[ 3 / biz / cgl / ck / diy / fa / ic / jp / lit / sci / vr / vt ] [ index / top / reports ] [ become a patron ] [ status ]
2023-11: Warosu is now out of extended maintenance.

/biz/ - Business & Finance


View post   

File: 84 KB, 630x465, Image_1_20170622_10th[1].jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12637180 No.12637180 [Reply] [Original]

When crash?

>> No.12637235

>hur durr we have to crash every 10 years
kill yourself. Or at least scroll out further than the recent stagflation period

>> No.12637254
File: 907 KB, 888x1500, youarehere.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12637254

>>12637235
o liek dis?

>> No.12637269

>>12637254
>goes with logarithmic but not inflation adjusted
Yes, thats what a natural investment looks like over 100 years dumbfuck

>> No.12637273

>>12637180
what goes up mustn't necessarily come down.

>> No.12637285
File: 146 KB, 1024x715, graf-2-1024x715.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12637285

>>12637254

Now adjust it for inflation, then you realize 10x over a hundred fucking years isn't as crazy as it looks.

>> No.12637648

>>12637269
i remember people using the same excuse when bitcoin was 20k...
dude use log scale..the chart is much smoother...then

C R A S H

>> No.12638056

>>12637180
Every time is see this chart it makes me sad , because people compare the S&P vs USD but don't take in consideration the amount of USD on the market. We have 10x increase in supply from 1985. So you have to take that into account or it's meaningless.
in 1985 the S&P was ~200 so from inflation alone the s&p should be 2000$ at today prices.
In 1998 the amount of usd in circulation is ~475 billion the S&P is @ 1000 so in today value that means the s&p was 3583 USD.
At the height of the dot com bubble the S&P was 4108 in today's money.
At the bottom of the bubble it was 2393 in today's money.

>> No.12638112

>>12638056
That's how boomers cope nowadays?

>> No.12638121
File: 152 KB, 1366x1021, 1438191710-634412069a56372e210387c36d9f5e61-1366x1021.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12638121

As soon as we stop breeding and developing

>> No.12638124
File: 86 KB, 768x768, zxfor3tn73c21.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12638124

>> No.12638129

>>12637180
Again if we compare the DOW and adjust for inflation at the bottom of the 2009 bubble the DOW was 15.295 and 28000 before the crash. By this metric we are lower today than we where before 2008.

>> No.12638211

>>12637180
at least update your shitty chart

>> No.12638226

The federal reserve has said theyll do more QE if necessary.
Imagine an endless tether pump, but instead of tether pumping BTC, its the USD pumping the stock market.

>> No.12638247
File: 131 KB, 1278x1385, SPXM.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12638247

>>12638226
thats a good point, but nobody anticipated a crash in 2007 too.

>> No.12638260

>>12638121
we already stopped breeding

>> No.12638271

>>12637285
That is how normies fall for crashes
They have no ideea of inflation, gdp,etc

>> No.12638277

>>12637180
It may have some corrections, but if thing keep growing it’s only because all the money FED prints always magically reach s&p.
It’s literally a central bank perma-pump.

>> No.12638302
File: 77 KB, 680x960, npcman.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12638302

>>12638277
>>12638226
>>12638271

Shouldnt it create inflation?

>> No.12638354

>>12638302
Yes.
But the central bank policy is literally to just say that inflation is CPI and CPI is 2% and hope people go along with it.
Spoiler: They do

>> No.12638367

>>12637269
Here we go again lul

>> No.12638388

>>12638302
>>12638354
inflation is normal and almost necessary in any capitalist economy.

>> No.12638428

>>12637273
exactly, just look at bitco..

oh wait

>> No.12638468
File: 574 KB, 2640x1565, BA3ZHBjs9JwFSgi-D4rnR-2hnlDoXL-RSQfNdXt1oog.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12638468

>>12638260
We did but 3rd world is getting richer rappidly.
More than a half of global population is still racing to get semi-normal wealth.

>> No.12639154
File: 740 KB, 1200x1200, 1539557666975.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
12639154

did they find the ultimate solution for etrnal growth?
>bro jut let the central bank buy shit on the market and it will always go up.

>> No.12639206

unironically never. buy sp500 or be a feudal serf EOY this time is actually different