/biz/ - Business & Finance

>2:30pm ET
That's the speech, rates will be revealed at 2pm ET (google: FOMC meeting countdown at the CME's website).
My prediction will be 100bps (remember that core CPI went up, hence the massive sell off) although there is also a very high chance it will be 75bps

>>51551043
-.50
It’s all a pump and dump and always was
Just a way for certain individuals to force dump

>>51551119
>a very high chance it will be 75bps
75 bps already baked into the market. 75 is expected so it would be bullish

>My prediction will be 100bps
What I would expect as well. This with the Putin announcement in 20 minutes will result in a rocky market. Prime for whatever the globohomo plan to announce next.

>>51551119
I know it will be 75. But I have a boner for 100 or more.

>>51551043
It’s going to be low. No way it will be 100+.

>>51551043
Here is the count down
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html

83bps is most likely

>>51551043
0.75. Give me the dot plot.

>>51551043
75bps

>>51551219
>>51551227
>>51551207
Yes yes YESSS, we know it will be 75. But can I dream?!

75 bps is a nothingburger

>>51551303
this is true. Everyone is expecting this. If the big JP wanted to be an edge teenager he would do 100.

>>51551043
Literally doesn't matter what it is, markets will tank

>>51551331
Yes, but how fast?

I'm so tired of this retarded (((market))). At this point the market should be expecting 100 bps, but it dump hard as usual after they announce 100 bps.

>>51551331
they'll rally today at 75bps
but yes everything is bearish in the long term, even <75bps would signal that they've lost control and things are about to get fucked

mega pump today, mega selloff tomorrow just as the last 3 rate hikes have happened. fucking clockwork at this point.

GORILLION bytes per second

>>51551119
80:20 you feeling lucky?

Someone explain to me like I'm retarded how several straight months of rate hikes is anything but bearish.

>>51551216
do they ever not do it in multiples of 0.25? it really shows just how fake this all is

>>51551435
they should be different and do 100.1bps

>>51551428
In their own words
>Many are worried that bringing the hammer down so forcefully would risk unleashing pandemonium across markets by essentially taking the likelihood of a “soft landing” for the U.S. economy off the table.
>Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA, said in a note to clients that a 100-basis-point hike would represent an “overreaction” on the Fed’s part.
>“We think a 100 bps hike would unnerve Wall Street, as it would imply that the FOMC is overreacting to the data rather than sticking to its game plan, and would increase the likelihood that the FOMC will eventually overtighten and lessen the possibility of achieving a soft landing,” Stovall wrote in a note to clients.

I feel like jerome wants to give us a 100bp hike just to reinforce that he means business, because people are already starting to smirk and make money printer jokes about him again and he doesn't like that. But the rest of the committee are probably going to cuck him into keeping at 75, which is going to lead another month of bull euphoria as people decide again that the fed is mealy-mouthed, doesn't mean what it says and doesn't have the balls the back up its threats with action.

Can I gamble on this?

>>51551435
it's a target rate, it ends up in a .25bp range that they try to maintain by buying or selling bonds which adds/removes liquidity from commercial banks. they're not directly forcing banks to lend at those base rates.

>>51551494
*25bp not .25bp lol

>>51551492

>>51551043
.50bps

25 Long, 100 Short. 75 Do nothing. Screencap this.

i say 125 y'all not know what's coomin

>>51551212
this is a nifty tool, you can check probabilities all the way into dec. of next year - looks like the market's pricing in a 450-475 peak cooling off to 400-450 by 2023 eoy

>>51551466
Ah, so it's all about some wall street under the table handjob shit where they'll accept constant rate hikes, but anything minorly higher would piss off wall street and make them do something stupid. Cool. I hate this fucking clown world.

>>51551569
75 will pump and you know it

>>51551043
I want to bet big on 100 bps with a super tight stop-loss, but now that I stop to reconsider, the Fed may not be the thing that triggers the big dump. The weekly charts for SPY & QQQ look set up to retest the 200ma either this week or the next. I thought it would be Punisher Powell bringing down the hammer after he grew a pair while gaping Jackson's Hole, but now he might feel the market is getting the message after the FedEx news.
My real hang up is ALL the financial media is expecting 75. And this entire couple of years has been always so the opposite of what jews say.

100 bps hike, and then I'm buying 6 month treasuries at next week's fed auction.

>>51551595
They're doing it on the table, not even trying to hide it.

75 is already priced in
How does this help inflation when this will just rally the markets causing inflation to come in hot, yet again, next month
The only way to fix this is to cause pain, which he has proven he won't do
Get ready for 20% inflation by eoy 2023

>>51551043
give me a fucking 100bps powell GIVE IT TO ME. 75bps already expected, it wouldn't do shit. would literally result in a rally. 100bps don't fuck around

>>51551043
niggers

I dont get it what does any of this mean
whats a fed rate

We are stuck with JPow until 2026
Expect things to get much worse while he remains chair
It will take the reincarnation of Volcker to fix this

>>51551942
it will cause a minor rally but things will turn bearish again over the coming month
they WILL achieve their soft landing meme

>>51551043
my prediction (and this would wipe me out):
J-Pow cuts rates 25 bps, and signals that we are headed towards a depression. Stocks pop because people are retarded and my puts become worthless. Only to sink below June lows a week later.

Whenever the fed starts cutting rates, that's when the big downturn starts. Don't listen to normie finance people saying a pivot is bullish. it's not.

>>51552007
The FED rate is what you would expect.
It is the rate at white we feed women to be sent of and breed by black men with big dicks.

>>51551850
all the banks expected CPI to drop in august when it when up only nomura predicted it would go up.
now only nomura is predicting 100bps hike

I hope powell grows some fucking balls and does 100. 75 would rally, what the fuck is the point of that

>>51551043
Short short short short

>>51552053
you are fucking retarded, a fed reversal would mean a huge rally

For the love of Christ Jerome please save me.
100bps or bust.

How much longer?

>>51552076
yeah but they would be reversing because of a major global depression starting. how the fuck is that bullish? It would be a retard-rally, and whoever hodl-ed it would get rekt.

whatever happens, we crab

>>51552076
he said stocks would pop. but less than 75bps would mean the fed knows something and shit is about to get a lot worse.

>>51552097
30 mins

>>51552053
Why did the feds all sell their portfolios though

>>51552110
fucking this
or big fakeout scamwick one way or the other THEN crab

1 MILLION BASIS POINTS but only for one hour once a week from now on

>>51552132
because that was the top. Even if stonks rallied here they wouldn't get to ath. that's just idiotic to think that.

>>51551569
>25
you're retarded, lmfao

>>51551579
those probabilities are horseshit

>>51552204
Why it is information that the FED posted... so yes.

>>51551521
What brokerage is going to give you 100x leverage on an ETF?

>>51551043
I predict 666 POINTO

>>51552292
I'll take 420 or 69

>>51551155
Checked and bogpilled

>>51552053
>>51552102
>>51552168
dollarlet cope

75 bps hike, scam pump, chop during the presser, then dump back down to close flat across the board

Check em

>>51552326
Singles confirm 100 bps market dump

>>51552153
theres going to be so many people fomoing in to longs and shorts after the announcement that both will be worth them scam wicking

why are the fomc streams the most comfy happenings this year

If my digits are odd 75, even _>100

999 point hike incoming

>>51552393
I don't even have any trades open, I just like to watch the line go le up or down in a chaotic manner

>>51552431
Nice ID bro

buckle up

Insider here. 100 based points is confirmed.

>>51552442
I miss that nigga so much its unreal.

>>51552449
Can confirm. My dad works for the Fed

>>51552421
the sonichu necklace got me

You lads know JPow is also supposed to give a talk on Friday as well, right?

im tired of crab city

I NEED IT TO CRASH OR MOON

Am I the only one who finds this pathetic? A tiny little 150 point raise and everyone loses their shit? Don't companies have any fucking margin? Dont people keep extra money in case of unexpected stuff like this? Why should anyone's spending or investment be impacted in the slightest by such a small rise in rates? If they were going to put rates to 30% or something overnight I would say "oh woweee" but this? Meh. But the markets treat it like its judgment day.

10 more minutes!

Honestly about to just put 240K into monthly T.bills and stop stressing over crypto.

>

>>51551595
Welcome, take a seat

>>51552376
I am positioned for either

Where to stream? Youtube isn't turning up anything.

>>51552511
Your 401k may easily drop 30% I total value due to the fed fucking around. This is bad for the boomer, no big deal for zoomzoom

>>51552572
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html

I wonder if this stream is going to be as chaotic as the previous one
>>51552572
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ukFnKCtptX4

>>51552590
No it will do - I know. But I'm just saying its fucking pathetic. Oh wow money is more expensive to loan by a tiny percentage - lets dump everything. Its just stupid how thin everyone's margins seem to be, or how highly leveraged everyone is but I guess this is the way of capitalism - its all about leverage and people are in x1000

>>51552595
>>51552602
Thanks anons <3

>>51551850
Fuck it. Shoved on SQQQ with a stop loss tighter than a virgins honey hole. Willing to accept the loss if wrong, not willing to accept missing a 100 bps crash.

>>51551043
hi fellow jeromeheads
im so fucking torqued for our boy to shine

>>51552639
You do realize how stops work if it gaps right? You'll get filled at the worst possible price because you'll be marketing in when the floor drops.

>>51552511
Having near-zero rates and qe for over a decade, and declining rates for several decades, has turned the markets into casinos and encouraged most businesses and individuals to be highly endebted and operating at the financial redline.

and what is it?

dis beat lit af

I have extra popcorn if anyone want some.

>>51551482
Ironic that our fate depends on a boomer with a nigger name

100bps LEAKED

fuck it, going mega long because nothing ever happens. If I'm wrong... I'll rope.

anyone else enjoy having the Fed livestream feelgood keyboard music playing in the background while watching the markets violently convulse?

Blasting this fed-core from the livestream

>>51552724
>>51552749
VIBIN

HOOOLLLYYYY SHEEEEIITTTTTT

75 BPS

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=03GGAVD1MgM
>75 announced

hahahah

What the ever loving fuck is going on with ETH?

how much bps is it anons?

75 BPS

100 lets go!!!

>>51552800
Holy fuck. Charts are bugging out hard lmao

>>51552709
Thanks

>>51551399
>mega pump today, mega selloff tomorrow just as the last 3 rate hikes have happened.
This anon knows

wtf this was priced in there should be no change

>>51552805
tree fiddy (75)

Digits say .5

Where do I monitor to find out the hike info as soon as it's released?

should i do it frens

>>51551043
tree fiddy

>>51552788
Motherfucker did it again. JPOW YOU LIMP DICKED FAGGOT. DROP THE HAMMER.

>>51552800
people are buying bons and the bots don't know what to do.

>>51552805
75 from 2.5 to 3.25 with 4.5 announced by December, 30k dow incoming

what a disappointment

>>51552829
All the bots got their sell orders triggered and filled - no more liquidity. Weird as fuck

>>51552839
there is more to it than just mere 75 or 100bps

>>51552853
You're in the waiting room anon

>>51552867
you're late

>>51552871
Their projections for 2023 went up a lot. They’re spoon feeding us the upcoming disaster

>>51552602
All outright lies; imagine listening to Jews.

>>51552928
pretty much.

>>51551043
>We will not be raising the federal funds rate at this time
>We will not be raising the federal funds rate at this time
>We will not be raising the federal funds rate at this time
>We will not be raising the federal funds rate at this time

>>51552905
what do you mean

>>51552928
Stonks are (((nose)))diving now lmao

>>51552905
>>51552961
oh ok nvm

>>51552886
It's still going apeshit. I ain't touchin that shit nigga.

>>51552995
fucking dot charts are heckin sweet dude

FEDWAVE TIME

>>51552326
Rolling again because this is the fate we're signed up for

>I think 75bps would be pretty rad dude haha

>I think 75bps would be pretty rad duuuude haha

75 BPS confirmed

>>51551826
Waiting for that pump anon. We will see. I'm standing by my call for now.

>>51553207
>>51553238
samefag

This won't beat inflation

thanks for playing

>>51553279
>bobos this quick to cope
bottom signal

>>51553266
no shit, sherlock

>>51552602
That last stream or was it the one before that was atrocious, fucking boomers cant even run a youtube stream properly without the quality farting. With all the money printing you'd think they could afford an IT guy or something.

Apple has reported an official 75 bps raise.

>>51552602
damn that is some good music

Why no sticky?

speech it or sneed it JPOW, hurry

Wasnt a 75bps priced in ?????WHY IS IT DUMPING ????AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAREEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE

>>51551043
-1000bps
>We hab to pay more to stop meanie Putin >;)
>verification not required

>>51553569
they pretty much confirmed 75 and 50 for the next meeting
expectation was 50 and 25
its over

music is off

here we go

>>51553569
they raised future projections

Just took a fat shit.
Bad omen meaning Powell is going to cause the economy to take a fat s5atgnhit

/ourguy/ is on

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ukFnKCtptX4

there he is the big boy

good afternoon

75 BPS
BULLISH

>reducing the size of our balance sheet
HERE WE GO

BUY BUY BUY

muh jobs

>>51553665
It was over when they redefined what a recession is.

>>51553743
So higher future bps ??? Inflation still rising REEEEEEEEEEE JPOW GIVE ME BACK MY MONEY JPOWWWWW AAAAAAAAAAAAA

>my collegues and I a cute

it's over

Crypto winter confirmed

at least 2 years of accumulation

Jenna is back!

>mic to NYT Roasite
Every single time

his speech... it was beautiful ;;;(

>>51554081
i didnt come here to fall in love...

>inb4 loads of low IQ questions with obvious answers
Boring

>He thinks he’s getting inflation down to 2%
But he sounds dovish at the same time. No way in hell inflation is going down to 2%

>>51554109
the look of hatred

>they aren't even going to consider lowering rates until it's very clear that inflation is going to 2%

>>51554081
>>51554109
She's already taken chuds.

>>51554109
why do jews have such hilarious names

>rates rates
>pause for a few months
>raise rates again
>pause for a few months

>>51554173
He’s obviously letting various bulls into their relationship

>>51554187
sweaty boi

>>51554187
Lmao

Who else here /wellanchored/ ?

>>51554173
Oh no bros, another Aryan woman taken by a rate faced KIKE.

>>51554187
>liesman
of course he is a CNBC reporter

>liesman
>Dur you ever gonna stop raising rates? The guys who own me wanna know
He just said 30 seconds ago they will slow and assess in the future what the fuck imagine getting paid to be there and not even listening.

I'd like to give Jenna my .75 points of inflation.

president powell seems sleepy

so... jpow spells doom for the economy and you retards buy?

(((SIEGAL)))

it's literally shooting back up lmao

>>51554246
>another Aryan woman taken by a rate faced KIKE

everyone in that room is a jew

>>51554165
Pan faced Gook envious of being race mogged by Aryan beauty.

How will the gook-loving incels on 4chan recover?

>>51554109
Look how she just naturally grabs that black mic. It’s like a hardwired reflex genetically inbuilt into her dna like a brain and lung.

>>51554173
He must be 145+ IQ or a millionaire. There is no other explanation.

>>51554332
>only needs 2 fingers and a thumb
yeah sounds about right black boi

>>51554298
brrrrrrr

>>51554352
he's probably 6'3 and rich

>>51554081
i have no idea why but chicks with small, open mouths casually looking down at something is the hottest thing imaginable. if i see a girl doing that while looking at her phone the image is forever imprinted in my mind

>>51554374
As if yours is Any bigger. Go back to your women, hee has faggot

>>51554304
they are all too young to have the right knowledge to ask difficult questions, however they are (by coincidence) good looking

>>51554434
what is the context of picrel

>>51554374
Rekd & kekd

i thought the federal reserve creates inflation by creating money.. how can they mess up so badly that they need to take such drastic actions to reduce it??

job market LOL

>>51554462
fomc after-party

>>51554528
go to bed billy

this broad wont take a hint

>>51554600
Hi Andy

>>51554528
its more about the loaning more than anything due to re-factional reserve which was suspended lmao. The only way to fix things now is raise the rates so hard to tighten the loaning market which slows liquidity which slows spending which hopefully kills the housing market to ACTUALLY return to real prices unlike after 2008.

>>51554218
That’s a woman

>>51551043
imagine everyone getting cool macbooks and laptops and you get stuck with the wagie pad

just tuned in bros was actually working at work, for once kek. what did i miss besides these fed qts?

What the fuck is going on, did the feds raise by .75 or did they not raise?

>>51554173

>basel, switzerland

>>51554680
powelltrain fed hikes has no brakes while this pansy reports are begging him to stop.

i'm sure not many corporations are over leveraged haha

>>51554703
They did and they have another 100 or 125bps raise to do until eoy

Pump all work week and then dump on Sunday.

Place your longs now gentlemen

>>51554787
Thanks fren

muh jobs boomer moment

this baldie knows what pain feels like

lads give it to me straight, any chance for a socially autistic incel to score one of these fed babes? i am not ugly, but generally terrified to talk to most females

what is sergay doing there?

>>51555054
those type of women have (practically) arranged marriages with men they meet from their family get togethers while both joking about which ivy league colleges their grandparents donate to

>>51552250
I don’t know what these words mean

>>51555121
yea, i kinda figured desu. i've always said some anons are meant to make it, and some just aren't. its not always in the cards for all of us.