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2023-11: Warosu is now out of extended maintenance.

/biz/ - Business & Finance


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>> No.18003178
File: 2.59 MB, 1280x720, minimori.webm [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18003178

Reminder that Eizouken is /biz/ kino and many of you here would probably enjoy it

>> No.18003186
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18003186

Are we still up for a Red Monday?

>> No.18003200

If I had gone full bear a week earlier, my puts would have been so much cheaper

>> No.18003204

I'm still holding my puts from last Thursday, show me the red tomorrow!

>> No.18003223

>>18003186
Even if they fake and gay pump this shit green as hell, i'm just buying more puts

>> No.18003226

>>18003186
Yup.

>> No.18003230

so how does this shake out perceptually

New York, a non swing perma-blue state is going to be our epicenter it looks like. Will Trump start playing the blame game and mention how well other states are doing yet?

>> No.18003234
File: 221 KB, 568x479, 1584546809923.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18003234

>>18003186
We are in for the hardest bounce of your life +15% EOW

>> No.18003244

>>18003186
Tonight after 5pm will be the indication.
https://market24hclock.com/#_
This will tell you which markets are open and which stocks you should watch to determine how the futures:
https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/sp%20500%20futures
Will perform once the CME opens at around 7pm for the weeks trading.
Right now we've had a weekend of bad news plus a few other states going on lockdown. Further a few other countries have quarantined and air traffic was even stopped for a bit. The only good news was some testing kit being released that gives results in 45 minutes.

>> No.18003246

>>18003186
Cuomo literally said on TV that he's expecting the New York lockdown to go on for 9 months, there's been no good news and nothing but bad news. If this shit doesn't go down on Monday the jobs reports on Thursday will send it into freefall.

>> No.18003252

I really wonder what people will think if certain states are relatively unscathed and others tank. Will that be applied to Trump in any way? Will swing voters care about other states by November?

>> No.18003269

Damnit, looks like Pelosi is stalling on getting the "check" bill passed. They're trying to get it done today. I was looking forward to 2400 extra bucks in April. (I'm married). I was counting on a large part of that to pay myself back.

>> No.18003270

fine men, what is your point of entry and a buy signal? I am waiting for somethign but I dont know yet

>> No.18003272

>BREAKING: Merkel announces ban on meetings of over 2 people to fight coronavirus in Germany
What..? How the fuck is that suppose to work?

>> No.18003280

>>18003178
looks like a cool show

>> No.18003283

>>18003246
>9 months
That's dumb and Fredo is a bad news man.

>> No.18003291

>>18003272
that sounds fucking retarded. source?

>> No.18003293

>>18003246
based, this guy probably as some heavy OTM puts in his inventory

>> No.18003315

>>18003272
>tfw your government reduces max meeting size to less than one and you have to disembowel yourself to achieve adequate social distancing
sasuga

>> No.18003318

Is tomorrow the big day? Or is it Tuesday?

>> No.18003323

>>18003272
its to prevent mass gatherings

>> No.18003324

DIS @ $50 soon?

>> No.18003325

>>18003291
She said it live but AFP just tweeted it

https://twitter.com/AFP/status/1241768017433964547

>> No.18003327
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18003327

>>18003246
>But it's priced in. The only thing not priced in is the new stimulus they announce every day. Two trillion today! Ten trillion by next week. Whatever it takes, PUMP IT JEROME AAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHH

>> No.18003336

>>18003291
https://www.hessenschau.de/panorama/hessen-duerfen-nur-noch-alleine-raus---mit-ausnahmen,coronavirus-kontaktverbot-100.html

translate the webpage ist german

>> No.18003345

>>18003272
It's basically a nationwide shutdown with a full curfew being imposed to boot. Obviously families or people living together are exempt, but Germany's basically going into full lockdown mode. Expect the DAX to dip

>> No.18003348
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18003348

where can I find the updated graph?

>> No.18003350
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18003350

>>18003270
Sub $25 oil was my initial green light to start forming a position. For equities i want to see a legit buy signal on the s&p on my ta stuff.

>> No.18003357

why does smg have always the best pics?
>>18003272
it's true, just said on a conference today a few hours ago
t. gercuck

>> No.18003360
File: 3.64 MB, 460x226, empty shelf.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18003360

Where's all the groceries?

>> No.18003361
File: 1.24 MB, 500x394, 1576337975931.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18003361

Fake panic to extract equity from retired boomers to 150IQ zoomers (110 IQ zoomers if they're impatient.)
Gonna be a pretty red week this week still.

>> No.18003363

>>18003323
Yeah but what if a dad and mom walks their kid because they need to get some shit, will they get jumped by cops and fined? Kek'd

>> No.18003366

>>18003270
When the ravagers come less frequently
When dogs are safe to approach
When the smoke is less acrid
When there are more than 3 cans in your ration box
HODL

>> No.18003368
File: 55 KB, 892x535, 1584840251517.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18003368

BREAKING: Pelosi signals disagreement on massive relief package

>> No.18003372
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18003372

While you look at the explosion in new york of cases.

It's important to look at what is not happening elsewhere.

This is a mental block many have. Seeing one confirmation signal and ignoring all the signals telling you the opposite.

There is incompatibility between general predictions and what is actually happening in USA case wise.

>> No.18003377

>>18003336
>>18003325
looks like my 30k x20 leverage bet might work out

>> No.18003381

>>18003270
Luck, pure luck. Lets see if we time the bottom right.

>> No.18003390
File: 230 KB, 500x281, alucaro-goes-for-a-walk-hay-dont-you-go-toppling-47062964.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18003390

>>18003327
Most people who say "It's priced in" don't actually know how to determine that.
Funny enough, when pressed on it, the people making the claim cannot even describe what equation they use to determine "Priced in"

Also waiting on that forex action tonight.

>> No.18003391

>>18003368
Fuck her. I want my 2400 bucks in April damnit.

>> No.18003392

>>18003348
This looks dire

>> No.18003396

>>18003363
>will they get jumped by cops and fined?
they won't because it excludes families

>> No.18003400

I'm trying to figure out what commodotity stocks to buy at the bottom (thinking around SPY 180 is safe~)
I dont want mining companies, because their exposure to the market hurts them overall
GLD, SLV, IAU, X, USL?
Thoughts/recommendations?

>> No.18003401
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18003401

>>18003372
It's an easy modeling exercise

Take Italy, New York, etc.

Now ignore everything you've seen except those coronavirus events

Now imagine what the world looks like, only including those cities/areas in your projections.

Now look at what is really happening.

>> No.18003408
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18003408

>>18003348
Latest one I have. The 1929 trajectory looks different because the starting point was shifted forward a bit to more align with 2020

>> No.18003424
File: 489 KB, 1738x1738, 2-Mike-Hoare-Congo-Kestergat-copy_trans++dZFyL81Ivq0nmAiDWhp34GqMlqKM_JgBoEISJnHxQIQ.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18003424

>>18003377
>30k x20 leverage bet
absolute madman

>> No.18003427
File: 270 KB, 1371x1600, ETFUUp-WAAEfpKz.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18003427

It is so incredibly obvious what is happening, what will happen, and in what timeframe.

>> No.18003429

>>18003186

Crypto will pump first and then drop unbelievably hard

>> No.18003430

>>18003408
thanks

>> No.18003439
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18003439

First time in my life I have a steady job (the virus wont stop it), saving money, paid off debts, and recently thought to myself, "I should start investing!"

Then all this volatility and crashing happened. OK /biz/ I have nothing in the stock market right now. Literally starting from scratch. I should wait this out some more, right? Wait for it to bottom out and then buy in for long term investing yeah?

>> No.18003448

>>18003408
>comparing crisis that have nothing in common
For what purpose?

>> No.18003451

>>18003429
Crypto trades 24/7.

>> No.18003453

>>18003439
buy buy buy and hold

>> No.18003455

>>18003439
Better to leave some profits on the table than baghold for 2 years

>> No.18003465

>>18003252
No states are relatively unscathed unless everyone is staying in.

We have a choice. Dead boomers or a good economy.

It becomes obvious that, due to the boomers being the ruling class, they have chosen their safety over the economy.

Let's see how that pays off

>> No.18003466

>>18003396
Ah okay. Still though, not more than two people.. I wonder how they will enforce it

>> No.18003479

>>18003465
Almost every state is unscathed right now.

>> No.18003482

>>18003368
NICE

>> No.18003483
File: 50 KB, 508x720, 12 years a Slav.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18003483

>>18003372
>>18003401
don't you have more images of that guy? if you have to keep posting him at least post more than the same two images, please.

>> No.18003485

>>18003427
>they placed dots in the two National Parks in northern Yukon that are hundreds of kilometers from the nearest community

lmao, it's probably a climate based model, and the parks have permanent weather-recording stations but pretty rediculous

>> No.18003490

>>18003439
Start now!. You can always dollar cost average if it shits more. On the other hand if it goes up your missing out on gains. Your getting a damn good deal now.

>> No.18003497

>>18003270
S&P 1700
Going in before that +/-99 range is a no go for me.

>> No.18003498

>>18003465

In exponential problems. It's about how that doubling time is doing. Not anything else.

100 cases is meaningless if it is not growing to 2000

It's not a "how bad is it" problem. It's a criticality problem. If it doesn't go critical you have no problem.

>> No.18003503

>>18003439
Unironically just DCA or lump sum can't go wrong now, you could even go 100% stocks if you think you won't need money soon.

>> No.18003513

>>18003234
um, why? do you seriously think we bottomed lmao?

>> No.18003523

>>18003482
But if she fucks it up your loosing out on getting a fat wad from the govt.

>> No.18003525

>>18003439
Buy a gun and shoot yourself with it

>> No.18003532

>>18003498
For instance a city gaining 100 cases a day for the next month, would not be a problem, because it is not going exponential. While someone looking at that would see doom and gloom using basic human psychology.

A steady death rate or infection rate is a positive sign.

>> No.18003535

>>18003350
How long do russia/saudi keep up pricewar?

>> No.18003550

>>18003523
Monday's puts will more than make up for it

>> No.18003556
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18003556

>>18003523
I'm gonna get next to nothing

>> No.18003566

so basically most non exponential locations

- have better weather each day for lowering R0
- have drastically different social behavior and most cancelled public events or reduced them

Whatever the R0 was before it wasn't high enough to lead to quick doubling, and it's lower now and growing lower each day due to season.

The North East is our vulnerable location right now due to seasonality, behavior, and density. You can extrapolate NYC to Miami and say Miami is just 3 weeks behind. It's likely Miami will never experience R0 like NYC until november+

>> No.18003572

In our ICU theres a couple if mid 20s with bad pneumonias from the covid. This shit would have definitely killed oldly moldy.

>> No.18003576

>>18003178
based

>> No.18003579
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18003579

>>18003439
When SPX breaks 1800, that's when I'm very slowly going to start DCAing back in.

>> No.18003583
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18003583

Fed's Bullard has gone on record saying that it's not a recession, it's an investment in public health, so now they're blaming the crash entirely on the virus. Also said they need to print enough money to cover all lost wages and business income. And he thinks that will actually work. Is there any hope left at this point?

>> No.18003596
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18003596

These are the types of people I think of when someone here speculates on oil and gas.

>> No.18003607
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18003607

>>18003579
>it only drops to 1850

>> No.18003617

>>18003596
lol

>> No.18003618

>>18003566
The other factor to understand is just like after Italy hit a critical exponential number, it started to export cases at the same exponential rate.

New york will then be exporting cases all over USA, it's important to realize that these are not necessarily signs of community spread.

If a mass spread event happens. The week after actually has more spread due to infected spreading to untouched close contacts afterwards. So a big event will likely show signs of community spread afterwards in terms of infections even if non-organic.

For instance Thailand had a kickboxing event with mass spread, in which afterwards those infected family members would then be infected, showing community spread but probably non-sustainable without singular exceptional events.

Same with Malaysia and a packed muslim gathering featuring lots of international travelers.

This will also be shown in new orleans due to Mardi Gras. With the event on the 25th, then close contact spread the week after, then a reduction in spread after this due to seasonality and natural reasoning.

For those interested, New Orleans, Louisiana over the next few weeks will show this out by not going exponential.

>> No.18003637
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18003637

What puts do you guys hold?

>> No.18003647

>>18003637
IMAX

>> No.18003655

>>18003596
Does there exist something similar but for tesla?

>> No.18003658

>>18003186
Even if its not a red Monday, its red in the long term. Just buy your puts dated several months out, and sit on them until they get a good green return (around 300% or so), then sell and move your dates further out and keep riding it down.
>>18003178
Honestly Kanamori is hot as fuck because she's totally ruthless and very competent. She's a very unconventional sort of attractive.

>> No.18003661
File: 160 KB, 331x10000, fa62a3a02df501ec6e735da23b94f33f.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18003661

*ahem*
FUCK CRYPTO
FUCK BULLS
AND FUCK "PRICED IN" FAGS

>> No.18003671
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18003671

>>18003596
>you are trading with people like this, who have 0 idea what "risk" means

>> No.18003686

>>18003661
Based.

>> No.18003687

>know that Monday will be red
>market opens at 9am
>ETF deals are done at 12 noon
>ETF price doesn't update until 9pm
What do you say guys? Buy on Monday morning or give the fund manager a day to panic?

>> No.18003691
File: 82 KB, 790x837, 1543319382232.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18003691

>>18003661
Yeah fuck bulls


(for now)

>> No.18003698

>>18003400
bump, also looking at military/defence guys too like XAR, FITE, NOC, RAY

>> No.18003699

>>18003270
>what is your point of entry and a buy signal?
1. After every American has seen the horrific footage of hospitals being overrun and armed national guardsmen are standing at the doorways of every major hospital holding back a crowd of desperate, dying people and their families.
2. When the unemployed begin forming tent cities across the country and videos of police coming through to destroy their encampments comes out
3. When Mexican illegals start returning home in massive drives and rich people complain on Twitter about not having cleaning ladies and gardeners anymore, but try to make it a virtue signal like "of, my poor friend the gardener I underpay"
4. When Douche bank and HSBC are publicly known to be insolvent
5. When funeral homes are at capacity so people turn to cremation, but the crematoriums are at capacity, and funerals are highly advised against, so bodies are frozen for months but the morges are at capacity too so FEMA coffins are loaded up and buried in Superfund sites
6. When pensions are publicly known to be insolvent and the youth are being forced to bail them out
I could go on but this thread is probably dead already

>> No.18003706

>>18003618
A good example of this is Thailand's Coronavirus cases. It spiked immediately after China spiked, and even had a top spot in # of coronavirus cases internationally.

After China stopped exporting cases to Thailand it largely died off. Regardless of reporting inaccuracies it never went exponential.

Then Thailand had a large resurgence of cases as Italy and other areas began exporting.

It's likely Thailand will then see a decline from this high point due to exportation.

many places in USA might probably behave similarly, with a spike due to exportation and close contact spread then a reduction due to natural factors.

With the increase in behavioral changes it's likely this effect will be even greater in those low R0 US states.

Expect a large divide in how cities and states are effected

>> No.18003708

>>18003637
SPY and QQQ. I got fucked on DIA calls last week and barely broke even so I'm avoiding it for now.

I'm going to stick with index puts and stack cash while pumping it back into oil and shale stocks for now, since when oil prices come back they're going to bounce back hard. By personality I'm more of a buy and hold Graham style investor so these very short term trades are taking a toll on me.

>> No.18003714

>>18003596
How does this dumb motherfucker not forget to breathe? Holy shit, ahahahahaha.

>> No.18003732

>>18003671
Leverage is like cocaine to people dude you jump in get a quick hit of a huge 15% jump or whatever and ride the high all the way into the ground.

>> No.18003750
File: 1.25 MB, 600x466, 1579385199693.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18003750

>>18003658

>> No.18003752

>>18003708
I cant do PUTs what shares can I BUY?

please help noob

>> No.18003760

>>18003752
Don't buy anything.

>> No.18003765

>>18003706
No retard Thailand had a senior official say theh were under pressure to reduce the number of infected because it would affect tourism. Then shortly after the numbers miraculously stopped climbing rapidly

>> No.18003766

>>18003164
Would house prices go down if enough boomers got the coofs and died?

>> No.18003773

>>18003732
Leverage is cocaine to dumb people, to smart players leverage is the main bread and butter. Why the fuck would I wait for 1x index to rise when I can dump my money into 3x? If there's a good opportunity, last thing you want to do is waste it.

Now obviously if you are taking losses you pull out, you don't hold your bags until they zero.

>> No.18003780

The topic of China.

A lot of people bring up the fact China is lying or somesuch. Wuhan's weather has turned hotter and much more humid combined with obvious behavioral changes and mask wearing.

The R0 is most certainly below 1 in Wuhan and most of China at this time.

>> No.18003784
File: 182 KB, 856x724, 2020-03-22_10-18-01.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18003784

USA! USA! USA!

>> No.18003786

Monday Green End of Day :)

>> No.18003796

>>18003765
You can't hide exponential. It's actually impossible.

>> No.18003802
File: 95 KB, 586x628, 2020-03-22_10-19-43.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18003802

MAMMA MIA

>> No.18003804

>>18003780
Tell that to Brazil, India, Indonesia, Sub-Saharan Africa, and Southeast Asia

>> No.18003813

>>18003661
based bobo

>> No.18003814
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18003814

Has anyone actually considered what will happen if all that BBB corporate debt starts being downgraded or defaulted on because of corona and oil prices?

When do you think it'll kick off?

>> No.18003817

I lost almost $11 in this fiasco, pray for me simps

>> No.18003819

>>18003784
New york over 50% now.

>> No.18003822

>>18003784
>Germany +8
Yeah sure.

>> No.18003824

>>18003732
>huge 15% jump or whatever and ride the high all the way into the ground.
>15%
lmao try 5000% and still holding then next day it goes to -25%
was holding x10 tesla leverage that turned into $500k

>> No.18003825

Reminder that the PPT has thrown in the towel, 3-13 had MASSIVE end of day pumps EVERY SINGLE DAY, 16-20 did not. We had more normal end of day trading

>> No.18003828

>>18003752
why can't you do puts

>> No.18003834

>>18003814
Moodys and others were doing mass downgrades after market close on friday.
Fuck I forgot to factor some of those S&P basis companies downgrades into my strategy...

>> No.18003843

>>18003817
only 11 dollars? you're not cut out for this, kid

>> No.18003844
File: 243 KB, 462x309, 1540049326373.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18003844

Reminder that the number of cases is INACCURATE because the hospitals don't have enough tests and are telling people to self quarantine.

This isnt ending anytime soon. We are full bear

>> No.18003845

>>18003637

TIF and iShares INDA.

>> No.18003854

>>18003556
looks like you get enough already there bud.

>> No.18003862

>>18003804
you're not understanding.

Thailand had more cases from wuhan than any other place in the world.

>> No.18003867

My account will probably take even longer to get approved considering what is happening in new york.
Do you think things will still be as red in april? I might have to wait until then to be able to buy stuff.

>> No.18003877
File: 354 KB, 738x2351, 2020-03-22_10-22-20.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18003877

>>18003784
>>18003819
>>18003822
The day is not even close to being over either. These charts reset at 12 AM GMT, so still 6.5 hours of data collection before it's apples-to-apples with respect to previous days

>> No.18003881
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18003881

>>18003427
> >1 everywhere at all times
> >2 in the West and Europe
You're saying we're fucked until we throw the boomers under the bus?

>> No.18003884

>>18003854
Is that a lot of money to you, anon?

>> No.18003886

>>18003843
i put in $20, i’m so deep in the red i dont know how i can get back out

>> No.18003887

>>18003862
Got any evidence for that claim?

>> No.18003898

>>18003867
I hope it bounces back to even higher by then just to fuck over newfags like you

>> No.18003908
File: 188 KB, 863x721, 2020-03-22_10-27-27.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18003908

>>18003784
UM

WTF JUST HAPPENED HERE

>> No.18003909

>>18003887
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30260-9/fulltext

sit

>> No.18003914

>>18003862
And the virus is still spreading through hot, humid environments. There's a reason I mentioned so many countries and not just Southeast Asian ones. India's cases are fucking exploding for example.

>> No.18003917

>>18003699
>I could go on but this thread is probably dead already
7. when mortgage interest is halted by federal decree, like student loans, and people are still selling because they don't have money for living expenses even without their mortgage payments
8. When the federal government beings allowing entire industries to die. Casinos, cruise lines, etc. They cannot bail out everything
9. When the Saudi king is overthrown
10. When anti-chinese sentiment escalates to murder in the United States
11. When Chinese spies are publican exposed and imprisoned, rather than in secret, to build support for intensified proxy wars in the near future
12. When Biden contracts coronavirus before the DNC
13. When unemployed Bernie supporters turn up in massive numbers at the DNC and riot police and deployed "because of coronavirus" and the protesters become radicalized ancoms overnight
14. When an alt right prepper shoots someone who comes to their house during quarantine
15. When it's 3 months into military-enforced shelter-in-place and you see defiant normies getting thrown into vans while screaming because they couldn't handle the isolation
16. When all of normie internet is swamped by not-online types and they make those places noticeably even worse
17. When the schools don't open until January for the 21-22 school year

>> No.18003958

>>18003909
Funny, this paper doesn't say a thing about Thailand. It doesn't even suggest a number or estimate for thailand.
Can you identify where in the paper it says that thailand has the most cases outside of china?

>> No.18003964
File: 76 KB, 640x563, Stockerinos.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18003964

>>18003814
Within next 4-5 months. That's why I have SPY shorts.

>> No.18003966

>>18003908
Actually did some tests

>> No.18003970

>>18003917
>13. When unemployed Bernie supporters turn up in massive numbers at the DNC and riot police and deployed "because of coronavirus" and the protesters become radicalized ancoms overnight
based but not marx pilled

>> No.18003971

>>18003867
I just applied for puts yesterday too. Can't wait to go balls deep in rec and tourism puts. The 4 trillion dollar bailout will have to be paid back with intrest said the recucklicans. Kek. People will be homeless and mortgages will be foreclosed. I know a board member of a hospital that said it wasn't going to be a thing until 2 weeks ago. Now, they are shitting their pants. Its just the beginning

>> No.18003990

>>18003884
yep

>> No.18003997

>>18003914
Do you know what exploding means?

They've had coronavirus in india since late january

>> No.18004003

>>18003898
So sorry to hear you got screwed over. It must hurt real bad.

>> No.18004016

>>18003958
Table 2Cities outside of mainland China to which Wuhan had the greatest volume of outbound air travel in January–February, 2019


brainlet

>> No.18004028
File: 23 KB, 688x98, US Corona number.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004028

12.549 NEW CASES IN THE USA ONLY TODAY
>12.549 NEW CASES IN THE USA ONLY TODAY
12.549 NEW CASES IN THE USA ONLY TODAY
>12.549 NEW CASES IN THE USA ONLY TODAY
12.549 NEW CASES IN THE USA ONLY TODAY
>12.549 NEW CASES IN THE USA ONLY TODAY
12.549 NEW CASES IN THE USA ONLY TODAY
>12.549 NEW CASES IN THE USA ONLY TODAY
12.549 NEW CASES IN THE USA ONLY TODAY

Jesus Christ, Monday will be the death of the DOW Jones!

>> No.18004031

>US is leading in new cases worldwide
That's just what we needed bearbros.

>> No.18004034

>>18003997
Yes, exploding refers to a sudden rapid growth. India was reporting small numbers until recently, now it's approaching 400 while adding around 60 cases a day, after being far lower for two months. Explosion does not refer to an initial onset of cases.

>> No.18004038

>>18003566
https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/96dd742462124fa0b38ddedb9b25e429/
Miami has 177 cases and social distancing here is a joke. Most people are going about business as normal apart from schools and some jobs closed. Not to mention grocery stores will remain a vector of transmission.

>> No.18004044

>>18004016
That literally means nothing. Hell even the paper admits that it could only be an indicator but no hard conclusion. Which is probably why unlike the rest of the world, the reasonably middle class Thailand only has 500 confirmed cases. Now keep in mind, this isn't a country that had an ongoing health crisis and is a country where the hospitals are actually useful.
So I guess the question is:
"Why did you make so many logical leaps and draw the conclusion that you did when the note that goes with it indicates that not all of those flights contained infections and they simply used it to chart probability of spread instead of infection rates upon arrival?"

>> No.18004048

If you dont buy Dave and Buster stock now I will be looking down from you all from the moon

>> No.18004050

>>18003971
You’re way too late for shorting that industry, retard.

>> No.18004056
File: 107 KB, 584x584, 1583714115308.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004056

>>18003908
>>18004028

>> No.18004057

>>18004028
what site is this bro

>> No.18004076

>>18004044
Not really a lot of logical leaps. We are seeing the exact same patterns play out worldwide and in USA with respect to climate effects.

every other coronavirus is also very climate sensitive and seasonal.

>> No.18004077

>>18004028
Probably in NY and Cali.

>> No.18004078

god it's going to be fun trading vix tops and bottoms the coming weeks. so much monies to be made.

>> No.18004082

>>18004028
>held shorts over the weekend despite being leery of possible trumpbux and relief bill actions
>circuit breaker red week confirmed
We did it bearbros, we won.

>> No.18004085
File: 73 KB, 600x668, girl_gun_fuck_yeah1.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004085

Opinions on S&P Global 100? Or is regional diversification a meme and you're all domestic?

>> No.18004090

>It just started snowing outside

Praise the Great Corona and all her gifts. Even fighting global warming

>> No.18004093

>>18003802
Flattening? the deaths were in the 600s yesterday as well

>> No.18004099

>>18003908
what is this website?

>> No.18004104
File: 56 KB, 960x581, 1584284664793.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004104

>>18004028
100,000 cases by EOW.
5,000 deaths by EOW.

National lockdown, looting, and civil unrest by EOW.

That, my friends, will be when I buy cheapies.

>> No.18004111

>>18003970
You are going to lose a lot of Marxists to the temptations of situationist/primitivist/anti-cop anarchist shit. Hard to believe in the power of the workers when you're living on the streets and no union is doing shit for you

>> No.18004113

>>18004077
all NY

>> No.18004114

https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/03/21/819541569/holocaust-survivor-is-first-coronavirus-death-in-israel?utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=nprblogscoronavirusliveupdates

Another Shoah!

>> No.18004115

>>18004048
>PLAY
Holy hadn't even considered it
also that fucking JUICY dividend. Still I mean it's going to get fucking hurt for the next month or so, so I can wait

>> No.18004123
File: 1.21 MB, 970x1366, 1580490498429.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004123

>>18004090
>mass lay offs
>carbon emissions world wide plummeting
>boomers die
wew lads shes saving the planet

>> No.18004125
File: 190 KB, 864x770, 2020-03-22_10-42-01.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004125

>>18004099
Here you go: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Also: AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

>> No.18004139

>>18004085
I'm a Canadian and 99% of my holdings are in the US because you actually have companies worth investing in and we don't, also your dollar is actually worth real money and ours isn't

>> No.18004141

>>18004077
12,339 in NY

>> No.18004142
File: 16 KB, 594x84, JUST.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004142

Uhh, bros? wtf...

>> No.18004146

>>18004048
D&B is hot garbage though. If any of the Japanese arcades were publicly traded I'd go hard into those.

>> No.18004148

>>18004115
Nobody went there before the virus
Nobody is going there after
Might as well buy SNSS or BowlAmerica kek

>> No.18004152

>>18004076
You just contradicted yourself.
Thailand is a tropical country. That means you should expect less infections than wuhan china.

>> No.18004162

>>18004125
Not sure what their sources are. This one is showing different data and has sources listed
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/03/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/

>> No.18004170

>>18004152
wuhan is still pretty much on lockdown, look at traffic.

Thailand has not done a lockdown, even on China during the worst periods.

>> No.18004171

>>18004028
Yeah, not to mention the reports of something like 2 million in unemployment applications. Its very, very bad for people with high turnover jobs or jobs highly reliant on service/hotel industries. Even my brother, who works for a software company that makes software for hotels, has had his (and literally everyone else's) pay docked due to a sharp downturn in purchases of their software.
>>18004090
>Even fighting global warming
The amount of various gasses being produced by man has dropped massively over the last three months, since so many borders are closed, factories shutdown, and people quarantined to their houses.

>> No.18004175
File: 198 KB, 960x960, 8B35565A-6FBE-4283-873B-14F1479BA56F.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004175

WE GOT TOO COCKY BULLBROS
OH NO NO NO NO NOOOOO

>> No.18004188

>>18004162
BNO is way behind, it's only one guy with a few volunteers keeping track

>> No.18004189

There are way better ways to swing trade on hospitality and entertainment, D&B is fucking dogshit. The only reason the stock went up was because they activated their poison pill clause to stop hostile acquisitions.

>> No.18004190

>>18004093
The lockdown seems to show an effect.

>> No.18004198
File: 3.00 MB, 854x480, cripples.webm [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004198

>>18004175
kek, reminds me of

>> No.18004212

>>18004093
deaths are a lagging indicator, when they flatten it means spread has been reducing for three weeks+

>> No.18004218

>>18004175
RIP all those people.

>> No.18004220

>>18004170
Ok, and again, your own claim is that thailand has the most cases. Yet your own claim is that hot and humid countries should have very few cases.
You're contradicting yourself. Because according to your own initial claim: Thailand should not have many cases because it is a hot a humid country. This is where you're going entirely wrong, contradicting yourself, and simply making more spurious logical leaps than is reasonable.

>> No.18004223

>>18004188
But their source is official press release issued just 2 hours ago. Why would it be wrong

>> No.18004234

>>18004190
Yup, but the flattening also means that the economic impact of the virus is more pronounced as it takes longer for the virus to run its course. Win win for bears, more deaths or longer shutdown

>> No.18004237

>>18004093
deaths are a lagging indicator by three weeks. When they peak it's a very good sign.

You expect deaths to go up steeply up till the point of 3 weeks+ after R0 Peak

Given the choice to let people die in Italy, it might be lagging further behind the 3+ weeks too.

>> No.18004248

20+% next week on the dow jones index. Screencap this. The streets will run red with bear blood.

>> No.18004250
File: 42 KB, 589x525, 2020-03-22_10-47-44.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004250

ACTUAL HAPPENING
>ACTUAL HAPPENING
ACTUAL HAPPENING
>ACTUAL HAPPENING
ACTUAL HAPPENING
>ACTUAL HAPPENING
ACTUAL HAPPENING
>ACTUAL HAPPENING
ACTUAL HAPPENING
>ACTUAL HAPPENING
ACTUAL HAPPENING
>ACTUAL HAPPENING
ACTUAL HAPPENING
>ACTUAL HAPPENING
ACTUAL HAPPENING
>ACTUAL HAPPENING

https://twitter.com/CNBCnow/status/1241783121743425536

>> No.18004254

>>18004175
Images like this are why preppers do what they do. You want to avoid shit like this, especially in a disease situation like this. You're just exposing yourself to disease, not to mention fighting over food, etc.
I'm very happy that I prepared a solid two months before this shit hit. I knew it was coming.

>> No.18004253

>>18004220
you're too fucking stupid stop stop stop

Thailand had the #1 destination for air travel from wuhan
Thailand had the #1 international cases of coronavirus for a very brief period of time but was top 3
Thailand never stopped any travel from China
Thailand's resurgence in cases is linked to the rise of cases and hence export from Europe/USA.

>> No.18004262

>>18004250
He warned us!

>> No.18004267

>>18004237
>>18004212
Don't forget how easy it is to manipulate that data though. You can always go
>yes he died with covid but actually his heart stopped before his lungs collapsed so it's not a covid related death :)
And we won't really know when some government starts to play that game with their numbers

>> No.18004268

>>18004175
>panicshopping
>huge gathering
>no masks
Normies are such brainlet.

>> No.18004270
File: 973 KB, 312x213, 1350459171190.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004270

>>18004250

>> No.18004271

>>18004250
kek

Libertarian too retarded to wash his hands and talk further from other people

>> No.18004272

>>18004250
Ron Paul isn't even a senator anymore. You could at least post the real thing fucking /pol/tard

>> No.18004282

>>18004250
>Ron not even a senator anymore
>it's just his useless son Rand
At least put some work in.

>> No.18004283

>https://www.bild.de/news/2020/news/coronavirus-69560908.bild.html

MERKEL IN QUARANTINE

>> No.18004291

>>18004267
True but it's pretty hard to cover up a widescale exponential number of deaths that flood hospitals in a country with twitter

Also other SEA countries similar low Ro

>> No.18004293

>>18003556
fucking nigger

>> No.18004295

>>18004250
Oh fuck he needs to live to see the aftermath of the repo shit we NEED him. It is not his time.

>> No.18004297

>>18004123
>caring about the carbon meme
lol and bluepilled

>> No.18004298

>>18004253
And again, your own claim contradicts yourself. The amount going in is indicated "Less than 1% of infected" according to your study.
Your own claim is that the virus doesn't spread in hot and humid countries.
That you should see it lower in hot and humid countries.
Yet
Thailand apparently has the most infected.
Despite low cases
And a robust, modern, healthcare system which is actively testing.

Make up your goddamn mind or go the fuck back to /pol/

>> No.18004304

>>18004283 DAX gonna be tasty tmr

>> No.18004307

>>18004250
MERKEL UNDER QUARANTINE

>> No.18004310

>>18004250
Literally who

>> No.18004313

>just started texting friend about how fucked America and Canada are
>stock clock says it's open
>check their graphs
>they're fucked
>text him about how fucked Asia is when it opens
>wait
>realise its not Monday
How do I salvage this? Do any markets still have futures open?

>> No.18004321
File: 38 KB, 600x480, 1583796407308.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004321

>>18004076
>every other coronavirus is also very climate sensitive and seasonal.
Influenza has an R0 of ~1.6 in WINTER, flu is very climate sensitive and seasonal, corona-chan has an R0 >1 in all regions and seasons, corona-chan is neither highly seasonal nor highly climate sensitive.

>> No.18004331

>>18004298
Doesn't spread != low R0

R0 is highly variable and exceptions occur in every country and situation. We are talking about averaging it over a country.

>> No.18004337

>>18003784
>25% jump in cases in one day
>exponential growth at that rate means doubling every 3 days
>we still don't have enough test kits and aren't aggressively testing like SK did to actually trace contacts and quarantine properly
Honestly we might as well give up and focus resources on at risk populations. Mandatory telework and shelter in place for anyone over 55 and outright quarantine procedures for anyone over 80 and people with pre-existing conditions. Everyone else just let herd immunity deal with it and let it burn through the population for two months and then we're good to go. If we keep going the way we are we'll be at "social distancing" and massive economic contraction for half a year or longer, and the hospitals will STILL get overwhelmed.

>> No.18004338

>>18004253
Good counterpoints. I've had that Campbell guy on YouTube repeat the Thailand thing without mentioning any of that info

>> No.18004346

>>18004250
istn the tweet talking about RAND Paul?

>> No.18004348

>>18004272
dilate, commie. Then kys

>> No.18004352

>>18004313
>I was pretending to be retarded
Never fails

>> No.18004354

Oh yea, I'm thinking we will be eating some top sirloin by this week's end bearbros

>> No.18004363
File: 177 KB, 1200x750, C94I1eqXgAAW-8j.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004363

>>18004321
fucking idiot

>> No.18004365

>>18004313
Imply that you're a time traveler, but let him put the pieces together.

>> No.18004367

>>18004313
Technically futures never close. Thing is, most companies don't trade on the weekends.
Here's a stock clock. Grey means closed.
https://market24hclock.com/#_
New zealands exchange will be opening in 3 hours.
Followed 2 hours later by sydney,
and so on.
https://market24hclock.com/Trading-Hours

>> No.18004370
File: 287 KB, 1196x936, kasdf.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004370

Where were you when Germany was saveD?

>> No.18004373
File: 603 KB, 600x1407, great things come in bears.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004373

>Rand Paul has it
>Merkel under quarantine due to contact with a doctor who tested positive
>Germany basically going into lockdown
>Italy on even harder lockdown
>US confirmed cases showing how widespread it actually is

>> No.18004377

>>18004250
These dumbasses fucked up. Its Rand Paul who is sick.
https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/488892-rand-paul-becomes-first-senator-to-test-positive-for-coronavirus

>> No.18004387

>these news
cooming over my 30k turning into 100k minimum on monday open

>> No.18004388

>>18004282
Ron P was never a senator as far as I'm aware. He was a representative from Texas.

>> No.18004400
File: 178 KB, 540x720, 1546917963529.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004400

>>18004370
Post yfw Merkel first world leader to die to coronavirus

>> No.18004402

>>18004250
https://twitter.com/CNBCnow/status/1241784184697499649
Pls god. Make it happen

>> No.18004404

Heard that this rise in cases is a result of a back log of testing and not an organic explosion in case numbers

>> No.18004406

>>18003272
Tfw, citizens can no longer assemble, and must only communicate through surveilled channels.

>> No.18004409

>>18004377
LOL

Those fucking dumbasses

>> No.18004412

>average age of corona death in Italy is 80 years old
>1/3 of all people testing positive are asymptomatic or only have mild symptoms
>of that 1/3, nearly all of them are young people
Truly the boomer remover.

>> No.18004414
File: 474 KB, 1439x1353, 1584895416878.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004414

>no stimulus bill
>trump begged for unemployment data to be delayed till end of the week


This week is going to be HELL.

>> No.18004415

>>18004373
>Widespread
It's primarily in one city and one state, unless you have some numbers from some other large cities.

>> No.18004422
File: 47 KB, 828x334, 0CF74A2A-79E0-4BB9-9459-7A697DAEDDCA.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004422

Looking bad bono. Think these will be ITM this week?

>> No.18004425

>>18004404
NYC is testing on similar per capita levels to South Korea

A large majority of USA efforts should concentrate in the north east

>> No.18004426

>>18004409
>I was pretending to be retarded
https://twitter.com/CNBC/status/1241783047990673411

>> No.18004427
File: 81 KB, 500x303, i-could-save-europe-right-now-9875974.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004427

>merkel

>> No.18004428

Guys, what exactly prevents me from buying calls of something like OILU that are dirt cheap and expire in Jan of next year?

>> No.18004434

>>18004415
www.infection2020.com

This shit is everywhere dude.

>> No.18004435

>>18003244

Don’t forget about a possible cure soon that’ll send stocks to the moon

>> No.18004440

>>18004282
ill still give rand credit for that time he wouldnt shut up so that the rest of those assholes had to sit there for a day if they wanted to re-sign the patriot act

that was a nice gesture imo
would buy him a beer for that desu

>> No.18004441
File: 40 KB, 703x248, Udklip.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004441

>>18003164
MUTTI IS KILL
ITS ALL OVER
THIS IS A HUGE BULL SIGNAL
BRRRRRRR
AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

>> No.18004446

anyway I'm repeating this again

The solution to this crisis was climate control related. Humidifiers and turning the heat higher in public / high traffic spaces.

It was quite simple. Unfortunately humanity failed a simple test.

>> No.18004453

>>18004422
Fake.

>> No.18004454

>>18004414
>Pelosi and Jewmer going to put that low interest loan shit into reality
This is going to be great, can't wait to short and then finally buy once we hit the real bottom. Unless there is no bottom and we start slitting each other's throats in the streets. Which I guess is also cool.

>> No.18004455

>>18004414
I know they don't want Trump to claim a win on this, but by being obstructionist like this they are basically guaranteeing the rest of the presidential campaign Trump will legitimately be able to claim that relief from Corona-chan was obstructed by Democrat control of the House, and normies will believe it. The media won't be able to spin that away.

It's literally like Ds only know how to lose.

>> No.18004457

>>18004414
I'm not worrying anymore, all my money is in cash and I'm convinced US dollar will collapse slowly over the next decade rather than immediately right now because it's not like we have any other stable currency to go to right now, it will take time for another safe haven to appear

>> No.18004461
File: 17 KB, 340x257, 1570083651615.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004461

>>18004400

>> No.18004464

>>18004434
>2000000 cases in one region
>200 in another region

WIDESPREAD NOT CONCENTRATED DUDE

>> No.18004469

>>18003699
Idk if it will get to that with this weak ass "pandemic" coronachan man.

>> No.18004473

>>18003766
Yes but only if demand fell as well.

Refi and other loan rates went up recently due to high demand. Prices only fall low demand. High supply can help but demand is what determines price, not always supply.

>> No.18004479

>>18004370
Based doctor

>> No.18004481

>>18004446
It has to be like 127 degrees to kill the virus, that isn't feasible.

>> No.18004482

>>18004435
They've been saying that a cure will be out in 2 weeks since January. Meanwhile realistic expectations of a vaccine are that it will be a year until we see results. Let alone an actual vaccine.
https://www.bbc.com/news/health-51665497
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/20/when-will-a-coronavirus-vaccine-be-ready
http://www.emro.who.int/health-topics/corona-virus/questions-and-answers.html

>> No.18004484

>>18004412
Honestly, it sounds heartless, but we were due for a mass pandemic. They tend to happen every 100 years or so, and they're honestly a good thing for wiping out the old and weak who have long overstayed their welcome on the earth. The young, who are the majority, must rule, and when the old stay too long so does their entrenched power and wealth. We need these people to go away so wealth transfers and power is loosened up. The only way for new ideas to take root is for old ideas to die with those that believe them.

>> No.18004491

>>18004422
can i have $10 if those go ITM? $10 so I can buy a big mac meal.

>> No.18004493

>>18004455
You mean Pelosi only cares about personal advancement and will even tank democratic elections to do so?

This has been her entire legacy.

>> No.18004498
File: 279 KB, 360x270, 1584311672271.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004498

>>18004363
Fucking smooth brain retard.

Influenza has an R0 <1 for ~9 months a year, THAT is a highly seasonal virus, we're already well outside flu season and corona-chan is spreading uninhibited, to call corona-chan HIGHLY SEASONAL is full retard. Kill yourself

>> No.18004499

>>18004446
That's literally not how viruses work or how this particular virus spreads. It's airborne. It's spending a few seconds tops after being coofed into the open air before some normie inhales it. Ever been in a closed room with someone smoking? It's like that, but with viral load.

>> No.18004502

>>18004048
I bought some last week. The only concern I have is them not surviving this.

>> No.18004508

>>18004434
Thanks for sharing this resource. It is all over, but it is still very concentrated in NYC and parts of CA. If there were similar numbers of cases making its way to the midwest we'd be real screwed.

>> No.18004511

>>18004453
???

>> No.18004514

TSE futures open an hour before the main market, right? In other words, they're open in 5 hours?

>> No.18004518
File: 28 KB, 600x600, Down-Syndrome.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004518

>>18004481

Interesting point, but wrong. The real world situations are very different than what you can do in a lab regarding as to how it survives or behaves at higher humidity and temperatures.

>> No.18004521

>>18003917
The savage within me coomed

>> No.18004526

>>18004518
retard stfu

>> No.18004527

>>18004502
aw man no more wings n' game meals

>> No.18004529

>>18004435
>possible cure soon
its dont

theres been some interesting talks in developing an atomizer style delivery for those antiviral drugs (cant remember the name) that theyve been using.
the idea is that then the dosage can be further lowered and there will be less serious side/aftereffects as just taking the drugs themselves.
and lots of talk of cutting any and all red tape to fasttrack approval for such things.

still not something you necessarily wanna have to take while getting your lungs ventilated

>> No.18004535
File: 24 KB, 582x349, flu-peak-activity-updated.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004535

>>18004498
excellent point

>> No.18004544

>>18004464
Widespread literally means that there are cases over a wide area. You have the entire west coast and east coast with reported infections. All but 2 counties in arizona, entire swaths of the mid west. A massive amount of florida, most of alabama and a large number of cases in the upper great lakes. By every definition that's widespread.

>> No.18004545

>>18004425
Testing is like a self fulfillng prophecy though, you find more cases where you test more and therefore allocate more testing resources to that location. Community transmission is probably everywhere and you need testing to show locals just how serious it is. Testing in NYC should basically just be done once admitting patients. It's gonna be bad over there.

>> No.18004547

>>18003466
>cop comes to give you fine for not having your outside license
>copy approaches to meet ticket
>suddenly realize both of you are now violating the 2-person meeting rule

>> No.18004560

>>18004526
The real world is a kill or be killed world.

A test tube example is not going to reveal anything.

turning up temp and humidity would solve this in any country that did it widescale in high spread locations

>> No.18004563

>>18004547
kek

>> No.18004572

>>18004545
or just give people antivirals early when it works instead of waiting for it to be ineffective....

>> No.18004573
File: 87 KB, 765x608, 2020-03-22_11-06-23.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004573

JUST

>> No.18004575

Rand Paul is fucked. He had lung surgery recently.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/rand-paul-undergoes-lung-surgery-after-2017-assault-by-neighbor

>> No.18004581

>>18004560
Dude how would this work?? How hot would you want it?

>> No.18004584

>>18004560
Bro what are your positions in the stock market? I think you're an idiot and I'm going to take the opposite positions.

>> No.18004586

>>18004508
New york became more concentrated as time went on. It had been going from yellow to orange to red in that area over the past week. When I began monitoring that site, there was only a smattering of oranges and a few yellows with Washington being a big red bullseye. In the span of a week it has showed up literally everywhere. Don't imply concentration as being an origination point. It's only higher there because those are all major metro areas.

>> No.18004598

>>18003964
what is the equivalent of SPY that I can short thru Vanguard? looks like VFIAX

>> No.18004600

>>18004581
78F + humidifiers when possible

>> No.18004601
File: 54 KB, 720x720, 1584804147117.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004601

>tfw futures open in 4 hours.

>> No.18004603

>>18004387
All but my most OTM puts should be going ITM tomorrow, fucking hell. It's like a dream.

>> No.18004611

>>18004482
vaccine is WAY out
i do think theyre getting somewhere tho with the safely delivering antivirals tho
if they can manage gettiing it into a atomizer/vaporizer it could really help "flatten muh curve"

regardless, theres still a lot of other things going on rn. pandemic is only one aspect of it all

>> No.18004612

>>18004584
Fuck I want in on that position action...

>> No.18004613

>>18003327
he cute

>> No.18004619
File: 18 KB, 412x387, u wot p8.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004619

>>18004560
>Dude just get the government to turn up the humidity

>> No.18004625

>>18004584
I was buying puts in January on domestic USA airlines because I knew it would spread and be a major problem here.

>> No.18004628
File: 1.52 MB, 480x270, 1582758548298.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004628

do i sell my UVXY monday when it goes red in fear of stimulus deals maybe making the market go green or do i wait till thursday unemployment numbers come out?

>> No.18004630

>>18004573
>Votes against stimulus package
>Gets Corona
Kek'd

>> No.18004640

>>18003372
well, new yorkers are basically italians, what the fuck did you expect?

>> No.18004642

>>18004619
It would actually work funny or maddening enough. kek

>> No.18004656

>>18004625
>Domestic airlines are about to get major liquidity infusions.
Yeah time to do some mid week stock sweeping on them then. Might even do a fucking call given how the stocks of affected companies always rally after injections of liquidity.

>> No.18004670
File: 51 KB, 480x360, ronpaul.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004670

>>18004601
But anon, there is no more future left!

>> No.18004672

>>18003844
Well naturally, epidemic didn't peak in most places outside of China, unless they are lying and took them several months to peak.

>> No.18004679

>>18004630
Kek

>> No.18004681

>>18004600
Thats a normal indoor temperature, 68-78 degrees F. This would do nothing.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Room_temperature

>> No.18004693

>>18004681
It would solve everything actually.

>> No.18004696

>>18004575
Is congress being infected and the government not functioning bullish?

>> No.18004697

>>18004628
i feel like at this point the only real VIX trade worth making is puts/spreads on the ACTUAL VIX with a lot of time on them
VIX isnt gonna stay above 70 for 3 months after all

>> No.18004708

>>18004681
>thinking this is not a pre-planned test of humanity

>> No.18004712

>>18004114
GAS GAS GAS

>> No.18004713

HERE IS TO JEB BEING NEXT

>> No.18004722
File: 97 KB, 717x833, Fight somewhere empty.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004722

>>18004693
>virus rides aerosols
>LET'S HUMIDIFY EVERYTHING TO SHIT

>> No.18004733

>>18004722
Yes, Virus suffer in humidity

>> No.18004741

>>18004733
You have no proof retard, I have proof it loves aerosols though.

>> No.18004746

So green tomorrow for the red-green step to continue?

>> No.18004755

>>18004672
It has already peaked in SK. If anything it took longer for China to control the virus than SK.

>> No.18004762

>>18004741
No one has any proof of anything.

Even general intelligence rests on assumptions. Just in a different way than science.

>> No.18004764

>>18004755
>It has already peaked in SK.
Also no evidence, the cultists are most likely spreading it still.

>> No.18004765

>>18004414
Not shilling for it, but you think gold goes up or down in all this? I would have thought that gold would be going up the last few weeks, but it went down instead. I typically don't buy gold, but I would have thought that with all this money printing a lot of people, especially boomers would buy gold.

>> No.18004787

>>18004746
No, red monday, for entire red week.

Monday isn't going to be green, no way in fucking hell.
>>18004765
Gold is going down because all these shit BBB companies need immediate liquidity.

>> No.18004789

>>18004048
No. They will go bankrupt with AMC

>> No.18004795

>>18004764
They've already texted 200k cultists. Most are young women which is also the reason they have much lower death rate

>> No.18004858

>>18004764
>>18004795
what cultists?

>> No.18004859
File: 123 KB, 1200x900, Dy69MEQU0AAiFpp.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004859

my dick is so hard thinking about SOXL and SVXY cheapies.

>> No.18004865
File: 70 KB, 666x667, 1583337187508.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004865

>>18003618
The better data to identify this trend is going to be coming out of Malaysia. They are much hotter and 2/3rds of their cases right now are from a 14,000 person 3 day indoor muslim hand holding event that happened Feb 28 - Mar 1.

>> No.18004871

>>18004858
Shincheonji, just Google it

>> No.18004928

Im a noob with 50k dollars to invest. Any advice boys?

>> No.18004961

>>18004928
how much stress do you want?
If none, then just give it to an investment firm, give it to people who know what they are doing.

>> No.18004969

>>18004048
>buy a fucking barcade
>in the middle of a global pandemic
>when it looks like most if not all states will need to institute lockdown/quarantine for an indeterminate amount of time
lol
no one wants your bags m8

>> No.18004978
File: 23 KB, 494x484, Pepe eyes.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18004978

>>18004961
>give it to people who know what they are doing.
Haha yeah, just give it to the experts who fuck their clients over every crash, it'll be alright bro.

>> No.18004995

>>18004961
Goldman Sacs refers to their clients as "Muppets"

>> No.18005003

>>18004928
45k in SPY and QQQ, 5k for you to buy various large cap companies you like so you can learn to invest.

>> No.18005015

>>18004865
Indonesia is already having one of the highest death rates on the planet

>> No.18005019

>>18003372
zoomers are a scourge upon the earth, boomers were bad, but zoomers are even worse. I feel like an iron front member in weimar republic looking at the 2 fighting factions of communists and nazis.

>> No.18005023

Reminder that if you thought Congress was throwing money at COVID-19 before, they'll now be in "oh shit we could actually die" mode now.

>> No.18005026

>>18004928
Realistically we are nearing the tail edge of the big drops we had been seeing. I suspect that during this week markets will begin to stabilize since the VIX is dropping significantly. It's a good time to make a fire sale on all cheap stocks that have historically good performance though. ATT has an average of 2 a stock dividend which is pretty fucking nice. Meanwhile I'm moving gains from the swings over to intelsat for longer term outlooks.
Don't buy into the SPY put craze at the moment. People are beginning to get hot hand syndrome and are ignoring a lot of stock indicators at this time that we won't continue going down forever.

>> No.18005027

>>18004961

Most advisors start at 100k minimum, the better ones are 1M+. With 50k you're just getting into some mutual fund or roboadvisor/managed account where you just set your portfolio ratios.

>> No.18005041

>>18005026
>Realistically we are nearing the tail edge of the big drops we had been seeing
Fuck no you god damn idiot we are going LOWER. DOW will be fucking decimated when all the BBBs are starting to default.

>> No.18005049

>>18005023
and only prove further the futility of their efforts. They slashed rates to zero and the market was unimpressed. They made sky high promises and it was unimpressed. Nothing they can promise is going to stop it now. This is going to a problem for months

>> No.18005058

>>18005041
Look at the vix and look at liquidity infusions. You need to make a case built on market indicators and fundamentals rather than just saying they will.

>> No.18005069

>>18005015
>Indonesia is already having one of the highest death rates on the planet
Deaths will be relatively accurate for countries not trying to bury shit but cases and therefore death rate will be absolute horseshit for possibly years going forward. ONLY follow death numbers and their growth if you want actual remotely accurate data as a point of comparison for how far along into an outbreak a country is and how they're doing in terms of hitting a peak.

>> No.18005070

>>18004858
There's some Korean sect of Christianity that retards online are claiming are spreading it purposefully, when in reality it's just that they take their Faith's seriously and attendance every Sunday is essentially required. They further pushed it by implying they purposely come in close contact with each other and were wanting to spread the virus, when in reality they're just a massive group and very poor stuck with small spaces. They shut down all services once it starting becoming a national problem.

>> No.18005086

>>18005026
Dude..unemployment numbers come out on Friday, they are expected to hit 2.5 million when 250K was expected. This is nowhere even remotely close to over.

>> No.18005103

>>18005058
But that's the problem, you're looking at the market as if this is a market driven crash. It's not, this is an exogenous crash driven by shutdowns and infections. Both of those are increasing exponentially and won't slow down for ~2 weeks minimum.

>> No.18005106

>>18005086
This could literally be the next great depression and define the next 20 years

>> No.18005110

>>18005026
> Return to normal posters increasing
Ohhh boy.

>> No.18005113

>>18005058
Do you seriously think a little BRRRR will offset the gigantic losses? 50.3% corp debt was BBB in 2019. Literally no economy in the world is working right now, it's all just bare minimums.

>> No.18005129

>>18005110
Telltale of another red week. "This is the floor" says increasingly bankrupt man for the 22nd time this month.

>> No.18005131

>>18005069
even still, each cunt has a different way of counting deaths
in china they were obviously lying about a lot of the deaths, marking them down as dead from whatever else they could think of
and in italy, we see a decently inflated number due to the fact that they test their dead, and also because of the recent decision to let anyone over 80yo die with no treatment

>> No.18005132

Is holding cash still the best way to wait out a recession?

>> No.18005146

>>18005132
that or just fuck around with single stock trades to kill the boredom

>> No.18005147

>>18005106
It's gonna be fun on the bun! I'm genuinely considering joining the national guard in the next few weeks.

>> No.18005151

>>18005026
You fucking Bulls are retarded trying to figure out a bottom right now and have been for the last couple of weeks.

>> No.18005153

>>18005070
They weren't spreading it purposefully but they were defying government orders about gatherings and not giving a shit if they spread it.

That's not meaningfully different in my book. If your faith requires you spread a death plague, you're a fucking cultist. Fuck every single damn one of them that defied the quarantine orders.

And that goes for that dipshit church in Louisiana too.

>> No.18005155

>>18005132
That's what I'm doing unless it turns into the weimar republic.

>> No.18005163

>>18005132
No, USD is going to plummet and then I have no fucking idea what to do after that. Unironically, holding CHF might be safest bet as their entire economy is just banking - immune from virus.

>> No.18005166

>>18005113
Go take a look at chinas market and tell me how it's weathered it. That's the perfect case study of your claim.
>>18005110
I'm not implying a return to normal. I'm saying that the VIX is trailing off and that the big daily drops show indications of beginning to tail off. That's it. Nobody is saying that the markets are stabilizing.
>>18005103
Same question as the other anon. How'd chinas markets do?

>> No.18005178

>>18005132
usually, massive inflation in the recovery leads to soaring commodities prices

>> No.18005179

>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
NEW THREAD

>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
NEW THREAD

>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
NEW THREAD

>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
NEW THREAD

>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
NEW THREAD

>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
NEW THREAD

>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
NEW THREAD

>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
NEW THREAD

>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
NEW THREAD

>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
NEW THREAD

>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
NEW THREAD

>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
>>18005174
NEW THREAD

>> No.18005182

>>18005151
I'm not even remotely being bullish. I'm being pessimistic about further big drops and increases in put value.

>> No.18005198

>>18005163
If history is any indication, the smartest thing to do if people are dying all around you in massive numbers is to own a Swiss bank.

>> No.18005200

>>18005153
I would say impoverished and woefully ignorant as a result is different from a cult. They stopped the moment a government official spoke to them, a cult would have pushed on.

>> No.18005212

>>18005015
Jakarta wasn't breaking 90 degrees frequently during when their infections would have happened.

>> No.18005226

>>18004928
5k PFE, 5k CAH, 5k BAX, 5k MDT, 5k TMDX, 5k GE, 5k TEVA, 5k AZN, 5k RGR, 5k cash.

The perfectly balanced coronavirus portfolio.

>> No.18005253

>>18005166
>Go take a look at chinas market and tell me how it's weathered it
https://www.tomtom.com/en_gb/traffic-index/wuhan-traffic
Why don't you look at it? Why don't you tell me why you still can't short their market if they're so confident the epidemic is over? Surely bad shorts means easy money for them?

>> No.18005356

>>18003884
I have a feeling that its more than enough money for most people.

>> No.18005373
File: 29 KB, 768x458, world stockmarket caps.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18005373

>>18004085
USA markets are diverse global diversification

>> No.18005596
File: 108 KB, 556x635, UNLIMITIERTER SCHIEßBEFEHL faden.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18005596

>>18003466
>I wonder how they will enforce it
with an unlimited shooting order whoever leaves the house will be shot

>> No.18005729

>>18004573
> dont coff on snek

>> No.18005816

>>18003377
Based degenerate gambler

>> No.18005842

>>18004093
the virus is running out of older people to kill, and the complete lockdown seems to work.

>> No.18005876
File: 64 KB, 853x480, 230.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18005876

>>18003817

>> No.18005911

>>18003804
first of all FUCK CHINA.
second of all, stop spreading disinformation, we do not know so far for a fact that the virus dies more quickly in sunny hot climate. Sure the UV radiation could potentially kill it quicker but it's just a speculation. Lets stick to what we know, Italy is closing in on 10% TEN FUCKING PERCENT death rate, that's insane. We have no news about a cure that works, most patient seem to get back to health with the help of medical staff, but it's mostly just their bodies fighting of the infection in a hospital environment. IMO it is just the early stages and we should behave as if that shit was smallpox since we have no fucking if it can mutate, mostly because the chinese fucking data is highly unreliable and in many cases non-existent. Which leads me to the final point, FUCK CHINA.

>> No.18005912

>>18003828
degiro

>> No.18005928
File: 491 KB, 2970x2100, ghosts.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
18005928

>>18004125
can at least ONE site bother to put an asterisk next to china that mentions that their numbers are complete lies?

>> No.18005941

>>18004250
Rip. All the best.

>> No.18005975

>>18004928

Buy literally anything that has been crushed in the last couple of weeks. Just.. go nuts lol.

>> No.18006084

>>18004093
It was nearly 800 yesterday