/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>57444746
14000 at 0.08 here, My only coin in the green right now, god speed fren

>>56470768
that's good to know
I don't trade much, mostly buy and hold, but I should probably pay more attention to options pricing, at least to get a better idea of how things are evolving

>>56035330

This is all true, but it's an artificial energy shortage. I encourage anyone else to do the math on economically obtainable uranium and thorium, and how much energy it could provide, relative to the total fossil fuel energy humanity has ever used. Fissile materials obtainable in the earth's crust and seawater have absolutely absurd EROEI and there's enough of them for, very conservatively, thousands of years of usage.

Add to this: nuclear should be a 1/10th of the $/KWH it is now if it were mass manufactured and not regulated out of existence by governments. Worst Korea in particular didn't have government hostile to it, and did it at scale with standardized designs and now they have nuclear prices a quarter of what western propaganda LCOE estimates peg it at, which is deliberate because if they didn't lie it would be obvious nuclear is actually even cheaper than coal when done properly (at scale).

Then consider if we had enough extremely cheap electricity, synthesizing fertilizers and chemical fuels literally from air and water would be completely economical, even if battery tech doesn't keep getting cheaper (which with SSBs it might). Fission is the next step of technological progress allowing exponentially more energy consumption via technology, as wood, coal, and oil had been before it.

However, this is a doompill thread so here's the doompill: the club of rome types put a firm stop to fission when they saw the global population exploding. It is not energy we are running out of: it's arable land, fish in the sea, unpolluted environments, and extant species of animals. If the nuclear genie is let out of the bottle, they think we would strain these other things to a breaking point and just consume absolutely everything, and wreck earth's biosphere for millions of years. They really really REALLY want there to be a lot less useless eaters, and I think they'll get what they want.

Post you're /smg/ track
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qafD44_earI

>>53013340
As long as your number doesn't have a - in front of it you're doing breddy gud.

>>51095201

Sentiment, by definition yes, outcomes, not really no. Bond market has major normalcy bias and frequently gets inflation wrong.

They were shocked by bonds down stocks down because they didn't look back far enough to see how the stocks/bonds correlation works over 4% inflation, and they were shocked by inflation because they apparently didn't bother looking at M2 prints in 2020.

They're now all predicting a mega recession because the Fed "has to crush inflation" without thinking through the second-order consequence of that is necessarily fiscal austerity. So they're going to be totally shocked yet again when we either pivot and stagflate or when the mega recession they want causes mega printing (because it turns out austerity isn't gonna fly).

>>50832972
I simply live with it. It helps to be highly philosophic and realize we all die one day. That billions of people died in shitty ways, with shitty lives, but even the powerful people die. And time is an infinite hyper cube.

>>50794492

It's effectively very, very slight austerity. A "Statement" to bluff that they're going to budget responsibly to defend the dollar and help pump DXY to complement Fed hikes. No coincidence the dollar bulls like Summers were pushing it. Of course, there were no spending cuts (i.e. real austerity) and the taxed monies will be laughably misallocated relative to what those corps could have done with it, driving down GDP and future tax receipts. So on balance the US gov solvency is only made worse.

The next moves will be to try to kill those who dare go long commodities, hence the talk about windfall taxes on oil companies. The real question is which commodity producers will be affected and if they also go after futures-based ETFs. In the end we're inflating the debt away and there's no escaping it, but the gov is always gonna try to fuck you in the ass for betting against King Dollar. Gotta be nimble.

>>50495552

Indeed. It is fortunate there are still many people who don't understand that all the climate change babble is actually the elite's way of handling a looming energy EROI crisis, with high-EROI fuel sources rapidly depleting and ensuring structurally higher and rising real costs of energy for decades.

The only things that will outperform fossil fuels will be alternatives to fossil fuels. There will be a massive SMR boom as remaining fossil fuels get too precious to use for electricity, and tremendous pressure to secure fissile fuel supplies. Eventually reprocessing and water extraction will bring it back down, but not before a monster bubble.

At some point either the Fed will stop crushing the markets or else they'll keep doing it and print to fund the government tax shortfall. Either way, energy commodities are gonna be THE fucking play for years and really nothing else is even gonna be close.

>>50225669

Deflation means austerity mean social unrest.

Hyperinflation happens literally all the time because it's easier for governments to deal with. Turkey, half of South America, (((Israel))), etc, they all chose inflation for good reason.

US has the extra consideration of having the reserve currency and wanting desperately to keep that privilege. In the end tho, I don't think they have the stones to tell the Boomers the checks ain't comin. There will literally be a convoy of RVs rolling on DC setting up guillotines on the WH lawn.

>-10% in AAL
Should I sell anyway and buy in Xiaomi or let AAL run (crash) until Xiaomi dips?

>>24724407
Amen.

who was the anon that recommneded getting an associates in engineering? would like to know more info about it

got 2k in CLF calls

>>24234016
$25K eow

>>24117296