/biz/ - Business & Finance

you are retarded and this map is wishful thinking

>>22987954
The only one I'm somewhat worried about is Minnesota, Nevada should be fine.

Lmao no

you will win

>>22988000
Can't argue with trips! Thanks fren!

Godspeed OP

Arizona, Michigan, Minnesota, and Florida will all go blue

imagine betting on Biden even with flipped odds
IMAGINE

>>22988091
You're out of touch with reality
Biden is a shitty candidate but liberals have been seething for the past 4 years

>>22988074
I could see Minnesota, but the other 3? I feel like Trump has more mainstream support now than he did in 2016.

>>22987920
How lenient are these bets
Like can i bet on California going blue

>>22988110
And they were seething in 2016

>>22988125
You have no sense

>>22987920
I like those odds.

>>22988125
The only one I could see actually going red is Arizona, but I have my doubts
Florida is a lost cause, especially with so many zoomer vote ad campaigns and felons voting
Michigan has pretty much flipped blue and I doubt trump has enough impact there (major cities are a big threat)

Which website did you bet?

>>22988198
You're making the same mistake the democrats did in 2016 overestimating themselves. These riots have turned ever sensible person left Red. Bare minimum Trump will win, if he doesn't it's pretty much guaranteed the U.S is going to collapse within 5 years.

>>22988198
>>22988125
>>22987954
all i can say is florida and Pennsylvania are definitely going trump. not sure about the others.

i know this because in both states trump signs outnumber biden signs by a crazy amount (i've been to both recently)

>he thinks michigan is going blue
you would make more money if you stepped outside of your 4chan bubble, anon

>>22988359
I'm not making the same mistake, people like you are
>These riots have turned ever sensible person left Red.
The riots changed nothing, the people who were red are still red and the people who were blue are still blue
If anything the left has more of a fighting spirit this year, which the right had in 2016 (and still has arguably)

>>22988147
lol In 2016 liberals didn't think Donnie had even a slight chance of winning so they didn't vote en masse. Way different than this cycle. I still think Trump will win reelection but liberals are seething much much more this year than 2016 and will likely see greater voter turnout which historically translates to more votes for the running Democrat.

>>22987988
What would the payout have been without Minnesota?

>>22988519
Also where can you make this bet?

>>22988519
a paltry 40k. I had to take the higher odds.

>>22987988
Ilhan Omar is literally laundering tax dollars to buy Somali votes for Democrats in general. I wouldn't hold my breath for MN.

>>22988784
Those dumbasses elected her in the first place, I don't think she would even have to pay anyone to vote

>>22988446
You're most likely an out of touch libtard so I'm going to discard your opinion. Reminder that it wasn't me who made a mistake in 2016, it was you.

>>22988840
But she still does.

>>22988862
I'm not though, and the only reason you think i am is because I'm not saying that trump has a 100% chance of winning in a landslide
Maybe you wouldn't make a terrible gamble if you actually could look at things objectively, but I don't expect much from a retard like you who can't even do basic research

>>22989146
That sucks for the idiots in Minnesota then
Too bad they wouldn't do anything about it

>>22988713
Why not throw in another $100 for a separate play? You'll kill yourself if you you lose on Minnesota

>>22988862
goo goo ga ga...i wan....i wan milk...

>>22989290
Why the babytalk? He didn't say anything babyish.

Screen cap this fags

>>22988713
>>22987920
What about without Nevada?

Also

>100 dollars for a 140k payout

Nani the fuck? What's the catch, do they take your balls if you lose?

where can i bet on the election? I am going to vegas next week

>>22989411
The catch is the odds are borderline impossible
>>22989399
This is actually believable, but it seems too likely an outcome

>>22989411
The catch is you have to be right on every pick or you get nothing.

>>22989175
>talks about basic research
>has clearly done none at all

Protip numbnuts, the Democrats always underperform their registration in Pennsylvania by an average of 1.3 million votes, the Republicans will likely underperform theirs by 200k this year when taking into consideration the turnout to registration from previous years.

Because Republicans are up about 100k in registration from 2016 and Democrats are down about 100k, this gives us a prospective estimate of 2.7-2.9 million in PA for Bidden and 3.1-3.3 million for Trump.

It is statistically impossible for the Democrats to win and we can prove it purely by looking at registration data and comparing it to previous elections and no you have no right to argue with me because I've written a fucking book about it.

>>22989466
>>22989458
>the odds are impossible

Winning everything he won in 2016 plus NV and MN? Fuck no it's not impossible, throw in VA and possibly NM and you've possibly got what 2020 will look like.

Unless he has to specifically win these states and no other named states, of course.

>>22988504
Idk man. I didn’t vote in 2016 and plan to vote Trump. Turnout could be good for the right too.

I’ve heard Latinos are getting on the Trump train this time around because they see blacks ruining the country and Latinos hate Blacks.

where do you place a bet like this?

>>22989502
>Winning everything he won in 2016 plus NV and MN? Fuck no it's not impossible, throw in VA and possibly NM and you've possibly got what 2020 will look like.
Are you joking?

>>22989474
>It is statistically impossible for the Democrats to win and we can prove it purely by looking at registration data and comparing it to previous elections and no you have no right to argue with me because I've written a fucking book about it.
Willing to share your "book"

>>22989516
It is statistically impossible for turnout not to be good for the right, the Senate map is the same as 1972 and 1984 which means that large liberal states don't have state-wide elections driving turnout up while red states do. Also since Biden is from a state which will be red in 2028 and is also irrelevant, he only has Kamala and California to rely on, but California won't be as much of a factor in popular vote in 2020 as 2016 except for the Republicans.

>>22989594
This too, I want to make a million dollars for a hundred.

>>22989661
Holy seethe

>are you joking

I can literally look up publicly available data on registration statistics which show the Republicans are mooning everywhere compared to 2016, which always occurs for the victor. If no one is registering to vote for you, you lose. This should be an obvious and basic fucking rule to elections you dumb faggot.

>>22988504
>historically translates to more votes

That's retarded and you should stop listening to media figures who are retarded. The spending to turnout ratio demonstrates that Obama and Clinton have had declining turnout over the past 12 years despite increasing their spending against underfunded Republicans. Trump is running the most expensive campaign ever and it shows in registration figures, while enthusiasm for Biden is at a historical low for a Democratic candidate. Biden gets 68 million votes on a good day.

>>22989713
>>22989594
There's tons taking bets on the election just google. I'm using Proline.ca

>OP disappears

Good thread, I guess I'll just go back to losing money on shitcoins.

>>22988413
People here are supposed to be smart and all you have is anecdotal evidence? Biden has literally twice the lead Hillary had

I'm voting for Trump.

>>22989797
>>22989815
Nevermind, let's see if non-canadians can place bets.

>>22987920
All in on SCOTUS declaring the winner.

>>22989823
Not only is Biden's aggregate poll lead comparable to Clinton's at this same time in 2016, but the polls themselves are basically hot fucking garbage with 11% more Democrats sampled than Republicans when at bare minimum the two should be equal when factoring in registration, senatorial elections and spending changes (Hillary had a 2-1 advantage vs. Trump, Trump has an advantage over Biden which might end up being a historical record).

>>22988074
>Arizona
>blue

Fuck off back to California where you belong.

>>22987920
I mean... for 100 that payout seems worth the risk.

I have a feeling Dems are in for the shock of their lives when they realize just how wildly unpopular all the marxism and rioting is. I think they're gradually catching on. Note how suddenly quiet all that shit got when it started showing up in the polls.

>>22988000
Checked full house

>>22988000
Checked. Are you the guy with the supercomputer?

>>22989502
>throw in VA
We're a deep blue state.

>>22988018
Bad use of that pepe

>>22989713
I'm not sure I get your logic here. Whenever there's large voter turnout Dems win by and large. Usually, people come to vote mainly for the presidency and then vote down the party line, not the other way around but I guess we'll see. The political landscape is very different now compared to previous cycles after all. Strange times.

>>22987920
bet £100 on trump and I'm British.

>>22988198
Why would Arizona go red but not Florida?

gigacoping magatards

>>22990993
>gigacoping magatards

>>22989732
>I can literally look up publicly available data on registration statistics which show the Republicans are mooning everywhere compared to 2016, which always occurs for the victor. If no one is registering to vote for you, you lose. This should be an obvious and basic fucking rule to elections you dumb faggot.
I don't believe you, all of the articles I've seen said the opposite (that Dem registrations are higher than Rep registrations)