/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>29932727
schizo happens in 20s

the right age for schizophrenia is around 25
middle aged people don't get it
autism is not correlated with schizophrenia
you have a hard time understanding his tweets because you are low iq

>>29932727
Clown world's getting to him for sure

He's not schizo just heavily autistic. Autists are obsessed with systamitising and get stuck in a feedback loop of their own making. This can go well, it can also lead to situations where they refuse to look alternative viewpoints. Burry is currently in the latter.

T. High Functioning Autist who actually has some sense of the world

>>29932930
ok ill bite, what is he trying to say besides tesla and bitcoin crashing?

>>29932727
He's a racist. He said biden cheated.

>>29933102
>get stuck in a feedback loop of their own making
Can you elaborate? How does this work?

>>29932727

He’s just legit aspie. Twitter tends to get people to make their opinions sound more “guru-like”. Thats just his attempt I think

>>29933102
Good take. Realistically as well, he is just reaching middle age and his fluid intelligence is crystallizing. It seems pretty clear that he is beginning to take his usual sources as gospel and closing himself off from / disregarding alternate points of view. He's still dangerously based at the shit he's always been based at, but he's developing that typical boomer mindset where he presumes he knows everything about everything just because he knows everything about one thing.

>>29932727
He acquired a hero complex via the big short and now he’s been made a fool of by Reddit... his ego is broken, he’s mad.

>>29933257
You have to connect the dots and if you know the first few are right you keep coming back to them trying to work the rest out. Sometimes that leads to a real problem solution that you can solve. Sometimes that leads nowhere because those first few dots don’t have a solution but you keep looking for one.
t. Also a tard

>>29933325
Okay that's also racist.

>>29933325
>When x, innovation dies
>When not x, innovation falters
What

>>29933463
Racism and feelings don’t matter, only finding the truth does.

>>29933257
be autistic --> become autistically obsessed with a subject and spend thousands of hours studying --> arrive at conclusion(s) about subject --> can't/ won't see alternative viewpoints (in part because of autism, in part because you have a better understanding of said subject than 99.99%+ of people so you get used to ignoring other people's opinions)

something like that


t. might be on the spectrum

>>29933553
The truth doesn't matter. Only feelings and money does.

>>29933257
If the world is logical and rational then you can come to definitive conclusions. If anything is contrary to that conclusion it's automatically wrong and can be discounted.
Of course the world isn't like that, shit that's not supposed to happen does and you will never be able to rationalise it systematically.

The standing joke describes it best: Burry has successfully predicted 10 of the last 2 crashes.

>>29933325
based

>>29933549
smoothbrain

>>29933601
Fucking hit me on the feels man...
I hate being an aspie. Has made my life hard as fuck.

>>29933378
well not exactly. he bought GME early on and sold at the peak so he was definitely ahead of Reddit there

>>29933631
>Burry has successfully predicted 10 of the last 2 crashes.
Name 8 times he was wrong

>>29933549
Forcing equity destroys it, embracing equity retards it, no equity makes it flourish. Competition is the best motivator.

>>29933354
He's possibly hitting a midlife crisis deal, especially now that he's got nothing to prove and has fuck you wealth. It's dangerous to be like that as it makes you over confident in your abilities.
Fwiw I still really like him, maybe as a fellow Autist I relate to him. If he was my friend though I'd tell him to Knock it off.

>>29933611
Money is fake and feelings can get in the way of survival if they are not kept in check.

>>29933549
Enforcing and embracing equity both lead to more equity. The autism man is saying than inequity, the opposite of equity, leads to innovation. It checks out.

>>29933549
Read it again. I don't entirely agree we what he said, but the whole 'everyone is equal and should be equal' meme is one of our greatest problems in Europe.
>>29933463
No it's not. Races aren't equal. In part because of genetics, in part because of culture/ upbringing. URealizing this is not "racist". It does not imply that you hate other races because of their skin color or anything like that. If a society/ company tries to force diversity because of muh equity then innovation falters.

>>29933611
You are correct for midwits and consumers though. But artists didn’t build the world, engineers did.

>>29933725
That's the joke Anon, he's right and always has been. But the outcome he came to predict should have happened never did. Doesn't make him wrong but it's hard to reconcile that if you've systematised it so heavily

>>29933549
he's not saying "not x", read again

>>29933463
who cares?

>>29932930
Do I have schizophrenia or am I just traumatized from this clown world?

>>29933631
Strange, because the world IS in fact logical and rational. The issue isn't that this view is wrong, it's that you can never have perfect knowledge of these extremely complex and often chaotic (highly dependent on initial conditions) systems.
>>29933443
How does it feel to fundamentally never be able to find all the relevant dots that feed into the conclusion (prediction) of a complex system?

>mfw Michael Burry’s one of us

>>29932727
>He's at the right age for it
No he fucking isn't.

>>29932727
>MS edge
what a fucking pleb

>>29933876
Chaos theory threw a curve ball and he thought it was a fastball. He’s wrong but the perimeters changed unexpectedly.

>>29933986
>world is rational
That’s not true, you are assuming that people are devoid of mental deficiencies causing them to make irrational decisions

>>29933549
Enforced equity means that all the work you put into getting ahead is stolen from you, so why bother?

>>29933325
unfathomably based

>>29933549
illiterate.

>>29933876
Actually it’s more like someone put a fan next to the pitcher and he didn’t know about the fan... whatever

>>29933601
The story of svenanon

>>29934079
Yes, the world follows physical laws. People are irrational, but even their irrational behavior can be described in rational terms if you understand the driving forces behind it.

>>29933549
Haha you’re a stupid goofy motherfucker

>>29934144
No offense but this is literally the attitude that people like Burry have and it misleads them completely.
Sometimes you just need to let your tism take a backseat and go with the flow (as painful as that is to is)

>>29932930
Would 32 be considered middle aged? Cos that’s when my friend got schizophrenia

>>29933986
>How does it feel to fundamentally never be able to find all the relevant dots
It keeps you busy... it’s very easy to go down conspiracy theory roads that fit your world view but are false in themselves which is frustrating. It’s more annoying when they fit and they seem correct but there is no way of knowing for sure due to people keeping secrets or lying. It drives you insane like having a key to a door and people covered the lock but you know that lock idle there and the key works... then some Redditor comes along and starts arguing that the door is red when it’s clearly blue and you understand why genocides happen :)

>>29933952
most people who go to therapy go there in order to get better acclimated to the world. That's what well adjusted means: you're in tune with the reality of your situation. But the world is incredibly gay and wicked, so being well adjusted to this world means you're a vile faggot. Being maladjusted to modernity is literally a sign of virtue, and that virtue shouldn't be smothered by psychologists trying to make you into a better cog. Rather, the actualized person will reject the world and enforce his own and will and vision onto it in order to make the world the way he wants it. But if you're seeing shit that isn't there you probably do need help.

>>29934324
That's old to develop schizophrenia, was it triggered by drug use at all?

>>29934267
None taken. How does this view mislead people?
>sometimes.. go with the flow
I'm seeing this more and more as the way to live. That said, I'd still like to understand the world without trying to force my will on it.

>>29933463
Why? Are you saying some races are superior to others?

what did burry mean by this?

>>29932930
27 - 39 are the prime years.

>>29934382
Ah. Well, he smoked a fuck ton of weed since he was like 14. Hes black, it’s common.

>>29932727
Is he trading tether for usdc? why?

guys i think burry is trying to tell us to buy certain stocks with these restaurant tweets

>>29933325
High iq take

>>29934353
So, no then. It’s just extreme trauma and paranoia. I’m not having any hallucinations or seeing things everywhere.

>>29934474
he posts coded stock tickers in his tweets sometimes so people in the know can buy them before they show up on scion capitals 13f or whatever

>>29934403
By thinking that you can accurately measure everything around you and find correlations everywhere it'll take you down paths that are contorted. That's when it pays to either step back or listen to alternative sources. Burry is doing neither and that's what's making him make stupid decisions such as to short Bitcoin

>>29932727
He is very smart. He is adorable too. But there will come a time where he is not right, because he doesn't know all the facts

>>29934453
Ah yes that's very common. Schizophrenia is actually correlated with extreme Vitamin D deficiency which most non-whites suffer from at extreme latitudes (basically anywhere outside of the equator). Marijuana is often a trigger especially stronger strains often laced with PCP

>>29934144
this is correct
>>29934267
you're wrong, or maybe just misunderstanding. What the poster you're replying to is saying is basically the causal determinist view of the world. And it is correct. Everything has a rational cause and effect. If something seems irrational to you it is because you didn't have enough information, or your logic was wrong. Individuals act irrationally, but that doesn't prove that the world is irrational. It's just another parameter to put into your theory of reality.

>>29934436
What this anon said >>29934353 dick heads embrace the madness

>>29934348
Sounds somewhat familiar

>>29932727
> schizo?
No he's probably a manic-depressive having a manic episode, he's probably been having them now and then for a long time.

>>29932727
this dude is like the Lin Wood of investing

>>29934626
Autistic systemitising will never be able to account for everything that happens in the world is my point. It's very common however for HFAs to do this very thing and think they've cracked it. In a more honest world it would have been correct but in modernity it only causes more problems unless you get a far more holistic view. I guess it's kinda hard to explain exactly how misleading this systemitising can be.

>>29934536
So what you're saying is that a lot of autists fall into the trap of being too stubborn and failing to recognize errors in their thinking?

>>29934756
The worst part is they have started painting the doors blue from red and while it is completely irrelevant to your reason for being interested in the door they are saying ‘I told you it was blue’ and calling you crazy for every saying it was red. Neat trick but I genuinely wish for a world war lately.

>>29934527
well if you're concerned about having a legitimate condition you should probably talk to someone. But lots of people are having a hard time dealing with whats happening in the world. The feeling of being redpilled is a lot like having a mental breakdown. Everything you thought was true is now either a lie, or potentially a lie. The theory that you built about the world and your place in it has collapsed and you can feel totally lost. The best cure for this is to just slowly confirm things for yourself and maintain the habits of your ordinary daily life until you have a working theory of the world again.

>>29934864
Yes exactly. I think that's the major reason why eating disorders (both anorexia and obesity) as well as drug and alcohol abuse are at far higher levels amongst Adult Autistics. As to be simultaneously correct but also wrong is incredibly depressing. Even about the most mundane daily activities.

>>29934536
when did he say he was short bitcoin? he literally said he wouldnt short bitcoin like 2 weeks ago

>>29932930
More like 25-35 is the range and environment triggers the outbreak of a schizophrenia (weed, divorce, trauma)

>>29933102
>T. High Functioning Autist who actually has some sense of the world
Doubt

>>29933118
Sounds based and redpilled

>>29933325
Extremely based and redpilled

>>29933601
>t. might be on the spectrum
Is autism the new excuse to be a lazy, idiotic “victim” ?

>>29934605
+1

>>29934756
They hid the lock and I think I have the key while all these people want to do is talk about the nice new blue colour and how red believers are crazy because blue is the colour Jamal is good at recognising -_-

>>29934861
the way around that is to put things into probability catagories. You're right that we don't and cannot have all the information so at times things will appear irrational to us. But that doesn't make the world irrational, and it doesn't mean you should stop working on the problems in front of you. Every time you're predictions are wrong it should be a happy event, because it proves that there was something missing in your theory of the world, and it's an opportunity to bring it more in line with reality. I realize not everyone can do this, but there are many people on this board who can do it even better than me and there's no reason to discourage them from getting more aligned with objective reality. That is our edge over other people. By continuously facing reality and modifying our theory of the world based on new information we start to see things that other people miss because they didn't have the brains or the moral courage to face it. And its easier than ever now to peak through the curtain and see how things really are. When the world acts irrationally like it is doing now, that proves that the mainline narrative is false. By reconciling real events with that narrative we can get a closer and closer approximation of the real world.

>>29934353
>Rather, the actualized person will reject the world and enforce his own and will and vision onto it in order to make the world the way he wants it.
based

>>29932727
day I left entice

>>29934995
Can confirm, soent 20 years just getting blackout drunk to ‘reset’ my brain and forget whatever shit I was obsessed over. I don’t even like alcohol but I do enjoy having a normal brain that lives in the moment even if it’s just for a few days and the hangovers are a nightmare. It’s killing me slowly but the world has no need of me and I get stressed out to the point of a breakdown without a release. Shit happens.

>>29932727
No hes not. Hes just autistic. Really smart guy you should pay more attention. If he was schizophrenic he would be more successful because the shadow people are really good with the market.
T. Schizophrenic since childhood.

>>29934985
They've convinced whites to hate themselves and actively dismantle their own civilizations. I've stopped thinking about these kinds of people as rational actors. The NPC meme somewhat captures it, but I like to think of them as more like chemotactic microorganisms or concentration gradients; unthinking biological/chemical/physical processes that react to stimuli. They can be led to whatever conclusions with the correct set of stimuli.


Another way to look at is that people have various errors in thinking, largely because we use heuristic shortcuts to save resources. These errors can be exploited (either maliciously or by natural processes which are much like diseases, but diseases of thought instead of diseases of cells and tissues) to modify someone's way to thinking to achieve almost any result (cults come to mind). We're all vulnerable to an extent, but some of us are more resistant because we have the capability to engage in more rigorous ways of analyzing information (going step by step instead of using heuristical leaps). I.e. some people have a more robust mental immune system.

>>29934995
Makes sense. I think the need to be correct in an ever more complex, and perhaps dishonest world is also a problem.

>>29935689
a thought experiment that helped me understand the npc meme better, was imagining what would happen if the internet turned off for a month. We got a glimpse of this with the george floyd riots. People didn't care about floyd, they were relieving the stress of being outside of their habits for so long. Not going to school or work or other activities. Imagine how bad it would have been if the tv and radio and news were turned off too. 6 days without netflix and we'd have our first cannibal warlord.

The issue is the signal. These people are more easily suggestible than we are, so as long as a consistent signal is sent out they'll continue to be npcs. The second that the signal is taken away from them they become feral, because the part of them that thinks without the signal is atrophied.

>>29933118
Both obviously correct viewpoints

>>29933118
yea he also said blacks commit more crime than whites

>>29935943
Yep, they were NPCs programmed by psychological (memetic) stimuli to riot.
The riots even contain an element of quorum sensing sensing, the same thing bacteria use to act together once certain environment conditions or population densities are met (riots break out when the memes in the NPC's minds have reached a critical population density; then the mob acts spontaneously).

>>29933706
>I hate being an aspie.
Same. Sometimes I don't feel like a real person.

He sold Link?

>>29933463
nature is racist dumbass

>>29935689
Someone is waging mindwar against white civilizations, but it's unclear as to who. It is highly effective.

>>29936531
Mirror neuron dominance explains group behaviour better than imputed cognition. Another thing us autists have going for us.

>>29932930
That's when my paranoia really started kicking in

>>29935689
They did the same to the philestines and now their very name means to have no culture or identity. They then wrote stories about it all with themselves a the victims of the philestines.

>>29933549
you are the reason innovation falters

He's good with numbers, but his autism makes him incapable of understanding the human element and the irrationality that follows. That's why he tends to be right, but way too early with his predictions.

He was only like a year early with the housing market, but that doesn't mean he will be one year early this time. He could be 5 or even 10 years early because he doesn't take into account the irrationality of the people in charge of monetary policy.

>>29933848
The best engineers are also artists dude.

>>29934474
FDMT is the stock he’s telling us to buy. I put an order in

>>29937489
what about this one

>>29936906
I'm also not sure what the origins of the mind-virus that afflicts western civilization is. It seems pretty multi-faceted:
>communist subversion (what Yuri Bezmenov said)
>natural evolution of Marxist thought
>a naturally occurring sociological pathology
>Chinese subversion
>subversion by other "anti-American"/anti-western nations
>Jewish revenge or just a Jewish plan to erase cultural/racial hegemony in nations and replace it with many competing factions, thereby making the Jews no longer a unique, competing minority
>some other factors I'm not aware of
It probably has elements each

>>29937028
What I wonder is, if it IS a Jewish plot, how does a random Jew get in on it? Is there some special day where they're told about how "we're going to dismantle the white race?" Or is it more implicit, almost unconscious, somewhat like how pathological bacteria act via quorum sensing to release virulence factors when the conditions are right?

> HE RACIST BECAUSE HE SHARED FACTS!!!!

Shut up. That tweet is fucking based and true. Data doesn't lie

>>29937576
PHO. A water ETF. He's not exactly being subtle.

>>29933952
Trauma, if you're not having hallucinations you're not schizo

>>29932930
Autism definitely is correlated with schizophrenia. I looked into it cus I have an autistic schizophrenic friend but just google it they are correlated

>>29937576
PVH

>>29937754
Never mind yes you are right about PHO

>>29937786
>>29937854
PVH was my first thought as well. But it's a shit retail stock that I doubt Burry would invest in. He's been known to invest in water though, so a water ETF makes a lot more sense.

>>29937586
The mind virus is nature's course IMO. You have a country in power who profits from warfare. You have billions of smartphones with cameras and everyone connected through social networks. You have a history of communism and other failed government structures. The water flows where it can. What you end up with is a government, and economy and a culture. The culture is the government and the culture is communist/marxist. The economy is capitalist and a technocracy. They can co-exist because once we reach a certain quality of life, the culture blinds most of the sheeples

>>29937586
I don't think it's external elements. Our own elites want depopulation first, then brazilification. Its much harder to put people who look like you into chattel slavery, so they're going to get rid of all the people who look like them outside of their own groups. Theres no reason to have us around when all their products are being made by robots, and all their white collar work is being down by blockchain and ai. I don't even know if I disagree with them anymore. there definitely are too many people clogging everything up. Imagine if only a million people lived in NYC.

It's also probably a preemptive strike before the hordes realize that they will never own anything ever again, they will never be able to work to improve their station because there are no jobs, and all the assets they thought they owned aren't worth anything. When people realize that its game over they'll probably go after anyone and everyone. Best to put a multi trigger chemical in their bloodstream that will put them down in ten years.

>>29932727
He just realised being a filthy racemixer was a mistake

>>29937914
True. I put a limit order in

>>29937944
Scary if true.

What assets do you think would still be worth something in this scenario? Gold? Silver?

>>29933725
He held undeveloped farmland and gold for 5 years while the stock market rallied massively and recovered from the 2008 crisis

>>29934626
You have to accept certain tenets of postmodern thought man, it's not going away because it's more accurate than prior ways of thinking. Most importantly, you have to accept that everything really is relative. We have not only a limited capacity to truly experience the world as it is, we have nearly no capacity at all. Much much more of your worldview is totally arbitrary and relative to you than you think. You have to think of your definition of 'the world'. Is it the Platonic ideal world of mathematics and logic, or is it the world you live in with the rest of us where people's thoughts are fundamental? You need to really do some looking into this, being able to understand and utilize other ways of thinking is far more important and useful than being rational all the time.

>>29936045
holy based

>>29937914
he invested in gamestop and bbby though

>>29933549
> your brain on liberalism

>>29937944
> I don't even know if I disagree with them anymore
There's definitely an argument to be made that various kinds of resource depletion and climate issues (doesn't matter if you believe in man made vs natural etc) are leading to what is in effect the last bars of music in a giant game of musical chairs.
I've considered this before: if they believe this to be true, then are there ANY means that are not justified by the ends?
>>29937931
Could also be right: rapid technological development leads to rapid societal changes which render the society unsustainable, maybe our version of the Mouse Utopia

>>29938390
It simply doesn't have to be that way. Japan shows what happens when we finally reach a population carrying capacity with our current level of technology. A few decades of stagnation and decline, which will almost certainly be followed by a few decades of vigorous growth to the carrying capacity of those days. It doesn't work if you need infinite growth I guess, then you need to bring in millions of foreigners apparently, but that doesn't work either.

>>29938134
i haven't found anything better than bitcoin for the long term honestly. If you own the keys, you actually own the bitcoin, and that isn't true of almost every other asset you think you own. Even bearer bonds need to be cashed at a centralize banking location. PMs are probably pointless to own because anything you can't carry in both hands at a dead sprint doesn't actually belong to you. And because the paper PM market is actually inflationary which completely negates any argument for holding PMs as a hedge against inflation. Land doesn't belong to you because you have to pay taxes, you can be sued and have it seized if someone sprains their ankle on it, and the government can just emminent domain it. If you really shine the microscope on assets i think you'd be hard pressed to find a scenario where a motivated party isn't able to seize it from you other than bitcoin, monero, and a few others.

>>29938134
If the system you rely on to survive is being destroyed, you need to learn to stop relying on it.
That means self-sufficiency (easier said than done).
As for investments, unless you know exactly what this future will look like, it's hard to say for sure. I like gold and silver because they're out of the system and don't have counter party risk (though they do have the risk of continued paper manipulation).
Crypto represents an industrial revolution where a large portion of white collar work is replaced. It's unique in that it gives you a chance to have partial ownership of the factories. All you have to do is own the cryptos that will win out as becoming the factories doing the actual white collar work.
Other than that: land you can grow stuff on, equipment to grow it with, solar panels (contain silver so they'll be very expensive if silver blows up), seeds, water collecting, purification equipment, guns, ammo, etc etc..
Get out of dept (might inflate away, but you might not have any cash flow to pay it), don't even think of touching variable interest rates.

>>29938238
>You have to accept certain tenets of postmodern thought man

no, I don't. But i'm sorry that you do, friend.

>>29938390
I assume that they will roll out UBI, then they'll offer additional priviledges to those who voluntarily sterilize, then they'll take UBI away from those that didn't sterilize. 3-4 generations maybe?

>>29934531
Is there any proof of this

>>29938787
Anyone have any recommendations for solar panels, water collecting equipment, or how to even go about getting land? Do you just buy a plot of land 30 miles away and visit it every other month?

>>29939271
go talk to a farmer, then go talk to a real estate agent. Have a nice chat, people generally like to talk your ear off about their area of expertise. You won't need solar for most areas because municipal hookups aren't that expensive to get set up on most lots, but even if thats the case you could do things like geothermal, water wheel hydro if you have a creek, ect depending on the conditions of the land you've chosen. The real thing holding back off grid living is the physical limitations of capacitors. A heinlein style shipstone would change the world.

>>29939046
yea i saw someone talking about how in his past tweets he was putting stock tickers in code and then it came turned out to be companies he bought shares in when his 13f updated and then he posted that psyop shit like a week ago. he deletes all his tweets thought and the burry tweet archive account only goes back like a month

>>29938134
Guns and ammo, you fucking pm cuck

>>29939450
Not possible to buy any guns or ammo now without sacrificing an arm or leg

>>29938686
I find it fascinating how they've been pushing Black Lives Matter in Japan lately. It was bizarre enough to see it in Europe, but this really takes the cake

>>29939271
Youtube videos and searching things like "solar panel buying guide" are are really good for starting your research into solar panels and water systems. I'm just start starting off myself so I can't recommend anything specific, but apparently, for solar panels, it's more important which company makes them than what type of tech they are (just going for the cheapest tech from a good company seems the best way to go). Quality and longevity apparently vary a good bit between decent and shitty manufacturers.
Land acquisition is a very local question. My thinking is that you want some good, fertile, non polluted land with it's own water source(s), which is somewhat out of the way and hidden (not visible from the road, away from main roads etc) without being too far in the middle of nowhere. Unless you want to just fuck off to the middle of nowhere, you'll most likely want to be living with a foot in both worlds for as long as you can, so it doesn't make much sense if you have to drive like 6 hours to get there.

>>29932930
Hey michael, what is your board review prep like? I heard you still maintained your certification

>>29939446
I almost think pumped storage is your best bet if you have land with a good degree of elevation change.

>>29935088
Yeah weed triggered mine at 27

>>29939854
Thanks for the info fren

>>29940077
checked, and thats actually a really great point for mountain and hill dwellers.

>>29937586
Well the Jews are told in the Bible over and over, for thousands of years, that they are “Gods chosen people”. So even if they’re isn’t a conspiracy, it’s like they too got mind virused into thinking it.