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15886857 No.15886857 [Reply] [Original]

Suppose we have link at 3$ and it's at the top, now we expect that it's more than 50% chance it goes down, so we sell it, and put tp at +10% and sl at -10%, everything good so far right?
Now if I had 1000 links and I sell it and rebuy at 2.70 (10% drop) then I have 1111 link, that's 11.1% increase.
if the price goes up and I rebuy at 3.3, I have 909 link, that's -9.1% decrease.
if it's 50/50, EV = 0.5*111 -0.5 * (91) = 10 link
we can expect to make 10 link on 50/50 chance, but if the chance is better than 50%, we get even more

>> No.15886913

Most can't swing bcz they failed their algebra class.

Don't try to help them, just tell them to buy & take profits.

>> No.15886929

>doesn’t count in sats, will never make it

>> No.15886951

>>15886857
can we have a non-ant version of the pic plz?

>> No.15886952

>>15886857
1. How long have you been 'trading' for anon
2. How much did you start with and how much do you have now

>> No.15886954

>>15886929
wow fag, this logic applies to sats equivalently
talk about making it while being braindead

>> No.15887185

>>15886857
is all legit, the problem is
>and it's at the top, now we expect that it's more than 50% chance it goes down
how do you know?

>> No.15887202

>>15886857
say that to the mainnet swingers i bet their technical analysis saw google pump

>> No.15887216

I'm never swinging again. Bought 110 ltc for $42 in 2017 and was doing ok then I sold everything @ $120 only to watch it shoot up to $420

>> No.15887223

>>15886857
>Suppose we have link at 3$ and it's at the top, now we expect that it's more than 50% chance it goes down
this is a lot of assumptions

one day you're gonna make a bad trade and lose your ass

>> No.15887249

>>15887185
Yup this is the problem, especially with something like cryptos. How the fuck do you know what the top and bottom is?

For all you know some billionaire is waiting for chainlink to hit 3 dollars again before he feels safe buying a shit ton.

>> No.15887268

>>15887216
I bought btc at 5k before it reached 15k and kept trying to swing it. In the end I lost 50% of my investment.

>> No.15887280

>>15887249
You do not know which makes it scary

>> No.15887290

>>15886857
Even if you're a master trader this market is super manipulated and especially with LINK a big announcement come out of nowhere and completely rape you. I wish you luck but you're probably going to get justed. Ask all the other master traders that sold at mainnet and lost half their stack.

>> No.15887349

>>15886952
This

>> No.15887541
File: 51 KB, 1280x720, JUSTdoit.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
15887541

>>15886857
>only idiots haven't been swinging the single project that has most rewarded holders and punished swingers over the past year

>> No.15887863
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15887863

>>15886857
The bobo fears the swinger

>> No.15887880

>>15886857
no swinging link, and only holding UOS

>> No.15888076

>>15886952
Silence... interesting.

>> No.15888145

>>15886952
I haven't started swinging yet, I work in fx broker company and want to start doing it

>> No.15888180

>>15886857
This doesn't work. I could explain why, but you'd just point to some poorly phrased part in my explanation and discard it as a whole instead of trying to piece together yourself why you're wrong, so instead I'll say this:
This method is common knowledge. When swinging link you compete with bots and professional traders. A method everyone is aware of cannot outtrade them.

>> No.15888232

>>15888180
I am just looking for the flaws in my logic man

>> No.15888287

>>15886913
>>15886913
Yeah except op and your assumption is assuming something that you can’t accurately predict — the 50% chance that it goes up or down. That’s really fucking retarded to believe. Obviously if every price movement was just a coin flip it would be easy, but that’s not what happens. Also, stop losses don’t always work when liquidity dries up, you might get a way worse price than you wanted when everyone rushes for the door.

If you’re good at swing trading link, your either part of a whale group and are being market makers or you have some very clever system that you’re not detailing here. In other words, this thread is just meant to create more suckers for you, in other other words, you’re a degenerate that will pay in bad karma 10 fold.

>> No.15888336
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15888336

>>15887216
>>15887268
I had 600,000 LINK and sold at 60 cents.

>> No.15888346

>>15886857
Swingie linkies get the rope/
Always swinging have no hope

>> No.15888350

>>15888336
Buy back. You should still have 120k or whatever it is that’s a pretty nice fucking stack.

>> No.15888355

>>15888287
>being a moon-boy and calling others degenerate

>> No.15888389

>>15888355
How the fuck am I moon boy. I’ve patently held this shit since it was on ED...

>> No.15888398

>>15888389
Patiently***

>> No.15888575

>>15888350
>buy my bags

>> No.15888725

>>15886913
>algebra, a logical rational discipline will help with completely irrational markets
Retard detected

>> No.15889701

Coinbase and binance.us will report trades to taxman. Not worth swinging when you lose 30% of any gains.