/biz/ - Business & Finance

YOU'LL NEVER TAKE MY HODLS

>>5612181
long-time DM here, BS physics/math, new to the crypto meme:

if you want to make simple and fairly reasonable price model for a commodity, just use a damped random walk. You could simulate it with dice easily. The further you are from the long-term moving average, the smaller your std deviation gets. Hence, determine 1) movement direction (rise/fall) with a coin flip 2) movement magnitude (d20 if close to the moving average, d12 if off by a few points, d10 if further off...)

Then, your chart will have a mean-reverting element. You can simulate intrinsic volatility by varying which dice are used for a given commodity, and You could even have your players perform the rolls to demonstrate unpredictability and give them a feel for market dynamics.

godspeed sensei neckbeard

>>5414539
>Gonna buy full spring steel plate with earnings from crypto.
Feels good man
Also needs more Rogal Dorn's Imperial Fists.