/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>51454817
You mean chad bobo edition

tic toc

Reminder that we printed 25% of all bills in circulation in 2 years

AAAAAAAAAAA

kek baggies

>>51454817
Intrest lines aren't touching.

Recession status: Over.

LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEERRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR

>Rapes you're bonds

>>51454817
spx 4050 tomorrow

Clarence retvrn to tradition edition

I'm ready to fuckin die

>U.S. 1Y 4.0106
It's over.

>can you guess when I started betting against the Brandon economy?

>>51454817
Still buying, fuck bobos

fake and gay closing pump.

Always trying to force a last minute rally.

>This won’t be painless

fuck this.

AEVA to 20

>>51454875
Gasping breaths of a dead market

Wow last last 15min scalp was impressive, good job jews

PRTY and BBW. Fuck mega-cap stocks that are priced efficiently.

Thought I wouldn't catch that late day pop mumu?

CLOSE THE FUCKING MARKET!!!!!

BEARS, PLEASE STAND DOWN. I WENT ALL IN

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=04F4xlWSFh0

>Inverted curve
Alright that's it I'm only investing in snacks for the next few months

Guys I fell asleep for a minute and had a mysterious dream. Can anyone here tell me what it meant?
There was an out of control train speeding down the track. It was out of control because there weren't any rail workers on board. The only passengers were four witches sitting on the roof, all laughing hysterically, and the train's freight cars were packed tight with big fat bears who were also laughing. Anyway, this out of control train ran over a small dwarf wearing a t-shirt with the word "economy" written on it, and then vanished into the horizon under a blood red sky. Does anyone have any idea what that dream might mean?

>>51454875
shorts covering

WHERE THE FUCK IS THE PLUNGE PROTECTION TEAM?

MOTHERFUCKERS BE SLEEPING ON THE JOB

>>51454875
Dumbass bots do this shit

Why the fuck is every dump immediately bought up by these kikes

>>51454893
cost me around 600 bucks of potential profit
kek

>>51454931
uhh, this post seems dated, covid is over sweatie

>>51454924
It means your teeth are going to come loose and you'll try to run but won't be able to,

>>51454953
my favorite is the gun that wont shoot

>>51454924
wow that's a cool story brother, looking forward to your next post of epic storytelling

>>51454931
They get called when spy drops another 10%

Quick buy the heckin dippedydoo mumu

Kanye West is so based wtf

>>51454963
The gun that only takes one round, takes one minute to reload and you can't hit anything with it.

Sold my DVR for small gains again- i bet i don't see it under 50 for a long time.

So the railroad strike was a nothingburger?

>Quad Witching tomorrow

>>51454848
Damn, we're rich!

SPY CALLS!!!!!!!!!!!!

>>51454984
link to interview?

>>51454984
What's he saying

what happens when BlackRock starts using A.I to trade and you lose 100% of the time?

>>51454989
The unions will be negiotating this for another two weeks on for two decades. The unions got forced legally back into a cooling off period.

>>51454996
he got pissy on cnbc because addidas is charging too much for his shit

>>51454998
You vill get FINKed.
>>51454924
It means all of the punches you throw are inherently weak in dream world and that one girl you like just laughs at you.

>>51454998
They already do, bots aren't smart enough to predict shit probably never will be

>>51454998
So.. basically we become China?

>>51454998
You move to the trades that always win, like shorting VIX futures for contango.

>>51454998
All algorithms are made to be broken

>>51454853
but whats the difference between bull & crab?

0.3%? 0.5%?

>>51454998
like back in 1989?

I got /DINGDINGDING'd/ today, and not in a good way.

Ding ding ding! How did it go today anon?

market makers threw me a bone today. How do I stop myself from martingaling like a retard. $2500 should be my max position size based on account value and I somehow feel the need to double down on these big colored dildos. My strat works great until it doesnt. I need to have some hard stops or something. I can't live my entire life winning until 2pm and then tossing a coin at whether or not i will ruin my day by market close or not. Shit's fucked brehs

>>51455031
I will never recover

>>51455031
>-16.18% after daily inflation

>>51455031
I'm up 27% on my leveraged SQQQ position. Looking to exit tomorrow.

>>51455006
I want Giada to roughly shape my pasta

>>51454998
You need to allow a few wins or else the suckers wont come back. Theyd eventually get all your winnings back plus tip of course

god DAMN im glad I didnt hold into AH

>>51455005
Based

FUCK CARVANAAAAAAAAAAA

>>51455032
just keep doubling down until it fails, and when it fails just kill yourself, it's that easy

>>51454996
He went off on moving his $140 million from JPM to BOFA becuase one of the board members of addidas works for JPM... Trashed the Gap for charging too little for his clothes. Called the pandemic a scamdemic and again compared himself to Steve Jobs and Henry Ford

>>51455032
EVERY single thing about this retard post makes it clear how dumb you are and how much you suck at trading
lol
lmao

another -4% day nice

What’s the best way to go long oil?

>>51455031
2.35% up.
Not good not bad

>>51454895
You got that right anon. I'm stoked for PRTY.

>>51455031
All my shit is bleeding except good old reliable SQQQ

>>51454953
>>51454963
>>51454987
>>51455006
Learn to lucid dream bros.

>>51455073
UCO or NRGU

>I don't sleep, I just dream.

Unavowed

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jeuGALVQyRs

Paradigm

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RzQD3W47xyY

>>51455032
wait are you really just gambling on intraday movements with 14 DTEs?

Fucking absurd, they're going to erase this dump like it never happened. I want to strangle these people, the longer this draws out the worse off we are

>>51455023

it closed exactly at 390 what fuckery. that means its could still be a bullish. tomorrow. i cant keep up with this shit im getting chop lossed like a mother fucker in SPXS. i bought when spy was like 393 last monday, it had that huge rally and now it wont get back to the same price unless spy is 389. I should just sell and get in a better time.

>>51454924
i studied psychology in college. it means you want to have sex with your mother.

Why is there always an EOD pump?

Welp glad that's over. Liquor store is doing a dirty cheap sale on Swedish vodka so imma head out.

>>51455114
It went to 389 and bounced off for some reason

>>51455006

>giadaposting

Ah yes, ol' tits-n-teeth. Magnificent milkers on that one.

>>51455122
what if i want to have sex with his mother?

>>51455111
Happy birthday! Omedetou!

>>51455111
>"People act like we're crack dealers. Nobody put a gun to anybody's head and said, 'hey, nimrod, buy a house you can't afford, and you know what? While you're at it, put a line of credit on that baby and buy yourself a boat.'"

>>51455131
yea and i should have sold then for a $100 profit even though i have 40k invested shitfuckpiss. if it recovers again tomorrow i get more chop loss. but next week should have some fuckery going on, i just dont know how much.

>>51455031
im short nasdq so good. gonna keep retard holding

>>51455127
jews

>>51455103
Do you really feel comfortable holding positions overnight? I feel like intraday swing trading is the lowest risk objectively. The risk only really kicks in in my mind when I martingale too much. Hopping on a $500 put or call intraday isn't so risky, no more risky than swing trading shares or shorting shares. I make my positions risky. The 20 contract ones are prime examples of my stupidity working out. When it doesn't work out its a negative $2k-$5k day. Always on Jerome days

>>51455129
>Swedish vodka
Ahoy matey, take a cruise with the Admiral instead

>>51455138
Well according to what they taught me in college I guess that would make you a misogynist and probably racist.

>>51455155
Same fed is going for 75bps,but the media says 75 is better than 100,altho it does fuckall to inflation

>>51455006
I’ve loved her since I was a child

>>51455169
>35%

>>51455169
>Rum
>35%
Come on matey

>>51455169
>syrupy sweet taste
>no dry mash bite
Rum is the worst of both clear and brown liquors combined.

>have 150k in mutual funds
>lost over 25% this past two years
>dont want to use my 12k in cash in any of the bear stocks as I need this money to survive the next 6-7 months in hopes that the market turns around so i can actually put that cash back into stocks

its over for me isnt it

>>51455174
>altho it does fuckall to inflation
What amount of increase would do something to inflation? Something huge like 500bps?

>>51455066
down big this year with barely enough to keep my pattern day trader status. Some of that was learning. A lot of it was martingale bullshit.
>>51455069
thanks fren, picrel

>>51455194
CPi came out at what 8 something?
would mean currently 500bps or so,yeah

>>51455169
For me it's Plantation, Appleton Estate, and Diplomatico. Because I like good rum.

>>51455180
>>51455184
Zoomers detected, drinking isn't about getting as drunk as possible as fast as possible, 2 shots of admiral and a fat dip of Cope after a long day of adderall is a blissful way to end your day

>>51455194
150 is the highest I see them going

>>51455211
And what sort of ripple effects would a raise like that create? Sorry for the noob questions

>>51455190
Nigger i just got a shitty retail job so I can buy the dip and pay expenses until this gay shit turns around

>>51455174
100bps is being priced in i think. usually there is some more fear on the runup to fed meeting and they say 75bps the market pumps. my window would be from tomorrow to tuesday.
honestly, i think its going lower than 390 by a lot but i dont know when or how.

Oh my

>>51455215
>adderall
>Calling others zoomer

>>51455194
We need to get to at least half the rate of inflation to have a short term effect. It's fucking 8% and the fed is terrified of going higher because it'll cause a complete economic collapse since our debt based society has been designed around 0.25% since 2008

Hence they are coping that it's the supply chain

>>51455236
I have never worked a job in my life so that means no one will hire me as I have nothing on my resume to show for anything except for my shitty college degree.

>>51454721
>Bro, face facts. It's neither smallpox nor COVID. The monkey just doesn't spread that well.
Fact is, monkeypoop is a GOF bioweapon
>Study: Monkeypoop Virus Has Had ‘Accelerated Evolution,’ Around 50 Mutations In DNA
>Monkeypoop may have undergone 'accelerated evolution,' scientists say
And those headlines were from months ago. The situation is far worse now.
You're naive if you believe the public health authorities' claims about declining cases. Testing has dropped off considerably and they doubled down on stigmatizing it as a gay disease so only people with severe cases are actually getting tested.
There's also a lot to be said about the actual test itself, a lesion swab is very prone to false negatives.
The narrative control is strong with monkeypoop but it's definitely not over. SIGA is still a go, maybe not in the short term, but institutions are still holding while retail caves

>>51455231
NTA but the global economy would collapse. Overnight. Or even faster.

>>51455250
>It's fucking 8%
its way higher than that....

>>51455246
they'll get squazeezled

>>51455249
>can't read
>trades stocks
Hows your portfolio m8

>>51455231
it fucks with our debt such as bonds,in short
Increases total debt exponentially

>>51455246
>AAPL declines as female investors flee, calling smartwatch period tracking "creepy and weird"

>>51455246
news like this lacks the context that $18.4 billion is barely 0.7% of AAPL.

>>51455250
>>51455262
The rate only becomes a problem if consumers also face higher unemployment. I think most of it is fine. There are still plenty of jobs so people can handle debt. And I think personal balance sheets are still healthy. Bank of America was saying the balance sheets are good for most Americans. I dont think raising rates is really an issue for most people to deal with their credit card and such.

>Railroad workers didn’t finalize any contract
>Only agreed not to strike while votes for new contract are being counted
>Odds of new contract being accepted is very low
Why is this being celebrated as a big win? Once they vote down the contract they will strike anyways. It’s delaying the inevitable.

>>51455270
The squeeze hasn’t been squoozed, hedgies never covered

>>51455257
Nobody cares, just pick a random big chain store and say you worked in their warehouses. They won't call the contact number and even if they do those places have such a high turn around that whoever is currently answering the phone probably wouldn't remember you anyway.

>>51455275
i try and misread bullshit,so try not to type such.

>>51455298
>Why is this being celebrated as a big win?
who is in office, and who owns the media?

>>51455298
Because the chance is high not low the contract is accepted. They got everything they wanted.

>>51455031
Down almost 9% today. Bobo will pay for this >>51455031

>>51455311
Esl

>>51455215
>drinking isn't about getting as drunk as possible as fast as possible
You're telling me my entire life has been a lie? I guess I'm going to have to make some changes. I'm going to spend the rest of my life righting these wrongs. I'm going to focus my attention exposing the truth of the stolen 2020 election and do my best to save our Republic. I'm never going to stop fighting to Make America Great Again. You have given me a great purpose and a clear objective. Thank you for this Anon.

>>51454924
Clear bottom signal. Buy OTM calls into FOMC.

I should have played oil instead of the QQQ- fuck me.

>>51455257
>never worked a job
>has 150k in mutual funds
How?

>>51455298
That’s a Brandon win!

>>51455346
was inherited it as a young kid from a dead family member.

>>51455296
We're at 6% mortgage rates. If you hike so they become, say, 10%, what do you think happens to housing prices?

Every home owner battens down the hatches, every construction company freezes their shit, everyone from sawmills to copper miners get their shit pushed in.

Then you need to look at bond investors, who will drag the entire yield curve up to chase the gigahike. And now the treasury is auctioning 10 years at 6%, 7%, 8%.

Now if you're a divvy boomer do you buy some risky dogshit like T or INTC? At current prices? Hell no, you earn twice as much in the bond market so you bail on those stocks in favor of those treasuries.

Congratulations, now everyone sees their home prices crater, their stock portfolios die as P/Es adjust, their retirement savings evaporate as the nominal value of their 3% bonds plunges another 20%, and there are no more dollars to employ anyone in nonessential industries - i.e. anyone other than farmers and rig pigs.

>>51455176
So has her father.

>>51455346
is this a real question?

>>51455257
Just make it up bro. Think about it, they would lie to you about what the company and work are really like, what your hours really are, what you'll really get paid, what the benefits are really like etc with no hesitation at all, and you're not willing to lie about working in the University book store or a coffee shop or something in the hottest labor market we've ever seen in our lives, where places literally hang signs to apologize in advance to customers for their short staffedness?

lol
lmao

>>51455214
plantation is top shelf. sailor jerry and kraken is pretty good too. im more into gins these days myself.

>>51455366
DESU you can get a good divy fixed income roll out with 150k. Little low but could get it to work. But i know you can get a job. Just say you were disabled by covid for while and theyll probably hire you. Now is the best time ever to have a gap on your resume and it not hurt you.
>>51455372
Most mortgages are fixed. Its really only credit cards that are variable. Yes demand goes down, and yes the rest follows. But its not necessarily certain that we need rates higher than 4-5%. Its not going to cause cascading damage to people though.

>>51455298
"Several weeks" is the new cooling off period, i.e. union management ate a bullet to kick the can past midterms.

>>51455372
It's going to be fine. Just purchase life insurance policies on the permabulls, and cash in when the blood is running in the streets and get tons of everything at record low prices.

>>51455372
What's a rig pig?

>>51455372
Good post. If 10 year rates go higher it's unironically over for us

>>51455402
Yeah but who's going to be taking out 10% mortgages.

>>51455215
>fat dip of cope
Don’t remind me. I quit in 2014 but still get the urge to dip every now and again

>>51455372
You are hitting the nail on the head anon, equities are going to get ugly when you can start getting quality paper paying 7%. If we invoke Volcker, nobody is going to want to own equities for a decade.

>>51455430
Imagine needing to quit because of no self control.
You will ngtmi anon

What happened to Adobe lmao?

>>51455402
>Most mortgages are fixed.
And any new ones are fixed at new rates. Who's buying houses when Boomers that had equity pulled dollars out through HELOCs to cover cruises and boner pills?

At this point it's worth adding on that cash only investor chinks aren't going to step in because a gigahike collapses dollar flows internationally.

>But its not necessarily certain that we need rates higher than 4-5%. Its not going to cause cascading damage to people though.
Yes, I think it's most likely the Fed gradually hikes to that range and crosses their fingers for a CPI-lowering miracle. I'm just saying what happens if JPowell gets on the ball immediately and hikes above CPI.

>>51455411
>Rollback to low prices
I can dig it, certainly.

>>51455413
Oil industry worker. Like, what could you spend money on if your income was slashed by 50 or 75%? Rent, food and electricity/gas to get to work. Little else.

>>51455425
Yeah we're threading the needle with a "high CPI, low nominal yields" 1940s style default on the debt.

>>51455453
>needing to quit because of no self control
No, I quit dipping because I wanted to avoid getting mouth cancer

what the fuck just happened to amazon

>>51455452
Oh man, I know a ton of people that used to work for ADBE. Hope they got out.

>FedEx just confirmed recession coming with pulling their FY outlook and are halving their EPS

>>51455372
You are correct and this is why they will take us to war. It's the only way they can print to oblivion or reset the system.

>>51455452
They're a bunch of cocksuckers with their subscription model.

seriously tho...

WTFWT

FedEx just said that we are fucked

>>51455475
The rangzposting finally got to them.

>>51455036
Apparently I was too soon

>>51455494
>>51455503
OH FUCK

>>51455426
>>51455460
No one, I agree demand will be lower. But if we are talking about how rising rates affects consumers, I dont think it really will. We arent going to see foreclosures and defaults. Maybe cars but people are always stupid about cars.
>>51455460
>. I'm just saying what happens i
Yeah true. There is a lot of "it will be fine when we finish rates". What happens if inflation remains at that point. Thats the panic mode. I personally am ok with 10% rates. Ill load up on those treasuries. Investments will recover with time anyway.

>>51455475
oh fuck!!!

Ready for friday?

>>51455502
goddamn am i glad i didn't sell my SQQQ yet

>>51455475
>>51455532
Fedex just pushed their shit in, the fedex news will reverberate through the market tomorrow. They’re literally one of the best ways to gauge consoomers ordering shit

>>51455529
>We arent going to see foreclosures and defaults.
See this is where you're wrong. you're going to see people underwater on their mortgages, and then you combine that with the recession and people unable to make money defaults and foreclosures are absolutely on the menu.

>>51455546
i sold because i had some gains- of course NOW it was a bad idea and not a good one. Oh well. Im green for the day.

>>51455588
HELOC’S are the next big ticking time bomb in Real Estate people have gone absolutely out of their minds with HELOC’S over the last few years and then buying short term rentals. Those two things combined is what’s really going to to be bd for real estate

>>51455588
I’m thankful my rate is super low and fixed. Plus I’ve paid a fair bit down.

>>51455529
Yeah, it'd be worth seeing average CC balance by credit score, % of mortgages that are fixed vs adjustable rate, other details like that. This hiking cycle does certainly feel like more of a value/wealth effect hit than the interest cost hit we saw create 2008, you're right.

However if we hit 10% on bonds, do not buy them. Because at that point you're looking at actual, honest to God default risk.

>>51455588
Being underwater just means you lost money on your purchase. If you are at a fixed interest rate and you keep your job. There wouldnt be any foreclosures. Thats my point. There isnt any down ward pressure right now. Everyone still has low expenses and are employed.

>>51455452
>Charges subscription for fucking Photoshop when any retard with a Windows 10 can pirate it.
They deserve it. All of the douchebags from my business school work in sales there.

>>51455584
I missed it, what happened to fedex?

>>51455546
>>51455608
I'm holding at least thru next week, and if we pump before fomc I'm buying more.

>>51455642
They sperged out and said inflation is bad

>>51455624
>honest to God default risk.
US default? Nah I doubt it. Government offices have too much money right now. They can just divert it all to debt payments.
>>51455642
Mega miss on earnings. Warning of reduced demand.

FEDEX

>>51454848
retard

>>51455642
Pulling the fiscal year earnings outlook and cut their eps estimate by a third, due to slowdown in demand and increasing costs. Mind you this is going INTO the holiday season.

>>51455633
No the problem with all these mortgages being underwater means they can't liquidate the fucking property to repay the loan. It compounds it. You're assuming that the economy is going to keep moving along fine, and I'm making the argument you're going to start to see a rise in unemployment. Shit is seriously about to hit the fan, and there are very few people who are prepared for what's coming.

>>51455642
Missed earnings, withdrew 2023 guidance from June, going hard on cost cutting measures internally due to weak demand. It's pretty bad.

>>51455657
cope glowing fed boy

when looking at spy;
during covid top to bottom drop was about -32% flash drop
we arent seeing this kind of a hit again not in our lifetime not likely, that was a real black swan.

-32% from our current ath brings us to about spy 325 thats the absolute bottom but i dont think we will get there. im thinking spy 360 would be more realistic as an absolute bottom. market is already struggling to push below 362.

there is nothing severe enough to bring us below spy 360. inflation is a nothing burger compared to covid. cpi was only slightly hotter than expected. if jpow hits it with a 100bps it will be taken care of, he wont though and will take it slower.

the market over-reacts to everything negative but we will overcome all of these problems. when the 75bps comes in next week we are going to rally and its not going to stop.

ASMB stock ladies!

He's seen enough. 125bps.

>>51455669
>and there are very few people who are prepared for what's coming.
so who is prepared? us neets baggot?

>>51455682
we going to 3100 easy...

>After hours 389.05 −1.07 (0.27%)
uh oh stinky

>>51455669
>argument you're going to start to see a rise in unemployment
But if that part doesnt happen, then there isnt going to be any collapse. So far employment keeps heating up. This economy is different than 2008. Its overheating now languishing downwards. So any unemployment that does hit will actually be a relief to the fed as inflation will come down.

>>51455682
you're assuming the all time highs were fair value and not inflated fucking 2-3 times higher than what they should have been.

>>51455695
the Jews

OLD ASS CATHERINE BELL TITTIES

>>51455682
>Imagine thinking you don't deserve what's coming.

>>51455652
>US default? Nah I doubt it. Government offices have too much money right now. They can just divert it all to debt payments.
Yeah, uh, recompute any numbers you're referring to. With 2022 data.

If you're feeling extra cheeky, factor in debt and revenue adjustments from a gigahike-induced recession.

>>51455682
>Come all you bulls to slaughter

>>51455725
I can't argue with the correct answer sir.
>tip of the hat old top

Circuit breaker tomorrow?

>>51455725
Happy shemitah

>>51455725

>>51455709
Keep in mind that employment is a lagging indicator. Especially since companies have already trimmed their staff to the bone these past few years. Once they're desperate enough to slough off employees needed for 5% U3, the world's ending.

>futures continue drilling after hours
3800 is my target
but ffs.
this meltdown was meant for next week
we were supposed to bounce going into the weekend

>>51455734
Right now yearly payments are $300 billion roughly. Most of the debt is short term fixed in notes. $300 billion can easily be serviced right now. The military is $900 billion for example. Even by issuing new debt at higher rates its not going to be a growing amount because the notes are so short term they are matured soon. I think it was mostly 2 and 5 year notes. So the debt burden doesnt become this massive ballon since most of it is run off. Not including that the fed could technically add it to their balance sheet in a way. Issue debt and pay itself on the debt is issued itself. Some weird quasi clownworld finance.

>>51455682
This line of thinking is exactly why we’re going lower. The amount of financial adviser copium is at ATHs. Can’t wait for all those advisors to get rugged by Powell.

>Fedex pulls guidance the day before quad witching

F. Pray 3600 holds (spoiler: it won't)

>>51455766
im going to save this for research.

>>51455636
Fucking this, you don't even need to pirate PS Gimp with mods is fucking free

>>51455503
>>51455521
>>51455475
>>51455653
>>51455726
Yeah it's over.

3400 we go

>>51455700
its not possible. do you understand there is a difference to what happened in 2020 to what is happening now?

>>51455710
doesnt matter. market prices are market prices. if the market was going to drop lower during 2020 it would have but it dropped to exactly were it did because that was the bottom. and it reached its ath the same way, that was the top.

>>51455669
military fags rise up

SMG is all saying we are a bear market....

You know what time it is...

>>51455786
It's not going down the way you think it is

I just had a massive dump but my bowel movement started after close
Wiping, there was some red
What does this mean for tomorrow?

>>51455776
Yeah but its been almost 3 full quarters now of this high inflation and rising rates game. Yeah the pressure will keep adding as rates go up but I think its possible to still avoid the issue of large unemployment. Its not just that rates are going up. We had 1 million people dead, and another 500k-1 million removed from workforce permanently via covid. Its really hard to see how that environment will have too many workers instead of too few. Its possible companies trim some fat but then start to hire new crops.

why are people theorizing when we know for a fact they're going to explode the dollar in order to implement CBDCs

>>51455814
>if the market was going to drop lower during 2020 it would have
you had trillions of dollars of stimulus injected into the market to stop the bleeding

>>51455786
Futures aren't open retard

>>51455829

>>51455789
Right, so it's continuously refinanced at our projected 7-10% rates instead of the current 3%. Which means within a couple years we need to find $600b more - every year - just to tread water.

Social Security, Medicare, the military, or literally everything else the Feds do: pick two. Those are what you, honorable congressman, must cut to the bone to make things work.

Or have the Fed print an extra $600b per year. But what do you think all those new dears will do to inflation? And then you're worse off than when you started. Now after being reelected, you gotta pick three...

Wake me up when Shemitah ends

>>51455844
>they're going to explode the dollar in order to implement CBDCs
question is what happens to gold?

>>51455669
Oh shit what up Bags you fuckin Jew?

Only down 68% this year boys

i'ma go get my notes ready for the ancient knowledge podcast. there's so much to go over tonight and I don't want to miss anything.

Ayo tone, if the bear market is so bad then why is NET still at 60?

All in on SOXL?

>>51455866
*all those new dollars

tl;dr we need low rates and stable, but high CPI to avoid default.

>>51455854
what you think they are just going to let the market bleed out to 0 and destroy the entire economy permanently? line go up for a reason. market is in the process of find the bottom right now, its being tested. if next week is poor we may drop to 360 levels but I highly doubt its even possible to go lower.

>Hosting outside group for business meeting today.
>It's seven women and one guy.
>Coworker closest to them comes to me in a hush.
>"Anon, these women are talking about contractions and dilations."
>"Yeah, well, we voted for this shit half-a-century ago."

>>51455866
>refinanced at our projected 7-10% rates instead of the current 3%. Which means within a couple years we need to find $600b more - every year - just to tread water.
Yeah but tax revenue will go up with that. Giving you a total amount thats larger to play with. Plus a lot of states have surplus. The feds can demand that back since covid is over and they got quite a bit of money to use. The feds also added a bunch of new excise taxes into stuff. The true test will be to see how much tax they get from this earning year.

Look at them trying to pump already, these faggots are persistent holy fuck.

>>51455843
Unemployment is fucked in rate sensitive sectors like construction and tech, but that's about it. Like I said, we'll have an apocalypse even without mass layoffs. That's what a reverse wealth effect can do.

>>51455922
it will go up first- then we go to 3600

>>51455862
Futures drilled to new lows in the hour following close. That fedex news was very bad for consumer sentiment.

>>51455904
>Government asking for money back it wasted
Lmao

It's always gayest before the dawn.

but did you see how many times it got rejected from the monthly open only for it to recover it?
that nonsense went on for 36 hours
I wanted to throw my computer out the window if it didn't reject HARD
thankfully it did.
but then it kept going and now I'm pissed I closed my shorts too early kek.

I absolutely fucking hate the way US500 trades.
It's such scammy price action it's unbelievable.
unironically BTC trades with less predatory behavior.

>>51455935
>construction and tech, but that's about it
so what other industries do we have?

>>51455954
did you sell with gains though?

>>51455904
Capital gains, corporate earnings, and real wages are all fucked. There go your state income taxes, federal income taxes (individual and corporate), as well as payroll taxes. 2021 was the high water mark for government revenues, even if Biden is staunching the retirement bleed of IRS agents.

>>51455801
Kek

>>51455958
>construction
no one will be layed off- in-fact its a real issue getting enough people like the military. Only when building stops will construction get hit.

>>51455958
Our fast food industry is second to none. So are our financial wizards (Jews).

>>51455967
of course, but I could've gotten double what I made kek

>>51455958
Is the end of the world in this room with us?

>>51455983
>I could've gotten double what I made kek
stop- you played it right. Well done anon, be happy for yourself, you played it right.

>zoo vill zeat ze bugz unt zoo vill zlike it

>>51455981
What is the series of indicators that tell you construction has stopped? As in, their order.

market is going to fucking explode upward next week and all of you who OVERREACT are going to get BTFO.
>75bps NO SURPRISES
literally nothing in the way to stop the green dildos till the end of the year. except for the 7th Nov.

>>51455981
even fucking amazon is laying people off. WAKE THE FUCK UP BEFORE ITS TOO LATE!!!!

reminder my dream week or two ago had two big red dildos. now we have one. im expecting another one thanks to my clairvoaynt dream. ive been mentionin this dream a bunch so hope someone listened. now im gonna stop mentionin and see how it goes.

fomc is spooking me a little so might take profits and re-enter on smaller pos size.


also the reason for this post. some TA magic. nsdq needs to close - .10% tomorrow for it to lock this candle.

>>51456032
>reminder my dream week or two ago had two big red dildos. now we have one. im expecting another one thanks to my clairvoaynt dream. ive been mentionin this dream a bunch so hope someone listened. now im gonna stop mentionin and see how it goes.

Was there a smaller green dildo between them?

whos buying at these prices?

>>51456066
nope consecutive two big red dildos. this weekly one looks the right size so might be weekly candles. so could be greenish days but shoul be big red week.

>>51456007
construction is seasonal and typically slows down every winter already, so basically we won't know exactly how fucked it is until next year.

>>51456082
Cathie Woods

FDX

So what happens tomorrow?

>>51455843
>1 million people dead
Hey moron, the median age for those deaths was above the average lifespan. Nobody who wasn't already at death's door died from that and that had zero effect on the workforce.

>>51456150
crab day followed by weekend

290 breached AH

>>51456160
>crab day
Uh i think we had enough of those

>>51456173

>>51455922
Of course. FedEx going to shit is bullshit and brainlets haven't realized yet this will force the Fed to pivot faster if thingsstart going wild. Blasting EPS into half means stonks is terrible overvalued and that will collapse boomers portfolios and their pensions. Bad news is the best news you get right now - a recession is nearly priced in unless banks shit themselves all over again like 2008 and something in finance breaks.

>>51456032
>reminder my dream week or two ago had two big red dildos
now that is a sentence

>>51456189
>fed
>pivot

>>51456189
We talk about things being priced in when spy tests 360.

>>51456189
is this fed pivot in the room with us right now?

>>51456189
>a recession is nearly priced in unless banks shit themselves all over again like 2008 and something in finance breaks
Can you tell me how banks make money?

>>51456189
>a fucking pivot bulltard

>>51455682
>there is nothing severe enough to bring us below spy 360
Semitah hasn't ended yet

What the FUCK happened to amazon?

>>51456189
I know a few big wigs at UPS, they are saying "shits dried up quick out of nowhere" but they are blaming it on USPS

>>51456197
Fiscal spending is still handing out free hits of crack while the fed is trying to get people to quit

>>51456206
Mannarino said they magically profit whenever interest rates rise.

In fact, without checking I'm going to assume XLF has been on an absolute tear this year.

>>51456136
it's over FDX bros...

>>51456236
>Memearinno

opinion discarded

>>51456243
Anon, I was being sarcastic. Look at XLF.

>>51456082
SP500 is actually cheap if you look at current treasury yields. Unless forward P/E shits itself (which it won't unless you have a mega recession ahead) there's no reason for money to be in anything but stonks right now. See what buying at 10% yields got ya back in 80's after maturity and what purchase power you'd have left 30 years after. It's ridiculous.

>>51456249
>he doesn't know about the mega recession
we've got a lot further down to go kek

>>51456248
oh, my mistake sir carry on.

>>51456249
>unless you have a mega recession ahead

>>51456189
>>51456238
FedEx CEO is going to be on mad money with Cramer tonight

>>51456236
they borrow at the front end of the yield curve and lend at the back end of the yield curve. with the short term treasuries trading higher than the back end, they can't make money this way right now.

New

>>51456274
>>51456274

>spy wont go below 360

things will be different am i right?

>>51456249
>worried about just a mega recession
Whatsa giga depression factor in like?

Great job.

>>51456249
>(which it won't unless you have a mega recession ahead)
isn't there though? They stopped printing money

>Divvie payment delayed by broker because of a public holiday
>On an automated service
>On a payment coming from an overseas company into my account

>>51454870
I will never understand why you people brag about a 4 figure portfolio, or a double or triple digit profit, or even a quadruple digit profit if your portfolio is under 6 figures.
>but muh steep balance curve
>but muh percentage gain
>if i had a gorillion dollars in my account, i would have made a trillion dollars today!!!1
If you could maintain a decent trajectory percentage-wise, you wouldn't be laughably piss-poor. Do NOT screenshot any portfolio less than $100,000 or any day's gain less than $1000, nobody gives a FUCK about your retarded options play that yielded a 700% return on your $3 investment.

>>51456206
Why do you think they have a ton of cash they haven't spent so far? Watch them position themselves to lend at higher rates when credit dries up.

If you enjoyed the actionable trading content in this thread make sure to fully subscribe, join the commentary, and smash that like button to boost the basket weaving algorithms. You’re support helps ensure more valuable and cheeky SMG content.

>>51456287
Can you post an updated version faggot. It’s already mid september

>>51456401
>You’re support
*ur support

>>51455678
retard

>>51455981
I am an inspector in the San Francisco area and will confirm building has slowed down for megacaps. Google and Apple put a couple projects on hold while we finish the 7 current builds in the area. There are many others that have scrapped plans in the last year.