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23083223 No.23083223[DELETED]  [Reply] [Original]

fivethirtyeight.com has him having a 17% chance to win. I think last year it was around 28% or something. Will they be wrong again?

>> No.23083256

>>23083223
He'll steal it in the Supreme Court and there's not a fucking thing anyone can do about it.

>> No.23083295

>>23083223
I have a serious question for democrats/liberals on here
After what happened in 2016, how the fuck are you guys still looking at polls and predictions?
Damn near every 2016 poll gave Hilldog a 90%+ chance of winning

>> No.23083301

>>23083256
that's his only shot and even that is looking less likely by the day. he can't get away with that if he loses in a blowout, and that's what he is setting himself up for

those roids got him acting crazy as a motherfucker

>> No.23083335

>>23083295
maybe you should actually look at the polls from 2016. he was behind in most of them but not anywhere near as much as he is behind in this year's polls.

this is coming from a democrat who bet big money on trump last time because i knew the clinton crowd was missing his path to victory. this time he has no path to victory, at least no legitimate path. he is finished

>> No.23083353

>/biz/ - business and finance
back to /pol/

>> No.23083379

>>23083335
screenshotted this post.....just in case

>> No.23083406

>>23083223
He’s an idiot just wear the damn mask and he’ll win it’s just like wtf is it with him

>> No.23083416

Considering people hate Biden, my guess is the youth will not vote and the wealthy boomers will vote republican due to the economy doing well. Post your crying wojaks when wins.

>> No.23083451

>>23083295
>Damn near every 2016 poll gave Hilldog a 90%+ chance of winning
no, most good polls gave her around 66% chance of winning. you're thinking of garbage like huffpo

>> No.23083487
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23083487

>listening to propaganda outlets intending to influence rather than inform

How does it make any sense that an old as fuck, Alzheimer's patient who's half the candidate Clinton was (and has enthusiasm numbers to reflect it) is doing "so well" in the polls against an incumbent Trump anon? It's a fucking sham. If you want free money go bet on Trump to win OH and FL on PredictIt as the liberal morons there have them at virtually even money.

>> No.23083494

>>23083451
Yep 65-68%. This is nuts he fucked himself w the debate and now this covid situation

>> No.23083496
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23083496

>>23083295
Don't trust the polls at all. Talking to a lot of co-workers, a lot are closet Trump supporters. Nobody wants to get called out for being an outright racist, hillbilly retard or even being insensitive to minorities etc so they hide their support of trump instead saying they support Libertarian values, etc. Polls probably don't reflect how many of these people there are or how they really feel. Or these people outright lie in polls and vote the other way. Probably more closet Trump supporters today than in 2016.

>> No.23083512

>>23083416
they said we had record voting on the fake news

>> No.23083528

>>23083487
hmmm maybe because trump sucks ass? you realize his base (me) fucking hates him now right? he cucked on immigration

>> No.23083534

>>23083451

See >>23083487

Their October margin was Clinton +8. With that kind of spread she has a 90% chance of victory and we're asking whether she wins by 100 or 200 EC votes, not whether she wins at all.

Some of the pollsters that put her at +14 have Biden at +14. Pretty fucking funny, right?

>> No.23083535
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23083535

>>23083223
Unless want to become a dictator to keep the power, which his supporters will accept without reserves.

>> No.23083587

>>23083528

Funny anon. I was unsure of him in 2016 but I'm a full on disciple at this point because (you're lying) he actually followed through on immigration. Didn't notice the Democrats screeching about it for years? It happened. Fuck off.

>> No.23083625

>>23083496
>a lot are closet Trump supporters. Nobody wants to get called out for being an outright racist, hillbilly retard or even being insensitive to minorities etc so they hide their support of trump
I feel like this is going to be an underrated factor. Even more so than in the 2016 election

>> No.23083647

>>23083301
ya he hella jacked up. this is gonna be soooo entertaining

>> No.23083653

>>23083625
the riots didn't help make people love blacks desu

>> No.23083687

>>23083379
but you know he's right.. just in case tho

>> No.23083696

>>23083223
what does the probability mean?

>> No.23083698

>>23083625

The thing is, the "raters" (MSM) who are behind polls hate him. They all do. Even Fox News, which is headquartered in NYC and staffed entirely with city liberals. They push polls to moralize their Democratic base. Never in your life will you see an election cycle where city pollsters pitch the Republican as having a comfortable lead. It never happens. Didn't even happen with fucking REAGAN.

These people are career liars that will never lose their jobs due to inaccuracy, so why be accurate? They're propagandists.

>> No.23083721

>>23083496
nah you are probably just poor and work with retards.

>> No.23083750

>>23083223
I think he is in a worse spot than he was in 2016, but I'd still put it at a coin toss. If he doesn't sperg out the last 30 days and gets the supreme court pick in I think he has a good chance.

>> No.23083765

>>23083223
As a neutral observer in a faraway land I honestly don't understand why Americans hate the greatest president in US history.

>> No.23083831

>>23083528
95%+ approval among GOP. you don't have a clue

>> No.23084300

I don't think Trump's presidency caused him to gain any fans. Some of the same people who voted him in 2016 will vote again, but some of those voters won't vote again because they want to have someone as president who is not an embarrassment. Trump was a good meme, a good 4-year joke. Time to have a real president again.

>> No.23084331

Good Fuck Small Business. Fuck Them. Still Voting Donald. Amazon, Walmart. Will Survive all you need. Everything else is a parasitic leech. NO one gives a fuck about some leftist cafe or over priced sports store.

>> No.23084391

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1343305/US-election-poll-donald-trump-coronavirus-covid-joe-biden-exclusive-polling

>> No.23084509

hes gonna lose. most reasonable people (the kind that dont go to protests and dont answer polls) will turn out in droves to cancel this reality tv show

>> No.23084523

>>23084300
What are you on about? Trump doesn't take shit from any country. He came to NATO meetings telling the members to pay the fuck up except for the 5 countries that already pay 2% gdp towards defence like was agreed. Obama was just a "nice classy" president. People are starting to see through the fakeness of politicians. Trump might be retarded in other areas though.

>> No.23084568

>>23083721
So you're saying you don't think the US is filled with poor retards?

>> No.23084616

>>23083223
He stands no chance. The only people still thinking of voting for him are low IQ brainwashed mongs and while there's a lot of them there aren't enough to vote him into office.

>> No.23084633

>>23084523
In particular Trump's tweeting sprees are what make him the most embarrassing president we have ever had. His tweets have not gained him any new voters, if anything some of the outrageous shit he's tweeted have made his prior voters want to vote Biden instead so that this manchild toddler going on tweeting sprees won't be a further global embarrassment.

>> No.23084681

>>23083587
Yeah, he sure followed through, for example 400,000 additional green cards for chinks and poos during a pandemic

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/09/25/agency-officials-100000s-indian-chinese-white-collar-visa-workers/

You fucking idiots are getting conned left and right

>> No.23084696

>>23083295
I think i rememeber most of the major polls werr with in the margin of error.
And that those polls were changing quickly month to month.

>> No.23084744

>>23084331
Based

>> No.23084783

>>23084681

https://www.forbes.com/sites/stuartanderson/2020/07/21/trump-cuts-legal-immigrants-by-half-and-hes-not-done-yet/#4de5881e6168

begone shilly faggot

>> No.23084791

>>23084633
>LIBERATE MICHIGAN. IT'S UNDER SIEGE
>I meant nothing by it
I actually voted for him, but the way he handled this past two crisis made me lose all respect for him as a leader. Voting Biden.

>> No.23084796

>>23084523
these people don't have a clue. it's all about form over substance, and getting their opinions from urban faggots living in a bubble

>> No.23084862

reminder that the DNC has doubled down on their shilling efforts since 2016

>> No.23084894

>>23084783
Mine is from late september you fucking idiot

>> No.23084895

>>23083295
That's true. Fivethirtyeight said Hillplane was gonna win. And she did fuckall.

but they could have clearer statistics now.

>> No.23084902

>>23084791
Only a spineless coward wouldn't vote for biden at this point.

>> No.23084929

So for all the ones who think this decision just cost him the election, what would you say if he still won?
>he won't win
But let's just say he does
How do you explain the American people still voting for him despite pushing back poorfag checks?

>> No.23084951

>>23084894

>dude look at this one off bump in visas
>compared to fundamental changes across the board that's halving legal immigration rates PER ANNUM

You are a fucking idiot and I don't for one second think you're arguing in good faith or an ebin 2016 Trump voter