/biz/ - Business & Finance

if you put 10k on him winning, how much money do you win? link?

>>23432200
the results are heavily contested and nobody is the winner in a manner that satisfies the conditions of any bets made and the house rakes all funds

>>23432200
There aren't any, go all in bud

>>23432214

https://ftx.com/trade/TRUMP

The contract is 0.375 and reward 1.00 if trump wins. 2.66x your money plus the option of using leverage

the only concern id have is there’s a high chance of fuckery with the vote totals, maybe some post-electoral contesting in the courts, and I could see a gambling platform refusing to pay out depending on how convoluted it becomes. but yeah I think he’ll win

>>23432200
It is well known in both circles that they are engaging in record breaking election fraud this year. Game is rigged and they are going to contest the election when they lose which means no payouts for a damn long time.

>>23432268
Why wouldn’t you use leverage? Aren’t you liquidated anyways if you lose?

>>23432277
Checked
>>23432200
Checked

The risk is with the fuckery of the election getting rigged

>>23432287

I just found the site honestly so I can't say for certain but it looks like the value of the contract fluctuates with different news cycles so if you're levered to high you could get liq'd early on some bad news

Biden is consistently polling above 50 in the 3 major rust belt states he needs to win (PA, WI, MI). While Clinton led Trump there as well, she did so with both a smaller lead and under 50% (that part is KEY). It's easy to forget how unlikeable Clinton was compared to someone as neutral as Biden. The latest smear campaign against him (more accurately, his son) is not gaining the traction that the FBI's investigation into Clinton got.

Dismissing polling entirely just because of one election where neither candidate broke 50% is silly. Biden is going to win a narrow victory.

>>23432200
There won't be an election result and it will be contested in court for months.

Do it, faggot.

>>23432338

I think it's possible but unlikely that Biden would win. No one actually supports him, they will just vote for him out of their hatred for trump, which is mostly a vocal minority.

With that in mind, it seems rational to bet on trump at 2.66:1 odds

>>23432338
don't bother. No one in the maga crowd believes polls anymore. Just let them seethe after Nov 3

>>23432390
>vocal minority

Trump's approval ratings disagree.

>>23432370

I'll put a chunk of change on it depending on the withdrawal policies of this site

>>23432399

People don't publicly endorse trump out of a fear of social backlash, so all these polls are really useless IMO

>>23432200
Fuck this faggot and fuck you

>>23432424
This faggot has a secret chinese bank account . Hes a disgrace and a traitor. Fuck this loser.

>>23432363
kek it's probably gonna be this and everyone will have to try to get their money back or something

>>23432458
Hey chill out. I was thinking about betting on this too, I'm glad there's a thread on it

>>23432424
This is not true at all.

you faggots are all delusional if you think Trump has a broad base of support. He's fucked.

>>23432338
just look at the rallies wtf delusional libtard. mega conspiracy but likely tho: trump has even the dems under control that's why they picked a dementia suffering obvious old pedophile as president. not even to mention harris where just at looking at her you know that her pussy smells like a fishmarket. either dems did it on purpose or trump administration literally has more under than control than people would assume.

>>23432535

>t. the deboonker

>>23432338
just look at the rallies wtf delusional libtard. mega conspiracy but likely tho: trump has even the dems under control that's why they picked a dementia suffering obvious old pedophile as candidate. not even to mention harris where just at looking at her you know that her pussy smells like a fishmarket. either dems did it on purpose or trump administration literally has more under than control than people would assume.

>>23432576
>Qtard ramblings
take your meds

>>23432200
I hold 1k ETH and I voted Biden. U mad magatards? KEK

>>23432200
His reelection is certainly possible but seems unlikely to me. Don't bet against the odds.

>>23432576
Go back to pol you traitor piece of shit. Trump has a secrect foreign bank account in china!! Fuck this cunt. And fuck anybody that supports his lying sack of shit ass. Pathetic human and a born loser

>>23432613
Nope, we don't get mad or violent any time someone has a different opinion

>>23432665
Damn, was really hoping I'd get some salty seething MAGAtards ITT. Oh well

>>23432679
What the fuck did you just fucking say about me, you little bitch? I'll have you know I graduated top of my class at Wharton, and I've been involved in numerous tech start-ups, and I have over 300 million dollars in assets. I am trained in gorilla trading and I'm the top trader on Wall Street. You are nothing to me but just another bagholder. I will wipe your funds the fuck out with precision the likes of which has never been seen before on this Earth, mark my fucking words. You think you can get away with saying that shit to me over the Internet? Think again, fucker. As we speak I am contacting my secret network of insiders across the USA and your wallet is being traced right now so you better prepare for the storm, maggot. The storm that wipes out the pathetic little thing you call your portfolio. You're fucking poor, kid. I can be anywhere, anytime, and I can drain your lunch money in over seven hundred ways, and that's just with my bare hands. Not only am I extensively trained in Bitcoin mining, but I have access to the entire genesis block and I will use it to its full extent to wipe your miserable portfolio off the face of the continent, you little shit. If only you could have known what unholy retribution your little "clever" comment was about to bring down upon you, maybe you would have held your fucking tongue. But you couldn't, you didn't, and now you're paying the price, you goddamn idiot. I will shit fury all over you and you will drown in it. You're going to be fucking broke, kiddo.

>>23432338
The only way biden wins is out of minority and never Trumper spite against trump Tbh. No one wants biden. So idk if the smear campaign will work because the cuck left despise trump for being an unapologetic white male so much that they'd rather vote a full pedo in let alone a pedos senile dad.

Despite that the odds are really good.

>>23432424
70% of people are against the dems fucking up the police force. Imagine if they think the chimping will come to their neighborhood. If biden wins its never Trumper cucks minorities and dnc stealing the election.

Are the middle upper class "good moral new age people" still voting for biden if he's fathered a pedo and they are worried the chimp outs come to their suburbs?

>>23432632
Lol. If you're white and vote dem you're either a cuck or retarded.

>>23432632
Lol. If you're white and vote dem you're either a cuck or retarded.

>>23432458
Wow a bank account? Better vote for the pedo that takes millions in bribes just to meet with chinks.
I cant wait til you trannies kill yourself.

>>23432871
I would rather be retarded than vote for an obvious traitor. Secret chinese bank account you faggot.

>>23432886

I voted for Trump last time because I thought it would be the best meme timeline.

Unironically considering voting for Biden this time for the same reason.

>>23432886
People like you will continue to make excuses for him. But fuck trump in his stupid ass hole. Hes a lying sack of shit and cares only for his ego. He is embarrassing america with his retarded ass tweeting! Hes the most un-American president weve had in a century. Get this faggot out now!!

>>23432906
imagine being so retarded as to think trump works for the chinese, when the entirety of trump's presidency has been spent fighting the chinese.

>>23432958
If you believe anything that faggot says your gullible and retarded. You will continue to make excuses but theres no excuse hiding a foreign bank account from american public while elected official. Fuck this faggot. Good day sir.

Because is a scammer/ con man in the end

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V4PLSPvJ9BY

>>23432906
Imagine voting for someone to defund the police so niggers can chimp and riot freely and some tyrone rapes your mum. BuH cHiNeS beNk. Yeah? If that was true i wouldn't give a flying fuck. My family > nigger lives and virtue signaling cucks.

>>23433011
Trump supporters are spineless

>>23433025
Biden supporters are self hating cucks or niggers.

>>23433067
Good thing im not one then huh. Fuck trump and his secret chinese bank accounts

>>23432200
Because it's not 2016 when he only had a 1/10 chance to win according to gamblers and you'd only do a 2.5x if you did.

ALSO

US gambling tax law means if you bet 100k and make 250k, the US government is entitled to 25% of that, flat. So you pay 60k, effectively taxing you twice on the income you already earned. It's a very jewish system.

>>23432338
This it's over, bet all your money on Pennsylvania Joe to win the election. I totally won't make a killing when Trump wins PA by betting against you dumbfucks.

>>23433082
But you are because you're pro biden.

Fuck biden and his pandering to niggers.

>>23432951
Trump will win and no amount of your shareblue shilling will change that, Moshe.

>>23432972
>while elected official

Biden supporters are literal unironic chink esls. Who would have thought?

>>23432200
Because wallstreet are betting everything they have on him loosing.
I know who I think is smarter out of you and wallstreet... are you smart enough to know? I doubt it!

>>23432632
Back to bunkertran

>>23432200
don't bet on a nigger

>>23433192
>wallstreet betting everything they have on trump losing
>go to see what wallstreet is doing
>all stocks at record highs
>wallstreet is buying stocks
>biden promises to double capital gains tax
>stock gains are capital gains
>no one buying stocks right now would be buying stocks right now if they thought capital gains tax was going to double
>but, somehow, wallstreet is betting everything on trump losing.
>the absolute state of shareblue lmao

>>23432200
Even though Trump’s popularity took a big hit this year, he’s better for business than Biden because of his tax policy. I can’t really imagine him losing. Biden wasn’t even that popular during the primaries.

>>23433082
But you are.

>>23433504
Honestly in terms of stocks usually we have better gains during dem periods probably because they print and spend so damn much. The economy in terms of jobs, houses etc every day people things is better during Republicans tho.

>>23433408
What difference would that make to wallstreets plans? Do you think that wallstreet would suddenly stop buying stocks it CG tax goes up?
Don't be so fucking dim you silly cunt!
Ask yourself what stocks are wallstreet buying. Once you have answered this then come back with your tiny little tail between your legs and admit your ignorance

>>23432632
cope harder fat tranny feminist how about showering more than once a month

>>23433082
you are either a fat/skinny tranny, fat/skinny simp, fat/skinny gay boomer and in most cases with dyed hair or used to do it. you're literally like programmed bots thinking to save the world by being gay and a pedophile. i also noticed you shower once a month. disgusting.

>>23432200
postal vote rigged

>>23432200
Just look at the rallies
If a candidate is getting people to the rallies he's getting them to the polls
Biden, like Clinton, ain't getting any crowds

>>23432200
checked.
because he's a crook and degenerate everyone assumed he wouldn't win the first time, everyone who doubted the first time are voting this time because they're scared by the possibility of him winning again.
the winner will always be the opposition they fear the most, not the best candidate.
fear is a powerful motivator, trump used it to scare america that Hillary would ruin the country, but this time Biden is using it to scare americans into another 4 years of the trump clown.

Fear of Trump will make Biden win, if you can't see this you're a retard.

>>23435194
you are the retard. The left are fucking loud and annoying, so it seems like there are more of them. Trump is gonna win by a landslide #SilentMajority

>>23432268
He is going to win. Just compare the rally numbers and voter registrations.

It's a good bet.

Especially when you factor in the pedophile shit that is about to drop on Biden.

>>23432906
https://twitter.com/RAMRANTS/status/930065838387863552

>>23432200
because there are better faster ways to stack sats on the upcoming boringDAO sale.
I'm tired of telling you about this and btw if joey wins this thing then all our cryptos gonna go bye bye so get your kicks in while you can fren

he is chosen

>>23432951
This! So much this!

EDIT: Thanks for the gold, kind stranger!!

>>23432200
You're not betting on Trump winning, your betting on whether Democrats can pull off rigging this election.

Also did you guys know Jews murdered Biden's wife and child in the 70s? Idk what compels that guy to keep on going but it must be a miserable existence.

>>23432200

He's not at the top of his game like 2016.
He knows he fucked up with Corona so his attacks are shallow and distracting from the problem. He could argue that Biden will be just a worse Obama, but he doesn't dare because he knows people secretly wish Obama back

>>23436992
>what compels that guy to keep on going but it must be a miserable existence.
he or his son was probably honey potted by epstein

>>23432200
can't make any money, all the betting places offer around 3x, which is bad risk/reward

>>23432268
>https://ftx.com/trade/TRUMP
wouldnt there be liquidity issues if you're right? like who will buy the bid when it reaches the top?

>>23432271
That's my worry too.
I put some money on predictit on Hillary running this year.
I think they might swap Biden out for her, especially based on a /pol/ thread.

Anyways, $25 gets you $560 right now on Hillary running.

>>23432338
The polls are comped though. The numbers aren't real. You seen the emails with the pollsters and hunter?

>>23437127
Bad value since that's not going to happen. Why would they do that?

>>23432268
>>23432331
>>23437068
Can you buy the contract and sell it later like an option?

>>23432458
>NOOO NOOO NOOOO Orange man bad!!!!!1!
Calm your TDS for one moment. This is a thread about probability.

>>23432424
yes I'm not wrong, the world is

>>23432287
yeah just put 1k$ in with 100 leverage...

free money...

>>23432214
Probably 15k on top of your original 10k back

I'll give you two.
1) He's too unpopular to win
2)He's too stupid to steal it

>>23432200
he fat

>>23438480

This. It would be cool if trump really was this evil mastermind the dems make him out to be. He’s really just a doddering, dementia ridden shabbos goy.