/biz/ - Business & Finance

First for poopoo the pig

>GUSH
>NRGU

>>49647783
based

>>49647762
>(embed) (embed) (embed)
cringe

Is holding SQQQ though the .75 hike a good idea?
Please anon

>>49647797
Sorry, those are bad plays until stocks stop shitting the bed 10% a week.

>He bought fake internet "coins" instead of real things
oof

>>49647762
Reminder

im scared

Is a 25% salary increase good after being a junior dev for 6 months?

im waiting

Rocker is a flaming homosexual who can't post kek

>>49647873
>>>/g/tjg

Uhhhh bros
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hedge-funds-just-sold-stocks-fastest-pace-record-surpassing-even-lehman-liquidation-spree

>>49647861
>"The Fed Funds Rate will now equal the previous month's CPI. The FOMC is adjourning until 2025. I will not be taking questions."

>>49647873
Uh congrats on keeping up with inflation I guess.

>>49647886
he also capitulated yesterday lmao

What are you gonna do when daddy Jerome only hikes 50 bps tomorrow

>>49647762
I'm holding my ITM puts overnight. I will either make it or become destitute and I do not really care either way it goes. I think my dopamine receptors are shot

>>49647902
Holy based

>>49647896
capitulation. bullish

>>49647873
>Works in one of the richest fields
>Doesn't know how much his salary bump is worth
All I know is if they don't give you a raise at least once a year, you should quit.

>>49647922
Dump everything.

>>49647819
No that’s peak retardation. A negative equity gamble at best but likely just a total punt. If you want to gamble on a recession you would be better off and have higher returns just buying straight puts

>>49647873
i'd say so. congrats anon. it took me about 5 years to double my salary when i started

>>49647922
wait for him to do it again next month

>b-but muh RATES, muh State DEBT
Who fucking cares. Rates ARE fucking negative right now. When you have rates at 3.5% and inflation at 8%, yes, rates are negative, and the state profits from it. Because inflation is not just big numbers going up to nowhere. It's big numbers also going in the state's pockets.

>>49647969
In the netherlands salaries are fucking shit though, it's not like america where people earn 100k

>>49647916
Homosexuality and SOXL goes together like pb&J

>>49646825
>support my nieces
I hope their father sees through your disgusting lies and deception and gets a restraining order against you. I would never let a fag around my children, faggot

>>49647896
Neat

just long usd against any shitcoin that isn't the usd.

>>49647861
Oh yeah? try again buddy

>>49648026
This is probably why they turn to children. He doesnt want a disease

reminder we are highly unlikely to see the fed raise rates over a total of 3%

>>49648034
>any shitcoin
Go to forex
Short EUR/USD on 500x margin
Wait for jpow to increase rate 100bps
It goes under 1
Profit

>>49647967
>N-NO DONT HOLD SQQQ, JUST GET RUGPULLED BY PUTS GOYIM!!!
sorry, buuuuuut I'm holding SQQQ for the crash.

>>49648011
i started at 50k, although that was awhile ago

>>49648130
yeah, eur and gbp prefeably, because they both suck donkey dicks.

>>49648114
most retarded thing i ever read. current interest rates dont impact existing debt, only new debt.

>billy ACK-man thinks 75 or higher will rally the markets
>we didn't have the drop that would classify any proceeding rally as a dead cat bounce

WEW LADS

>>49648114
Current inflation is tied more to oil prices, the Fed will do this shit because institutional money is worried about it now and then BRRR like crazy

Oh please answer

>>49647992

>>49648134
doing the same praying to allah

>>49648243
rate hikes also lead to demand destruction.

SPY really almost broke 370 today

stop posting anime girls yal cumsoomer freaks

So many ways to short the market
Calls on SQQQ?
Poor mans covered calls on SQQQ?
Selling put credit spreads on SQQQ?

Hmmmmmmmm.......... Which one should I choose

So mumu gets a lil rally tomorrow and then it dumps to hell on thursday and friday right?

They are turning the rate decision into the freaking super bowl. There is no outcome that can appease the market.

>>49647863
You should be

Quad witching is this Friday and the end of june is typically bad for the S&P 500 especially during mid-term years.

>>49648278
Big players shedding risk make massive market moves, everyone rushes in to be ahead of the move and ultimately it moves even further

>>49648349
Fuck off

How long until I never have to see a stupid fucking crypto thread on this board ever again? How long until that stupid shit dies forever?

Why aren't you all in on SPXS?

>>49648329
As someone completely disillusioned with sports, it's fucking awesome. Market hours are like /sp/ game threads 5 times a week.

>>49648367
No.

I might buy if we drop another 10-15% from here.

>>49648329
The markets are predicting 75 point hike. If that is what we get market will either be crabby or it will moon. Because the market correctly predicted the fed and we did not get rugged.

>>49648114
This dudes fucking retarded, interest payments stay the same.
Faggots who don’t know how bonds work are truly, 100% I guarantee you this is the best counter trading sentiment to exist, the biggest red flag a brainlet is talking to you.

>>49648374
How angry are you going to be when your 1684th obituary doesn't come to pass, and crypto is back in full force next year?

>>49648374
This board only exists because of crypto

>MSTR down to 150 after hours

I knew that pump wasn't fucking real

>>49648114
What is the mechanism by which inflation lowers due to rate hikes?
People buy more bonds so the fed doesn't have to?
But people don't want bonds hence yields increasing because they know they can lock in a better rate when the fed hikes. So continuously hiking means the fed has to print more to buy govt bonds and pay higher interest?
So how is any of this lowering inflation?
And why are people exiting bonds and securities to hoard dollars when there is high inflation? Shouldn't the opposite happen?
I'm confused

>>49648112
Yes, its the only way they can spread the evil gay worm that causes faggotry

>>49648411
>interest payments stay the same.
What's the average maturity of government debt right now? I've heard anywhere from 2 years to 10 years.

>>49648278
It’s because the actual bull market is in the dollar. Dollar is completely overstretched, has been since 2008, and that’s why this is the everything bubble.

BUDDY

New investor looking to capitalize on tomorrow's rate hike. I'm thinking about short selling stock and longing it to hedge against a price increase.
Obviously if my short bet works, I'm not going to sell the longed stock at a loss as the worst case scenario is that I hold it for the long run.
The biggest concern I have is price mismatch due to volatility, but I'd like to hear any other thoughts or strategies that would.

Why we are getting raided by /a/?
Listen here faggot your $100 investment ain't going to do shit. Go back to your fake world you freaks..

>>49648431
More expensive loans => fewer loans => less economic activity

>>49648431
The cost to borrow increases so growth is slowed, people can't afford credit and they can't spend, companies go bankrupt and layoff employees, to destroy demand and drive down prices.

>>49648441
ivermectin cures fags kek

>>49648480
which means less production of goods which means inflation lingers because we don't have a surplus of goods to sit around and consume until we recover

>>49648425
ngl, pretty mad. I hate seeing stupid people voluntarily rope themselves regardless of the edgy shit I post. Seeing people happy or gleeful about doing something stupid makes me very upset.

>>49648427
Nah, it didn't used to be sub-IQ wagies and pajeets shitting it up with pipe dreams of making it. Used to be more disillusioned Lolberts and some intelligent/savvy posters who recognized the ponzi moonshot opportunity, got in and got out. I know two who did this IRL. They have nothing to do with crypto now apart from, "good luck".

>>49648410
looking back on this show, that purple haired loli had actual autism I feel

>>49648466
>TFW YWN turn100 into 1 million.

>>49648431
It cuts consumer demand. People become broke because because they can't take out loans. They can no longer use their home as a bank. This will dramatically cut consumer ability to spend and it will put inflation on halt. Prices won't come down though. It will for assets only.

What they can't do is fix supply chains.

>>49648500
why do you think the media ran a smear campaign on it?

>>49648446
5 years, give or take because there’s some debt they don’t report. The fed average maturity of their holdings is 11 years though

>Biden to release 45 million more barrels from SPR
>dipped WTI crude from $122 to $117
>already back to $119
ffs, crude will be $125 by EOW at this rate.

>>49648518
>They have nothing to do with crypto now
Sounds like they got out a lot earlier than they should've. Also I see now why you're so bitter, you know those guys but you're not one of them haha

I‘m down 14% on TMF. I want out

>>49648578
Thank god already bleeding from UNG

>>49648578
If only we had a way of buying oil from our dear Canadian friends

>>49648500
You’re gonna make it.

>>49648578
It’s an actual retard move as usual. Midterms can’t come soon enough to tie his hands behind his back.

Bros I think I've figured out my strategy. Sell SPXS tomorrow morning. Then buy more on Friday at presumably a lower price.

>>49648578
I honestly don't understand why that moves the price so little.

Anyone buy anything today? I bought some more FDVV and WBD.

>>49648639
>tfw can't express my thoughts on our Canadian government without a vpn

>>49648561
not sure if that story checks out. Dude shits and walks away. Then bros go investigate the shitter and see that he didn't flush and saw worms. Do fags really not flush?

>>49648581
True. They made bank, but they also admit to have taken a huge gamble with throw away $$$$. Both MIT alum, comp sci guys. They recognized the ponzi potential and threw 10k in like 10 years ago then sold last summer. It worked for them, but they also advised my gf's sister not to fuck with crypto. I do the same. It's stupid gamble made by poor wagies who are being robbed by pajeets (who are much smarter clearly) in India. Just a money transfer to Bhar, India at this point. I'm just so sick of the delusion! 100k WAITING ROOM, SIRS! GET IN HERE! Easily regulated, garbage tokens backed by poor wagies and lost dreams is totally the future, dooooths! WE're reinventing the wheel and making history while wasting electricity, dooths!
The tards don't understand that currency (fiat) is backed by a large standing army with guns. Not dropout NEETs with zero net worth.

>>49648278
Learn what Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis is and how interest rates affect it.
Stocks spent years getting to these valuations because There Is No Alternative (TINA) to stocks; well with rates going up there is now an alternative.

>>49648205
>>49648411
This. Im tired of meme posters from /pol/ trying to bait about debt somehow blowing up as rates rise.

>>49648705
Growing up this was the kind of joke we told about china.

>>49648708
I didn't read the story. I know that over 60% of fags have parasites while the number is much much lower for straight people

>>49648646
>On February 25, 2022, the SPR held 580 million barrels of crude oil.
>releasing 180 million
>releasing 45 million more
We're now down below 2/3 of the SPR.
>>49648639
He'll have to buy it all back in the fall ffs.
>>49648677
It's 45 million barrels. We use over 20 million per day. Thanks for the 2 days of oil Uncle Joe!

>>49648512
Yeah, economics has tons of those sorts of feedback loops but in this case the goods production takes a while and doesn't get impacted as much as demand destruction (because more loans are taken out for "demand" stuff than production/supply/capex)

>>49648564
Thanks, brah.

>>49648629
It's easy to fix that typo, you want TM*V*. TMV.

>>49648677
Because its usually such a small volume as to daily use globally. Also,

>Oil Prices Spike As OPEC Reveals Production Loss For May
At same time today.

So tomorrow's red no matter what

>biden has no ability to control gas prices
>biden releases strategic reserves to increase supply in attempt to control gas prices

>>49648710
>currency (fiat) is backed by a large standing army with guns
Now google what "backed" means in the context of a currency, MIT alum. And maybe shut the fuck up next time

I'm up 65% YTD from buying puts.

Why didn't you guys go short and buy puts I don't understand?

Can someone please explain what your throught processes were? It was the most obvious short ever, likely the easiest money you could make your entire life. Obviously now is getting a little risky, but I still have shorts open.

>>49648784

>>49648784
Or crab again

>>49648701
I'm waiting for the end of June. Then I'm running a python script to do my trading.

>>49648768
>easy to fix that typo, you want TM*V*. TMV.
I got TMV too. Up 23%

>>49648783
MBS fucking hates Biden lmfao.
>>49648788
>Biden has no control
>but Putler controls the global oil price and market

>>49648815
I wasn't approved for buying puts until May :(

>>49648795
What, you haven't exercised your right to call in airstrikes yet? Fiat is REAL, get over it!

>>49648838
>MBS fucking hates Biden lmfao.
If biden does go theyll agree to nothing. MBS has hated Biden even before he became potus.

>>49648834
I see. I just like to nibble at things I plan on holding on to for a while.

Predictions for tomorrow?

>>49648784
If they hike the rates its red because bonds are more appealing as they are less risky with decent yield, interest on margin becomes more expensive, and we risk defaults on existing ARM loans.
If they don't hike the rates inflation continues spiraling out of control and the economy goes down the shitter.
Its a damned if they do, damned if they don't situation.
The only thing that would save the economy is biden backtracking his green agenda and getting oil companies to start drilling again. Which he won't do because they hate america and are owned by (((them)))

>>49648829
I;m thinking about thos Beans

>>49648768
If they’re rolling short term debt though, all it means is in 5 years average payments will be 1.5% on 20 trillion or whatever.

>>49648910
red then crab until the meeting in the afternoon then we pump or dump

>>49648910
Absolutely schizo movement.

ENOUGH

>mfw powell says they might not be able to totally control inflation

>>49648914
Can you just invest in a bond etf to take advantage of that?

>>49648815

I was waiting to short oil. Tech short is getting risky now like you said, but oil short is just about ready to pop.

>>49648795
I understand what you're getting at retard, but ultimately it's a government with guns that backs the petrodollar- not NEETs with debt.

When you demonstrate value, you historically demonstrate you have the item of equal value to complete the transaction. I don't like paper either, but it's a lot better of demonstrating you have the rug, then burning it in front of the buyer. Completely wasting energy capable of doing work on a system and transferring it into heat is useless to everyone involved. Bitcch all you want, but a token without electricity is useless inherently, useless without electricity, and useless individually as most aren't stupid enough to accept something with zero tangible value.

furthermore, you're a fool if you think some magical wealth transfer to wagie will ever occur. You have any idea how fast the feds would shut something like crypto down if it actually became a rival tender (not that it ever would)?

>>49648834
The thing is that we aren't flat, but going nigger red

>>49649011
You don’t think oil will continue to go up ?

>>49648910
Statement leaked: >>49647902

>>49648926
>1.5%
Well, 1.5% on the short term debt. Whatever they roll over into new 5, 10, or 30 years will be 3.5% or whatever.
>on 20 trillion
Uh, chief, we're at 30.

>Current tax revenue: 4.2t
>Current spending: 6.1t
>0.035*30t = 1.05t
Oh no.

>>49649011
>I was waiting to short oil
Why? Refinery is fully maxed out and OPEC cant even reach production targets. What is going to cause oil to drop suddenly?

>>49648677
Petroleum is crude oil. While there are supply constraints with oil, the biggest problem is the bottleneck at refineries, which will have to process the crude before it can be sold. Further, releasing from SPR is in effect a subsidy on demand rather than supply, where supply is the cause of the price increases. Lastly, our refineries are from the 70's and no industrial facility is designed to run at 100% for more than a couple of weeks. At capacity, things break and no down time is allotted to fix them. The parts to fix our industrial facilities are in short supply, as are the people trained to do so. See: Freeport explosion. I know the main theory about tons of industrial accidents this year is sabotage, and that may be the case with some of it, but these plants have been running at full capacity for over a year. These problems will continue to get worse, and the barely noticeable change in oil price today will reflect that.

>>49648784
Line goes all crazy on Fed shitpost day regardless. Clarification only comes in following days.

>ZERO shares left to short on one of the small caps i own

>Long CTRA
>short ARKK/CRWD
Am I fucking up???

Also
How’re you doing today?

>>49649038
Amazon's P/E ratio of 50 apparently is less ridiculous than XOM's P/E ratio of 16.

>>49649011
>waiting to short oil
You just missed your chance

>>49649049
>>49649038
NTA but if we hit a 2008 demand destruction moment/recession, I'm not so sure the price of oil will go down. That skyrocketing unemployment will prompt rate cuts and QE that'll kill the dollar.

To say nothing if Xi decides to give us a little push and "conveniently" build up his SPR.

>>49648834
>>49649037
>The thing is that we aren't flat, but going nigger red
I guess if you combine the headwind of this being an election year and having a general downtrend, I should wait until before the mid-term election...after which the stocks will crab. My algo is good for crabbing or a bull market. It's about net zero in a downtrend but makes some bad trades in my backtesting.

>>49647902
>"Also everything except TVs from the index"
>"Nothing personnel kids"

>>49649011
>oil short is just about ready to pop
Give it another month or two. iirc oil broke in july in 2008, but this year could be different.

are futures?

>>49649122
new cars has to be a lie, I remember dad buying his new Geo Prizm for like 10K

Do you think if picrel goes through, it’d be a good time to go heavy on DRIP?

You guys aren't being very 1970s

>>49649046
It will be 1.5% average. If half the current debt is rolled over in 5 years, average payments will be 1.5% higher

>>49649172
>the poo brown decade

>>49649046
On the bright side fed capitulates the rate will go back to zero. Then negative. Bond yields are always long term going to zero. Especially with an already advance debt bubble. See japan. They are forced to take losses because they cant raise rates.

>>49649101
If we double down on rate cuts and qe, we go full weimar.

>>49649004
I think you would want to take a short position on a bond ETF to profit off it because bond ETFs current bond holding will lose value as new bonds are introduced at higher rates. Tickers would be BOND or PDBC
Although someone with better knowledge of bond markets feel free to correct me if this is wrong.

>>49649122
Wew lad. What would this do to stocks?

>>49649172
A bit too far back for my liking.

>>49648891
MBS controls OPEC and its output. Because of gas prices in the US and upcoming elections, he now has leverage over the US. Don't forget the meeting is with Israel as well. The gist of the meeting is whether the US will allow war with Iran, in exchange for OPEC output. Biden has shown he's fine with ignoring the green policy BS on products from other countries and has knows what this meeting is about. He will agree to it. Screenshot this post.

>he sold
This you faggit

>>49648924
I love taking a few cans of bush beans, adding them to a crock pot and adding bbq sauce to them and slow cook them for 5 hours. Fucking delicious and the braps are breath taking

>>49649187
Ah right. We're fucked in like 10 years instead of 5.

>>49649172
Fine, I'll put on some disco.

>>49649156
The amount of shit they've spewed to bring down oil
MY CALLS WILL PRINT

>>49649252
I wish my GTI was that easy to shift...

Am I lame for fucking a lot of 5s and 6s cuz I'm a horn dog

yes mom i'm eating in front of my computer again

>>49649216
Thank you. I’ll do some research.

>>49649251
>The gist of the meeting is whether the US will allow war with Iran,
War between Saudis and Iranians or Israel and Iran?

>>49649172
Here's a girl selling flowers by the roadside in Oklahoma, 1973.

>>49649250
We need to go back to when computers were for fags like that guy.

>>49649268
All I’m saying is the shocks to corporate borrowing are probably more pertinent, the government can always afford more debt at any rate, the corporations not so much

Futures greener than my girlfriends period

>>49649349
Better she sell flowers than her body

>>49649212
>>49649214
Haha, not like we need dollars for anything. Right, guys?

>>49649216
>>49649004
PDBC is a commodity fund. BOND is a long bond fund; others include TMF, LQD, and HYG. Short bond funds include shit like TMV and SJB.

You can look through the listings at https://etfdb.com/etfs/bond/ and https://etfdb.com/etfs/inverse/bond/

>>49649349
her feet are kind of gross

>>49649373
They're meaningless until pre-market opens.

>>49649349
that's a man I can tell by the pixels

>>49649349
A time before internet, shitskins, and global homo. Fuck, take me back

>>49649151
Doesn't count because new cars are 4.7 times better than all old cars, check the math.

>>49649426
I do like having a backup camera

>>49649251
>allow war with Iran, in exchange for OPEC output.
There's zero chance of that. Ras Tanura blows up the same day as Natanz.

>>49649358
Agreed. We're hitting corporate recession before sovereign default, no doubt.

>>49649420
we can never go back, our future is mystery meat

Lmao I backed into some MAGA chud's CTS today and broke his headlight. Just drove off

>>49649420
High-fructose corn syrup was first marketed in the early 1970s, so she had probably not grown up with the effects of sugar in everything either.

>>49649333
Checked. Both, and US and other Gulf States. They will not come out and say this was the concensus of the meeting, but Biden knows why he's going there and is already open to the idea or else he wouldn't be meeting with both Israel and KSA, after the Iran deal fell through and OPEC continually missed targets. OPEC only misses output targets when they want to. You will see major news outlets begin manufacturing consent for this war within a few weeks. It'll kick off around Sept or Oct if they're in a hurry, but may wait till after Nov election.

Rocker pays to post here, let that sink in

>>49649385
I know PDBC is technically a commodity fund - but all of the holdings are treasury notes / government bonds
DBC is the one that has all the agricultural stuff and oil in it. Thanks for the others.

What happened at the end of the day today? Why did we end green? Did the FOMC notes leak or some shit?

I love this little bunny more than life itself. 2d>3d
Women are worthless pieces of shit and balls of emotion that need constant management. Its like babysitting a child, every fucking day.

T. Gf haver
I think im going to break up with her soon. Markets be a bit sussin and im gonna dump this depreciating asset. Ive been busting my ass biking and eating healthier (besides monster aussie lemondades, shits good. One a day will kill me tho)

>>49649478

>>49649524
Wholesome pic,though the lewds are wild af

>>49649478
even better. he payed for like two 4chan passes to try to ban evade and then he instantly got big bans on them

>>49649484
>but all of the holdings are treasury notes / government bonds
No. Nooo no no no. That's a technical reporting requirement because those bonds are held as collateral for the underlying commodity futures. See the listing at https://www.invesco.com/us/financial-products/etfs/holdings?audienceType=Investor&ticker=PDBC

This applies to any futures or commodity fund. Like, an ETF takes $100k of investor money, buys a $100k lean hog contract by posting $5k worth of collateral, then holds $95k in cash (or cash equivalents).

>>49649478
begs the question what is more fucked?
>cleaning up shit for free
>paying to post when it is free
wonder if there are any jannies that pay to post and clean shit for free.

Last Friday mortgage backed securities had no bids. I’m a smoothbrain, but how exactly will the Fed get MBS off of their balance sheet if they’re competing with private banks and there’s very little/no demand. Plus won’t those MBS have very low interest rates compared to ones created this month?

looks like dark pool index have lost the little predictive power it had, now just moves along like moving averagse or any thing. better to stick to more powerful indicators

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8hBQIUp4i5w

>>49649478
>He does it for less than free

>>49649517
SPY ended red and NASDUMP slowly crabbed downwards to +0.18%.
What are you looking at?

>>49649450
The US overestimates its military and thinks it will be Desert Storm again. The US underestimates Iran's topology and how difficult it will be to push past Khuzestan. The Saudis will probably hang back to avoid being targeted, but Iran could probably take out Al Udeid.

>>49649569
I thought 4chin gold was a license to shitpost?

>>49648114
>that low res thumbnail

he might as well post it as a screenshot from his phones note application

>>49649440
Costs literally $20 to install if you're that kind of noob.

>>49649616
apparently not since rocker was complaining about getting banned on them

>>49649588
They have to sell for a loss further driving up yield premiums. Anything the fed does is futile.

>>49649478
Why did he pay for all those 4chan passes instead of:
>Disable Ethernet on desktop
>Enable Wi-Fi on desktop
>Reboot phone to get new Ipv6 address from base station
>Enable Mobile Hotspot and Tethering
>Connect desktop Wi-Fi to phone

>>49649581
ah okay didn't know that thanks for the info.

>>49649637
That is kind of the joke. My Honda Civic was twice the price, and the only benefit over a prism was a backup camera

>>49649588
Currently* the Fed is just doing QT by allowing existing bonds to mature and not plowing that cash back into things. Selling starts months from now.

And if there's no demand, they'll just lower the price. Someone *will* bid. That's what's happening with MBS's currently.

*Not even "currently". I think the first bonds start maturing tomorrow.

>Plus won’t those MBS have very low interest rates compared to ones created this month?
Yes. But it's not about the money, it's about sending a (liquidity) message.

>>49649667
4chan Pass is a retard tax

>>49649676
Sorry, hard to tell these days. Seen plenty of unironic morons say exactly this argument.

>>49649524
stfu pervert

>>49649603
There isnt going to be a war between saudis/Us vs Iran. Not while Russia is going on and Saudis cant even beat the houthis in yemen. Us military is fine, look at the losses of russia vs us losses in iraq and afghanistan. The Us has the largest air force in the world, we'd be fine but a war with iran wouldnt be like Iraq. Thats why its not happening.

>>49649603
Oh I meant in the sense of anyone expecting oil supply to go up in an "Iran war for OPEC output" deal. IRGC is all about that irregular warfare shit and we've seen what kind of havoc camel jockey Houthis can wreak.

>>49649667
Tripfags are so dumb they don't even know how to force a new IP and clear cache.

>>49648411
Interest payments on new debt become larger. Bonds themselves are a form of money printing, just over a longer term.
Which is why inflation will be persistent. The fed has no power here, they already spent all the money from the future, and all that's left is to reduce spending in the present.

cash boii since last september. when do i buy? im feeling ready to start buying. EOW?

>>49649679
No one wants the fed bags. They stink.

Siga chads. WGMI, let that sink in

>>49649601
Ah yeah you're right. I guess I was just green because of my SOXL. Still, y tho?

>>49649766
Two more months is probably a good time

>>49649654
Am smooth brain. Please explain yield premium.

>>49649679
So some of the money dumped into the market by buying MBS can’t be pulled out by simply selling.

And what does all of this mean for mortgage interest rates?

>>49649667
Some of us can't phone post because our service provider has a range ban. Not sure if that applies to rocker though. My home ISP also has a range ban for /tv/ so I assume someone using the same ISP node has a history of cunny posting.

>>49649679
who is that someone? Why would they bid on a loss?

Shit crashed yesterday. How tf has the selloff not even begun? And no, I'm not buying shit, pumping you or Cramers bags. I don't do slurpy time, nor do I gamble via options.

>>49648815
is there any advantages to buying puts over trading inverse etfs?

>>49649823

>>49649775
Yeah that's sort of what we're seeing in the treasury market right now. But even if a 10 year bond goes for 3.5% it does go.

>>49649797
>So some of the money dumped into the market by buying MBS can’t be pulled out by simply selling.
Well if they bought a $100m pile of shit and it matures at $95m or they sell it next year for $90m, it doesn't really matter. The bulk of the money (>90%) has flown back on to their balance sheet and gets written off.

>And what does all of this mean for mortgage interest rates?
Up. Possibly a lot.

>>49649860
Volatility decay?

>>49649823
ISPs assign IPs based on connecting MAC now, so you can just spoof the MAC on your router (or whatever device connects directly to the modem) and get a new IP easily.

>>49649823
I've seen range bans on mobile IPs but they typically go away in a few says. I guess living in a major city that cycles through a lot of IPs frequently helps.

Anyone else think the market is gonna go up this week

>>49649886
Doesn't exist
>>49649860
Leverage ratio of course.

>>49649885
What do you do anon? You seem to have above average financial literacy for /biz/

>>49649908
kek

>>49649122
How the fuck is software cheaper today than before? Everything is a pay per year or per month now. It absolutely costs more for software.

I hope treasuries sell off even harder I want powell to be too afraid to even hike 50 bps

>>49649776
$100 or $400
That’s the question

>>49649846
>who is that someone? Why would they bid on a loss?
Would you buy TSLA if I offered you some shares for $1? Yeah? Same principle - there's always a buyer for something as long as you adjust the price.

The "someone" is pension funds, hedge funds, investment banks, etc. Due to knock on effects the buyers for QT are anyone who gives a shit about "yield".

Note the knock on effect is the reverse of where QE gave money to everyone, regardless of whether they traded to the Fed or not.

>>49649860
Puts potentially have higher % returns - and higher risk.
>>49649895
Thankfully I've only been b&'d once and it was for saying the gamer word in /smg/ so I have no reason to ban evade.
>>49649896
idk any time I've tried to phone post in the last few months It's given me a range ban message.

>>49649944
I'm the chairman of the Federal Reserve.

>>49649947
Ah, but you can do so much more nowadays. Just look at the nudity mods for Skyrim! We'd have killed for that back in the day.

>>49649994
There must be a lot of degens in your neighborhood.

>>49649676
There's a spider that lives on my back-up camera and seeing him every morning before I go wagecuck is the only thing I have to look forward to.

>>49649735
>>49649706
The State Dept said today the meetings are to discuss Iran and oil output, hard to telegraph more than that. What else are they going to do, sanction them? Ukraine was armed by all of NATO and has this year become the 3rd or 4th highest funded military in the world, with American and European money, have rotated out of combat regularly for the last 7 years, and honestly got pretty lucky with Russia's complete fuck up in the beginning being centered around a mass tac airborne insertion into a defended airfield. In spite of all of this, they are crumbling and Russia will move on Odessa soon, at which point Western support will stop.

Ukraine is not Iraq or Afghanistan, Russia is not the US, and Iran is not Ukraine. Yemen would be steam-rolled by any non-Arab/African military in a few days, and Lebanon will be too. Both will probably be part of this, as will Turkey in some way as yet undetermined as they like to play both sides in everything. Iran will only be one front in what's to come.

>>49649679
>Selling starts months from now.
source

>>49650014
Ok JPow good posting with you

>>49649908
Magic internet money dumping is bearish for semis and BTCUSD often has a high correlation with NASDUMP. On the other hand, during the last quad witching in March, the big dumping ended the Monday in anticipation of the the quad witching Friday.

>>49649948
I don't follow. Nothingburgers are bullish for pets.com type stocks.

>>49650032
>source
>>49650014

>>49650051
Thank you. Hopefully this discussion has been helpful for your investing career.

>tfw not even allowed to joke about killing ourselves on /smg/ anymore

Fyi gen X is a billion times worse than Boomer's. Absolutely disgusting humans will cause tremendous financial downfall

>>49649948
>linear scale

>>49649896
im in south florida and i've never been able to post from mobile. i wonder what the shitposters here have been doing to cause the range ban

>>49650121
It is what happens when you take the Suicide prevention hotline and bad dragon link out of the op. The Janny has to remind you instead.

What did bog mean by this?

>>49650129
Literally who

>>49649948
>monkepox

uhhhh we dont call it that anymore, bigot
listen to the WHO please.

its called gay nigger pox now

Err I should say the money received for the bond is less, so effectively it's the same as paying a higher interest rate, as the debt was more expensive for the government to issue.

>>49650121
imo suicide is shunned because its traditionally a nobles right to avoid a terrible fate by ending their life by their own hand, control freaks hate it "nooooo you're just mentally ill you need to accept misery come work at McDonalds and go into debt or we're locking you away in a place that's basically prison but we make you pay for it and you have to take SSRI's!!!1"

>>49650193
I hope they give it a catchy scary name

>>49650121
What the fuck is that real?
do they think thatll stop somebody?

>>49650234
Remember how they called that thing the OMNICRON variant, like it was some kind of evil transformer?

Next we're going to get HELLPOX or GREYPLAGUE
Fucken clown world

>>49650193
Crazy how cheap those cheeses are. I hate cucknada so fucking much it's unreal.

>>49647873
dev bros if I only know sql, what should I learn to move up from there? I’ve been coding for several years but the only other thing I know is vba, some html/Java/c and meme shit like python/r
help

>>49650121
>Jannys care about me
T-They still suck

GBPUSD 1.20
what the FUCK

>>49650323
>>49647893

>>49650323
>only knows sql
>thinks he's been (((coding))) for even one second
lol
lmao

Let me get this straight....
... some women and a jew convinced you to... take your pay and purchase fake internet "money" called "bitcoins"?

>>49649765
>>49650196
The money they received back from releasing the bond was more or less already spent and accounted for at one value. But I get your point, and I don’t disagree with it, there will be a sovereign debt crisis at some point, but I think the eradication of what’s left in tax receipts will play a larger part than the government not being able to take out more debt. I could be wrong though, maybe we will push up against that wall where government spending outstrips tax receipts ferociously and causes an upwards spiral in rates without any recession needed

>>49650234
Since they named the coof covid, it'll probably be something like mopod or movid.

>>49650121
It's because we're doomping now

Most of the cases investigated declare they cannot identify the person who infected them". Oh boy

Oh shit siggers we gonna make it?

>>49650295
orthopox is a sweet name but not scary enough. I have no clue if its different than monkpox

Anyone here been watching USD/JPY? Does it seem like a good idea to buy some Yen to flip? Thoughts?

>>49650344
>implying fiat is any better

>>49650340
>>49650336
:’(

>>49650362
Do gays really just go to sex dungeons blindfolded and let anyone coom in them? What the fuck

>>49650389
What currency are people cashing out their bitcoins into, mark?

>>49650323

If you know how to write queries you could go for reporting and analytics positions building procedures, table functions, views etc for C-suites to pull out into their all-important KPIs.

Short hop from there to building data services and hooking it up to front-end tools. If you demonstrate that you're sharp a PM might let you take a crack at a dev requirement for such a thing.

Bros what if the GME schizos are right? I'm going to buy some shares just in case

>>49650340
Ok but Im a code monkey and I gotta say SQL alone can get you kinda far

>>49650370
Just started shorting the Yen
The hentai industry will be in shambles

>>49650421
Well its always been degeneracy
but /they/ call it love though

It's starting.

Nordic Gods get ready for this thunderous ride!

>>49650389
>regulated government notes backed by people with guns vs. internet magic money backed by ponzi schemes
I don't know.

bros.. is the fed actually going to tame inflation?

>>49650328
It was 1.196 at one point today. The pound will be walked down faster than EUR.

>>49650501
Correct me if I am wrong, but Nordic has paused vaccine production until eoy? If they use up all the reserves in the fag population what about the rest of the world?

>>49650463
>If you know how to write queries you could go for reporting and analytics positions building procedures, table functions, views etc for C-suites to pull out into their all-important KPIs.
I already do this

>Short hop from there to building data services and hooking it up to front-end tools.
Talk to me more about this. What front-end tools? like ssrs and gay shit like pbi and tableau? I’m trying to get away from that shit because it’s gay and I hate it

also short siga

>>49650421
Yes, I've been to one. They're weird.
My ex was friends with a girl who had lots of gay guys as friends, so she wanted to have a birthday party at a gay club, for fun. No one told her this was a bad idea. My ex made me go along because she didn't feel safe.
Well... I didn't feel safe. And I was just wearing regular nerdy white guy clothes... I wasn't walking around in assless chaps.
Good DJs though

>>49650487
Yes, but not programming-wise. Don't get me wrong, SQL is based even though cobol syntax is cringe, but it's a very niche DSL even though it's a must-know for everyone.

>>49650521
yes. they are the most competent people in our country. the elite of the elite. and they care about people like you

>>49650389
her beard is better than mine.. I wonder if I should get on test..

>>49650521
They will make stocks and housing dump. They don't want to raise interest rates until US becomes insolvent so they want consumers to feel poorer until they spend less.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wealth_effect

Will it be a crab fest or do you think (((they))) will try to preempt FOMC?

>>49650501
>men who have sex with men
I guess that's PC?

>>49650521
No lol

>>49650594
>Yes, I've been to one. They're weird.

Ugh

>>49650607
>test
If you are over 25 hop in bro

>>49650600

>>49650501
Men with penises or men with vaginas?

i dont know what to think. the market is not going to pump anytime soon, but shenanigans happen. i better just wait to buy anymore sqqq.

>>49650635
Yes.
>trannies
May be men
>who have sex with men
May mean trannies
Except, of course, they should have said "penis-havers" to be really PC, so now they can be sued for transphobia.

>>49650206
>shunned because its traditionally a nobles right to avoid a terrible fate by ending their life by their own hand
Maybe in Japan but not in the West since the Romans converted to Christianity. Thats like 1800 years of shunning suicide.

>>49650389
>Going from Stacy to Chad
The balls on this prick

RelativeValueIVSpread script for ThinkOrSwim. This is my Hidden Tiger detector.

>>49649963
Not if I knew Tesla was going sub 1$.
How do they guarantee there's value there?

50 is dump
75 is crab
100 is gigadump
pick your fighter

>>49650681
Christianity, as all religions, is a way to control the people. The point of forbidding suicide is to keep obedient slaves alive no matter how much they're oppressed. Meanwhile the leaders will suicide anytime it's convenient to avoid worse fates.

SIGA chads, the AH price is moving up for once

>>49650767
125

>>49650782
the fed would never dare to hike to a number completely in most people's left field

>>49650767
50 is gigapump actually, but anyway it will all depend on guidance. 100+0 will dump, but 100+100 will gigadump. 75+0 will pump (but it's the kind of pump worth shorting by next meeting).

>>49650767

>>49650767
It’ll be 50. And Powell will say July might be a bigger number.

>>49650790
if you really think 50 is gigapump, I have really bad news for you
It's gonna be 75,75,50
>>49650810
>delaying it when 50 didn't even dent inflation

>>49649348
I'd like MIDI to still be a thing, but as long as we're post Minimoog I can be happy.

>>49650827
>It's gonna be 75,75,50
So you agree with me? Nice!

>>49650878
opposite order

>>49650556

Depends on the stack you're working with and if it's reporting only or transactional.

The major dev restful service and custom front-end work is usually for transactional cases (i.e. CRUDQ, not just R and Q). Front end can be any of a million things but is probably involves some JS library. For example, I was working to build a restful API for a client to let partners submit sales orders through their firewall straight to their ERP. Lots of special rules and validations, has to be extremely secure and extensible with good OO design since wtf knows what other business units will want, plus tons of automated tests written. On top of this I was building a simple JS form app to query and submit them manually. SAP work if it matters.

>>49650810
That would be a turbo-dump because the market will have to price in 50+150 instead of the current priced-in 75+75.
>>49650887
As above. 50+75 will also dump harder than 75+50 because the market has to price in that 50 will not be enough so that by the time they want to go with 75, they have no choice but to go with 150 instead.

>>49650792
Well he didnt specify when though
its happenin in due time

>>49650911
Well. We’ll see what tomorrow brings.

>>49650781
There is like no retail in SIGA, big money is taking us up

NEW:
>>49650808
>>49650808
>>49650808

VOO
VOO
VOO

>>49650918
I do agree with that
The real blackpill although very tough to swallow is that terminal interest rate will be over the CPI
Or we'll have demand destruction (read: people starve to death)

>>49649420
>>49649468
>FUTURE IS LE BAD!

>>49651387
Yes?

>>49650234
How does Agenda-2023 work for you ?

>>49650635
No that's actually very bigoted, it should read
>penis owners who have sex with penis owners
Not all men have penises, not all penis owners are men. Trust me, I went to college