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23335302 No.23335302 [Reply] [Original]

Why is every betting site putting Trump at 35-40% odds? I'm thinking about going all in on him.

>> No.23335486

Honestly, I don't think Trump stands a chance

>> No.23335552

>>23335302
Because he's done nothing but target the nigger vote for 4 years as whites have been financially weakened and censored. New voter registration for blacks has them at 4% republican - thanks for the $500 billion zognald.

Add to that the felon vote in florida, new immigration and dying elderly whites and there's barely any chance.

>> No.23335564

bc polls are like /biz/, they ain't got a clue

>> No.23335594

>>23335302
Where can I bet on this shit with crypto? Bovada wants to confirm my identity. There should be some fully anonymous smart contract for this...?

>> No.23335601

>>23335564
See people keep saying this and i don't think the pollsters are impartial or principled to not fix it if it benefits them but i don't see what the benefit would be nor the evidence they have before. In 2016 they got the overall numbers pretty accurately, they're just retards who didn't process it accordingly to state and electoral college.

>> No.23335628

>>23335302
They were putting Clinton at a high chance of winning too, but I'm not feeling the same kind of energy from Trump supporters as last election.

>> No.23335635

>>23335552
He's had the lowest black unemployment EVER

>> No.23335656
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23335656

>>23335594
No where even semi-legit; I've looked and looked, even less now than in 2016 if you can believe that. Gotta use cash.

>> No.23335692

bc no poll has
>"id vote for biden but i dont/cant vote"
>"im voting for trump but wont tell you"
options
voter turnout is a small proportion of overall votingable population which polls can't meaningfully represent. also there's large mainstram stigma against saying youll vote trump which the average normal voter doesnt want to face and will do so quietly.

>> No.23335721

>>23335635
I would love for him to win, the democrats are pure hatefilled anti-white scum. At the same time i hope the moment Trump's team read the early black vote to him hurt, all that retarded, ego inflating civnat black appealing shown as an utter failure.

>> No.23335727

>>23335552
so you are saying all this appealing to black votes is a huge waste of time?

>> No.23335728

>>23335552
I think the 500 billion will tempt the black to vote for him but then you have gangster Biden who black people love because he was VP for king nigger

>> No.23335836

>>23335727
Yep, politics is a homogenous state game. Otherwise it's just racial group power struggle, only whites aren't playing that game.

I mean even in a homogeneous state blacks never reach proper politics, it remains just victim narrative and tribe conflict. Anyone who thinks it could ever be different for them would need some strong evidence, let alone it be the default position.

>> No.23335859

>>23335302
Nationwide polls are shit. You need to look at statewide polls, they say Biden is running away with this thing , easy peasy. Trump's only chance, is appealing the results, are hope that SCOTUS throws away enough in mail ballots.. 2016 was close in many states, that ended up breaking for Trump, not this time, Biden has a 10 points lead on most battleground states.

>> No.23335898

>>23335728
Well according to some early registration it hasn't made a dent. It's not to say the name 'republican' keeps blacks away, the party could give so much to them it effectively becomes the party for blacks but it will never win their vote as the spiritual republican party. Even self identifying conservative blacks vote democrat because it's their team's party.

>> No.23335931

>>23335859
Honestly that might be the ideal outcome as it might lead dems to openly revolt and begin a serious secessionist movement. Im convinced consolidation & secession is the only viable long term strategy for whites.

>> No.23335953

>>23335302
I think one or two things could be happening. A billionaire Republican wants to reward Trump faithful by somehow rigging it to pay out massively, or a billionaire Democrat who wants to keep perception that Trump is weak, as to be in line with their stupid polls.

>> No.23336038

>>23335953
This sort of sentiment is also feeling bearish to me. Mental gymnastics/ignoring unfavorable stats and pure hopium posts I've seen like: "i can't even imagine President Biden, doesn't make sense so can't happen". It feels like clinton supporters in 16. Anyway hope I'm completely wrong.

>> No.23336065

Because he showed his hand by downplaying corona but also getting it
He showed the world how stupid he really is and humiliated himself by saying this peak physical specimen bs. Nobody has faith in voting for him except his most cultish fanboys

>> No.23336111

>>23336065
Literally got over it in a weekend, keep seething about that though it's a cute look :)

>> No.23336153

>>23336111
*wheeze*
I tell ya folks im the healthiest president thats ever been. *slams down 2 mcdoubles* im perfectly healthy more than anyone else

>> No.23336164

>>23335564
True, people on this very thread argue about muh pulls, but there’s one polling statistic no one’s brought up yet:
Only ONE PERCENT of the population participates in polling surveys. That one percent is usually oversampled one way or another, and pollsters are shit at getting accurate answers from the people that bother to reply.
Big money goes in for Biden because the polls all agree with each other, they got fucked hard in 2016 and it’ll be even worse this year. I’m betting we’ll see at least 310 electoral votes for Trump

>> No.23336186

If Trump loses the vote but refuses to step down, does that qualify as a win for him?

>> No.23336199

>>23336164
To clarify, one percent is the response rate in polls, I doubt anything close to 1% overall population is involved

>> No.23336270

>>23335302
I bet 1 btc on trump when the odds were 30%
Gonna make bank in about a month

>>23335552
So you think black people would prefer to vote for a senile old white dude? Fucking lol

>> No.23336307

>>23335302
Because if he cheated once he can cheat twice.
And that senile dude also gets away with saying any retarded shit that comes to his mind.

>> No.23336341

>>23336270
Lol as good as gone. Are people still using bitcons? Holy shit that’s hilarious.

>> No.23336355

>>23336270
Lol as good as gone. And still “using” coins, is it 2017? Boomer.

>> No.23336372

>>23336270
Wow! biz let me post this twice, that’s how right i am. Rebunked.

>> No.23336406

>>23336341
>>23336355
>>23336372
retarded shill

>> No.23336434

>>23336406
Lol, broke incel. See? I can type stuff too, except my comments are accurate.

>> No.23336442

>>23335302
not to mention the state betting. FL and NC is about 2.2, which i expect him to win even if he loses. Even georgia and ohio are at 1.67 and texas 1.3, so someone with big money can get good gains there but pretty much no risk. i only have few hundreds in this so im rather going with states that give at least 2-3, e.g. i have michigan at about 3.5. this is on betfair btw.

>> No.23336648

>>23336153
The guy is 74 running around like a madman, battling reporters, tweeting 24/7, on a 4hr sleep schedule probably for decades already. I wonder how much he benches though.

>> No.23337008

>>23335302
he's gonna lose incels

>> No.23337403

>>23335656
Fucking gay. Chainlink will save us from this shit.

>> No.23337606
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23337606

>>23335302
where can i bet on trump???

>> No.23337707

>>23335302

there's gonna be massive rioting and unrest no matter who wins. you can thank the 1965 immigration reform act for all of this. this nation has become more and more divided ever since

>> No.23338190

>>23335635
So? They wont stop voting democrat until the democrat party doesn't exist anylonger.