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11506418 No.11506418 [Reply] [Original]

You guys will (I know this) bash me for "TA is bullshit" and whatnot, so I just made some rough lines. The point is however, that we are - no matter how you "draw line" or analyse the chart - very close to a tipping point for BTC. Where will we go next? Resistance at 6k had held several times and I think its safe to say that we'll probably not go below 6k. But im at /biz/ what do I know

>> No.11506465

megadump incoming

>> No.11506495

>>11506418
keep adjusting those lines nigga until you got it right. you can redraw it tomorrow.

>> No.11506505

megapump incoming

>> No.11506516
File: 120 KB, 1500x1500, down-graph.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
11506516

>>11506418
Where will we go next?

>> No.11506517

Megaqumb incoming

>> No.11506526

>>11506418

There won't be a "happening" it will continue to move sideways and slowly taper down as volume continues to decrease. It's over you missed your chance last year

>> No.11506533
File: 119 KB, 1280x800, 446302537_376617001.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
11506533

>>11506418

>> No.11506540

>>11506418
My bets are on inverse bart

>> No.11506558

>>11506533
Worst TA I’ve ever seen

>> No.11506576

>>11506526
>It's over you missed your chance last year
yeah it's like not even 1% adopted bitcoin globally there is no potential for demand to grow anywhere right? right. fucking retards man...

>> No.11506635

>>11506533
Why are you hiding 100 day weekly ma?

>> No.11506686

>>11506418
sideways

>>11506533
>200 week MA
wew, try again

>> No.11506788
File: 27 KB, 300x300, TAinversemarge.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
11506788

>>11506540
Close. This shit is crashing hard, though. Inverse marge down low, maybe even to 2k, before spiking back up to who knows how high.

>> No.11506800

>>11506418

Small fake breakout and quick dump to $4.8k in december.

>> No.11506829

>>11506533
The upper trend from december can be simulated better with a exp(-a(x-b))+c IMO.

>> No.11506855

>>11506526
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XbZ8zDpX2Mg

>> No.11506882

btc-eur goes up btc-usd goes down how the fuck are people blind? and why can't i arbitrage this?

>> No.11506885

>>11506558
Billinger bands are tightening and volume is decreasing even though our triangle is nearing the end of its cycle.

>> No.11506887

>>11506788
This

>> No.11506890

>>11506788
$6.2 will be the bottom maybe won't even go that low
buy the dip!

>> No.11506905

Interesting results from the Fundstrat survey on the current state of Crypto.

Survey Says: Institutions are bullish and that likely Bitcoin bottom is in. Remarkably that Institutions are more bullish than the crowd.

Here are some important facts:

Fact 1: Smart Money doesn't share honest opinions or strategy when it comes to the market.

Fact 2: The majority is always wrong.

Actually the poll results say that Bitcoin falls in a recession & that BTCUSD will not bottom soon.

Don't allow this survey to cloud your judgment.

>> No.11506928
File: 186 KB, 1280x640, 446712448_223733001.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
11506928

>>11506905

The Bollinger Bands are starting to contract. Also notice how on this entire bear run we got rejected by the middle of the Bollinger Bands several times and now we might be rejecting without even making it into the moving average.

On the weekly timeframe we still have a descending triangle. Such ones usually get broken to the downside (70% probability) rather than to the upside. The outcome of the triangle is very nasty.

Bouncing off the 6k for so many times is not bullish. People get comfortable with the 6500 price of Bitcoin and eventually they just sell because they start to get nervous that it’s creeping lower & lower.

Can we go up? Everything can happen but statistically speaking this is going to break down. We can go up as high as 7k and even a bit higher, but the outlook is still bearish.

In order to turn bullish mid term, we need weekly closing above previous swing high of 7450.

Notice how the volatility has slowed down. A big move is very likely near.

BTC doesn't have long to choose it's path. Stay cautious, guys, especially this week.

>> No.11506945

>>11506928
>>11506905
>>11506885
>>11506533
In the likely event of a bearish outcome my buy range is displayed between the green lines of the chart.

>> No.11506954

>>11506945
ok

>> No.11507040

>>11506928
Your pic is the opposite of what you're saying?

>> No.11507227

>>11506576
>bitcoin has practical use

>> No.11507327

There are two likely scenarios in my opinion:
1) Moon to at least 10k, making some higher highs. This still doesn't mean that the bear market is over.
2) Dump to something like 3k, in this case we'll see capitulation and some real buying opportunities.

I'm short rn, because of bias, but I'll play a breakout play in both directions (buy above 6850, sell sub 6k).

>> No.11507338

why does nobody ever consider the possibility that maybe we're starting to reach the equillibrium market price, and as bitcoin and cryptocurrencies further gain adoption, they're no longer being used as speculative currencies with high volatility, rather that trusted source of wealth which wont change?
Like everyone shills BTC as a store of wealth, but how is it a store of wealth if the price fluctuates so much like you guys hope?
Face it, its over. ETF approval incoming will solidify the price

>> No.11507342

>>11507327
It would be the biggest drop in BTC history...

>> No.11507355

>>11506418
Yes OP that is a triangle.

>> No.11507361

>>11507327
You idiots have been saying 3k since January. It's not going to happen

>> No.11507365
File: 76 KB, 1280x720, maxresdefault[1].jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
11507365

>>11506516
What will he do next?

>> No.11507366

>>11507342
20k to 3k (-85%) would be about as big as the 2014 bear market, that was from 1150 to 150 (-87%).

>> No.11507412

>>11507366
But that crash was due to Mt. Gox. Crypto has had a lot of good news 2018 and basically 0 "x crypto got banned in y country" news. Really makes you think.

>> No.11507413

>>11507361
majority said it would never fall back below 12k, then 10k, then 8k, then 7k, then 6k, every time it has fallen lower.

Realistically who's buying right now? Who has confidence in this market (or this technology)? literally no one besides those trying to extract dollars from the less educated.

We WILL see 3-4k again, it's just a matter of when. Then we'll see 1-2k again, and finally we'll see $200-$500 again. That might be the floor.

>> No.11507421

>>11507413
>We WILL see 3-4k again, it's just a matter of when. Then we'll see 1-2k again, and finally we'll see $200-$500 again. That might be the floor.

See you in year 2100 then when BTC mining ends. We might see those numbers at that point if the dollar still exists.

>> No.11507423

>>11507413
smart people are buying now.Should they have bought at 20k?lol

>> No.11507447

>>11507413
>We WILL see 3-4k again, it's just a matter of when. Then we'll see 1-2k again, and finally we'll see $200-$500 again. That might be the floor.
You're crazy. Stop being crazy.

>> No.11507760

>>11506465
Hope so
Then I can start stacking up

>> No.11507764

>>11507413
most decent TA people said they expect it to go to 4-6k back in january

>> No.11507774

>>11506418
i wanna see yours and everyone else's degree in economics. none of you fags know shit about shit.

>> No.11507800

>>11507774
In todays world, a degree means absolutely fucking nothing.

>> No.11507810

>>11506418
These threads have been utterly entertaining for the past 8 months

>> No.11509298

>>11506533
This is actually the most accurate outcome I've seen yet. Not sure about 3k range but we'll be in the 4k range by eoy.

>> No.11509536
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11509536

>>11506533

>> No.11509554
File: 102 KB, 1362x752, graph.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
11509554

>>11509536
For brainlets

>> No.11509725

It truly is a 50/50 split on what will happen after the triangle closes, a lot of people will lose money and we will see many wojacks in the coming weeks.

>> No.11509864

>>11509554
You're missing 2 years of data.

>> No.11509922

TA is useless. You guys are idiots.

>> No.11509938

The incoming crash will destroy crypto. If you don't heed my warning then you all deserve to be homeless.

>> No.11509957

>>11509938
Thanks man - just sold all. Whew, was it close!

>> No.11509986

>>11506418
Hmmm a chart with consecutive lower lows.

>> No.11510056
File: 5 KB, 228x221, al2a5l3cdczz.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
11510056

>>11507413
>We WILL see 3-4k again, it's just a matter of when. Then we'll see 1-2k again, and finally we'll see $200-$500 again. That might be the floor.

>> No.11511289

>>11506418
>the triangle broke?
>oh well i'll just draw a new one

>> No.11511611

>>11506517
qump is sideways?

megapump
megadump
megabump
megaqump

pbqd

>> No.11511684

>>11506418
Why a no one on biz know the difference between resistance and support? I don’t even do TA and I know.

>> No.11511717

>>11510056
no way bruh, the reversal's only possible once we hit $0 for at least a few hours. Got my reverse-buys feathered in down to $100 though since I could see it wicking that low in the final flash crash. Can't wait to get paid money to take bitcoin off peoples' hands.

>> No.11511850

>>11506505
Nope