/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>51211440
the 4 year crypto cycle should be common knowledge by now

>>51211440
What bear market?
t. lunchad

>>51211486
>common knowledge
see ya all in 2028

>>51211440
end of year
>reasoning
halving cycles best time to buy is about a year before halving
if halving cycles fail, crypto is over unironically and is more dependent on USD monetary policy than we thought
as in bitcoin only went up after 2008 because money printer go burr not because of cypherpunk idealism

for some reason, you all keep thinking crypto will die as an asset without bitcorn. are you all btc maxis or something?

>>51211440
Realistically we can expect this bear market to last until 2024, earlier if we're lucky

>>51211628
>as in bitcoin only went up after 2008 because money printer go burr
you're beginning to understand

>>51211440
Bottom's in, nigger

>>51211713
do you hold avax my good sir

>>51211713
Faggot idiot… bottom will be sub $10k I imbecile nigglet

We should have a little more than 200 days until the end of bear market based on the relative length of the bear market in previous cycles. Every part of the cycles have been getting longer, the previous bear market lasted for 539 days, we are just below the 300 day mark. I have this info and a lot of other things at work but I can't phone post the janiggers range banned my phones ips. Even then when bear market is over then we have another year of incredibly slow climbing

>>51212188
2018 bear market was shorter than 2015, also the 2021 bullrun was shorter than the 2017

>>51211440
Anywhere from 2 to 12 years depending on whether or not China invades Taiwan before another bull cycle can start. Upwards of 20 years in case of world war 3 and never in the case of nuclear holocaust.

>Crypto is one big Ponzi scheme. Tokens go up only when there are enough suckers to buy more of them
>Crypto has no intrinsic value. Unlike fiat, crypto isn’t backed by anything
>Crypto is killing the planet
>Crypto isn't safe. People keep getting hacked
>Crypto is for criminals
>Bitcoin was invented in 2008 and has failed to take off
>Blockchains aren't good for anything
>I still can’t buy my cup of coffee with Bitcoin
>Web3 is clunky and too hard to use

>>51212208
fomo alert

>>51211440

Until pootin loses the war and European energy prices will return back to normal, why?

>>51212396
more like "nobody knows what the fuck is going to happen anymore, 4 year cycles were proven to be wrong, lengthening cycles don't make sense, s2f is completely wrong, rainbow chart is wrong" etc
tl;dr uncharted territory for BTC

>>51212530
s2f is still correct

>>51212530
i think best to play it like a tech stock, likely recession to continue causing poor investor confidence and we know where that leads

>>51213064
>t. desperate top buyer

>>51211628
Watch bitcoiners become dovish on the Fed in the next 12 months while they try to get crypto regulated. The bankers have won

>>51213089
im waiting to slurp my friend, i think btc will go lower

This is the bull market bro

2023 is the year of the bear

>>51212530
Isn’t it common knowledge that bull markets are created by mega whales? None of it is organic. A mega whale starts buying to kick off the fomo. Normal fish have no market influence. You can ride a long.

>>51211440
To be honest, there's still a long way down we should go, unless the market is better positioned than the last time.
2018-19 was rough. The 18' summer and winter crashes were massive. 6k and then 3.5k broken in six months from the ath of 20k in January if that year. Alts got absolutely obliterated.

This "bear" is still pretty much in the green.

>>51213186
yeah, point is you can't predict this shit

>>51211440
>how much longer do you think this crypto bear market will go on for?
From 2 to 8 years.
It really depends if we will have an economical crisis (which we probably will, sorry pal).

You see, despite what retards say, crypto is vulnerable to inflation. If you buy crypto for 1 USD yesterday, and sold for 1 USD today, you lose money. My inflation is your inflation.

And as the majority here knows, the absolute majority of crypto investors are not investors, but people with disposable income trying to 10x their "investments" because they saw a TikTok of someone who did it and now has an underage girlfriend (who doesn't want an underaged girlfriend?). The problem with economical collapses is that people don't have the disposable income to gamble on funny memes, and even the people who are holding will need real money at some point, because thanks to inflation, shit gets more expensive. You see, the whole crypto scam is what people call a "no sum game", there is no wealth creation. There is no service or product that aggregates value. At the end of the day, crypto IS GAMBLING.

>>51211440
>explain your reasoning
why?

>>51213250
quality post

>>51212422
you know that ukraine is getting fucking rekt right now, right? Their big counteroffensive got obliterated.

October 3 will be the bottom

>>51211527
2025

>>51213158
>>51212422
>>51211440
Stare into my eyes and hear my words bobos

Let's get one thing straight. You WILL short those link bags. You WILL be happy with a 10% dump. That much I can tell you. A guard will come by your pod three times a day to administer the mood detection test. Should it read "insufficiently bearful," there will be an appropriate response. So, let me say it real clear. You're going to live with the dumps. You're going to keep all your profits. Yes, it will mostly dump, and you're going to love it.

>>51213158
What the fuck was 2022

I'm expecting things to start recovering next year but only winter will let us know if that's a possibility or plain cope.

I expect NFT hype to fully die out as well as blockchain gaming in general with a few exceptions like Axie that managed to become mainstream.

I'm holding tight on to my $DEXT since I expect more and more people to get redpilled on why KYC is bad.

Other than that, nobody knows.

>>51215015
>he thinks normans will understand why anonimity is powerful
anon, i...

It's all downhill from here OP everybody is on severe amounts of hopium

>>51214228
based

>>51215015
chinance is too comfy to get flipped though it will face serious competition imo

>>51214294
the prelude

>>51211440
When the merge happens Eth will pump bigly and probably so too will everything on the Eth network which is a lot of stuff.

>>51211440
Doesn't exist for LUNChads

At least until spring 2023

No, don't want to

>>51216854
>He thinks the merge isn't already priced in
>he thinks they won't frontrun the event
Yikers!

>>51211440
All the way until JP turns doveish

>>51214294
2022 was the year of the tiger
2023 will be the year of the hare

>>51211440
The failure of ETH 2.0 will destroy all GPU mining incentive, crashing prices and destroying decentralization for the foreseeable future
This crash right now is just the smart money pricing that in

>>51211440
2024 is the next halving, so keep it till then, or bang some smart Gemz with solid utility not craps around

>>51217041
Check BTC.D, crypto will unironically finally depeg from this mongoloid king shitcoin really soon. I'd even say that BTC.D right now is the generational top.

>>51212310
That's some insanity about to happen
>>51212347
>>Go hug your wife you would be fine
>>51213134
Regulation is definitely setting into Crypto and would continue that way, guess why Alliance block is heeding and building compliance infrastructure init ecosystem

>>51217059
Can't wait for that to happen, it' been too relient on stocks and FEDs news

>>51211440
crypto isn't in a bear market. The global market is in a bear market, crypto is just following

>>51211440
>how much longer do you think this crypto bear market will go on for?

>>51211440
2Q23
>why
Halving
>but that's not unti-
It ramps up prior
>>51211628
I have reason to believe this is true too I just don't consider it the most likely outcome.
>>51213089
S2f is probably right at the core but this model for some dumb reason always assumes a 10x after halving, which is pretty obviously not realistic, every cycle the gain is getting smaller (this is not surprising either)