS NOT ACTUALLY IN A RECESSION GUYS LO-
not my problem

>> No.51602334
File: 341 KB, 1920x1080, 1606614241756.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602334

>>51602270
not my problem,faggot

>> No.51602349

>>51601977
Can you make a cornholio pepe?

>> No.51602351

>>51602334
its not my problem that its not your problem

>> No.51602360

The bottom is in. No recession, no crash. ATH by EoY.

>> No.51602364

>>51602266
We just had the biggest and longest relief rally of the year and havent even hit fresh lows. A relief rally here before new lows would form a bottom. So all youre really saying is you think the bottom is in you dont really think that, right?

>> No.51602365

>>51602319
It's real time 3D motion capture, grandpa... The girl is playing and talking, 3D girl is just an avatar that captures her motion...

>> No.51602372

>>51600999
>why did this post get purged?
It looks like they were horny posting.

>> No.51602380
File: 58 KB, 870x960, criminal.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602380

>>51602270
>robbing white people 3
>main character tyrone gibzmedat

>> No.51602389

>>51602372
no, it was a basedjak with a nuke going off in the background but he was quoting the horny poster

>> No.51602396

>>51602349
I like this idea. Yeah of course. What type of facial expression?

>> No.51602403

brother I over-leveraged myself and made like 2k
is that really the only way to make money? Seems kinda sketchy

>> No.51602413

>>51602396
incredibly smug

>> No.51602415

>>51602364
by making it appear as if there is a double bottom, more buyers will come in, to provide the liquidity for the real move lower

>> No.51602437
File: 40 KB, 960x720, beavis-and-butthead-holy-cornholio-3.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602437

>>51602396

>> No.51602439

>>51601810
bad ass

>> No.51602441

>>51602365
Yeah I'd rather watch hentai than a yidtube anime chick. She doesnt even get naked.

>> No.51602456

>>51602238
based

>> No.51602462
File: 19 KB, 600x323, Greek_bond_yields.svg.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602462

Reminder that most western nations are going to either default on their debt or succumb to hyperinflation during this crisis. This is a 1929-tier event.

>> No.51602478

>>51602108
yeah like flu shots@! whats the big deal? stop being a plague rat

>> No.51602480
File: 298 KB, 1300x753, 1621718598927.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602480

>>51602437
I will be staying around until this is published.

While he draws I will be playing EU4- who should I play as?

>> No.51602494

>>51602462
Everytime the market is down more than -5% is a soon to be 1929 teir event, literally everytime.
>Still waiting

>> No.51602499

>>51602462
Nope they will save the market with a digital currency. It will be the new bail out- I hope they fail.

>> No.51602510

>>51602480
Adal

>> No.51602549
File: 126 KB, 300x295, Capture.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602549

avocado chads we're the future of finance

>> No.51602550
File: 1014 KB, 443x510, 1659979170943268.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602550

I'm going bullish with leverage Monday and Tuesday (Rosh Hoshana) then going long vol Tuesday eod.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W6CjO0H2j0s

>> No.51602553

Above green line means economy is expanding, below green line means economy is contracting. Still no recession risk, FED free to keep hiking.

>> No.51602563

>>51602550
no

>> No.51602575
File: 148 KB, 2173x788, 324tg234tg.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602575

>>51602553

>> No.51602578

>>51602563
yes

>> No.51602583

>>51602441
You say that like you the existence of an anime chick doesn't already imply the existence of porn of said anime chick.

>> No.51602587
File: 518 KB, 1530x1920, f1663433137341190.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602587

>>51601977

>> No.51602588

>>51602061
Their key concern are exports and keeping foreign money in the country as reserves for most likely a Russian scenario over Taiwan in the medium future. They aren't using monetary policy to do that and instead doing draconian shit like bank limits on money in your bank account and stopping overseas travel of any type. And if you travel for reasons the CCP doesn't approve, they cut up all your travel documents even the documents that aren't Chinese like American green cards.

>> No.51602627
File: 2.75 MB, 360x290, 1652044044330.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602627

>hurricane fiona heading towards canada
Should i short leaf stocks?

>> No.51602643

>>51602462
Not happening.

>> No.51602722

>>51601917
u learn it by astral projecting with Lord Krishna.

>> No.51602825

>>51600761
2024

>> No.51602841

tucker is doing a segment on build black better

>> No.51602852
File: 248 KB, 541x380, 018.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602852

>>51602494
>>51602499
>>51602643
Bond yields are spiking into the same range Greece's were, and our debt-to-GDP is higher than Greece's was at the time of their crisis. We either have to choose between hyperinflation or default.

>> No.51602861
File: 1010 KB, 91x113, IMG_5848.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602861

>>51600739
How smart am I if I loaded up on long positions today before close?

>> No.51602868

>swing 3x letfs they said
>it'll be volatile they said
>if you can't handle the dumps they said
>they said there would be pumps
i'm all for volatility but i havent made a single winning trade since uhh..fuckin dwac and bakt last year

>> No.51602881

>>51602852
Except they aren't spiking for the same reason. The FED is raising interest rates right now. For Greece it wasn't driven by a central bank it was driven by the lack of demand for Greek gov bonds

>> No.51602886
File: 7 KB, 224x225, 1652894083216.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602886

>>51602861

>> No.51602888

S&P more like poop and pee.

>> No.51602892
File: 56 KB, 607x787, 2022-09-24 02.07.00.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602892

>>51602852
third world-tier debt levels holy shit

>> No.51602899

>>51602888
SP500 more like Stay Poor 500 years

>> No.51602901

You'll own nothing but shares of S&P500 worth $10 each and you'll be happy.

>> No.51602904
File: 46 KB, 480x480, Pink Wojak - HD.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602904

>>51602209
>I got a pretty bad cold (mostly over it now), possibly from feeding some wild birds
NOW WE'RE INCUBATING NEW BIRD FLU STRAINS?!

AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAaa

>> No.51602915

>>51602852
what happens if we default

>> No.51602920

>>51601135
yeah? so what

>> No.51602929

>>51602915
USD will devalue intensely

>> No.51602936

>>51602901
The prophecy of 1 barrel of oil = 1 share of SPY would finally be true.

>> No.51602937
File: 40 KB, 694x253, Screenshot_20220923-170912_Chrome.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602937

I'm going to short the shitandpiss500 with 5000x leverage on monday

>> No.51602940
File: 46 KB, 680x512, 199.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602940

>>51602881
The US bond market is crashing. If the Fed stops tightening and switches to easing to avoid a default, then we get hyperinflation. There is no out this time.

>> No.51602946
File: 403 KB, 2689x1172, 1623744541968.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602946

>>51602238
Its like how outbreak the movie started...but with bird

>> No.51602949
File: 137 KB, 559x768, 1662923462976792.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51602949

>>51602929
>usd
>devalue

>> No.51602951

>>51601626
Yeah the "muh automation" fags that think all manual labor should be done by robots while they eat pizza and simp for ethots forget that a robot is fucking expensive and requires a highly paid professional to maintain/fix it.
An unskilled labor worker just gets a shit wage per hour and you never have to worry about how to power, clean, or repair it, it does that all on it's own.

>> No.51602961

>>51602949
Yeah, what's the problem? That means the numbers in our portfolios all go up.

>> No.51602970

>>51601494
What's your avg?

>> No.51602989
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51602989

>>51602915
The financial credibility of the United States would end in an instant. There would be no more money to finance any government operarions. The military, gibs, and basically everything would shut down. There would be enormous taxes to pay back the debt that would further crush growth, creating a positive feedback loop of shit. Look at what happened to Greece: they still haven't recovered.

>> No.51602997

New

>>51602992
>>51602992

>> No.51603007

>>51602209
If you survived bird flu good job. 50% fatality rate on that one.

>> No.51603008

>>51602946
Why is there no non animated warhammer 40k movie? That would be so badass

>> No.51603025
File: 128 KB, 717x473, 49d.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
51603025

>>51602961
>That means the numbers in our portfolios all go up.
The Greek stock market lost 85% of its value and then never recovered. It's permanently stuck at that level.

>> No.51603090

>>51601499
shut up

>> No.51603119

Can I play the stock market as a part time wagey?