/biz/ - Business & Finance

first for mumu raped

finally a good fucking thread

AAPL free fall when?

>>49643327
good thread, thanks OP for not being a Nigger

remember last week when Mumu said this was the bottom

inb4 file deleted

POWER HOUR
POWERING DOWN THAT IS

-3
-4
-1
-90

I'm not gonna make it boys

looking like DRV is the only thing worth investing in I just cant pull the trigger after 50% uptick in a week

>>49643327
Boring? Shit and piss index is taking new lows and you're not entertained?

>>49643327
bless the links, bless the OP

When do we stop dumping? Is MMT going tits up?
>>49643327
>links chad
Thank you for not being a nigger, anon.

It's all so tiresome

WHERE IS THE GOD DAMN RELIF RALLY

>Where’s the anons who bought calls yesterday
>Show yourselves

New gemmy

OFFICIAL thread theme

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6kguaGI7aZg

>>49643408
2 weeks ago

I'm down 50% now on my SOXL

>>49643408
There is no relif in the first place.

APOLOGIZE.

We’re chilling bros, go short until RRP comes down. That’s literally the trick, dollar will keep strengthening until then.

>>49643413
no this is the thread theme. Posting preemptively
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bbxjTzEbLmI

>>49643408
This is the relief rally. A relief from all perma-bulls. Your era is over.

>>49643442
No.

>>49643373
Powering down, down, dowwwnnnnnn

>>49643436
fuck it, gonna hold vix overnight
pretty much guaranteed to lose 20% but in the event it goes like the 2020 covid crash or 2008 i can 10x
they dont call it the jewish casino for nothing

>>49643442
DOCTOR BURRY LOOK AT APPLE COMPUTERS!

>>49643420
I’m sorry anon but this is why you gotta have a exit point especially when we’ve been on an increasing downward trend for 6 months. I dabbled with SOXL but always made sure to cut my losses when it dipped a few dollars against me I immediately cut my losses

>>49643420
you did not follow the strategy. you didn't listen. you didn't learn. now you have to continually throw your money into the pit until it fixes itself.

>>49643420
KNOW WHEN TO PULL THE CORD BRO
KNOW WHEN TO PULL THE CORD

>>49643442
I wont because he mistimed it. Its easy to say theres a crash in the future but if you cant get the time then you didnt predict it.

OIL BARONS

>AAAAAAAAAAAAHH OIL CRASHED TO $118
loil

>>49643420
hey man, on the bright side youve got that sweet sweet loss carryover for decades!

>>49643442
he's been calling for a massive crash since 2010
autistic fraud

Reminder to IBOND MAXXX and FATMAXXX

Of you consume many calories and stir them more you will not need to buy food at higher prices later. You will make returns by lowering your grocery bill and cutting your gym membership.

UH OH ZOOM ZOOMS YOU'RE GOING TO WAR

>>49643468
Never noticed that he actually looks like a bobo

>>49643512
>>49643529
you lil niggas mad af fr nc

>>49643442
>APOLOGIZE.
i cant he deleted his tweeter

>>49643327
I SHOULD HAVE CASHED UP
AAAAAAAAAAA

>>49643519
WTI down, Brent up for the same amount, just local stuff

>>49643536
Reminder the US-Taiwan agreement does not mean the US has to go to war for Taiwan. It'll be a repeat of Ukraine geopolitically and militarily.

This one goes out to the schizo bull that said I was a bot.

>Verification not required.

>OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

I will no longer invest in stocks, only cheap real estate.

>>49643463
THAT'S NOT EVEN A SONG YOU DUMMY!

Checkers sucks and gave me diarrhea

>There are people holding SOXL $60+ bags
Show yourselves, I know you're here

ALL YOU CAN DO NOW IS WATCH THE SHELLS
THE GAME LOOKS EASY, THAT'S WHY IT SELLS

>>49643564
Oh US isn't going to war but Japan is. Frankly that's what Nips deserve for being blind goyim slaves for so long

>>49643327
Asuka is STINK!

>>49643601
Why would you eat a fucking game retard

>>49643600
It's not $60 if I keep lowering my CB by buying

>>49643575
>cheap real estate
small-time comedian over here

>>49643564
It's a way different situation. The US has incentive to protect Taiwan, gibb moni to Ukraine is just posturing, they're not that important to the us.

>>49643534
Physiognomy is absolutely real.

Buddy look at the 10 year United States federal treasury note.

Just closed my SQQQ and shorted more TSLA

bros I'm just buying SPY shares and flipping them when they reach 400 again

>>49643536
Anon from that other thread
This didn't convince me in the slightest

I am down 16.79% ($7000) on my UVXY puts. I tried to get etrade to approve me to be able to sell calls again and they told me I don't have an eligible account, again. What the fuck do they want so I can stop bagholding bought options for weeks before taking tiny profits?

Should I just get a new broker?

algos gonna pump maybe up to green by close to not spook wagies
then its hats off in after hours

>>49643575
There's not going to be any real estate bud, only gov issued pods, sorry to inform you

>>49643442
LO SIENTO SEÑOR BURRO

>>49643601
More like food poisoning, let me guess you went on one on the “bad” side of town... There’s literally areas where I will absolutely not eat any fast food from, there’s always good locations and bad locations

>>49643608
With what army? Their 'defense forces'? lol
>>49643631
We won't do shit but send them money, try to send them weapons (harder because it's an island), sanction, and virtue signal.
I don't disagree it's more important to us than Ukraine though.
>>49643563
Brent is down too? A little less than WTI but still down.

>>49643327
https://www.nahc.org/event/2022-financial-management-conference/

Make sure you all attend. This is a VIP Post.

>>49643664
On margin?

>>49643667
Uh you mean small hats on.

>Biden releasing even more SPR
oil bros we keep on winning

BUY THAT NAT GAS DIP
UNG COVERED CALLS WILL MAKE YOU BANK
STOP BEING A BAG HOLDER

>>49643712
I want Biden to explain what the SPR is I have real doubts he knows what he's even doing

>>49643529
So he'd forseen this since 2010? Holy shit he's based

>>49643703
>home service and hospice
Is this gonna be some covid nonsense?

what the hell is this SPY green candle

You still have time to close your short positions, bobo

I am bankrupt lads

DRV
https://youtu.be/-UE7tXDKIus

>>49643734
UNG BG time

>>49643712
He still has some left?

>>49643449
>>49643442
>>49643436
>>49643420
>>49643417
https://pastebin.com/pgUDWYQL

>>49643712
Really? Source??

>>49643759
No refunds

>>49643744
Last second Plunge Protection Team cope to try and force a green day tomorrow and at least stop spy from hitting 370 today

>>49643774
it was suppoaed to last until midterms afaik

>>49643712
We simply can’t fail with this man in charge

>>49643778
>the pajeet pastebin bot is back

>>49643536
Look at that sloppy headline error

>>49643712
Won't that tank oil prices?

At least my losses are actually less than $1000 for once...
And I learned that someone in this world cares about me

Should I buy puts on TLT (longterm bonds). 90 days til expiry, way out of the money?

should I just sell my -90%(almost 1k) bag and sticknehat little I get back into SQQQ

>>49643759
Not so bad when everyone else is too

>>49643828
>buying the top
>shorting the bottom
Do you really think that's gonna work?

>>49643815
He will eventually need buy at a higher price to fill the reserves back up. It’s also a nice slurp opportunity

>>49643825
Kek

>>49643827
That’s way too aggressive.

>>49643827
Short term will dump faster though

Why is the last boss boomer co IBM holding up wtf is going on?

>>49643815
I can't find a source for that. But look what happened to oil prices every time an SPR release happened. It dipped for a few days then soared well past the price when the release happened.
Crude would dip to like $110-$115 then be $130 the few weeks after.

>>49643842
>he still thinks this is the bottom

we are healing sirs

I'll be shitting heeps of bricks if this is the bottom

This is why I like my divvies, loading more pep soon and mo soon

Rate my shorts.

oooooOOOOOooooOOOOO

>>49643861
Europe was a fucking mistake

>>49643882
its just crab day today

>>49643842
i mean i am -90% on this one ticker so anything else is possible

>>49643408
your god is dead
embrace khorne
shorts for the short throne

>>49643853
>to fill the reserves back up.
Why do you think this administration or any after will buy back? They are running thing country to the ground while extracting everything they could

All of my gains from SPXS and canceling out my other losses. I am become crab, flat line of markets.

>>49643888
>and it was

>>49643865
>IBM
Kneels for ORCL. When the world is a nuclear wasteland the robots will inherit it... and they will be running Java

I don't understand what everyone is freaking out about, S&P 500 is only down by 0.5% today...?

>>49643888
prepare to start heeping, m8

>>49643853
>democrats
>refilling any stockpile they empty

>>49643870
I see thanks.

>>49643895
>no tesla

>>49643664
most brokers want to see 6 figures iirc for level 4 options

>>49643938
I feel like Monster Energy Drink co has a place in the this utopia

I am financially confused.

>>49643865
Degrossing. Same reason why SAVA is up.

Basterd bich market can't make up its mind

>>49643939
>he doesn't know

>>49643939
it's the fact that the 10y is still mooning and that the s&p is down despite already being down hard three days in a row with two massive gaps in between. people expected the relief rally today.

BIG, GREEN, TQQQ's OOOOOOOOOOOOOO

>>49643862
Okay thanks. I'm trying to figure out a short position... what about puts on qqq?

DWAC SISTERS GET IN DISCORD RIGHT NOW

>>49643785
https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/1536795183639035905

>crabbing

You all should be embarrassed

I can't stop masturbating

VIXbros... the first rollover in backwardation in a long time seems inevitable...

You know what? I'm calling it. SPY 600 EOD. This is so deeply, incredibly fucking retarded.

Post your prediction of JPow tomorrow.

>>49643866
Okay thanks. Any ideas for a small short position. I want to hedge my boomer VT stocks.

>>49644032
1%

>>49643939
It dipped too hard the past couple days. Sideways movement or slight green was expected today. It's We should be back on track tomorrow or next couple of days.

>>49644032

>>49643696
>Their 'defense forces'?
Yeah it's bigger than the entire army of Taiwan

>>49644032

1000 bps.

>>49644032
50 bps

>>49643327
Is the United States unironically over?

>>49644032
pivot, he doesn't want a repeat of 2008, MBS's went no bid and treasuries are next if he doesn't back the fuck off, inflation is Brandon's problem to solve.

>PPT POWER HOUR

>>49644032
75bps

>>49644076
Since 1913

>>49644050
Probably just 50bp and market rally back to above 4000

>>49644032
i'm predicting that h's going to stick to his 50 points, but then announce that there will either be more raises than planned or just increase the size of each remaining raise.

>>49644032
75 bps hike and a talk about black single mothers still being unemployed. shit and piss loses 2% on the hikes and 4% on the black mother.

>>49644066

Whoops.

Do I buy??

>>49644032
0bps

>>49643888
We aren't even close to the bottom yet. Not even a bobo just a buck broken mumu that's being realistic.

>>49644076
It will hereto be referred to as the United Steaks of Transamerika

>>49644114
saved

The PPT is back on the menu, bois. You know what that means. From now on, eternal bull run backed up by the FED. Sure, they'll make some announcements and shit to appease the NPC. But in the shadows, the PPT will be there to back our asses up.

>>49644066
Can he Volcker out of this?

>>49644099
Bro it's basically 100% confirmed 75bp min through fed funds futures odds, only surprise will be upside rate hike

Sexy time to buy puts nig nogs

>>49644126
capped

>>49644032
100 bps

>>49644083
It’s literally the feds job to deal with inflation. Not like any of the illegal shit they’ve done so far has been prosecuted, but they are more likely to not pivot.

>>49644141
>100% confirmed
That's what the market thinks and its been wrong before

100bps

>>49644032
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4cn_woPvjQI

>>49644114
Just imagine...

>>49644083
>inflation is Brandon's problem to solve.
That would mean tax increase. Who wants that?

>>49644032
150

>>49644032
125 bps megakill

>>49644138

Probably not but goshdarn it he's gonna try.

look at the IV on RDBX puts, absolutely insane

we're actually closing green haha wtf

Explain bps like I'm a retard (i am)

>>49643661
That monster pulled it to stop buying Twitter

WTFIT

>>49644159
nice

>>49644256
>green
>0.1%

I love writing options and seeing the time drip out, know that the other person is losing money and feeding my wallet

>>49644304
yes

this but .1

>>49644176
The Fed's job is to keep the economy from imploding and the government able to spend freely. They also have a mandate to provide full employment but that's going out the window for this pitiful fight against inflation. It really is Brandon's problem, jpow can't solve it, Brandon must capitulate to big oil and russia. The dems will do anything to save their right to spend, and the military wants free flow of money, they'll make sure Brandon behaves.

>>49644283
1/100%

https://twitter.com/DeItaone/status/1536798112341180416
BROS??

>>49644283
bps = beating penis syndrome
the # is the amount of times you jack off in one day
whenever someone says 50 bps they jacked it 50 times that day
lately people have been upping the ante to 75, which is impressive.

>>49644283
whats 1% of 100 retard

>>49644343
Ackman panic shorted recently, trying to make up for his netflix losses.

>>49644283
bepis mhmmmm

>>49644343

>>49644032
75 bops

>>49644343
when are they announcing it?

Market got comfy with 75, so now the Fed has to shock with 100

Bought 10 of these this morning

Fuck

>>49644343
ACK ACK ACK

>>49644343

>>49644343
Fuck ackman, hes shorting the shit out of this just like with covid. Hedgefunds should be outlawed

>>49644343
Better for QUI?

JPow will announce the first ever gigahike in history (300 bp)

>>49644283
100 = 1%

>>49644393
If they wanted to shock the market they'd do it long time ago

>>49643327
IS THAT A MAN? I NEED TO KNOW FOR BUSINESS PURPOSES.

>>49644253
hmm... tempted to sell way otm puts but i know nothing of this ticker

>>49644343
NOT AGAIN YOU FUCKING FAGGOT

YOU SNIBBING SNABBING LITTLE FAGGOTS GO AWAY RRREEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE

>>49644283
Bps = bomma pressure sentiment
Bomma = rate of change of gamma with respect to zomma

>>49644343
>Better
For you

>>49644436
GET THAT ASS BACK HERE

BAH GOD THAT'S VOLKERS MUSIC

>>49644429
it's a meme stock pump and dump, real value is under $1, I'm holding a covered short (selling a put in conjunction with short stock)

>>49644032
50. I don’t think the market realizes JPow can’t raise rates sufficiently enough to fight inflation. He’s slow playing for a recession in hopes that #1 it’s minor and #2 it dampens inflation. That’s what I’d do if I knew I could raise rates to like 10 fucking percent or some shit

>>49644343
>keep hiking 100 until it fixes everything

>>49644461
kek

>>49644454
This is the scariest shit I've seen today

>>49644438
>a CDO of a CDO
>THAT'S FUCKING CRAZY!

>>49644436
GET CHOPPED

>>49643704
>On margin
No, I would never buy something that loses $200 a day on margin.

>>49643963
I have 130k and I see people with five figures selling calls at will what is this bullshit

>>49644498
im gonna be honest here, Christian Bale trying to portray an autist was laughable

Double top?

>"What I like most about the market is that in many ways it's like the anti-casino. The market actively punishes people who don't know what they're doing and who act on emotion, while simultaneously rewarding those who have a plan and aren't emotionally invested on every little thing. For example, any fool can win jackpot every once in a while, but only a skilled player can take home fair winnings consistently. In other words, if you treat the market like gambling, the market is going to treat you like a gambler -- and down that road the the house always wins in the end."

anyone know the sauce for this quote or who may have said it?

>>49644528
>what is this bullshit
You inspired them

>>49644368
>>49644365
>>49644361
>>49644354
>>49644343
https://pastebin.com/pgUDWYQL

>>49643661
Does this work? And…for how long?

>>49644097
Not really. USA is a baby, has no history. You can't say its been 'over since 1913' when that is over 100 years ago. USA isn't even 250 years old

>>49644544
Really?
I thought it was Bales best acting role.
It definitely was Steve Carell's best.

>>49644547
nah everything is fine, vix is down almost 6% on stupid high volatility, everything is fine
this is fine

>>49644547
nah it's a bullish flag on the 22 second chart

>>49644331
That’s incorrect, it is in the feds mandate to keep price stability retard

Ameriniggas really call a percentage 100bps

“A patient and sensible monkey, who builds a portfolio by throwing 50 darts at a board that includes the entire S&P 500 Composite Index could increase his capital.”

- Buffet

Tfw a fucking monkey outperforms you

>>49644592
Fuck off nigger my ancestors came over 500 years ago and killed injuns for this land.

>>49644582
at least ten years until SPY hits 400

>>49644474
I think the same but he runs the risk of hyperinflation if market realize that

>>49644451
and for me, so I tend to agree with him.

>>49644343
Kek he was good when he shorted the covid dump but hes starting to panic and make mistakes.

>from +.5% to .15% in 2 minutes
NASD-ACK

people are calling for a full 1% increase, at least. wew lads it's gonna get bad.

Ding ding ding! How did it go today anon?

>>49644611
That's like saying the DoJ's mandate is to enforce the law

30 more minutes. How much is it going to drop?

>>49644678
i poopied

>>49644685
99%, if we're lucky

>>49644611
>m-muh mandate
and who is going to enforce it? no one. If the Fed wanted price stability they wouldn't have giga pumped the markets with QE beyond the need for stimulus in the first place.

>>49644644
I hope your offspring breed with blacks and native americans

>>49644678

>>49644678
the usual: sell put in the morning, buy back into a worse position

>>49644685
>30 more minutes
?

>>49644697
proof?

>>49644677
It's too late. It's been too late since March-April 2020 when they played god by printing the bubble pop away.

@49644678
i shan't give anime posters (you)s

>>49644739

>>49644678
Up 7% today because I bought the BOIL bottom

Guys... Kroger...
Puts? Calls? Avoid?

>>49644739
I'm being retarded. I forgot that it closes at 4pm

God I wish you could say trade with any amount
This market is so schizo you could just buy whenever it swings 5% and just make free money an hour later

>>49644705
QE never caused inflation, which is why they didn’t stop retard

>>49644678
>IEO down
>USO down
>fucking SQQQ down

Again, tomorrow will be green

>>49644754
>i shan't give anime posters (you)s
down 5% on VIX long, as predicted its going back up in afterhours
its a gamble almost guaranteed to lose 20-50% but in the rare event this entire house of cards starts falling i'll 5-10X, like i did in 2020

>>49644783
puts on kroger, like half their shit is on sale right now because nobody is buying

I barely made any money today

fucking crab

>>49644799
Thats what they all say until they join the 80% who wash out

Green day for me.

>>49644547
already down after hours
think powell will be bullish or bearish?

>>49644797
thought you were referring to fed announcement
which I thought was tomorrow

>>49644678
Anon, I don't want to talk about it.

>>49644806
>QE never caused inflation
Cope seethe rabbi. They goyim have learned

>>49644783
wallmart and some other kohn's or wahtever had profit warnings right?
maybe avoid, think the tensions are too high

>>49644799
yup literally free money. maybe you should take out a loan

>>49644678
-0.44%

Made 89 cents today

>>49644846
It literally didn’t. Go look at historic inflation retard. Not my fault you can’t do basic math

>>49644806
Its part of why we have inflation, combined with supply shortages and heavy taxes. Fed can't fix inflation with QT into recession this time, they need to let producers create a surplus and then yeet the market back to 2019 levels. A market crash now serves no purpose than to waste everyone's time and bail out Ackman's puts.

>>49644806
QE is inflation you gaslighting jew

>>49644846
actually QE is deflationary. banks trading assets with a yield for cash with no yield. takes money out of the system.

>>49644900
Where did all this inflation come from if not QE? Do you think the real economy grew during COVID lockdowns and supply chain disruption and was reflected in asset prices?

tomorrow is LITERALLY life or death for this market
mumus give powell your energy

>>49644900
>what is a lagging effect
Yeah you won't get cancer today if you smoke but doesn't mean it has nothing to do with each other you double jew

>>49644967
More inflation and a continued commodities bull run for the next 2-3 years it is.

Just went all in on 3M

I'm so much fucking smarter than you

>>49644678
0% I hold cash since I'm smart.

>>49644995
Oh yeah? What do the Ms stand for, smart guy?

>>49644919
Supply side inflation is literally a myth, in the overall economic framework a surplus for commodity producers shows up as a net negative in commodity consumption and vice versa. See you when you’re bankrupt fag

>>49644935
QE is not inflation if nobody spends the money and it goes into paying off debts that already existed. I will also see you when you’re bankrupt

>>49644947
>takes money out of the system.
The whole purpose of QE is to put more cash in the system you dummy

>>49644678
/cashgang/. I'd like to short but i don't want to right here.

>>49645019
Mechanized Machine Mothers.

>>49645025
>nobody spends the money
Yeah and people spend their money. This is not japan

>>49645025
>supply side inflation is literally a myth
lmao energy accounts for the bulk of inflation, do you think the Saudi's only price oil according to the rate of monetary inflation? Bobo's are making the dumbest fucking arguments lately.

>>49645019
Money making moves

>>49645025
>in the overall economic framework a surplus for commodity producers shows up as a net negative in commodity consumption and vice versa.
lmao
you do realize that these processes are laggy right

>>49644963
worldwide it was definitely the increased savings rate from the lockdowns, all the stimulus and the euphoria around stock markets.

Sadly people invested money they needed so now they've shit the bed and pulled it out. Anyone with a brain will just dca into the market when they get paid and continue with their life.

Literally every downfall has been people over extending their wealth beyond their means.

If digits jpow raises rates 250bps and increases QT
Check em negroes

>>49645025
>corporate welfare isn't inflation because I said so
>enjoy being bankrupt
t. eternal priced in faggot

>>49645093
>lmao energy accounts for the bulk of inflation
Then how come we didnt have inflation so high last time oil was at $140 and even a bigger part of the economy at that point?

>>49645019
Mlways Me Mlosing

>>49645025
>Supply side inflation is literally a myth
Why did lumber go to $1400 per 1000 board feet?

>>49645118
You are arguing with an idiot.

my best trading session this year, natgas short finally paid off as well as a bunch of other positions

>>49645025
also: QE is not inflation if the cash sits idly in bank reserves. if it is spent on paying off debts, these extra reserves leak into extra deposits. similarly, if the fed buys government debt with QE, all that cash directly flows into M2.

>>49645093
>lmao energy accounts for the bulk of inflation, do you think the Saudi's only price oil according to the rate of monetary inflation?
If there was not new money to soak up the rising oil prices, then you get deflation as it costs more for oil which translates into growth.

>>49645069
The banks certainly didn’t spend that money.

>>49644963
Record deficit spending by the government. Which was propped up by QE yes, but was not the cause of it.

>>49644975
I don’t necessarily disagree, see above answer.

>>49645118
probably had something to do with everyone's home prices getting devalued to the tune of a lot less than they spend on oil/gas

>>49645103
If they were laggy, the fed would not be raising rates.

>>49645144
It did, and in turn people spent more money buying houses and other building projects because of that. A surplus for lumber reflected in a defecit for the consumer.

>>49645144
Because all the money the government has been printing has gone to the top 5% of earners and they took out huge loans at 2.5% and decided to build new homes and don't give a shit what anything costs because when they're done building their 4 million dollar home, someone offers them 5.5 million for it.

>>49645118
inflation went to nearly 6% in 2008 and that was without massive printing going on before like in covid, + the US was already in a recession by that point.

>>49645118
Inflation is almost completely a result of too much currency in an economy due to money printing. Everything else is an unironic cope or kike attempt to shift blame for politically expedient reason. If it was a muh supply chain and logistics or muh commodities then service based portions of the economy would be unaffected. Usually you hear people make good faith arguments but they generally tend to believe main stream Keynesian and post-Keynesian economists simply because they don't now any better.

>t. Unironically a macroeconomist.

digits for siga 20 eom

>>49644678
Only down .13%. I'll take it.

>>49645118
Because we also didn't shut ourselves off from Russia's plentiful commodities, and Ukraine wasn't in a war cutting off more commodities like wheat. Another reason oil is 118 and gas is 5-9 dollars a gallon is refineries can't keep up with demand and America hasn't built a new one in forever. Natural gas is used in the refinement process and its up 125 percent or more this year. Lets not forget the heavier gas taxes put in place during lockdowns that states never bothered to reduce because lol.
>>49645162
Cope.

>nrgu

>>49645274
>lumber went up because bad rich people are building houses!!!

lol

>>49645266
>If they were laggy, the fed would not be raising rates.
the fed is rising rates because it's a political institution and has to do something about the issue. inflation will begin cooling off before the fed manages to finish hiking, but we'll already be in a recession by then.

>>49645201
>The banks certainly didn’t spend that money.
Of course but they lend the money effectively increasing the money supply.

the last time DXY was at this level was in july 2002.

>>49645303
Woops. Typos. Phonesposting, not even once.

>>49644678
-0.58%

Such is life in GUSH/NRGU land

Inflation is too high for the Fed to bail out the markets this time, the economy is going to have to do it….which means it takes longer to happen

ASMB stock ladies!

>>49645201
People don't just buy oil because they have the money to, they buy it because they have to. You're treating necessities like they're a NASDAQ equity. People need oil and energy for everything, you can't just say "no thanks I can't afford 120 dollar a barrel oil" you pay the fuck up.

>>49643552
guy always deletes his twitter after big announcements

>>49645368
>ASMB stock ladies!
>Verification not required.

>>49645167
Does natty gas come back?

>>49645308
Cool, explain lumber, electrical supplies, plumbing supplies, appliances, roofing supplies, steel, construction materials in general, etc. All of this had doubled prior to Russia invading Ukraine.

new
>>49645425
>>49645425
>>49645425

>>49645412
COVID housing boom retard.

>>49645174
>if it is spent on paying off debts, these extra reserves leak into extra deposits.

Nope, because that debt is already reflected in M2. When you destroy debt, you destroy money. When you borrow, a deposit in M2 is reflected.

>similarly, if the fed buys government debt with QE, all that cash directly flows into M2.
Yes, but that doesn’t necessarily increase inflation if growth keeps up

>>49645330
Incorrect, the fed already tried not raising rates despite record decades inflation at 4%. That is exactly what they are aiming for, but this is not temporary inflation.

>>49645339
The banks had record low loan growth for most of the time after 2008. The extra cash did nothing for growth, it became yield seeking cash that sits on a balance sheet for 20 years in treasury’s until they need to be sold for cash to pay debts.

>>49645144
>>49645274
>>49645328
you're all wrong
it was actually NWO sacrifices to the giant beaver
https://cryptidarchives.fandom.com/wiki/Giant_beaver

>>49645366
checked.
But what economy, though?

>>49645375
>People don't just buy oil because they have the money to, they buy it because they have to.
The majority of oil is used in shipping and freight to provide consumer goods and services, wether that be the military, farmers, or Walmart truckers. Consumers actually CAN choose not to buy oil, they cut their spending, as was shown all throughout 2009-2020

>>49645410
Nope. Once its burnt, its gone forever Im afraid

>>49645521
we've already used up all the spare capacity for oil, there's no level the consumer can cut back on it unless they grow their own food and ride a horse to work.

>>49645340
Hey yeah you're right. It triple topped at 120 back then.

>>49645456
>Nope, because that debt is already reflected in M2. When you destroy debt, you destroy money. When you borrow, a deposit in M2 is reflected.
you're right, my bad.

don't agree about supply side inflation being just a myth, though. it's most definitely a component of the current inflation we're seeing, though certainly not the only thing causing it.

>>49645628
Lol, you say that but if the military shuts down half of its bases, and Walmart stops importing cheap shit from China, ect ect there is a lot of room for oil to drop.

>>49645738
We’ve reached agreement. I think explicitly your thinking is what led the fed to do nothing about the 4% inflation in 2021, they saw only transitory commodity inflation, and it was not until they realized it was sticky monetary inflation showing up in wages ect that they decided to raise rates.

>>49645762
>"if things that won't happen happen, I will be right!"
please go to wall street bets with the other retards.

>>49645826
Lol, you’re saying there’s no possible way the consumer can be squeezed more, yet we’ve seen nothing but the consumer getting squeezed for the past 40 years. I don’t think you’re correct, sorry pal

>>49645905
No I'm literally saying the opposite, you're the one who just said the military could shut down half its bases and walmart would stop importing cheap shit from china to make oil prices go down. You're a fucking retard, go to reddit now.

>>49645957
Haha, you said there’s no more “spare capacity for oil”, as in there’s no possible way that Americans can consume any less oil, when in fact Walmart only imports shit to sell you if it’s profitable, ergo when it’s no longer profitable because people are not buying it, Walmart is no longer profitable unless they cut costs. That’s called the consumer getting squeezed, and you’re a brainlet who can’t put together his own argument

>>49644678

>>49646065
there is no more spare capacity for oil, and there is no way americans can consume it less. People are not going to stop buying things from overseas because we import most of our shit, including necessities like food and energy. If you're so sure you're right go short oil, Brandon just did another SPR release.

>>49646161
>go short oil
I never said I was bearish on oil, you can’t put together a coherent argument. I said inflation was not due to the supply chain, the price of oil can go up and simultaneously people can buy less oil, those are not coupled events.

>>49646243
I did, you're just being autistic and mad you can't win an internet argument

>>49643327
Sad

>>49643600
Hey guys, it’s me

>>49643512
He may have been early but he wasn't wrong :^)