/biz/ - Business & Finance

last time I did a thread where I asked how to long trump I got banned, fuck jannies

>>22884587
Janny support Joe Biden , this doesn't surprise me a bit.
Here this is for you janjan

FTX.com has presidential prediction markets. Trump is already overpriced compared to his polling numbers though.

>>22884663
> Believing poll numbers
Thanks btw , I think this is easy money

>>22884748
I believe you to be wrong, but always encourage putting your money where your mouth is.

>>22884777
Why you think I am wrong ? Last time polls was against him yet he won , this time won't be different , him winning won't change anything in my life I just have this intuition.

Fuck that, that's lightweight. I want to bet money on Trump winning NEW YORK.

>>22884889
This. It's telling that they only bring up polls while voter registrations show a rather opposite trend.

>>22884889
Imagine not paying attention to the methodology adjustments of most pollsters since 2016 and thinking that all the same mosrly random errors will perfectly repeat themselves. Are you even literate?

>>22885038

Registration numbers (in all battleground states) and primary turnout Trump got would all indicate massive amounts of underlying enthusiasm for Trump, while Biden is historically unenthusiastic as a candidate, even as the polls insist he has a comfortable lead on Trump. Well, polls have a history of flip flopping around before the election and then being quite incorrect, but the primary turnout indicator is quite reliable.

>>22884889
Last time fivethirtyeight's poll analysis put him at 30% odds. 30% likely events happen 3/10 times. It's not impossible that he wins again, 22% odds (this election's poll prediction) are still well within the realm of possibility. But he's trading at 44% on prediction markets, which is overpriced given the available data.

Trump better win or proverbial will turn literal quite fast.
Reds will be red finally and most importantly, fatally.

>>22885076
>methodology adjustments
Aww he still believes the masonic narrative stage play

>>22885076
>imagine not paying attention to who is behind the polls and realizing its the same people who have tried every lie they can to get people to turn on trump. Are you even literate?

>>22885565
This . I used to hate him back in 2016 until I realized that every major media outlet is against him all the time , I mean even when he won they started the Russian hoax thing and so on , I mean no one is this bad especially when you look at what he done and doing, yes he is some time childish and all but it's entertaining and he looks more authentic than any other politician. Also I never seen the American media so one sided. Against someone , even bad people do good once in a while but not in the case of trump where he is always the devil in there eyes , so fuck them

>>22884642
>>22884587
>>22884414
>>22884748
>>22884889
>>22884962
>>22885038
>>22885087
>>22885345
>>22885417
>>22885565
>>22885780

>>22885871

cope