/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>57557516
01 and 08 were just continuing the trend though
both recessions and bear markets have been getting less frequent but more severe. the main outlier is the great depression.

recessions:
pre-fed: every ~3.7 years
post-great depression: every ~6.4 years
post gold standard (1971): every ~7.6 years. If you don't count covid, it goes to ~8.8

08-20 was the longest uninterrupted bull run ever. covid dip doesn't even show if you use the yearly S&P chart
most times a huge bull run is followed by either a crash or a decade of crab (negative real return), no surprise people expect it

fed/ZIRP, passive investing, and algos have exaggerated the cycles of old